Spatial Planning Measures for the Enhancement of Urban Resilience Against Flooding Risk

Dentro del campo de la ciudad como lugar se analiza el concepto de planificación territorial y planeamiento espacial. Flooding is one of the main risks associated to many urban settlements in Spain and, indeed, elsewhere. The location of cities has traditionally ignored this type of risk as other locational criteria prevailed (communications, crop yields, etc.). Defence engineering has been the customary way to offset the risk but, nowadays, the opportunity costs of engineering works in urban areas has highlighted the interest of “soft measures” based on prevention. Early warning systems plus development planning controls rank among the most favoured ones. This paper reflects the results of a recent EU-financed research project on alternative measures geared to the enhancement of urban resilience against flooding. A city study in Spain is used as example of those measures.

Pathways towards the integration of periurban agrarian ecosystems into the spatial planning system

The potential of periurban agrarian ecosystems is recognized as one of the cornerstones for improving urban sustainability; however, this potential has been disregarded in spatial planning and decision making. The main goal of the PAEc-SP project was to assess the feasibility of integrating periurban agricultural areas into spatial planning by developing a viable ecosystem services-based methodology

Data to Decision in a Dynamic Ocean: Robust Species Distribution Models and Spatial Decision Frameworks

Human use of the oceans is increasingly in conflict with conservation of endangered species. Methods for managing the spatial and temporal placement of industries such as military, fishing, transportation and offshore energy, have historically been post hoc; i.e. the time and place of human activity is often already determined before assessment of environmental impacts. In this dissertation, I build robust species distribution models in two case study areas, US Atlantic (Best et al. 2012) and British Columbia (Best et al. 2015), predicting presence and abundance respectively, from scientific surveys. These models are then applied to novel decision frameworks for preemptively suggesting optimal placement of human activities in space and time to minimize ecological impacts: siting for offshore wind energy development, and routing ships to minimize risk of striking whales. Both decision frameworks relate the tradeoff between conservation risk and industry profit with synchronized variable and map views as online spatial decision support systems.

For siting offshore wind energy development (OWED) in the U.S. Atlantic (chapter 4), bird density maps are combined across species with weights of OWED sensitivity to collision and displacement and 10 km2 sites are compared against OWED profitability based on average annual wind speed at 90m hub heights and distance to transmission grid. A spatial decision support system enables toggling between the map and tradeoff plot views by site. A selected site can be inspected for sensitivity to a cetaceans throughout the year, so as to capture months of the year which minimize episodic impacts of pre-operational activities such as seismic airgun surveying and pile driving.

Routing ships to avoid whale strikes (chapter 5) can be similarly viewed as a tradeoff, but is a different problem spatially. A cumulative cost surface is generated from density surface maps and conservation status of cetaceans, before applying as a resistance surface to calculate least-cost routes between start and end locations, i.e. ports and entrance locations to study areas. Varying a multiplier to the cost surface enables calculation of multiple routes with different costs to conservation of cetaceans versus cost to transportation industry, measured as distance. Similar to the siting chapter, a spatial decisions support system enables toggling between the map and tradeoff plot view of proposed routes. The user can also input arbitrary start and end locations to calculate the tradeoff on the fly.

Essential to the input of these decision frameworks are distributions of the species. The two preceding chapters comprise species distribution models from two case study areas, U.S. Atlantic (chapter 2) and British Columbia (chapter 3), predicting presence and density, respectively. Although density is preferred to estimate potential biological removal, per Marine Mammal Protection Act requirements in the U.S., all the necessary parameters, especially distance and angle of observation, are less readily available across publicly mined datasets.

