Evaluating the surveillance for swine dysentery and progressive atrophic Rhinitis in closed multiplier herds using Scenario tree modelling

Background: The Swiss pig population enjoys a favourable health situation. To further promote this, the Pig Health Service (PHS) conducts a surveillance program in affiliated herds: closed multiplier herds with the highest PHS-health and hygiene status have to be free from swine dysentery and progressive atrophic rhinitis and are clinically examined four times a year, including laboratory testing. Besides, four batches of pigs per year are fattened together with pigs from other herds and checked for typical symptoms (monitored fattening groups (MF)). While costly and laborious, little was known about the effectiveness of the surveillance to detect an infection in a herd. Therefore, the sensitivity of the surveillance for progressive atrophic rhinitis and swine dysentery at herd level was assessed using scenario tree modelling, a method well established at national level. Furthermore, its costs and the time until an infection would be detected were estimated, with the final aim of yielding suggestions how to optimize surveillance. Results: For swine dysentery, the median annual surveillance sensitivity was 96.7 %, mean time to detection 4.4 months, and total annual costs 1022.20 Euro/herd. The median component sensitivity of active sampling was between 62.5 and 77.0 %, that of a MF between 7.2 and 12.7 %. For progressive atrophic rhinitis, the median surveillance sensitivity was 99.4 %, mean time to detection 3.1 months and total annual costs 842.20 Euro. The median component sensitivity of active sampling was 81.7 %, that of a MF between 19.4 and 38.6 %. Conclusions: Results indicate that total sensitivity for both diseases is high, while time to detection could be a risk in herds with frequent pig trade. From all components, active sampling had the highest contribution to the surveillance sensitivity, whereas that of MF was very low. To increase efficiency, active sampling should be intensified (more animals sampled) and MF abandoned. This would significantly improve sensitivity and time to detection at comparable or lower costs. The method of scenario tree modelling proved useful to assess the efficiency of surveillance at herd level. Its versatility allows adjustment to all kinds of surveillance scenarios to optimize sensitivity, time to detection and/or costs.

Occurrence of Brachyspira hyodysenteriae in multiplier pig herds in Switzerland

OBJECTIVE: This research was aimed to determine the occurrence of Brachyspira (B.) hyodysenteriae in Swiss multiplier pig herds. MATERIALS AND METHODS: In a pilot study a direct real-time polymerase chain reaction (PCR) method for B. hyodysenteriae was compared to culture followed by PCR on 106 samples from three herds. Subsequently 40 multiplier herds were epidemiologically characterized and analysed for the presence of B. hyodysenteriae using direct PCR on 1412 rectal swabs. For external validation 20 swabs obtained from two positive conventional herds were analysed. RESULTS: The comparison of direct PCR with culture followed by PCR resulted in a moderate agreement (kappa index: 0.58). In the two conventional herds, 35% of the samples (7/20) tested positive. Samples from 39 multipliers tested negative. In one multiplier herd, 25% (9/36) of the samples tested PCR positive. Risk factors in the multiplier herd may have been rodents or birds, but not pig purchase. CONCLUSION AND CLINICAL RELEVANCE: B. hyodysenteriae have been detected in a Swiss multiplier herd, which underlines the threat of potential spread by replacement pigs. Consequently, a Brachyspira monitoring programme was established for Swiss multiplier herds.

Design and analysis of ripple-based controls based on the discrete modeling and Floquet theory

Ripple-based controls can strongly reduce the required output capacitance in PowerSoC converter thanks to a very fast dynamic response. Unfortunately, these controls are prone to sub-harmonic oscillations and several parameters affect the stability of these systems. This paper derives and validates a simulation-based modeling and stability analysis of a closed-loop V 2Ic control applied to a 5 MHz Buck converter using discrete modeling and Floquet theory to predict stability. This allows the derivation of sensitivity analysis to design robust systems. The work is extended to different V 2 architectures using the same methodology.

International trade and the national income multiplier.

Includes bibliography.

International trade and the national income multiplier,

Mode of access: Internet.

International trade and the national income multiplier.

Bibliographical footnotes.

A note on Atrubin's real-time iterative multiplier /

"UIUCDCS-R-74-640"

Suggested design for a very fast multiplier /

Supported in part by: Atomic Energy Commission contract no. AT (11-1)-415.

The correspondence between methods of digital division and multiplier recording procedures,

Bibliography: p. 31.

Optobundle : a unique fiber optic multiplier /

Includes bibliographical references.

La nouvelle maison rustique, ou Économie generale de tous les biens de campagne : La maniere de les entretenir et de les multiplier /

Datos de ed. preceden a la mención de tomo.

Des semis et plantations des arbres, et de leur culture our Méthodes pour multiplier et élever les arbres ... /

Mode of access: Internet.

La nouvelle maison rustique, ou Économie generale de tous les biens de campagne : la maniere de les entretenir & de les multiplier /

Datos de ed. preceden a la mención de tomo.

La nouvelle maison rustique, ou Économie generale de tous les biens de campagne : la maniere de les entretenir & de les multiplier /

Datos de ed. preceden a la mención de tomo.

Histoire des insectes nuisibles a l'homme, aux bestiaux, a l'Agriculture et aux arts : accompagnée de méthodes pour détruire les nuisibles, et multiplier les utiles /

Contiene: v. 1: Insectes nuisibles - v. 2: Insectes utiles.