Does childhood bullying lead to the development of psychotic symptoms? A meta-analysis and review of prospective studies

Purpose: Researchers have demonstrated associations between trauma and psychosis. Childhood trauma, in particular, appears to be an important determinant. Recently, bullying has become considered a traumatic experience in its own right. This review aims to analyse research with prospective designs, which will enable conclusions about whether or not bullying causes psychosis.

Methods: A systematic review of the literature was carried out independently by two reviewers. Eligibility and quality assessment criteria were applied. A meta-analysis and narrative synthesis were then completed.

Results: Ten studies met inclusion criteria. Four used data from the same large database, and were combined as one. The majority provided confirmation that bullying appears to cause later development of psychosis. A meta-analysis yielded an unadjusted odds ratio (OR) of 2.148 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.140–4.044].

Conclusions: The studies reviewed here suggest that bullying does predict the later development of psychotic symptoms. What is lacking from the literature is adequate investigation into other potential mediating factors. The current review highlights the significant role of bullying within this complex interaction. Potential mediating variables are explored, including a dose–response effect for the severity and frequency of victimization. Suggestions for targeting intervention are also suggested alongside clinical implications and recommendations for future research.

Diffusion coefficients in dense and supercritical fluids

Os coeficientes de difusão (D 12) são propriedades fundamentais na investigação e na indústria, mas a falta de dados experimentais e a inexistência de equações que os estimem com precisão e confiança em fases comprimidas ou condensadas constituem limitações importantes. Os objetivos principais deste trabalho compreendem: i) a compilação de uma grande base de dados para valores de D 12 de sistemas gasosos, líquidos e supercríticos; ii) o desenvolvimento e validação de novos modelos de coeficientes de difusão a diluição infinita, aplicáveis em amplas gamas de temperatura e densidade, para sistemas contendo componentes muito distintos em termos de polaridade, tamanho e simetria; iii) a montagem e teste de uma instalação experimental para medir coeficientes de difusão em líquidos e fluidos supercríticos. Relativamente à modelação, uma nova expressão para coeficientes de difusão a diluição infinita de esferas rígidas foi desenvolvida e validada usando dados de dinâmica molecular (desvio relativo absoluto médio, AARD = 4.44%) Foram também estudados os coeficientes de difusão binários de sistemas reais. Para tal, foi compilada uma extensa base de dados de difusividades de sistemas reais em gases e solventes densos (622 sistemas binários num total de 9407 pontos experimentais e 358 moléculas) e a mesma foi usada na validação dos novos modelos desenvolvidos nesta tese. Um conjunto de novos modelos foi proposto para o cálculo de coeficientes de difusão a diluição infinita usando diferentes abordagens: i) dois modelos de base molecular com um parâmetro específico para cada sistema, aplicáveis em sistemas gasosos, líquidos e supercríticos, em que natureza do solvente se encontra limitada a apolar ou fracamente polar (AARDs globais na gama 4.26-4.40%); ii) dois modelos de base molecular biparamétricos, aplicáveis em todos os estados físicos, para qualquer tipo de soluto diluído em qualquer solvente (apolar, fracamente polar e polar). Ambos os modelos dão origem a erros globais entre 2.74% e 3.65%; iii) uma correlação com um parâmetro, específica para coeficientes de difusão em dióxido de carbono supercrítico (SC-CO2) e água líquida (AARD = 3.56%); iv) nove correlações empíricas e semi-empíricas que envolvem dois parâmetros, dependentes apenas da temperatura e/ou densidade do solvente e/ou viscosidade do solvente. Estes últimos modelos são muito simples e exibem excelentes resultados (AARDs entre 2.78% e 4.44%) em sistemas líquidos e supercríticos; e v) duas equações preditivas para difusividades de solutos em SC-CO2, em que os erros globais de ambas são inferiores a 6.80%. No global, deve realçar-se o facto de os novos modelos abrangerem a grande variedade de sistemas e moléculas geralmente encontrados. Os resultados obtidos são consistentemente melhores do que os obtidos com os modelos e abordagens encontrados na literatura. No caso das correlações com um ou dois parâmetros, mostrou-se que estes mesmos parâmetros podem ser ajustados usando um conjunto muito pequeno de dados, e posteriormente serem utilizados na previsão de valores de D 12 longe do conjunto original de pontos. Uma nova instalação experimental para medir coeficientes de difusão binários por técnicas cromatográficas foi montada e testada. O equipamento, o procedimento experimental e os cálculos analíticos necessários à obtenção dos valores de D 12 pelo método de abertura do pico cromatográfico, foram avaliados através da medição de difusividades de tolueno e acetona em SC-CO2. Seguidamente, foram medidos coeficientes de difusão de eucaliptol em SC-CO2 nas gamas de 202 – 252 bar e 313.15 – 333.15 K. Os resultados experimentais foram analisados através de correlações e modelos preditivos para D12.

