First published record of urban malaria in Puerto Gaitan, Meta, Colombia

Patterns of malaria cases were compared between the department of Meta and the municipality of Puerto Gaitán, Colombia, to examine temporal change in malaria from 2005-2010. During this time frame in Meta the mean ratio was 2.53; in contrast, in Puerto Gaitán it was 1.41, meaning that a surprisingly high proportion of Plasmodium falciparum cases were reported from this municipality. A detailed analysis of data from Puerto Gaitán for 2009 and 2010 detected a significant difference (χ2, p < 0.001) in the distribution of plasmodia, with Plasmodium vivax more prevalent in 2009 and P. falciparum in 2010. Males had the highest number of cases but there was no difference in the distribution of cases between sexes and years. In both years, for both sexes, people 16-40 accounted for the majority of cases (58.9% in 2009; 60.4% in 2010). There were significant differences in the distribution of both P. vivax (χ2, p < 0.01) and P. falciparum cases (χ2, p < 0.05) by geographic setting (urban vs. non-urban) between years. Urban cases of both P. vivax and P. falciparum are recorded in this study for the first time in Puerto Gaitán, possibly the result of area wide displacement and migration due to armed conflict.

Interrogation of related clinical pan-azole-resistant Aspergillus fumigatus strains: G138C, Y431C, and G434C single nucleotide polymorphisms in cyp51A, upregulation of cyp51A, and integration and activation of transposon Atf1 in the cyp51A promoter.

Multiple Aspergillus fumigatus isolates from a patient with two aspergillomas complicating chronic pulmonary aspergillosis were pan-azole resistant. Microsatellite typing was identical for all isolates despite major phenotypic and some growth rate differences. Three different cyp51A mutations were found (G138C, Y431C, and G434C), of which the first two were demonstrated by heterologous expression in a hypersusceptible Saccharomyces cerevisiae strain to be at least partly responsible for elevated MICs. cyp51A and cyp51B gene duplication was excluded, but increased expression of cyp51A was demonstrated in three isolates selected for additional study (7-to 13-fold increases). In the isolate with the greatest cyp51A expression, an Aft1 transposon was found inserted 370 bp upstream of the start codon of the cyp51A gene, an integration location never previously demonstrated in Aspergillus. Two transcription start sites were identified at 49 and 136 bp upstream of the start codon. The role of the Aft1 transposon, if any, in modulating cyp51A expression remains to be established. Increased mRNA expression of the transporters AfuMDR1 and AfuMDR4 also was demonstrated in some isolates, which could contribute to azole resistance or simply represent a stress response. The diversity of confirmed and possible azole resistance mechanisms demonstrated in a single series of isogenic isolates is remarkable, indicating the ability of A. fumigatus to adapt in the clinical setting.

Preface to the Rostock Debate on Demographic Change

The first Rostock Debate on Demographic Change, which took place on February 21, 2006, centered on the following question: Should governments in Europe push much more aggressively for gender equality to raise fertility? The four debaters were Laurent Toulemon from the Institut National d'Etudes Demograhiques (France), Dimiter Philipov from the Vienna Institute of Demography (Austria), Livia Olah from Stockholm University (Sweden), and Gerda Neyer from the Max Planck Institute (Germany).

Freedom Trial First-Year Extension: Results from 4 Years of Denosumab Exposure in Women with Postmenopausal Osteoporosis

