The role of Bmi1 in CNS development and in retinal degeneration

SUMMARY : The present work addresses several aspects of cell cycle regulation, cell fate specification and cell death in the central nervous system (CNS), specifically the cortex and the retina. More precisely, we investigated the role of Bmi1, a polycomb family gene required for stem cell proliferation and self-renewal, in the development of the cerebral cortex, as well as in the genesis of the retina. These data, together with studies published during the last two decades concerning cell cycle re-activation in apoptotic neurons in the CNS, raised the question of a possible link between regulation of the cell cycle during development and during retinal degeneration. 1. The effects of Bmi1 loss in the cerebral cortex : Consistently with our and others' observations on failure of Bmi9-/- stem cells to proliferate and self-renew in vitro, the Bmi9-/- cerebral cortex presented slight defects in proliferation in stem/progenitor cells compartments in vivo. This was in accordance with the pattern of Bmi1 expression in the developing forebrain. The modest proliferation defects, compared to the drastic consequences of Bmi9 loss in vitro, suggest that cell-extrinsic mechanisms may partially compensate for Bmi1 deletion in vivo during cortical histogenesis. Nevertheless, we observed a decreased proliferating activity in neurogenic regions of the adult telencephalon, more precisely in the subventricular zone, showing that Bmi1 controls neural stem/progenitor proliferation during adulthood in vivo. Our data also highlight an increased production of astrocytes at birth, and a generalized gliosis in the adult Bmi9-/- brain. Importantly, glial progenitors and astrocytes retained the ability to proliferate in the absence of Bmi1. 2. The effects of Bmi1 loss in the retina : The pattern of expression of Bmi1 during development and in the adult retina suggests a role for Bmi1 in cell fate specification and differentiation rather than in proliferation. While the layering and the global structure of the retina appear normal in Bmi1 /adult mice, immunohistochemìcal analysis revealed defects in the three major classes of retinal interneurons, namely: horizontal, bipolar and amacrine cells. Electroretinogram recordings in Bmi9-/- mice are coherent with the defects observed at the histological level, with a reduced b-wave and low-profile oscillatory potentials. These results show that Bmi1 controls not only proliferation, but also cell type generation, as previously observed in the cerebellum. 3. Cell cycle events and related neuroprotective strategies in retinal degeneration : In several neurodegenerative disorders, neurons re-express cell cycle proteins such as cyclin dependent kinases (Cdks) prior to apoptosis. Here, we show for the first time that this is also the case during retinal degeneration. Rd1 mice carry a recessive defect (Pdeóbrd/rd) that causes retinal degeneration and serves as a model of retinitis pigmentosa. We found that photoreceptors express Cdk4 and Cdk2, and undergo DNA synthesis prior to cell death. To interfere with the reactivation of Cdk-related pathways, we deleted E2fs or Brni1, which normally allow cell cycle progression. While deleting E2f1 (downstream of Cdk4/6) in Rd1 mice provides only temporary protection, knocking out Bmi1 (upstream of Cdks) leads to an extensive neuroprotective effect, independent of p16ink4a or p19arf, two tumor suppressors regulated by Bmi1. Analysis of Cdks and the DNA repair-related protein Ligase IV showed that Bmi1 acts downstream of DNA repair events and upstream of Cdks in this neurodegenerative mechanism. Expression of Cdks during an acute model of retinal degeneration, light damage-induced photoreceptor death, points to a role for Bmi1 and cell cycle proteins in retinal degeneration. Considering the similarity with the cell cycle-related apoptotic pathway observed in other neurodegenerative diseases, Bmi1 is a possible general target to prevent or delay neuronal death. RESUME : Ce travail aborde plusieurs aspects de la régulation du cycle cellulaire, de la spécification du devenir des cellules et de la mort cellulaire dans le système nerveux centrale (SNC), plus particulièrement dans le cortex cérébral et dans la rétine. Nous nous sommes intéressés au gène Bmi1, appartenant à la famille polycomb et nécessaire à la prolifération et au renouvellement des cellules souches. Nous avons visé à disséquer son rôle dans le développement du cortex et de la rétine. Ces données, ainsi qu'une série de travaux publiés au cours des deux dernières décennies concernant la réactivation du cycle cellulaire dans les neurones en voie d'apoptose dans le SNC, nous ont ensuite poussé à chercher un lien entre la régulation du cycle cellulaire pendant le développement et au cours de la dégénérescence rétinienne. 