The role of the term spread in an augmented Taylor rule: An empirical investigation

Using US data for the period 1967:5-2002:4, this paper empirically investigates the performance of an augmented version of the Taylor rule (ATR) that (i) allows for the presence of switching regimes, (ii) considers the long-short term spread in addition to the typical variables, (iii) uses an alternative monthly indicator of general economic activity suggested by Stock and Watson (1999), and (iv) considers interest rate smoothing. The estimation results show the existence of switching regimes, one characterized by low volatility and the other by high volatility. Moreover, the scale of the responses of the Federal funds rate to movements in the term spread, inflation and the economic activity index depend on the regime. The estimation results also show robust empirical evidence that the ATR has been more stable during the term of office of Chairman Greenspan than in the pre-Greenspan period. However, a closer look at the Greenspan period shows the existence of two alternative regimes and that the response of the Fed funds rate to inflation has not been significant during this period once the term spread is considered.

利用自组装单分子层(SAM)研究细胞和表面的相互作用

研究细胞和表面相互作用具有重要意义 ,利用长链的烷硫醇在金表面或烷基硅烷在羟基化表面形成的自组装单分子层及其微格式化的表面允许以分子水平研究并控制细胞和表面的相互作用。我们概述了自组装单分子层及其格式化表面研究细胞和表面相互作用的最新进展

Harmful algal blooms in the PICES region of the North Pacific

Foreword Background and objectives [pdf, 0.84 MB] Country reviews and status reports Section I. Western North Pacific Japan Yasuwo Fukuyo, Ichiro Imai, Masaaki Kodama and Kyoichi Tamai Red tides and harmful algal blooms in Japan [pdf, 0.7 MB] People's Republic of China Tian Yan, Ming-Jiang Zhou and Jing-Zhong Zou A national report of HABs in China [pdf, 0.24 MB] Republic of Korea Sam Geun Lee, Hak Gyoon Kim, Eon Seob Cho and Chang Kyu Lee Harmful algal blooms (red tides): Management and mitigation in Korea [pdf, 0.27 MB] Russia Tatiana Y. Orlova, Galina V. Konovalova, Inna V. Stonik, Tatiana V. Morozova and Olga G. Shevchenko Harmful algal blooms on the eastern coast of Russia [pdf, 1.4 MB] Section II. Eastern North Pacific Canada F.J.R. "Max" Taylor and Paul J. Harrison Harmful marine algal blooms in western Canada [pdf, 0.87 MB] United States of America Vera L. Trainer Harmful algal blooms on the U.S. west coast [pdf, 0.5 MB] Mexico Jose L. Ochoa, S. Lluch-Cota, B.O. Arredondo-Vega, E. Nuñes-Vázquez, A. Heredia-Tapia, J. Pérez-Linares and R. Alonso-Rodriguez Marine Biotoxins and harmful algal blooms in Mexico's Pacific littora [pdf, 0.2 MB] Summary and conclusions [pdf, 0.6 MB] Appendices A. Members of the Working Group [pdf, 0.1 MB] B. Original terms of reference (Vladivostok, 1999) [pdf, 0.08 MB] C. Annual reports of WG 15 [pdf, 0.15 MB] D. Workshop report on taxonomy and identification of HAB species and data management [pdf, 0.15 MB] (Document pdf contains 156 pages)

源于G.I.Taylor工作的现代经典物理学

一位科学家的工作提供了一门完整课程的素材，涉及从流体动力学稳定性、湍流到流体电动力学、微生物的运动．

Rayleigh-Taylor不稳定的物理模型和数值模拟

界面不稳定是自然界和工业中流动的普遍现象。本文以Rayleigh-Taylor不稳定性为范例,说明基于物理思想的CFD方法在流动问题研究中的应用。为了确定自由面,以往的Lagrange坐标法、阵面跟踪法在界面发生大变形时都会失效。同时,因流动不稳定从层流发展到湍流要经历若干阶段。因此,如何追踪演化过程的界面变形和如何确定湍流模型是R-T不稳定性研究中的主要困难。本文将溶质浓度差异视为导致介质轻重不同的原因,在不稳定发展过程中发生对流和混合。我们提出采用被动标量的大涡模拟方法来模拟R-T不稳定。鉴于该物理模型考虑了流体粘性和物质扩散的影响,可以自动确定阵面,完整描述不稳定从线性小扰动阶段、经过非线性变形阶段、剪切不稳定阶段到湍流混合阶段,真实重现了现象的物理过程,所以更为优越。通过比较尖钉和气泡阵面前进速度和计算亚格子分量的份

La asignatura pendiente con Sam Weller

Santamaría, José Miguel; Pajares, Eterio; Olsen, Vickie; Merino, Raquel; Eguíluz, Federico (eds.)

Copia das proposiçoes, e secunda allegaçam, que o Doutor Francisco de Andrada Leitão Desembargador do Paço, do Conselho do Serenissimo Rey de Portugal, & seu Embaxador extraordinario aos Altos Senhores Ordens Geraes, & potentes Estados das Provincias unidas lhes presentou acerca da restituiçaõ da Cidade de S. Paulo de Loanda em Angola, & da Ilha, & Cidade de Sam Thome, acerca da Ilha, Cidade & districto do Maranham, & outros lugares, cidades, & fortalezas, Naos, & navios guerreados, usurpados, & tomados por os vassallos delles, despois do tratado da paz renovada com os ditos Senhores Ordens geraes em 14 de junho de 1642

As negociações entre Portugal e Holanda a respeito da devolução dos territórios portugueses ocupados se desenvolveram ao longo de um decênio. As propostas iniciais de Portugal referiam-se aos territórios ocupados pelos holandeses na África e no Maranhão. Estão nesse raríssimo folheto.

Influence of Rayleigh-Taylor Instability on Liquid Propellant Reorientation in a Low-Gravity Environment

A computational simulation is conducted to investigate the influence of Rayleigh-Taylor instability on liquid propellant reorientation flow dynamics for the tank of CZ-3A launch vehicle series fuel tanks in a low-gravity environment. The volume-of-fluid (VOF) method is used to simulate the free surface flow of gas-liquid. The process of the liquid propellant reorientation started from initially flat and curved interfaces are numerically studied. These two different initial conditions of the gas-liquid interface result in two modes of liquid flow. It is found that the Rayleigh-Taylor instability can be reduced evidently at the initial gas-liquid interface with a high curve during the process of liquid reorientation in a low-gravity environment.

Modified formula of Malus' law for Glan-Taylor polarizing prisms

A simple three-axis model has been developed, which has been successfully applied to the analysis of the light transmittance in spatial incident angle and the simulation of modified formula of Malus' law for Glan-Taylor prisms. Our results indicate that the fluctuations on the cosine squared curve are due to specific misalignments between the axis of the optical system, the optical axis of the prism and the mechanical axis (rotation axis) of prism, which results in the fact that different initial relative location of the to-be-measured-prism in the testing system corresponds to different shape of Malus' law curve. Methods to get absolutely smooth curve are proposed. This analysis is available for other kinds of Glan-type prisms. (C) 2004 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.