Bayesian Analysis for Nonlinear Regression Model Under Skewed Errors, with Application in Growth Curves

We have considered a Bayesian approach for the nonlinear regression model by replacing the normal distribution on the error term by some skewed distributions, which account for both skewness and heavy tails or skewness alone. The type of data considered in this paper concerns repeated measurements taken in time on a set of individuals. Such multiple observations on the same individual generally produce serially correlated outcomes. Thus, additionally, our model does allow for a correlation between observations made from the same individual. We have illustrated the procedure using a data set to study the growth curves of a clinic measurement of a group of pregnant women from an obstetrics clinic in Santiago, Chile. Parameter estimation and prediction were carried out using appropriate posterior simulation schemes based in Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods. Besides the deviance information criterion (DIC) and the conditional predictive ordinate (CPO), we suggest the use of proper scoring rules based on the posterior predictive distribution for comparing models. For our data set, all these criteria chose the skew-t model as the best model for the errors. These DIC and CPO criteria are also validated, for the model proposed here, through a simulation study. As a conclusion of this study, the DIC criterion is not trustful for this kind of complex model.

Childbirth self-efficacy inventory in Tanzania : a pilot study

Background. To give birth can be a stressful experience and women cope with thisstress in many different ways and have different personal outcomes. Self-efficacy orconfidence in ability to cope with labour can be considered as an important factoraffecting pregnant women’s motivation of normal childbirth and their interpretation ofthe childbirth event.The aim. The purpose of this study was to test the Chinese short form of theinstrument Childbirth self-efficacy instrument (CBSEI) in Tanzania, that measurepregnant women’s self-confidence and coping abilities during childbirth.Method. The Chinese short form of the CBSEI was used to pilot test the pregnantwomen’s confidence of childbirth to see if the questions were understood in theTanzanian culture. Besides this instrument socio-demographic data was collectedtogether with two open questions asking about attitudes and experiences of childbirth.The instrument was translated into Kiswahili. A sample of 60 pregnant women whowere visiting antenatal clinic (ANC) regularly were asked to participate and with helpfrom midwifes at two ANC places the questionnaires were filled out.Result. The result shows that the validity and reliability of the two subscales OE-16and EE-16 were established. The internal consistency reliability of the two subscaleswere high, suggesting that each of the subscale mean score provides a good overviewof self- reported belief in coping ability for childbirth.The results further show that the instrument, CBSEI in this pilot study is not able toidentify women who need extra support during childbirth.Conclusion. The reliability and validity of information presented in this pilot studysupport the use of the Chinese short form of the CBSEI as a research instrument in theTanzania culture. Further studies are recommended to get a wider understandingabout women’s coping abilities in a culture like Tanzania.

Förlossningsrädda kvinnors erfarenheter av Aurorasamtal ett till två år efter förlossning

Bakgrund: Av alla gravida kvinnor räknas omkring 5 % lida av svår förlossningsrädsla. Kvinnor med förlossningsrädsla löper högre risk för komplikationer under och efter graviditeten. I Sverige läggs idag mycket resurser på Auroraverksamhet för att hjälpa kvinnor med förlossningsrädsla. Det saknas omfattande utvärdering av Auroraverksamheten. Syfte: Syftet med detta fördjupningsarbete var att undersöka upplevelse och effekt av Aurorasamtal inför förlossning samt upplevelse av den efterföljande förlossningen bland först- och omföderskor. Metod: Studien har en retrospektiv studiedesign där datainsamling skedde via en enkätundersökning. Datamaterialet sammanställdes därefter i SPSS. Resultat: Majoriteten av kvinnorna upplevde att samtalen hjälpte dem till en mer positiv förlossningsupplevelse. Fler förstföderskor än omföderskor önskade planerat kejsarsnitt när de kom till Auroramottagningen. De flesta kvinnor som önskade vaginal förlossning blev vaginalt förlösta. Över hälften av kvinnorna som deltog i studien var mindre rädda för förlossning 1 – 2 år efter förlossningen än de upplevde att de var innan Aurorasamtalet och förlossningen. Konklusion: Aurorasamtal förefaller ha störst betydelse för omföderskor och för de kvinnor som önskar vaginal förlossning.