Aims: To investigate the long-term efficacy and safety of denosumab (DMAb) for the treatment of postmenopausal women with osteoporosis in an open-label extension to the 3-year FREEDOM study.1Methods: All women who completed the FREEDOM study were eligible to enter a long-term open-label extension (up to 10 years). After providing informed consent, participants received 6-monthly subcutaneous injections of DMAb (60 mg). Here we report data from the first year of followup. For women randomized to DMAb in the FREEDOM study ('long-term group'), this represents up to 48 months of DMAb exposure (eight 6-monthly injections). For those randomized to placebo ('de novo group') the data are from up to 12 months of exposure (two injections). All participants continued to take calcium (1 g) and vitamin D (≥400 IU) supplements daily. Changes in bone mineral density (BMD) and bone turnover markers (BTM) are reported for subjects enrolled in the extension. No formal statistical testing was planned for this interim report. P-values are descriptive.Results: Overall, 4,550 eligible women (70.2%) who completed the FREEDOM study entered the open-label extension study (long-term, n=2,343; de novo, n=2,207). During the first year of the extension, lumbar spine (LS) BMD in the long-term group further increased by 2.0% (12.1% increase vs. FREEDOM baseline at 48 months), and total hip (TH) BMD further increased by 0.8% (6.5% increase at 48 months) (p<0.0001 for both BMD gains during year 4; Fig. 1). During the first year of the extension, LS and TH BMD increased by 5.4% and 3.0%, respectively in the de novo group (both p<0.0001). After DMAb initiation, serum C-telopeptide (CTX) in the de novo group decreased rapidly and similarly to the long-term group (Fig. 2). Reductions in BTMs continue to attenuate at the end of the dosing interval as previously reported. Adverse event (AE) rates were similar (70.4% of women in the longterm group and 67.9% in the de novo group). Serious Aes were also similar (9.8% and 11.2% of women, respectively). During year 4, osteoporotic nonvertebral fractures were reported in 31 women in the long-term group and 51 in the denovo group.Fig. 1. Percentage change in BMD with denosumab for4 years (long-term) or 1 year (de novo)Fig. 2. Percentage change in sCTX over timeConclusions: These interim results suggest that continuation of DMAb treatment through 48 months is associated with further significant increases in spine and hip BMD with sustained reduction of bone turnover. The de-novo treatment group results confirm the first year active treatment findings previously reported1.Acknowledgements: Amgen Inc. sponsored this study. Figure ©2010, American Society for Bone and Mineral Research, used by permission, all rights reserved. Disclosure of Interest: H. Bone Grant/Research Support from: Amgen, Eli Lilly, Merck, Nordic Bioscience, Novartis, Takeda Pharmaceuticals, Consultant/Speaker's bureau/ Advisory activities with: Amgen, Merck, Takeda Pharmaceuticals, Zelos, S. Papapoulos Consultant/Speaker's bureau/ Advisory activities with: Amgen, Merck, Novartis, Lilly, Procter and Gamble, GSK, M.-L. Brandi Grant/Research Support from: MSD, GSK, Nycomed, NPS, Amgen, J. Brown Grant/Research Support from: Abbott, Amgen, Bristol Myers Squibb, Eli Lilly, Pfizer, Roche, Consultant/ Speaker's bureau/Advisory activities with: Abbott, Amgen, Eli Lilly, Novartis, Merck, Warner Chilcott,, R. Chapurlat Grant/Research Support from: Servier, Sanofi-Aventis, Warner-Chilcott, Novartis, Merck, Consultant/Speaker's bureau/Advisory activities with: Servier, Novartis, Amgen, E. Czerwinski: None Declared, N. Daizadeh Employee of: Amgen Inc., Stock ownership or royalties of: Amgen Inc., A. Grauer Employee of: Amgen Inc., Stock ownership or royalties of: Amgen Inc., C. Haller Employee of: Amgen Inc., Stock ownership or royalties of: Amgen Inc., M.-A. Krieg: None Declared, C. Libanati Employee of: Amgen Inc., Stock ownership or royalties of: Amgen Inc., Z. Man Grant/Research Support from: Amgen, D. Mellström: None Declared, S. Radominski Grant/Research Support from: Amgen, Pfizer, Roche, BMS, J.-Y. Reginster Grant/Research Support from: Bristol Myers Squibb, Merck Sharp & Dohme, Rottapharm, Teva, Lilly, Novartis, Roche, GlaxoSmithKline, Amgen, Servier, Consultant/Speaker's bureau/ Advisory activities with: Servier, Novartis, Negma, Lilly,Wyeth, Amgen, GlaxoSmithKline, Roche, Merckle, Nycomed, NPS, Theramex, UCB, Merck, Sharpe & Dohme, Rottapharm, IBSA, Genvrier, Teijin, Teva, Ebewee Pharma, Zodiac, Analis, Theramex, Novo-Nordisk, H. Resch: None Declared, J. A. Román Grant/Research Support from: Roche, Pharma, C. Roux Grant/Research Support from: Amgen, MSD, Novartis, Servier, Roche, Consultant/ Speaker's bureau/Advisory activities with: Amgen, MSD, Novartis, Servier, Roche, S. Cummings Grant/ Research Support from: Amgen, Lilly, Consultant/Speaker's bureau/Advisory activities with: Amgen, Lilly, Novartis, Merck

