Meta-analysis and imputation refines the association of 15q25 with smoking quantity.

Smoking is a leading global cause of disease and mortality. We established the Oxford-GlaxoSmithKline study (Ox-GSK) to perform a genome-wide meta-analysis of SNP association with smoking-related behavioral traits. Our final data set included 41,150 individuals drawn from 20 disease, population and control cohorts. Our analysis confirmed an effect on smoking quantity at a locus on 15q25 (P = 9.45 x 10(-19)) that includes CHRNA5, CHRNA3 and CHRNB4, three genes encoding neuronal nicotinic acetylcholine receptor subunits. We used data from the 1000 Genomes project to investigate the region using imputation, which allowed for analysis of virtually all common SNPs in the region and offered a fivefold increase in marker density over HapMap2 (ref. 2) as an imputation reference panel. Our fine-mapping approach identified a SNP showing the highest significance, rs55853698, located within the promoter region of CHRNA5. Conditional analysis also identified a secondary locus (rs6495308) in CHRNA3.

Epävarmuuden vaikutus strategisiin alliansseihin vuosina 2000-2010

Tässä pro gradu –tutkielmassa perehdyttiin globaalin telekommunikaatiosektorin allianssitoimintaan vuosina 2000-2010. Tutkimuksen tavoitteena oli tarkastella kvantitatiivisin menetelmin yrityskohtaisen ja makrotaloudellisen epävarmuuden vaikutusta solmittujen allianssien rakenteeseen, muotoon ja osapuolten maantieteelliseen sijaintiin. Lisäksi oli tarkoitus tutkia, kuinka allianssien vuosittainen määrä ja niihin osallistuvien yritysten määrä muuttuu epävarmuuden vaihtelujen myötä. Tutkielman empiirisen rungon muodosti sekundaarinen data SDC Platinum ja Thomson Datastream –tietokannoista. Lopulliseen aineistoon sisältyi 50 maailman suurinta telekommunikaatioyritystä useasta eri maasta. Tilastollinen analyysi suoritettiin logistisen ja paneelidataregression avulla. Tutkielman viidestä hypoteesista vain kaksi vahvistuivat osittain. Kyseiset hypoteesit olettivat epävarmuuden kasvun negatiivista vaikutusta vertikaalisten ja kotimaisten allianssien suosioon yrityksen silmissä. Muut regressiomallit tuottivat ristiriitaisia ja tilastollisesti ei-merkitseviä tuloksia.

Calculating germination measurements and organizing spreadsheets

With the objective to minimize difficulties for beginners we are proposing the use of a conventional spreadsheet for the calculations of the main germination (or emergence) measurements, the organization of the final data for the statistical analysis and some electronic commands involved in these steps.

Omistuksen tavoitteellisuus perheyrityksissä - kartoitus omistamisen tavoitteista ja tavoitteiden määrittelystä

