Estimating risks in declining populations with poor data

Census data on endangered species are often sparse, error-ridden, and confined to only a segment of the population. Estimating trends and extinction risks using this type of data presents numerous difficulties. In particular, the estimate of the variation in year-to-year transitions in population size (the “process error” caused by stochasticity in survivorship and fecundities) is confounded by the addition of high sampling error variation. In addition, the year-to-year variability in the segment of the population that is sampled may be quite different from the population variability that one is trying to estimate. The combined effect of severe sampling error and age- or stage-specific counts leads to severe biases in estimates of population-level parameters. I present an estimation method that circumvents the problem of age- or stage-specific counts and is markedly robust to severe sampling error. This method allows the estimation of environmental variation and population trends for extinction-risk analyses using corrupted census counts—a common type of data for endangered species that has hitherto been relatively unusable for these analyses.

Direct Evidence for Rapid Degradation of Bacillus thuringiensis Toxin mRNA as a Cause of Poor Expression in Plants1

It is well established that the expression of Bacillus thuringiensis (B.t.) toxin genes in higher plants is severely limited at the mRNA level, but the cause remains controversial. Elucidating whether mRNA accumulation is limited transcriptionally or posttranscriptionally could contribute to effective gene design as well as provide insights about endogenous plant gene-expression mechanisms. To resolve this controversy, we compared the expression of an A/U-rich wild-type cryIA(c) gene and a G/C-rich synthetic cryIA(c) B.t.-toxin gene under the control of identical 5′ and 3′ flanking sequences. Transcriptional activities of the genes were equal as determined by nuclear run-on transcription assays. In contrast, mRNA half-life measurements demonstrated directly that the wild-type transcript was markedly less stable than that encoded by the synthetic gene. Sequences that limit mRNA accumulation were located at more than one site within the coding region, and some appeared to be recognized in Arabidopsis but not in tobacco (Nicotiana tabacum). These results support previous observations that some A/U-rich sequences can contribute to mRNA instability in plants. Our studies further indicate that some of these sequences may be differentially recognized in tobacco cells and Arabidopsis.

Identificazione di miRNA correlati ad EGFR: nuovi potenziali biomarcatori di risposta alla terapia di 2a-3a linea in pazienti con NSCLC metastatico

