Increased risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) with age in HIV-positive men : a comparison of the D:A:D CVD risk equation and general population CVD risk equations

OBJECTIVES: The aim of the study was to statistically model the relative increased risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) per year older in Data collection on Adverse events of anti-HIV Drugs (D:A:D) and to compare this with the relative increased risk of CVD per year older in general population risk equations. METHODS: We analysed three endpoints: myocardial infarction (MI), coronary heart disease (CHD: MI or invasive coronary procedure) and CVD (CHD or stroke). We fitted a number of parametric age effects, adjusting for known risk factors and antiretroviral therapy (ART) use. The best-fitting age effect was determined using the Akaike information criterion. We compared the ageing effect from D:A:D with that from the general population risk equations: the Framingham Heart Study, CUORE and ASSIGN risk scores. RESULTS: A total of 24 323 men were included in analyses. Crude MI, CHD and CVD event rates per 1000 person-years increased from 2.29, 3.11 and 3.65 in those aged 40-45 years to 6.53, 11.91 and 15.89 in those aged 60-65 years, respectively. The best-fitting models included inverse age for MI and age + age(2) for CHD and CVD. In D:A:D there was a slowly accelerating increased risk of CHD and CVD per year older, which appeared to be only modest yet was consistently raised compared with the risk in the general population. The relative risk of MI with age was not different between D:A:D and the general population. CONCLUSIONS: We found only limited evidence of accelerating increased risk of CVD with age in D:A:D compared with the general population. The absolute risk of CVD associated with HIV infection remains uncertain.

Frequent users of the emergency department in a universal health coverage system : a randomized controlled trial of a case-management intervention

BACKGROUND: Frequent emergency department users represent a small number of patients but account for a large number of emergency department visits. They should be a focus because they are often vulnerable patients with many risk factors affecting their quality of life (QoL). Case management interventions have resulted in a significant decrease in emergency department visits, but association with QoL has not been assessed. One aim of our study was to examine to what extent an interdisciplinary case management intervention, compared to standard emergency care, improved frequent emergency department users' QoL. METHODS: Data are part of a randomized, controlled trial designed to improve frequent emergency department users' QoL and use of health-care resources at the Lausanne University Hospital, Switzerland. In total, 250 frequent emergency department users (≥5 attendances during the previous 12 months; ≥ 18 years of age) were interviewed between May 2012 and July 2013. Following an assessment focused on social characteristics; social, mental, and somatic determinants of health; risk behaviors; health care use; and QoL, participants were randomly assigned to the control or the intervention group (n=125 in each group). The final sample included 194 participants (20 deaths, 36 dropouts, n=96 in the intervention group, n=99 in the control group). Participants in the intervention group received a case management intervention by an interdisciplinary, mobile team in addition to standard emergency care. The case management intervention involved four nurses and a physician who provided counseling and assistance concerning social determinants of health, substance-use disorders, and access to the health-care system. The participants' QoL was evaluated by a study nurse using the WHOQOL-BREF five times during the study (at baseline, and at 2, 5.5, 9, and 12 months). Four of the six WHOQOL dimensions of QoL were retained here: physical health, psychological health, social relationship, and environment, with scores ranging from 0 (low QoL) to 100 (high QoL). A linear, mixed-effects model with participants as a random effect was run to analyze the change in QoL over time. The effects of time, participants' group, and the interaction between time and group were tested. These effects were controlled for sociodemographic characteristics and health-related variables (i.e., age, gender, education, citizenship, marital status, type of financial resources, proficiency in French, somatic and mental health problems, and behaviors at risk).

