Lyfe-cycle effects on household expenditures: A latent-variable approach

Using data from the Spanish household budget survey, we investigate life-cycle effects on several product expenditures. A latent-variable model approach is adopted to evaluate the impact of income on expenditures, controlling for the number of members in the family. Two latent factors underlying repeated measures of monetary and non-monetary income are used as explanatory variables in the expenditure regression equations, thus avoiding possible bias associated to the measurement error in income. The proposed methodology also takes care of the case in which product expenditures exhibit a pattern of infrequent purchases. Multiple-group analysis is used to assess the variation of key parameters of the model across various household life-cycle typologies. The analysis discloses significant life-cycle effects on the mean levels of expenditures; it also detects significant life-cycle effects on the way expenditures are affected by income and family size. Asymptotic robust methods are used to account for possible non-normality of the data.

Should we await IFN-free regimens to treat HCV genotype 1 treatment-naive patients? A cost-effectiveness analysis (ANRS 95141).

BACKGROUND & AIMS: In treatment-naive patients mono-infected with genotype 1 chronic HCV, treatments with telaprevir/boceprevir (TVR/BOC)-based triple therapy are standard-of-care. However, more efficacious direct-acting antivirals (IFN-based new DAAs) are available and interferon-free (IFN-free) regimens are imminent (2015). METHODS: A mathematical model estimated quality-adjusted life years, cost and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios of (i) IFN-based new DAAs vs. TVR/BOC-based triple therapy; and (ii) IFN-based new DAAs initiation strategies, given that IFN-free regimens are imminent. The sustained virological response in F3-4/F0-2 was 71/89% with IFN-based new DAAs, 85/95% with IFN-free regimens, vs. 64/80% with TVR/BOC-based triple therapy. Serious adverse events leading to discontinuation were taken as: 0-0.6% with IFN-based new DAAs, 0% with IFN-free regimens, vs. 1-10% with TVR/BOC-based triple therapy. Costs were euro60,000 for 12weeks of IFN-based new DAAs and two times higher for IFN-free regimens. RESULTS: Treatment with IFN-based new DAAs when fibrosis stage ⩾F2 is cost-effective compared to TVR/BOC-based triple therapy (euro37,900/QALY gained), but not at F0-1 (euro103,500/QALY gained). Awaiting the IFN-free regimens is more effective, except in F4 patients, but not cost-effective compared to IFN-based new DAAs. If we decrease the cost of IFN-free regimens close to that of IFN-based new DAAs, then awaiting the IFN-free regimen becomes cost-effective. CONCLUSIONS: Treatment with IFN-based new DAAs at stage ⩾F2 is both effective and cost-effective compared to TVR/BOC triple therapy. Awaiting IFN-free regimens and then treating regardless of fibrosis is more efficacious, except in F4 patients; however, the cost-effectiveness of this strategy is highly dependent on its cost.

Biological cycle of Tenuipalpus heveae Baker (Acari, Tenuipalpidae) on leaflets of three rubber tree clones

Life cycle of Tenuipalpus heveae Baker (Acari, Tenuipalpidae) on leaflets from three rubber tree clones. The biological cycle of Tenuipalpus heveae Baker, 1945 (Tenuipalpidae), a potential rubber tree pest mite, was studied by the observation of individuals reared on leaflets of the clones GT 1, PB 235 and RRIM 600, in controlled environmental conditions. Three daily observations were done of 60 eggs on leaflets from each clone in order to verify the development of immature stages and the female oviposition. The fertility life table was constructed based in the collected data. Mites reared on PB 235 had faster rate of development, requiring less time in days, to double its population in number (TD), and had the highest values for egg production, female longevity, net reproductive rate (Ro), intrinsic rate of natural increase (r m) and finite rate of increase (λ). Lower reproductive values and the longest time necessary to reach adult stage were recorded for the mites on GT 1. In all studied clones, the deutonymphal phase had the highest viability, while the larval phase had the lowest, highlighted by the survivorship curve that indicated high mortality during this life stage. The clone PB 235 allowed the most suitable conditions for the development of T. heveae, followed by RRIM 600, while GT 1 was the less suitable substratum to rear this mite species.