Suomi tarvitsee menestyviä yrittäjiä, uusia yrityksiä, kasvuyrityksiä ja kansainvälistymistä. Yrittä-jyydelle asetetaankin suuria odotuksia. Suurin huomio yrittäjyyden tarkastelussa on kuitenkin keskittynyt liiketoimintojen kehittämiseen – sen sijaan omistajuuden ja yrittäjyyden yhteyttä ei ole juurikaan huomioitu. Tämän seurauksena myös omistajuuden vaikutusta yrityksen kehittymi-seen ja menestykseen on analysoitu vähän. Edistääkseen yrityksen kehittymistä, tulee omistuksen olla tavoitteellista. Omistamisen tavoittei-den tarkastelu on kuitenkin harvinaista ja parhaimmillaankin yksiulotteista: omistamisen tavoit-teiden nähdään liittyvän lähes yksinomaan taloudellisiin tavoitteisiin, ja tavoitteiden moninaisuus unohdetaan. Tässä tutkimuksessa tarkastellaan suomalaisten perheyrittäjien omistamisen tavoit-teellisuutta, tavoitteiden määrittelyä sekä omistajaohjauksen keinoja, lähinnä hallituksen roolia, omistukseen liittyvien ratkaisujen tekijänä. Tutkimushankkeen aineisto kerättiin EK:n ja Perheyritysten liiton jäsenyrityksistä. Aineisto kerät-tiin joulukuussa 2013 ja tammikuussa 2014 web-pohjaisella kyselyllä ja siihen vastasi määräajan kuluessa 332 vastaajaa. Vastaajista perheyrityksiä oli 241 kpl. Tarkemman analyysin kohteeksi jäi 233 perheyritystä. Tutkimuksen tulokset osoittavat, että suomalaisten yrittäjien omistajuuteen liittyvät tavoitteet ovat monipuolisempia kuin yleisesti oletetaan. Puhtaasti taloudellisiin motiiveihin perustuvan yri-tysten omistamisen ohella liiketoimintaan kohdistuva mielenkiinto ja halu toimia yrittäjänä ovat merkittäviä omistamisen vaikuttimia. Suuri joukko yritysten omistajista ei kuitenkaan tietoisesti pohdi omistamisen tavoitteita vaan omistuksen tavoitteet määrittyvät liiketoiminnan tavoitteiden tai totuttujen tapojen ja perinteiden kautta. Osalla yritysten omistajista omistus muuttuu tavoit-teellisemmaksi yrityksen kehittyessä ja omistajajoukon kasvaessa. Ensimmäisen sukupolven yrittäjät näyttävät toimivan ennen kaikkea yrittäjäideologian mukaisesti pyrkien kasvattamaan yritystä ja painottaen liiketaloudellisia arvoja päätöksenteossa. Yritystoi-minnan kehittyessä ja sukupolvien lisääntyessä yrityksen omistamiseen liittyvät tavoitteet moni-puolistuvat ja monimutkaistuvat, eivätkä enää perustu pelkästään liiketoiminnallisiin menes-tysodotuksiin. Hallitustoiminnan aktivointi aktivoi myös omistuksen tavoitteellisuuden kehittymistä. Omistus-pohjan hajaantuminen lisää tarvetta erilaisten omistajaohjauksen mekanismien hyödyntämiselle. Hallituksella näyttää olevan rooli omistusratkaisuiden arvioinnissa sekä yrityksen operatiiviseen toimintaan liittyvissä omistusratkaisuissa, mutta myös läheisemmin omistamiseen ja omistajapoh-jaan liittyvissä omistusratkaisuissa. Perheomistukseen liittyvien tavoitteiden huomioiminen on tärkeää perheyrityksen hallituksen toiminnassa myös yrityksen toiminnan vakiintuessa. Sen sijaan, että perheeseen liittyvät omista-misen tavoitteet katoaisivat yrityksestä, muuttuu niiden määrittely tietoisemmaksi ja osaksi yri-tyksen hallintoa. Määräysvallan merkitys tavoitteena pienenee, kun omistajan etäisyys operatiivi-sesta toiminnasta, tai sen johtamisesta kasvaa. Tutkimuksen tulokset kertovat omistamisen tavoitteista ja tavoitteiden määrittelystä. Selvityksen lopussa luotiin määritelmä päämäärätietoiselle omistajalle: Päämäärätietoinen omistaja on omista-ja, joka tietoisesti pohtii tavoitteita omistamiselleen sekä käyttää aktiivisesti omistajavaltaansa valitsemiensa päämäärien saavuttamiseksi.

