Notice d'estampes anciennes et modernes, portraits... / [expert] Vignères

[Vente. Estampes. 1859-05-23 - 1859-05-24. Paris]

Uncertainty Quantification Of A Semi-Supervised Support Vector Regression Reservoir Model

Uncertainty quantification of petroleum reservoir models is one of the present challenges, which is usually approached with a wide range of geostatistical tools linked with statistical optimisation or/and inference algorithms. Recent advances in machine learning offer a novel approach to model spatial distribution of petrophysical properties in complex reservoirs alternative to geostatistics. The approach is based of semisupervised learning, which handles both ?labelled? observed data and ?unlabelled? data, which have no measured value but describe prior knowledge and other relevant data in forms of manifolds in the input space where the modelled property is continuous. Proposed semi-supervised Support Vector Regression (SVR) model has demonstrated its capability to represent realistic geological features and describe stochastic variability and non-uniqueness of spatial properties. On the other hand, it is able to capture and preserve key spatial dependencies such as connectivity of high permeability geo-bodies, which is often difficult in contemporary petroleum reservoir studies. Semi-supervised SVR as a data driven algorithm is designed to integrate various kind of conditioning information and learn dependences from it. The semi-supervised SVR model is able to balance signal/noise levels and control the prior belief in available data. In this work, stochastic semi-supervised SVR geomodel is integrated into Bayesian framework to quantify uncertainty of reservoir production with multiple models fitted to past dynamic observations (production history). Multiple history matched models are obtained using stochastic sampling and/or MCMC-based inference algorithms, which evaluate posterior probability distribution. Uncertainty of the model is described by posterior probability of the model parameters that represent key geological properties: spatial correlation size, continuity strength, smoothness/variability of spatial property distribution. The developed approach is illustrated with a fluvial reservoir case. The resulting probabilistic production forecasts are described by uncertainty envelopes. The paper compares the performance of the models with different combinations of unknown parameters and discusses sensitivity issues.

Parenteral is more efficient than mucosal immunization to induce regression of human papillomavirus-associated genital tumors.

Cervical cancer is a public health concern as it represents the second cause of cancer death in women worldwide. High-risk human papillomaviruses (HPV) are the etiologic agents, and HPV E6 and/or E7 oncogene-specific therapeutic vaccines are under development to treat HPV-related lesions in women. Whether the use of mucosal routes of immunization may be preferable for inducing cell-mediated immune responses able to eradicate genital tumors is still debated because of the uniqueness of the female genital mucosa (GM) and the limited experimentation. Here, we compared the protective activity resulting from immunization of mice via intranasal (i.n.), intravaginal (IVAG) or subcutaneous (s.c.) routes with an adjuvanted HPV type 16 E7 polypeptide vaccine. Our data show that s.c. and i.n. immunizations elicited similar frequencies and avidity of TetE71CD81 and E7-specific Interferon-gamma-secreting cells in the GM, whereas slightly lower immune responses were induced by IVAG immunization. In a novel orthotopic murine model, both s.c. and i.n. immunizations allowed for complete long-term protection against genital E7-expressing tumor challenge. However, only s.c. immunization induced complete regression of already established genital tumors. This suggests that the higher E7-specific systemic response observed after s.c. immunization may contribute to the regression of growing genital tumors, whereas local immune responses may be sufficient to impede genital challenges. Thus, our data show that for an efficiently adjuvanted protein-based vaccine, parenteral vaccination route is superior to mucosal vaccination route for inducing regression of established genital tumors in a murine model of HPV-associated genital cancer.

Prévoir les performances individuelles des auditeurs assistants. Résultats d'une étude empirique conduite en Suisse. L'Expert-comptable suisse 10/8 p. 487-493.

Les auditeurs exercent une activité tournée dans une large mesure vers l'intérêt public. Il paraît donc important que la qualité des services qu'ils fournissent soit aussi élevée que possible. La question se pose dès lors de savoir s'il est possible, notamment au moment de leur engagement, de prévoir les performances individuelles futures des auditeurs.

