Similarity measure based classification

Luokittelujärjestelmää suunniteltaessa tarkoituksena on rakentaa systeemi, joka pystyy ratkaisemaan mahdollisimman tarkasti tutkittavan ongelma-alueen. Hahmontunnistuksessa tunnistusjärjestelmän ydin on luokitin. Luokittelun sovellusaluekenttä on varsin laaja. Luokitinta tarvitaan mm. hahmontunnistusjärjestelmissä, joista kuvankäsittely toimii hyvänä esimerkkinä. Myös lääketieteen parissa tarkkaa luokittelua tarvitaan paljon. Esimerkiksi potilaan oireiden diagnosointiin tarvitaan luokitin, joka pystyy mittaustuloksista päättelemään mahdollisimman tarkasti, onko potilaalla kyseinen oire vai ei. Väitöskirjassa on tehty similaarisuusmittoihin perustuva luokitin ja sen toimintaa on tarkasteltu mm. lääketieteen paristatulevilla data-aineistoilla, joissa luokittelutehtävänä on tunnistaa potilaan oireen laatu. Väitöskirjassa esitetyn luokittimen etuna on sen yksinkertainen rakenne, josta johtuen se on helppo tehdä sekä ymmärtää. Toinen etu on luokittimentarkkuus. Luokitin saadaan luokittelemaan useita eri ongelmia hyvin tarkasti. Tämä on tärkeää varsinkin lääketieteen parissa, missä jo pieni tarkkuuden parannus luokittelutuloksessa on erittäin tärkeää. Väitöskirjassa ontutkittu useita eri mittoja, joilla voidaan mitata samankaltaisuutta. Mitoille löytyy myös useita parametreja, joille voidaan etsiä juuri kyseiseen luokitteluongelmaan sopivat arvot. Tämä parametrien optimointi ongelma-alueeseen sopivaksi voidaan suorittaa mm. evoluutionääri- algoritmeja käyttäen. Kyseisessä työssä tähän on käytetty geneettistä algoritmia ja differentiaali-evoluutioalgoritmia. Luokittimen etuna on sen joustavuus. Ongelma-alueelle on helppo vaihtaa similaarisuusmitta, jos kyseinen mitta ei ole sopiva tutkittavaan ongelma-alueeseen. Myös eri mittojen parametrien optimointi voi parantaa tuloksia huomattavasti. Kun käytetään eri esikäsittelymenetelmiä ennen luokittelua, tuloksia pystytään parantamaan.

Stratification of the severity of critically ill patients with classification trees

Background: Development of three classification trees (CT) based on the CART (Classification and Regression Trees), CHAID (Chi-Square Automatic Interaction Detection) and C4.5 methodologies for the calculation of probability of hospital mortality; the comparison of the results with the APACHE II, SAPS II and MPM II-24 scores, and with a model based on multiple logistic regression (LR). Methods: Retrospective study of 2864 patients. Random partition (70:30) into a Development Set (DS) n = 1808 and Validation Set (VS) n = 808. Their properties of discrimination are compared with the ROC curve (AUC CI 95%), Percent of correct classification (PCC CI 95%); and the calibration with the Calibration Curve and the Standardized Mortality Ratio (SMR CI 95%). Results: CTs are produced with a different selection of variables and decision rules: CART (5 variables and 8 decision rules), CHAID (7 variables and 15 rules) and C4.5 (6 variables and 10 rules). The common variables were: inotropic therapy, Glasgow, age, (A-a)O2 gradient and antecedent of chronic illness. In VS: all the models achieved acceptable discrimination with AUC above 0.7. CT: CART (0.75(0.71-0.81)), CHAID (0.76(0.72-0.79)) and C4.5 (0.76(0.73-0.80)). PCC: CART (72(69- 75)), CHAID (72(69-75)) and C4.5 (76(73-79)). Calibration (SMR) better in the CT: CART (1.04(0.95-1.31)), CHAID (1.06(0.97-1.15) and C4.5 (1.08(0.98-1.16)). Conclusion: With different methodologies of CTs, trees are generated with different selection of variables and decision rules. The CTs are easy to interpret, and they stratify the risk of hospital mortality. The CTs should be taken into account for the classification of the prognosis of critically ill patients.