Influence Of Forecasting, Planning And Controlling On The Performance Of Small And Medium Enterprises

Production Planning and Control (PPC) systems have grown and changed because of the developments in planning tools and models as well as the use of computers and information systems in this area. Though so much is available in research journals, practice of PPC is lagging behind and does not use much from published research. The practices of PPC in SMEs lag behind because of many reasons, which need to be explored This research work deals with the effect of identified variables such as forecasting, planning and control methods adopted, demographics of the key person, standardization practices followed, effect of training, learning and IT usage on firm performance. A model and framework has been developed based on literature. Empirical testing of the model has been done after collecting data using a questionnaire schedule administered among the selected respondents from Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs) in India. Final data included 382 responses. Hypotheses linking SME performance with the use of forecasting, planning and controlling were formed and tested. Exploratory factor analysis was used for data reduction and for identifying the factor structure. High and low performing firms were classified using a Logistic Regression model. A confirmatory factor analysis was used to study the structural relationship between firm performance and dependent variables.

Dinamometría como examen predictor de desordenes musculoesqueléticos (DME) de miembros superiores en tabajadores del sector floricultor

RESUMEN Objetivo: Analizar el comportamiento de la sintomatología de los Desórdenes Músculo-esqueléticos (DME) de miembros superiores y determinar si la dinamometría es predictiva y sirve como soporte para el diagnostico de los mismos. Pacientes y Métodos: Se tomó una cohorte de 400 trabajadores de tres empresas del sector floricultor de la sabana de Bogotá en el año 2006, quienes fueron evaluados clínicamente por un médico especialista en salud ocupacional. Se seleccionaron 105 trabajadores que no presentaban síntomas osteomusculares de miembros superiores, a quienes se realizó seguimiento clínico y dinamometría anual hasta el año 2009. En cada evaluación se realizaron tres mediciones con el dinamómetro Dynatron® midiendo la fuerza de agarre en cada mano, tomando como dato final el promedio obtenido. Los datos fueron digitados en un base de Excel 2003 (Office®) y la depuración y el procesamiento fueron realizados en el programa estadístico de sobrevida. Resultados: El grupo de estudio estaba compuesto por 73 mujeres (69.5%) y 32 hombres (32.5%). La mano dominante fue la derecha en 99 trabajadores (94.3%). El índice de masa corporal (IMC) se encontró alterado revelando sobrepeso en 50 trabajadores (47.6%). Tenían una media de antigüedad en la empresa de 6,48 años y de 14.12 años de exposición en el sector floricultor. El promedio de la fuerza de agarre manual fue mayor para los hombres con respecto a las mujeres. Los primeros presentaron cifras; para la mano derecha de 105 libras y para la izquierda de 102 libras; en las mujeres fue de 62 libras para la mano derecha y de 61 libras para la izquierda. El 38.1% de la población estudiada desarrolló patologías osteomusculares de miembros superiores a lo largo de los 4 años de seguimiento, dentro de las cuales predominó la epicondilitis de miembro superior derecho, presentándose con mayor frecuencia en las mujeres. La probabilidad de supervivencia global para las mujeres fue 46,3% mientras que para los hombres fue de 81,6% a lo largo del tiempo de estudio con una p=0.0107. En el periodo de estudio las mujeres necesitaron aproximadamente de 38 meses para alcanzar el 50% de sobrevida. Para el género femenino el promedio de la fuerza de la mano derecha de 28 libras tiene una sensibilidad del 100% con una especificidad del 1%. En la mano izquierda el promedio de la fuerza de 30,0 libras tiene una sensibilidad del 100% y una especificidad del 1%. En los hombres se encontró que el promedio de fuerza de la mano derecha de 65 libras tiene una sensibilidad del 100% y una especificidad del 1% y de la mano izquierda de 66 libras tiene una sensibilidad del 100% y una especificidad del 1%. Conclusiones: Las lesiones osteomusculares presentaron altas incidencias en la población estudiada que no se relacionan con aspectos como IMC y tiempo de vida en el sector floricultor y las mujeres presentaron una probabilidad de supervivencia significativamente menor con respecto a los hombres. La dinamometría en valores bajos es un estudio que se correlaciona con la presencia de DME pero no tiene valor predictivo.