Conclusions catégoriques dans les expertises forensiques: obstacles insurmontables ou cibles faciles pour la défense

L'expert forensique est mandaté par la justice pour apporter à celle-ci son aide dans l'appréciation d'un indice technique ou scientifique. Théoriquement, son rôle est donc clairement délimité. Dans la pratique, toutefois, il n'est pas rare que des experts, spontanément ou après y avoir été poussés par des juristes qui lisent leur rapport ou les interrogent en audience, adoptent une position catégorique quant aux hypothèses en jeu dans une affaire pénale, c'est-à-dire quant aux circonstances ayant présidé à la création des indices observés, et non plus uniquement en évaluant les indices eux-mêmes. Cela constitue une violation de la loi ainsi que des règles de la logique, mais est rarement relevé par l'autorité ou par les parties qui y auraient intérêt. L'objet de la présente contribution est d'exposer cette problématique et d'expliciter en quoi elle représente un défi majeur pour les juristes appelés à discuter et à apprécier les expertises forensiques.

Objets d'art, curiosités et tableaux composant la précieuse collection de M. ***... [de Norzy, agent de change] / [expert] Roussel

[Vente. Art. 1860-03-12. Paris]

Objets d'art, curiosités et tableaux composant la précieuse collection de M. ***... [de Norzy, agent de change] / [expert] Roussel

[Vente. Art. 1860-03-12. Paris]

Catalogue des tableaux et dessins anciens et modernes par M. Guillaume Descamps,... / [expert] Vignères

[Vente. Art. 1859-05-30 - 1859-05-31. Paris]

Characteristics and effectiveness of diabetes self-management educational programs targeted to racial/ethnic minority groups: a systematic review, meta-analysis and meta-regression.

BACKGROUND It is not clear to what extent educational programs aimed at promoting diabetes self-management in ethnic minority groups are effective. The aim of this work was to systematically review the effectiveness of educational programs to promote the self-management of racial/ethnic minority groups with type 2 diabetes, and to identify programs' characteristics associated with greater success. METHODS We undertook a systematic literature review. Specific searches were designed and implemented for Medline, EMBASE, CINAHL, ISI Web of Knowledge, Scirus, Current Contents and nine additional sources (from inception to October 2012). We included experimental and quasi-experimental studies assessing the impact of educational programs targeted to racial/ethnic minority groups with type 2 diabetes. We only included interventions conducted in countries members of the OECD. Two reviewers independently screened citations. Structured forms were used to extract information on intervention characteristics, effectiveness, and cost-effectiveness. When possible, we conducted random-effects meta-analyses using standardized mean differences to obtain aggregate estimates of effect size with 95% confidence intervals. Two reviewers independently extracted all the information and critically appraised the studies. RESULTS We identified thirty-seven studies reporting on thirty-nine educational programs. Most of them were conducted in the US, with African American or Latino participants. Most programs obtained some benefits over standard care in improving diabetes knowledge, self-management behaviors and clinical outcomes. A meta-analysis of 20 randomized controlled trials (3,094 patients) indicated that the programs produced a reduction in glycated hemoglobin of -0.31% (95% CI -0.48% to -0.14%). Diabetes knowledge and self-management measures were too heterogeneous to pool. Meta-regressions showed larger reduction in glycated hemoglobin in individual and face to face delivered interventions, as well as in those involving peer educators, including cognitive reframing techniques, and a lower number of teaching methods. The long-term effects remain unknown and cost-effectiveness was rarely estimated. CONCLUSIONS Diabetes self-management educational programs targeted to racial/ethnic minority groups can produce a positive effect on diabetes knowledge and on self-management behavior, ultimately improving glycemic control. Future programs should take into account the key characteristics identified in this review.

Catalogue des tableaux anciens et modernes composant la collection de feu lord H. Seymour... / [expert] Ferdinand Laneuville

[Vente. Art. 1860-02-13 - 1860-02-14. Paris]

Catalogue de tableaux modernes... provenant de la collection de M. G***... / [expert] Francis Petit

[Vente. Art. 1859-12-24. Paris]

Catalogue de tableaux et dessins modernes composant la collection d'un amateur... / [expert] Francis Petit

[Vente. Art. 1859-03-14. Paris]