La diagnosi di neoplasia epiteliale maligna polmonare è legata tradizionalmente alla distinzione tra carcinoma a piccole cellule (small-cell lung cancer, SCLC) e carcinoma non-a piccole cellule del polmone (non-small-cell lung cancer, NSCLC). Nell’ambito del NSCLC attualmente è importante di-stinguere l’esatto istotipo (adenocarcinoma, carcinoma squamocellulare e carcinoma neuroendocrino) perchè l’approccio terapeutico cambia a seconda dell’istotipo del tumore e la chemioterapia si dimostra molto spesso inefficace. Attualmente alcuni nuovi farmaci a bersaglio molecolare per il gene EGFR, come Erlotinib e Gefitinib, sono utilizzati per i pazienti refrattari al trattamento chemioterapico tradizionale, che non hanno risposto a uno o più cicli di chemioterapia o che siano progrediti dopo questa. I test per la rilevazione di specifiche mutazioni nel gene EGFR permettono di utilizzare al meglio questi nuovi farmaci, applicandoli anche nella prima linea di trattamento sui pazienti che hanno una maggiore probabilità di risposta alla terapia. Sfortunatamente, non tutti i pazienti rispondono allo stesso modo quando trattati con farmaci anti-EGFR. Di conseguenza, l'individuazione di biomarcatori predittivi di risposta alla terapia sarebbe di notevole importanza per aumentare l'efficacia dei questi farmaci a target molecolare e trattare con farmaci diversi i pazienti che con elevata probabilità non risponderebbero ad essi. I miRNAs sono piccole molecole di RNA endogene, a singolo filamento di 20-22 nucleotidi che svolgono diverse funzioni, una delle più importanti è la regolazione dell’espressione genica. I miRNAs possono determinare una repressione dell'espressione genica in due modi: 1-legandosi a sequenze target di mRNA, causando così un silenziamento del gene (mancata traduzione in proteina), 2- causando la degradazione dello specifico mRNA. Lo scopo della ricerca era di individuare biomarcatori capaci di identificare precocemente i soggetti in grado di rispondere alla terapia con Erlotinib, aumentando così l'efficacia del farmaco ed evitan-do/riducendo possibili fenomeni di tossicità e il trattamento di pazienti che probabilmente non ri-sponderebbero alla terapia offrendo loro altre opzioni prima possibile. In particolare, il lavoro si è fo-calizzato sul determinare se esistesse una correlazione tra la risposta all'Erlotinib ed i livelli di espressione di miRNAs coinvolti nella via di segnalazione di EGFR in campioni di NSCLC prima dell’inizio della terapia. Sono stati identificati 7 microRNA coinvolti nel pathway di EGFR: miR-7, -21, 128b, 133a, -133b, 146a, 146b. Sono stati analizzati i livelli di espressione dei miRNA mediante Real-Time q-PCR in campioni di NSCLC in una coorte di pazienti con NSCLC metastatico trattati con Erlotinib dal 1° gennaio 2009 al 31 dicembre 2014 in 2°-3° linea dopo fallimento di almeno un ciclo di chemioterapia. I pazienti sottoposti a trattamento con erlotinib per almeno 6 mesi senza presentare progressione alla malattia sono stati definiti “responders” (n=8), gli altri “non-responders” (n=25). I risultati hanno mostrato che miR-7, -133b e -146a potrebbero essere coinvolti nella risposta al trat-tamento con Erlotinib. Le indagini funzionali sono state quindi concentrate su miR-133b, che ha mo-strato la maggiore espressione differenziale tra i due gruppi di pazienti. E 'stata quindi studiata la capacità di miR-133b di regolare l'espressione di EGFR in due linee di cellule del cancro del polmone (A549 e H1299). Sono stati determinati gli effetti di miR-133b sulla crescita cellulare. E’ stato anche analizzato il rapporto tra miR-133b e sensibilità a Erlotinib nelle cellule NSCLC. L'aumento di espressione di miR-133b ha portato ad una down-regolazione del recettore di EGF e del pathway di EGFR relativo alla linea cellulare A549. La linea cellulare H1299 era meno sensibili al miR-133b up-regulation, probabilmente a causa dell'esistenza di possibili meccanismi di resistenza e/o di com-pensazione. La combinazione di miR-133b ed Erlotinib ha aumentato l'efficacia del trattamento solo nella linea cellulare A549. Nel complesso, questi risultati indicano che miR-133b potrebbe aumentare / ripristinare la sensibilità di Erlotinib in una frazione di pazienti.

Family Coping as a Protective Factor for Poor Children

This study examined family influences on coping and adjustment among 90 low-income Latino middle school children (46% Female; Average age = 11.38, SD = .66) and their primary caregivers (93% Female; Average age = 36.12, SD = 6.13). All participants identified as Hispanic/Latino, with 75% of families identifying as Mexican-origin Latino, 77% of parents identifying as immigrants, and 32% of children identifying immigrants. All children participating in the study were receiving free or reduced lunch, a poverty indicator. Hierarchical linear modeling analyses revealed that family reframing is related to fewer symptoms of psychopathology and that familism enhances the protective effect of family reframing, while passive appraisal is linked to worse functioning. Path analyses showed that family reframing also has indirect effects on symptoms through child primary control coping. Additional analyses identified family mobilizing support and family ethnic socialization as potential contributors to child secondary control coping. Family mobilizing support may also be helpful for single-parent families, while family spiritual support is helpful for immigrant families. Qualitative findings from an initial focus group and from the larger sample are also discussed. Results are discussed with regard to the implications of this research for preventive interventions with families in poverty. Understanding the protective links of family coping and cultural strengths to mental health outcomes of poor children can influence intervention or prevention programming and policy targeting at-risk youth and families.

