Análise comparativa do mercado imobiliário em Cidades Médias: a oferta de apartamentos, casas e terrenos urbanos em Campina Grande – PB, Mossoró – RN e Passo Fundo – RS

This presente monograph propose the analysis and discussion of the production of urban space and the processes of their structuring intraurbana from the dynamics of the real estate market into three Medium-sized Cities, Campina Grande - PB, Mossoró - RN and Passo Fundo - RS, whereas the various agents producing this space, in a comparative perspective. From this urban dynamic search to analyze the processes and relations present in these spaces, which are important for its production. From the compilation of real estate advertisements in local newspapers, are analyzed offerings of urban land, houses and apartments in each one of these cities by highlighting their locations and differentiated prices. Thus, working with data from real estate ads from the period 1995 - 2010 and a comparative perspective of the characteristics of real estate markets of three medium-sized cities, it tried to apprehend processes that are common between them and other individuals, to each one. Therefore the comparative analysis developed in this monograph sought to verify whether there are similarities between the cities in relation to the trends of concentration/spatial dispersion of bids and movements throughout time, in addition to a further intensification of the activities of real estate agents in face of such trends and offerings. In addition, we sought to remove a set of problematization that allow them to understand with more acute, in this set of medium cities of Brazilian urban network, processes of change that is already being discussed in the recent period by ReCiMe.

Processo de uso e ocupação do Pontal do Paranapanema-SP: perspectiva das unidades de conservação (UCs)

The current concern with environmental issues by the scientific community, governmental and civil society also brings out the need to recover, preserve and conserve the environment. With this understanding, this work was prepared, which had as one of the main objectives of the historical process of land use and occupancy of the Pontal, since the nineteenth century to the present day. From this, the changes were evident in the types of land use, which rose from native forest to plant crops (permanent and temporary crops) and later as pasture. Through this process of occupation, exploitation of forests and replacement even three, Reserves being brought from the Far West Paulista, through the state government of Sao Paulo, they were almost decimated. Such areas decreed by law to be preserved and conserved, with the rampant occupations, were suffocated by the fakes and illegal occupation of land tenure contracts, leaving the region currently only a few forest fragments and protected areas of State Park Morro do Diabo, PRNP Boa Vista and Ecological Station Black Lion Tamarin. Furthermore, the article emphasizes the main legislation being developed by federal and state levels aimed at protecting natural resources and the effectiveness they had with the passage of time, demonstrating that the conservation of the environment, has several contributions in the law, however, and they are so vast that hinder its application.

Análisis espacio-temporal del gradiente urbano-rural del sur de la Región Metropolitana de Madrid y su entorno. Caracterización de los procesos y patrones paisajísticos acaecidos en el período 1990-2006

