Estudos genéticos sôbre o milho tunicata

The study of pod corn seems still of much importance from different points of view. The phylogenetical importance of the tunicate factor as a wild type relic gene has been recently discussed in much detail by MANGELSDORF and REEVES (1939), and by BRIEGER (1943, 1944a e b). Selection experiments have shown that the pleiotropic effect of the Tu factor can be modified very extensively (BRIEGER 1944a) and some of the forms thus obtained permitt comparison of male and female inflorescences in corn and related grasses. A detailed discussion of the botanical aspect shall be given shortly. The genetic apect, finally, is the subject of the present publication. Pod corn has been obtained twice: São Paulo Pod Corn and Bolivia Pod Corn. The former came from one half ear left in our laboratory by a student and belongs to the type of corn cultivated in the State of São Paulo, while the other belongs to the Andean group, and has been received both through Dr. CARDENAS, President of the University at Cochabamba, Bolivia, and through Dr. H. C. CUTLER, Harvard University, who collected material in the Andes. The results of the studies may be summarized as follows: 1) In both cases, pod corn is characterized by the presence of a dominant Tu factor, localized in the fourth chromosome and linked with sul. The crossover value differs somewhat from the mean value of 29% given by EMERSON, BEADLE and FRAZER (1935) and was 25% in 1217 plants for São Paulo Pod Corn and 36,5% in 345 plants for Bolivia Pod Corn. However not much importance should be attributed to the quantitative differences. 2) Segregation was completely normal in Bolivia Pod Corn while São Paulo Pod Corn proved to be heterozygous for a new com uma eliminação forte, funcionam apenas 8% em vez de 50%. Existem cerca de 30% de "jcrossing-over entre o gen doce (Su/su) e o fator gametofítico; è cerca de 5% entre o gen Tu e o fator gametofítico. A ordem dos gens no cromosômio IV é: Ga4 - Tu - Sul. 3) Using BRIEGER'S formulas (1930, 1937a, 1937b) the following determinations were made. a) the elimination of ga4 pollen tubes may be strong or weak. In the former case only about 8% and in the latter 37% of ga4 pollen tubes function, instead of the 50% expected in normal heterozygotes. b) There is about 30,4% crossing-over between sul and ga4 and 5,3% between Tu and ga3, the order of the factors beeing Su 1 - Tu - Ga4. 4) The new gametophyte factor differs from the two others factors in the same chromosome, causing competition between pollen tubes. The factor Gal, ocupies another locus, considerably to the left of Sul (EMERSON, BEADLE AND FRAZSER, 1935). The gen spl ocupies another locus and causes a difference of the size of the pollen grains, besides an elimination of pollen tubes, while no such differences were observed in the case of the new factor Ga4. 5) It may be mentioned, without entering into a detailed discussion, that it seems remarquable that three of the few gametophyte factors, so far studied in detail are localized in chromosome four. Actuality there are a few more known (BRIEGER, TIDBURY AND TSENG 1938), but only one other has been localized so far, Ga2, in chromosome five between btl and prl. (BRIEGER, 1935). 6) The fourth chromosome of corn seems to contain other pecularities still. MANGELSDORF AND REEVES (1939) concluded that it carries two translocations from Tripsacum chromosomes, and BRIEGER (1944b) suggested that the tu allel may have been introduced from a tripsacoid ancestor in substitution of the wild type gene Tu at the beginning of domestication. Serious disturbances in the segregation of fourth chromosome factors have been observed (BRIEGER, unpublished) in the hybrids of Brazilian corn and Mexican teosinte, caused by gametophytic and possibly zygotic elimination. Future studies must show wether there is any relation between the frequency of factors, causing gametophyte elimination and the presence of regions of chromosomes, tranfered either from Tripsacum or a related species, by translocation or crossing-over.

Estimativa de parâmetros genéticos de caracteres da planta e da qualidade do grão em uma população de milho opaco (Zea mays)

Uma população de milho denominada ESALQ-VD-opaco foi utilizada no presente trabalho para se estimar parâmetros genéticos e fenotípicos associados a caracteres de produtividade, altura da planta e da espiga, % triptofano e % triptofano na proteína. Um total de 364 progenies de meios irmãos foram avaliadas em látices com duas repetições. As estimativas das variâncias genéticas aditivas para produção de grãos (s²A= 333,44 g/pl), altura da planta (s²A= 187,85) e altura da espiga (s²A = 122,08) indicam a existência de suficiente variabilidade genética no material. Para os caracteres de qualidade do grão, detectou-se também suficiente variabilidade aditiva, permitindo obter progressos genéticos com a seleção. Estimativas de correlações genéticas entre produção de grãos e altura de planta e da espiga, foram de baixa magnitude favorecendo a seleção para produtividade sem alterar significativamente altura da planta e da espiga. As correlações genéticas entre produção de grãos e caracteres para qualidade protéica foram positiva para proteína (rA = 0,303), negativa para triptofano (rA = -0,178) e negativa para triptofano na proteína (rA = -0,568). Verificou-se também uma correlação negativa entre % proteína e % triptofano na proteína (rA = -0,591). A população mostra que selecionando-se para produtividade haverá uma redução na qualidade da proteína, contudo existe suficiente variabilidade genética presente que permite melhorar o valor nutricional da semente sem prejuízo para a produtividade de grãos.