In the case of predicting cetacean presence in the U.S. Atlantic (chapter 2), I extracted datasets from the online OBIS-SEAMAP geo-database, and integrated scientific surveys conducted by ship (n=36) and aircraft (n=16), weighting a Generalized Additive Model by minutes surveyed within space-time grid cells to harmonize effort between the two survey platforms. For each of 16 cetacean species guilds, I predicted the probability of occurrence from static environmental variables (water depth, distance to shore, distance to continental shelf break) and time-varying conditions (monthly sea-surface temperature). To generate maps of presence vs. absence, Receiver Operator Characteristic (ROC) curves were used to define the optimal threshold that minimizes false positive and false negative error rates. I integrated model outputs, including tables (species in guilds, input surveys) and plots (fit of environmental variables, ROC curve), into an online spatial decision support system, allowing for easy navigation of models by taxon, region, season, and data provider.

For predicting cetacean density within the inner waters of British Columbia (chapter 3), I calculated density from systematic, line-transect marine mammal surveys over multiple years and seasons (summer 2004, 2005, 2008, and spring/autumn 2007) conducted by Raincoast Conservation Foundation. Abundance estimates were calculated using two different methods: Conventional Distance Sampling (CDS) and Density Surface Modelling (DSM). CDS generates a single density estimate for each stratum, whereas DSM explicitly models spatial variation and offers potential for greater precision by incorporating environmental predictors. Although DSM yields a more relevant product for the purposes of marine spatial planning, CDS has proven to be useful in cases where there are fewer observations available for seasonal and inter-annual comparison, particularly for the scarcely observed elephant seal. Abundance estimates are provided on a stratum-specific basis. Steller sea lions and harbour seals are further differentiated by ‘hauled out’ and ‘in water’. This analysis updates previous estimates (Williams & Thomas 2007) by including additional years of effort, providing greater spatial precision with the DSM method over CDS, novel reporting for spring and autumn seasons (rather than summer alone), and providing new abundance estimates for Steller sea lion and northern elephant seal. In addition to providing a baseline of marine mammal abundance and distribution, against which future changes can be compared, this information offers the opportunity to assess the risks posed to marine mammals by existing and emerging threats, such as fisheries bycatch, ship strikes, and increased oil spill and ocean noise issues associated with increases of container ship and oil tanker traffic in British Columbia’s continental shelf waters.

Starting with marine animal observations at specific coordinates and times, I combine these data with environmental data, often satellite derived, to produce seascape predictions generalizable in space and time. These habitat-based models enable prediction of encounter rates and, in the case of density surface models, abundance that can then be applied to management scenarios. Specific human activities, OWED and shipping, are then compared within a tradeoff decision support framework, enabling interchangeable map and tradeoff plot views. These products make complex processes transparent for gaming conservation, industry and stakeholders towards optimal marine spatial management, fundamental to the tenets of marine spatial planning, ecosystem-based management and dynamic ocean management.

Evaluating conservation and fisheries management strategies by linking spatial prioritization software and ecosystem and fisheries modelling tools

Well-designed marine protected area (MPA) networks can deliver a range of ecological, economic and social benefits, and so a great deal of research has focused on developing spatial conservation prioritization tools to help identify important areas. However, whilst these software tools are designed to identify MPA networks that both represent biodiversity and minimize impacts on stakeholders, they do not consider complex ecological processes. Thus, it is difficult to determine the impacts that proposed MPAs could have on marine ecosystem health, fisheries and fisheries sustainability. Using the eastern English Channel as a case study, this paper explores an approach to address these issues by identifying a series of MPA networks using the Marxan and Marxan with Zones conservation planning software and linking them with a spatially explicit ecosystem model developed in Ecopath with Ecosim. We then use these to investigate potential trade-offs associated with adopting different MPA management strategies. Limited-take MPAs, which restrict the use of some fishing gears, could have positive benefits for conservation and fisheries in the eastern English Channel, even though they generally receive far less attention in research on MPA network design. Our findings, however, also clearly indicate that no-take MPAs should form an integral component of proposed MPA networks in the eastern English Channel, as they not only result in substantial increases in ecosystem biomass, fisheries catches and the biomass of commercially valuable target species, but are fundamental to maintaining the sustainability of the fisheries. Synthesis and applications. Using the existing software tools Marxan with Zones and Ecopath with Ecosim in combination provides a powerful policy-screening approach. This could help inform marine spatial planning by identifying potential conflicts and by designing new regulations that better balance conservation objectives and stakeholder interests. In addition, it highlights that appropriate combinations of no-take and limited-take marine protected areas might be the most effective when making trade-offs between long-term ecological benefits and short-term political acceptability.