El objetivo de esta tesis es proponer una metodología capaz de cuantificar la dinámica paisajística a lo largo del gradiente urbano – rural perteneciente al sur de la Región Metropolitana de Madrid y su entorno. Esta tesis se estructura en ocho capítulos, planos y anejos. El primero se refiere a los antecedentes tanto conceptuales como metodológicos. Los primeros se centran en los diversos enfoques existentes en relación al estudio de la dinámica paisajística, con el objetivo de encontrar los puntos en común existentes entre el enfoque del metabolismo social, el de la ecología del paisaje y el humanista, para obtener un diagnóstico que permita entender la complejidad de la realidad a la que esta Tesis se enfrenta. Los segundos se centran en los antecedentes de carácter metodológico que también desde diversos enfoques han abordado el análisis de la dinámica paisajística. El segundo capítulo se centra en los objetivos concretos derivados del objetivo general ya expresado, la tesis considera que para comprender y cuantificar la dinámica hay que identificar en primer lugar los procesos de transformación, como manifestación espacial de los factores socioeconómicos y naturales responsables en última instancia de la variación de los patrones paisajísticos existentes. En segundo lugar se identifican los patrones paisajísticos con el objetivo de analizar sus características espaciales y su evolución en el período analizado. Por último se identifican los procesos paisajísticos, es decir qué tipos de variaciones espaciales se producen en los patrones paisajísticos como consecuencia de los procesos de transformación identificados así como su pauta de distribución a lo largo del gradiente urbano ‐ rural. El tercer capítulo se dedica a la caracterización del ámbito de estudio, ésta se extiende al sur del límite del suelo urbano de la capital madrileña en el año 1990, comprende la totalidad de los municipios madrileños que contactan con los municipios castellano – manchegos que se encuentran en el área de influencia de la capital, abarcando el área 9.968 km2. El cuarto capítulo se centra en la metodología. Como material de partida se ha utilizado en la cartografía del Corine Land Cover y como herramienta de análisis se ha utilizado los Sistemas de Información Geográfica. En primer lugar se identifican los procesos de transformación, acaecidos en los períodos 1990 – 2000 y 2000 – 2006, mediante la aplicación de matrices de transición. Se han identificado cuatro tipos de procesos dinámicos: Urbanización, abandono, renaturalización y agrarización. Se ha realizado un análisis de indicadores compuestos lo que ha permitido identificar los tipos de patrones paisajísticos existentes a lo largo del gradiente urbano – rural. Del mismo modo se ha calculado la variación de los indicadores individuales para identificar los procesos paisajísticos mediante el análisis de indicadores compuestos que se produjeron en el período 1990 – 2000 y 2000 – 2006. En el quinto capítulo se aportan los resultados tanto de carácter cuantitativo como gráfico de los tres componentes analizados tanto de forma independiente como integrada. En el sexto capítulo se describen las conclusiones producto de la investigación realizada. En el séptimo capítulo se identifican qué líneas de investigación podrían desarrollarse en el futuro para continuar la línea de investigación iniciada con esta tesis. ABSTRACT The aim of this thesis was to propose a methodology to characterize landscape dynamics along the urban – rural gradient in the south Madrid area. It´s structured in eight chapters, planes and annexes: the first one describes previous research. Firstly to make a diagnosis of the effects of landscape dynamic we have performed an integrated analysis from social metabolism, landscape ecology and the humanistic point of view. Secondly we have focused on previous methodological research mainly developped by landscape ecology. The second chapter focuses on specific objectives derived from the general objective. The thesis considers that to understand and quantify landscape dynamics must first identify the transformation processes: spatial manifestation of natural and socioeconomics factors that induce the change of landscape patterns. Secondly landscape patterns have been identified in order to analyze their spatial characteristics and evolution. Finally the landscape processes have been identified, i.e. what kind of spatial variations cause changes in landscape patterns along urban – rural gradient. The third chapter describes the study area. The study area occupies 9968 km2. It covers the area to the south of Madrid’s 1990 urban land area, and takes in the southeast of the Madrid Autonomous Region plus all the municipal areas of the Castilla–La Mancha Autonomous Region directly influenced by the expansion of Madrid. The fourth chapter contains the methodology. To identify the changes in the landscape of the study area, the land cover data for the area held in the CORINE LandCover Project Database was examined. To characterize the transformations processes in the period 1990 ‐ 2000 and 2000 – 2006, transition matrices were constructed. We have identified four clear changes: Urbanization, renaturalization, abandonment and agrarianization. We have characterized landscape patterns using composite indicators by integrating individual spatial metrics. Similarly we have characterized landscape processes using composite indicators by integrating the variation of individual spatial metrics. Chapter fifth includes the results, both for each component and its final integration. The conclusions of this research have been described in the sixth chapter. The seventh chapter describes what kind of investigations could be done in the future.