A molecular platform for the diagnosis of multidrug-resistant and pre-extensively drug-resistant tuberculosis based on single nucleotide polymorphism mutations present in Colombian isolates of Mycobacterium tuberculosis

Developing a fast, inexpensive, and specific test that reflects the mutations present in Mycobacterium tuberculosis isolates according to geographic region is the main challenge for drug-resistant tuberculosis (TB) control. The objective of this study was to develop a molecular platform to make a rapid diagnosis of multidrug-resistant (MDR) and extensively drug-resistant TB based on single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) mutations present in therpoB, katG, inhA,ahpC, and gyrA genes from Colombian M. tuberculosis isolates. The amplification and sequencing of each target gene was performed. Capture oligonucleotides, which were tested before being used with isolates to assess the performance, were designed for wild type and mutated codons, and the platform was standardised based on the reverse hybridisation principle. This method was tested on DNA samples extracted from clinical isolates from 160 Colombian patients who were previously phenotypically and genotypically characterised as having susceptible or MDR M. tuberculosis. For our method, the kappa index of the sequencing results was 0,966, 0,825, 0,766, 0,740, and 0,625 forrpoB, katG, inhA,ahpC, and gyrA, respectively. Sensitivity and specificity were ranked between 90-100% compared with those of phenotypic drug susceptibility testing. Our assay helps to pave the way for implementation locally and for specifically adapted methods that can simultaneously detect drug resistance mutations to first and second-line drugs within a few hours.

New clinical practice guideline on enteral feeding in very low birth weight infants; first part.

The nutrition of very low birth weight (VLBW) infants is aimed at promoting a similar growth to that occurring in the uterus. However, in practice this is difficult to achieve and extrauterine growth restriction is frequent. The current tendency is to avoid this restriction by means of early parenteral and enteral nutrition. Nonetheless, uncertainty about many of the practices related with nutrition has resulted in a great variation in the way it is undertaken. In 2009 and 2011 in our hospital there was an unexpected increase in necrotizing enterocolitis. To check to see whether our nutrition policy was involved, we undertook a systematic review and drew up clinical practice guidelines (CPG) about enteral feeding in VLBW infants. New considerations about the duration of the fortification and the use of probiotics have led to an update of these CPG. METHODS: A total of 21 clinical questions were designed dealing with the type of milk, starting age, mode of administration, rate and volume of the increments, fortification, use of probiotics and protocol. After conducting a systematic search of the available evidence, the information was contrasted and summarized in order to draw up the recommendations. The quality of the evidence and the strength of the recommendations were determined from the SIGN scale. COMMENT: These CPG aim to help physicians in their decision making. The protocolized application of well-proven measurements reduces the variation in clinical practice and improves results.

Predictive value of Glasgow Coma Scale after brain trauma: change in trend over the past ten years.

BACKGROUND: Age and the Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) score on admission are considered important predictors of outcome after traumatic brain injury. We investigated the predictive value of the GCS in a large group of patients whose computerised multimodal bedside monitoring data had been collected over the previous 10 years. METHODS: Data from 358 subjects with head injury, collected between 1992 and 2001, were analysed retrospectively. Patients were grouped according to year of admission. Glasgow Outcome Scores (GOS) were determined at six months. Spearman's correlation coefficients between GCS and GOS scores were calculated for each year. RESULTS: On average 34 (SD: 7) patients were monitored every year. We found a significant correlation between the GCS and GOS for the first five years (overall 1992-1996: r = 0.41; p<0.00001; n = 183) and consistent lack of correlations from 1997 onwards (overall 1997-2001: r = 0.091; p = 0.226; n = 175). In contrast, correlations between age and GOS were in both time periods significant and similar (r = -0.24 v r = -0.24; p<0.002). CONCLUSIONS: The admission GCS lost its predictive value for outcome in this group of patients from 1997 onwards. The predictive value of the GCS should be carefully reconsidered when building prognostic models incorporating multimodality monitoring after head injury.