Employment protection, international specialization and innovation

We develop a model to analyse the implications of firing costs on incentivesfor R&D and international specialization. The Key idea is paying the firingcost, the country with a rigid labor market will tend to produce relativelysecure goods, at a late stage of their product life cycle.Under international trade, an international product cycle emerges where,roughly, new goods are first produced in the low firing cost country willspecialize in 'secondary innovations', that is, improvements in existinggoods, while the low firing cost country will more specialize in 'primaryinnovation', that is, invention of new goods.

Effects of (p)ppGpp on the progression of the cell cycle of Caulobacter crescentus.

Bacteria must control the progression of their cell cycle in response to nutrient availability. This regulation can be mediated by guanosine tetra- or pentaphosphate [(p)ppGpp], which are synthesized by enzymes of the RelA/SpoT homologue (Rsh) family, particularly under starvation conditions. Here, we study the effects of (p)ppGpp on the cell cycle of Caulobacter crescentus, an oligotrophic bacterium with a dimorphic life cycle. C. crescentus divides asymmetrically, producing a motile swarmer cell that cannot replicate its chromosome and a sessile stalked cell that is replication competent. The swarmer cell rapidly differentiates into a stalked cell in appropriate conditions. An artificial increase in the levels of (p)ppGpp in nonstarved C. crescentus cells was achieved by expressing a truncated relA gene from Escherichia coli, encoding a constitutively active (p)ppGpp synthetase. By combining single-cell microscopy, flow cytometry approaches, and swarming assays, we show that an increase in the intracellular concentration of (p)ppGpp is sufficient to slow down the swarmer-to-stalked cell differentiation process and to delay the initiation of chromosome replication. We also present evidence that the intracellular levels of two master regulators of the cell cycle of C. crescentus, DnaA and CtrA, are modulated in response to (p)ppGpp accumulation, even in the absence of actual starvation. CtrA proteolysis and DnaA synthesis seem indirectly inhibited by (p)ppGpp accumulation. By extending the life span of the motile nonreproductive swarmer cell and thus promoting dispersal and foraging functions over multiplication under starvation conditions, (p)ppGpp may play a central role in the ecological adaptation of C. crescentus to nutritional stresses.

Tough adults, frail babies: an analysis of stress sensitivity across early life-history stages of widely introduced marine invertebrates

All ontogenetic stages of a life cycle are exposed to environmental conditions so that population persistence depends on the performance of both adults and offspring. Most studies analysing the influence of abiotic conditions on species performance have focussed on adults, while studies covering early life-history stages remain rare. We investigated the responses of early stages of two widely introduced ascidians, Styela plicata and Microcosmus squamiger, to different abiotic conditions. Stressors mimicked conditions in the habitats where both species can be found in their distributional ranges and responses were related to the selection potential of their populations by analysing their genetic diversity. Four developmental stages (egg fertilisation, larval development, settlement, metamorphosis) were studied after exposure to high temperature (30°C), low salinities (26 and 22 ) and high copper concentrations (25, 50 and 100 µg/L). Although most stressors effectively led to failure of complete development (fertilisation through metamorphosis), fertilisation and larval development were the most sensitive stages. All the studied stressors affected the development of both species, though responses differed with stage and stressor. S. plicata was overall more resistant to copper, and some stages of M. squamiger to low salinities. No relationship was found between parental genetic composition and responses to stressors. We conclude that successful development can be prevented at several life-history stages, and therefore, it is essential to consider multiple stages when assessing species' abilities to tolerate stress. Moreover, we found that early development of these species cannot be completed under conditions prevailing where adults live. These populations must therefore recruit from elsewhere or reproduce during temporal windows of more benign conditions. Alternatively, novel strategies or behaviours that increase overall reproductive success might be responsible for ensuring population survival.

