Estimation of unemployment rates in small areas of Portugal: a best linear unbiased prediction approach versus a hierarchical Bayes approach

The high level of unemployment is one of the major problems in most European countries nowadays. Hence, the demand for small area labor market statistics has rapidly increased over the past few years. The Labour Force Survey (LFS) conducted by the Portuguese Statistical Office is the main source of official statistics on the labour market at the macro level (e.g. NUTS2 and national level). However, the LFS was not designed to produce reliable statistics at the micro level (e.g. NUTS3, municipalities or further disaggregate level) due to small sample sizes. Consequently, traditional design-based estimators are not appropriate. A solution to this problem is to consider model-based estimators that "borrow information" from related areas or past samples by using auxiliary information. This paper reviews, under the model-based approach, Best Linear Unbiased Predictors and an estimator based on the posterior predictive distribution of a Hierarchical Bayesian model. The goal of this paper is to analyze the possibility to produce accurate unemployment rate statistics at micro level from the Portuguese LFS using these kinds of stimators. This paper discusses the advantages of using each approach and the viability of its implementation.

Waiting for Godot? Welfare Attitudes in Portugal Before and After the Financial Crisis

Do attitudes towards the welfare state change in response to economic crises? Addressing this question is sometimes difficult because of the lack of longitudinal data. This article deals with this empirical challenge using survey data from the 2008 European Social Survey and from our own follow-up survey of Spring 2013 to track welfare attitudes at the brink and at the peak of the socio-economic crisis in one of the hardest hit countries: Portugal. The literature on social policy preferences predicts an increased polarization in opinions towards the welfare state between different groups within society – in particular between labour market insiders and outsiders. However the prediction has scarcely been tested empirically. A notoriously dualized country, Portugal provides a critical setting in which to test this hypothesis. The results show attitudinal change and this varies according to labour market vulnerability. However, we observe no polarisation and advance alternative explanations for why this is so.

Private school quality in Italy

Private school enrolment may lead to worse subsequent performance in further education or in the labour market. If students differ in their ability not only to pay but to take advantage of educational opportunities (“talent” for short), private schools attract a worse pool of students when publicly funded schools are better suited to foster progress by more talented students. In the data we analyze, the impact of observable talent proxies on educational and labour market outcomes is indeed more positive for students who (endogenously) choose to attend public schools than for those who choose to pay for private education.

Formação alternativa no ISCAP

O Ensino Superior Politécnico deve aproveitar o Processo de Bolonha para assumir um papel de relevo na resposta às necessidades do mercado de trabalho, seja através da adequação dos planos curriculares das suas licenciaturas e mestrados às reais necessidades dos empregadores, seja através da realização de formações que permitam aos trabalhadores no activo ou no desemprego aumentar, actualizar, diversificar e aprofundar os seus conhecimentos, para melhorarem a sua empregabilidade e melhor competirem a nível nacional e internacional, de modo a constituirem uma mais valia para as organizações onde trabalham. O ISCAP tentou já essa via com sucesso, com a oferta de dois cursos, um na área da contabilidade e fiscalidade e outro na área da tradução.

Avaliação do estado de conservação de fachadas e ensaios de arrancamento de elementos em aço de pré-esforço colados com resina Epoxy a provetes de pedra natural

O ingresso no mercado de trabalho e primeiro contacto com a realidade na construção em Portugal motivaram a realização deste relatório. O qual tem como base o estágio realizado na Sika® Portugal Produtos da Construção e Indústria, S.A. como elemento do Departamento Técnico. O trabalho desenvolvido incide sobre a escolha de soluções de reabilitação e na avaliação preliminar do estado de conservação dos edifícios outrora reabilitados com soluções Sika®. A primeira parte deste relatório descreve a adaptação do método de avaliação do estado de conservação de edifícios (MAEC) de forma a realizar esta avaliação apenas no sistema construtivo que compõe a fachada, aplicado num estudo desenvolvido para 100 obras de reabilitação em edifícios distribuídos no território nacional. Numa segunda parte do relatório são apresentados documentos desenvolvidos durante a actividade profissional aquando de visitas às obras e respectivas análises preliminares e especificações técnicas. Nesta segunda parte do relatório mais relacionada com as actividades diárias são ainda apresentados documentos técnicos de apoio a tecnologias e ou selecção de soluções mais adequadas às exigências e necessidades de comportamento dos materiais. É ainda abordado o tema sustentabilidade que actualmente é uma das preocupações nas escolhas e tomadas de decisão de soluções para a reabilitação e construção nova. Apresenta-se ainda um estudo realizado em laboratório que visa determinar o comprimento de amarração de fios ou cordões de pré-esforço colados com resina epoxy a provetes de diferentes tipos de pedra natural.