Caracterización clínica, citoquímica y microbiológica de pacientes cirróticos con peritonitis bacteriana en la Fundación Cardioinfantil

Introducción: La peritonitis bacteriana espontanea es la infección más frecuente en pacientes cirróticos causado generalmente por Escherichia coli. Existen factores de riesgo relacionados con la aparición y recurrencia de infección peritoneal por lo que la implementación de estrategias tempranas y preventivas podría impactar en la disminución de la morbimortalidad. Metodología: Estudio descriptivo, serie de casos, se efectuó la búsqueda de los resultados del estudio citoquímico de líquidos ascíticos de pacientes entre los años 2009 y 2013, seleccionando aquellos compatibles con infección y que correspondieran a sujetos cirróticos, para posteriormente realizar la recolección de datos clínicos y paraclínicos con el fin de conformar la base de datos y finalizar con su respectivo análisis. Resultados: El alcohol es la principal causa de cirrosis en pacientes infectados; el principal microorganismo aislado fue Escherichia coli, documentando un 78% de cultivos negativos, 20% más que lo reportado por la literatura. La ampicilina sulbactam fue el antibiótico de elección en el 65% de los casos, de estos el 61% continuaron sin requerir cambio del mismo. Discusión: El presente estudio confirma al alcohol como principal etiología de cirrosis en nuestro país y a la Escherichia coli multisensible como principal agente. Debido al bajo porcentaje de cambios que requirió la ampicilina sulbactam durante el ajuste de la terapia se puede sugerir a este antibiotico dentro del manejo, sin embargo se require de estudios complementarios para comparar su efectividad en relación con cefalosporinas de tercera generación. De igual forma debe priorizarse la toma de cultivos en botellas de hemocultivos para aumentar la cantidad de aislamientos y optimizar el tratamiento antibiótico guiado de acuerdo al microorganismo obtenido.

Hipotensión arterial y variabilidad de la frecuencia cardiaca en pacientes embarazadas llevadas a cesarea bajo anestesia raquídea

INTRODUCCION La hipotensión arterial por anestesia raquídea en embarazadas llevadas a cesárea es frecuente y deletérea para la madre y el feto, sin que a la fecha exista una herramienta clínicamente útil para predecirla. La variabilidad de la frecuencia cardiaca es una medida que estima la actividad del sistema nervioso autónomo y algunos estudio iniciales indican una posible utilidad como herramienta predictiva de hipotensión arterial en esta población. METODOLOGIA Se realizó un estudio observacional descriptivo para examinar el comportamiento de la variabilidad de la frecuencia cardiaca, medida como razón de Baja frecuencia/Alta frecuencia, con un punto de corte de 2.5 tomada con un reloj POLAR RS800CX, en una población de pacientes con embarazo a término llevadas a cesárea, en un hospital de tercer nivel en Bogotá- Colombia entre Febrero y Abril del 2015. RESULTADOS El estudio incluyó 82 pacientes. Se determinó que la razón Baja frecuencia/Alta frecuencia mayor a 2,5 era poco frecuente en nuestra población (15.85%), y su asociación no fue significativa. DISCUSION El presente estudio demostró que la asociación entre la presencia de hipotensión y un índice Baja frecuencia/Alta frecuencia con punto de corte de 2.5 no es significativo para nuestra población de mujeres con embarazo a término llevadas a cesárea con anestesia espinal. Según los resultados se sugieres un punto de corte de 1.6 como punto de partida para la realización de nuevos estudios que permitan validar este valor.

