Adaptive learning in agents behaviour: A framework for electricity markets simulation

Electricity markets are complex environments, involving a large number of different entities, playing in a dynamic scene to obtain the best advantages and profits. MASCEM (Multi-Agent System for Competitive Electricity Markets) is a multi-agent electricity market simulator that models market players and simulates their operation in the market. Market players are entities with specific characteristics and objectives, making their decisions and interacting with other players. This paper presents a methodology to provide decision support to electricity market negotiating players. This model allows integrating different strategic approaches for electricity market negotiations, and choosing the most appropriate one at each time, for each different negotiation context. This methodology is integrated in ALBidS (Adaptive Learning strategic Bidding System) – a multiagent system that provides decision support to MASCEM's negotiating agents so that they can properly achieve their goals. ALBidS uses artificial intelligence methodologies and data analysis algorithms to provide effective adaptive learning capabilities to such negotiating entities. The main contribution is provided by a methodology that combines several distinct strategies to build actions proposals, so that the best can be chosen at each time, depending on the context and simulation circumstances. The choosing process includes reinforcement learning algorithms, a mechanism for negotiating contexts analysis, a mechanism for the management of the efficiency/effectiveness balance of the system, and a mechanism for competitor players' profiles definition.

An adaptive IoT management infrastructure for eco transport networks

The complexity associated with fast growing of B2B and the lack of a (complete) suite of open standards makes difficulty to maintain the underlying collaborative processes. Aligned to this challenge, this paper aims to be a contribution to an open architecture of logistics and transport processes management system. A model of an open integrated system is being defined as an open computational responsibility from the embedded systems (on-board) as well as a reference implementation (prototype) of a host system to validate the proposed open interfaces. Embedded subsystem can, natively, be prepared to cooperate with other on-board units and with IT-systems in an infrastructure commonly referred to as a center information system or back-office. In interaction with a central system the proposal is to adopt an open framework for cooperation where the embedded unit or the unit placed somewhere (land/sea) interacts in response to a set of implemented capabilities.

Adaptive offloading for infotainment systems

Infotainment applications in vehicles are currently supported both by the in-vehicle platform, as well as by user’s smart devices, such as smartphones and tablets. More and more the user expects that there is a continuous service of applications inside or outside of the vehicle, provided in any of these devices (a simple but common example is hands-free mobile phone calls provided by the vehicle platform). With the increasing complexity of ‘apps’, it is necessary to support increasing levels of Quality of Service (QoS), with varying resource requirements. Users may want to start listening to music in the smartphone, or video in the tablet, being this application transparently ‘moved’ into the vehicle when it is started. This paper presents an adaptable offloading mechanism, following a service-oriented architecture pattern, which takes into account the QoS requirements of the applications being executed when making decisions.

Mechanism of interleukin-8 induction by human cytomegalovirus UL76 protein

Dissertation presented to obtain the Ph.D degree in Biology

Mechanisms of agglomeration: Evidence from the location of new manufacturing firms in Spain

El objetivo de esta investigación es aportar evidencia sobre las fuentes de las economías de aglomeración para el caso español. De todas las maneras posibles que se han tomado en la literatura para medir las economías de aglomeración, nosotros lo analizamos a partir de las decisiones de localización de las empresas manufactureras. La literatura reciente ha puesto de relieve que el análisis basado en la disyuntiva localización / urbanización (relaciones dentro de un mismo sector) no es suficiente para entender las economías de aglomeración. Sin embargo, las relaciones entre los diferentes sectores sí resultan significativas al examinar por qué las empresas que pertenecen a diferentes sectores se localizan unas al lado de las otras. Con esto en mente, intentamos explicar que relaciones entre diferentes sectores pueden explicar coaglomeración. Para ello, nos centramos en aquellas relaciones entre sectores definidos a partir de los mecanismos de aglomeración de Marshall, es decir, labor market, input sharing y knowledge spillovers. Trabajamos con el labor market pooling en la medida en que los dos sectores utilizan los mismos trabajadores (clasificación de ocupaciones). Con el segundo mecanismo de Marshall, input sharing, introducimos cómo dos sectores tienen una relación de comprador / vendedor. Por último, nos referimos a dos sectores que utilizan las mismas tecnologías en cuanto a los knowledge spillovers. Con el fin de capturar todos los efectos de los mecanismos de aglomeracion en España, en esta investigación trabajamos con dos ámbitos geográficos, los municipios y los mercados de trabajo locales. La literatura existente nunca se ha puesto de acuerdo en cual es el ámbito geográfico en el que mejor trabajan los mecanismos Marshall, por lo que hemos cubierto todas las unidades geográficas potenciales.

