Recovery of Sleep or Recovery of Self? A Grounded Theory Study of Residents’ Decision Making Regarding How to Spend Their Nonclinical Postcall Time

Purpose: As resident work hours policies evolve, residents’ off-duty time remains poorly understood. Despite assumptions about how residents should be using their postcall, off-duty time, there is little research on how residents actually use this time and the reasoning underpinning their activities. This study sought to understand residents’ nonclinical postcall activities when they leave the hospital, their decision-making processes, and their perspectives on the relationship between these activities and their well-being or recovery.

Method: The study took place at a Liaison Committee on Medical Education–accredited Canadian medical school from 2012 to 2014. The authors recruited a purposive and convenience sample of postgraduate year 1–5 residents from six surgical and nonsurgical specialties at three hospitals affiliated with the medical school. Using a constructivist grounded theory approach, semistructured interviews were conducted, audio-taped, transcribed, anonymized, and combined with field notes. The authors analyzed interview transcripts using constant comparative analysis and performed post hoc member checking.

Results: Twenty-four residents participated. Residents characterized their predominant approach to postcall decision making as one of making trade-offs between multiple, competing, seemingly incompatible, but equally valuable, activities. Participants exhibited two different trade-off orientations: being oriented toward maintaining a normal life or toward mitigating fatigue.

Conclusions: The authors’ findings on residents’ trade-off orientations suggest a dual recovery model with postcall trade-offs motivated by the recovery of sleep or of self. This model challenges the dominant viewpoint in the current duty hours literature and suggests that the duty hours discussion must be broadened to include other recovery processes.

Compact Routing Messages in Self-Healing Trees

Existing compact routing schemes, e.g., Thorup and Zwick [SPAA 2001] and Chechik [PODC 2013], often have no means to tolerate failures, once the system has been setup and started. This paper presents, to our knowledge, the first self-healing compact routing scheme. Besides, our schemes are developed for low memory nodes, i.e., nodes need only O(log2 n) memory, and are thus, compact schemes.
We introduce two algorithms of independent interest: The first is CompactFT, a novel compact version (using only O(log n) local memory) of the self-healing algorithm Forgiving Tree of Hayes et al. [PODC 2008]. The second algorithm (CompactFTZ) combines CompactFT with Thorup-Zwick’s treebased compact routing scheme [SPAA 2001] to produce a fully compact self-healing routing scheme. In the self-healing model, the adversary deletes nodes one at a time with the affected nodes self-healing locally by adding few edges. CompactFT recovers from each attack in only O(1) time and ∆ messages, with only +3 degree increase and O(log∆) graph diameter increase, over any sequence of deletions (∆ is the initial maximum degree).
Additionally, CompactFTZ guarantees delivery of a packet sent from sender s as long as the receiver has not been deleted, with only an additional O(y log ∆) latency, where y is the number of nodes that have been deleted on the path between s and t. If t has been deleted, s gets informed and the packet removed from the network.

Contributos para a análise estatística de séries de contagem

A análise das séries temporais de valores inteiros tornou-se, nos últimos anos, uma área de investigação importante, não só devido à sua aplicação a dados de contagem provenientes de diversos campos da ciência, mas também pelo facto de ser uma área pouco explorada, em contraste com a análise séries temporais de valores contínuos. Uma classe que tem obtido especial relevo é a dos modelos baseados no operador binomial thinning, da qual se destaca o modelo auto-regressivo de valores inteiros de ordem p. Esta classe é muito vasta, pelo que este trabalho tem como objectivo dar um contributo para a análise estatística de processos de contagem que lhe pertencem. Esta análise é realizada do ponto de vista da predição de acontecimentos, aos quais estão associados mecanismos de alarme, e também da introdução de novos modelos que se baseiam no referido operador. Em muitos fenómenos descritos por processos estocásticos a implementação de um sistema de alarmes pode ser fundamental para prever a ocorrência de um acontecimento futuro. Neste trabalho abordam-se, nas perspectivas clássica e bayesiana, os sistemas de alarme óptimos para processos de contagem, cujos parâmetros dependem de covariáveis de interesse e que variam no tempo, mais concretamente para o modelo auto-regressivo de valores inteiros não negativos com coeficientes estocásticos, DSINAR(1). A introdução de novos modelos que pertencem à classe dos modelos baseados no operador binomial thinning é feita quando se propõem os modelos PINAR(1)T e o modelo SETINAR(2;1). O modelo PINAR(1)T tem estrutura periódica, cujas inovações são uma sucessão periódica de variáveis aleatórias independentes com distribuição de Poisson, o qual foi estudado com detalhe ao nível das suas propriedades probabilísticas, métodos de estimação e previsão. O modelo SETINAR(2;1) é um processo auto-regressivo de valores inteiros, definido por limiares auto-induzidos e cujas inovações formam uma sucessão de variáveis independentes e identicamente distribuídas com distribuição de Poisson. Para este modelo estudam-se as suas propriedades probabilísticas e métodos para estimar os seus parâmetros. Para cada modelo introduzido, foram realizados estudos de simulação para comparar os métodos de estimação que foram usados.