The Analysis of interval censoring and double censoring via Markov chain Monte Carlo methods

L'Anàlisi de la supervivència s'utilitza en diferents camps per analitzar el temps transcorregut entre dos esdeveniments. El que distingeix l'anàlisi de la supervivència d'altres àrees de l'estadística és que les dades normalment estan censurades. La censura en un interval apareix quan l'esdeveniment final d'interès no és directament observable i només se sap que el temps de fallada està en un interval concret. Un esquema de censura més complex encara apareix quan tant el temps inicial com el temps final estan censurats en un interval. Aquesta situació s'anomena doble censura. En aquest article donem una descripció formal d'un mètode bayesà paramètric per a l'anàlisi de dades censurades en un interval i dades doblement censurades així com unes indicacions clares de la seva utilització o pràctica. La metodologia proposada s'ilustra amb dades d'una cohort de pacients hemofílics que es varen infectar amb el virus VIH a principis dels anys 1980's.

Predicción de incendios forestales basada en algoritmos evolutivos guiados por los datos

En este trabajo se propone un método para mejorar la predicción de la propagación de incendios forestales. En la actualidad existen diversos simuladores de comportamiento del fuego los cuales utilizan diversos parámetros de entrada. Estos parámetros de entrada suelen ser una fuente de imprecisión dada la dificultad que resulta disponer de sus valores reales. Este trabajo intenta mejorar las predicciones mediante la mejora de la precisión de los parámetros de entrada. Se utiliza un algoritmo genético guiado utilizando conocimiento disponible. Los resultados observados demuestran que utilizar conocimiento mejora la precisión de las predicciones y acelera dicho proceso.

Modeling sequencing errors by combining Hidden Markov models.

Among the largest resources for biological sequence data is the large amount of expressed sequence tags (ESTs) available in public and proprietary databases. ESTs provide information on transcripts but for technical reasons they often contain sequencing errors. Therefore, when analyzing EST sequences computationally, such errors must be taken into account. Earlier attempts to model error prone coding regions have shown good performance in detecting and predicting these while correcting sequencing errors using codon usage frequencies. In the research presented here, we improve the detection of translation start and stop sites by integrating a more complex mRNA model with codon usage bias based error correction into one hidden Markov model (HMM), thus generalizing this error correction approach to more complex HMMs. We show that our method maintains the performance in detecting coding sequences.

Which screening strategy using BMD measurements would be most cost effective for hip fracture prevention in elderly women? A decision analysis based on a Markov model.

INTRODUCTION: Hip fractures are responsible for excessive mortality, decreasing the 5-year survival rate by about 20%. From an economic perspective, they represent a major source of expense, with direct costs in hospitalization, rehabilitation, and institutionalization. The incidence rate sharply increases after the age of 70, but it can be reduced in women aged 70-80 years by therapeutic interventions. Recent analyses suggest that the most efficient strategy is to implement such interventions in women at the age of 70 years. As several guidelines recommend bone mineral density (BMD) screening of postmenopausal women with clinical risk factors, our objective was to assess the cost-effectiveness of two screening strategies applied to elderly women aged 70 years and older. METHODS: A cost-effectiveness analysis was performed using decision-tree analysis and a Markov model. Two alternative strategies, one measuring BMD of all women, and one measuring BMD only of those having at least one risk factor, were compared with the reference strategy "no screening". Cost-effectiveness ratios were measured as cost per year gained without hip fracture. Most probabilities were based on data observed in EPIDOS, SEMOF and OFELY cohorts. RESULTS: In this model, which is mostly based on observed data, the strategy "screen all" was more cost effective than "screen women at risk." For one woman screened at the age of 70 and followed for 10 years, the incremental (additional) cost-effectiveness ratio of these two strategies compared with the reference was 4,235 euros and 8,290 euros, respectively. CONCLUSION: The results of this model, under the assumptions described in the paper, suggest that in women aged 70-80 years, screening all women with dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) would be more effective than no screening or screening only women with at least one risk factor. Cost-effectiveness studies based on decision-analysis trees maybe useful tools for helping decision makers, and further models based on different assumptions should be performed to improve the level of evidence on cost-effectiveness ratios of the usual screening strategies for osteoporosis.