Local-global splitting for spatiotemporal-adaptive multiscale methods

We present a novel spatiotemporal-adaptive Multiscale Finite Volume (MsFV) method, which is based on the natural idea that the global coarse-scale problem has longer characteristic time than the local fine-scale problems. As a consequence, the global problem can be solved with larger time steps than the local problems. In contrast to the pressure-transport splitting usually employed in the standard MsFV approach, we propose to start directly with a local-global splitting that allows to locally retain the original degree of coupling. This is crucial for highly non-linear systems or in the presence of physical instabilities. To obtain an accurate and efficient algorithm, we devise new adaptive criteria for global update that are based on changes of coarse-scale quantities rather than on fine-scale quantities, as it is routinely done before in the adaptive MsFV method. By means of a complexity analysis we show that the adaptive approach gives a noticeable speed-up with respect to the standard MsFV algorithm. In particular, it is efficient in case of large upscaling factors, which is important for multiphysics problems. Based on the observation that local time stepping acts as a smoother, we devise a self-correcting algorithm which incorporates the information from previous times to improve the quality of the multiscale approximation. We present results of multiphase flow simulations both for Darcy-scale and multiphysics (hybrid) problems, in which a local pore-scale description is combined with a global Darcy-like description. The novel spatiotemporal-adaptive multiscale method based on the local-global splitting is not limited to porous media flow problems, but it can be extended to any system described by a set of conservation equations.

Adaptive filtering methods for identifying cross-frequency couplings in human EEG.

Oscillations have been increasingly recognized as a core property of neural responses that contribute to spontaneous, induced, and evoked activities within and between individual neurons and neural ensembles. They are considered as a prominent mechanism for information processing within and communication between brain areas. More recently, it has been proposed that interactions between periodic components at different frequencies, known as cross-frequency couplings, may support the integration of neuronal oscillations at different temporal and spatial scales. The present study details methods based on an adaptive frequency tracking approach that improve the quantification and statistical analysis of oscillatory components and cross-frequency couplings. This approach allows for time-varying instantaneous frequency, which is particularly important when measuring phase interactions between components. We compared this adaptive approach to traditional band-pass filters in their measurement of phase-amplitude and phase-phase cross-frequency couplings. Evaluations were performed with synthetic signals and EEG data recorded from healthy humans performing an illusory contour discrimination task. First, the synthetic signals in conjunction with Monte Carlo simulations highlighted two desirable features of the proposed algorithm vs. classical filter-bank approaches: resilience to broad-band noise and oscillatory interference. Second, the analyses with real EEG signals revealed statistically more robust effects (i.e. improved sensitivity) when using an adaptive frequency tracking framework, particularly when identifying phase-amplitude couplings. This was further confirmed after generating surrogate signals from the real EEG data. Adaptive frequency tracking appears to improve the measurements of cross-frequency couplings through precise extraction of neuronal oscillations.

Post-genomic update on a classical candidate gene for coronary artery disease: ESR1.

BACKGROUND: After age, sex is the most important risk factor for coronary artery disease (CAD). The mechanism through which women are protected from CAD is still largely unknown, but the observed sex difference suggests the involvement of the reproductive steroid hormone signaling system. Genetic association studies of the gene-encoding Estrogen Receptor α (ESR1) have shown conflicting results, although only a limited range of variation in the gene has been investigated. METHODS AND RESULTS: We exploited information made available by advanced new methods and resources in complex disease genetics to revisit the question of ESR1's role in risk of CAD. We performed a meta-analysis of 14 genome-wide association studies (CARDIoGRAM discovery analysis, N=≈87,000) to search for population-wide and sex-specific associations between CAD risk and common genetic variants throughout the coding, noncoding, and flanking regions of ESR1. In addition to samples from the MIGen (N=≈6000), WTCCC (N=≈7400), and Framingham (N=≈3700) studies, we extended this search to a larger number of common and uncommon variants by imputation into a panel of haplotypes constructed using data from the 1000 Genomes Project. Despite the widespread expression of ERα in vascular tissues, we found no evidence for involvement of common or low-frequency genetic variation throughout the ESR1 gene in modifying risk of CAD, either in the general population or as a function of sex. CONCLUSIONS: We suggest that future research on the genetic basis of sex-related differences in CAD risk should initially prioritize other genes in the reproductive steroid hormone biosynthesis system.