Life-history evolution and the polyphenic regulation of somatic maintenance and survival.

Here we discuss life-history evolution from the perspective of adaptive phenotypic plasticity, with a focus on polyphenisms for somatic maintenance and survival. Polyphenisms are adaptive discrete alternative phenotypes that develop in response to changes in the environment. We suggest that dauer larval diapause and its associated adult phenotypes in the nematode (Caenorhabditis elegans), reproductive dormancy in the fruit fly (Drosophila melanogaster) and other insects, and the worker castes of the honey bee (Apis mellifera) are examples of what may be viewed as the polyphenic regulation of somatic maintenance and survival. In these and other cases, the same genotype can--depending upon its environment--express either of two alternative sets of life-history phenotypes that differ markedly with respect to somatic maintenance, survival ability, and thus life span. This plastic modulation of somatic maintenance and survival has traditionally been underappreciated by researchers working on aging and life history. We review the current evidence for such adaptive life-history switches and their molecular regulation and suggest that they are caused by temporally and/or spatially varying, stressful environments that impose diversifying selection, thereby favoring the evolution of plasticity of somatic maintenance and survival under strong regulatory control. By considering somatic maintenance and survivorship from the perspective of adaptive life-history switches, we may gain novel insights into the mechanisms and evolution of aging.

Structural Characterization of UHPC Waffle Bridge Deck and Connections, TR-614, 2014

The AASHTO strategic plan in 2005 for bridge engineering identified extending the service life of bridges and accelerating bridge construction as two of the grand challenges in bridge engineering. These challenges have the objective of producing safer and more economical bridges at a faster rate with a minimum service life of 75 years and reduced maintenance cost to serve the country’s infrastructure needs. Previous studies have shown that a prefabricated full-depth precast concrete deck system is an innovative technique that accelerates the rehabilitation process of a bridge deck, extending its service life with reduced user delays and community disruptions and lowering its life-cycle costs. Previous use of ultra-high performance concrete (UHPC) for bridge applications in the United States has been considered to be efficient and economical because of its superior structural characteristics and durability properties. Full-depth UHPC waffle deck panel systems have been developed over the past three years in Europe and the United States. Subsequently, a single span, 60-ft long and 33-ft wide prototype bridge with full-depth prefabricated UHPC waffle deck panels has been designed and built for a replacement bridge in Wapello County, Iowa. The structural performance characteristics and the constructability of the UHPC waffle deck system and its critical connections were studied through an experimental program at the structural laboratory of Iowa State University (ISU). Two prefabricated full-depth UHPC waffle deck (8 feet by 9 feet 9 inches by 8 inches) panels were connected to 24-ft long precast girders, and the system was tested under service, fatigue, overload, and ultimate loads. Three months after the completion of the bridge with waffle deck system, it was load tested under live loads in February 2012. The measured strain and deflection values were within the acceptable limits, validating the structural performance of the bridge deck. Based on the laboratory test results, observations, field testing of the prototype bridge, and experience gained from the sequence of construction events such as panel fabrication and casting of transverse and longitudinal joints, a prefabricated UHPC waffle deck system is found to be a viable option to achieve the goals of the AASHTO strategic plan.

Cost-effectiveness of surgery in low- and middle-income countries: a systematic review.

