Climate Change and Water Resources Management: A Federal Perspective

Many challenges, including climate change, face the Nation’s water managers. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has provided estimates of how climate may change, but more understanding of the processes driving the changes, the sequences of the changes, and the manifestation of these global changes at different scales could be beneficial. Since the changes will likely affect fundamental drivers of the hydrological cycle, climate change may have a large impact on water resources and water resources managers. The purpose of this interagency report prepared by the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), U.S. Army Corps of Engineers (USACE), Bureau of Reclamation (Reclamation), and National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) is to explore strategies to improve water management by tracking, anticipating, and responding to climate change. The key points below briefly summarize the chapters in this report and represent underlying assumptions needed to address the many impacts of climate change.

Eutrophication and macroalgal blooms in temperate and tropical coastal waters: nutrient enrichment experiments with Ulva spp.

Receiving coastal waters and estuaries are among the most nutrient-enriched environments on earth, and one of the symptoms of the resulting eutrophication is the proliferation of opportunistic, fast-growing marine seaweeds. Here, we used a widespread macroalga often involved in blooms, Ulva spp., to investigate how supply of nitrogen (N) and phosphorus (P), the two main potential growth-limiting nutrients, influence macroalgal growth in temperate and tropical coastal waters ranging from low- to high-nutrient supplies. We carried out N and P enrichment field experiments on Ulva spp. in seven coastal systems, with one of these systems represented by three different subestuaries, for a total of nine sites. We showed that rate of growth of Ulva spp. was directly correlated to annual dissolved inorganic nitrogen (DIN) concentrations, where growth increased with increasing DIN concentration. Internal N pools of macroalgal fronds were also linked to increased DIN supply, and algal growth rates were tightly coupled to these internal N pools. The increases in DIN appeared to be related to greater inputs of wastewater to these coastal waters as indicated by high delta 15N signatures of the algae as DIN increased. N and P enrichment experiments showed that rate of macroalgal growth was controlled by supply of DIN where ambient DIN concentrations were low, and by P where DIN concentrations were higher, regardless of latitude or geographic setting. These results suggest that understanding the basis for macroalgal blooms, and management of these harmful phenomena, will require information as to nutrient sources, and actions to reduce supply of N and P in coastal waters concerned.

Atmospheric conditions, lunar phases, and childbirth: a multivariate analysis

Our objective was to assess extrinsic influences upon childbirth. In a cohort of 1,826 days containing 17,417 childbirths among them 13,252 spontaneous labor admissions, we studied the influence of environment upon the high incidence of labor (defined by 75th percentile or higher), analyzed by logistic regression. The predictors of high labor admission included increases in outdoor temperature (odds ratio: 1.742, P = 0.045, 95%CI: 1.011 to 3.001), and decreases in atmospheric pressure (odds ratio: 1.269, P = 0.029, 95%CI: 1.055 to 1.483). In contrast, increases in tidal range were associated with a lower probability of high admission (odds ratio: 0.762, P = 0.030, 95%CI: 0.515 to 0.999). Lunar phase was not a predictor of high labor admission (P = 0.339). Using multivariate analysis, increases in temperature and decreases in atmospheric pressure predicted high labor admission, and increases of tidal range, as a measurement of the lunar gravitational force, predicted a lower probability of high admission.

The Southern Ocean and Its Climate in CCSM4

The new Community Climate System Model, version 4 (CCSM4), provides a powerful tool to understand and predict the earth's climate system. Several aspects of the Southern Ocean in the CCSM4 are explored, including the surface climatology and interannual variability, simulation of key climate water masses (Antarctic Bottom Water, Subantarctic Mode Water, and Antarctic Intermediate Water), the transport and structure of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current, and interbasin exchange via the Agulhas and Tasman leakages and at the Brazil-Malvinas Confluence. It is found that the CCSM4 has varying degrees of accuracy in the simulation of the climate of the Southern Ocean when compared with observations. This study has identified aspects of the model that warrant further analysis that will result in a more comprehensive understanding of ocean-atmosphere-ice dynamics and interactions that control the earth's climate and its variability.