Failure mechanism under tensile loads in CFRP 0-90º cross-ply laminates containing voids

The failure mechanism of a voided CFRP 0-90° cross-ply laminate under tensile loads applied in one direction was studied in this Final Degree Project. For this purpose, voided coupons were manufactured for being tested and a FEA was done. In both investigations, voids were placed in 90º and 0º direction, in order to understand the void location influence. On the one hand, the behaviour of the voided laminates was investigated through a FEM in order to preview the stress distribution within the material. On the other hand, voided specimens where manufactured by applying blowing agent in between the inner layers. These specimens were tested by a quasi-static step wise tensile test where data showing its real behaviour was collected. Specimens were X-rayed after each step of the test in order to investigate the failure mechanism of the composite. Data from the test was studied so that relations such as strength of the laminates, crack density per stress, void length per first crack at the void and void area per first crack at the specimen could be characterized

Activity-dependent regulation of energy metabolism by astrocytes: an update.

Astrocytes play a critical role in the regulation of brain metabolic responses to activity. One detailed mechanism proposed to describe the role of astrocytes in some of these responses has come to be known as the astrocyte-neuron lactate shuttle hypothesis (ANLSH). Although controversial, the original concept of a coupling mechanism between neuronal activity and glucose utilization that involves an activation of aerobic glycolysis in astrocytes and lactate consumption by neurons provides a heuristically valid framework for experimental studies. In this context, it is necessary to provide a survey of recent developments and data pertaining to this model. Thus, here, we review very recent experimental evidence as well as theoretical arguments strongly supporting the original model and in some cases extending it. Aspects revisited include the existence of glutamate-induced glycolysis in astrocytes in vitro, ex vivo, and in vivo, lactate as a preferential oxidative substrate for neurons, and the notion of net lactate transfer between astrocytes and neurons in vivo. Inclusion of a role for glycogen in the ANLSH is discussed in the light of a possible extension of the astrocyte-neuron lactate shuttle (ANLS) concept rather than as a competing hypothesis. New perspectives offered by the application of this concept include a better understanding of the basis of signals used in functional brain imaging, a role for neuron-glia metabolic interactions in glucose sensing and diabetes, as well as novel strategies to develop therapies against neurodegenerative diseases based upon improving astrocyte-neuron coupled energetics.

Adaptive search and information updating in sequential mate choice

Classical treatments of problems of sequential mate choice assume that the distribution of the quality of potential mates is known a priori. This assumption, made for analytical purposes, may seem unrealistic, opposing empirical data as well as evolutionary arguments. Using stochastic dynamic programming, we develop a model that includes the possibility for searching individuals to learn about the distribution and in particular to update mean and variance during the search. In a constant environment, a priori knowledge of the parameter values brings strong benefits in both time needed to make a decision and average value of mate obtained. Knowing the variance yields more benefits than knowing the mean, and benefits increase with variance. However, the costs of learning become progressively lower as more time is available for choice. When parameter values differ between demes and/or searching periods, a strategy relying on fixed a priori information might lead to erroneous decisions, which confers advantages on the learning strategy. However, time for choice plays an important role as well: if a decision must be made rapidly, a fixed strategy may do better even when the fixed image does not coincide with the local parameter values. These results help in delineating the ecological-behavior context in which learning strategies may spread.

Monitoring of innate and adaptive immune responses in the context of human immunotherapy