Internet- den nya barnmorskan? : En enkätstudie om hur gravida kvinnor söker information om graviditet och förlossning via Internet

Bakgrund: Internet används globalt inom många områden och aktuell forskning visar att gravida kvinnor använder Internet till att söka information om graviditet och förlossning. En graviditet innebär många frågor hos kvinnan och kvinnor söker efter information för att få en trygghet och försäkran om att allt är normalt med deras hälsa och barnet i magen. Syfte: Syftet är att undersöka gravida kvinnors informationssökning via Internet avseende graviditet och förlossning. Metod: Beskrivande tvärsnittstudie. Datainsamling skedde via en enkätundersökning och data analyserades med deskriptiv och jämförande ansats. Resultat: Nästan alla kvinnor i undersökningen använde Internet för att söka information om graviditet och förlossning. Kvinnorna söker information om barnets utveckling, kost/näring och graviditetslängd i hög utsträckning. Högutbildade kvinnor har andra kriterier för trovärdighet på hemsidor än kvinnor med lägre utbildning. Slutsats: Barnmorskor bör vara medvetna om gravida kvinnors användning av Internet samt själva skapa sig en uppfattning om informationen som de gravida kvinnorna läser på Internet. Vår studie visar att barnmorskors rekommendation av hemsidor på Internet har stor betydelse för gravida kvinnor.  

Gravida kvinnors tankar om amning

Internationellt sett är amningsfrekvensen i dagens Sverige hög, men har minskat något senaste åren. Studier visar att inställningen till amning är positiv, men att kvinnor upplever svårigheter i samband med amning samt en brist på information och stöd. Syftet med fördjupningsarbetet var att belysa gravida kvinnors tankar om amning, amningsinformation och stöd. Studien genomfördes med kvalitativ ansats, där data samlades in genom fokusgruppsintervjuer med 18 gravida kvinnor hösten 2012. Data bearbetades med innehållsanalys. Analysen gav ett övergripande tema; Balans mellan förväntningar och svårigheter. Fem kategorier framkom; Att vara medveten om amningens fördelar, Att vara medveten om svårigheter med amning, Att planera för sin kommande amning, Att påverkas av sin omgivning och Att ha förväntningar på stöd inför kommande amning. Resultatet visade att gravida kvinnor var medvetna om amningens fördelar och svårigheter, omgivningen påverkade deras tankar och kvinnorna ansåg ofta att amningen ”löser sig naturligt”. Tydligast framkom kvinnors känsla av bristande kunskap om amningsproblem och en önskan att få amningsinformation sent i graviditet. Amningsinformation som ges under graviditet bör vara varierad, innehållsrik och förbereda föräldrarna på att amning kan vara påfrestande. Det är viktigt att involvera partnern i information och förberedelser för amning.   Nyckelord: amning, graviditet, amningsstöd, amningsinformation, amningsproblem

The panorama and outcomes of reported pregnancies within a well defined population in rural Vietnam 1999-2004

Background Pregnancy outcomes in the general population are important public health indicators. Purpose The overall aim of this study was to investigate the outcomes of reported pregnancies within a well-defined population, to identify risk groups for adverse pregnancy outcomes, and to suggest preventive measures. Method A prospective population-based cohort study of pregnant women in Bavi district, Vietnam between 1 January 1999 and 30 June 2004. Results Pregnancy outcome was reported for 5,259 cases; 4,152 (79%) resulted in a live birth, 67 (1.3%) in a stillbirth, 733 (14%) in an induced abortion, and 282 (5.4%) in a spontaneous abortion. There was an increased risk of home delivery for women from ethnic minorities (OR?=?1.85; 95%CI?=?1.06–3.24) or with less than 6 years of schooling (OR?=?7.36; 95%CI?=?3.54–15.30). The risk of stillbirth was increased for ethnic minorities (OR?=?6.34; 95%CI?=?1.33–30.29) and women delivering at home (OR?=?6.81; 95%CI?=?2.40–19.30). The risk of induced abortion increased with maternal age. Conclusion Our findings emphasize the public health significance of access to adequate family planning, counselling, and maternal health care for all women. Policies should specifically target women from high-risk groups.