Planeamento espacial marinho das áreas marinhas protegidas: o caso de estudo da ára protegida de gestão de recursos: Caloura - ilhéu de Vila Franca do Campo

Tese de Doutoramento, Ciências do Mar (Ecologia Marinha), 26 de Novembro de 2013, Universidade dos Açores.

Hydrodynamic induced by an array of wave energy converters. Experimental and numerical analysis

The thesis analyses the hydrodynamic induced by an array of Wave energy Converters (WECs), under an experimental and numerical point of view. WECs can be considered an innovative solution able to contribute to the green energy supply and –at the same time– to protect the rear coastal area under marine spatial planning considerations. This research activity essentially rises due to this combined concept. The WEC under exam is a floating device belonging to the Wave Activated Bodies (WAB) class. Experimental data were performed at Aalborg University in different scales and layouts, and the performance of the models was analysed under a variety of irregular wave attacks. The numerical simulations performed with the codes MIKE 21 BW and ANSYS-AQWA. Experimental results were also used to calibrate the numerical parameters and/or to directly been compared to numerical results, in order to extend the experimental database. Results of the research activity are summarized in terms of device performance and guidelines for a future wave farm installation. The device length should be “tuned” based on the local climate conditions. The wave transmission behind the devices is pretty high, suggesting that the tested layout should be considered as a module of a wave farm installation. Indications on the minimum inter-distance among the devices are provided. Furthermore, a CALM mooring system leads to lower wave transmission and also larger power production than a spread mooring. The two numerical codes have different potentialities. The hydrodynamics around single and multiple devices is obtained with MIKE 21 BW, while wave loads and motions for a single moored device are derived from ANSYS-AQWA. Combining the experimental and numerical it is suggested –for both coastal protection and energy production– to adopt a staggered layout, which will maximise the devices density and minimize the marine space required for the installation.

Mapped cetacean habitat suitability and richness in the Azores, links to ArcGIS files

Marine spatial planning and ecological research call for high-resolution species distribution data. However, those data are still not available for most marine large vertebrates. The dynamic nature of oceanographic processes and the wide-ranging behavior of many marine vertebrates create further difficulties, as distribution data must incorporate both the spatial and temporal dimensions. Cetaceans play an essential role in structuring and maintaining marine ecosystems and face increasing threats from human activities. The Azores holds a high diversity of cetaceans but the information about spatial and temporal patterns of distribution for this marine megafauna group in the region is still very limited. To tackle this issue, we created monthly predictive cetacean distribution maps for spring and summer months, using data collected by the Azores Fisheries Observer Programme between 2004 and 2009. We then combined the individual predictive maps to obtain species richness maps for the same period. Our results reflect a great heterogeneity in distribution among species and within species among different months. This heterogeneity reflects a contrasting influence of oceanographic processes on the distribution of cetacean species. However, some persistent areas of increased species richness could also be identified from our results. We argue that policies aimed at effectively protecting cetaceans and their habitats must include the principle of dynamic ocean management coupled with other area-based management such as marine spatial planning.

Environmental Impacts of the Deep-Water Oil and Gas Industry : A Review to Guide Management Strategies

The authors would like to thank the leadership of the Deep Ocean Stewardship Initiative (DOSI), including Lisa Levin, Maria Baker, and Kristina Gjerde, for their support in developing this review. This work evolved from a meeting of the DOSI Oil and Gas working group supported by the J.M. Kaplan Fund, and associated with the Deep-Sea Biology Symposium in Aveiro, Portugal in September 2015. The members of the Oil and Gas working group that contributed to our discussions at that meeting or through the listserve are acknowledged for their contributions to this work. We would also like to thank the three reviewers and the editor who provided valuable comments and insight into the work presented here. DJ and AD were supported by funding from the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under the MERCES (Marine Ecosystem Restoration in Changing European Seas) project, grant agreement No 689518. AB was supported by CNPq grants 301412/2013-8 and 200504/2015-0. LH acknowledges funding provided by a Natural Environment Research Council grant (NE/L008181/1). This output reflects only the authors' views and the funders cannot be held responsible for any use that may be made of the information contained therein.