1. Les effets de l'inactivation de Bmi1 dans le cortex cérébral : En accord avec l'incapacité des cellules souches neurales in vitro à proliférer et à se renouveler en absence de Bmi1, le cortex cérébral des souris Bmi1-/- présente de légers défauts de prolifération dans les compartiments contenant les cellules souches neurales. Ceci est en accord avec le profil d'expression de Bmi1 dans le télencéphale. Les conséquences de la délétion de Bmi1 sont toutefois nettement moins prononcées in vivo qu'in vitro ; cette différence suggère l'existence de mécanismes pouvant partiellement compenser l'absence de Bmi1 pendant la corticogenèse. Néanmoins, l'observation d'une réduction de la prolifération dans la zone sous-ventriculaire, la zone majeure de neurogenèse dans le télencéphale adulte, montre que Bmi1 contrôle la prolifération des cellules souche/progénitrices neurales chez la souris adulte. Nos résultats démontrent par ailleurs une augmentation de la production d'astrocytes à la naissance ainsi qu'une gliose généralisée à l'état adulte chez les souris Bmi1-/-. Les progéniteurs gliaux et les astrocytes conservent donc leur capacité à proliférer en absence de Bmi1. 2. Les effets de l'inactivation de Bmi1 dans la rétine : Le profil d'expression de Bmi1 pendant fe développement ainsi que dans la rétine adulte suggère un rôle de Bmi1 dans la spécification de certains types cellulaires et dans la différentiation plutôt que dans la prolifération. Alors que la structure et la lamination de la rétine semblent normales chez les souris Bmi1-/-, l'analyse par immunohistochimie amis en évidence des défauts au niveau des trois classes d'interneurones rétiniens (les cellules horizontales, bipolaires et amacrines). Les électrorétinogrammes des souris Bmi1-/- sont cohérents avec les défauts observés au niveau histologique et montrent une réduction de l'onde « b » et des potentiels oscillatoires. Ces résultats montrent que Bmi1 contrôle la génération de certaines sous-populations de neurones, comme démontré auparavant au niveau de cervelet. 3. Réactivation du cycle cellulaire et stratégies théraoeutiaues dans les dégénérescences rétiniennes : Dans plusieurs maladies neurodégénératives, les neurones ré-expriment des protéines du cycle cellulaire telles que les kinases cycline-dépendantes (Cdk) avant d'entrer en apoptose. Nous avons démontré que c'est aussi le cas dans les dégénérescences rétiniennes. Les souris Rd1 portent une mutation récessive (Pde6brd/rd) qui induit une dégénérescence de la rétine et sont utilisées comme modèle animal de rétinite pigmentaire. Nous avons observé que les photorécepteurs expriment Cdk4 et Cdk2, et entament une synthèse d'ADN avant de mourir par apoptose. Pour interférer avec la réactivation les mécanismes Cdk-dépendants, nous avons inactivé les gènes E2f et Bmi1, qui permettent normalement la progression du cycle cellulaire. Nous avons mis en évidence que la délétion de E2f1 (en aval de Cdk4/6) dans les souris Rd1 permet une protection transitoire des photorécepteurs. Toutefois, l'inactivation de Bmi1 (en amont des Cdk) est corrélée à une neuroprotection bien plus durable et ceci indépendamment de p16ink4a et p19arf, deux suppresseurs de tumeurs normalement régulés par Bmi1. L'analyse des Cdk et de la ligase IV (une protéine impliquée dans les mécanismes de réparation de l'ADN) a montré que Bmi1 agit en aval des événements de réparation de l'ADN et en amont des Cdk dans la cascade apoptotique dans les photorécepteurs des souris Rd1. Nous avons également observé la présence de Cdk dans un modèle aigu de dégénérescence rétinienne induit par une exposition des animaux à des niveaux toxiques de lumière. Nos résultats suggèrent donc un rôle général de Bmi1 et des protéines du cycle cellulaire dans les dégénérescences de la rétine. Si l'on considère la similarité avec les événements de réactivation du cycle cellulaire observés dans d'autres maladies neurodégénératives, Bmi1 pourrait être une cible thérapeutique générale pour prévenir la mort neuronale.