The Global Paleomonsoon as seen through speleothem records from Asia and the Americas

The regional monsoons of the world have long been viewed as seasonal atmospheric circulation reversal-analogous to a thermally-driven land-sea breeze on a continental scale. This conventional view of monsoons is now being integrated at a global scale and accordingly, a new paradigm has emerged which considers regional monsoons to be manifestations of global-scale seasonal changes in response to overturning of atmospheric circulation in the tropics and subtropics, and henceforth, interactive components of a singular Global Monsoon (GM) system. The paleoclimate community, however, tends to view 'paleomonsoon' (PM), largely in terms of regional circulation phenomena. In the past decade, many high-quality speleothem oxygen isotope (delta O-18) records have been established from the Asian Monsoon and the South American Monsoon regions that primarily reflect changes in the integrated intensities of monsoons on orbital-to-decadal timescales. With the emergence of these high-resolution and absolute-dated records from both sides of the Equator, it is now possible to test a concept of the 'Global-Paleo-Monsoon' (GPM) on a wide-range of timescales. Here we present a comprehensive synthesis of globally-distributed speleothem delta O-18 records and highlight three aspects of the GPM that are comparable to the modern GM: (1) the GPM intensity swings on different timescales; (2) their global extent; and (3) an anti-phased inter-hemispheric relationship between the Asian and South American monsoon systems on a wide range of timescales.

Structure and properties of intermetallic ternary rare earth compounds

The so called material science is an always growing field in modern research. For the development of new materials not only the experimental characterization but also theoretical calculation of the electronic structure plays an important role. A class of compounds that has attracted a great deal of attention in recent years is known as REME compounds. These compounds are often referred to with RE designating rare earth, actinide or an element from group 1 - 4, M representing a late transition metal from groups 8 - 12, and E belonging to groups 13 - 15. There are more than 2000 compounds with 1:1:1 stoichiometry belonging to this class of compounds and they offer a broad variety of different structure types. Although many REME compounds are know to exist, mainly only structure and magnetism has been determined for these compounds. In particular, in the field of electronic and transport properties relatively few efforts have been made. The main focus in this study is on compounds crystallizing in MgAgAs and LiGaGe structure. Both structures can only be found among 18 valence electron compounds. The f electrons are localized and therefor not count as valence electrons. A special focus here was also on the magnetoresistance effects and spintronic properties found among the REME compounds. An examination of the following compounds was made: GdAuE (E = In, Cd, Mg), GdPdSb, GdNiSb, REAuSn (RE = Gd, Er, Tm) and RENiBi (RE = Pr, Sm, Gd - Tm, Lu). The experimental results were compared with theoretic band structure calculations. The first half metallic ferromagnet with LiGaGe structure (GdPdSb) was found. All semiconducting REME compounds with MgAgAs structure show giant magnetoresistance (GMR) at low temperatures. The GMR is related to a metal-insulator transition, and the value of the GMR depends on the value of the spin-orbit coupling. Inhomogeneous DyNiBi samples show a small positive MR at low temperature that depends on the amount of metallic impurities. At higher fields the samples show a negative GMR. Inhomogeneous nonmagnetic LuNiBi samples show no negative GMR, but a large positive MR of 27.5% at room temperature, which is interesting for application.

Advanced spectroscopic techniques and chemometric analysis for atmospheric organic aerosol characterization and source apportionment