Postnatal ontogenesis of the tibia. Implications for age and sex estimation

The growth of five variables of the tibia (diaphyseal length, diaphyseal length plus distal epiphysis, condylo-malleolar length, sagittal diameter of the proximal epiphysis, maximum breadth of the distal epiphysis) were analysed using polynomial regression in order to evaluate their significance and capacity for age and sex determination during and after growth. Data were collected from 181 (90♂ and 91♀) individuals ranging from birth to 25 years of age and belonging to three documented collections from Western Europe. Results indicate that all five variables exhibit linear behaviour during growth, which can be expressed by a first-degree polynomial function. Sexual significant differences were observed from age 15 onward in the two epiphysis measurements and condylo-malleolar length, suggesting that these three variables could be useful for sex determination in individuals older than 15 years. Strong correlation coefficients were identified between the five tibial variables and age. These results indicate that any of the studied tibial measurements is likely to serve as a useful source for estimating sub-adult age in both archaeological and forensic samples.

Cannabis use and other predictors of the onset of daily cigarette use in young men: what matters most? Results from a longitudinal study.

BACKGROUND: According to the gateway hypothesis, tobacco use is a gateway of cannabis use. However, there is increasing evidence that cannabis use also predicts the progression of tobacco use (reverse gateway hypothesis). Unfortunately, the importance of cannabis use compared to other predictors of tobacco use is less clear. The aim of this study was to examine which variables, in addition to cannabis use, best predict the onset of daily cigarette smoking in young men. METHODS: A total of 5,590 young Swiss men (mean age = 19.4 years, SD = 1.2) provided data on their substance use, socio-demographic background, religion, health, social context, and personality at baseline and after 18 months. We modelled the predictors of progression to daily cigarette smoking using logistic regression analyses (n = 4,230). RESULTS: In the multivariate overall model, use of cannabis remained among the strongest predictors for the onset of daily cigarette use. Daily cigarette use was also predicted by a lifetime use of at least 50 cigarettes, occasional cigarette use, educational level, religious affiliation, parental situation, peers with psychiatric problems, and sociability. CONCLUSIONS: Our results highlight the relevance of cannabis use compared to other potential predictors of the progression of tobacco use and thereby support the reverse gateway hypothesis.

Bayesian Networks for the Age Classification of Living Individuals: a Study on Transition Analysis

Over the past few decades, age estimation of living persons has represented a challenging task for many forensic services worldwide. In general, the process for age estimation includes the observation of the degree of maturity reached by some physical attributes, such as dentition or several ossification centers. The estimated chronological age or the probability that an individual belongs to a meaningful class of ages is then obtained from the observed degree of maturity by means of various statistical methods. Among these methods, those developed in a Bayesian framework offer to users the possibility of coherently dealing with the uncertainty associated with age estimation and of assessing in a transparent and logical way the probability that an examined individual is younger or older than a given age threshold. Recently, a Bayesian network for age estimation has been presented in scientific literature; this kind of probabilistic graphical tool may facilitate the use of the probabilistic approach. Probabilities of interest in the network are assigned by means of transition analysis, a statistical parametric model, which links the chronological age and the degree of maturity by means of specific regression models, such as logit or probit models. Since different regression models can be employed in transition analysis, the aim of this paper is to study the influence of the model in the classification of individuals. The analysis was performed using a dataset related to the ossifications status of the medial clavicular epiphysis and results support that the classification of individuals is not dependent on the choice of the regression model.

Probabilistic age classification with Bayesian networks: a study on the ossification status of the medial clavicular epiphysis

In the past few decades, the rise of criminal, civil and asylum cases involving young people lacking valid identification documents has generated an increase in the demand of age estimation. The chronological age or the probability that an individual is older or younger than a given age threshold are generally estimated by means of some statistical methods based on observations performed on specific physical attributes. Among these statistical methods, those developed in the Bayesian framework allow users to provide coherent and transparent assignments which fulfill forensic and medico-legal purposes. The application of the Bayesian approach is facilitated by using probabilistic graphical tools, such as Bayesian networks. The aim of this work is to test the performances of the Bayesian network for age estimation recently presented in scientific literature in classifying individuals as older or younger than 18 years of age. For these exploratory analyses, a sample related to the ossification status of the medial clavicular epiphysis available in scientific literature was used. Results obtained in the classification are promising: in the criminal context, the Bayesian network achieved, on the average, a rate of correct classifications of approximatively 97%, whilst in the civil context, the rate is, on the average, close to the 88%. These results encourage the continuation of the development and the testing of the method in order to support its practical application in casework.