Age over 40 years increases the failure rate of non-operative management of blunt splenic injuries

Objective: Non-operative management (NOM) of blunt splenic injuries (BSI) is nowadays considered the standard treatment. The study aimed to determine the criteria applied for NOM and to identify risk factors for its failure. Methods: Review of all adult patients with BSI treated at the University Hospital Bern, Switzerland, between 2000 and 2008. Results: There were 206 patients (146 men, 70·9%) with a mean age of 38·2 ± 19·1 years and an Injury Severity Score of 30·9 ± 11·6. The American Association for the Surgery of Trauma classification of the splenic injury was: grade I, n=43 (20·9%); grade II, n=52 (25·2%); grade III, n=60 (29·1%); grade IV, n=42 (20·4%) and grade V, n=9 (4·4%). 47 patients (22·8%) required immediate surgery. Five or more units of red cell transfusions (P<0·001), Glasgow Coma Scale<11 (P=0·009) and age ≥55 years (P=0·038) were associated with primary operative management (OM). 159 patients (77·2%) qualified for NOM, which was successful in 89·9% (143/159). The overall splenic salvage rate was 69·4% (143/206). Multivariate analysis found age ≥40 years to be the only factor independently related to the failure of NOM (P=0·001). Conclusion: Advanced age is associated with an increased failure rate ofNOM in patients with BSI.

Occipitoaxial spinal interarticular stabilization with vertebral artery preservation for atlantal lateral mass failure.

The treatment of craniocervical instability caused by diverse conditions remains challenging. Different techniques have been described to stabilize the craniocervical junction. The authors present 2 cases in which tumoral destruction of the C-1 lateral mass caused craniocervical instability. A one-stage occipitoaxial spinal interarticular stabilization (OASIS) technique with titanium cages and posterior occipitocervical instrumentation was used to reconstruct the C-1 lateral mass and stabilize the craniocervical junction. The ipsilateral vertebral artery was preserved. The OASIS technique offers single-stage tumor resection, C-1 lateral mass reconstruction, and stabilization with a loadsharing construct. It could be an option in the treatment of select cases of C-1 lateral mass failure.

Hormonal, global, and regional haemodynamic responses to a vascular antagonist of vasopressin in patients with congestive heart failure with and without hyponatraemia.

The pathophysiological role of an increase in circulating vasopressin in sustaining global and regional vasoconstriction in patients with congestive heart failure has not been established, particularly in patients with hyponatraemia. To assess this further, 20 patients with congestive heart failure refractory to digoxin and diuretics were studied before and 60 minutes after the intravenous injection (5 micrograms/kg) of the vascular antagonist of vasopressin [1(beta-mercapto-beta,beta-cyclopentamethylene-propionic acid), 2-(0-methyl) tyrosine] arginine vasopressin. Ten patients were hyponatraemic (plasma sodium less than 135 mmol/l) and 10 were normonatraemic. In both groups of patients the vascular vasopressin antagonist did not alter systemic or pulmonary artery pressures, right atrial pressure, pulmonary capillary wedge pressure, cardiac index, or vascular resistances. Furthermore, there was no change in skin and hepatic blood flow in either group after the injection of the vascular antagonist. Only one patient in the hyponatraemic group showed considerable haemodynamic improvement. He had severe congestive heart failure and a high concentration of plasma vasopressin (51 pmol/l). Plasma renin activity, vasopressin, or catecholamine concentrations were not significantly changed in response to the administration of the vasopressin antagonist in either the hyponatraemic or the normonatraemic groups. Patients with hyponatraemia, however, had higher baseline plasma catecholamine concentrations, heart rate, pulmonary pressure and resistance, and lower hepatic blood flow than patients without hyponatraemia. Plasma vasopressin and plasma renin activity were slightly, though not significantly, higher in the hyponatraemic group. Thus the role of vasopressin in sustaining regional or global vasoconstriction seems limited in patients with congestive heart failure whether or not concomitant hyponatraemia is present. Vasopressin significantly increases the vascular tone only in rare patients with severe congestive heart failure and considerably increased vasopressin concentrations. Patients with hyponatraemia do, however, have raised baseline catecholamine concentrations, heart rate, pulmonary arterial pressure and resistance, and decreased hepatic blood flow.