Atmospheric aerosol particles directly impact air quality and participate in controlling the climate system. Organic Aerosol (OA) in general accounts for a large fraction (10–90%) of the global submicron (PM1) particulate mass. Chemometric methods for source identification are used in many disciplines, but methods relying on the analysis of NMR datasets are rarely used in atmospheric sciences. This thesis provides an original application of NMR-based chemometric methods to atmospheric OA source apportionment. The method was tested on chemical composition databases obtained from samples collected at different environments in Europe, hence exploring the impact of a great diversity of natural and anthropogenic sources. We focused on sources of water-soluble OA (WSOA), for which NMR analysis provides substantial advantages compared to alternative methods. Different factor analysis techniques are applied independently to NMR datasets from nine field campaigns of the project EUCAARI and allowed the identification of recurrent source contributions to WSOA in European background troposphere: 1) Marine SOA; 2) Aliphatic amines from ground sources (agricultural activities, etc.); 3) Biomass burning POA; 4) Biogenic SOA from terpene oxidation; 5) “Aged” SOAs, including humic-like substances (HULIS); 6) Other factors possibly including contributions from Primary Biological Aerosol Particles, and products of cooking activities. Biomass burning POA accounted for more than 50% of WSOC in winter months. Aged SOA associated with HULIS was predominant (> 75%) during the spring-summer, suggesting that secondary sources and transboundary transport become more important in spring and summer. Complex aerosol measurements carried out, involving several foreign research groups, provided the opportunity to compare source apportionment results obtained by NMR analysis with those provided by more widespread Aerodyne aerosol mass spectrometers (AMS) techniques that now provided categorization schemes of OA which are becoming a standard for atmospheric chemists. Results emerging from this thesis partly confirm AMS classification and partly challenge it.

Isoprene oxidation and its impacts on the atmospheric composition

Terrestrische Vegetation, vor allem tropischer Regenwald, emittiert grosse Mengen flüchtiger organischer Verbindungen (VOCs) in die rnAtmosphäre, die durch Oxidationsreaktionen und Deposition der Reaktionsprodukte wieder entfernt werden. Die Oxidation wird vor allem durch Hydroxyl-Radikale (OH) initiiert, die hauptsächlich durch Photodissoziation von Ozon gebildet werden. Zuvor ging man davon aus, dass biogene VOCs OH in unverschmutzter Luft abbauen und dadurch die atmosphärische Oxidationskapazität verringern. Umgekehrt, führt rndie Oxidation von VOCs in verschmutzter Luft durch die katalytische Wirkung von Stickstoffoxiden (NOx = NO + NO2) zu schädlicher Oxidationsmittelbildung. Flugzeugmessungen atmosphärischer Spurengase, die über dem unberührten Amazonas-Regenwald durchgeführt worden sind, haben jedoch unerwartet hohe OH-Konzentrationen aufgezeigt. Das VOC mit der höchsten Emission in dieser Region war Isopren, dessen Oxidation als stärkeste OH-Senke berechnet wurde. In dieser Arbeit wurde die Hypothese genauestens untersucht, dass die natürliche Isopren-Oxidation in niedrig-NOx Luft OH effizient erneuert. Es wurde ein sehr detaillierter Oxidationsmechanismus für Isopren entwickelt, in dem neueste experimentelle und theoretische Fortschritte umgesetzt worden sind. Die Haupt-OH-Rückgewinnungswege wurden angewendet wodurch gezeigt wurde, dass sie wesentlich zur Oxidation unter niedrig-NOx Bedingungen beitragen. Verstärkte OH-Konzentrationen blieben unter verminderten Lichtverhältnissen, wie sie unter dichten Vegetationsdächern typisch sind, dauerhaft erhalten. Im Vergleich zu Flugzeugmessungen, der neue Oxidationsmechanismus reproduziert die OH-Konzentrationen innerhalb des Unsicherheitsbereiches. Darüber hinaus zeigten Simulationen eine erhebliche Produktion eines Isopren-Dihydroxyepoxids, das ein potenziell wichtiger Vorläufer organischer Aerosole in der Atmosphäre sein könnte. Es wurde einen neuen vereinfachten Oxidationsmechanismus auf Basis des traditionellen Wissenstands entwickelt und seine Anwendung für globale atmosphärische Studien getestet. Die Eingliederung der neuen Oxidationswege in diesen Mechanismus ermöglicht es folgende Auswirkungen der verstärkten VOC-Oxidation zu studieren die Zusammensetzung der Atmosphäre, den Austausch zwischen Erdoberfläche und Atmosphäre, Aerosole und Klima.