Análisis espacio-temporal del gradiente urbano-rural del sur de la Región Metropolitana de Madrid y su entorno. Caracterización de los procesos y patrones paisajísticos acaecidos en el período 1990-2006 (versión revisada y corregida)

El objetivo de esta tesis es proponer una metodología capaz de cuantificar la dinámica paisajística a lo largo del gradiente urbano – rural perteneciente al sur de la Región Metropolitana de Madrid y su entorno. Esta tesis se estructura en ocho capítulos, planos y anejos. El primero se refiere a los antecedentes tanto conceptuales como metodológicos. Los primeros se centran en los diversos enfoques existentes en relación al estudio de la dinámica paisajística, con el objetivo de encontrar los puntos en común existentes entre el enfoque del metabolismo social, el de la ecología del paisaje y el humanista, para obtener un diagnóstico que permita entender la complejidad de la realidad a la que esta Tesis se enfrenta. Los segundos se centran en los antecedentes de carácter metodológico que también desde diversos enfoques han abordado el análisis de la dinámica paisajística. El segundo capítulo se centra en los objetivos concretos derivados del objetivo general ya expresado, la tesis considera que para comprender y cuantificar la dinámica hay que identificar en primer lugar los procesos de transformación, como manifestación espacial de los factores socioeconómicos y naturales responsables en última instancia de la variación de los patrones paisajísticos existentes. En segundo lugar se identifican los patrones paisajísticos con el objetivo de analizar sus características espaciales y su evolución en el período analizado. Por último se identifican los procesos paisajísticos, es decir qué tipos de variaciones espaciales se producen en los patrones paisajísticos como consecuencia de los procesos de transformación identificados así como su pauta de distribución a lo largo del gradiente urbano ‐ rural. El tercer capítulo se dedica a la caracterización del ámbito de estudio, ésta se extiende al sur del límite del suelo urbano de la capital madrileña en el año 1990, comprende la totalidad de los municipios madrileños que contactan con los municipios castellano – manchegos que se encuentran en el área de influencia de la capital, abarcando el área 9.968 km2. El cuarto capítulo se centra en la metodología. Como material de partida se ha utilizado en la cartografía del Corine Land Cover y como herramienta de análisis se ha utilizado los Sistemas de Información Geográfica. En primer lugar se identifican los procesos de transformación, acaecidos en los períodos 1990 – 2000 y 2000 – 2006, mediante la aplicación de matrices de transición. Se han identificado cuatro tipos de procesos dinámicos: Urbanización, abandono, renaturalización y agrarización. Se ha realizado un análisis de indicadores compuestos lo que ha permitido identificar los tipos de patrones paisajísticos existentes a lo largo del gradiente urbano – rural. Del mismo modo se ha calculado la variación de los indicadores individuales para identificar los procesos paisajísticos mediante el análisis de indicadores compuestos que se produjeron en el período 1990 – 2000 y 2000 – 2006. En el quinto capítulo se aportan los resultados tanto de carácter cuantitativo como gráfico de los tres componentes analizados tanto de forma independiente como integrada. En el sexto capítulo se describen las conclusiones producto de la investigación realizada. En el séptimo capítulo se identifican qué líneas de investigación podrían desarrollarse en el futuro para continuar la línea de investigación iniciada con esta tesis. ABSTRACT The aim of this thesis was to propose a methodology to characterize landscape dynamics along the urban – rural gradient in the south Madrid area. It´s structured in eight chapters, planes and annexes: the first one describes previous research. Firstly to make a diagnosis of the effects of landscape dynamic we have performed an integrated analysis from social metabolism, landscape ecology and the humanistic point of view. Secondly we have focused on previous methodological research mainly developped by landscape ecology. The second chapter focuses on specific objectives derived from the general objective. The thesis considers that to understand and quantify landscape dynamics must first identify the transformation processes: spatial manifestation of natural and socioeconomics factors that induce the change of landscape patterns. Secondly landscape patterns have been identified in order to analyze their spatial characteristics and evolution. Finally the landscape processes have been identified, i.e. what kind of spatial variations cause changes in landscape patterns along urban – rural gradient. The third chapter describes the study area. The study area occupies 9968 km2. It covers the area to the south of Madrid’s 1990 urban land area, and takes in the southeast of the Madrid Autonomous Region plus all the municipal areas of the Castilla–La Mancha Autonomous Region directly influenced by the expansion of Madrid. The fourth chapter contains the methodology. To identify the changes in the landscape of the study area, the land cover data for the area held in the CORINE LandCover Project Database was examined. To characterize the transformations processes in the period 1990 ‐ 2000 and 2000 – 2006, transition matrices were constructed. We have identified four clear changes: Urbanization, renaturalization, abandonment and agrarianization. We have characterized landscape patterns using composite indicators by integrating individual spatial metrics. Similarly we have characterized landscape processes using composite indicators by integrating the variation of individual spatial metrics. Chapter fifth includes the results, both for each component and its final integration. The conclusions of this research have been described in the sixth chapter. The seventh chapter describes what kind of investigations could be done in the future.