Modelos autoregressivos por limiares em séries de contagem

A modelação e análise de séries temporais de valores inteiros têm sido alvo de grande investigação e desenvolvimento nos últimos anos, com aplicações várias em diversas áreas da ciência. Nesta tese a atenção centrar-se-á no estudo na classe de modelos basedos no operador thinning binomial. Tendo como base o operador thinning binomial, esta tese focou-se na construção e estudo de modelos SETINAR(2; p(1); p(2)) e PSETINAR(2; 1; 1)T , modelos autorregressivos de valores inteiros com limiares autoinduzidos e dois regimes, admitindo que as inovações formam uma sucessão de variáveis independentes com distribuição de Poisson. Relativamente ao primeiro modelo analisado, o modelo SETINAR(2; p(1); p(2)), além do estudo das suas propriedades probabilísticas e de métodos, clássicos e bayesianos, para estimar os parâmetros, analisou-se a questão da seleção das ordens, no caso de elas serem desconhecidas. Com este objetivo consideraram-se algoritmos de Monte Carlo via cadeias de Markov, em particular o algoritmo Reversible Jump, abordando-se também o problema da seleção de modelos, usando metodologias clássica e bayesiana. Complementou-se a análise através de um estudo de simulação e uma aplicação a dois conjuntos de dados reais. O modelo PSETINAR(2; 1; 1)T proposto, é também um modelo autorregressivo com limiares autoinduzidos e dois regimes, de ordem unitária em cada um deles, mas apresentando uma estrutura periódica. Estudaram-se as suas propriedades probabilísticas, analisaram-se os problemas de inferência e predição de futuras observações e realizaram-se estudos de simulação.

Can we explain the dynamics of the UK FTSE 100 stock and stock index futures markets?

If stock and stock index futures markets are functioning properly price movements in these markets should best be described by a first order vector error correction model with the error correction term being the price differential between the two markets (the basis). Recent evidence suggests that there are more dynamics present than should be in effectively functioning markets. Using self-exciting threshold autoregressive (SETAR) models, this study analyses whether such dynamics can be related to different regimes within which the basis can fluctuate in a predictable manner without triggering arbitrage. These findings reveal that the basis shows strong evidence of autoregressive behaviour when its value is between the two thresholds but that the extra dynamics disappear once the basis moves above the upper threshold and their persistence is reduced, although not eradicated, once the basis moves below the lower threshold. This suggests that once nonlinearity associated with transactions costs is accounted for, stock and stock index futures markets function more effectively than is suggested by linear models of the pricing relationship.

Property company performance and real interest rates: a regime-switching approach

Linear models of property market performance may be misspecified if there exist distinct states where the market drivers behave in different ways. This paper examines the applicability of non-linear regime-based models. A Self Exciting Threshold Autoregressive (SETAR) model is applied to property company share data, using the real rate of interest to define regimes. Distinct regimes appear exhibiting markedly different market behaviour. The model both casts doubt on the specification of conventional linear models and offers the possibility of developing effective trading rules for real estate equities.

On SETAR non-linearity and forecasting

We compare linear autoregressive (AR) models and self-exciting threshold autoregressive (SETAR) models in terms of their point forecast performance, and their ability to characterize the uncertainty surrounding those forecasts, i.e. interval or density forecasts. A two-regime SETAR process is used as the data-generating process in an extensive set of Monte Carlo simulations, and we consider the discriminatory power of recently developed methods of forecast evaluation for different degrees of non-linearity. We find that the interval and density evaluation methods are unlikely to show the linear model to be deficient on samples of the size typical for macroeconomic data

Duality between non-commutative Yang-Mills-Chem-Simons and non-Abelian self-dual models

By introducing an appropriate parent action and considering a perturbative approach, we establish, up to fourth order terms in the field and for the full range of the coupling constant, the equivalence between the non-commutative Yang-Mills-ChernSimons theory and the non-commutative, non-Abelian self-dual model. In doing this, we consider two different approaches by using both the Moyal star-product and the Seiberg-Witten map. (C) 2003 Elsevier B.V. B.V. All rights reserved.