Atmospheric heterogeneous reactions of N 2 O 5 and NO 3 radicals with mineral dust particles

Die heterogenen Reaktionen von N2O5 bzw. NO3 auf mineralischen Staubpartikeln wurden untersucht, um deren Einfluss auf den Abbau atmosphärischer Stickoxide (NOx) sowie auf die chemische Veränderung der Staubpartikel während ihres Transportes durch die Atmosphäre besser verstehen zu können. Die experimentellen Studien wurden bei Atmosphärendruck, Raumtemperatur und unterschiedlichen relativen Luftfeuchten durchgeführt. Der Aufnahmekoeffizient γ(N2O5) von N2O5 auf dispergiertem Staub aus der Sahara wurde zu 0,020 ± 0,002 (1σ) bestimmt, unabhängig von der relativen Feuchte (0 - 67 %) sowie der N2O5-Konzentration (5x1011 - 3x1013 Moleküle cm-3).rnDie Analyse der Reaktionsprodukte in der Gasphase sowie auf der Partikeloberfläche führt zu der Annahme, dass N2O5 auf der Staubpartikeloberfläche zu Nitrat hydrolysiert wird. Es konnte kein Einfluss der relativen Feuchte auf den Aufnahmekoeffizienten ermittelt werden, was durch das vorhandene interlamellare Wasser, welches bis zu 10 % der Partikelmasse betragen kann, erklärbar ist. Der gemessene Wert des Aufnahmekoeffizienten ist unabhängig von der Eingangs-N2O5-Konzentration, was sich über die sehr große innere Oberfläche der Partikel erklären lässt. Dennoch ließ sich durch eine vorherige Konditionierung der Partikel mit gasförmigem HNO3, was eine Nitratanreicherung an der Oberfläche bewirkt, die Effizienz der N2O5-Aufnahme auf die Staubpartikel reduzieren. Zusätzliche Studien befassten sich mit der Bestimmung des Aufnahmekoeffizienten von N2O5 auf Illit-Partikeln und auf Teststaub aus Arizona. Bei einer relativen Luftfeuchte von 0 % wurden für γ(N2O5) Werte von 0,084 ± 0,019 (1σ) für Illit und von 0,010 ± 0,001 (1σ) für Arizona Teststaub ermittelt.rnUnter Anwendung einer neuartigen Messmethode, die auf der zeitgleichen Messung der Konzentrationsabnahme von NO3 und N2O5 relativ zueinander beruht, wurde das Verhältnis γ(NO3)/γ(N2O5) der Aufnahmekoeffizienten von NO3 und N2O5 auf Saharastaub zu 0,9 ± 0,4 (1σ) bestimmt. Dieser Wert war unabhängig von der relativen Feuchte, den NO3- und N2O5-Konzentrationen sowie der Reaktionszeit, obwohl eine Oberflächendeaktivierung für beide Spurenstoffe beobachtet wurde.

Development and application of an analytical method for the determination of total atmospheric biogenic non-methane organic carbon