BACKGROUND: There is increasing interest in provision of essential surgical care as part of public health policy in low- and middle-income countries (LMIC). Relatively simple interventions have been shown to prevent death and disability. We reviewed the published literature to examine the cost-effectiveness of simple surgical interventions which could be made available at any district hospital, and compared these to standard public health interventions. METHODS: PubMed and EMBASE were searched using single and combinations of the search terms "disability adjusted life year" (DALY), "quality adjusted life year," "cost-effectiveness," and "surgery." Articles were included if they detailed the cost-effectiveness of a surgical intervention of relevance to a LMIC, which could be made available at any district hospital. Suitable articles with both cost and effectiveness data were identified and, where possible, data were extrapolated to enable comparison across studies. RESULTS: Twenty-seven articles met our inclusion criteria, representing 64 LMIC over 16 years of study. Interventions that were found to be cost-effective included cataract surgery (cost/DALY averted range US$5.06-$106.00), elective inguinal hernia repair (cost/DALY averted range US$12.88-$78.18), male circumcision (cost/DALY averted range US$7.38-$319.29), emergency cesarean section (cost/DALY averted range US$18-$3,462.00), and cleft lip and palate repair (cost/DALY averted range US$15.44-$96.04). A small district hospital with basic surgical services was also found to be highly cost-effective (cost/DALY averted 1 US$0.93), as were larger hospitals offering emergency and trauma surgery (cost/DALY averted US$32.78-$223.00). This compares favorably with other standard public health interventions, such as oral rehydration therapy (US$1,062.00), vitamin A supplementation (US$6.00-$12.00), breast feeding promotion (US$930.00), and highly active anti-retroviral therapy for HIV (US$922.00). CONCLUSIONS: Simple surgical interventions that are life-saving and disability-preventing should be considered as part of public health policy in LMIC. We recommend an investment in surgical care and its integration with other public health measures at the district hospital level, rather than investment in single disease strategies.

Population viscosity can promote the evolution of altruistic sterile helpers and eusociality.

Because it increases relatedness between interacting individuals, population viscosity has been proposed to favour the evolution of altruistic helping. However, because it increases local competition between relatives, population viscosity may also act as a brake for the evolution of helping behaviours. In simple models, the kin selected fecundity benefits of helping are exactly cancelled out by the cost of increased competition between relatives when helping occurs after dispersal. This result has lead to the widespread view, especially among people working with social organisms, that special conditions are required for the evolution of altruism. Here, we re-examine this result by constructing a simple population genetic model where we analyse whether the evolution of a sterile worker caste (i.e. an extreme case of altruism) can be selected for by limited dispersal. We show that a sterile worker caste can be selected for even under the simplest life-cycle assumptions. This has relevant consequences for our understanding of the evolution of altruism in social organisms, as many social insects are characterized by limited dispersal and significant genetic population structure.

6.2

Airborne particles can come from a variety of sources and contain variable chemical constituents. Some particles are formed by natural processes, such as volcanoes, erosion, sea spray, and forest fires, while other are formed by anthropogenic processes, such as industrial- and motor vehicle-related combustion, road-related wear, and mining. In general, larger particles (those greater than 2.5 μm) are formed by mechanical processes, while those less than 2.5 μm are formed by combustion processes. The chemical composition of particles is highly influenced by the source: for combustion-related particles, factors such as temperature of combustion, fuel type, and presence of oxygen or other gases can also have a large impact on PM composition. These differences can often be observed at a regional level, such as the greater sulphate-composition of PM in regions that burn coal for electricity production (which contains sulphur) versus regions that do not. Most countries maintain air monitoring networks, and studies based on the resulting data are the most common basis for epidemiology studies on the health effects of PM. Data from these monitoring stations can be used to evaluate the relationship between community-level exposure to ambient particles and health outcomes (i.e., morbidity or mortality from various causes). Respiratory and cardiovascular outcomes are the most commonly assessed, although studies have also considered other related specific outcomes such as diabetes and congenital heart disease. The data on particle characteristics is usually not very detailed and most often includes some combination of PM2.5, PM10, sulphate, and NO2. Other descriptors that are less commonly found include particle number (ultrafine particles), metal components of PM, local traffic intensity, and EC/OC. Measures of association are usually reported per 10 μg/m3 or interquartile range increase in pollutant concentration. As the exposure data are taken from regional monitoring stations, the measurements are not representative of an individual's exposure. Particle size is an important descriptor for understanding where in the human respiratory system the particles will deposit: as a general rule, smaller particles penetrate to deeper regions of the lungs. Initial studies on the health effects of particulate matter focused on mass of the particles, including either all particles (often termed total suspended particulate or TSP) or PM10 (all particles with an aerodynamic diameter less than 10 μm). More recently, studies have considered both PM10 and PM2.5, with the latter corresponding more directly to combustion-related processes. UFPs are a dominant source of particles in terms of PNC, yet are negligible in terms of mass. Very few epidemiology studies have measured the effect of UFPs on health; however, the numbers of studies on this topic are increasing. In addition to size, chemical composition is of importance when understanding the toxicity of particles. Some studies consider the composition of particles in addition to mass; however this is not common, in part due the cost and labour involved in such analyses.

