Extensive variation at MHC DRB in the New Zealand sea lion (Phocarctos hookeri) provides evidence for balancing selection.

Marine mammals are often reported to possess reduced variation of major histocompatibility complex (MHC) genes compared with their terrestrial counterparts. We evaluated diversity at two MHC class II B genes, DQB and DRB, in the New Zealand sea lion (Phocarctos hookeri, NZSL) a species that has suffered high mortality owing to bacterial epizootics, using Sanger sequencing and haplotype reconstruction, together with next-generation sequencing. Despite this species' prolonged history of small population size and highly restricted distribution, we demonstrate extensive diversity at MHC DRB with 26 alleles, whereas MHC DQB is dimorphic. We identify four DRB codons, predicted to be involved in antigen binding, that are evolving under adaptive evolution. Our data suggest diversity at DRB may be maintained by balancing selection, consistent with the role of this locus as an antigen-binding region and the species' recent history of mass mortality during a series of bacterial epizootics. Phylogenetic analyses of DQB and DRB sequences from pinnipeds and other carnivores revealed significant allelic diversity, but little phylogenetic depth or structure among pinniped alleles; thus, we could neither confirm nor refute the possibility of trans-species polymorphism in this group. The phylogenetic pattern observed however, suggests some significant evolutionary constraint on these loci in the recent past, with the pattern consistent with that expected following an epizootic event. These data may help further elucidate some of the genetic factors underlying the unusually high susceptibility to bacterial infection of the threatened NZSL, and help us to better understand the extent and pattern of MHC diversity in pinnipeds.

Effect of immune pressure on hepatitis C virus evolution: insights from a single-source outbreak.

The host's immune response to hepatitis C virus (HCV) can result in the selection of characteristic mutations (adaptations) that enable the virus to escape this response. The ability of the virus to mutate at these sites is dependent on the incoming virus, the fitness cost incurred by the mutation, and the benefit to the virus in escaping the response. Studies examining viral adaptation in chronic HCV infection have shown that these characteristic immune escape mutations can be observed at the population level as human leukocyte antigen (HLA)-specific viral polymorphisms. We examined 63 individuals with chronic HCV infection who were infected from a single HCV genotype 1b source. Our aim was to determine the extent to which the host's immune pressure affects HCV diversity and the ways in which the sequence of the incoming virus, including preexisting escape mutations, can influence subsequent mutations in recipients and infection outcomes. Conclusion: HCV sequences from these individuals revealed 29 significant associations between specific HLA types within the new hosts and variations within their viruses, which likely represent new viral adaptations. These associations did not overlap with previously reported adaptations for genotypes 1a and 3a and possibly reflected a combination of constraint due to the incoming virus and genetic distance between the strains. However, these sites accounted for only a portion of the sites in which viral diversity was observed in the new hosts. Furthermore, preexisting viral adaptations in the incoming (source) virus likely influenced the outcomes in the new hosts.

Alternation and Cooperation in a Two-party System: Implications for Resource-Based Developing Economies

This paper studies cooperation in a political system dominated by two opportunistic parties competing in a resource-based economy. Since a binding agreement as an external solution might be difficult to enforce due to the close association between the incumbent party and the government, the paper explores the extent to which co-operation between political parties that alternate in office can rely on self-enforcing strategies to provide an internal solution. We show that, for appropriate values of the probability of re-election and the discount factor cooperation in maintaining the value of a state variable is possible, but fragile. Another result is that, in such political framework, debt decisions contain an externality element linked to electoral incentives that creates a bias towards excessive borrowing.