Impact of the disease: acceptability, ceiling and floor effects and reliability of an instrument on heart failure

This study evaluated the acceptability, ceiling/floor effects, and the reliability of the instrument for measuring the Impact of the Disease on the Daily Life of Patients with Valvular Disease (IDCV) when applied to 135 patients with heart failure (HF). Acceptability was evaluated by the percentage of unanswered items and by the proportion of patients who responded to all items; the ceiling/floor effects by the percentage of patients who scored in the top of 10% best and worst results of the scale, respectively. Reliability was estimated by internal consistency (Cronbach's alpha coefficient) and stability of the measure (intraclass correlation coefficient - ICC). All patients responded to all items. Ceiling/floor effects evidenced were of moderate magnitude. The Cronbach's alpha was satisfactory for the majority of the domains and ICC> 0.90 in all the domains. The IDCV proved to be an easy to understand questionnaire, with evidence of reliability in patients with HF.

Factors associated with beliefs about adherence to non-pharmacological treatment of patients with heart failure

This study aimed at assessing beliefs about the benefits and barriers to adherence to daily self-monitoring of weight/edema in patients with heart failure, and the influence of demographic and clinical variables on those beliefs. 105 patients were interviewed. The mean of the subscales Benefits and Barriers were 20.2 (± 5.7) and 30.1 (±7.1), respectively. Patients perceived that adherence to daily self-monitoring of weight/edema could keep them healthy, improve their quality of life and decrease the chances of readmission. Approximately half of patients (46.7%) reported forgetting this measure. Those who controlled weight once a month were more likely to have barriers to adherence (OR= 6.6; IC 95% 1.9-13.8; p=0.01), showing this measure to be the main factor related to perceived barriers. Education in health can contribute with the development of strategies aimed at lowering barriers and increasing benefits of this control.

Novel angiotensin II inhibitors in cardiovascular medicine.

Blockade of the renin-angiotensin-aldosterone cascade is now recognised as a very effective approach to treat hypertensive, heart failure and high cardiovascular risk patients and to retard the development of renal failure. The purpose of this review is to discuss the state of development of currently available drugs blocking the renin-angiotensin system, such as angiotensin converting enzyme (ACE) inhibitors, renin inhibitors and angiotensin II receptor antagonists, with a special emphasis on the results of the most recent trials conducted with AT(2) receptor antagonists in heart failure and Type 2 diabetes. In addition, the future perspectives of drugs with dual mechanisms of action, such as NEP/ACE inhibitors, also named vasopeptidase inhibitors, are presented.

Self-Care, Sense Of Coherence And Depression In Patients Hospitalized For Decompensated Heart Failure

OBJECTIVE To analyze the self-care behaviors according to gender, the symptoms of depression and sense of coherence and compare the measurements of depression and sense of coherence according to gender. METHOD A correlational, cross-sectional study that investigated 132 patients with decompensated heart failure (HF). Data were collected through interviews and consultation to medical records, and analyzed using the chi-square and the Student's t tests with significance level of 0.05. Participants were 75 men and 57 women, aged 63.2 years on average (SD = 13.8). RESULTS No differences in self-care behavior by gender were found, except for rest after physical activity (p = 0.017). Patients who practiced physical activity showed fewer symptoms of depression (p<0.001). There were no differences in sense of coherence according to self-care behavior and gender. Women had more symptoms of depression than men (p = 0.002). CONCLUSION Special attention should be given to women with HF considering self-care and depressive symptoms.

Heart failure as a predictor of functional dependence in hospitalized elderly

AbstractOBJECTIVEIdentify whether Heart Failure (HF) is a predictor of functional dependence for Basic Activities of Daily Living (BADL) in hospitalized elderly.METHODSWe investigated medical records and assessed dependence to BADL (by the Katz Index) of 100 elderly admitted to a geriatric ward of a university hospital. In order to verify if HF is a predictor of functional dependence, linear regression analyzes were performed.RESULTSThe prevalence of HF was 21%; 95% of them were dependent for BADLs. Bathing was the most committed ADL. HF is a predictor of dependence in hospitalized elderlies, increasing the chance of functional decline by 5 times (95% CI, 0.94-94.48), the chance of functional deterioration by 3.5 times (95% CI, 1.28-11.66; p <0.02) and reducing 0.79 points in the Katz Index score (p <0.05).CONCLUSIONHF is a dependency predictor of ADL in hospitalized elderly, who tend to be more dependent, especially for bathing.

Association between valvular surgery and mortality among patients with infective endocarditis complicated by heart failure.