Maternal health care professionals perspective on the provision and use of antenatal and delivery care : a qualitative descriptive study in rural Vietnam

Background. High quality maternal health care is an important tool to reduce maternal and neonatal mortality. Services offered should be evidence based and adapted to the local setting. This qualitative descriptive study explored the perspectives and experiences of midwives, assistant physicians and medical doctors on the content and quality of maternal health care in rural Vietnam. Method. The study was performed in a rural district in northern Vietnam. Four focus group discussions with health care professionals at primary health care level were conducted. The data was analysed using qualitative manifest and latent content analysis. Result. Two main themes emerged: "Contextual conditions for maternal health care" and "Balancing between possibilities and constraints". Contextual conditions influenced both pregnant women's use of maternal health care and health care professionals' performance. The study participants stated that women's uses of maternal health care were influenced by economical constraints and cultural norms that impeded their autonomy in relation to childbearing. Structural constraints within the health care system included inadequate financing of the primary health care, resulting in lack of human resources, professional re-training and adequate equipment. Conclusion. Contextual conditions strongly influenced the performance and interaction between pregnant women and health care professionals within antenatal care and delivery care in a rural district of Vietnam. Although Vietnam is performing comparatively well in terms of low maternal and child mortality figures, this study revealed midwives' and other health care professionals' perceived difficulties in their daily work. It seemed maternal health care was under-resourced in terms of staff, equipment and continuing education activities. The cultural setting in Vietnam constituting a strong patriarchal society and prevailing Confucian norms limits women's autonomy and reduce their possibility to make independent decisions about their own reproductive health. This issue should be further addressed by policy-makers. Strategies to reduce inequities in maternal health care for pregnant women are needed. The quality of client-provider interaction and management of pregnancy may be strengthened by education, human resources, re-training and provision of essential equipment.

Barnmorskors strategier för att främja fysisk aktivitet under graviditeten : En Kvalitativ Intervjustudie

Fysisk aktivitet är viktigt för att främja hälsa och förebygga ohälsa och bör även rekommenderas till kvinnor under graviditeten. Barnmorskan har en central roll i det hälsofrämjande arbetet då hon ibland är den enda hälso- och sjukvårdspersonal som träffar kvinnan under graviditeten. Det finns rekommendationer för hur mycket den gravida kvinnan bör träna men studier visar att det är få som följer dessa. Barnmorskan upplever det svårt att ge råd och det finns ett behov av att hitta strategier som kan användas i arbetet med att främja fysisk aktivitet. Syftet med denna studie var att beskriva barnmorskors strategier för att främja fysisk aktivitet under graviditeten. Studien utfördes enligt kvalitativ metod där semistrukturerade intervjuer användes för insamling av data som sedan analyserades utifrån tematisk analys. I studien framkom ett flertal olika strategier som barnmorskorna använde för att främja fysisk aktivitet under graviditeten; Att ge råd, Att motivera, Att söka stöd i omgivningen, Att individualisera, Att vårda relationen och Att utveckla. Studien visade också att barnmorskorna upplevde arbetet med att främja fysisk aktivitet som viktigt men svårt. Författarna anser att strategierna är användbara, inte bara av barnmorskan utan även av annan personal inom hälso- och sjukvården som arbetar med att främja fysisk aktivitet under graviditeten.

User perspectives on the Swedish Maternal Health Care Register

Background: Established in 1999, the Swedish Maternal Health Care Register (MHCR) collects data on pregnancy, birth, and the postpartum period for most pregnant women in Sweden. Antenatal care (ANC) midwives manually enter data into the Web-application that is designed for MHCR. The aim of this study was to investigate midwives? experiences, opinions and use of the MHCR. Method: A national, cross-sectional, questionnaire survey, addressing all Swedish midwives working in ANC, was conducted January to March 2012. The questionnaire included demographic data, preformed statements with six response options ranging from zero to five (0 = totally disagree and 5 = totally agree), and opportunities to add information or further clarification in the form of free text comments. Parametric and non-parametric methods and logistic regression analyses were applied, and content analysis was used for free text comments. Results: The estimated response rate was 53.1%. Most participants were positive towards the Web-application and the included variables in the MHCR. Midwives exclusively engaged in patient-related work tasks perceived the register as burdensome (70.3%) and 44.2% questioned the benefit of the register. The corresponding figures for midwives also engaged in administrative supervision were 37.8% and 18.5%, respectively. Direct electronic transfer of data from the medical records to the MHCR was emphasised as significant future improvement. In addition, the midwives suggested that new variables of interest should be included in the MHCR ? e.g., infertility, outcomes of previous pregnancy and birth, and complications of the index pregnancy. Conclusions: In general, the MHCR was valued positively, although perceived as burdensome. Direct electronic transfer of data from the medical records to the MHCR is a prioritized issue to facilitate the working situation for midwives. Finally, the data suggest that the MHCR is an underused source for operational planning and quality assessment in local ANC centres.