Scholarly chronographics: can a timeline be useful in historiography?

Our paper is concerned with the visualisation of historical events and artefacts in the context of time. It arises from a project bringing together expertise in visualisation, historiography and software engineering. The work is the result of an extended enquiry over several years which has included investigation of the prior history of such chronographics and their grounding in the temporal ontology of the Enlightenment. Timelines - visual, spatial presentations of chronology - are generally regarded as being too simple, perhaps too childish, to be worthy of academic attention, yet such chronographics should be capable of supporting sophisticated thinking about history and historiography, especially if they take full advantage of the capabilities of digital technologies. They should enable even professional academic historians to 'make sense' of history in new ways, allowing them insights they would not otherwise have achieved. In our paper we highlight key findings from the history of such representations, principally from the eighteenth and nineteenth centuries, and show how, in a project to develop new digital chronographics for collections of cultural objects and events, we have explored new implementations of the important ideas we have extracted about timewise presentation and interaction. This includes the representation of uncertainty, of relations between events, and the epistemology of time as a 'space' for history. We present developed examples, in particular a chronographic presentation of a large database of works by a single author, a composer, and discuss the extent to which our ambitions for chronographics have been realised in practice. Keywords: timeline, chronographics

Influence de la morphologie sacro-pelvienne dans l'évolution du spondylolisthesis L5-S1 développemental

La spondylolyse et le spondylolisthésis sont une déformité bien connue dans le domaine de l’orthopédie. Par contre, il persiste des confusions et des débats sur différents aspects de cette pathologie incluant l’étiologie, l’histoire naturelle et le traitement. Récemment, deux études ont démontré l’influence significative de la morphologie du sacrum dans le spondylolisthésis par Inoue et al. et Whitesides et al.4,5 Ces trouvailles ont renouvelé l’intérêt dans l’évaluation radiologique de la balance sagittale de cette condition. L’objectif principal de ce travail est d’évaluer l’influence de la forme et l’orientation du sacrum chez les patients atteints de spondylolisthésis. Pour ce faire, nous avons construit une base de données de patients présentant un spondylolisthésis et d’un groupe contrôle. Par la suite les radiographies de ces sujets ont été analysées par un programme d’ordinateur afin de calculer tous les paramètres pertinents. Ce travail nous a tout d’abord permis de déterminer à partir des radiographies de 120 volontaires pédiatriques et plus de 130 patients pédiatriques atteints de la spondylolisthésis, les valeurs moyennes et la variation des paramètres angulaires qui influencent l’équilibre sagittal du rachis. Cette base de données est la première existante dans la population pédiatrique. Ces données seront d’une grande utilité pour le futur lors d’études concernant diverses conditions spinales. Nous avons remarqué une différence significative de la morphologie sacrée chez les sujets présentant le spondylolisthésis. Par ailleurs, l’étude de corrélation nous a également permis d’établir une forte relation entre le sacrum, le bassin et la colonne dans le profil sagittal. Finalement, ce travail a permis une meilleure compréhension globale de la posture sagittale chez les sujets normaux et chez les sujets atteints du spondylolisthésis qui pourra servir pour mieux analyser cette condition et pour ajuster les traitements selon l’analyse.