Morphological properties of superclusters of galaxies

We studied superclusters of galaxies in a volume-limited sample extracted from the Sloan Digital Sky Survey Data Release 7 and from mock catalogues based on a semi-analytical model of galaxy evolution in the Millennium Simulation. A density field method was applied to a sample of galaxies brighter than M(r) = -21+5 log h(100) to identify superclusters, taking into account selection and boundary effects. In order to evaluate the influence of the threshold density, we have chosen two thresholds: the first maximizes the number of objects (D1) and the second constrains the maximum supercluster size to similar to 120 h(-1) Mpc (D2). We have performed a morphological analysis, using Minkowski Functionals, based on a parameter, which increases monotonically from filaments to pancakes. An anticorrelation was found between supercluster richness (and total luminosity or size) and the morphological parameter, indicating that filamentary structures tend to be richer, larger and more luminous than pancakes in both observed and mock catalogues. We have also used the mock samples to compare supercluster morphologies identified in position and velocity spaces, concluding that our morphological classification is not biased by the peculiar velocities. Monte Carlo simulations designed to investigate the reliability of our results with respect to random fluctuations show that these results are robust. Our analysis indicates that filaments and pancakes present different luminosity and size distributions.

Alternative diagnostic diagrams and the `forgotten` population of weak line galaxies in the SDSS

A numerous population of weak line galaxies (WLGs) is often left out of statistical studies on emission-line galaxies (ELGs) due to the absence of an adequate classification scheme, since classical diagnostic diagrams, such as [O iii]/H beta versus [N ii]/H alpha (the BPT diagram), require the measurement of at least four emission lines. This paper aims to remedy this situation by transposing the usual divisory lines between star-forming (SF) galaxies and active galactic nuclei (AGN) hosts and between Seyferts and LINERs to diagrams that are more economical in terms of line quality requirements. By doing this, we rescue from the classification limbo a substantial number of sources and modify the global census of ELGs. More specifically, (1) we use the Sloan Digital Sky Survey Data Release 7 to constitute a suitable sample of 280 000 ELGs, one-third of which are WLGs. (2) Galaxies with strong emission lines are classified using the widely applied criteria of Kewley et al., Kauffmann et al. and Stasinska et al. to distinguish SF galaxies and AGN hosts and Kewley et al. to distinguish Seyferts from LINERs. (3) We transpose these classification schemes to alternative diagrams keeping [N ii]/H alpha as a horizontal axis, but replacing H beta by a stronger line (H alpha or [O ii]), or substituting the ionization-level sensitive [O iii]/H beta ratio with the equivalent width of H alpha (W(H alpha)). Optimized equations for the transposed divisory lines are provided. (4) We show that nothing significant is lost in the translation, but that the new diagrams allow one to classify up to 50 per cent more ELGs. (5) Introducing WLGs in the census of galaxies in the local Universe increases the proportion of metal-rich SF galaxies and especially LINERs. In the course of this analysis, we were led to make the following points. (i) The Kewley et al. BPT line for galaxy classification is generally ill-used. (ii) Replacing [O iii]/H beta by W(H alpha) in the classification introduces a change in the philosophy of the distinction between LINERs and Seyferts, but not in its results. Because the W(H alpha) versus [N ii]/H alpha diagram can be applied to the largest sample of ELGs without loss of discriminating power between Seyferts and LINERs, we recommend its use in further studies. (iii) The dichotomy between Seyferts and LINERs is washed out by WLGs in the BPT plane, but it subsists in other diagnostic diagrams. This suggests that the right wing in the BPT diagram is indeed populated by at least two classes, tentatively identified with bona fide AGN and `retired` galaxies that have stopped forming stars and are ionized by their old stellar populations.

The influence of halo assembly on galaxies and galaxy groups

In this paper, we study the variations of groups (galaxy properties according to the assembly history in Sloan Digital Sky Survey Data Release 6 (SDSS-DR6) selected groups. Using mock SDSS group catalogues, we find two suitable indicators of group formation time: (i) the isolation of the group, defined as the distance to the nearest neighbour ill terms of its virial radius and 00 the concentration. measured as the groups inner density calculated using the fifth nearest bright galaxy to the groups centre. Groups Within narrow ranges of Mass ill the mock catalO-Lie show increasing Ifl-OLIP alle With isolation and concentration. However, in the observational data the stellar age, as indicated by the spectral type, only shows a correlation with concentration. We study groups of similar mass and different assembly history. finding important differences ill their galaxy population. Particularly, ill high-mass SDSS groups. the number of members. mass-to-light ratios, red galaxy fractions and the magnitude difference between the brightest and second-brightest group galaxies, show different trends as a function of isolation and concentration, even when it is expected that the latter two quantities correlate with group age. Conversely. low-mass SDSS groups appear to be less sensitive to their assembly history. The correlations detected in the SDSS are not consistent with the trends measured in the mock catalogues. However, discrepancies can he explained in terms of the disagreement found in the a-e-isolation trends, suggesting that the model might be overestimating the effects of, environment, We discuss how the modelling of the cold gas ill satellite galaxies could be responsible for this problem. These results call be Used to improve our Understanding of the evolution of galaxies ill high-density environments.

