901 resultados para Markov Regime Switching
Resumo:
Language switching is omnipresent in bilingual individuals. In fact, the ability to switch languages (code switching) is a very fast, efficient, and flexible process that seems to be a fundamental aspect of bilingual language processing. In this study, we aimed to characterize psychometrically self-perceived individual differences in language switching and to create a reliable measure of this behavioral pattern by introducing a bilingual switching questionnaire. As a working hypothesis based on the previous literature about code switching, we decomposed language switching into four constructs: (i) L1 switching tendencies (the tendency to switch to L1; L1-switch); (ii) L2 switching tendencies (L2-switch); (iii) contextual switch, which indexes the frequency of switches usually triggered by a particular situation, topic, or environment; and (iv) unintended switch, which measures the lack of intention and awareness of the language switches. A total of 582 SpanishCatalan bilingual university students were studied. Twelve items were selected (three for each construct). The correlation matrix was factor-analyzed using minimum rank factor analysis followed by oblique direct oblimin rotation. The overall proportion of common variance explained by the four extracted factors was 0.86. Finally, to assess the external validity of the individual differences scored with the new questionnaire, we evaluated the correlations between these measures and several psychometric (language proficiency) and behavioral measures related to cognitive and attentional control. The present study highlights the importance of evaluating individual differences in language switching using self-assessment instruments when studying the interface between cognitive control and bilingualism.
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Mimicry is a central plank of the emotional contagion theory; however, it was only tested with facial and postural emotional stimuli. This study explores the existence of mimicry in voice-to-voice communication by analyzing 8,747 sequences of emotional displays between customers and employees in a call-center context. We listened live to 967 telephone inter-actions, registered the sequences of emotional displays, and analyzed them with a Markov chain. We also explored other propositions of emotional contagion theory that were yet to be tested in vocal contexts. Results supported that mimicry is significantly present at all levels. Our findings fill an important gap in the emotional contagion theory; have practical implications regarding voice-to-voice interactions; and open doors for future vocal mimicry research.
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BACKGROUND: With many atypical antipsychotics now available in the market, it has become a common clinical practice to switch between atypical agents as a means of achieving the best clinical outcomes. This study aimed to examine the impact of switching from olanzapine to risperidone and vice versa on clinical status and tolerability outcomes in outpatients with schizophrenia in a naturalistic setting. METHODS: W-SOHO was a 3-year observational study that involved over 17,000 outpatients with schizophrenia from 37 countries worldwide. The present post hoc study focused on the subgroup of patients who started taking olanzapine at baseline and subsequently made the first switch to risperidone (n=162) and vice versa (n=136). Clinical status was assessed at the visit when the first switch was made (i.e. before switching) and after switching. Logistic regression models examined the impact of medication switch on tolerability outcomes, and linear regression models assessed the association between medication switch and change in the Clinical Global Impression-Schizophrenia (CGI-SCH) overall score or change in weight. In addition, Kaplan-Meier survival curves and Cox-proportional hazards models were used to analyze the time to medication switch as well as time to relapse (symptom worsening as assessed by the CGI-SCH scale or hospitalization). RESULTS: 48% and 39% of patients switching to olanzapine and risperidone, respectively, remained on the medication without further switches (p=0.019). Patients switching to olanzapine were significantly less likely to experience relapse (hazard ratio: 3.43, 95% CI: 1.43, 8.26), extrapyramidal symptoms (odds ratio [OR]: 4.02, 95% CI: 1.49, 10.89) and amenorrhea/galactorrhea (OR: 8.99, 95% CI: 2.30, 35.13). No significant difference in weight change was, however, found between the two groups. While the CGI-SCH overall score improved in both groups after switching, there was a significantly greater change in those who switched to olanzapine (difference of 0.29 points, p=0.013). CONCLUSION: Our study showed that patients who switched from risperidone to olanzapine were likely to experience a more favorable treatment course than those who switched from olanzapine to risperidone. Given the nature of observational study design and small sample size, additional studies are warranted.