Summary1 SummaryCancer patients have a better clinical outcome when their tumours display marked infiltration by memory Τ cells. Moreover, the overrepresentation of Th1 gene signatures in primary tumours correlates with favourable prognosis. Thus, vaccination to induce Τ cells capable of infiltrating and eradicating the tumour seems a promising strategy for the treatment of cancer. Here, I monitored CD4 Τ cell responses in melanoma patients vaccinated with the long synthetic peptides Melan- A16-35(A27L) and NY-ESO-179.108. Most of the patients developed strong and diverse peptide antigen specific CD4 Τ cell responses. Analysis of the fine specificity of CD4 Τ cell antigen recognition led to the identification of two new epitopes. The peptide Melan-A16_35(A27L) was delivered by virus-like particles (VLPs) derived from bacteriophage Οβ, which themselves displayed strong immunogenicity. I show evidence for induction of Οβ- and Melan-A specific CD4 Τ cell responses that developed a Th1 functional profile after repeated vaccination cycles. They also specifically released the chemokines CCL-3 and CCL-4, which play important roles in attracting CD8 Τ cells to the APC surface for priming and formation of Τ cell memory. We further found induction of robust humoral IgG responses upon VLP vaccination, and the lgG1-lgG4 isotype composition depended on the adjuvant used. Since heavy chain class switching largely dépends on the presence of CD4 Τ cell help, this result suggests that the adjuvant can influence the differentiation of elicited CD4 Τ cells, thereby contributing to the quality and function of both Β cells and CD8 Τ cells. The nature of the inflammatory processes in the tumour microenvironment can modulate CD8 Τ cell function. A collaboration was established for the investigation regulation of inflammasome activation in human primary monocytes. We identified IL- 4 and TGF-β as strong inhibitors of IL-1 β secretion, Indicating some level of regulation from effector Th2 and Treg responses. We further found a potent inhibition of inflammasome activation by type I interferon, and demonstrated in vivo inhibition of IL-1 β responses in monocytes from active multiple sclerosis patients under IFN-β therapy. This finding further offers a possible explanation for its success, which mechanism of action is still largely unclear. Interestingly, type I interferon is also being used as adjuvant treatment for tumour free metastatic cutaneous melanoma patients. While its clinical benefit has remained controversial, recent data suggest that the subset of patients with ulcerated primary melanoma lesions can benefit from this therapy. Future investigations will shed light on the implication of the inflammasome in this context, and may offer new strategies for improved adjuvant treatments of melanoma.2 RésuméLes patients atteints de cancer ont une meilleure chance de survie si leurs tumeurs s'avèrent être largement infiltrées par des cellules Τ mémoires. De plus, la surreprésentation d'une signature génique Th1 est en corrélation avec un pronostic favorable. Ainsi, la vaccination visant à induire des cellules Τ capables d'infiltrer et de détruire la tumeur parait être une stratégie prometteuse pour le traitement du cancer. Dans ce travail, j'ai procédé au monitoring de la réponse des cellules Τ CD4 dans des patients atteints de mélanome vaccinés avec les longs peptides synthétiques Melan-A16_35(A27L) et NY-ESO-179_108. Ces peptides représentent des antigènes tumoraux reconnus par des lymphocytes T. La majorité des patients a développé une réponse forte et diversifiée des cellules Τ CD4 spécifiques contre les peptides. L'analyse de la spécificité fine de la reconnaissance antigénique des cellules Τ CD4 nous a conduits à l'identification de deux nouveaux épitopes. Le peptide Melan-Aie. 35(A27L) a été délivré par des particules de type viral (VLPs) dérivés de bactériophages Qβ, qui ont eux-mêmes démontré une forte immunogénicité. Mon travail montre les preuves d'une induction de réponses spécifiques des cellules Τ CD4 contre les Qβ et Melan-A développant un profil fonctionnel Th1 après plusieurs cycles de vaccination. Elles secrètent aussi spécifiquement les chimiokines CCL-3 et CCL-4, qui jouent un rôle important dans l'attraction des cellules Τ CD8 à la surface des cellules présentatrices d'antigènes et contribuent ainsi à induire et former la mémoire cellulaire Τ CD8. Nous avons également remarqué une induction de fortes réponses humorales IgG après vaccination avec les VLPs, et que la composition des isotypes lgG1-lgG4 dépendait de l'adjuvant utilisé. Etant donné qu'une commutation de classe de la chaîne lourde dépend largement ùie l'aide des cellules Τ CD4, ce résultat suggère que l'adjuvant puisse influencer la différeritiation de cellules Τ CD4 en différent types, contribuant ainsi à la qualité et à la fonction des cellules Β et des cellules Τ CD8.La nature des processus d'inflammation dans le microenvironnement tumoral peut moduler la fonction des cellules Τ CD8. Une collaboration a été établie pour investiguer la régulation de l'activation de l'inflammasome dans des monocytes primaires humains. Nous avons identifié l'IL-4 et le TGF-β comme étant de puissants inhibiteurs de la sécrétion de IL-Ιβ, indiquant une certaine régulation de la réponse inflammatoire induite par les cellules Th2 et Τ régulatrices. Nous avons également trouvé une forte inhibition de l'activation de l'inflammasome par l'interféron type I, et nous avons démontré une inhibition in vivo de la réponse IL-1 β dans des monocytes de patients atteints d'une sclérose en plaque active sous traitement IFN-β. Ce résultat nous offre une possible explication du succès de cette thérapie, dont le mécanisme reste à ce jour encore largement obscur. Il est intéressant de noter que l'interféron de type I est également utilisé pour le traitement de patients atteints de mélanome cutané métastasique sans tumeurs. Bien que le bénéfice clinique de ce traitement reste controversé, des études récentes montrent qu'une partie des patients atteints de mélanome primaire ulcéré peut tirer bénéfice de cette thérapie. De futures investigations pourront mieux nous renseigner sur l'implication de l'inflammasome dans ce contexte et offrir de nouvelles stratégies pour améliorer les traitements adjuvants du mélanome.