Participação de instituições locais em projetos de revitalização urbana : o caso do Projeto Porto Maravilha na cidade do Rio de Janeiro

Dentro do contexto do desenvolvimento urbano sustentável, diversas metrópoles estão revitalizando áreas centrais degradadas. Regiões portuárias são exemplos de áreas degradadas que têm passado por processos de revitalização. O envolvimento de diferentes atores locais (Poder Público, mercado e sociedade civil) no processo de decisão e também durante a implementação das obras de revitalização deve ser visto como ponto chave na garantia de um processo transparente e particular para cada revitalização executada. Para subsidiar tal abordagem, este trabalho utiliza como referencial teórico a gestão social e seus critérios do processo de discussão, pluralismo e bem-comum para a implementação de políticas públicas, onde a multiplicidade de atores deve participar em igualdade de direitos nos processos decisórios deliberativos na busca do bem-estar social. Na cidade do Rio de Janeiro, em 2009, a instituição por lei da Operação Urbana Consorciada da Área de Especial Interesse Urbanístico da Região Portuária do Rio de Janeiro garante que o projeto de revitalização chamado Porto Maravilha possa ser implementado. Por ser fruto de uma Operação Urbana Consorciada, o projeto deve contar com a participação de proprietários, moradores, usuários e dos investidores para revitalizar uma área de aproximadamente cinco milhões de metros quadrados. Assim, considerada a importância de diferentes atores para garantir um processo decisório legítimo e considerada a obrigatoriedade da participação de diferentes atores na implementação do projeto Porto Maravilha, o objetivo deste trabalho é identificar como as instituições locais participam no Projeto Porto Maravilha. Para tanto, realizou-se pesquisa de campo por meio da participação em reuniões das instâncias participativas na região portuária, da aplicação de questionários às instituições locais e da realização de entrevistas semiestruturadas com representantes das instituições locais e outros atores envolvidos com o projeto. Para o tratamento dos dados obtidos utilizou-se o método da análise de conteúdo com grade mista, cujas categorias definidas foram relacionadas com os critérios do processo de discussão, pluralismo e bem-comum da gestão social e um tratamento estatístico para a elaboração de uma matriz que permitiu relacionar o grau de participação e a posição das instituições locais frente ao projeto. Para o tratamento final, a triangulação metodológica foi utilizada e os resultados foram confrontados com o referencial teórico. Os resultados mostraram que a revitalização da região portuária despertou interesse para que instâncias participativas que já existiam na região se reestruturassem e que novas instâncias fossem criadas. Independente de serem a favor ou contra o projeto, há uma mobilização por parte das instituições locais em se envolverem no projeto, embora este não possa se caracterizar como um processo deliberativo de construção conjunta definido a partir de um consenso, pois, as diretrizes gerais do projeto Porto Maravilha foram instituídas por lei. A maioria das instituições locais concorda e participa do acompanhamento e da implementação do projeto por meio do compartilhamento com o Estado da responsabilidade de criar espaços educativos e investir em programas sociais que possam garantir a melhoria das condições de vida da população local.