Precipitation and latent heating distributions from satellite passive microwave radiometry. Part I: improved method and uncertainties

A revised Bayesian algorithm for estimating surface rain rate, convective rain proportion, and latent heating profiles from satellite-borne passive microwave radiometer observations over ocean backgrounds is described. The algorithm searches a large database of cloud-radiative model simulations to find cloud profiles that are radiatively consistent with a given set of microwave radiance measurements. The properties of these radiatively consistent profiles are then composited to obtain best estimates of the observed properties. The revised algorithm is supported by an expanded and more physically consistent database of cloud-radiative model simulations. The algorithm also features a better quantification of the convective and nonconvective contributions to total rainfall, a new geographic database, and an improved representation of background radiances in rain-free regions. Bias and random error estimates are derived from applications of the algorithm to synthetic radiance data, based upon a subset of cloud-resolving model simulations, and from the Bayesian formulation itself. Synthetic rain-rate and latent heating estimates exhibit a trend of high (low) bias for low (high) retrieved values. The Bayesian estimates of random error are propagated to represent errors at coarser time and space resolutions, based upon applications of the algorithm to TRMM Microwave Imager (TMI) data. Errors in TMI instantaneous rain-rate estimates at 0.5°-resolution range from approximately 50% at 1 mm h−1 to 20% at 14 mm h−1. Errors in collocated spaceborne radar rain-rate estimates are roughly 50%–80% of the TMI errors at this resolution. The estimated algorithm random error in TMI rain rates at monthly, 2.5° resolution is relatively small (less than 6% at 5 mm day−1) in comparison with the random error resulting from infrequent satellite temporal sampling (8%–35% at the same rain rate). Percentage errors resulting from sampling decrease with increasing rain rate, and sampling errors in latent heating rates follow the same trend. Averaging over 3 months reduces sampling errors in rain rates to 6%–15% at 5 mm day−1, with proportionate reductions in latent heating sampling errors.

Characterization of energy flux partitioning in urban environments: links with surface seasonal properties

A better understanding of links between the properties of the urban environment and the exchange to the atmosphere is central to a wide range of applications. The numerous measurements of surface energy balance data in urban areas enable intercomparison of observed fluxes from distinct environments. This study analyzes a large database in two new ways. First, instead of normalizing fluxes using net all-wave radiation only the incoming radiative fluxes are used, to remove the surface attributes from the denominator. Second, because data are now available year-round, indices are developed to characterize the fraction of the surface (built; vegetation) actively engaged in energy exchanges. These account for shading patterns within city streets and seasonal changes in vegetation phenology; their impact on the partitioning of the incoming radiation is analyzed. Data from 19 sites in North America, Europe, Africa, and Asia (including 6-yr-long observation campaigns) are used to derive generalized surface–flux relations. The midday-period outgoing radiative fraction decreases with an increasing total active surface index, the stored energy fraction increases with an active built index, and the latent heat fraction increases with an active vegetated index. Parameterizations of these energy exchange ratios as a function of the surface indices [i.e., the Flux Ratio–Active Index Surface Exchange (FRAISE) scheme] are developed. These are used to define four urban zones that characterize energy partitioning on the basis of their active surface indices. An independent evaluation of FRAISE, using three additional sites from the Basel Urban Boundary Layer Experiment (BUBBLE), yields accurate predictions of the midday flux partitioning at each location.

