Use of Two-Part Regression Calibration Model to Correct for Measurement Error in Episodically Consumed Foods in a Single-Replicate Study Design: EPIC Case Study.

In epidemiologic studies, measurement error in dietary variables often attenuates association between dietary intake and disease occurrence. To adjust for the attenuation caused by error in dietary intake, regression calibration is commonly used. To apply regression calibration, unbiased reference measurements are required. Short-term reference measurements for foods that are not consumed daily contain excess zeroes that pose challenges in the calibration model. We adapted two-part regression calibration model, initially developed for multiple replicates of reference measurements per individual to a single-replicate setting. We showed how to handle excess zero reference measurements by two-step modeling approach, how to explore heteroscedasticity in the consumed amount with variance-mean graph, how to explore nonlinearity with the generalized additive modeling (GAM) and the empirical logit approaches, and how to select covariates in the calibration model. The performance of two-part calibration model was compared with the one-part counterpart. We used vegetable intake and mortality data from European Prospective Investigation on Cancer and Nutrition (EPIC) study. In the EPIC, reference measurements were taken with 24-hour recalls. For each of the three vegetable subgroups assessed separately, correcting for error with an appropriately specified two-part calibration model resulted in about three fold increase in the strength of association with all-cause mortality, as measured by the log hazard ratio. Further found is that the standard way of including covariates in the calibration model can lead to over fitting the two-part calibration model. Moreover, the extent of adjusting for error is influenced by the number and forms of covariates in the calibration model. For episodically consumed foods, we advise researchers to pay special attention to response distribution, nonlinearity, and covariate inclusion in specifying the calibration model.

The Impact of Personality and Culture on the Job Demands-Control Model of Job Stress

Among the various work stress models, one of the most popular has been the job demands-control (JDC) model developed by Karasek (1979), which postulates that work-related strain is highest under work conditions characterized by high demands and low autonomy. The absence of social support at work further increases negative outcomes. This model, however, does not apply equally to all individuals and to all cultures. This review demonstrates how various individual characteristics, especially some personality dimensions, influence the JDC model and could thus be considered buffering or moderator factors. Moreover, we review how the cultural context impacts this model as suggested by results obtained in European, American, and Asian contexts. Yet there are almost no data from Africa or South America. More crosscultural studies including populations from these continents would be valuable for a better understanding of the impact of the cultural context on the JDC model.

Estudi de l'evolució i distribució de Rhynchophorus ferrugineus. Bloc 1: Anàlisi de l'evolució a Catalunya i determinació d'un model lineal generalitzat mixte

El morrut de les palmeres, R. ferrugineus, està actualment considerat com la plaga més perjudicial de les palmeres ja que la seva infestació produeix, de forma comuna, la seva mort. Des de la seva instal·lació en els països de la conca mediterrània, en els últims anys, són milers les palmeres que han mort degut a la plaga. La ràpida dispersió que s’ha produït de l’insecte així com la difícil detecció en els períodes primerencs de les infestacions fa que el R. ferrugineus posi en perill ecosistemes naturals de palmeres així com hàbitats rurals i urbans amb un ús ornamental d’aquestes plantes. És necessari desenvolupar estudis que permetin un millor coneixement del comportament d’aquest insecte així com, aquelles característiques intrínseques de la palmeres i variables externes que afavoreixen la instauració del coleòpter i, per tant, noves metodologies pel seu control.

Estudi de l'evolució i distribució de Rhynchophorus ferrugineus. Bloc 2: Aplicació d'un model lineal generalitzat mixte a les localitats de Matadepera i Tossa de Mar

El morrut de les palmeres, R. ferrugineus, està actualment considerat com la plaga més perjudicial de les palmeres ja que la seva infestació produeix, de forma comuna, la seva mort. Des de la seva instal·lació en els països de la conca mediterrània, en els últims anys, són milers les palmeres que han mort degut a la plaga. La ràpida dispersió que s’ha produït de l’insecte així com la difícil detecció en els períodes primerencs de les infestacions fa que el R. ferrugineus posi en perill ecosistemes naturals de palmeres així com hàbitats rurals i urbans amb un ús ornamental d’aquestes plantes. És necessari desenvolupar estudis que permetin un millor coneixement del comportament d’aquest insecte així com, aquelles característiques intrínseques de la palmeres i variables externes que afavoreixen la instauració del coleòpter i, per tant, noves metodologies pel seu control.