Realised and Optimal Monetary Policy Rules in an Estimated Markov-Switching DSGE Model of the United Kingdom

This paper investigates underlying changes in the UK economy over the past thirtyfive years using a small open economy DSGE model. Using Bayesian analysis, we find UK monetary policy, nominal price rigidity and exogenous shocks, are all subject to regime shifting. A model incorporating these changes is used to estimate the realised monetary policy and derive the optimal monetary policy for the UK. This allows us to assess the effectiveness of the realised policy in terms of stabilising economic fluctuations, and, in turn, provide an indication of whether there is room for monetary authorities to further improve their policies.

Adaptive Continuous time Markov Chain Approximation Model to General Jump-Diusions

We propose a non-equidistant Q rate matrix formula and an adaptive numerical algorithm for a continuous time Markov chain to approximate jump-diffusions with affine or non-affine functional specifications. Our approach also accommodates state-dependent jump intensity and jump distribution, a flexibility that is very hard to achieve with other numerical methods. The Kolmogorov-Smirnov test shows that the proposed Markov chain transition density converges to the one given by the likelihood expansion formula as in Ait-Sahalia (2008). We provide numerical examples for European stock option pricing in Black and Scholes (1973), Merton (1976) and Kou (2002).

Asset Prices, Business Cycles, and Markov-Perfect Fiscal Policy when Agents are Risk-Sensitive

We study a business cycle model in which a benevolent fiscal authority must determine the optimal provision of government services, while lacking credibility, lump-sum taxes, and the ability to bond finance deficits. Households and the fiscal authority have risk sensitive preferences. We find that outcomes are affected importantly by the household's risk sensitivity, but not by the fiscal authority's. Further, while household risk-sensitivity induces a strong precautionary saving motive, which raises capital and lowers the return on assets, its effects on fluctuations and the business cycle are generally small, although more pronounced for negative shocks. Holding the stochastic steady state constant, increases in household risk-sensitivity lower the risk-free rate and raise the return on equity, increasing the equity premium. Finally, although risk-sensitivity has little effect on the provision of government services, it does cause the fiscal authority to lower the income tax rate. An additional contribution of this paper is to present a method for computing Markov-perfect equilibria in models where private agents and the government are risk-sensitive decisionmakers.

Computing Markov-Perfect Optimal Policies in Business-Cycle Models

Time-inconsistency is an essential feature of many policy problems (Kydland and Prescott, 1977). This paper presents and compares three methods for computing Markov-perfect optimal policies in stochastic nonlinear business cycle models. The methods considered include value function iteration, generalized Euler-equations, and parameterized shadow prices. In the context of a business cycle model in which a scal authority chooses government spending and income taxation optimally, while lacking the ability to commit, we show that the solutions obtained using value function iteration and generalized Euler equations are somewhat more accurate than that obtained using parameterized shadow prices. Among these three methods, we show that value function iteration can be applied easily, even to environments that include a risk-sensitive scal authority and/or inequality constraints on government spending. We show that the risk-sensitive scal authority lowers government spending and income-taxation, reducing the disincentive households face to accumulate wealth.

Utilidad del Dímero-D en los algoritmos diagnósticos de trombosis venosa profunda: análisis según edad y tiempo de evolución

El diagnòstic de la Trombosi Venosa Profunda pot ser difícil degut a una clínica poc específica. S’han desenvolupat diversos algoritmes en què el Dímer-D té un important paper, degut al seu elevat valor predictiu negatiu. El Dímer-D augmenta amb l’edat i disminueix des de l’aparició dels símptomes, si ajustem el seu punt de tall tenint en compte aquests dos paràmetres, és possible augmentar el seu rendiment diagnòstic. Segons els nostres resultats, als subjectes majors de 70 anys i als que presenten una clínica inferior a 14 dies, es podria utilitzar un punt de tall de 1000 ng/mL

Polimorfismos genéticos (en los genes OPRM1, BETA-ARRESTINA2,STAT6 y COMT) y su influencia en la tolerancia al tratamiento con opiáceos mayores en pacientes oncológicos

La morfina es l’opioid majoritàriament utilitzat en dolor oncològic, però existeix elevada variabilitat de resposta. Vam intentar correlacionar aquesta variabilitat amb polimorfismes genètics (Opmr-1, Beta-arrestina2, Stat6 i COMT, relacionats amb mecanismes d’acció opioids). Hem estudiat 29 pacients amb dolor (EVA superior o igual a 6) que van iniciar tractament amb morfina i vam avaluar eficacia i tolerancia a la morfina correlacionant-ho amb els polimorfismos que presentaven. Vam observar que els genotips CC/TC per β-arrestina2 i AA/GA per COMT i Oprm1 es podrien associar a millor resposta i menor toxicitat a la morfina, i els genotips AA/GA per STAT6 s’associaven significativament a menor toxicitat