The Role of Passage Topic Knowledge in Typical and Poor Comprehenders' Recall

This dissertation examines the role of topic knowledge (TK) in comprehension among typical readers and those with Specifically Poor Comprehension (SPC), i.e., those who demonstrate deficits in understanding what they read despite adequate decoding. Previous studies of poor comprehension have focused on weaknesses in specific skills, such as word decoding and inferencing ability, but this dissertation examined a different factor: whether deficits in availability and use of TK underlie poor comprehension. It is well known that TK tends to facilitate comprehension among typical readers, but its interaction with working memory and word decoding is unclear, particularly among participants with deficits in these skills. Across several passages, we found that SPCs do in fact have less TK to assist their interpretation of a text. However, we found no evidence that deficits in working memory or word decoding ability make it difficult for children to benefit from their TK when they have it. Instead, children across the skill spectrum are able to draw upon TK to assist their interpretation of a passage. Because TK is difficult to assess and studies vary in methodology, another goal of this dissertation was to compare two methods for measuring it. Both approaches score responses to a concept question to assess TK, but in the first, a human rater assigns a score whereas in the second, a computer algorithm, Latent Semantic Analysis (LSA; Landauer & Dumais, 1997) assigns a score. We found similar results across both methods of assessing TK, suggesting that a continuous measure is not appreciably more sensitive to variations in knowledge than discrete human ratings. This study contributes to our understanding of how best to measure TK, the factors that moderate its relationship with recall, and its role in poor comprehension. The findings suggest that teaching practices that focus on expanding TK are likely to improve comprehension across readers with a variety of abilities.

Memorial to the Overseers of the Poor of Boston, 1826 June 21

Two drafts of a letter.

Memorial to the Overseers of the Poor of Boston, 1826 August 21

One draft of a letter.

London, England : Poor Law unions, 1884 (Raster Image)

This layer is a georeferenced raster image of the historic paper map entitled: Map of London and its environs : shewing the boundary of the jurisdiction of the metropolitan board of work, also the boundaries of the city of London, and of the Poor Law unions. It was published by Edward Standford, April 21, 1884. Scale [ca. 1:31,680]. This map is part of a 5 map set showing various thematic districts and boundaries of the London region. The image inside the map neatline is georeferenced to the surface of the earth and fit to the British National Grid coordinate system (British National Grid, Airy Spheroid OSGB (1936) Datum). All map collar and inset information is also available as part of the raster image, including any inset maps, profiles, statistical tables, directories, text, illustrations, index maps, legends, or other information associated with the principal map. This map shows features such as roads, railroads, drainage, selected private and public buildings, towns and villages, cemeteries, parks, farms, Poor Law unions, and more. Relief is shown by hachures. This layer is part of a selection of digitally scanned and georeferenced historic maps from The Harvard Map Collection as part of the Imaging the Urban Environment project. Maps selected for this project represent major urban areas and cities of the world, at various time periods. These maps typically portray both natural and manmade features at a large scale. The selection represents a range of regions, originators, ground condition dates, scales, and purposes.

Poor and under pressure: the social impact of Europe's fiscal consolidation. Bruegel Policy Contribution, Issue 2015/04, March 2015

Europe faces major challenges related to poverty, unemployment and polarisation between the south and the north, which impact adversely the current living conditions of many citizens, and also negatively impact medium- and long-term economic growth. Fiscal consolidation exaggerated social hardship. In vulnerable countries there was no alternative to fiscal consolidation, but in most EU countries and at aggregate EU level, consolidation was premature when the cyclical position of the economy was deteriorating. Spending on social protection was shielded relative to other spending categories, but public bank rescue costs were high. While the changes in the tax mix favoured job creation, the overall tax burden become more regressive. There is an increasing generational divide between the elderly and the young in terms of social indicators. Social spending on elderly people was favoured relative to spending on families, children and education. There is now a serious danger that a lost generation might develop in several member states. Forceful policies should include bold structural reforms, better use of the European economic governance framework, more demand promotion, and a revision of national tax/benefit systems for fair burden sharing between the wealthy and poor.

Poor Greeks or lazy Greeks? CEPS Commentary, 13 July 2015

Drawing on a wide array of statistical indicators reflecting economic activity, states of poverty, structural reform and governance in Greece, this Commentary by Ilaria Maselli provides substance to a debate that has become highly inflammatory and superficial in the latest episodes.

Greece’s poor growth prospects. CEPS Commentary, 21 August 2015

Four years ago – almost to the day – when the question of Greece’s debt sustainability was being intensely debated, these same authors argued that Greece would face strong headwinds in its effort to ‘grow solvent’. With the third rescue package dealing with the immediate liquidity issues in the works, and concerns being voiced by the IMF as well as other actors, they find in this CEPS Commentary that the issue is once again pertinent.