Cell size distribution in a random tessellation of space governed by the Kolmogorov-Johnson-Mehl-Avrami model: Grain size distribution in crystallization

The space subdivision in cells resulting from a process of random nucleation and growth is a subject of interest in many scientific fields. In this paper, we deduce the expected value and variance of these distributions while assuming that the space subdivision process is in accordance with the premises of the Kolmogorov-Johnson-Mehl-Avrami model. We have not imposed restrictions on the time dependency of nucleation and growth rates. We have also developed an approximate analytical cell size probability density function. Finally, we have applied our approach to the distributions resulting from solid phase crystallization under isochronal heating conditions

A clinical prognostic model for the identification of low-risk patients with acute symptomatic pulmonary embolism and active cancer.

BACKGROUND: Physicians need a specific risk-stratification tool to facilitate safe and cost-effective approaches to the management of patients with cancer and acute pulmonary embolism (PE). The objective of this study was to develop a simple risk score for predicting 30-day mortality in patients with PE and cancer by using measures readily obtained at the time of PE diagnosis. METHODS: Investigators randomly allocated 1,556 consecutive patients with cancer and acute PE from the international multicenter Registro Informatizado de la Enfermedad TromboEmbólica to derivation (67%) and internal validation (33%) samples. The external validation cohort for this study consisted of 261 patients with cancer and acute PE. Investigators compared 30-day all-cause mortality and nonfatal adverse medical outcomes across the derivation and two validation samples. RESULTS: In the derivation sample, multivariable analyses produced the risk score, which contained six variables: age > 80 years, heart rate ≥ 110/min, systolic BP < 100 mm Hg, body weight < 60 kg, recent immobility, and presence of metastases. In the internal validation cohort (n = 508), the 22.2% of patients (113 of 508) classified as low risk by the prognostic model had a 30-day mortality of 4.4% (95% CI, 0.6%-8.2%) compared with 29.9% (95% CI, 25.4%-34.4%) in the high-risk group. In the external validation cohort, the 18% of patients (47 of 261) classified as low risk by the prognostic model had a 30-day mortality of 0%, compared with 19.6% (95% CI, 14.3%-25.0%) in the high-risk group. CONCLUSIONS: The developed clinical prediction rule accurately identifies low-risk patients with cancer and acute PE.

The role of Toll-like Receptor (TLR) 9 in the development of a T-helper (Th)1/Th2 response in the murine model of infection with " Leishmania major "