Role of microRNAs in the age-associated decline of pancreatic beta cell function in rat islets.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: Ageing can lead to reduced insulin sensitivity and loss of pancreatic beta cell function, predisposing individuals to the development of diabetes. The aim of this study was to assess the contribution of microRNAs (miRNAs) to age-associated beta cell dysfunction. METHODS: The global mRNA and miRNA profiles of 3- and 12-month-old rat islets were collected by microarray. The functional impact of age-associated differences in miRNA expression was investigated by mimicking the observed changes in primary beta cells from young animals. RESULTS: Beta cells from 12-month-old rats retained normal insulin content and secretion, but failed to proliferate in response to mitotic stimuli. The islets of these animals displayed modifications at the level of several miRNAs, including upregulation of miR-34a, miR-124a and miR-383, and downregulation of miR-130b and miR-181a. Computational analysis of the transcriptomic modifications observed in the islets of 12-month-old rats revealed that the differentially expressed genes were enriched for miR-34a and miR-181a targets. Indeed, the induction of miR-34a and reduction of miR-181a in the islets of young animals mimicked the impaired beta cell proliferation observed in old animals. mRNA coding for alpha-type platelet-derived growth factor receptor, which is critical for compensatory beta cell mass expansion, is directly inhibited by miR34a and is likely to be at least partly responsible for the effects of this miRNA. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: Changes in the level of specific miRNAs that occur during ageing affect the proliferative capacity of beta cells. This might reduce their ability to expand under conditions of increased insulin demand, favouring the development of type 2 diabetes.

External Validation of the Prestroke Independence, Sex, Age, National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (ISAN) Score for Predicting Stroke-Associated Pneumonia in the Athens Stroke Registry.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: The Prestroke Independence, Sex, Age, National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (ISAN) score was developed recently for predicting stroke-associated pneumonia (SAP), one of the most common complications after stroke. The aim of the present study was to externally validate the ISAN score. METHODS: Data included in the Athens Stroke Registry between June 1992 and December 2011 were used for this analysis. Inclusion criteria were the availability of all ISAN score variables (prestroke independence, sex, age, National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score). Receiver operating characteristic curves and linear regression analyses were used to determine the discriminatory power of the score and to assess the correlation between actual and predicted pneumonia in the study population. Separate analyses were performed for patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS) and intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH). RESULTS: The analysis included 3204 patients (AIS: 2732, ICH: 472). The ISAN score demonstrated excellent discrimination in patients with AIS (area under the curve [AUC]: .83 [95% confidence interval {CI}: .81-.85]). In the ICH group, the score was less effective (AUC: .69 [95% CI: .63-.74]). Higher-risk groups of ISAN score were associated with an increased relative risk of SAP; risk increase was more prominent in the AIS population. Predicted pneumonia correlated very well with actual pneumonia (AIS group: R(2) = .885; β-coefficient = .941, P < .001; ICH group: R(2) = .880, β-coefficient = .938, P < .001). CONCLUSIONS: In our external validation in the Athens Stroke Registry cohort, the ISAN score predicted SAP very accurately in AIS patients and demonstrated good discriminatory power in the ICH group. Further validation and assessment of clinical usefulness would strengthen the score's utility further.

Laparoscopic Roux-en-Y gastric bypass in patients over the age of 60 years

The prevalence of obesity is increasing even in older patients. Bariatric surgery is often considered more risky in this group, and not necessarily associated with the same benefits as in younger patients. In France, guidelines recommend to assess indication for surgery based on comorbidities and physiological age.