Pregnancy-related low back pain and pelvic girdle pain approximately 14 months after pregnancy : pain status, self-rated health and family situation

Background: Pelvic girdle pain (PGP) in pregnancy is distinct from pregnancy-related low back pain (PLBP). However, women with combined PLBP and PGP report more serious consequences in terms of health and function. PGP has been estimated to affect about half of pregnant women, where 25% experience serious pain and 8% experience severe disability. To date there are relatively few studies regarding persistent PLBP/PGP postpartum of more than 3 months, thus the main objective was to identify the prevalence of persistent PLBP and PGP as well as the differences over time in regard to pain status, self-rated health (SRH) and family situation at 12 months postpartum. Methods: The study is a 12 month follow-up of a cohort of pregnant women developing PLBP and PGP during pregnancy, and who experienced persistent pain at 6 month follow-up after pregnancy. Women reporting PLBP/PGP (n = 639) during pregnancy were followed up with a second questionnaire at approximately six month after delivery. Women reporting recurrent or persistent LBP/PGP at the second questionnaire (n = 200) were sent a third questionnaire at 12 month postpartum. Results: A total of 176 women responded to the questionnaire. Thirty-four women (19.3%) reported remission of LBP/PGP, whereas 65.3% (n = 115) and 15.3% (n = 27), reported recurrent LBP/PGP or continuous LBP/PGP, respectively. The time between base line and the 12 months follow-up was in actuality 14 months. Women with previous LBP before pregnancy had an increased odds ratio (OR) of reporting 'recurrent pain' (OR = 2.47) or 'continuous pain' (OR = 3.35) postpartum compared to women who reported 'no pain' at the follow-up. Women with 'continuous pain' reported statistically significant higher level of pain at all measure points (0, 6 and 12 months postpartum). Non-responders were found to report a statistically significant less positive scoring regarding relationship satisfaction compared to responders. Conclusions: The results from this study demonstrate that persistent PLBP/PGP is a major individual and public health issue among women 14 months postpartum, negatively affecting their self-reported health. However, the perceived relationship satisfaction seems to be stable between the groups.

'Ultrasound is an invaluable third eye, but it can't see everything' : a qualitative study with obstetricians in Australia

Background: Obstetric ultrasound has come to play a significant role in obstetrics since its introduction in clinical care. Today, most pregnant women in the developed world are exposed to obstetric ultrasound examinations, and there is no doubt that the advantages of obstetric ultrasound technique have led to improvements in pregnancy outcomes. However, at the same time, the increasing use has also raised many ethical challenges. This study aimed to explore obstetricians' experiences of the significance of obstetric ultrasound for clinical management of complicated pregnancy and their perceptions of expectant parents' experiences. Methods: A qualitative study was undertaken in November 2012 as part of the CROss-Country Ultrasound Study (CROCUS). Semi-structured individual interviews were held with 14 obstetricians working at two large hospitals in Victoria, Australia. Transcribed data underwent qualitative content analysis. Results: An overall theme emerged during the analyses, 'Obstetric ultrasound - a third eye', reflecting the significance and meaning of ultrasound in pregnancy, and the importance of the additional information that ultrasound offers clinicians managing the surveillance of a pregnant woman and her fetus. This theme was built on four categories: I:'Everyday-tool' for pregnancy surveillance, II: Significance for managing complicated pregnancy, III: Differing perspectives on obstetric ultrasound, and IV: Counselling as a balancing act. In summary, the obstetricians viewed obstetric ultrasound as an invaluable tool in their everyday practice. More importantly however, the findings emphasise some of the clinical dilemmas that occur due to its use: the obstetricians' and expectant parents' differing perspectives and expectations of obstetric ultrasound examinations, the challenges of uncertain ultrasound findings, and how this information was conveyed and balanced by obstetricians in counselling expectant parents. Conclusions: This study highlights a range of previously rarely acknowledged clinical dilemmas that obstetricians face in relation to the use of obstetric ultrasound. Despite being a tool of considerable significance in the surveillance of pregnancy, there are limitations and uncertainties that arise with its use that make counselling expectant parents challenging. Research is needed which further investigates the effects and experiences of the continuing worldwide rapid technical advances in surveillance of pregnancies.