Nucleotide sequence of the 5' noncoding region and part of the gag gene of mouse mammary tumor virus; identification of the 5' splicing site for subgenomic mRNAs.

We have determined the sequence of the first 1371 nucleotides at the 5' end of the genome of mouse mammary tumor virus using molecularly cloned proviral DNA of the GR virus strain. The most likely initiation codon used for the gag gene of mouse mammary tumor virus is the first one, located 312 nucleotides from the 5' end of the viral RNA. The 5' splicing site for the subgenomic mRNA's is located approximately 288 nucleotides downstream from the 5' end of the viral RNA. From the DNA sequence the amino acid sequence of the N-terminal half of the gag precursor protein, including p10 and p21, was deduced (353 amino acids).

Describing ancient horizontal gene transfers at the nucleotide and gene levels by comparative pathogenicity island genometrics.

MOTIVATION: Lateral gene transfer is a major mechanism contributing to bacterial genome dynamics and pathovar emergence via pathogenicity island (PAI) spreading. However, since few of these genomic exchanges are experimentally reproducible, it is difficult to establish evolutionary scenarios for the successive PAI transmissions between bacterial genera. Methods initially developed at the gene and/or nucleotide level for genomics, i.e. comparisons of concatenated sequences, ortholog frequency, gene order or dinucleotide usage, were combined and applied here to homologous PAIs: we call this approach comparative PAI genometrics. RESULTS: YAPI, a Yersinia PAI, and related islands were compared with measure evolutionary relationships between related modules. Through use of our genometric approach designed for tracking codon usage adaptation and gene phylogeny, an ancient inter-genus PAI transfer was oriented for the first time by characterizing the genomic environment in which the ancestral island emerged and its subsequent transfers to other bacterial genera.

The joint R&D project: The case of the first Brazilian microcontroller chip

ABSTRACT The interorganizational cooperation, through joint efforts with various actors, allows the high-tech companies to complement resources, especially in R&D projects. Collaborative projects have been identified in many studies as an important strategy to produce complex products and services in uncertain and competitive environments. Thus, this research aims at deepening the understanding of how the development dynamics of a collaborative R&D project in an industry of high technology occur. In order to achieve the proposed objective, the R&D project of the first microcontroller in the Brazilian semiconductor industry was defined as the object of analysis. The empirical choice is justified by the uniqueness of the case, besides bringing a diversity of actors and a level of complementarity of resources that were significant to the success of the project. Given the motivation to know who the actors were and what the main forms of interorganizational coordination were used in this project, interviews were carried out and a questionnaire was also made, besides other documents related to the project. The results presented show a network of nine actors and their roles in the interorganizational collaboration process, as well as the forms of social and temporal overlapping, used in the coordination of collective efforts. Focusing on the mechanisms of temporal and social integration highlighted throughout the study, the inclusion of R&D projects in the typology for interorganizational projects is proposed in this paper, which was also proposed by Jones and Lichtenstein (2008).

IL28B polymorphisms predict reduction of HCV RNA from the first day of therapy in chronic hepatitis C.