Coordenação e gestão de obras em ambiente empresarial

O estágio foi um complemento da formação académica, disponibilizado pelo Instituto Superior de Engenharia do Porto, permitindo o contacto e a inserção do estagiário no mercado de trabalho. Este relatório retrata o percurso realizado durante o estágio, e representa o culminar do Curso de Mestrado em Engenharia civil no Ramo de Gestão de Obras. O estágio, com duração de 6 meses, realizou-se na empresa Cogedir – Gestão de Projetos S.A. sediada em Vila Nova de Gaia. A integração na empresa permitiu adquirir e desenvolver competências que habilitaram o estagiário a prestar funções de direção e fiscalização de obras, pois durante o período de estágio foram atribuídas diversas funções do ramo de gestão, como a coordenação e gestão de obras, resposta a concursos públicos e privados, orçamentação, entre outras, sendo que o estágio se focalizou sobretudo na coordenação e gestão da execução de um empreendimento destinado a um Hotel e Spa na região de Águeda. Este relatório tenta demonstrar que os conhecimentos obtidos ao longo do curso foram devidamente interiorizados e aplicados em ambiente empresarial e para isso serão abordadas as principais funções, responsabilidades e atividades desempenhadas ao longo da execução do empreendimento em foco tentando dar exemplos de cada atividade. Para além disso haverá lugar a um capítulo inteiramente dedicado à gestão do planeamento a nível de prazos e custos de uma das fases de execução do empreendimento. Essa gestão será realizada com recurso à ferramenta de gestão designada por Método EVM, incorporada no programa Microsoft Project 2013. Este método oferece a possibilidade de cálculo de vários indicadores de um projeto e será explicado de forma intuitiva, simples e completa, possibilitando a sua fácil consulta ao longo da vida profissional.

Surdez e participação no mercado de trabalho

RESUMO - Este estudo tem como objectivo caracterizar a participação no mercado de trabalho de pessoas com surdez. Foi analisada uma amostra de 144 indivíduos, adultos, todos eles com algum tipo de surdez, e comparados os dados obtidos com os referentes à população portuguesa. A análise mostra que na nossa amostra, o nível de escolaridade é superior ao da população, no entanto a taxa de emprego é inferior e a taxa de desemprego é mais do dobro do que na população portuguesa.

What creates resilience among the unemployed? Evidence in Portugal

Resilience is the intrinsic capacity which allows individuals to adapt to adverse situations. Among unemployed, resilience obtains a particular importance as a must-required skill to face unemployment and make it possible to return to the labour market. The present work aims at discover which social and individual aspects are most responsible to increase resilience levels among the unemployed. In order to find those aspects, a questionnaire was applied to a sample of Portuguese unemployed. The results were then analysed and interpreted, and some of the possible solutions able to increase resilience levels among the Portuguese unemployed were listed and justified.

Parental Leave and Mothers' Careers: The Relative Importance of Job Protection and Cash Benefits

Job protection and cash benefits are key elements of parental leave (PL) systems. We study how these two policy instruments affect return-to-work and medium-run labour market outcomes of mothers of newborn children. Analysing a series of major PL policy changes in Austria, we find that longer cash benefits lead to a significant delay in return-to-work, particularly so in the period that is job-protected. Prolonged parental leave absence induced by these policy changes does not appear to hurt mothers' labour market outcomes in the medium run. We build a non-stationary model of job search after childbirth to isolate the role of the two policy instruments. The model matches return-to-work and return to same employer profiles under the various factual policy configurations. Counterfactual policy simulations indicate that a system that combines cash with protection dominates other systems in generating time for care immediately after birth while maintaining mothers' medium-run labour market attachment.

Parents living with HIV in a high-income country: do patients need specific support?