O centro de Fortaleza como lugar de moradia

The present study has the objective of analyzing how the ways of dwelling influences the uses and the functional and symbolic appropriations of the urban space in Fortaleza city center, through the perspective of the residents and their relation with the living place. Scenarios of development and degradation of its urban space have marked the city center of Fortaleza. The intensification of the commercial and services occupation promoted through the years, paradoxically, the valorization of the land price and the devalorization of the residential use. Thus, the residential occupation was consolidated in a discontinuous way, being concentrated mainly in the external limits of the historical core of the neighborhood. The research is structured over the delimitation of an area and the selection of multifamily residential buildings, built since the 1960s, close to the central core of the neighborhood. The spatial configuration analysis of the selected residential buildings, and their relations with the urban surroundings and the land uses, reveals different aspects related to the urban vitality, producing impacts over the ways of dwelling constituted by the daily life of the residents. The study of the ways of dwelling involves the comprehension that the dwelling is beyond the private residential boundaries and the functional occupation. The conceptual base of this research is developed over the perspective that the dwelling represents a fundamental aspect of the human condition, allowing the person to relate with the space in an essential way (HEIDEGGER, 2012). In this perspective of the dwelling, the space reunites the mental and the cultural, the social and the historical, being marked by simultaneous logics of the conceived, the perceived and the lived space (LEFEVBRE, 2006). The development of this study, over the point of view of the neighborhood residents, is inserted in the perspective of the lived space, related to the concept of place, understood as a qualitative phenomenon, giving essence and identity to the space. The place of dwelling, marked by coexistences, is one of the structural elements of the urban land use, and potential for the rehabilitation of the central areas in big cities. Therefore, the study starts from the hypothesis that the location, the nearby land uses and the spatial configuration of the residential buildings affect the ways of dwelling, in other words the residents dissolve the boundaries of the shelter and experience the urban space, from the dwelling place. The requalification of the dwelling is opposed to the residential space based in functionality, in hierarchy, in self sufficiency, in standardization and in the reproduction of the urban space, materialized in the dense contemporary residential buildings, that are unrelated to the city. The stages of the research involved the spatial configuration analysis of the selected residential buildings and their surrounding, the land use mapping and interviews with the residents. The collected data allowed verifying that the buildings are located in areas presenting heterogeneous land uses, with a great number of residents and users. However, these aspects are not sufficient to promote the vitality of the public spaces in the neighborhood, since the people movement in the streets is controlled by the opening hours of the predominant commercial use in the area. The word of the residents, collected in interviews, indicate that the conservation conditions of the public spaces and the insecurity influences their everyday relations with the place of dwelling, affecting fundamental aspects for the dwelling requalification in the central area of Fortaleza.