Prediction of crude protein and classification of the growth stage of wheat plant samples from NIR spectra

Near-infrared spectroscopy (NIRS) was used to analyse the crude protein content of dried and milled samples of wheat and to discriminate samples according to their stage of growth. A calibration set of 72 samples from three growth stages of wheat (tillering, heading and harvest) and a validation set of 28 samples was collected for this purpose. Principal components analysis (PCA) of the calibration set discriminated groups of samples according to the growth stage of the wheat. Based on these differences, a classification procedure (SIMCA) showed a very accurate classification of the validation set samples : all of them were successfully classified in each group using this procedure when both the residual and the leverage were used in the classification criteria. Looking only at the residuals all the samples were also correctly classified except one of tillering stage that was assigned to both tillering and heading stages. Finally, the determination of the crude protein content of these samples was considered in two ways: building up a global model for all the growth stages, and building up local models for each stage, separately. The best prediction results for crude protein were obtained using a global model for samples in the two first growth stages (tillering and heading), and using a local model for the harvest stage samples.

Integrating defeasible argumentation with fuzzy ART neural networks for pattern classification

Many classification systems rely on clustering techniques in which a collection of training examples is provided as an input, and a number of clusters c1,...cm modelling some concept C results as an output, such that every cluster ci is labelled as positive or negative. Given a new, unlabelled instance enew, the above classification is used to determine to which particular cluster ci this new instance belongs. In such a setting clusters can overlap, and a new unlabelled instance can be assigned to more than one cluster with conflicting labels. In the literature, such a case is usually solved non-deterministically by making a random choice. This paper presents a novel, hybrid approach to solve this situation by combining a neural network for classification along with a defeasible argumentation framework which models preference criteria for performing clustering.

Acting, predicting and intervening in a socio-hydrological world

This paper asks a simple question: if humans and their actions co-evolve with hydrological systems (Sivapalan et al., 2012), what is the role of hydrological scientists, who are also humans, within this system? To put it more directly, as traditionally there is a supposed separation of scientists and society, can we maintain this separation as socio-hydrologists studying a socio-hydrological world? This paper argues that we cannot, using four linked sections. The first section draws directly upon the concern of science-technology studies to make a case to the (socio-hydrological) community that we need to be sensitive to constructivist accounts of science in general and socio-hydrology in particular. I review three positions taken by such accounts and apply them to hydrological science, supported with specific examples: (a) the ways in which scientific activities frame socio-hydrological research, such that at least some of the knowledge that we obtain is constructed by precisely what we do; (b) the need to attend to how socio-hydrological knowledge is used in decision-making, as evidence suggests that hydrological knowledge does not flow simply from science into policy; and (c) the observation that those who do not normally label themselves as socio-hydrologists may actually have a profound knowledge of socio-hydrology. The second section provides an empirical basis for considering these three issues by detailing the history of the practice of roughness parameterisation, using parameters like Manning's n, in hydrological and hydraulic models for flood inundation mapping. This history sustains the third section that is a more general consideration of one type of socio-hydrological practice: predictive modelling. I show that as part of a socio-hydrological analysis, hydrological prediction needs to be thought through much more carefully: not only because hydrological prediction exists to help inform decisions that are made about water management; but also because those predictions contain assumptions, the predictions are only correct in so far as those assumptions hold, and for those assumptions to hold, the socio-hydrological system (i.e. the world) has to be shaped so as to include them. Here, I add to the ``normal'' view that ideally our models should represent the world around us, to argue that for our models (and hence our predictions) to be valid, we have to make the world look like our models. Decisions over how the world is modelled may transform the world as much as they represent the world. Thus, socio-hydrological modelling has to become a socially accountable process such that the world is transformed, through the implications of modelling, in a fair and just manner. This leads into the final section of the paper where I consider how socio-hydrological research may be made more socially accountable, in a way that is both sensitive to the constructivist critique (Sect. 1), but which retains the contribution that hydrologists might make to socio-hydrological studies. This includes (1) working with conflict and controversy in hydrological science, rather than trying to eliminate them; (2) using hydrological events to avoid becoming locked into our own frames of explanation and prediction; (3) being empirical and experimental but in a socio-hydrological sense; and (4) co-producing socio-hydrological predictions. I will show how this might be done through a project that specifically developed predictive models for making interventions in river catchments to increase high river flow attenuation. Therein, I found myself becoming detached from my normal disciplinary networks and attached to the co-production of a predictive hydrological model with communities normally excluded from the practice of hydrological science.