Human Health Impacts of Contaminants Found in Local Drinking Water Supply

Many contaminants are currently unregulated by the government and do not have a set limit, known as the Maximum Contaminant Level, which is dictated by cost and the best available treatment technology. The Maximum Contaminant Level Goal, on the other hand, is based solely upon health considerations and is non-enforceable. In addition to being naturally occurring, contaminants may enter drinking water supplies through industrial sources, agricultural practices, urban pollution, sprawl, and water treatment byproducts. Exposure to these contaminants is not limited to ingestion and can also occur through dermal absorption and inhalation in the shower. Health risks for the general public include skin damage, increased risk of cancer, circulatory problems, and multiple toxicities. At low levels, these contaminants generally are not harmful in our drinking water. However, children, pregnant women, and people with compromised immune systems are more vulnerable to the health risks associated with these contaminants. Vulnerable peoples should take additional precautions with drinking water. This research project was conducted in order to learn more about our local drinking water and to characterize our exposure to contaminants. We hope to increase public awareness of water quality issues by educating the local residents about their drinking water in order to promote public health and minimize exposure to some of the contaminants contained within public water supplies.

Efeito do exercício aeróbio moderado em gestantes com sobrepeso avaliado através de teste de exercício submáximo : um ensaio clínico randomizado

Objetivo: Avaliar os efeitos de um programa de exercício aeróbio sobre o condicionamento cardiorrespiratório em gestantes hígidas, de baixo risco, com sobrepeso. Métodos: 92 mulheres gestantes com sobrepeso (índice de massa corporal 26-31kg/m2), idade ≥ 20 anos, idade gestacional ≤ 20 semanas, com ausência de diabetes e hipertensão, foram alocadas aleatoriamente para realizar exercício aeróbio três vezes por semana com uma hora de duração ou para realizar sessões de relaxamento no grupo controle. Foram realizados dois testes de exercício submáximo em esteira, utilizando protocolo de rampa na entrada do estudo e outro teste após 12 semanas. Resultados: Em teste de exercício submáximo 12 semanas após randomização, o consumo de oxigênio (VO2) no limiar anaeróbio aumentou 17% (± 3) no grupo intervenção enquanto reduziu 16% (± 3) no grupo controle, de modo que após 12 semanas de exercício ajustado através da análise de covariância pelo o VO2 no limiar na linha de base, idade gestacional e idade materna foi de 2,68ml/kg/min (IC 95% 1,32-4,03) maior, P = 0,002. Conclusão: Exercício aeróbio realizado em gestantes com sobrepeso produz um aumento no limiar anaeróbio, sobrepondo os efeitos negativos da gestação sobre o condicionamento cardiorrespiratório em mulheres com estilo de vida sedentário.

Padronização da técnica de imunoistoquímica para identificação de Listéria monocytogenes em placentas humanas e tecido nervoso central de ruminantes.