Effects of early thinning regime and tree status on the radial growth and wood density of Scots pine
Resumo:
Algumas espécies fúngicas não esporulam satisfatoriamente em meio de cultura, a exemplo de Cercospora zeae-maydis, agente causal da cercosporiose do milho. A esporulação deste patógeno foi avaliada em sete meios de cultura agarizados (V8, suco de tomate temperado, água de coco, aveia, BDA, extrato de folha de milho e extrato de folha de milho + CaCO3) sob dois regimes luminosos (fotoperíodo de 12 horas e seqüencial - 6 dias claro/3 dias escuro). O ensaio foi conduzido em esquema fatorial 7 x 2, com os tratamentos dispostos em delineamento inteiramente casualizado com cinco repetições. A parcela experimental compreendeu uma placa de petri contendo 20 mL de meio de cultura sobre o qual foram colocados 200 mL de uma suspensão de 8 x 10(4) esporos/mL. As culturas foram posteriormente incubadas a 27ºC durante nove dias. Os meios V8 e suco de tomate temperado (STT) sob regime de fotoperíodo 12h/12h, foram aqueles que apresentaram melhor indução de esporulação, resultando na produção de 22,4 x 10(4) conídios/ mL e 28,62 x 10(4) conídios/mL, respectivamente.
Resumo:
Este trabalho objetivou o estabelecimento de condições favoráveis ao crescimento micelial de M. musicola in vitro, pela avaliação em quatro experimentos, da influência de diferentes meios de cultura (BDA, BDA/IFB, V8, V8/IFB, V8/CaCO3 e V8/CaCO3/IFB); combinações de fontes de carbono (dextrose, maltose, sacarose e xilose) e nitrogênio (peptona, glicina, nitrato de potássio e de sódio); valores de pH (6,8; 6,4; 5,7 e 4,9) e regimes luminosos (escuro contínuo, alternância luminosa e claro contínuo). Observou-se um maior crescimento de M. musicola quando cultivado nos meios de cultura BDA/IFB, V8/IFB e BDA. As fontes de carbono sacarose, maltose e dextrose quando combinadas com a peptona como fonte de nitrogênio, promoveram um maior crescimento micelial de M. musicola. O meio de cultura BDA/IFB, com o valor final de pH ajustado para 5,7, em regime de escuro contínuo, apresentou-se como o melhor para o crescimento de M. musicola.
Resumo:
The purpose of this dissertation is to examine the dynamics of the socio-technical system in the field of ageing. The study stems from the notion that the ageing of the population as a powerful megatrend has wide societal effects, and is not just a matter for the social and health sector. The central topic in the study is change: not only the age structures and structures of society are changing, but also at the same time there is constant development, for instance, in technologies, infrastructures and cultural perceptions. The changing concept of innovation has widened the understanding of innovations related to ageing from medical and assistive technological innovations to service and social innovations, as well as systemic innovations at different levels, which means the intertwined and co-evolutionary change in technologies, structures, services and thinking models. By the same token, the perceptions of older people and old age are becoming more multi-faceted: old age is no longer equated to illnesses and decline, but visions of active ageing and a third age have emerged, which are framed by choices, opportunities, resources and consumption in later life. The research task in this study is to open up the processes and mechanisms of change in the field of ageing, which are studied as a complex, multi-level and interrelated socio-technical system. The question is about co-effective elements consisting of macro-level landscape changes, the existing socio-technical regime (the rule system, practices and structures) and bottom-up niche-innovations. Societal transitions do not account for the things inside the regime alone, or for the long-term changes in the landscape, nor for the radical innovations, but for the interplay between all these levels. The research problem is studied through five research articles, which offer micro-level case studies to macro-level phenomenon. Each of the articles focus on different aspects related to ageing and change, and utilise various datasets. The framework of this study leans on the studies of socio-technical systems and multi-level perspective on transitions mainly developed by Frank Geels. Essential factors in transition from one socio-technological regime to another are the co-evolutionary processes between landscape changes, regime level and experimental niches. Landscape level changes, like the ageing of the population, destabilise the regime in the forms of coming pressures. This destabilization offers windows for opportunity to niche-innovations outside or at fringe of the regime, which, through their breakthrough, accelerate the transition process. However, the change is not easy because of various kinds of lock-ins and inertia, which tend to maintain the stability of the regime. In this dissertation, a constructionist approach of society is applied leaning mainly to the ideas of Anthony Giddens’ theory of structuration, with the dual nature of structures. The change is taking place in the interplay between actors and structures: structures shape people’s practices, but at the same time these practices constitute and