Evidence-based provisional clinical classification criteria for autoinflammatory periodic fevers.

The objective of this work was to develop and validate a set of clinical criteria for the classification of patients affected by periodic fevers. Patients with inherited periodic fevers (familial Mediterranean fever (FMF); mevalonate kinase deficiency (MKD); tumour necrosis factor receptor-associated periodic fever syndrome (TRAPS); cryopyrin-associated periodic syndromes (CAPS)) enrolled in the Eurofever Registry up until March 2013 were evaluated. Patients with periodic fever, aphthosis, pharyngitis and adenitis (PFAPA) syndrome were used as negative controls. For each genetic disease, patients were considered to be 'gold standard' on the basis of the presence of a confirmatory genetic analysis. Clinical criteria were formulated on the basis of univariate and multivariate analysis in an initial group of patients (training set) and validated in an independent set of patients (validation set). A total of 1215 consecutive patients with periodic fevers were identified, and 518 gold standard patients (291 FMF, 74 MKD, 86 TRAPS, 67 CAPS) and 199 patients with PFAPA as disease controls were evaluated. The univariate and multivariate analyses identified a number of clinical variables that correlated independently with each disease, and four provisional classification scores were created. Cut-off values of the classification scores were chosen using receiver operating characteristic curve analysis as those giving the highest sensitivity and specificity. The classification scores were then tested in an independent set of patients (validation set) with an area under the curve of 0.98 for FMF, 0.95 for TRAPS, 0.96 for MKD, and 0.99 for CAPS. In conclusion, evidence-based provisional clinical criteria with high sensitivity and specificity for the clinical classification of patients with inherited periodic fevers have been developed.

The Classification of Vitreous Seeds in Retinoblastoma and Response to Intravitreal Melphalan.

PURPOSE: To evaluate the clinical characteristics of the 3 classifications of vitreous seeds in retinoblastoma-dust (class 1), spheres (class 2), and clouds (class 3)-and their responses to intravitreal melphalan. DESIGN: Retrospective, bi-institutional cohort study. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 87 patient eyes received 475 intravitreal injections of melphalan (median dose, 30 μg) given weekly, a median of 5 times (range, 1-12 times). METHODS: At presentation, the vitreous seeds were classified into 3 groups: dust, spheres, and clouds. Indirect ophthalmoscopy, fundus photography, ultrasonography, and ultrasonic biomicroscopy were used to evaluate clinical response to weekly intravitreal melphalan injections and time to regression of vitreous seeds. Kaplan-Meier estimates of time to regression and ocular survival, patient survival, and event-free survival (EFS) were calculated and then compared using the Mantel-Cox test of curve. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Time to regression of vitreous seeds, patient survival, ocular survival, and EFS. RESULTS: The difference in time to regression was significantly different for the 3 seed classes (P < 0.0001): the median time to regression was 0.6, 1.7, and 7.7 months for dust, spheres, and clouds, respectively. Eyes with dust received significantly fewer injections and a lower median and cumulative dose of melphalan, whereas eyes with clouds received significantly more injections and a higher median and cumulative dose of melphalan. Overall, the 2-year Kaplan-Meier estimates for ocular survival, patient survival, and EFS (related to target seeds) were 90.4% (95% confidence interval [CI], 79.7-95.6), 100%, and 98.5% (95% CI, 90-99.7), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The regression and response of vitreous seeds to intravitreal melphalan are different for each seed classification. The vitreous seed classification can be predictive of time to regression, number, median dose, and cumulative dose of intravitreal melphalan injections required.