Background & Aims: Single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) associated with IL28B influence the outcome of peginterferon-alpha/ribavirin therapy of chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection. We analyzed the kinetics of HCV RNA during therapy as a function of IL28B SNPs.Methods: IL28B SNPs rs8099917, rs12979860, and rs12980275 were genotyped in 242 HCV treatment-naive Caucasian patients (67% genotype 1, 28% genotype 2 or 3) receiving peginterferon-alpha 2a (180 mu g weekly) and ribavirin (1000-1200 mg daily) with serial HCV-RNA quantifications. Associations between IL28B polymorphisms and early viral kinetics were assessed, accounting for relevant covariates.Results: In the multivariate analyses for genotype 1 patients, the T allele of rs12979860 (T(rs12979860)) was an independent risk factor for a less pronounced first phase HCV RNA decline (log(10) 0.89 IU/ml among T carriers vs. 2.06 among others, adjusted p <0.001) and lower rapid (15% vs. 38%, adjusted p = 0.007) and sustained viral response rates (48% vs. 66%, adjusted p <0.001). In univariate analyses, Trs12979860 was also associated with a reduced second phase decline (p = 0.002), but this association was no longer significant after adjustment for the first phase decline (adjusted p = 0.8). In genotype 2/3 patients, Trs12979860 was associated with a reduced first phase decline (adjusted p = 0.04), but not with a second phase decline.Conclusions: Polymorphisms in IL28B are strongly associated with the first phase viral decline during peginterferon-alpha/ribavirin therapy of chronic HCV infection, irrespective of HCV genotype. (C) 2011 European Association for the Study of the Liver. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

Functional significance of first metatarso-phalangeal joint arthrodesis : FM101

Introduction: Indications for arthrodesis of the first metatarsophalangeal joint (MTP1) are commonly arthrosis (hallux rigidus), rheumatoid arthritis, failed hallux valgus surgery, severe hallux valgus, infectious arthritis, fractures and neuroarthropathies. Many reports focus on technical and radiological issues but few studies emphasize the functional outcome considering daily activities, sports and expectation of the patient. Method: We retrospectively reviewed the patients who underwent MTP1-arthrodesis from 2002 to 2005 in our institution. Clinical and radiological results were assessed but we specially focussed on the functional outcome. Scoring systems used were the SF-12, EQ-5D, PASI, FFI and AOFAS (10 points given to MTP1 mobility) scales. Results: 61 of 64 consecutive patients were evaluated. Female to male ratio was 49:15, mean age at surgery was 67 years, the average follow up was 29 month. Even if radiological consolidation was incomplete in 18 patients, all patients had a clinically stable and rigid arthrodesis. Mean AOFAS score was 87 (24-100) points at follow up. The FFI was 5.91% (0-66%). Patient satisfaction was excellent in 37 patients (60%), good in 18 (30%), fair in 5(8%) and poor in1 (2%). EQ- 5D was 0.7 (0.4-1).40 patients (66%) estimated their cosmetic result as excellent, 15 (25%) as good, 4(6%) as fair and 2 (3%)as poor. 10 patients (16%) had no shoe wear limitation , 48 (79%) had to wear comfortable shoes and 3 (5%) needed orthopaedic wearing. Professionally 34 patients (56%) had better performances, 18 (26%) had no change and 9 (18%) had aggravation of their capacities but this was due to other health reasons. In sports, 16 patients (26%) had better performances, 35 patients (57%) no change and 10 (17%) were worse as consequence of other health problems for 7. Finally, 56 patients (92%) would recommend the operation and 5 (8%) would not. Conclusion: Experience of clinical practice suggests that the idea of fusing the first MTP joint is initially frequently disregarded by the patients because they fear to be limited by a rigid forefoot. Our results show, in fact, that this procedure can be proposed for numerous pathological situations with the perspective of good to excellent outcome in terms of function and quality of life in the majority of cases.

Functional analysis of a conserved DNA methyltransferase in caulobacter crescentus