1.1 SUMMARY The role of the non-specific innate immune system is as important as the elaboration of the adaptive immune system in the initiation of an immune response to pathogens. The role of the Toll-like receptors (TLRs) in the innate immune response to virus and bacterial pathogens is widely recognised, however, little is known about the role of TLRs in host defence against eukaryotic pathogens. Immunologic investigations on the marine model of infection with Leishmania major (L. major) have correlated the outcome of the disease with expansion of different subsets of CD4+ cells, designated Th1 and Th2. The resistance of C57BL/6, CBA and C3H/He mice is linked with an IL-12 driven Th1 response. In BALB/c mice the susceptibility correlates with an IL-4 driven Th2 response. The initial event promoting the development of a Th1 or Th2 response still remains elusive. Recently, the contribution of the TLR signalling pathway in the innate and acquired immune response to infection with the intracellular protozoan parasite L. major has been demonstrated. Thus, the purpose of this study is to determine whether TLRs may play a role in influencing the outcome of the infection by directing the development of a Th1 or a Th2 response during infection with L, major parasites, in resistant C57BL/6 and susceptible BALB/c mice, respectively. We demonstrated that MyD88, the major TLR adaptor molecule is necessary for C57BL/6 to develop a resistant Th1 response following L. major infection. Our data show the essential role of MyD88 in the establishment of a protective Th1 response. We subsequently aimed to determine which TLRs may be involved in the protective response. Since TLR2 and TLR4 have shown to have a potential role for Leishmania recognition, we analysed the course of infection in TLR2 and TLR4 deficient mice on a C57BL/6 resistant background following L. major infection. Our results clearly demonstrate that TLR2 or TLR4 aze dispensable to control the outcome of the disease as the TLR2 and TLR4 knockout mice developed a protective Th1 response. With the aim of determining a potential TLR candidate important in the initiation of the Thl response, we assessed the mRNA expression of different TLRs (TLR1 to TLR9) using quantitative real-time RT-PCR at different time points during the first week of infection. The results clearly showed an upregulation of TLR7 and TLR9 mRNA expression during the early phase of infection in resistant C57BL/6 mice but not in susceptible BALB/c mice. To provide in vivo evidence for the role for, these TLRs in the outcome of cutaneous leishmaniasis, studies using TLR7 and TLR9 deficient mice on a resistant C57BL/6 background were performed. The TLR7 deficient mice developed a resistance phenotype that was comparable with C57BL/6 wild type mice. Thus, the presence of TLR7 is not indispensable for the development of a Th1 response and resistance to infection. On the contrary, TLR9 deficient mice on the C57BL/6 resistant background showed high variability in the outcome of the disease. Although some mice behave as resistant C57BL/6 mice, half of them developed high lesion following infection and showed a decrease in IFN-γ production and an increase in IL-4 as compared to wild type mice. These results suggest that TLR9 may be involved in the control of infection. To test the hypothesis that regulatory T cells (Treg) are playing a role in the high variability in the disease outcome in TLR9 deficient mice, depletion of CD4+CD25+ T cells with a specific antibody three days before infection with L. major were performed Interestingly, these treated mice developed large lesions, low IL-4 and decreased IFN-γ producion when compared to untreated mice. A better understanding of the mechanism by which Treg cells influence the outcome of the disease in TLR9 deficient mice following L. major infection is currently under investigation. Altogether, this study demonstrates the importance of TLR9 in the induction of a protective T'h1 response, a process that is involved in the resolution of the lesion induced by L. major infection. 1.2 RÉSUMÉ Le rôle de la réponse immunitaire innée a longtemps été négligé quant à l'impact qu'elle pourrait avoir dans l'initiation d'une réponse immune adaptative efficace dirigée contre un pathogène. Si l'importance des récepteurs Toll-like (TLR) du système inné dans la reconnaissance des virus et bactéries a été démontrée, son rôle dans la défense contre les pathogènes eucaryotes reste encore très élusif. Récemment, il a été montré que les voies de signalisation provenant de l'activation des TLRs pouvaient initier la réponse immunitaire innée et adaptative après une infection avec le parasite protozoaire Leishmania major (L. major). Dans un modèle marin d'infection avec L. major alors que la plupart des souches de souris telles que C57BL/6 sont résistantes à l'infection et développent une réponse immunitaire de type T helper 1 (Th1) induite par IL-12, peu de souches dont les BALB/c sont sensibles et développent une réponse Th2 induite par IL-4. La différentiation Th1/Th2 est un événement qui prend place de manière définitive lors de la première semaine après infection. Les événements précoces promouvant le développement d'une réponse Th1 ou Th2 n'étant pas connus, l'objectif de ce travail a été de démontrer un rôle des TLRs dans l'initiation d'une réponse immune innée et adaptative suite à l'infection par L. major. Nous avons démontré que MyD88, une molécule importante dans le processus de signalisation des TLRs, est nécessaire pour que les souris résistantes C57BL/6 développent une réponse Th1 protectrice. L'importance du rôle de TLR2 et TLR4 dans la reconnaissance du parasite Leishmania ayant été démontrée, nous avons privilégié l'analyse de la réponse immunitaire suite à une infection in vivo de souris déficiente en TLR2 ou TLR4 sur un fond génétique résistant. Les résultats obtenus montrent que la présence de ces récepteurs n'est pas indispensable pour le contrôle de l'infection et la polarisation d'une réponse Th1 caractéristique de la résistance à L. major. Cependant d'autres TLRs peuvent aussi activer la