The number of HIV-infected persons with children and caregiving duties is likely to increase. From this statement, the present study was designed to establish how HIV infected caregivers organise their parenting routines and to determine their support needs. A further aim was to ascertain caregivers' perception of conspicuous behaviours displayed by their children. Finally, it sought to determine the extent to which the caregivers' assessment of their parenting activity is influenced by the required support and their children's perceived conspicuous behaviours. The study design was observational and cross-sectional. Sampling was based on the 7 HIV Outpatient Clinics associated with the national population-based Swiss HIV Cohort Study. It focused on persons living with HIV who are responsible for raising children below the age of 18. A total of 520 caregivers were approached and 261 participated. An anonymous, standardised, self-administered questionnaire was used for data collection. The data were analysed using descriptive statistical procedures and backward elimination multiple regression analysis. The 261 respondents cared for 406 children and adolescents under 18 years of age; the median age was 10 years. The caregivers' material resources were low. 70% had a net family income in a range below the median of Swiss net family income and 30% were dependent on welfare assistance. 73% were undergoing treatment with 86% reporting no physical impairments. The proportion of single caregivers was 34%. 92% of the children were living with their HIV infected caregivers. 80% of the children attended an institution such as a school or kindergarten during the day. 89% of the caregivers had access to social networks providing support. Nevertheless, caregivers required additional support in performing their parenting duties and indicated a need for assistance on the material level, in connection with legal problems and with participation in the labour market. 46% of the caregivers had observed one or more conspicuous behaviours displayed by their children, which indicates a challenging situation. However, most of these caregivers assessed their parenting activity very favourably. Backward elimination multiple regression analysis indicated that a smaller number of support needs, younger age of the eldest child and fewer physical impairments on the part of the caregiver enhance the caregivers' assessment of their parenting activity. Physicians should speak to caregivers living with HIV about their parenting responsibilities and provide the necessary scope for this subject in their consultation sessions. Physicians are in a position to draw their patients' attention to the services available to them.

Institutional legacies, employment and professional integration of non EU/EEA doctors in France

Internationally, policies for attracting highly-skilled migrants have become the guidelines mainly used by the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries. Governments are implementing specific procedures to capture and facilitate their mobility. However, all professions are not equal when it comes to welcoming highly-skilled migrants. The medical profession, as a protective market, is one of these. Taking the case of non-EU/EEA doctors in France, this paper shows that the medical profession defined as the closed labour market, remains the most controversial in terms of professional integration of migrants, protectionist barriers to migrant competition and challenge of medical shortage. Based on the path-dependency approach, this paper argues that non-EU/EEA doctors' issues in France derive from a complex historical process of interaction between standards settled in the past, particularly the historical power of medical corporatism, the unexpected long-term effects of French hospital reforms of 1958, and budgetary pressures. Theoretically, this paper shows two significant findings. Firstly, the French medical system has undergone a series of transformations unthinkable in the strict sense of a path-dependence approach: an opening of the medical profession to foreign physicians in the context of the Europeanisation of public policy, acceptance of non-EU/EEA doctors in a context of medical shortage and budgetary pressures. Secondly, there is no change of the overall paradigm: significantly, the recruitment policies of non-EU/EEA doctors continue to highlight the imprint of the past and reveal a significant persistence of prejudices. Non-EU/EEA doctors are not considered legitimate doctors even if they have the qualifications of physicians which are legitimate in their country and which can be recognised in other receiving countries.

Changes in cannabis and tobacco use trajectories from age 17 to age 23

Much like the first volume published in 2011, the second volume of this anthology series gathers a selection of analyses which are empirically based on the data of the Swiss panel study TREE (Transitions from Education to Employment). The contributions of this volume carry on the investigation of the critical transitions during youth and young adulthood, drawing on sociological, economic, psychological and pedagogical research questions and thus highlighting the analytic and pluri-disciplinary research potential of the TREE data. One of the topical foci is the long-term influence of social origin on education and labour market pathways, particularly with regard to access to higher education.