CcrM is a DNA methyltransferase that methylates the adenine in GANTC motifs in the chromo-some of the bacterial model Caulobacter crescentus. The loss of the CcrM homolog is lethal in C. crescentus and in several other species of Alphaproteobacteria. In this research, we used different experimental and bioinformatic approaches to determine why CcrM is so critical to the physiology of C. crescentus. We first showed that CcrM is a resident orphan DNA methyltransferase in non-Rickettsiales Alphaproteobacteria and that its gene is strictly conserved in this clade (with only one ex¬ception among the genomes sequenced so far). In C. crescentus, cells depleted in CcrM in rich medium quickly lose viability and present an elongated phenotype characteristic of an im¬pairment in cell division. Using minimal medium instead of rich medium as selective and main¬tenance substrate, we could generate a AccrM mutant that presents a viability comparable to the wild type strain and only mild morphological defects. On the basis of a transcriptomic ap¬proach, we determined that several genes essential for cell division were downregulated in the AccrM strain in minimal medium. We offered decisive arguments to support that the efficient transcription of two of these genes, ftsZ and mipZ, coding respectively for the Z-ring forming GTPase FtsZ and an inhibitor of FtsZ polymerization needed for the correct positioning of the Z- ring at mid-cell, requires the methylation of an adenine in a conserved GANTC motif located in their core promoter region. We propose a model, according to which the genome of C. crescentus encodes a transcriptional activator that requires a methylated adenine in a GANTC context to bind to DNA and suggest that this transcriptional regulator might be the global cell-cycle regulator GcrA. In addition, combining a classic genetic approach and in vitro evolution experiments, we showed that the mortality and cell division defects of the AccrM strain in rich medium are mainly due to limiting intracellular levels of the FtsZ protein. We also studied the dynamics of GANTC methylation in C. crescentus using the SMRT technol¬ogy developed by Pacific Biosciences. Our findings support the commonly accepted model, accord¬ing to which the methylation state of GANTC motifs varies during the cell cycle of C. crescentus: before the initiation of DNA replication, the GANTC motifs are fully-methylated (methylated on both strands); when the DNA gets replicated, the GANTC motifs become hemi-methylated (methyl¬ated on one strand only) and this occurs at different times during replication for different loci along the chromosome depending on their position relative to the origin of replication; the GANTC mo¬tifs are only remethylated after DNA replication has finished as a consequence of the massive and short-lived expression of CcrM in predivisional cells. About 30 GANTC motifs in the C. crescentus chromosome were found to be undermethylated in most of the bacterial population; these might be protected from CcrM activity by DNA binding proteins and some of them could be involved in methylation-based bistable transcriptional switches. - CcrM est une ADN méthyltransférase qui méthyle les adénines dans le contexte GANTC dans le génome de la bactérie modèle Caulobacter crescentus. La perte de l'homologue de CcrM chez C. crescentus et chez plusieurs autres espèces d'Alphaproteobactéries est létale. Dans le courant de cette recherche, nous tentons de déterminer pourquoi la protéine CcrM est cruciale pour la survie de C. crescentus. Nous démontrons d'abord que CcrM est une adénine méthyltransférase orpheline résidente, dont le gène fait partie du génome minimal partagé par les Alphaprotéobactéries non-Rickettsiales (à une exception près). Lorsqu'une souche de C. crescentus est privée de CcrM, sa viabilité décroît rapi¬dement et ses cellules présentent une morphologie allongée qui suggère que la division cellulaire est inhibée. Nous sommes parvenus à créer une souche AccrM en utilisant un milieu minimum, au lieu du milieu riche classiquement employé, comme milieu de sélection et de maintenance pour la souche. Lorsque nous avons étudié le transcriptome de cette souche de C. crescentus privée de CcrM, nous avons pu constater que plusieurs gènes essentiels pour le bon déroulement de la division cellulaire bactérienne étaient réprimés. En particulier, l'expression adéquate des gènes ftsZ et mipZ - qui codent, respectivement, pour FtsZ, la protéine qui constitue, au milieu de la cellule, un anneau protéique qui initie le processus de division et pour MipZ, un inhibiteur de la polymérisation de FtsZ qui est indispensable pour le bon positionnement de l'anneau FtsZ - est dépendante de la présence d'une adénine méthylée dans un motif GANTC conservé situé dans leur région promotrice. Nous présentons un modèle selon lequel le génome de C. crescentus code pour un facteur de transcription qui exige la présence d'une adénine méthylée dans un contexte GANTC pour s'attacher à l'ADN et nous suggérons qu'il pourrait s'agir du régulateur global du cycle cellulaire GcrA. En outre, nous montrons, en combinant la génétique classique et une approche basée sur l'évolution expérimentale, que la mortalité et l'inhibition de la division cellulaire caractéristiques de la souche àccrMeη milieu riche sont dues à des niveaux excessivement bas de protéine FtsZ. Nous avons aussi étudié la dynamique de la méthylation du chromosome de C. crescentus sur la base de la technologie SMRT développée par Pacific Biosciences. Nous confirmons le modèle communément accepté, qui affirme que l'état de méthylation des motifs GANTC change durant le cycle cellulaire de C. crescentus: les motifs GANTC sont complètement méthylés (méthylés sur les deux brins) avant de début de la réplication de l'ADN; ils deviennent hémi-méthylés (méthylés sur un brin seulement) une fois répliqués, ce qui arrive à différents moments durant la réplication pour différents sites le long du chromosome en fonction de leur position par rapport à l'origine de répli-cation; finalement, les motifs GANTC sont reméthylés après la fin de la réplication du chromosome lorsque la protéine CcrM est massivement, mais très transitoirement, produite. Par ailleurs, nous identifions dans le chromosome de C. crescentus environ 30 motifs GANTC qui restent en perma-nence non-méthylés dans une grande partie de la population bactérienne; ces motifs sont probable-ment protégés de l'action de CcrM par des protéines qui s'attachent à l'ADN et certains d'entre eux pourraient être impliqués dans des mécanismes de régulation générant une transcription bistable.