Shipping noise in a dynamic sea: a case study of grey seals in the Celtic Sea

Shipping noise is a threat to marine wildlife. Grey seals are benthic foragers, and thus experience acoustic noise throughout the water column, which makes them a good model species for a case study of the potential impacts of shipping noise. We used ship track data from the Celtic Sea, seal track data and a coupled ocean-acoustic modelling system to assess the noise exposure of grey seals along their tracks. It was found that the animals experience step changes in sound levels up to ~20dB at a frequency of 125Hz, and ~10dB on average over 10-1000Hz when they dive through the thermocline, particularly during summer. Our results showed large seasonal differences in the noise level experienced by the seals. These results reveal the actual noise exposure by the animals and could help in marine spatial planning.

Bancos de pesca de cerco e da pequena pesca costeira do sotavento Algarvio

A exploração sustentável dos recursos marinhos da costa portuguesa tem sido de forma crescente colocada em causa devido a diversos factores, designadamente pelo aumento do esforço da pesca, conduzindo a uma grande preocupação na sua gestão. A prespectiva relacionada com o surgimento e crescimento de outras actividades de exploração dos recursos do mar na região vem aumentar ainda mais essa preocupação. Nesse contexto, novos desafios surgiram, particularmente no âmbito da gestão e planeamento espacial (Planeamento Espacial Marítimo / Marine Spatial Planning). De facto, com o aumento de diversas actividades no mar, designadamente das aquaculturas em mar aberto (offshore) e das armações de atum, a gestão espacial encontra-se cada vez mais na ordem do dia, articularmente na costa algarvia. Estes factos, associados com a real competição por espaço entre as diferentes frotas, foram os principais motivadores e impulsionadores para a execução do presente projecto. Este estudo encontra-se integrado no projecto “Mapeamento de bancos de pesca do Sotavento algarvio (Pescamap Sotavento) do Programa Operacional Pesca 2007-2013 (Promar) e vem no seguimento de outro projecto similar realizado para a zona costeira do Barlavento algarvio (Bancos de pesca do Cerco e da Pequena Pesca Costeira do Barlavento Algarvio). Ambos foram co-financiados pelo Fundo Europeu das Pescas (FEP) e contaram com os apoios institucionais, no Sotavento, da Associação de Armadores do Porto da Fuzeta (APPF) e da Organização de Produtores de Pescado Algarve (OLHÃOPESCAS).

Biodiversidade marinha do sublitoral entre a ponta da piedade e a praia do barranco

A sustentabilidade dos recursos marinhos da costa portuguesa tem sido de forma crescente posta em causa devido a variados factores, nomeadamente pelo aumento do esforço da pesca, com consequência na redução de alguns mananciais (e.g. pescada, lagostim), conduzindo a uma grande apreensão no que concerne à sua gestão. Por outro lado, novos desafios têm surgido na última década, sobretudo no contexto da gestão espacial (Planeamento Espacial Marítimo / Marine Spatial Planning), com particular evidência na costa algarvia. Devido ao aumento das actividades no mar, aquaculturas em mar aberto, armações de atum, áreas de reserva de areia (manchas de empréstimo) e zonas de fundeio, mas também devido às disputas entre as diferentes frotas pesqueiras, a gestão espacial tem estado cada vez mais na ordem do dia. Estes factos foram em grande medida os principais motivadores e impulsionadores para a execução do presente projecto. O presente estudo encontra-se integrado no projecto “Mapeamento de bancos de pesca algarvios PescaMap) do Programa Operacional Pesca 2007-2013 (Promar), co-financiado pelo Fundo Europeu das Pescas (FEP). O projecto contou com os apoios institucionais da Cooperativa dos Armadores de Pesca do Barlavento CRL (BarlaPescas), da Docapesca, Marina de Lagos, da Associação dos Pescadores do Portinho da Arrifana e Costa Vicentina (APPACV) e da Câmara Municipal de Aljezur.