Locating emergency services with priority rules: The priority queuing covering location problem

One of the assumptions of the Capacitated Facility Location Problem (CFLP) is thatdemand is known and fixed. Most often, this is not the case when managers take somestrategic decisions such as locating facilities and assigning demand points to thosefacilities. In this paper we consider demand as stochastic and we model each of thefacilities as an independent queue. Stochastic models of manufacturing systems anddeterministic location models are put together in order to obtain a formula for thebacklogging probability at a potential facility location.Several solution techniques have been proposed to solve the CFLP. One of the mostrecently proposed heuristics, a Reactive Greedy Adaptive Search Procedure, isimplemented in order to solve the model formulated. We present some computationalexperiments in order to evaluate the heuristics performance and to illustrate the use ofthis new formulation for the CFLP. The paper finishes with a simple simulationexercise.

Do agglomeration economies reduce the sensitivity of firm location to tax differentials?

Low corporate taxes can help attract new firms. This is the main mechanism underpinning the standard 'race-to-the-bottom'view of tax competition. A recent theoretical literature has qualified this view by formalizing the argument that agglomeration forces can reduce firms' sensitivity to tax differentials across locations. We test this proposition using data on firm startups across Swiss municipalities. We find that, on average, high corporate income taxes do deter new firms, but that this relationship is significantly weaker in the most spatially concentrated sectors. Location choices of firms in sectors with an agglomeration intensity at the twentieth percentile of the sample distribution are estimated to be twice as responsive to a given difference in local corporate tax burdens as firms in sectors with an agglomeration intensity at the eightieth percentile. Hence, our analysis confirms the theoretical prediction: agglomeration economies can neutralize the impact of tax differentials on firms' location choices.

Scale-dependent adaptive evolution and morphological convergence to climatic niche in Californian eriogonoids (Polygonaceae)

Aim Macroevolutionary patterns and processes change substantially depending on levels of taxonomic and ecological organization, and the resolution of environmental and spatial variability. In comparative methods, the resolution of environmental and spatial variability often defines the number of selective regimes used to test whether phenotypic characteristics are adaptively correlated with the environment. Here, we examine how investigator choice of the number of selective regimes, determined by varying the resolution of among-species variability in the species climatic niche (hereafter called ecological scale'), influences trait morphological diversification among Eriogonoideae species. We assess whether adaptive or neutral processes drive the evolution of several morphological traits in these species. Location South-western North America. Methods We applied a phylogenetic framework of three evolutionary models to four morphological traits and the climatic niches of Eriogonoideae (in the buckwheat family, Polygonaceae). We tested whether morphological traits evolve in relation to climate by adaptive or neutral process, and whether the resulting patterns of morphological variability are conserved or convergent across the clade. We inspected adaptive models of evolution under different levels of resolution of among-species variability of the climatic niche. Results We show that morphological traits and climate niches of Eriogonoideae species are not phylogenetically conserved. Further, adaptive evolution of phenotypic traits is specific to climatic niche occupancy across this clade. Finally, the likely evolutionary process and the level of detectable niche conservatism change depending on the resolution of environmental variability of the climatic niche. Main conclusions Our study demonstrates the need to consider both the resolution of environmental variability and alternative evolutionary models to understand the morphological diversification that accompanies divergent adaptive evolution of lineages to climatic conditions.