Ein wesentlicher Anteil an organischem Kohlenstoff, der in der Atmosphäre vorhanden ist, wird als leichtflüchtige organische Verbindungen gefunden. Diese werden überwiegend durch die Biosphäre freigesetzt. Solche biogenen Emissionen haben einen großen Einfluss auf die chemischen und physikalischen Eigenschaften der Atmosphäre, indem sie zur Bildung von bodennahem Ozon und sekundären organischen Aerosolen beitragen. Um die Bildung von bodennahem Ozon und von sekundären organischen Aerosolen besser zu verstehen, ist die technische Fähigkeit zur genauen Messung der Summe dieser flüchtigen organischen Substanzen notwendig. Häufig verwendete Methoden sind nur auf den Nachweis von spezifischen Nicht-Methan-Kohlenwasserstoffverbindungen fokussiert. Die Summe dieser Einzelverbindungen könnte gegebenenfalls aber nur eine Untergrenze an atmosphärischen organischen Kohlenstoffkonzentrationen darstellen, da die verfügbaren Methoden nicht in der Lage sind, alle organischen Verbindungen in der Atmosphäre zu analysieren. Einige Studien sind bekannt, die sich mit der Gesamtkohlenstoffbestimmung von Nicht-Methan-Kohlenwasserstoffverbindung in Luft beschäftigt haben, aber Messungen des gesamten organischen Nicht-Methan-Verbindungsaustauschs zwischen Vegetation und Atmosphäre fehlen. Daher untersuchten wir die Gesamtkohlenstoffbestimmung organische Nicht-Methan-Verbindungen aus biogenen Quellen. Die Bestimmung des organischen Gesamtkohlenstoffs wurde durch Sammeln und Anreichern dieser Verbindungen auf einem festen Adsorptionsmaterial realisiert. Dieser erste Schritt war notwendig, um die stabilen Gase CO, CO2 und CH4 von der organischen Kohlenstofffraktion zu trennen. Die organischen Verbindungen wurden thermisch desorbiert und zu CO2 oxidiert. Das aus der Oxidation entstandene CO2 wurde auf einer weiteren Anreicherungseinheit gesammelt und durch thermische Desorption und anschließende Detektion mit einem Infrarot-Gasanalysator analysiert. Als große Schwierigkeiten identifizierten wir (i) die Abtrennung von CO2 aus der Umgebungsluft von der organischen Kohlenstoffverbindungsfaktion während der Anreicherung sowie (ii) die Widerfindungsraten der verschiedenen Nicht-Methan-Kohlenwasserstoff-verbindungen vom Adsorptionsmaterial, (iii) die Wahl des Katalysators sowie (iiii) auftretende Interferenzen am Detektor des Gesamtkohlenstoffanalysators. Die Wahl eines Pt-Rd Drahts als Katalysator führte zu einem bedeutenden Fortschritt in Bezug auf die korrekte Ermittlung des CO2-Hintergrund-Signals. Dies war notwendig, da CO2 auch in geringen Mengen auf der Adsorptionseinheit während der Anreicherung der leichtflüchtigen organischen Substanzen gesammelt wurde. Katalytische Materialien mit hohen Oberflächen stellten sich als unbrauchbar für diese Anwendung heraus, weil trotz hoher Temperaturen eine CO2-Aufnahme und eine spätere Abgabe durch das Katalysatormaterial beobachtet werden konnte. Die Methode wurde mit verschiedenen leichtflüchtigen organischen Einzelsubstanzen sowie in zwei Pflanzenkammer-Experimenten mit einer Auswahl an VOC-Spezies getestet, die von unterschiedlichen Pflanzen emittiert wurden. Die Pflanzenkammer-messungen wurden durch GC-MS und PTR-MS Messungen begleitet. Außerdem wurden Kalibrationstests mit verschiedenen Einzelsubstanzen aus Permeations-/Diffusionsquellen durchgeführt. Der Gesamtkohlenstoffanalysator konnte den tageszeitlichen Verlauf der Pflanzenemissionen bestätigen. Allerdings konnten Abweichungen für die Mischungsverhältnisse des organischen Gesamtkohlenstoffs von bis zu 50% im Vergleich zu den begleitenden Standardmethoden beobachtet werden.

Novel metallo-porphyrin based colourimetric amine sensors and their processing via plasma enhanced chemical vapour deposition at atmospheric pressure : synthesis, characterisation and mechanistic studies