Laitteen elinkaaritietoon perustuvien asiakasarvopohjaisten palveluiden kehittäminen

Työssä tutkitaan asiakasarvopohjaisten elinkaaritietoon perustuvien palveluiden kehittämistä. Tavoitteena on löytää asiakasarvo tuulivoimaliiketoiminnassa, selvittää mitä palveluja voidaan tuottaa elinkaaritietoon pohjautuen ja millainen kehitysprosessi palveluille ABB:n ympäristössä voidaan kuvata. Tutkimusongelmaa on tarkasteltuLCB-tutkimusprojektin tulosten ja kirjallisuuden pohjalta. Teoriat voidaan jakaa kolmeen osaan, asiakasarvoon, dataan ja kehitysprosessiin. Ensimmäisessä osassa keskitytään tarjoaman muutokseen, rooleihin liiketoimintaverkostossa ja asiakasarvon laskennalliseen määritykseen. Toisessa osassa keskitytään datan palveluksi jalostamiseen ja kolmannessa palvelun kehitysprosessin tutkimiseen. Tutkimustuloksia on verifioitu case-tutkimuksen avulla ja erästä asiakasta on lähestytty case-tapauksena haastattelun avulla. Asiakas on profiloitu haastattelun perusteella tavoitteena löytää asiakasarvo ja kiinnostus uusia palveluja kohtaan. Uusia palveluita on kehitetty sekä eksplisiittisen että hiljaisen tiedon pohjalta. Näiden pohjalta on luotu toimivia palvelukonsepteja ja ideointivaiheen kehitysprosessi on dokumentoitu. Työstä on tehty kaksi eri versiota, joista tämä on suppeampi.

Voimalaitoksen ylläpitosuunnitelma

Tässä diplomityössä on tehtyylläpitosuunnitelma Oulun Energian Toppila 1 - voimalaitokselle, jota on tavoitteena käyttää vuoteen 2015. Työssä on tarkasteltu aluksi voimalaitoksen tulevaisuuden käytön näkymiä ja tärkeimpien järjestelmien käyttökuntoa. Kattilalaitoksenkriittisille komponenteille on suoritettu ylläpito- ja epäkäytettävyyskustannusten vertailu sekä pyritty selvittämään komponenteille paras ylläpitomalli. Turbiinille on analysoitu erilaisia revisio- ja tarkastusmahdollisuuksia, ja vertailtu niistä muodostuvia kustannuksia. Tulosten perusteella voidaan sanoa, että tehostetut ylläpitotoimenpiteet ovat jatkossa kriittisille komponenteille taloudellisin ylläpitomalli, koska riittävällä määrällä tarkastuksia jakorjauksia voidaan hallita ongelmallisimpien komponenttien vaurioitumiskäyttäytymistä. Jos voimalaitosta käytetään vuoteen 2015, saattavat uusia investointeja olla eko I, eko II ja tertiääritulistin. Tämän työn perusteella investointeja eikannata tehdä, mutta komponenttien kuntoa sen sijaan on syytä arvioida vuosittain. Turbiinin kriittiset komponentit vaikuttaisivat olevan suhteellisen hyvässä kunnossa. Suurimmat vaurioitumismahdollisuudet liittyvät juoksusiipien väsymisvaurioihin.