voie de signalisation MyD88 dépendante. L'expression de l'ARNm des différents TLRs dans les ganglions drainant de souris sensibles et résistantes pendant la première semaine d'infection a été déterminée par PCR quantitative en temps réel. Les résultats obtenus montrent que l'ARNm de TLR7 et TLR9 était régulé positivement suite à l'infection par L. major chez les souris résistantes C57BL/6 alors qu'aucune modulation n'était détectable chez les souris sensibles BALB/c. Le rôle des récepteurs TLR7 et TLR9 a donc été évalué par l'infection par L. major des souris déficientes en TLR7 et TLR9 sur fond génétique C57BL/6. Nos résultats ont clairement démontré que les souris déficientes en TLR7 montrent une réponse immunitaire identique à celle des souris résistantes C57BL/6, signifiant que TLR7 n'est pas indispensable au développement d'une Th1 ainsi qu'au contrôle de la parasitémie. Paz contre, les souris déficientes en TLR9 sur un fond génétique résistant ont montré une grande variabilité dans la réponse à l'infection. En effet, la moitié des souris deviennent sensibles à l'infection, ceci étant associé à une diminution dans la production d'IFN-γ et à une augmentation de la production d'IL-4. Ces résultats suggèrent que TLR9 est impliqué dans le contrôle de la lésion et de la réponse immunitaire suite à l'infection avec L. major. Cependant les résultats avec les souris déficientes en TLR9 montrant une grande hétérogénéité et une balance Th1/Th2 instable, nous avons émis l'hypothèse que les cellules T régulatrices pouvaient être impliquées dans ce phénomène. Nous avons effectivement constaté qu'après déplétion des cellules CD4+CD25+, les souris déficientes en TLR9 développent des lésions aussi grandes que les souris BALB/c après infection par L. major. Cependant le nombre de parasites reste le même que chez les souris C57BL/6. De plus la production d'IL-4 ainsi que celle d'IFN-γ reste extrêment bas. Les mécanismes régulateurs impliqués dans ce processus sont en cours d'analyse. Ce travail met en évidence l'importance du TLR9 dans le développement d'une réponse Th1 lors d'une infection avec L. major, un processus nécessaire pour la résistance à l'infection. 1.3 RESUME POUR UN LARGE PUBLIC La leishmaniose est une maladie parasitaire répandue dans le monde entier et touchant plus de 88 pays. L'incidence mondiale de la leishmaniose cutanée et de 1 à 1,5 million de nouveaux cas par année. Plus de 12 millions de personnes sont affectées par la maladie et 350 millions de personnes sont une population à risque. Un modèle marin d'infection avec Leishmania major (L. major) a été établi qui reproduit plusieurs tableaux cliniques observés dans le cas de la leishmaniose cutanée chez l'homme. L'analyse de la réponse immunitaire dans les souris infectées par L. major a permis de distinguer deux groupes : les souris de la plupart des souches telles que C57BL/6 sont résistantes à l'infection et développent une réponse immunitaire de type T helper 1 (Th1), alors que quelques souches dont les BALB/c sont sensibles et développent une réponse de type Th2. La réponse immune adaptative dans le modèle d'infection avec L. major à été largement étudiée. Cependant, les événements précoces déterminants pour le développement d'une réponse Th1 ou Th2 restent encore très flous. Récemment, plusieurs publications ont montré que les récepteurs Toll-like (TLR) peuvent contribuer à l'initiation de la réponse immunitaire lors d'une infection avec le parasite intracellulaire L. major. Dans ce travail de thèse, nous avons étudié le rôle de MyD88, une molécule importante dans le processus de signalisation des TLRs, dans la réponse immune suite à une infection avec L. major. En l'absence de MyD88, les souris normalement résistantes à l'infection avec L. major deviennent sensibles et développent des lésions importantes. Ces souris ne sont plus capables de développer une réponse Thl, normalement caractéristique de leur phénotype résistant. Nous avons ensuite tenté de comprendre quels TLRs, plus précisément, pouvait être impliqué dans ce processus. Malgré quelques évidences démontrant que TLR2 et TLR4 pouvaient avoir un rôle important dans l'initiation d'une réponse immunitaire adaptative à Leishmania, nous avons montré que, in vivo après infection avec L. major, la déficience d'un de ces récepteurs n'était pas suffisante à faire basculer la réponse immunitaire. Les souris C57BL/6 déficient en TLR2 ou TLR4 peuvent parfaitement contrôler l'évolution de la maladie. De plus, ces souris, malgré l'absence de TLR2 ou TLR4, sont capables de monter une parfaite réponse Thl. Etant donné que TLR2 et TLR4 n'étaient pas essentiels pour la résistance à la maladie, nous avons analysé les TLRs, parmi les 12 décrits qui pouvaient être indispensables au développement d'une réponse de type Th1 associée à la résistance à l'infection par Leishmania. Nos expériences ont montré que l'expression de l'ARN messager (ARNm) de TLR7 et TLR9 était modulée suite à l'infection par L. major chez la souris résistante C57BL/6 alors qu'aucune modulation n'était visible chez les souris sensible BALB/c. Pensant que ces TLRs pourraient jouer un rôle dans la réponse immunitaire au parasite, nous avons étudié l'évolution de l'infection dans les souris déficientes en TLR7 et TLR9. Nos résultats ont clairement démontré que TLR7 n'était pas indispensable à la résistance au parasite alors que l'absence de TLR9 avait des conséquences radicales sur le contrôle de la lésion et de la réponse immunitaire suite à l'infection avec L. major. Ce travail révèle ainsi l'importance du TLR9 dans le développement d'une réponse Th1 lors d'une infection avec L. major, un processus nécessaire pour la résistance à l'infection. Il est a noté que nos résultats sont en accord avec le fait que les motifs CpG, qui sont des immunostimulateurs interagissant avec le TLR9, ont une activité adjuvante importante dans la préparation de vaccins contre la leishmaniose. Une meilleure compréhension des mécanismes immunologiques impliquant le TLR9 dans la reconnaissance du parasite est alors indispensable pour le développement de vaccins thérapeutiques efficaces.

