Improving Transition Outcomes: Henry County Transition Partners: Youth Interview Invitation

Henry County's Transition Partners' youth focus group interview invitation.

Improving Transition Outcomes: Henry County Transition Partners: Teacher Interview Invitation

Henry County's Transition Partners' focus group invitation specifically for teachers.

Improving Transition Outcomes: Henry County Transition Partners Prototype: Interview Questions

Interview questions used by Henry County Transition Partners during focus groups and individual interviews.

Combining multivariate density forecasts using predictive criteria

This paper combines multivariate density forecasts of output growth, inflationand interest rates from a suite of models. An out-of-sample weighting scheme based onthe predictive likelihood as proposed by Eklund and Karlsson (2005) and Andersson andKarlsson (2007) is used to combine the models. Three classes of models are considered: aBayesian vector autoregression (BVAR), a factor-augmented vector autoregression (FAVAR)and a medium-scale dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model. Using Australiandata, we find that, at short forecast horizons, the Bayesian VAR model is assignedthe most weight, while at intermediate and longer horizons the factor model is preferred.The DSGE model is assigned little weight at all horizons, a result that can be attributedto the DSGE model producing density forecasts that are very wide when compared withthe actual distribution of observations. While a density forecast evaluation exercise revealslittle formal evidence that the optimally combined densities are superior to those from thebest-performing individual model, or a simple equal-weighting scheme, this may be a resultof the short sample available.

An evaluation of the life-cycle effects of minimum pensions on retirement behavior

In this paper we explore the effects of the minimum pension program on welfare andretirement in Spain. This is done with a stylized life-cycle model which provides a convenient analytical characterization of optimal behavior. We use data from the Spanish Social Security to estimate the behavioral parameters of the model and then simulate the changes induced by the minimum pension in aggregate retirement patterns. The impact is substantial: there is threefold increase in retirement at 60 (the age of first entitlement) with respect to the economy without minimum pensions, and total early retirement (before or at 60) is almost 50% larger.

Aplicação dos Sistemas de Informação Geográfica em Estudos de Caracterização Biofísica da Ilha de Santo Antão em Cabo Verde

Com características morfológicas e edafo-climáticas extremamente diversificadas, a ilha de Santo Antão em Cabo Verde apresenta uma reconhecida vulnerabilidade ambiental a par de uma elevada carência de estudos científicos que incidam sobre essa realidade e sirvam de base à uma compreensão integrada dos fenómenos. A cartografia digital e as tecnologias de informação geográfica vêm proporcionando um avanço tecnológico na colecção, armazenamento e processamento de dados espaciais. Várias ferramentas actualmente disponíveis permitem modelar uma multiplicidade de factores, localizar e quantificar os fenómenos bem como e definir os níveis de contribuição de diferentes factores no resultado final. No presente estudo, desenvolvido no âmbito do curso de pós-graduação e mestrado em sistemas de Informação geográfica realizado pela Universidade de Trás-os-Montes e Alto Douro, pretende-se contribuir para a minimização do deficit de informação relativa às características biofísicas da citada ilha, recorrendo-se à aplicação de tecnologias de informação geográfica e detecção remota, associadas à análise estatística multivariada. Nesse âmbito, foram produzidas e analisadas cartas temáticas e desenvolvido um modelo de análise integrada de dados. Com efeito, a multiplicidade de variáveis espaciais produzidas, de entre elas 29 variáveis com variação contínua passíveis de influenciar as características biofísicas da região e, possíveis ocorrências de efeitos mútuos antagónicos ou sinergéticos, condicionam uma relativa complexidade à interpretação a partir dos dados originais. Visando contornar este problema, recorre-se a uma rede de amostragem sistemática, totalizando 921 pontos ou repetições, para extrair os dados correspondentes às 29 variáveis nos pontos de amostragem e, subsequente desenvolvimento de técnicas de análise estatística multivariada, nomeadamente a análise em componentes principais. A aplicação destas técnicas permitiu simplificar e interpretar as variáreis originais, normalizando-as e resumindo a informação contida na diversidade de variáveis originais, correlacionadas entre si, num conjunto de variáveis ortogonais (não correlacionadas), e com níveis de importância decrescente, as componentes principais. Fixou-se como meta a concentração de 75% da variância dos dados originais explicadas pelas primeiras 3 componentes principais e, desenvolveu-se um processo interactivo em diferentes etapas, eliminando sucessivamente as variáveis menos representativas. Na última etapa do processo as 3 primeiras CP resultaram em 74,54% da variância dos dados originais explicadas mas, que vieram a demonstrar na fase posterior, serem insuficientes para retratar a realidade. Optou-se pela inclusão da 4ª CP (CP4), com a qual 84% da referida variância era explicada e, representando oito variáveis biofísicas: a altitude, a densidade hidrográfica, a densidade de fracturação geológica, a precipitação, o índice de vegetação, a temperatura, os recursos hídricos e a distância à rede hidrográfica. A subsequente interpolação da 1ª componente principal (CP1) e, das principais variáveis associadas as componentes CP2, CP3 e CP4 como variáveis auxiliares, recorrendo a técnicas geoestatística em ambiente ArcGIS permitiu a obtenção de uma carta representando 84% da variação das características biofísicas no território. A análise em clusters validada pelo teste “t de Student” permitiu reclassificar o território em 6 unidades biofísicas homogéneas. Conclui-se que, as tecnologias de informação geográfica actualmente disponíveis a par de facilitar análises interactivas e flexíveis, possibilitando que se faça variar temas e critérios, integrar novas informações e introduzir melhorias em modelos construídos com bases em informações disponíveis num determinado contexto, associadas a técnicas de análise estatística multivariada, possibilitam, com base em critérios científicos, desenvolver a análise integrada de múltiplas variáveis biofísicas cuja correlação entre si, torna complexa a compreensão integrada dos fenómenos.