O centro de Fortaleza como lugar de moradia

The present study has the objective of analyzing how the ways of dwelling influences the uses and the functional and symbolic appropriations of the urban space in Fortaleza city center, through the perspective of the residents and their relation with the living place. Scenarios of development and degradation of its urban space have marked the city center of Fortaleza. The intensification of the commercial and services occupation promoted through the years, paradoxically, the valorization of the land price and the devalorization of the residential use. Thus, the residential occupation was consolidated in a discontinuous way, being concentrated mainly in the external limits of the historical core of the neighborhood. The research is structured over the delimitation of an area and the selection of multifamily residential buildings, built since the 1960s, close to the central core of the neighborhood. The spatial configuration analysis of the selected residential buildings, and their relations with the urban surroundings and the land uses, reveals different aspects related to the urban vitality, producing impacts over the ways of dwelling constituted by the daily life of the residents. The study of the ways of dwelling involves the comprehension that the dwelling is beyond the private residential boundaries and the functional occupation. The conceptual base of this research is developed over the perspective that the dwelling represents a fundamental aspect of the human condition, allowing the person to relate with the space in an essential way (HEIDEGGER, 2012). In this perspective of the dwelling, the space reunites the mental and the cultural, the social and the historical, being marked by simultaneous logics of the conceived, the perceived and the lived space (LEFEVBRE, 2006). The development of this study, over the point of view of the neighborhood residents, is inserted in the perspective of the lived space, related to the concept of place, understood as a qualitative phenomenon, giving essence and identity to the space. The place of dwelling, marked by coexistences, is one of the structural elements of the urban land use, and potential for the rehabilitation of the central areas in big cities. Therefore, the study starts from the hypothesis that the location, the nearby land uses and the spatial configuration of the residential buildings affect the ways of dwelling, in other words the residents dissolve the boundaries of the shelter and experience the urban space, from the dwelling place. The requalification of the dwelling is opposed to the residential space based in functionality, in hierarchy, in self sufficiency, in standardization and in the reproduction of the urban space, materialized in the dense contemporary residential buildings, that are unrelated to the city. The stages of the research involved the spatial configuration analysis of the selected residential buildings and their surrounding, the land use mapping and interviews with the residents. The collected data allowed verifying that the buildings are located in areas presenting heterogeneous land uses, with a great number of residents and users. However, these aspects are not sufficient to promote the vitality of the public spaces in the neighborhood, since the people movement in the streets is controlled by the opening hours of the predominant commercial use in the area. The word of the residents, collected in interviews, indicate that the conservation conditions of the public spaces and the insecurity influences their everyday relations with the place of dwelling, affecting fundamental aspects for the dwelling requalification in the central area of Fortaleza.

Competing and Conflicting Land Uses at the Rural-Urban Interface: Understanding the Impacts of Residential Development on Agricultural Landscapes

Rural communities are currently undergoing rapid restructuring as globalization impacts the future viability of many small towns. Agricultural regions throughout Canada, in particular, Niagara-on-the-Lake, are forced to adapt to changes within the industry. In addition to these challenges, sprawling residential developments from nearby urban centres are changing the dynamic of this town, resulting in conflicts between the residential and agricultural land uses. This thesis explores these conflicts from the perspective of the residents and the farmers. It was found that the initial sources of conflict related to noise-generating farm activities are no longer a concern, while the use of pesticide have become a source of contention among the residents. The farmers, alternately, were found to be proactive and strived to limit the potential for conflict with adjacent residents. Lastly, it was determined that planning legislation aggravates land use conflicts within Niagara-on-the-Lake and need to better address these land use conflicts.

Wastewater usage in urban and peri-urban agricultural production systems: scenarios from India

The role urban and peri-urban agriculture (UPA) plays in reducing urban poverty and ensuring environmental sustainability was recognized by the Millennium Development Goals (MGDs). India is the world’s largest democratic nation with a population of 1.2 billion. The rapid urbanization and high proportion of people below the poverty line along with higher migration to urban areas make India vulnerable to food crisis and urbanization of poverty. Ensuring jobs and food security among urban poor is a major challenge in India. The role of UPA can be well explained and understood in this context. This paper focuses on the current situation of UPA production in India with special attention to wastewater irrigation. This question is being posed about the various human health risks from wastewater irrigation which are faced by farmers and labourers, and, secondly by consumers. The possible health hazards involve microbial pathogens as well as helminth (intestinal parasites). Based on primary and secondary data, this paper attempts to confirm that UPA is one of the best options to address increasing urban food demand and can serve to complement rural supply chains and reduce ecological food prints in India. “Good practice urban and peri-urban agriculture” necessitates an integrated approach with suitable risk reduction mechanisms to improve the efficiency and safety of UPA production.