PUC: préstamo consorciado de las bibliotecas del CBUC

Se describe brevemente el estado de la cuestión sobre el préstamo interbibliotecario (PI) consorciado a nivel internacional, y se explican las limitaciones del anterior servicio de PI del Consorci de Biblioteques Universitàries de Catalunya (CBUC) y su evolución hacia el nuevo servicio de préstamo de libros, el PUC, que se ha implementado recientemente. Se detalla la selección del software, el reglamento, la logística del PUC y su funcionamiento técnico. Se destacan las mejoras que ha supuesto el PUC como la de ser un servicio iniciado por el propio usuario, que puede pedir el libro a través del Catàleg Col·lectiu de les Universitats de Catalunya (CCUC) directamente a la biblioteca que lo tiene, sin mediación del personal de biblioteca y la reducción del tiempo de espera y de costes que esto supone.

Crises as a disease of the body politick: a metaphor in the history of nineteenth century economics

This paper examines the use of the medical metaphor in the early theories of crises. It first considers the borrowing of medical terminology and generic references to disease which, notwithstanding their relatively trivial character, illustrate how crises were originally conceived as disturbances (often of a political nature) to a naturally healthy system. Then it shows how a more specific metaphor, the fever of speculation, shifted the emphasis by treating prosperity as the diseased phase, to which crises are a remedy. The metaphor of the epidemic spreading of the disease introduced the theme of the cumulative character of both upswing and downswing, while the similitude with intermittent fevers accounted for the recurring nature of crises. Finally, the paper examines how the medical reflections on the causality of diseases contributed to the epistemology of crises theory, and reflects on the metaphisical shift accompanying the transition from the theories of crises to the theories of cycles.

Bayesian nash equilibrium in ''linear'' cournot models with private information about costs

Calculating explicit closed form solutions of Cournot models where firms have private information about their costs is, in general, very cumbersome. Most authors consider therefore linear demands and constant marginal costs. However, within this framework, the nonnegativity constraint on prices (and quantities) has been ignored or not properly dealt with and the correct calculation of all Bayesian Nash equilibria is more complicated than expected. Moreover, multiple symmetric and interior Bayesianf equilibria may exist for an open set of parameters. The reason for this is that linear demand is not really linear, since there is a kink at zero price: the general ''linear'' inverse demand function is P (Q) = max{a - bQ, 0} rather than P (Q) = a - bQ.

Disruption management

The main objective of this project is to model the ARP (Aircraft Recovery Problem) from a constraint programming (CP) point of view. The information required for this project is extracted from previous papers that cope with the problem using heuristics, metaheuristics or using network-models. Also, two scenarios will be tested to verify that the implementation is correct.