Volatile amines are prominent indicators of food freshness, as they are produced during many microbiological food degradation processes. Monitoring and indicating the volatile amine concentration within the food package by intelligent packaging solutions might therefore be a simple yet powerful way to control food safety throughout the distribution chain.rnrnIn this context, this work aims to the formation of colourimetric amine sensing surfaces on different substrates, especially transparent PET packaging foil. The colour change of the deposited layers should ideally be discernible by the human eye to facilitate the determination by the end-user. rnrnDifferent tailored zinc(II) and chromium(III) metalloporphyrins have been used as chromophores for the colourimetric detection of volatile amines. A new concept to increase the porphyrins absorbance change upon exposure to amines is introduced. Moreover, the novel porphyrins’ processability during the deposition process is increased by their enhanced solubility in non-polar solvents.rnrnThe porphyrin chromophores have successfully been incorporated into polysiloxane matrices on different substrates via a dielectric barrier discharge enhanced chemical vapour deposition. This process allows the use of nitrogen as a cheap and abundant plasma gas, produces minor amounts of waste and by-products and can be easily introduced into (existing) roll-to-roll production lines. The formed hybrid sensing layers tightly incorporate the porphyrins and moreover form a porous structure to facilitate the amines diffusion to and interaction with the chromophores.rnrnThe work is completed with the thorough analysis of the porphyrins’ amine sensing performance in solution as well as in the hybrid coatings . To reveal the underlying interaction mechanisms, the experimental results are supported by DFT calculations. The deposited layers could be used for the detection of NEt3 concentrations below 10 ppm in the gas phase. Moreover, the coated foils have been tested in preliminary food storage experiments. rnrnThe mechanistic investigations on the interaction of amines with chromium(III) porphyrins revealed a novel pathway to the formation of chromium(IV) oxido porphyrins. This has been used for electrochemical epoxidation reactions with dioxygen as the formal terminal oxidant.rn

Development, characterization, and application of flowing atmospheric-pressure afterglow ionization for mass spectrometric analysis of ambient organic aerosols

Addressing current limitations of state-of-the-art instrumentation in aerosol research, the aim of this work was to explore and assess the applicability of a novel soft ionization technique, namely flowing atmospheric-pressure afterglow (FAPA), for the mass spectrometric analysis of airborne particulate organic matter. Among other soft ionization methods, the FAPA ionization technique was developed in the last decade during the advent of ambient desorption/ionization mass spectrometry (ADI–MS). Based on a helium glow discharge plasma at atmospheric-pressure, excited helium species and primary reagent ions are generated which exit the discharge region through a capillary electrode, forming the so-called afterglow region where desorption and ionization of the analytes occurs. Commonly, fragmentation of the analytes during ionization is reported to occur only to a minimum extent, predominantly resulting in the formation of quasimolecular ions, i.e. [M+H]+ and [M–H]– in the positive and the negative ion mode, respectively. Thus, identification and detection of signals and their corresponding compounds is facilitated in the acquired mass spectra. The focus of the first part of this study lies on the application, characterization and assessment of FAPA–MS in the offline mode, i.e. desorption and ionization of the analytes from surfaces. Experiments in both positive and negative ion mode revealed ionization patterns for a variety of compound classes comprising alkanes, alcohols, aldehydes, ketones, carboxylic acids, organic peroxides, and alkaloids. Besides the always emphasized detection of quasimolecular ions, a broad range of signals for adducts and losses was found. Additionally, the capabilities and limitations of the technique were studied in three proof-of-principle applications. In general, the method showed to be best suited for polar analytes with high volatilities and low molecular weights, ideally containing nitrogen- and/or oxygen functionalities. However, for compounds with low vapor pressures, containing long carbon chains and/or high molecular weights, desorption and ionization is in direct competition with oxidation of the analytes, leading to the formation of adducts and oxidation products which impede a clear signal assignment in the acquired mass spectra. Nonetheless, FAPA–MS showed to be capable of detecting and identifying common limonene oxidation products in secondary OA (SOA) particles on a filter sample and, thus, is considered a suitable method for offline analysis of OA particles. In the second as well as the subsequent parts, FAPA–MS was applied online, i.e. for real time analysis of OA particles suspended in air. Therefore, the acronym AeroFAPA–MS (i.e. Aerosol FAPA–MS) was chosen to refer to this method. After optimization and characterization, the method was used to measure a range of model compounds and to evaluate typical ionization patterns in the positive and the negative ion mode. In addition, results from laboratory studies as well as from a field campaign in Central Europe (F–BEACh 2014) are presented and discussed. During the F–BEACh campaign AeroFAPA–MS was used in combination with complementary MS techniques, giving a comprehensive characterization of the sampled OA particles. For example, several common SOA marker compounds were identified in real time by MSn experiments, indicating that photochemically aged SOA particles were present during the campaign period. Moreover, AeroFAPA–MS was capable of detecting highly oxidized sulfur-containing compounds in the particle phase, presenting the first real-time measurements of this compound class. Further comparisons with data from other aerosol and gas-phase measurements suggest that both particulate sulfate as well as highly oxidized peroxyradicals in the gas phase might play a role during formation of these species. Besides applying AeroFAPA–MS for the analysis of aerosol particles, desorption processes of particles in the afterglow region were investigated in order to gain a more detailed understanding of the method. While during the previous measurements aerosol particles were pre-evaporated prior to AeroFAPA–MS analysis, in this part no external heat source was applied. Particle size distribution measurements before and after the AeroFAPA source revealed that only an interfacial layer of OA particles is desorbed and, thus, chemically characterized. For particles with initial diameters of 112 nm, desorption radii of 2.5–36.6 nm were found at discharge currents of 15–55 mA from these measurements. In addition, the method was applied for the analysis of laboratory-generated core-shell particles in a proof-of-principle study. As expected, predominantly compounds residing in the shell of the particles were desorbed and ionized with increasing probing depths, suggesting that AeroFAPA–MS might represent a promising technique for depth profiling of OA particles in future studies.