Este projeto foi desenvolvido no Laboratório de Patologia Experimental do Hospital de Clínicas de Porto Alegre (HCPA), com a aprovação da Comitê de Ética em Pesquisa do HCPA e com apoio financeiro parcial do Fundo de Incentivo à Pesquisa e Eventos do HCPA (FIPE). O experimento 1, chamado de projeto piloto, teve como objetivo implementar a técnica de IHQ para identificar a Listeria monocytogenes (L.m.), utilizando anticorpo policlonal antilisteria monocytogenes (Biodesig ). Vários testes foram realizados para acertar a diluição (1:1000) que foi diferente da preconizada pelo fabricante. Os blocos de parafina, de dez placentas provenientes de parto prematuro ou aborto foram utilizados para os cortes histológicos e a preparação das lâminas para a coloração Hematoxilina e Eosina (HE) e imunoistoquímica (IHQ). As lâminas foram identificadas por números para resguardar a identidade das pacientes. O resultado do HE mostrou alterações inflamatórias em oito placentas e L. m. foi identificada pelo IHQ em cinco dessas placentas. O objetivo do 2º experimento foi identificar a L. m. em tecido nervoso cerebral de ruminantes, utilizando a técnica implementada no projeto piloto. O material utilizado neste trabalho foi cedido pelo Setor de Patologia Veterinária do Departamento de Patologia da Universidade Federal de Santa Maria. Os casos estudados (2 ovinos, 1 caprino e 2 bovinos) tinham suspeitas clínicas diversas e as necropsias dos animais evidenciaram aspectos sugestivos da doença. Os cinco casos foram confirmados pelo IHQ, comprovando a importância da utilização desta técnica para o diagnóstico da listeriose no SNC de ruminantes. O 3º experimento objetivou identificar a L. m. em placentas encaminhadas ao Serviço de Patologia do HCPA no ano 2000. Da mesma forma que no experimento 1, as lâminas foram identificadas por números. Após o levantamento realizado nos registros dos exames anatomopatológicos (AP) deste setor, observou-se que 714 AP eram de placentas provenientes de aborto, parto prematuro e nascimento a termo examinados naquele período. Foram sorteados 254 AP para análise através de HE, revelando que 148 desses AP apresentavam alterações inflamatórias (corioamnionite, vilite e deciduite). Os blocos destas placentas foram utilizados para fazer as lâminas e realizar IHQ. A consulta aos prontuários dos casos com alterações inflamatórias permitiu observar que um deles tinha a confirmação bacteriológica de L. m. na placenta, tornando-se este o controle positivo. O controle negativo foi selecionado entre aqueles sorteados que não apresentavam alterações inflamatórias. A presença de L. m. foi identificada em 33,78% das placentas analisadas pela técnica IHQ. Corioamnionite e vilite foram as alterações inflamatórias que mostraram diferença estatística significativa nas placentas positivas. L. m. estava presente nas placentas de 1º, 2º e 3º trimestres gestacionais. A idade das gestantes, casos de aborto e/ou parto prematuro não mostraram diferença estatística significativa com a presença ou ausência de L. m. nas placentas. Abortos habituais ocorreram em pacientes com ou sem L. m. no tecido placentário. Conclusão: a técnica de imunohistoquímica pode ser utilizada para confirmar o diagnóstico histopatológico de listeriose em placentas e tecido nervoso central de ruminantes.

Mudanças no hábito de fumar e ganho de peso gestacional : um estudo de coorte em capitais brasileiras

Objetivo: Avaliar a influência de mudanças no hábito de fumar sobre o ganho de peso gravídico materno. Métodos: Foram entrevistadas 5.564 gestantes com 20 anos ou mais, sem diabetes mellitus prévio em serviços de pré-natal geral de seis capitais brasileiras, entre 1991 e 1995, e acompanhamos, através de revisão de prontuários, as gestações até o parto, identificando 4.000 gestantes com peso pré-gravídico relatado, peso medido no terceiro trimestre, hábito de fumar e época de sua eventual modificação, quando disponíveis. Resultados: Entre as gestantes ex-fumantes (915, 23% do total), 240 (26%) pararam de fumar durante a gravidez. A mediana de cigarros/dia das que continuaram fumantes (717, 18%) foi reduzida de 10 para 5 após o início da gravidez. Após ajustar para idade, escolaridade, cor da pele, IMC pré-gravídico, paridade e centro clínico, as ex-fumantes ganharam 1.030 g (IC95% 590 a 1.460) a mais que as nunca fumantes, sendo maior a diferença (1.540, IC95% 780 a 2.300 g) nas que pararam após a concepção. O ganho do peso na gravidez se correlacionou, tanto em fumantes quanto em ex-fumantes, com o número de cigarros diminuídos na gravidez. Conclusão: Diminuir ou parar de fumar na gravidez, embora importante para uma gestação saudável, é fator de risco para ganho de peso materno.