Analog Model for Quantum Gravity Effects: Phonons in Random Fluids

Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)

Centroamérica: efecto de la integración con Estados Unidos sobre el mercado regional del maíz. Un análisis espacial de precios

Incluye Bibliografía

Organization model for mobile wireless sensor networks inspired in artificial bee colony

Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (FAPESP)

Structure and properties of nanostructures from polyelectrolytes and porphyrins: Self-Assembly in aqueous solution

In this work self-assembling model systems in aqueous solution were studied. The systems contained charged polymers, polyelectrolytes, that were combined with oppositely charged counterions to build up supramolecular structures. With imaging, scattering and spectroscopic techniques it was investigated how the structure of building units influences the structure of their assemblies. Polyelectrolytes with different chemical structure, molecular weight and morphology were investigated. In addition to linear polyelectrolytes, semi-flexible cylindrical bottle-brush polymers that possess a defined cross-section and a relatively high persistence along the backbone were studied. The polyelectrolytes were combined with structural organic counterions having charge numbers one to four. Especially the self-assembly of polyelectrolytes with different tetravalent water-soluble porphyrins was studied. Porphyrins have a rigid aromatic structure that has a structural effect on their self-assembly behavior and through which porphyrins are capable of self-aggregation via π-π interaction. The main focus of the thesis is the self-assembly of cylindrical bottle-brush polyelectrolytes with tetravalent porphyrins. It was shown that the addition of porphyrins to oppositely charged brush molecules induces a hierarchical formation of stable nanoscale brush-porphyrin networks. The networks can be disconnected by addition of salt and single porphyrin-decoratedrncylindrical brush polymers are obtained. These two new morphologies, brush-porphyrin networks and porphyrin-decorated brush polymers, may have potential as functional materials with interesting mechanical and optical properties.

Towards a more effective model for distance education

What is the most effective model for academic distance education, given that drop-out numbers in traditional distance education institutions are too high and the demands from the various stakeholders are changing? In this paper this question is answered from the perspective of the Open University of the Netherlands (OUNL). The OUNL has planned to redesign its educational model from the traditional guided self-study model towards a model of active online learning. In essence this means that education will be less content driven; more focus is put on activating students to engage with real world problems supported by tutors and peers using distance media. The drivers for change, the change process and the resulting redesign of the educational model are presented in this paper.

Motor ability and self-esteem: The mediating role of physical self-concept and perceived social acceptance

Objectives: One important issue in sport and exercise psychology is to determine to what extent sports and exercise can help to increase self-esteem, and what the underlying mechanism might be. Based on the exercise and self-esteem model (EXSEM) and on findings from the sociometer theory, the mediating effect of physical self-concept and perceived social acceptance on the longitudinal relationship between motor ability and self-esteem was investigated. Design: Longitudinal study with three waves of data collection at intervals of ten weeks each. Method: 428 adolescents (46.3 % girls, mean age = 11.9, SD = .55) participated in the study, in which they performed three motor ability tests and completed paper-and-pencil questionnaires for physical self-concept and perceived social acceptance, as well as for self-esteem, at all three measuring points. Results: Using structural equation modelling procedures, the multiple mediation model revealed both physical self-concept and perceived social acceptance to be mediators between motor ability and self-esteem in the case of boys. In girls, on the other hand, the mediation between motor ability and self-esteem only takes place via physical self-concept. Conclusions: Gender differences in the relationship between motor ability and self-esteem suggest gender-specific interventions aimed at promoting self-concept.

Simulation Model of Benthic Antarctic Assemblages (SIMBAA), link to PC-executable

SIMBAA is a spatially explicit, individual-based simulation model. It was developed to analyse the response of populations of Antarctic benthic species and their diversity to iceberg scouring. This disturbance is causing a high local mortality providing potential space for new colonisation. Traits can be attributed to model species, e.g. in terms of reproduction, dispersal, and life span. Physical disturbances can be designed in space and time, e.g. in terms of size, shape, and frequency. Environmental heterogeneity can be considered by cell-specific capacities to host a certain number of individuals. When grid cells become empty (after a disturbance event or due to natural mortality of of an individual), a lottery decides which individual from which species stored in a pool of candidates (for this cell) will recruit in that cell. After a defined period the individuals become mature and their offspring are dispersed and stored in the pool of candidates. The biological parameters and disturbance regimes decide on how long an individual lives. Temporal development of single populations of species as well as Shannon diversity are depicted in the main window graphically and primary values are listed. Examples for simulations can be loaded and saved as sgf-files. The results are also shown in an additional window in a dimensionless area with 50 x 50 cells, which contain single individuals depicted as circles; their colour indicates the assignment to the self-designed model species and the size represents their age. Dominant species per cell and disturbed areas can also be depicted. Output of simulation runs can be saved as images, which can be assembled to video-clips by standard computer programs (see GIF-examples of which "Demo 1" represents the response of the Antarctic benthos to iceberg scouring and "Demo 2" represents a simulation of a deep-sea benthic habitat).