Context Heart failure (HF) is the most common complication of infective endocarditis. However, clinical characteristics of HF in patients with infective endocarditis, use of surgical therapy, and their associations with patient outcome are not well described.Objectives To determine the clinical, echocardiographic, and microbiological variables associated with HF in patients with definite infective endocarditis and to examine variables independently associated with in-hospital and 1-year mortality for patients with infective endocarditis and HF, including the use and association of surgery with outcome.Design, Setting, and Patients The International Collaboration on Endocarditis-Prospective Cohort Study, a prospective, multicenter study enrolling 4166 patients with definite native- or prosthetic-valve infective endocarditis from 61 centers in 28 countries between June 2000 and December 2006.Main Outcome Measures In-hospital and 1-year mortality.Results Of 4075 patients with infective endocarditis and known HF status enrolled, 1359 (33.4% [95% CI, 31.9%-34.8%]) had HF, and 906 (66.7% [95% CI, 64.2%-69.2%]) were classified as having New York Heart Association class III or IV symptom status. Within the subset with HF, 839 (61.7% [95% CI, 59.2%-64.3%]) underwent valvular surgery during the index hospitalization. In-hospital mortality was 29.7% (95% CI, 27.2%-32.1%) for the entire HF cohort, with lower mortality observed in patients undergoing valvular surgery compared with medical therapy alone (20.6% [95% CI, 17.9%-23.4%] vs 44.8% [95% CI, 40.4%-49.0%], respectively; P < .001). One-year mortality was 29.1% (95% CI, 26.0%-32.2%) in patients undergoing valvular surgery vs 58.4% (95% CI, 54.1%-62.6%) in those not undergoing surgery (P < .001). Cox proportional hazards modeling with propensity score adjustment for surgery showed that advanced age, diabetes mellitus, health care-associated infection, causative microorganism (Staphylococcus aureus or fungi), severe HF (New York Heart Association class III or IV), stroke, and paravalvular complications were independently associated with 1-year mortality, whereas valvular surgery during the initial hospitalization was associated with lower mortality.Conclusion In this cohort of patients with infective endocarditis complicated by HF, severity of HF was strongly associated with surgical therapy and subsequent mortality, whereas valvular surgery was associated with lower in-hospital and 1-year mortality.

Clinical characteristics and outcome of patients admitted to a medico-surgical ICU requiring non invasive ventilation (NIV) for hypercapnic respiratory failure

Introduction: Because it decreases intubation rate and mortality, NIV has become first-line treatment in case of hypercapnic respiratory failure (HRF). Whether this approach is equally successful for all categories of HRF patients is however debated. We assessed if any clinical characteristics of HRF patients were associated with NIV intensity, success, and outcome, in order to identify prognostic factors. Methods: Retrospective analysis of the clinical database (clinical information system and MDSi) of patients consecutively admitted to our medico-surgical ICU, presenting with HRF (defined as PaCO2 >50 mm Hg), and receiving NIV between January 2009 and December 2010. Demographic data, medical diagnoses (including documented chronic lung disease), reason for ICU hospitalization, recent surgical interventions, SAPS II and McCabe scores were extracted from the database. Total duration of NIV and the need for tracheal intubation during the 5 days following the first hypercapnia documentation, as well as ICU and hospital mortality were recorded. Results are reported as median [IQR]. Comparisons with Chi2 or Kruskal-Wallis tests, p <0.05 (*). Results: 164 patients were included, 45 (27.4%) of whom were intubated after 10 [2-34] hours, after having received 7 [2-19] hours of NIV. NIV successful patients received 15 [5-22] hours of NIV for up to 5 days. Intubation was correlated with increased ICU (20% vs. 3%, p <0.001) and hospital (46.7% vs. 30.2, p >0.05) mortality. Conclusions: A majority of patients requiring NIV for hypercapnic respiratory failure in our ICU have no diagnosed chronic pulmonary disease. These patients tend to have increased ICUand hospital mortality. The majority of patients were non-surgical, a feature correlated with increased hospital mortality. Beside usual predictors of severity such as age and SAPS II, absence of diagnosed chronic pulmonary disease and non-operative state appear to be associated with increased mortality. Further studies should explore whether these patients are indeed more prone to an adverse outcome and which therapeutic strategies might contribute to alter this course.

The death domain-containing protein Unc5CL is a novel MyD88-independent activator of the pro-inflammatory IRAK signaling cascade.