Coupled reproductive ecologies in a plant-pollinator-seed predator system

Résumé de la thèseBien que le mutualisme puisse être considéré comme une relation harmonieuse entre différentes espèces, son étude révèle plutôt une exploitation réciproque où chaque partenaire tente de maximiser ses bénéfices tout en réduisant ses coûts. Dans ce contexte, l'identification des facteurs qui favorisent ou contrarient, au cours de l'évolution, une issue mutualiste est une étape majeure pour pouvoir reconstruire les étapes clés menant à l'apparition et au maintien des interactions mutualistes. Le but de ce doctorat était l'identification des traits phénotypiques qui permettent à la plante Silene latofolia (Caryophyllacée)et à son pollinisateur - prédateur de graines, la phalène Hadena bicruris (Noctuidé), d'augmenter les bénéfices nets que chacun retire de l'interaction. Ce système d'étude est particulièrement bien approprié à l'étude de ces traits, car on peut assez facilement estimer la qualité et la quantité des descendants (fitness) des deux partenaires. En effet, la femelle papillon pond un oeuf dans la fleur qu'elle pollinise et sa larve se développe dans le fruit, consommant les graines de la plante. Ainsi, sur une même plante, il est possible d'estimer les succès respectifs de la plante et du papillon à obtenir une descendance. De plus, le conflit d'intérêt autour des graines qui sont indispensables, à la fois à la plante et au papillon, peut stimuler l'évolution de traits qui limitent la surexploitation réciproque des partenaires. Dans une première étude, j'ai montré que le papillon mâle était un pollinisateur efficace de S. latifolia et qu'ainsi, il permettait à la plante d'augmenter le nombre de graines produites (i.e.bénéfice) sans pour autant augmenter la quantité de larves sur la plante. Dans ce système, les papillons pondent un seul oeuf par fleur, déposé soit à l'intérieur de la fleur, dans le tube de corolle, soit sur le pétale. Ma seconde étude montre que les plantes répondent différemment à la présence des oeufs suivant leur position. Aussi, quand l'oeuf est placé dans la fleur, la plante a davantage tendance à ne pas développer le fruit de la fleur infesté ou bien à produire des fruits plus petits que lorsque l'oeuf est placé sur le pétale. Enfin, j'ai montré que la femelle du papillon pond plus souvent sur le pétale lorsque elle visite des fleurs dotées d'un long tube de corolle, et que les larves issues de ces oeufs ont moins de chances de réussir à pénétrer dans le fruit que les larves issues des oeufs placés à l'intérieur de la fleur. Aussi, la variation observée du site de ponte pourrait être causé par la morphologie de la fleur qui contraint le papillon à pondre sur le pétale. Vu dans leur ensemble, les résultats obtenus pendant ce doctorat suggèrent que la participation des mâles à la pollination, l'absence de développement des fruits et la profondeur du tube de corolle pourraient réduire les coûts que S. latifolia subit dans son interaction avec H. bicruris. Par ailleurs, je n'ai pas détecté de mécanismes qui permettraient au papillon de réduire les coûts que la plante pourrait lui imposer. La prochaine étape serait de déterminer l'effet des traits identifiés dans ce doctorat sur la fitness globale de la plante et du papillon pour estimer pleinement leur efficacité à réduire les coûts et à favoriser une issue mutualiste. De même, il faudrait évaluer l'effet de ces traits en populations naturelles pour identifier le rôle des facteurs environnementaux sur leur efficacité.AbstractAlthough mutualisms can be regarded as harmonious relationships between the interacting partners, they are best conceptualized as reciprocal exploitations in which each partner attempts to increase its own benefits and decrease its costs. To date, identifying the factors which promote or discourage mutualistic outcomes remains a major goal to reconstruct the ecological conditions leading to mutualisms. The aim of this PhD thesis was to identify phenotypic traits that may increase the net benefits of each partner in the interaction between the plant Silene latifolia (Caryophyllaceae) and its pollinator / seed predator, the moth Hadena bicruris (Noctuidae). This study system is particularly well suited because the fitness of both interacting species can be assessed. The female moth lays its egg in the flower it pollinated, and its offspring grows in the fruit, feeding on the seeds of the plant, which allows for the follow-up of both larva and fruit fates. Furthermore, the inherent conflict of interest over the seeds as plant progeny vs. larval resource may stimulate the evolution of traits that reduce overexploitation in both the moth and plant. In a first study, I show that male moths are efficient pollinators, hence increasing seed production without increasing oviposition. The contribution of male moths to pollination might thus improve the net benefits of the interaction for the host plant. Females of the H. bicruris moth lay a single egg per flower, and place it either inside the corolla tube or on the petal. My second study shows that plants are more likely to abort the infested flower or to produce a smaller fruit when the egg was experimentally placed inside the flower compared to plants that received an egg on the petal. Finally, female moths were found to lay their eggs more frequently on the petal when visiting a flower with a deep corolla tube, and larvae hatching from these eggs less likely to successfully attack the fruit. Variation in egg position on the flower may thus be the result of a constraint imposed by floral morphology. Overall, this PhD work suggests that the pollination by male moths, flower abortion, and deep corolla tube may efficiently reduce the costs experienced by S. latifolia in its interaction with H. bicruris. Interestingly, no apparent mechanism of costs reduction was detected for the moth. Further studies should focus on the effects of these traits (i) in the long term fitness of both the plant and the insect and (ii) their interactions with environmental factors (biotic and abiotic) that may affect their efficiency in natural populations.