Urban change monitoring using GIS and remote sensing tools in Kathmandu valley (Nepal)

Dissertation submitted in partial fulfilment of the requirements for the Degree of Master of Science in Geospatial Technologies

Spatial metrics and Landsat data for urban landuse change detection: case of Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.

Dissertation submitted in partial fulfilment of the requirements for the Degree of Master of Science in Geospatial Technologies.

Sustainable urban planning: parameters to the operational process

In modern society, energy consumption and respect for the environment have become essential aspects of urban planning. The rising demand for alternative sources of energy, coupled with the decline in the construction sector and material usage, gives the idea that the thinking on modern cities, where attention is given to reduced energy consumption, savings, waste recycling and respect for the surrounding environment, is being put into practice. If we examine development of the city over recent centuries, by means of the theories of the most famous and influential urban planners, it is possible to identify the major problems caused by this type of planning. For this reason, in recent urban planning the use of systems of indicators that evaluate and certify land environmentally and energetically guides the master plan toward a more efficient city model. In addition the indicators are targeted on key factors determined by the commissioner or the opportunities the territory itself provides. Due the complexity of the environmental mechanics, the process of design and urban planning has become a challenging issue. The introduction of the indicators system has made it possible to register the life of the process, with a spiral route that allows the design itself to be refined. The aim of this study, built around the creation of a system of urban sustainability indicators that will evaluate highly eco-friendly cities, is to develop a certification system for cities or portions of them. The system will be upgradeable and objective, will employ real data and will be concerned with energy production and consumption.

Copper toxicity for Scinax ruber and Rhinella granulosa (Amphibia: Anura) of the Amazon: Potential of Biotic Ligand Model to predict toxicity in urban streams

In the last years many populations of anurans have declined and extinctions have been recorded. They were related to environmental pollution, changes of land use and emerging diseases. The main objective of this study was to determine copper sensitivity of the anuran of the Amazon Rhinella granulosa and Scinax ruber tadpoles at stage 25 and Scinax ruber eggs exposed for 96 h to copper concentrations ranging from 15 µg Cu L-1 to 94 µg Cu L-1. LC50 at 96 h of Rhinella granulosa Gosner 25, Scinax ruber Gosner 25 and Scinax ruber eggs in black water of the Amazon were 23.48, 36.37 and 50.02 µg Cu L-1, respectively. The Biotic Ligand Model was used to predict the LC50 values for these species and it can be considered a promising tool for these tropical species and water conditions. Copper toxicity depends on water physical-chemical composition and on the larval stage of the tadpoles. The Gosner stage 19-21 (related to the appearance of external gills) is the most vulnerable and the egg stage is the most resistant. In case of contamination by copper, the natural streams must have special attention, since copper is more bioavailable.