Estimation of electronic coupling in π -stacked donor-bridge-acceptor systems: correction of the two-state model

Comparison of donor-acceptor electronic couplings calculated within two-state and three-state models suggests that the two-state treatment can provide unreliable estimates of Vda because of neglecting the multistate effects. We show that in most cases accurate values of the electronic coupling in a π stack, where donor and acceptor are separated by a bridging unit, can be obtained as Ṽ da = (E2 - E1) μ12 Rda + (2 E3 - E1 - E2) 2 μ13 μ23 Rda2, where E1, E2, and E3 are adiabatic energies of the ground, charge-transfer, and bridge states, respectively, μij is the transition dipole moments between the states i and j, and Rda is the distance between the planes of donor and acceptor. In this expression based on the generalized Mulliken-Hush approach, the first term corresponds to the coupling derived within a two-state model, whereas the second term is the superexchange correction accounting for the bridge effect. The formula is extended to bridges consisting of several subunits. The influence of the donor-acceptor energy mismatch on the excess charge distribution, adiabatic dipole and transition moments, and electronic couplings is examined. A diagnostic is developed to determine whether the two-state approach can be applied. Based on numerical results, we showed that the superexchange correction considerably improves estimates of the donor-acceptor coupling derived within a two-state approach. In most cases when the two-state scheme fails, the formula gives reliable results which are in good agreement (within 5%) with the data of the three-state generalized Mulliken-Hush model

Evaluating thermal treeline indicators based on air and soil temperature using an air-to-soil temperature transfer model

In recent research, both soil (root-zone) and air temperature have been used as predictors for the treeline position worldwide. In this study, we intended to (a) test the proposed temperature limitation at the treeline, and (b) investigate effects of season length for both heat sum and mean temperature variables in the Swiss Alps. As soil temperature data are available for a limited number of sites only, we developed an air-to-soil transfer model (ASTRAMO). The air-to-soil transfer model predicts daily mean root-zone temperatures (10cm below the surface) at the treeline exclusively from daily mean air temperatures. The model using calibrated air and root-zone temperature measurements at nine treeline sites in the Swiss Alps incorporates time lags to account for the damping effect between air and soil temperatures as well as the temporal autocorrelations typical for such chronological data sets. Based on the measured and modeled root-zone temperatures we analyzed. the suitability of the thermal treeline indicators seasonal mean and degree-days to describe the Alpine treeline position. The root-zone indicators were then compared to the respective indicators based on measured air temperatures, with all indicators calculated for two different indicator period lengths. For both temperature types (root-zone and air) and both indicator periods, seasonal mean temperature was the indicator with the lowest variation across all treeline sites. The resulting indicator values were 7.0 degrees C +/- 0.4 SD (short indicator period), respectively 7.1 degrees C +/- 0.5 SD (long indicator period) for root-zone temperature, and 8.0 degrees C +/- 0.6 SD (short indicator period), respectively 8.8 degrees C +/- 0.8 SD (long indicator period) for air temperature. Generally, a higher variation was found for all air based treeline indicators when compared to the root-zone temperature indicators. Despite this, we showed that treeline indicators calculated from both air and root-zone temperatures can be used to describe the Alpine treeline position.