"Welcome to my life" : the experiences of single mothers who are the recipients of multiple state provided benefits

Abstract This research takes the lens of social reproduction as a starting point for an examination of the effects of recent social welfare reforms on the lives o.fsingle mothers. As the cumulative effects o.f diminishing state provided benefits take hold, tensions are heightened as single mothers internalize the insecurity of earning an income in 11 capitalist labour market, while trying to carry out all that is involved in social reproduction with inadequate means of survival. Through interviewing single mothers who are the recipients of mUltiple state provided benefits (social assistance, student loans, subsidized housing and subsidized childcare), this thesis illuminates the cOl1linued regulation of women in an effort to assure that social reproduction is occurring at the lowest cost possible. State provided benefits are set lip in such a way that it is near impossible for single mothers to make ends meet without entering the labour force or entering into co-residential relationships. This push towards the labour force and/or marriage via punitive welfare policies illuminates the devaluation of the labour that is done at home. Through interviewing 5 single mothers, I will demonstrate the extensive labour that goes into maintaining their households. In addition .J case managers are interviewed. The employees of social assistance, subsidized hOllsing, subsidized childcare and student loans, have much agency in deeming who is worthy of receiving benefits. The employees of these agencies have the ability to make these women's lives easier or more complicated by how the workers interpret the policy regulations. Social policies are of paramount importance in the quest for women's equality and thus have consequences for how women's daily lives are organized. The rules and regulations that govern the individual policies are complex and bureaucratic and have implications for the ways in which women must organize their lives in order to survive. The shifts in social policy have been guided by neo-liberal assumptions with a focus on individual responsibility and a market-modeled welfare state. The caring work that is involved in raising children to be productive in a capitalist society is ignored or devalued in current policies. The emphasis in each polic.:v is on getting women who receive benefits into the paid work force, with little facilitation or investment into the caring work these women do on a daily basis that in turn supports capitalism. Policies, such as social assistance, subsidized housing, subsidized childcare and student loans, are set up in such a way that ignores the reality of women's day-to-day lives and devalues the necessary work done at home. It takes an abundance of labour and strategizing for women to seek out necessary means of survival, labour that is amplified when a woman is dealing with mUltiple slate provided benefits.

The Political Economy of St. Catharines' Illicit Taxi Trade

The global restructuring of production has led to increasingly precarious working conditions around the world. Post-industrial work is characterized by poor working conditions, low wages, a lack of social protection and political representation and little job security. Unregulated forms of work that are defined as “irregular” or “illegal”, or in some cases “criminal,” are connected to sweeping transformations within the broader regulated (formal) economy. The connection between the formal and informal sectors can more accurately be described as co-optation and, as a subordinate integration of the informal to the formal. The city of St. Catharines within Niagara, along with much of Ontario’s industrial heartland, has been hard hit by deindustrialization. The rise of this illegal service is thus viewed against the backdrop of heavy economic restructuring, as opportunities for work in the manufacturing sector have become sparse. In addition, this research also explores the paradoxical co-optation of the growing illicit taxi economy and consequences for racialized and foreign credentialed labour in the taxi industry. The overall objective of this research is to explore the illicit cab industry as not only inseparable from the formal economy, but dialectically, how it is as an integrated and productive element of the public and private transportation industry. Furthermore the research examines what this co-optation means in the context of a labour market that is split by race.

Immigration, origines nationales et marché du travail: la présence en emploi des immigrants de la catégorie des travailleurs sélectionnés

Basé sur l’approche des parcours de vie, le présent mémoire se veut une étude du processus par lequel les inégalités fondées sur l’ethnicité se déploient dans le marché du travail au Québec. Faites à partir des données de l’Enquête sur les travailleurs sélectionnés (n=1541), des régressions logistiques à effets aléatoires évaluent l’influence de la région de naissance des nouveaux immigrants sur la présence en emploi tout au long des quatre premières années et demie de séjour au Québec. Les résultats obtenus démontrent que la présence en emploi est influencée par la région de naissance. Quatre profils principaux ressortent. Les travailleurs sélectionnés provenant d’Europe de l’Ouest et des États-Unis, catégorie de référence, bénéficient d’une situation relativement favorable. Les répondants originaires du Maghreb, désavantagés au cours de la première année, verront leur situation relative s’améliorer au fil du temps, sans pour autant atteindre une présence en emploi équivalente à celle de la catégorie de référence. Les travailleurs sélectionnés provenant d’Europe de l’Est et ex-URSS, d’Asie de l’Est et Océanie et d’Asie de l’Ouest et Moyen-Orient sont désavantagés durant la première année. Cette situation demeura au même niveau tout au long de la période d’observation. Les travailleurs sélectionnés originaires d’Afrique sub-saharienne et Amérique (sauf États-Unis) débuteront leur séjour dans une position défavorable et verront leur situation relative se détériorer au fil du temps.