The role of the microRNAs in the age-associated oancreatic β-cell dysfunction

Le corps humain emploie le glucose comme source principale d'énergie. L'insuline, sécrétée par les cellules ß-pancreatiques situées dans les îlots de Langerhans, est l'hormone principale assurant un maintien constant du taux de glucose sanguin (glycémie). Les prédispositions génétiques, le manque d'activité physique et un régime déséquilibré peuvent entraîner une perte de sensibilité à l'insuline et des taux de glucose dans le sang élevé (hyperglycémie), une condition nommée diabète de type 2. Cette maladie est initiée par une sensibilité diminuée à l'insuline dans les tissus périphériques, entraînant une demande accrue en insuline. Cette pression continue finie par épuiser les cellules ß-pancreatiques, qui sécrètent alors des niveaux d'insuline insuffisant en trainant l'apparition du diabète. Le vieillissement est un facteur de risque important pour les maladies métaboliques dont le diabète de type 2 faits partis. En effet la majeure partie des diabétiques de type 2 ont plus de 45 ans. Il est connu que le vieillissement entraine une perte de sensibilité à l'insuline, une sécrétion altérée d'insuline, une baisse de réplication et une plus grande mort des ß-cellules pancréatiques. Le but de ma thèse était de mieux comprendre les mécanismes contribuante au dysfonctionnement des cellules ß- pancréatiques lors du vieillissement. Les travaux du « Human Genome Project » ont révélés que seulement 2% de notre génome code pour des protéines. Le reste non-codant fut alors désigné sous le nom de « ADN déchets ». Cependant, l'étude approfondie de cet ADN non-codant ces dernières deux décennies a démontré qu'une grande partie code pour des «MicroARNs », des ARNs courts (20-22 nucleotides) découverts en 1997 chez le vers C.elegans. Depuis lors ces molécules ont été intensivement étudiées, révélant un rôle crucial de ces molécules dans la fonction et la survie des cellules en conditions normales et pathologiques. Le but de cette thèse était d'étudier le rôle des microARNs dans le dysfonctionnement des cellules ß lors du vieillissement. Nos données suggèrent qu'ils peuvent jouer un rôle tantôt salutaire, tantôt nocif sur les cellules ß. Par exemple, certains microARNs réduisent la capacité des cellules ß à se multiplier ou réduisent leur survie, alors que d'autres protègent ces cellules contre la mort. Pour conclure, nous avons démontré les microARNs jouent un rôle important dans le dysfonctionnement des cellules ß lors du vieillissement. Ces nouvelles découvertes préparent le terrain pour la conception de futures stratégies visant à améliorer la résistance des cellules ß pancréatiques afin de trouver de nouveaux traitements du diabète de type 2. -- Le diabète de type 2 est une maladie métabolique due à la résistance à l'action de l'insuline des tissus cibles combinée à l'incapacité des cellules ß pancréatiques à sécréter les niveaux adéquats d'insuline. Le vieillissement est associé à un déclin global des fonctions de l'organisme incluant une diminution de la fonction et du renouvellement des cellules ß pancréatiques. Il constitue ainsi un risque majeur de développement des maladies métaboliques dont le diabète de type 2. Le but de cette thèse était d'étudier le rôle des microARNs (une classe d'ARN non- codants) dans le dysfonctionnement lié au vieillissement des cellules ß. L'analyse par microarray des niveaux d'expression des microARN dans les îlots pancréatiques de rats Wistar mâles âgés de 3 et 12 mois nous a permis d'identifier de nombreux changements d'expression de microARNs associés au vieillissement. Afin d'étudier les liens entre ces modifications et le déclin des cellules ß, les changements observés lors du vieillissement ont été reproduits spécifiquement dans une lignée cellulaire, dans des cellules ß primaires de jeune