Exploration of the Potential Energy Surfaces, Prediction of Atmospheric Concentrations, and Prediction of Vibrational Spectra for the HO2···(H2O)n (n = 1−2) Hydrogen Bonded Complexes

The hydroperoxy radical (HO2) plays a critical role in Earth's atmospheric chemistry as a component of many important reactions. The self-reaction of hydroperoxy radicals in the gas phase is strongly affected by the presence of water vapor. In this work, we explore the potential energy surfaces of hydroperoxy radicals hydrogen bonded to one or two water molecules, and predict atmospheric concentrations and vibrational spectra of these complexes. We predict that when the HO2 concentration is on the order of 108molecules·cm-3 at 298 K, that the number of HO2···H2O complexes is on the order of 107molecules·cm-3 and the number of HO2···(H2O)2 complexes is on the order of 106molecules·cm-3. Using the computed abundance of HO2···H2O, we predict that, at 298 K, the bimolecular rate constant for HO2···H2O + HO2 is about 10 times that for HO2 + HO2.

Circulation dynamics and its influence on European and Mediterranean January-April climate over the past half millennium: results and insights from instrumental data, documentary evidence and coupled climate models

We use long instrumental temperature series together with available field reconstructions of sea-level pressure (SLP) and three-dimensional climate model simulations to analyze relations between temperature anomalies and atmospheric circulation patterns over much of Europe and the Mediterranean for the late winter/early spring (January–April, JFMA) season. A Canonical Correlation Analysis (CCA) investigates interannual to interdecadal covariability between a new gridded SLP field reconstruction and seven long instrumental temperature series covering the past 250 years. We then present and discuss prominent atmospheric circulation patterns related to anomalous warm and cold JFMA conditions within different European areas spanning the period 1760–2007. Next, using a data assimilation technique, we link gridded SLP data with a climate model (EC-Bilt-Clio) for a better dynamical understanding of the relationship between large scale circulation and European climate. We thus present an alternative approach to reconstruct climate for the pre-instrumental period based on the assimilated model simulations. Furthermore, we present an independent method to extend the dynamic circulation analysis for anomalously cold European JFMA conditions back to the sixteenth century. To this end, we use documentary records that are spatially representative for the long instrumental records and derive, through modern analogs, large-scale SLP, surface temperature and precipitation fields. The skill of the analog method is tested in the virtual world of two three-dimensional climate simulations (ECHO-G and HadCM3). This endeavor offers new possibilities to both constrain climate model into a reconstruction mode (through the assimilation approach) and to better asses documentary data in a quantitative way.