reproduce social systems. Technology and other material aspects, as part of socio-technical systems, and the use of them, also take part in the structuration process. The findings of the study point out that co-evolutionary and co-effective relationships between economic, cultural, technological and institutional fields, as well as relationships between landscape changes, changes in the local and regime-level practices and rule systems, are a very complex and multi-level dynamic socio-technical phenomenon. At the landscape level of ageing, which creates the pressures and triggers to the regime change, there are three remarkable megatrends: demographic change, changes in the global economy and the development of technologies. These exert pressures to the socio-technical regime, which as a rule system is experiencing changes in the form of new markets and consumer habits, new ways of perceiving ageing, new models of organising the health care and other services and as new ways of considering innovation and innovativeness. There are also inner dynamics in the relationships between these aspects within the regime. These are interrelated and coconstructed: the prevailing perceptions of ageing and innovation, for instance, reflect the ageing policies, innovation policies, societal structures, organising models, technology and scientific discussion, and vice versa. Technology is part of the inner dynamics of the sociotechnological regime. Physical properties of the artefacts set limitations and opportunities with regard to their functions and uses. The use of and discussion about technology, contributes producing and reproducing the perceptions of old age. For societal transition, micro-level changes are also needed, in form of niche-innovations, for instance new services, organisational models or new technologies, Regimes, as stabilitystriven systems, tend to generate incremental innovations, but radically new innovations are generated in experimental niches protected from ‘normal’ market selection. The windows of opportunity for radical novelties may be opened if the circumstances are favourable for instance by tensions in the socio-technical regime affected by landscape level changes. This dissertation indicates that a change is taking place, firstly, in the dynamic interactionbetween levels, as a result of purposive action and governance to some extent. Breaking the inertia and using the window of opportunity for change and innovation offered by dynamics between levels, presupposes the actors’ special capabilities and actions such as dynamic capabilities and distance management. Secondly, the change is taking place the socio-technological negotiations inside the regime: interaction between technological and social, which is embodied in the use of technology. The use of technology includes small-level contextual scripts that also participate in forming broader societal scripts (for instance defining old age at the society level), which in their turn affect the formation of policies for innovation and ageing. Thirdly, the change is taking place by the means of active formation of the multi-actor innovation networks, where the role of distance management is crucial to facilitate the communication between actors coming from different backgrounds as well as to help the niches born outside the regime to utilise the window of opportunity offered by regime destabilisation. This dissertation has both theoretical and practical contributions. This study participates in the discussion of action-oriented view on transition by opening up of the socio-technological, coevolutionary processes of the multi-faceted phenomenon of ageing, which has lacked systematic analyses. The focus of this study, however, is not on the large-scale coordination and governance, but rather on opening up the incremental elements and structuration processes, which contribute to the transition little by little, and which can be affected to. This increases the practical importance of this dissertation, by highlighting the importance of very tiny, everyday elements in the change processes in the long run.
Resumo:
Este é o segundo artigo de uma série que apresenta estrutura curricular e modelo pedagógico do curso de Medicina em implantação na Universidade Federal do Sul da Bahia (UFSB), que adota um regime de dois ciclos de formação, integralmente realizado nos contextos de prática do Sistema Único de Saúde. Para isso, apresentam-se resumidamente perfil e competências dos egressos, introduzindo a estrutura curricular do segundo ciclo do curso e destacando sua aderência ao marco legal vigente. Em seguida, destacam-se os blocos temáticos do eixo de formação técnico-científica, com organização de conteúdos em ciclos de vida, visando superar o modelo que fragmenta o sujeito humano em sistemas, órgãos e patologias. Aborda-se ainda o eixo de práticas, composto por estágios supervisionados em todos os níveis de atenção da rede SUS, destacando a Atenção Primária em Saúde, que perpassa todo o segundo ciclo de formação. Por último, discutem-se impacto e efeitos dessa reestruturação da educação superior no sentido da convergência entre modelos formativos de profissionais de saúde e necessidades de saúde da população.