Genetical and comparative genomics of Brassica under altered Ca supply identifies Arabidopsis Ca-transporter orthologs

Although Ca transport in plants is highly complex, the overexpression of vacuolar Ca2+ transporters in crops is a promising new technology to improve dietary Ca supplies through biofortification. Here, we sought to identify novel targets for increasing plant Ca accumulation using genetical and comparative genomics. Expression quantitative trait locus (eQTL) mapping to 1895 cis- and 8015 trans-loci were identified in shoots of an inbred mapping population of Brassica rapa (IMB211 × R500); 23 cis- and 948 trans-eQTLs responded specifically to altered Ca supply. eQTLs were screened for functional significance using a large database of shoot Ca concentration phenotypes of Arabidopsis thaliana. From 31 Arabidopsis gene identifiers tagged to robust shoot Ca concentration phenotypes, 21 mapped to 27 B. rapa eQTLs, including orthologs of the Ca2+ transporters At-CAX1 and At-ACA8. Two of three independent missense mutants of BraA.cax1a, isolated previously by targeting induced local lesions in genomes, have allele-specific shoot Ca concentration phenotypes compared with their segregating wild types. BraA.CAX1a is a promising target for altering the Ca composition of Brassica, consistent with prior knowledge from Arabidopsis. We conclude that multiple-environment eQTL analysis of complex crop genomes combined with comparative genomics is a powerful technique for novel gene identification/prioritization.

The DYMECS project: a statistical approach for the evaluation of convective storms in high-resolution NWP models

A new frontier in weather forecasting is emerging by operational forecast models now being run at convection-permitting resolutions at many national weather services. However, this is not a panacea; significant systematic errors remain in the character of convective storms and rainfall distributions. The DYMECS project (Dynamical and Microphysical Evolution of Convective Storms) is taking a fundamentally new approach to evaluate and improve such models: rather than relying on a limited number of cases, which may not be representative, we have gathered a large database of 3D storm structures on 40 convective days using the Chilbolton radar in southern England. We have related these structures to storm life-cycles derived by tracking features in the rainfall from the UK radar network, and compared them statistically to storm structures in the Met Office model, which we ran at horizontal grid length between 1.5 km and 100 m, including simulations with different subgrid mixing length. We also evaluated the scale and intensity of convective updrafts using a new radar technique. We find that the horizontal size of simulated convective storms and the updrafts within them is much too large at 1.5-km resolution, such that the convective mass flux of individual updrafts can be too large by an order of magnitude. The scale of precipitation cores and updrafts decreases steadily with decreasing grid lengths, as does the typical storm lifetime. The 200-m grid-length simulation with standard mixing length performs best over all diagnostics, although a greater mixing length improves the representation of deep convective storms.

PLANETARY NEBULAE AND THE CHEMICAL EVOLUTION OF THE MAGELLANIC CLOUDS

The determination of accurate chemical abundances of planetary nebulae (PN) in different galaxies allows us to obtain important constraints on chemical evolution models for these systems. We have a long-term program to derive abundances in the galaxies of the Local Group, particularly the Large and Small Magellanic Clouds. In this work, we present our new results on these objects and discuss their implications in view of recent abundance determinations in the literature. In particular, we obtain distance-independent correlations involving He, N, O, Ne, S, and Ar, and compare the results with data from our own Galaxy and other galaxies in the Local Group. As a result of our observational program, we have a large database of PN in the Galaxy and the Magellanic Clouds, so that we can obtain reliable constraints on the nucleosynthesis processes in the progenitor stars in galaxies of different metallicities.

Socio-demographic constraints to travel behavior

Purpose – This study aims to ascertain the effect of socio-demographic constraints on dimension of travel choice. This study also seeks to derive personal ecological explanations for variation in travel preference, travel intention and travel choice behavior of a wide range of destinations.

Design/methodology/approach – A large representative sample of 49,105 Australian respondents is utilized. Binary logistic regression is used to determine the impact of constraint variables.

Findings – Age, income and life stage have significant differential and interactive effects on travel behavior. Socio-demographic variables act in different ways to constrain/free different types of travel behavior. However there are significant levels of travel by even the most constrained groups as well as significant amounts of non-travel by the least constrained sectors of our society. These impacts are country specific.

Research limitations/implications – The travel motivations of constraint groups need to be considered to order better understand travel behavior. Investigation of psychological and ecological facilitators and constraints to travel is needed.

Practical implications – This information is most useful for market segmentation and the development of constraint group destination marketing plans. Managers can use utilize such results to minimize the barriers to travel by particular groups.