Atividades educativas na rede pública de ensino: efeitos sobre a higiene oral e o nível de informação em Saúde Bucal

The contents introduction concerning the individual health cares reveals important since the school education. In this direction, the present study objectified to know an effect of Oral Health education intervention in the oral hygiene and in the schools children information level, of 4º e 5º basic education years. The study was composed by two groups, chosen of random form: control group (n = 115) and experimental group (n = 132), with 247 public net school children in total sample. The experimental group participated of some educative activities in Oral Health, with biweekly frequency, during the 4 months period, given for a surgeon-dentistry. Both the groups were submitted to a clinical examination for a previous verification of the Plaque Index (PI) and of Loe Silness Gingival Index (GI). A questionnaire with closed questions on Oral Health was applied before and after to verify the school children rightness index. After the intervention, the final data, represented for the PI, GI and Rightness Index verification, has been collected for statistical analyses through the chi-square test to a 95 % of reliable level, using the SPSS 10,0 software. The PI and GI were categorized in high and low on the initials index basis medium; already the Rightness Index was categorized in inadequate (< 50%) and adequate (≥ 50%). It was verified that the PI (p = 0,014; IC 0.24-0.86) and the GI (p = 0,013; IC 0,28-0,84) presented differences statistically significant, after the education activities, when compared to with the control, favoring the experimental group. It was verified too the experimental group got greater rightness index, presenting difference highly significant (p<0,0001; IC 3,73-26,81). It was still observed that there was no association between the oral hygiene indicators and the school children information level. Ahead the results, it can been concluded that education activities related in the school routine were capable to give positives effects in the oral hygiene control and in the information level about Oral Health, however, not necessarily, the individual with bigger information is that one who has practiced an oral hygiene more adjusted. One become necessary, however, that the education in Oral Health occurs of permanent and integrated form with others school actors, for the positive effect does not lose the student s life longterm

Comparison among three approaches for evaluation of sexual precocity in Nellore cattle

Restricted breeding seasons used in beef cattle produce censored data for reproduction traits measured in regard to these seasons. To analyze these data, adequate methods must be used. The objective of this paper was to compare three approaches aiming to evaluate sexual precocity in Nellore cattle. The final data set contained 6699 records of age at first conception (AFC14) (in days) and of heifer pregnancy (HP14) (binary) obtained from females exposed to the bulls for the first time at about 14 months of age. Records of females that did not calve in the following year after being exposed to a sire were considered censored (77.5% of total). The models used to obtain genetic parameters and expected progeny differences (EPDs) were a Weibull mixed and a censored linear model for AFC14 and threshold model for HP14. The mean heritabilities obtained were 0.76 and 0.44, respectively, for survival and censored linear models (for AFC14), and 0.58 for HP14. Ranking and Pearson correlations varied (in absolute values) from 0.54 to 0.99 (considering different percentages of sires selected), indicating moderate changes in the classification. Considering survival analysis as the best selection criterion (that would result in the best response to selection), it was observed that selection for HP14 would lead to a more significant decrease in selection response if compared with selection for AFC14 analysed by censored linear model, from which results were very similar to the survival analysis.

Use of survival analysis as a tool for the genetic improvement of age at first conception in Nellore cattle

Restricted breeding seasons in beef cattle lead to censoring of reproductive data. In this paper, age at first conception (AFC) of Nellore females exposed to the sires for the first time between 11 and 16 months of age, was studied aiming to verify the possibility of genetically advance sexual precocity using a survival model. The final data set contained 6699 records of AFC in days. Records of females that did not calve in the next year following exposure to the sire were considered censored (77.5% of total). The model used was a Weibull mixed survival model including effects of contemporary groups, period (fixed) and animal (random). The effect of the contemporary groups on AFC was important (p < 0.01). Heritabilities were 0.51 and 0.76 in logarithmic and original scales respectively. Results indicate that it is possible to genetically advance sexual precocity, using the outcome of survival analysis of AFC as selection criterion. They also suggest that improvements of the environment could advance sexual precocity too, thus an adequate pregnancy rate for farmers could quickly be achieved.