Resumo:
Procurou-se identificar, qualificar e quantificar a intensidade de danos causados pela colheita florestal em uma área com floresta primária explorada (FPE), tendo com testemunha uma área com floresta primária não-explorada (FPNE), com 202 e 204 ha, respectivamente. Na FPNE, foram avaliados os danos decorrentes de causas naturais. As áreas de FPE e de FPNE localizam-se no município de Manicoré, Estado do Amazonas. Realizou-se o inventário utilizando o método de amostragem aleatória, em ambas as áreas. As amostragens foram executadas em dois níveis de inclusão de DAP. No nível I foram instaladas cinco parcelas de 100 x 100 m (1 ha), onde foram inventariadas todas as árvores com DAP > ou = 15 cm. No nível II, as parcelas do nível I foram divididas sistematicamente em subparcelas de 10 x 10 m (100 m²), tendo sido amostradas aleatoriamente cinco subparcelas por parcela do nível I, totalizando 2.500 m², onde foram inventariados todos os indivíduos (varejões) com 5,0 <= DAP < 15 cm. As análises dos danos decorrentes de causas naturais indicaram que na FPNE apenas 10% da vegetação adulta remanescente apresentou danos. Na FPE, os danos causados pelas operações de colheita florestal, incluindo-se o corte e o arraste de toras, totalizaram 29%. As modificações na estrutura diamétrica da FPE foram maiores nas maiores classes de DAP, em que, em geral, foram constatadas reduções de 27, 29 e 30%, respectivamente, no número de árvores (n/ha), na área basal (m²/ha) e no volume (m³/ha). Essa redução de estoque foi considerada normal, uma vez que a amostragem foi realizada imediatamente após a execução das operações de colheita florestal.
Resumo:
Nowadays power drives are the essential part almost of all technological processes. Improvement of efficiency and reduction of losses require development of semiconductor switches. It has a particular meaning for the constantly growing market of renewable sources, especially for wind turbines, which demand more powerful semiconductor devices for control with growth of power. Also at present semiconductor switches are the key component in energy transmission, optimization of generation and network connection. The aim of this thesis is to make a survey of contemporary semiconductor components, showing difference in structures, advantages, disadvantages and most suitable applications. There is topical information about voltage, frequency and current limits of different switches. Study tries to compare dimensions and price of different components. Main manufacturers of semiconductor components are presented with the review of devices produced by them, and a conclusion about their availability was made. IGBT is selected as a main component in this study, because nowadays it is the most attractive component for usage in power drives, especially at the low levels of medium voltage. History of development of IGBT structure, static and dynamic characteristics are considered. Thesis tells about assemblies and connection of components and problems which can appear. One of key questions about semiconductor materials and their future development was considered. For the purpose of comparison strong and weak sides of different switches, calculation of losses of IGBT and its basic competitor – IGCT is presented. This master’s thesis makes an effort to answer the question if there are at present possibilities of accurate selection of switches for electrical drives of different rates of power and looks at future possible ways of development of semiconductor market.
Resumo:
Os planos de manejo em execução na atualidade são, em sua maioria, uma exploração florestal realizada com o título de plano de manejo. Para subsidiar a diferenciação dessas duas modalidades de exploração, foi realizado o presente trabalho, que teve como objetivo verificar a sustentabilidade do plano de manejo de cerrado executado na fazenda Santa Cecília, no município de João Pinheiro, estado de Minas Gerais, por meio da análise estrutural da vegetação, identificando alguns de seus impactos, em relação a uma área de cerrado não explorada. A avaliação foi realizada por meio de parcelas, que foram lançadas na área explorada em 1994/95 e na área ainda não-explorada. Os resultados da análise da estrutura horizontal demonstraram que houve diferença significativa na Densidade Absoluta e Volume Total e na Dominância Absoluta entre as áreas estudadas. Os resultados da estrutura diamétrica demonstraram diferença significativa para a distribuição da densidade e entre a distribuição da área basal e do volume total. Esses resultados indicaram que a exploração foi realizada além dos limites que permitissem a recuperação da vegetação para um novo corte, ao final do ciclo de corte.