Minimum price variations, time priority and quotes dynamics

We analyze the impact of a minimum price variation (tick) and timepriority on the dynamics of quotes and the trading costs when competitionfor the order flow is dynamic. We find that convergence to competitiveoutcomes can take time and that the speed of convergence is influencedby the tick size, the priority rule and the characteristics of the orderarrival process. We show also that a zero minimum price variation is neveroptimal when competition for the order flow is dynamic. We compare thetrading outcomes with and without time priority. Time priority is shownto guarantee that uncompetitive spreads cannot be sustained over time.However it can sometimes result in higher trading costs. Empiricalimplications are proposed. In particular, we relate the size of thetrading costs to the frequency of new offers and the dynamics of theinside spread to the state of the book.

A Importância do Ecoturismo no Património Arquitectónico de Cabo Verde das Potencialidades à Prática

Desde a última década do séc. XX, o turismo em Cabo Verde tem sido um dos sectores que mais cresce, atraindo maior investimento directo estrangeiro. Contudo, este crescimento gerou também maior pressão sobre os recursos existentes, com impactes negativos a vários níveis. Tem-se reflectido e discutido a sustentabilidade do turismo em território nacional, com objectivos claros de valorização do destino turístico cabo-verdiano, através da conservação e melhoria do ambiente natural, social e cultural. A aposta das autoridades cabo-verdianas no incremento do turismo para o séc. XXI levou a eleição do ecoturismo como a actividade de futuro, com o objectivo de melhorar a competitividade da oferta turística, ser uma alternativa no sector. Uma actividade que pode ser implementada em qualquer ilha, desde que bem aproveitada a vasta oferta de produtos existentes, envolva e forme a população da importância da conservação da biodiversidade e contribua para a erradicação da pobreza ao gerar recursos económicos para as comunidades locais. Deste modo, se requer pensar que arquitectura para o planeamento e realização de infra- estruturas físicas para o adequado desenvolvimento do ecoturismo em Cabo Verde. Os actores directos como os arquitectos, engenheiros civis e planeadores têm uma enorme responsabilidade ao desenhar e executar obras para o turismo, sobre tudo em ecossistemas de grande fragilidade como os que caracterizam as áreas naturais. Sendo um assunto relativamente recente no país, ainda não se criaram normas, regras, directivas claras para o desenvolvimento deste tipo de infra-estruturas turísticas. Em muitos casos, são os próprios desenhadores e construtores, bem como aos seus clientes, quando demonstram alguma sensibilidade na conservação e preservação de áreas de significação ecológica, estabelecem os seus próprios critérios de desenho e códigos éticos que garantam o mínimo de impacte ambiental e uma interacção harmoniosa e sustentável entre a obra física e os espaços circundantes. O presente trabalho tem como objectivo discutir e analisar qual a importância do ecoturismo no panorama arquitectónico cabo-verdiano e se este turismo sustentável será apenas uma ideia teórica, um modelo ideal de actividade ou passível de ser aplicável, de se observar na prática.

Minimum distance estimation of stationary and non-stationary ARFIMA processes

A new parametric minimum distance time-domain estimator for ARFIMA processes is introduced in this paper. The proposed estimator minimizes the sum of squared correlations of residuals obtained after filtering a series through ARFIMA parameters. The estimator iseasy to compute and is consistent and asymptotically normally distributed for fractionallyintegrated (FI) processes with an integration order d strictly greater than -0.75. Therefore, it can be applied to both stationary and non-stationary processes. Deterministic components are also allowed in the DGP. Furthermore, as a by-product, the estimation procedure provides an immediate check on the adequacy of the specified model. This is so because the criterion function, when evaluated at the estimated values, coincides with the Box-Pierce goodness of fit statistic. Empirical applications and Monte-Carlo simulations supporting the analytical results and showing the good performance of the estimator in finite samples are also provided.