Modeling the biophysical impacts of global change in mountain biosphere reserves

Mountains and mountain societies provide a wide range of goods and services to humanity, but they are particularly sensitive to the effects of global environmental change. Thus, the definition of appropriate management regimes that maintain the multiple functions of mountain regions in a time of greatly changing climatic, economic, and societal drivers constitutes a significant challenge. Management decisions must be based on a sound understanding of the future dynamics of these systems. The present article reviews the elements required for an integrated effort to project the impacts of global change on mountain regions, and recommends tools that can be used at 3 scientific levels (essential, improved, and optimum). The proposed strategy is evaluated with respect to UNESCO's network of Mountain Biosphere Reserves (MBRs), with the intention of implementing it in other mountain regions as well. First, methods for generating scenarios of key drivers of global change are reviewed, including land use/land cover and climate change. This is followed by a brief review of the models available for projecting the impacts of these scenarios on (1) cryospheric systems, (2) ecosystem structure and diversity, and (3) ecosystem functions such as carbon and water relations. Finally, the cross-cutting role of remote sensing techniques is evaluated with respect to both monitoring and modeling efforts. We conclude that a broad range of techniques is available for both scenario generation and impact assessments, many of which can be implemented without much capacity building across many or even most MBRs. However, to foster implementation of the proposed strategy, further efforts are required to establish partnerships between scientists and resource managers in mountain areas.

Predicting global change impacts on plant species' distributions: Future challenges

Given the rate of projected environmental change for the 21st century, urgent adaptation and mitigation measures are required to slow down the on-going erosion of biodiversity. Even though increasing evidence shows that recent human-induced environmental changes have already triggered species' range shifts, changes in phenology and species' extinctions, accurate projections of species' responses to future environmental changes are more difficult to ascertain. This is problematic, since there is a growing awareness of the need to adopt proactive conservation planning measures using forecasts of species' responses to future environmental changes. There is a substantial body of literature describing and assessing the impacts of various scenarios of climate and land-use change on species' distributions. Model predictions include a wide range of assumptions and limitations that are widely acknowledged but compromise their use for developing reliable adaptation and mitigation strategies for biodiversity. Indeed, amongst the most used models, few, if any, explicitly deal with migration processes, the dynamics of population at the "trailing edge" of shifting populations, species' interactions and the interaction between the effects of climate and land-use. In this review, we propose two main avenues to progress the understanding and prediction of the different processes A occurring on the leading and trailing edge of the species' distribution in response to any global change phenomena. Deliberately focusing on plant species, we first explore the different ways to incorporate species' migration in the existing modelling approaches, given data and knowledge limitations and the dual effects of climate and land-use factors. Secondly, we explore the mechanisms and processes happening at the trailing edge of a shifting species' distribution and how to implement them into a modelling approach. We finally conclude this review with clear guidelines on how such modelling improvements will benefit conservation strategies in a changing world. (c) 2007 Rubel Foundation, ETH Zurich. Published by Elsevier GrnbH. All rights reserved.