Propagation velocity kinetics and repolarization alternans in a free-behaving sheep model of pacing-induced atrial fibrillation.

AIMS: Experimental models have reported conflicting results regarding the role of dispersion of repolarization in promoting atrial fibrillation (AF). Repolarization alternans, a beat-to-beat alternation in action potential duration, enhances dispersion of repolarization when propagation velocity is involved. METHODS AND RESULTS: In this work, original electrophysiological parameters were analysed to study AF susceptibility in a chronic sheep model of pacing-induced AF. Two pacemakers were implanted, each with a single right atrial lead. Right atrial depolarization and repolarization waves were documented at 2-week intervals. A significant and gradual decrease in the propagation velocity at all pacing rates and in the right atrial effective refractory period (ERP) was observed during the weeks of burst pacing before sustained AF developed when compared with baseline conditions. Right atrial repolarization alternans was observed, but because of the development of 2/1 atrioventricular block with far-field ventricular interference, its threshold could not be precisely measured. Non-sustained AF was not observed at baseline, but appeared during the electrical remodelling in association with a decrease in both ERP and propagation velocity. CONCLUSION: We report here on the feasibility of measuring ERP, atrial repolarization alternans, and propagation velocity kinetics and their potential in predicting susceptibility to AF in a free-behaving model of pacing-induced AF using the standard pacemaker technology.

Flow-R, a model for susceptibility mapping of debris flows and other gravitational hazards at a regional scale

The development of susceptibility maps for debris flows is of primary importance due to population pressure in hazardous zones. However, hazard assessment by processbased modelling at a regional scale is difficult due to the complex nature of the phenomenon, the variability of local controlling factors, and the uncertainty in modelling parameters. A regional assessment must consider a simplified approach that is not highly parameter dependant and that can provide zonation with minimum data requirements. A distributed empirical model has thus been developed for regional susceptibility assessments using essentially a digital elevation model (DEM). The model is called Flow-R for Flow path assessment of gravitational hazards at a Regional scale (available free of charge under www.flow-r.org) and has been successfully applied to different case studies in various countries with variable data quality. It provides a substantial basis for a preliminary susceptibility assessment at a regional scale. The model was also found relevant to assess other natural hazards such as rockfall, snow avalanches and floods. The model allows for automatic source area delineation, given user criteria, and for the assessment of the propagation extent based on various spreading algorithms and simple frictional laws.We developed a new spreading algorithm, an improved version of Holmgren's direction algorithm, that is less sensitive to small variations of the DEM and that is avoiding over-channelization, and so produces more realistic extents. The choices of the datasets and the algorithms are open to the user, which makes it compliant for various applications and dataset availability. Amongst the possible datasets, the DEM is the only one that is really needed for both the source area delineation and the propagation assessment; its quality is of major importance for the results accuracy. We consider a 10m DEM resolution as a good compromise between processing time and quality of results. However, valuable results have still been obtained on the basis of lower quality DEMs with 25m resolution.

Stochastic Dynamic Northern Corn Rootworm Population Model, January 2000

A complete life cycle model for northern corn rootworm, Diabrotica barberi Smith and Lawrence, is developed using a published single-season model of adult population dynamics and data from field experiments. Temperature-dependent development and age-dependent advancement determine adult population dynamics and oviposition, while a simple stochastic hatch and density-dependent larval survival model determine adult emergence. Dispersal is not modeled. To evaluate the long-run performance of the model, stochastically generated daily air and soil temperatures are used for 100-year simulations for a variety of corn planting and flowering dates in Ithaca, NY, and Brookings, SD. Once the model is corrected for a bias in oviposition, model predictions for both locations are consistent with anecdotal field data. Extinctions still occur, but these may be consistent with northern corn rootworm metapopulation dynamics.

A double layer model of the gas bubble/water interface

Zeta potential is a physico-chemical parameter of particular importance to describe sorption of contaminants at the surface of gas bubbles. Nevertheless, the interpretation of electrophoretic mobilities of gas bubbles is complex. This is due to the specific behavior of the gas at interface and to the excess of electrical charge at interface, which is responsible for surface conductivity. We developed a surface complexation model based on the presence of negative surface sites because the balance of accepting and donating hydrogen bonds is broken at interface. By considering protons adsorbed on these sites followed by a diffuse layer, the electrical potential at the head-end of the diffuse layer is computed and considered to be equal to the zeta potential. The predicted zeta potential values are in very good agreement with the experimental data of H-2 bubbles for a broad range of pH and NaCl concentrations. This implies that the shear plane is located at the head-end of the diffuse layer, contradicting the assumption of the presence of a stagnant diffuse layer at the gas/water interface. Our model also successfully predicts the surface tension of air bubbles in a KCl solution. (c) 2012 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

Policy Making in Divided Government. A Pivotal Actors Model with Party Discipline.