European Council of Legal Medicine (ECLM) accreditation of forensic pathology services in Europe.

Forensic experts play a major role in the legal process as they offer professional expert opinion and evidence within the criminal justice system adjudicating on the innocence or alleged guilt of an accused person. In this respect, medico-legal examination is an essential part of the investigation process, determining in a scientific way the cause(s) and manner of unexpected and/or unnatural death or bringing clinical evidence in case of physical, psychological, or sexual abuse in living people. From a legal perspective, these types of investigation must meet international standards, i.e., it should be independent, effective, and prompt. Ideally, the investigations should be conducted by board-certified experts in forensic medicine, endowed with a solid experience in this field, without any hierarchical relationship with the prosecuting authorities and having access to appropriate facilities in order to provide forensic reports of high quality. In this respect, there is a need for any private or public national or international authority including non-governmental organizations seeking experts qualified in forensic medicine to have at disposal a list of specialists working in accordance with high standards of professional performance within forensic pathology services that have been successfully submitted to an official accreditation/certification process using valid and acceptable criteria. To reach this goal, the National Association of Medical Examiners (NAME) has elaborated an accreditation/certification checklist which should be served as decision-making support to assist inspectors appointed to evaluate applicants. In the same spirit than NAME Accreditation Standards, European Council of Legal Medicine (ECLM) board decided to set up an ad hoc working group with the mission to elaborate an accreditation/certification procedure similar to the NAME's one but taking into account the realities of forensic medicine practices in Europe and restricted to post-mortem investigations. This accreditation process applies to services and not to individual practitioners by emphasizing policies and procedures rather than professional performance. In addition, the standards to be complied with should be considered as the minimum standards needed to get the recognition of performing and reliable forensic pathology service.

L'impact de l'accès à la parentalité sur l'évolution de l'identité conjugale

Cette recherche investigue l'impact de la transition à la parentalité sur l'identité conjugale. Afin de mettre en évidence les bouleversements induits par l'arrivée du premier enfant sur le système-couple, deux groupes de sujets ont constitué notre échantillon : des couples parents d'un premier enfant âgé de 9 à 12 mois et des couples sans enfant mais avec une durée de vie commune équivalente au premier groupe. Chaque couple a été rencontré dans le cadre d'un unique entretien. Leur première tâche a été de décrire leurs vies de couple passée et actuelle au travers de valeurs et devises. Un questionnaire créé pour cette recherche a ensuite permis d'évaluer la représentation des conjoints quant à l'évolution de leur couple, et ce sur la base de cinq dimensions à même de caractériser la manière d'être ensemble des conjoints. Finalement, les jeunes parents ont participé à un entretien semi-directif afin de témoigner des changements personnels et de couple vécus dans le cadre de la transition à la parentalité. Des analyses qualitatives et quantitatives basées sur les données récoltées au travers de nos trois outils révèlent plusieurs résultats. Les conjoints sans enfant décrivent avant tout leur couple comme un cocon au sein duquel deux individus autonomes trouvent refuge et réconfort. Les jeunes parents se démarquent quant à eux par une diminution de leur sentiment d'indépendance, reflet de la nécessaire collaboration propre au co-parentage. Une analyse des entretiens semi-structurés croisée avec l'évaluation du degré de satisfaction conjugale permet le constat suivant : la diminution avérée de la satisfaction conjugale lors de la transition à la parentalité n'est pas strictement associée aux bouleversements conjugaux. Ce déclin lors de l'arrivée et de l'accueil du premier enfant semble en effet être également en lien avec une difficile articulation, chez chaque partenaire, de leurs identités personnelle, conjugale, parentale et socio-professionnelle. - This research investigates the impact of the transition to parenthood on marital identity. To highlight the changes brought about by the arrival of the first child on the couple, two groups of subjects constituted our sample: couples with a first child of 9 to 12 months and childless couples but with a period of cohabitation equivalent to that of the first group. Each couple was interviewed once only. Their first task was to describe their lives as a couple past and present through values and principles. A questionnaire devised for this research was then used to evaluate partners' responses regarding the evolution of their relationship, this based on five criteria to characterise the couples' way of being together. Finally, young parents participated in a semi- structured interview to describe personal changes and those as a couple experienced in the transition to parenthood. Qualitative and quantitative analyses based on data collected through our three tools reveal several results. Spouses without children describe their relationship primarily as a cocoon in which two autonomous individuals find refuge and comfort. Young parents differ in reducing their feelings of independence, reflecting the collaborative needs specific to co-parenting. An analysis of the semi- structured interviews crossed with the assessment of marital satisfaction gives rise to the following observation: the pronounced reduction in marital satisfaction during the transition to parenthood is not strictly associated with marital disruption. This decline upon the arrival of the first child seems to be in line with a difficult balance for each partner between their personal, marital, parental and socio- professional identities.