Fault diagnosis by refining the parameter uncertainty space of nonlinear dynamic systems

This paper deals with fault detection and isolation problems for nonlinear dynamic systems. Both problems are stated as constraint satisfaction problems (CSP) and solved using consistency techniques. The main contribution is the isolation method based on consistency techniques and uncertainty space refining of interval parameters. The major advantage of this method is that the isolation speed is fast even taking into account uncertainty in parameters, measurements, and model errors. Interval calculations bring independence from the assumption of monotony considered by several approaches for fault isolation which are based on observers. An application to a well known alcoholic fermentation process model is presented

Swiss behavioural surveillance system 1986-2008

Background: Second generation surveillance is a central feature of HIV/AIDS policy in Switzerland. Behavioural surveys in the general population, men having sex with men (MSM) and injecting drug users (IDU) have been regularly conducted since the early nineties. After peaking at 2144 cases in 1991, the number of new HIV cases notified to the Ministry of Health decreased in each subpopulation until 2000 (n=578) and then rose again to 735 in 2006. The recent increase is mainly due to MSM. Methods: In the general population, representative cross-sectional telephone surveys have been conducted 11 times since 1987. Surveys in convenience samples of MSM, recruited through gay newspapers and gay organisations, have been conducted 5 times since 1992. Surveys among IDU's attending needle exchange programmes have been conducted 5 times since 1993. Condom statistics, available since 1986, are included in the behavioural surveillance system. Results: In the general population aged 17-30, systematic condom use with casual partners in the last six months increased from 8.0% in 1987 to 75.8% in 2007. The proportion of MSM reporting anal intercourse with casual partners in the last 12 months increased from 61% in 1992 to 79% in 2007 (lowest value 56% in 1994) and unprotected anal intercourse with these partners increased from 14 % in 1992 to 24% in 2007 (lowest value 9% in 1994). The proportion of IDUs reporting borrowing used injection equipment decreased from 16.5% in 1993 to 8.9% in 2006. The ratio condoms released to retail/population aged 15-65 increased from 1.68 in 1986 to 3.8 in 2006. Conclusions: It has been possible to maintain a coherent behavioural surveillance system on a long-term basis, allowing for the monitoring of HIV prevention policy outcome and forseeing the development and distribution of new HIV cases in the population.

Robust fault detection using consistency techniques for uncertainty handling

Often practical performance of analytical redundancy for fault detection and diagnosis is decreased by uncertainties prevailing not only in the system model, but also in the measurements. In this paper, the problem of fault detection is stated as a constraint satisfaction problem over continuous domains with a big number of variables and constraints. This problem can be solved using modal interval analysis and consistency techniques. Consistency techniques are then shown to be particularly efficient to check the consistency of the analytical redundancy relations (ARRs), dealing with uncertain measurements and parameters. Through the work presented in this paper, it can be observed that consistency techniques can be used to increase the performance of a robust fault detection tool, which is based on interval arithmetic. The proposed method is illustrated using a nonlinear dynamic model of a hydraulic system

Kernel-based methods for change detection in remote sensing images

Nowadays, the joint exploitation of images acquired daily by remote sensing instruments and of images available from archives allows a detailed monitoring of the transitions occurring at the surface of the Earth. These modifications of the land cover generate spectral discrepancies that can be detected via the analysis of remote sensing images. Independently from the origin of the images and of type of surface change, a correct processing of such data implies the adoption of flexible, robust and possibly nonlinear method, to correctly account for the complex statistical relationships characterizing the pixels of the images. This Thesis deals with the development and the application of advanced statistical methods for multi-temporal optical remote sensing image processing tasks. Three different families of machine learning models have been explored and fundamental solutions for change detection problems are provided. In the first part, change detection with user supervision has been considered. In a first application, a nonlinear classifier has been applied with the intent of precisely delineating flooded regions from a pair of images. In a second case study, the spatial context of each pixel has been injected into another nonlinear classifier to obtain a precise mapping of new urban structures. In both cases, the user provides the classifier with examples of what he believes has changed or not. In the second part, a completely automatic and unsupervised method for precise binary detection of changes has been proposed. The technique allows a very accurate mapping without any user intervention, resulting particularly useful when readiness and reaction times of the system are a crucial constraint. In the third, the problem of statistical distributions shifting between acquisitions is studied. Two approaches to transform the couple of bi-temporal images and reduce their differences unrelated to changes in land cover are studied. The methods align the distributions of the images, so that the pixel-wise comparison could be carried out with higher accuracy. Furthermore, the second method can deal with images from different sensors, no matter the dimensionality of the data nor the spectral information content. This opens the doors to possible solutions for a crucial problem in the field: detecting changes when the images have been acquired by two different sensors.