Originality/value – This paper utilizes a large database to provide insights into the personal ecological constraints to travel.

Automatic attribution of ancient Roman imperial coins

Classification of coins is an important but laborious aspect of numismatics - the field that studies coins and currency. It is particularly challenging in the case of ancient coins. Due to the way they were manufactured, as well as wear from use and exposure to chemicals in the soil, the same ancient coin type can exhibit great variability in appearance. We demonstrate that geometry-free models of appearance do not perform better than chance on this task and that only a small improvement is gained by previously proposed models of combined appearance and geometry. Thus, our first major contribution is a new type of feature which is efficient in terms of computational time and storage requirements, and which effectively captures geometric configurations between descriptors corresponding to local features. Our second contribution is a description of a fully automatic system based on the proposed features, which robustly localizes, segments out and classifies coins from cluttered images. We also describe a large database of ancient coins that we collected and which will be made publicly available. Finally, we report the results of empirical comparison of different coin matching techniques. The features proposed in this paper are found to greatly outperform existing methods.

Colour invariants for machine face recognition

Illumination invariance remains the most researched, yet the most challenging aspect of automatic face recognition. In this paper we investigate the discriminative power of colour-based invariants in the presence of large illumination changes between training and test data, when appearance changes due to cast shadows and non-Lambertian effects are significant. Specifically, there are three main contributions: (i) we employ a more sophisticated photometric model of the camera and show how its parameters can be estimated, (ii) we derive several novel colour-based face invariants, and (iii) on a large database of video sequences we examine and evaluate the largest number of colour-based representations in the literature. Our results suggest that colour invariants do have a substantial discriminative power which may increase the robustness and accuracy of recognition from low resolution images.

Performance analysis and prediction in triathlon

Performance in triathlon is dependent upon factors that include somatotype, physiological capacity, technical proficiency and race strategy. Given the multidisciplinary nature of triathlon and the interaction between each of the three race components, the identification of target split times that can be used to inform the design of training plans and race pacing strategies is a complex task. The present study uses machine learning techniques to analyse a large database of performances in Olympic distance triathlons (2008–2012). The analysis reveals patterns of performance in five components of triathlon (three race “legs” and two transitions) and the complex relationships between performance in each component and overall performance in a race. The results provide three perspectives on the relationship between performance in each component of triathlon and the final placing in a race. These perspectives allow the identification of target split times that are required to achieve a certain final place in a race and the opportunity to make evidence-based decisions about race tactics in order to optimise performance.

Computer-aided design of a novel ligand for retinoic acid receptor in cancer chemotherapy

The isotypes of RAR and RXR are retinoic acid and retinoid X acid receptors, respectively, whose ligand-binding domain contains the ligand-dependent activation function, with distinct pharmacological targets for retinoids, involved in the treatment of various cancers and skin diseases. Due to the major challenge which cancer treatment and cure still imposes after many decades to the international scientific community, there is actually considerable interest in new ligands with increased bioactivity. We have focused on the retinoid acid receptor, which is considered an interesting target for drug design. In this work, we carried out density functional geometry optimizations, and different docking procedures. We performed screening in a large database (hundreds of thousands of molecules which we optimized at the AM1 level) yielding a set of potential bioactive ligands. A new ligand was selected and optimized at the B3LYP/6-31G* level. A flexible docking program was used to investigate the interactions between the receptor and the new ligand. The result of this work is compared with several crystallographic ligands of RAR. Our theoretically more bioactive new-ligand indicates stronger and more hydrogen bonds as well as hydrophobic interactions with the receptor. (c) 2005 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.

HTS: A new shape descriptor based on Hough Transform

In this paper we propose a novel method for shape analysis called HTS (Hough Transform Statistics), which uses statistics from Hough Transform space in order to characterize the shape of objects in digital images. Experimental results showed that the HTS descriptor is robust and presents better accuracy than some traditional shape description methods. Furthermore, HTS algorithm has linear complexity, which is an important requirement for content based image retrieval from large databases. © 2013 IEEE.