rats ou de donneurs humains sains. La diminution du miR-181a réduit la prolifération des cellules ß, tandis que la diminution du miR-130b ou l'augmentation du miR-383 protège contre l'apoptose induite par les cytokines. L'augmentation du miR-34a induit l'apoptose et inhibe la prolifération des cellules ß en réponse aux hormones Exendin-4 et prolactine et au facteur de croissance PDGF-AA. Cette perte de capacité réplicative est similaire à celle observée dans des cellules ß de rats âgés de 12 mois. Dans la littérature, la perte du récepteur au PDGF-r-a est associée à la diminution de la capacité proliférative des cellules ß observée lors du vieillissement. Nous avons pu démontrer que PDGF-r-a est une cible directe de miR- 34a, suggérant que l'effet néfaste de miR-34a sur la prolifération des cellules ß est, du moins en partie, lié à l'inhibition de l'expression de PDGF-r-a. L'expression de ce miR est aussi plus élevée dans le foie et le cerveau des animaux de 1 an et augmente avec l'âge dans les ilôts de donneurs non-diabétiques. Ces résultats suggèrent que miR-34a pourrait être non seulement impliqué dans l'affaiblissement des fonctions pancréatiques associé à l'âge, mais également jouer un rôle dans les tissus cibles de l'insuline et ainsi contribuer au vieillissement de l'organisme en général. Pour conclure, les travaux obtenus durant cette thèse suggèrent que des microARNs sont impliqués dans le dysfonctionnement des cellules ß pancréatiques durant le vieillissement. -- Type 2 diabetes is a metabolic disease characterized by impaired glucose tolerance, of the insulin sensitive tissues and insufficient insulin secretion from the pancreatic ß-cells to sustain the organism demand. Aging is a risk factor for the majority of the metabolic diseases including type 2 diabetes. With aging is observed a decline in all body function, due to decrease both in cell efficiency and renewal. The aim of this thesis was to investigate the potential role of microRNAs (short non- coding RNAs) in the pancreatic ß-cell dysfunction associated with aging. Microarray analysis of microRNA expression profile in pancreatic islets from 3 and 12 month old Wistar male rats revealed important changes in several microRNAs. To further study the link between those alterations and the decline of ß-cells, the changes observed in old rats were mimicked in immortalized ß-cell lines, primary young rat and human islets. Downregulation of miR-181a inhibited pancreatic ß-cell proliferation in response to proliferative drugs, whereas downregulation of miR-130b and upregulation of miR-383 protected pancreatic ß-cells from cytokine stimulated apoptosis. Interestingly, miR-34a augmented pancreatic ß-cell apoptosis and inhibited ß-cell proliferation in response to the proliferative chemicals Exendin-4, prolactin and PDGF-AA. This loss of replicative capacity is reminiscent of what we observed in pancreatic ß-cells isolated from 12 month old rats. We further observed a correlation between the inhibitory effect of miR-34a on pancreatic ß-cell proliferation and its direct interfering effect of this microRNA on PDGF-r-a, which was previously reported to be involved in the age-associated decline of pancreatic ß-cell proliferation. Interestingly miR-34a was upregulated in the liver and brain of 1 year old animals and positively correlated with age in pancreatic islets of normoglycemic human donors. These results suggest that miR-34a might be not only involved in the age-associated impairment of the pancreatic ß-cell functions, but also play a role in insulin target tissues and contribute to the aging phenotype on the organism level. To conclude, we have demonstrated that microRNAs are indeed involved in the age-associated pancreatic ß-cell dysfunction and they can play both beneficial and harmful roles in the context of pancreatic ß-cell aging.