Analysis, modelling and visualisation of spatiotemporal data for urban studies

The proportion of population living in or around cites is more important than ever. Urban sprawl and car dependence have taken over the pedestrian-friendly compact city. Environmental problems like air pollution, land waste or noise, and health problems are the result of this still continuing process. The urban planners have to find solutions to these complex problems, and at the same time insure the economic performance of the city and its surroundings. At the same time, an increasing quantity of socio-economic and environmental data is acquired. In order to get a better understanding of the processes and phenomena taking place in the complex urban environment, these data should be analysed. Numerous methods for modelling and simulating such a system exist and are still under development and can be exploited by the urban geographers for improving our understanding of the urban metabolism. Modern and innovative visualisation techniques help in communicating the results of such models and simulations. This thesis covers several methods for analysis, modelling, simulation and visualisation of problems related to urban geography. The analysis of high dimensional socio-economic data using artificial neural network techniques, especially self-organising maps, is showed using two examples at different scales. The problem of spatiotemporal modelling and data representation is treated and some possible solutions are shown. The simulation of urban dynamics and more specifically the traffic due to commuting to work is illustrated using multi-agent micro-simulation techniques. A section on visualisation methods presents cartograms for transforming the geographic space into a feature space, and the distance circle map, a centre-based map representation particularly useful for urban agglomerations. Some issues on the importance of scale in urban analysis and clustering of urban phenomena are exposed. A new approach on how to define urban areas at different scales is developed, and the link with percolation theory established. Fractal statistics, especially the lacunarity measure, and scale laws are used for characterising urban clusters. In a last section, the population evolution is modelled using a model close to the well-established gravity model. The work covers quite a wide range of methods useful in urban geography. Methods should still be developed further and at the same time find their way into the daily work and decision process of urban planners. La part de personnes vivant dans une région urbaine est plus élevé que jamais et continue à croître. L'étalement urbain et la dépendance automobile ont supplanté la ville compacte adaptée aux piétons. La pollution de l'air, le gaspillage du sol, le bruit, et des problèmes de santé pour les habitants en sont la conséquence. Les urbanistes doivent trouver, ensemble avec toute la société, des solutions à ces problèmes complexes. En même temps, il faut assurer la performance économique de la ville et de sa région. Actuellement, une quantité grandissante de données socio-économiques et environnementales est récoltée. Pour mieux comprendre les processus et phénomènes du système complexe "ville", ces données doivent être traitées et analysées. Des nombreuses méthodes pour modéliser et simuler un tel système existent et sont continuellement en développement. Elles peuvent être exploitées par le géographe urbain pour améliorer sa connaissance du métabolisme urbain. Des techniques modernes et innovatrices de visualisation aident dans la communication des résultats de tels modèles et simulations. Cette thèse décrit plusieurs méthodes permettant d'analyser, de modéliser, de simuler et de visualiser des phénomènes urbains. L'analyse de données socio-économiques à très haute dimension à l'aide de réseaux de neurones artificiels, notamment des cartes auto-organisatrices, est montré à travers deux exemples aux échelles différentes. Le problème de modélisation spatio-temporelle et de représentation des données est discuté et quelques ébauches de solutions esquissées. La simulation de la dynamique urbaine, et plus spécifiquement du trafic automobile engendré par les pendulaires est illustrée à l'aide d'une simulation multi-agents. Une section sur les méthodes de visualisation montre des cartes en anamorphoses permettant de transformer l'espace géographique en espace fonctionnel. Un autre type de carte, les cartes circulaires, est présenté. Ce type de carte est particulièrement utile pour les agglomérations urbaines. Quelques questions liées à l'importance de l'échelle dans l'analyse urbaine sont également discutées. Une nouvelle approche pour définir des clusters urbains à des échelles différentes est développée, et le lien avec la théorie de la percolation est établi. Des statistiques fractales, notamment la lacunarité, sont utilisées pour caractériser ces clusters urbains. L'évolution de la population est modélisée à l'aide d'un modèle proche du modèle gravitaire bien connu. Le travail couvre une large panoplie de méthodes utiles en géographie urbaine. Toutefois, il est toujours nécessaire de développer plus loin ces méthodes et en même temps, elles doivent trouver leur chemin dans la vie quotidienne des urbanistes et planificateurs.

Design, implementation and application of a generic framework for integrated regional land-use modeling