This article presents a formal model of policy decision-making in an institutional framework of separation of powers in which the main actors are pivotal political parties with voting discipline. The basic model previously developed from pivotal politics theory for the analysis of the United States lawmaking is here modified to account for policy outcomes and institutional performances in other presidential regimes, especially in Latin America. Legislators' party indiscipline at voting and multi-partism appear as favorable conditions to reduce the size of the equilibrium set containing collectively inefficient outcomes, while a two-party system with strong party discipline is most prone to produce 'gridlock', that is, stability of socially inefficient policies. The article provides a framework for analysis which can induce significant revisions of empirical data, especially regarding the effects of situations of (newly defined) unified and divided government, different decision rules, the number of parties and their discipline. These implications should be testable and may inspire future analytical and empirical work.

Geological transect across the Northwestern Himalaya in eastern Ladakh and Lahul (A model for the continental collision of India and Asia)

The detailed geological mapping and structural study of a complete transect across the northwestern Himalaya allow to describe the tectonic evolution of the north Indian continental margin during the Tethys ocean opening and the Himalayan Orogeny. The Late Paleozoic Tethys rifting is associated with several tectonomagmatic events. In Upper Lahul and SE Zanskar, this extensional phase is recorded by Lower Carboniferous synsedimentary transtensional faults, a Lower Permian stratigraphic unconformity, a Lower Permian granitic intrusion and middle Permian basaltic extrusions (Panjal Traps). In eastern Ladakh, a Permian listric normal fault is also related to this phase. The scarcity of synsedimentary faults and the gradual increase of the Permian syn-rift sediment thickness towards the NE suggest a flexural type margin. The collision of India and Asia is characterized by a succession of contrasting orogenic phases. South of the Suture Zone, the initiation of the SW vergent Nyimaling-Tsarap Nappe corresponds to an early phase of continental underthrusting. To the S, in Lahul, an opposite underthrusting within the Indian plate is recorded by the NE vergent Tandi Syncline. This structure is associated with the newly defined Shikar Beh Nappe, now partly eroded, which is responsible for the high grade (amphibolite facies) regional metamorphism of South Lahul. The main thrusting of the Nyimaling-Tsarap Nappe followed the formation of the Shikar Beh Nappe. The Nyimaling-Tsarap Nappe developed by ductile shear of the upper part of the subducted Indian continental margin and is responsible for the progressive regional metamorphism of SE Zanskar, reaching amphibolite facies below the frontal part of the nappe, near Sarchu. In Upper Lahul, the frontal parts of the Nyimaling-Tsarap and Shikar Beh nappes are separated by a zone of low grade metamorphic rocks (pumpellyite-actinolite facies to lower greenschist facies). At high structural level, the Nyimaling-Tsarap Nappe is characterized by imbricate structures, which grade into a large ductile shear zone with depth. The related crustal shortening is about 87 km. The root zone and the frontal part of this nappe have been subsequently affected by two zones of dextral transpression and underthrusting: the Nyimaling Shear Zone and the Sarchu Shear Zone. These shear zones are interpreted as consequences of the counterclockwise rotation of the continental underthrusting direction of India relative to Asia, which occurred some 45 and 36 Ma ago, according to plate tectonic models. Later, a phase of NE vergent `'backfolding'' developed on these two zones of dextral transpression, creating isoclinal folds in SE Zanskar and more open folds in the Nyimaling Dome and in the Indus Molasse sediments. During a late stage of the Himalayan Orogeny, the frontal part of the Nyimaling-Tsarap Nappe underwent an extension of about 15 km. This phase is represented by two types of structures, responsible for the tectonic unroofing of the amphibolite facies rocks of the Sarchu area: the Sarchu high angle Normal Fault, cutting a first set of low angle normal faults, which have been created by reactivation of older thrust planes related to the Nyimaling-Tsarap Nappe.