Assessment of Coastal Bird Populations and Habitats on the Finnish Coast of the Baltic Sea: Implications for Monitoring and Management

Coastal birds are an integral part of coastal ecosystems, which nowadays are subject to severe environmental pressures. Effective measures for the management and conservation of seabirds and their habitats call for insight into their population processes and the factors affecting their distribution and abundance. Central to national and international management and conservation measures is the availability of accurate data and information on bird populations, as well as on environmental trends and on measures taken to solve environmental problems. In this thesis I address different aspects of the occurrence, abundance, population trends and breeding success of waterbirds breeding on the Finnish coast of the Baltic Sea, and discuss the implications of the results for seabird monitoring, management and conservation. In addition, I assess the position and prospects of coastal bird monitoring data, in the processing and dissemination of biodiversity data and information in accordance with the Convention on Biological Diversity (CBD) and other national and international commitments. I show that important factors for seabird habitat selection are island area and elevation, water depth, shore openness, and the composition of island cover habitats. Habitat preferences are species-specific, with certain similarities within species groups. The occurrence of the colonial Arctic Tern (Sterna paradisaea) is partly affected by different habitat characteristics than its abundance. Using long-term bird monitoring data, I show that eutrophication and winter severity have reduced the populations of several Finnish seabird species. A major demographic factor through which environmental changes influence bird populations is breeding success. Breeding success can function as a more rapid indicator of sublethal environmental impacts than population trends, particularly for long-lived and slowbreeding species, and should therefore be included in coastal bird monitoring schemes. Among my target species, local breeding success can be shown to affect the populations of the Mallard (Anas platyrhynchos), the Eider (Somateria mollissima) and the Goosander (Mergus merganser) after a time lag corresponding to their species-specific recruitment age. For some of the target species, the number of individuals in late summer can be used as an easier and more cost-effective indicator of breeding success than brood counts. My results highlight that the interpretation and application of habitat and population studies require solid background knowledge of the ecology of the target species. In addition, the special characteristics of coastal birds, their habitats, and coastal bird monitoring data have to be considered in the assessment of their distribution and population trends. According to the results, the relationships between the occurrence, abundance and population trends of coastal birds and environmental factors can be quantitatively assessed using multivariate modelling and model selection. Spatial data sets widely available in Finland can be utilised in the calculation of several variables that are relevant to the habitat selection of Finnish coastal species. Concerning some habitat characteristics field work is still required, due to a lack of remotely sensed data or the low resolution of readily available data in relation to the fine scale of the habitat patches in the archipelago. While long-term data sets exist for water quality and weather, the lack of data concerning for instance the food resources of birds hampers more detailed studies of environmental effects on bird populations. Intensive studies of coastal bird species in different archipelago areas should be encouraged. The provision and free delivery of high-quality coastal data concerning bird populations and their habitats would greatly increase the capability of ecological modelling, as well as the management and conservation of coastal environments and communities. International initiatives that promote open spatial data infrastructures and sharing are therefore highly regarded. To function effectively, international information networks, such as the biodiversity Clearing House Mechanism (CHM) under the CBD, need to be rooted at regional and local levels. Attention should also be paid to the processing of data for higher levels of the information hierarchy, so that data are synthesized and developed into high-quality knowledge applicable to management and conservation.

The Pursuit of Efficient Copyright Licensing : How Some Rights Reserved Attempts to Solve the Problems of All Rights Reserved

This dissertation analyses the growing pool of copyrighted works, which are offered to the public using Creative Commons licensing. The study consist of analysis of the novel licensing system, the licensors, and the changes of the "all rights reserved" —paradigm of copyright law. Copyright law reserves all rights to the creator until seventy years have passed since her demise. Many claim that this endangers communal interests. Quite often the creators are willing to release some rights. This, however, is very difficult to do and needs help of specialized lawyers. The study finds that the innovative Creative Commons licensing scheme is well suited for low value - high volume licensing. It helps to reduce transaction costs on several le¬vels. However, CC licensing is not a "silver bullet". Privacy, moral rights, the problems of license interpretation and license compatibility with other open licenses and collecting societies remain unsolved. The study consists of seven chapters. The first chapter introduces the research topic and research questions. The second and third chapters inspect the Creative Commons licensing scheme's technical, economic and legal aspects. The fourth and fifth chapters examine the incentives of the licensors who use open licenses and describe certain open business models. The sixth chapter studies the role of collecting societies and whether two institutions, Creative Commons and collecting societies can coexist. The final chapter summarizes the findings. The dissertation contributes to the existing literature in several ways. There is a wide range of prior research on open source licensing. However, there is an urgent need for an extensive study of the Creative Commons licensing and its actual and potential impact on the creative ecosystem.