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The objective of the this research project is to develop a novel force control scheme for the teleoperation of a hydraulically driven manipulator, and to implement an ideal transparent mapping between human and machine interaction, and machine and task environment interaction. This master‘s thesis provides a preparatory study for the present research project. The research is limited into a single degree of freedom hydraulic slider with 6-DOF Phantom haptic device. The key contribution of the thesis is to set up the experimental rig including electromechanical haptic device, hydraulic servo and 6-DOF force sensor. The slider is firstly tested as a position servo by using previously developed intelligent switching control algorithm. Subsequently the teleoperated system is set up and the preliminary experiments are carried out. In addition to development of the single DOF experimental set up, methods such as passivity control in teleoperation are reviewed. The thesis also contains review of modeling of the servo slider in particular reference to the servo valve. Markov Chain Monte Carlo method is utilized in developing the robustness of the model in presence of noise.
Resumo:
Esta pesquisa foi realizada em um fragmento de floresta estacional semidecídua, localizada em Pirenópolis, Goiás, e investigou as alterações no regime de luz, medida pela densidade de fluxo de fótons, associadas a intervenções silviculturais que visaram, sobretudo, aumentar o crescimento de espécies arbóreas, sem permitir a invasão por espécies oportunistas que poderiam influenciar negativamente a dinâmica da regeneração natural. O delineamento foi em blocos casualizados, em esquema fatorial, testando as diferenças entre tratamentos silviculturais, estações climáticas e alturas de medida no sub-bosque (1,30 m e ao nível do solo). Foram testadas duas intensidades de corte seletivo de indivíduos arbóreos e de cipós na floresta. Os tratamentos foram suficientes para alterar o regime de luz, tanto na estação seca como na estação chuvosa, em acordo com a hipótese testada. O sombreamento na área controle foi de 97% na estação chuvosa e de 86% na estação seca, apresentando diferenças significativas com o sombreamento associado aos tratamentos silviculturais, que variaram de 93% a 94% na chuva e de 77% a 80% na seca. Esse estudo pode auxiliar na validação deste sistema de manejo florestal proposto para as florestas estacionais semidecíduas no Brasil Central, devendo ser associado aos estudos populacionais e de comunidade, preservando os fragmentos florestais encontrados na região e gerando benefícios ambientais e renda extra para a população rural.
Resumo:
O uso inadequado dos solos agrícolas vem causando a perda gradual da sua capacidade produtiva e a degradação dos recursos hídricos por sedimentos e poluentes. O uso do solo pode afetar os processos hidrológicos e a erosão do solo na bacia. O objetivo do trabalho foi simular diferentes cenários de uso do solo para a bacia hidrográfica do ribeirão Concórdia, utilizando o modelo SWAT, e analisar os efeitos dessas mudanças no fluxo de água e de sedimentos. Os cenários gerados foram agricultura, mata nativa e pastagem. A bacia está localizada no sul do Brasil e possui uma área de drenagem de 30,74 km². Na etapa de calibração, obteve-se coeficente de eficiência Nash-Sutcliffe mensais de 0,82 para escoamento e 0,83 para sedimento. O cenário mata nativa apresentou o maior decréscimo na vazão média, em relação ao cenário atual, cerca de 8,70%. O cenário agricultura produziu a maior taxa de produção de sedimentos, aproximadamente 3 vezes maior que o cenário atual.Observou-se que alterações no uso do solo impactam o regime e a disponibilidade hídrica da bacia.
Resumo:
O regime eólico de uma região pode ser descrito por distribuição de frequências que fornecem informações e características extremamente necessárias para uma possível implantação de sistemas eólicos de captação de energia na região e consequentes aplicações no meio rural em regiões afastadas. Estas características, tais como a velocidade média anual, a variância das velocidades registradas e a densidade da potência eólica média horária, podem ser obtidas pela frequência de ocorrências de determinada velocidade, que por sua vez deve ser estudada através de expressões analíticas. A função analítica mais adequada para distribuições eólicas é a função de densidade de Weibull, que pode ser determinada por métodos numéricos e regressões lineares. O objetivo deste trabalho é caracterizar analítica e geometricamente todos os procedimentos metodológicos necessários para a realização de uma caracterização completa do regime eólico de uma região e suas aplicações na região de Botucatu - SP, visando a determinar o potencial energético para implementação de turbinas eólicas. Assim, foi possível estabelecer teoremas relacionados com a forma de caracterização do regime eólico, estabelecendo a metodologia concisa analiticamente para a definição dos parâmetros eólicos de qualquer região a ser estudada. Para o desenvolvimento desta pesquisa, utilizou-se um anemômetro da CAMPBELL.