The hidden costs of hidden debt

We report evidence that salience may have economically signi.cant e¤ects on homeowners.borrowing behavior, through a bias in favour of less salient but more costly loans. Survey evidence corroborates the existence of such a bias. We outline a simple model in which some consumers are biased and show that under plausible assumptions this affects prices in equilibrium. Market data support the predictions of the model.

The evolutionary history of the CD209 (DC-SIGN) family in humans and non-human primates

The CD209 gene family that encodes C-type lectins in primates includes CD209 (DC-SIGN), CD209L (L-SIGN) and CD209L2. Understanding the evolution of these genes can help understand the duplication events generating this family, the process leading to the repeated neck region and identify protein domains under selective pressure. We compiled sequences from 14 primates representing 40 million years of evolution and from three non-primate mammal species. Phylogenetic analyses used Bayesian inference, and nucleotide substitutional patterns were assessed by codon-based maximum likelihood. Analyses suggest that CD209 genes emerged from a first duplication event in the common ancestor of anthropoids, yielding CD209L2 and an ancestral CD209 gene, which, in turn, duplicated in the common Old World primate ancestor, giving rise to CD209L and CD209. K(A)/K(S) values averaged over the entire tree were 0.43 (CD209), 0.52 (CD209L) and 0.35 (CD209L2), consistent with overall signatures of purifying selection. We also assessed the Toll-like receptor (TLR) gene family, which shares with CD209 genes a common profile of evolutionary constraint. The general feature of purifying selection of CD209 genes, despite an apparent redundancy (gene absence and gene loss), may reflect the need to faithfully recognize a multiplicity of pathogen motifs, commensals and a number of self-antigens

Characterization and evolution of the novel gene family FAM90A in primates originated by multiple duplication and rearrangement events

Genomic plasticity of human chromosome 8p23.1 region is highly influenced by two groups of complex segmental duplications (SDs), termed REPD and REPP, that mediate different kinds of rearrangements. Part of the difficulty to explain the wide range of phenotypes associated with 8p23.1 rearrangements is that REPP and REPD are not yet well characterized, probably due to their polymorphic status. Here, we describe a novel primate-specific gene family, named FAM90A (family with sequence similarity 90), found within these SDs. According to the current human reference sequence assembly, the FAM90A family includes 24 members along 8p23.1 region plus a single member on chromosome 12p13.31, showing copy number variation (CNV) between individuals. These genes can be classified into subfamilies I and II, which differ in their upstream and 5′-untranslated region sequences, but both share the same open reading frame and are ubiquitously expressed. Sequence analysis and comparative fluorescence in situ hybridization studies showed that FAM90A subfamily II suffered a big expansion in the hominoid lineage, whereas subfamily I members were likely generated sometime around the divergence of orangutan and African great apes by a fusion process. In addition, the analysis of the Ka/Ks ratios provides evidence of functional constraint of some FAM90A genes in all species. The characterization of the FAM90A gene family contributes to a better understanding of the structural polymorphism of the human 8p23.1 region and constitutes a good example of how SDs, CNVs and rearrangements within themselves can promote the formation of new gene sequences with potential functional consequences.