Bancos de pesca do cerco e da pequena pesca costeira do barlavento Algarvio

A sustentabilidade dos recursos marinhos da costa portuguesa tem sido de forma crescente posta em causa devido a variados factores, nomeadamente pelo aumento do esforço da pesca, com consequência na redução de alguns mananciais (e.g. sardinha, pescada, lagostim), conduzindo à grande apreensão no que concerne à sua gestão. Por outro lado, novos desafios têm surgido na última década, sobretudo no contexto da gestão espacial (Planeamento Espacial Marítimo / Marine Spatial Planning), com particular evidência na costa algarvia. Devido ao aumento das actividades no mar, aquaculturas em mar aberto, armações de atum, áreas de reserva de areia e zonas de fundeio, mas também devido às disputas entre as diferentes frotas, a gestão espacial tem estado cada vez mais na ordem do dia. Estes factos foram em grande medida os principais motivadores e impulsionadores para a execução do presente projecto. O presente estudo encontra-se integrado no projecto “Mapeamento de bancos de pesca algarvios (PescaMap) do Programa Operacional Pesca 2007-2013 (Promar), co-financiado pelo Fundo Europeu das Pescas (FEP). O projecto contou com os apoios institucionais da Cooperativa dos Armadores de Pesca do Barlavento CRL (BarlaPescas) e da Câmara Municipal de Aljezur.

Biodiversidade marinha do sublitoral da Arrifana

A sustentabilidade dos recursos marinhos da costa portuguesa tem sido posta em causa de forma crescente devido a variados factores, nomeadamente pelo aumento do esforço da pesca, com consequência na redução de alguns mananciais (por ex. a sardinha ou a pescada), conduzindo a uma grande apreensão na sua gestão. Por outro lado, novos desafios têm surgido na última década, sobretudo no contexto da gestão espacial maritima (Marine Spatial Planning), com particular evidência na costa algarvia. Efectivamente, nesta zona, devido ao aumento das actividades das aquaculturas de mar aberto ou “offshores” e das armações de atum, mas também devido às disputas habituais entre as diferentes frotas, a gestão espacial tem estado cada vez mais na ordem do dia. Estes factos foram em grande medida os principais motivadores e impulsionadores para a execução do presente trabalho. O presente estudo encontra-se integrado no projecto “Mapeamento de bancos de pesca algarvios (PescaMap) do Programa Operacional Pesca 2007-2013 (Promar), co-financiado pelo Fundo Europeu das Pescas (FEP). O projecto conta com os apoios institucionais das câmaras dos oito concelhos do Barlavento algarvio (Vila do Bispo, Aljezur, Lagos, Monchique, Portimão, Lagoa, Silves e Albufeira) e da Cooperativa dos Armadores de Pesca do Barlavento CRL (BarlaPescas). O projecto teve em primeiro lugar como principal propósito, produzir mapas dos principais bancos de pesca da frota do cerco e da frota artesanal. Em segundo lugar, o grupo de investigação do CCMAR comprometeu-se a inventariar a biodiversidade marinha de duas importantes zonas subtidais da costa Algarvia, ambas localizadas no Parque Marinho do Sudoeste Alentejano e Costa Vicentina: uma na costa ocidental que incluiu as Pedras da Agulha e da Carraça e a costa norte adjacente à Praia da Arrifana (concelho de Aljezur) e outra na costa sul, entre a ponta da Piedade e a praia do Barranco (concelhos de Lagos e de Vila do Bispo).