Kunnossapito käyttöomaisuuden arvon ja tuottokyvyn ylläpidon tukena laitoksen elinkaaren aikana

Työssä tutkittiin kunnossapidon mahdollisuuksia vaikuttaa laitoksen elinkaareen ja elinkaaren aikaisiin kustannuksiin. Lisäksi tutkittiin teknisen suunnittelun vaikutusta kunnossapidettävyyteen ja laitoksen elinkaarikustannuksiin. Työn kirjallisuusosassa on tarkasteltu nykyaikaisia kunnossapidon menetelmiä.Erityisesti on tutkittu luotettavuuskeskeistä kunnossapitoa ja kunnossapidon tehtäviä laitoksen elinkaaren aikana. Investoinnin laitevalinnoilla ja niiden suunnittelulla on myös merkittävä vaikutus käyttöön ja erityisesti kunnossapitoon. Työn empiirisessä osassa selvitettiin Botnia Mill Servicen jaMetsä - Botnian toimintamalleja Joutsenon sellutehtaalla. Erityisesti keskityttiin suuriin korjauksiin ja niiden kustannusten hallintaan. Myös kunnossapidon toimintamallia ja sen kehittämistä on tutkittu. Kokeellisessa osassa selvitettiin kunnossapidolle tyypillinen toimintamalli laitoksen elinkaaren hallintaa varten. Tehdyn selvityksen pohjalta voidaan todeta, että pitkän tähtäimen suunnittelu luo pohjaa kustannusten hallinnalle ja laitteiden kunnon ylläpidolle. Suunnittelun aikajänne tulisi olla laitteiden kunnostusten osalta vähintään kolme vuotta. Koko laitoksen kattava elinkaarisuunnitelma on hyvä laatia joheti käyttöönottovaiheen jälkeen. Pitkäjänteisellä suunnittelulla ja sen toteutuksella pystytään parhaalla mahdollisella tavalla ylläpitämään käyttöomaisuuden arvo. Kunnossapidolla on mahdollisuus vaikuttaa laitoksen käyttöomaisuuden arvonylläpitoon hallitsemalla elinkaarikustannuksia. Kunnossapidon onnistuneen toteutuksen takaa oikeanlainen johtaminen ja jatkuva osaamisen ylläpito. Myös kunnossapidossa sovitut toimintamallit ja järjestelmien jatkuva ylläpito ja kehittäminen takaavat onnistuneen toiminnan.

Käytettävyyspalvelu Infranet-liiketoiminnassa

Vapautuneet sähkömarkkinat sekä yhteiskunnan kasvanut riippuvuus katkeamattomasta sähkön saannista ovat kannustaneet palveluntoimittajia kehittämään uusia palvelukonsepteja tyydyttämään sähköverkkoyhtiöihin kohdistuneita kasvavia vaatimuksia. Yhtenä ratkaisuna esitetään käytettävyyspalvelun tarjoamista, jolla palveluntoimittaja takaa tietyn käytettävyystason tietyllä vuosimaksulla. Samoin palveluntoimittaja antaa arvolupauksen, että käytettävyystaso saavutetaan tai palveluntoimittaja joutuu maksamaan sakkoa asiakkaalle. Käytettävyyden parantamisella pyritään parantamaan katkeamatonta sähkönsiirtoa. Tämän seurauksena keskeytyskustannukset ja loppukäyttäjille maksettavat vakiokorvaukset pienenevät. Sähköverkkoyhtiöt eivät kuitenkaan ole vielä valmiita ulkoistamaan toimintaansa siinä määrin, mitä palveluntoimittaja vaatisi voidakseen toimittaa käytettävyyspalvelua ja kantaa kokonaisvastuun asiakkaan tuloksesta. Näin ollen käytettävyyspalvelun ei ole mandollinen tämän hetken verkkoliiketoiminnassa, vaan sen sijaan tulisi puhua elinkaaripalveluista. Elinkaaripalveluiden avulla voitaisiin sitoa asiakas vahvasti yhteen palveluntoimittajaan verkkojen suunnittelusta purkuun saakka.