Land use is a crucial link between human activities and the natural environment and one of the main driving forces of global environmental change. Large parts of the terrestrial land surface are used for agriculture, forestry, settlements and infrastructure. Given the importance of land use, it is essential to understand the multitude of influential factors and resulting land use patterns. An essential methodology to study and quantify such interactions is provided by the adoption of land-use models. By the application of land-use models, it is possible to analyze the complex structure of linkages and feedbacks and to also determine the relevance of driving forces. Modeling land use and land use changes has a long-term tradition. In particular on the regional scale, a variety of models for different regions and research questions has been created. Modeling capabilities grow with steady advances in computer technology, which on the one hand are driven by increasing computing power on the other hand by new methods in software development, e.g. object- and component-oriented architectures. In this thesis, SITE (Simulation of Terrestrial Environments), a novel framework for integrated regional sland-use modeling, will be introduced and discussed. Particular features of SITE are the notably extended capability to integrate models and the strict separation of application and implementation. These features enable efficient development, test and usage of integrated land-use models. On its system side, SITE provides generic data structures (grid, grid cells, attributes etc.) and takes over the responsibility for their administration. By means of a scripting language (Python) that has been extended by language features specific for land-use modeling, these data structures can be utilized and manipulated by modeling applications. The scripting language interpreter is embedded in SITE. The integration of sub models can be achieved via the scripting language or by usage of a generic interface provided by SITE. Furthermore, functionalities important for land-use modeling like model calibration, model tests and analysis support of simulation results have been integrated into the generic framework. During the implementation of SITE, specific emphasis was laid on expandability, maintainability and usability. Along with the modeling framework a land use model for the analysis of the stability of tropical rainforest margins was developed in the context of the collaborative research project STORMA (SFB 552). In a research area in Central Sulawesi, Indonesia, socio-environmental impacts of land-use changes were examined. SITE was used to simulate land-use dynamics in the historical period of 1981 to 2002. Analogous to that, a scenario that did not consider migration in the population dynamics, was analyzed. For the calculation of crop yields and trace gas emissions, the DAYCENT agro-ecosystem model was integrated. In this case study, it could be shown that land-use changes in the Indonesian research area could mainly be characterized by the expansion of agricultural areas at the expense of natural forest. For this reason, the situation had to be interpreted as unsustainable even though increased agricultural use implied economic improvements and higher farmers' incomes. Due to the importance of model calibration, it was explicitly addressed in the SITE architecture through the introduction of a specific component. The calibration functionality can be used by all SITE applications and enables largely automated model calibration. Calibration in SITE is understood as a process that finds an optimal or at least adequate solution for a set of arbitrarily selectable model parameters with respect to an objective function. In SITE, an objective function typically is a map comparison algorithm capable of comparing a simulation result to a reference map. Several map optimization and map comparison methodologies are available and can be combined. The STORMA land-use model was calibrated using a genetic algorithm for optimization and the figure of merit map comparison measure as objective function. The time period for the calibration ranged from 1981 to 2002. For this period, respective reference land-use maps were compiled. It could be shown, that an efficient automated model calibration with SITE is possible. Nevertheless, the selection of the calibration parameters required detailed knowledge about the underlying land-use model and cannot be automated. In another case study decreases in crop yields and resulting losses in income from coffee cultivation were analyzed and quantified under the assumption of four different deforestation scenarios. For this task, an empirical model, describing the dependence of bee pollination and resulting coffee fruit set from the distance to the closest natural forest, was integrated. Land-use simulations showed, that depending on the magnitude and location of ongoing forest conversion, pollination services are expected to decline continuously. This results in a reduction of coffee yields of up to 18% and a loss of net revenues per hectare of up to 14%. However, the study also showed that ecological and economic values can be preserved if patches of natural vegetation are conservated in the agricultural landscape. -----------------------------------------------------------------------

Effects of red brick production on land use, household income, and greenhouse gas emissions in Khartoum, Sudan

In Khartoum (Sudan) a particular factor shaping urban land use is the rapid expansion of red brick making (BM) for the construction of houses which occurs on the most fertile agricultural Gerif soils along the Nile banks. The objectives of this study were to assess the profitability of BM, to explore the income distribution among farmers and kiln owners, to measure the dry matter (DM), nitrogen (N), phosphorus (P), potassium (K) and organic carbon (C_org) in cow dung used for BM, and to estimate the greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from burned biomass fuel (cow dung and fuel wood). About 49 kiln owners were interviewed in 2009 using a semi-structured questionnaire that allowed to record socio-economic and variable cost data for budget calculations, and determination of Gini coefficients. Samples of cow dung were collected directly from the kilns and analyzed for their nutrients concentrations. To estimate GHG emissions a modified approach of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) was used. The land rental value from red brick kilns was estimated at 5-fold the rental value from agriculture and the land rent to total cost ratio was 29% for urban farms compared to 6% for BM. The Gini coefficients indicated that income distribution among kiln owners was more equal than among urban farmers. Using IPCC default values the 475, 381, and 36 t DM of loose dung, compacted dung, and fuel wood used for BM emit annually 688, 548, and 60 t of GHGs, respectively.