The family of death domain (DD)-containing proteins are involved in many cellular processes, including apoptosis, inflammation and development. One of these molecules, the adapter protein MyD88, is a key factor in innate and adaptive immunity that integrates signals from the Toll-like receptor/interleukin (IL)-1 receptor (TLR/IL-1R) superfamily by providing an activation platform for IL-1R-associated kinases (IRAKs). Here we show that the DD-containing protein Unc5CL (also known as ZUD) is involved in a novel MyD88-independent mode of IRAK signaling that culminates in the activation of the transcription factor nuclear factor kappa B (NF-κB) and c-Jun N-terminal kinase. Unc5CL required IRAK1, IRAK4 and TNF receptor-associated factor 6 but not MyD88 for its ability to activate these pathways. Interestingly, the protein is constitutively autoproteolytically processed, and is anchored by its N-terminus specifically to the apical face of mucosal epithelial cells. Transcriptional profiling identified mainly chemokines, including IL-8, CXCL1 and CCL20 as Unc5CL target genes. Its prominent expression in mucosal tissues, as well as its ability to induce a pro-inflammatory program in cells, suggests that Unc5CL is a factor in epithelial inflammation and immunity as well as a candidate gene involved in mucosal diseases such as inflammatory bowel disease.

Analysis of past and future dam formation and failure in the Santa Cruz River (San Juan province, Argentina)

Around 11.5 * 106 m3 of rock detached from the eastern slope of the Santa Cruz valley (San Juan province, Argentina) in the first fortnight of January 2005. The rockslide?debris avalanche blocked the course, resulting in the development of a lake with maximum length of around 3.5 km. The increase in the inflow rate from 47,000?74,000 m3/d between April and October to 304,000 m3/d between late October and the first fortnight of November, accelerated the growing rate of the lake. On 12 November 2005 the dam failed, releasing 24.6 * 106 m3 of water. The resulting outburst flood caused damages mainly on infrastructure, and affected the facilities of a hydropower dam which was under construction 250 km downstream from the source area. In this work we describe causes and consequences of the natural dam formation and failure, and we dynamically model the 2005 rockslide?debris avalanche with DAN3D. Additionally, as a volume ~ 24 * 106 m3of rocks still remain unstable in the slope, we use the results of the back analysis to forecast the formation of a future natural dam. We analyzed two potential scenarios: a partial slope failure of 6.5 * 106 m3 and a worst case where all the unstable volume remaining in the slope fails. The spreading of those potential events shows that a new blockage of the Santa Cruz River is likely to occur. According to their modeled morphometry and the contributing watershed upstream the blockage area, as the one of 2005, the dams would also be unstable. This study shows the importance of back and forward analysis that can be carried out to obtain critical information for land use planning, hazards mitigation, and emergency management.

Ejaculation failure on the day of oocyte retrieval for IVF: case report.

Unexpected ejaculation failure on the day of oocyte retrieval for IVF occurs once or twice a year in our Reproductive Medicine Unit, where approximately 500 oocyte retrievals are performed each year. Two clinical situations which occurred in 2001 are presented. In the first case, sperm were finally obtained by epididymal aspiration and resulted in the fertilization of five oocytes by ICSI. The transfer of two fresh embryos did not result in a pregnancy and the three supernumerary zygotes were cryopreserved. The male patient presented an anxio-depressive episode necessitating psychiatric hospitalization 1 week after the oocyte retrieval. In the second case, no sperm were obtained and the four oocytes were therefore lost. The couple went through a crisis in their relationship and tried another cycle of IVF 10 months later, after the preventive cryopreservation of a sperm sample. On the day of oocyte retrieval the patient was unable to produce a fresh sample but three zygotes were obtained through ICSI using the back-up cryopreserved sperm. Two embryos were transferred but no pregnancy ensued. The clinical decision-making processes for these two cases are described, as well as the measures employed to help prevent these unfortunate situations.

Entrepreneurial success and failure: Confidence and fallible judgement

Excess entry or the high failure rate of market-entry decisions is often attributed tooverconfidence exhibited by entreprene urs. We show analytically that whereas excess entryis an inevitable consequence of imperfect assessments of entrepreneurial skill, it does notimply overconfidence. Judgmental fallibility leads to excess entry even when everyone isunderconfident. Self-selection implies greater confidence (but not necessarilyoverconfidence) among those who start new businesses than those who do not and amongsuccessful entrants than failures. Our results question claims that entrepreneurs areoverconfident and emphasize the need to understand the role of judgmental fallibility inproducing economic outcomes.