Quality assessment of cardiovascular magnetic resonance in the setting of the European CMR registry: description and validation of standardized criteria.

BACKGROUND: Cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR) has become an important diagnostic imaging modality in cardiovascular medicine. However, insufficient image quality may compromise its diagnostic accuracy. We aimed to describe and validate standardized criteria to evaluate a) cine steady-state free precession (SSFP), b) late gadolinium enhancement (LGE), and c) stress first-pass perfusion images. These criteria will serve for quality assessment in the setting of the Euro-CMR registry. METHODS: Thirty-five qualitative criteria were defined (scores 0-3) with lower scores indicating better image quality. In addition, quantitative parameters were measured yielding 2 additional quality criteria, i.e. signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) of non-infarcted myocardium (as a measure of correct signal nulling of healthy myocardium) for LGE and % signal increase during contrast medium first-pass for perfusion images. These qualitative and quantitative criteria were assessed in a total of 90 patients (60 patients scanned at our own institution at 1.5T (n=30) and 3T (n=30) and in 30 patients randomly chosen from the Euro-CMR registry examined at 1.5T). Analyses were performed by 2 SCMR level-3 experts, 1 trained study nurse, and 1 trained medical student. RESULTS: The global quality score was 6.7±4.6 (n=90, mean of 4 observers, maximum possible score 64), range 6.4-6.9 (p=0.76 between observers). It ranged from 4.0-4.3 for 1.5T (p=0.96 between observers), from 5.9-6.9 for 3T (p=0.33 between observers), and from 8.6-10.3 for the Euro-CMR cases (p=0.40 between observers). The inter- (n=4) and intra-observer (n=2) agreement for the global quality score, i.e. the percentage of assignments to the same quality tertile ranged from 80% to 88% and from 90% to 98%, respectively. The agreement for the quantitative assessment for LGE images (scores 0-2 for SNR <2, 2-5, >5, respectively) ranged from 78-84% for the entire population, and 70-93% at 1.5T, 64-88% at 3T, and 72-90% for the Euro-CMR cases. The agreement for perfusion images (scores 0-2 for %SI increase >200%, 100%-200%,<100%, respectively) ranged from 81-91% for the entire population, and 76-100% at 1.5T, 67-96% at 3T, and 62-90% for the Euro-CMR registry cases. The intra-class correlation coefficient for the global quality score was 0.83. CONCLUSIONS: The described criteria for the assessment of CMR image quality are robust with a good inter- and intra-observer agreement. Further research is needed to define the impact of image quality on the diagnostic and prognostic yield of CMR studies.

How quickly should we titrate antihypertensive medication? Systematic review modelling blood pressure response from trial data.

Context There are no evidence syntheses available to guide clinicians on when to titrate antihypertensive medication after initiation. Objective To model the blood pressure (BP) response after initiating antihypertensive medication. Data sources electronic databases including Medline, Embase, Cochrane Register and reference lists up to December 2009. Study selection Trials that initiated antihypertensive medication as single therapy in hypertensive patients who were either drug naive or had a placebo washout from previous drugs. Data extraction Office BP measurements at a minimum of two weekly intervals for a minimum of 4 weeks. An asymptotic approach model of BP response was assumed and non-linear mixed effects modelling used to calculate model parameters. Results and conclusions Eighteen trials that recruited 4168 patients met inclusion criteria. The time to reach 50% of the maximum estimated BP lowering effect was 1 week (systolic 0.91 weeks, 95% CI 0.74 to 1.10; diastolic 0.95, 0.75 to 1.15). Models incorporating drug class as a source of variability did not improve fit of the data. Incorporating the presence of a titration schedule improved model fit for both systolic and diastolic pressure. Titration increased both the predicted maximum effect and the time taken to reach 50% of the maximum (systolic 1.2 vs 0.7 weeks; diastolic 1.4 vs 0.7 weeks). Conclusions Estimates of the maximum efficacy of antihypertensive agents can be made early after starting therapy. This knowledge will guide clinicians in deciding when a newly started antihypertensive agent is likely to be effective or not at controlling BP.