Specification and testing of multiplicative time-varying GARCH models with applications

In this article, we develop a specification technique for building multiplicative time-varying GARCH models of Amado and Teräsvirta (2008, 2013). The variance is decomposed into an unconditional and a conditional component such that the unconditional variance component is allowed to evolve smoothly over time. This nonstationary component is defined as a linear combination of logistic transition functions with time as the transition variable. The appropriate number of transition functions is determined by a sequence of specification tests. For that purpose, a coherent modelling strategy based on statistical inference is presented. It is heavily dependent on Lagrange multiplier type misspecification tests. The tests are easily implemented as they are entirely based on auxiliary regressions. Finite-sample properties of the strategy and tests are examined by simulation. The modelling strategy is illustrated in practice with two real examples: an empirical application to daily exchange rate returns and another one to daily coffee futures returns.

Realidade virtual no tratamento do transtorno de pânico

O uso de realidade virtual (RV) é útil no tratamento de exposição em pacientes com transtorno de pânico (TP). Em ambientes virtuais, os pacientes experimentam alterações fisiológicas, psíquicas e somáticas similares aos sintomas em situações da vida real, facilitando o processo de habituação. OBJETIVO: Divulgar o panorama atual do uso de RV no tratamento do TP. MÉTODO: A literatura sobre o tratamento do TP a partir da RV foi revisada com metodologia sistemática na base de dados PubMed, por meio das palavras-chave: virtual reality e panic disorder. RESULTADOS: O tratamento do TP com RV está em geral associado a bons resultados e à boa aceitabilidade por parte dos pacientes. São poucos os estudos que mensuram respostas fisiológicas durante a exposição, apesar da importância destes dados para avaliação da eficácia do tratamento. CONCLUSÕES: Apesar da utilidade do tratamento do TP por RV ser verificada nos estudos, constata-se necessidade de estudos controlados e protocolos de tratamento padronizados.

Brincar de Internet: a vivência lúdica infantil em ambiente virtual

Tese de Doutoramento em Ciências da Educação (Especialidade em Tecnologia Educativa)

HPV DNA testing with cytology triage in cervical cancer screening: Influence of revealing HPV infection status

BACKGROUND: Knowledge of cervical human papillomavirus (HPV) status might influence a cytotechnician's assessment of cellular abnormalities. The authors compared original cytotechnicians' Papanicolaou (Pap) readings for which HPV status was concealed with Pap rereads for which HPV status was revealed separately for 3 screening populations. METHODS: Previously collected cervical Pap smears and clinical data were obtained from the Canadian Cervical Cancer Screening Trial (study A), the Democratic Republic of Congo Community-Based Screening Study (study B), and the Brazilian Investigation into Nutrition and Cervical Cancer Prevention (study C). Smears were reread with knowledge of HPV status for all HPV-positive women as well as a sample of HPV-negative women. Diagnostic performance of Pap cytology was compared between original readings and rereads. RESULTS: A total of 1767 Pap tests were reread. Among 915 rereads for HPV-positive women, the contrast between "revealed" and "concealed" Pap readings demonstrated revisions from negative to positive results for 109 women (cutoff was atypical squamous cells of undetermined significance or worse) and 124 women (cutoff was low-grade squamous intraepithelial lesions [LSIL] or worse). For a disease threshold of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia of grade 2 or worse, specificity significantly declined at the atypical squamous cells of undetermined significance cutoff for studies A (86.6% to 75.3%) and C (42.5% to 15.5%), and at the LSIL cutoff for study C (61.9% to 37.6%). Sensitivity remained nearly unchanged between readings, except in study C, in which reread performance was superior (91.3% vs 71.9% for the LSIL cutoff). CONCLUSIONS: A reduction in the diagnostic accuracy of Pap cytology was observed when revealing patients' cervical HPV status, possibly due to a heightened awareness of potential abnormalities, which led to more false-positive results. Cancer (Cancer Cytopathol) 2015. (c) 2015 American Cancer Society.

Virtual reality in assessment and treatment of schizophrenia: a systematic review

Objective To conduct a systematic review about the use of virtual reality (VR) for evaluation, treatment and/or rehabilitation of patients with schizophrenia, focused on: areas, fields and objectives; methodological issues; features of the VR used; viability and efficiency of this resource. Methods Searches were performed about schizophrenia and virtual reality in PsycINFO, Academic Search Complete, MEDLINE Complete, CINAHL with Full Text, Web of Science and Business Source Premier databases, using the following keywords: [“schizophrenia”] AND [“virtual reality” OR “serious game”] AND [“treatment” OR “therapy” OR “rehabilitation”]. The search was carried out between November 2013 and June 2014 without using any search limiters. Results A total of 101 papers were identified, and after the application of exclusion criteria, 33 papers remained. The studies analysed focused on the use of VR for the evaluation of cognitive, social, perceptual and sensory skills, and the vast majority were experimental studies, with virtual reality specifically created for them. All the reviewed papers point towards a reliable and safe use of VR for evaluating and treating cognitive and social deficits in patients with schizophrenia, with different results in terms of generalisation, motivation, assertiveness and task participation rate. Some problems were highlighted, such as its high cost and a constant need for software maintenance. Conclusion The studies show that using the virtual reality may streamline traditional evaluation/rehabilitation programmes, allowing to enhance the results achieved, both in the cognitive and in the social field, helping for the legitimisation of this population’s psycho-social inclusion.

Improving diagnostic yield in obscure gastrointestinal bleeding - how virtual chromoendoscopy may be the answer

Background and aim: A significant proportion of patients presenting with obscure gastrointestinal bleeding (OGIB) have negative small bowel capsule endoscopy (SBCE) examinations, and yet remain at risk of rebleeding. We aimed to evaluate whether a second-look review of SBCE images using flexible spectral color enhancement (FICE) may improve the detection of potentially bleeding lesions. Materials and methods: This was a retrospective, single-center study including consecutive patients with OGIB subjected to SBCE, whose standard white light examination was nondiagnostic. Each SBCE was reviewed using FICE 1. New findings were labeled as either P1 or P2 lesions according to bleeding potential. Patients were followed up to assess the incidence of rebleeding. Results: A total of 42 consecutive patients were included. Sixteen patients (38%) experienced rebleeding after a mean follow-up of 26 months. Review of SBCE images using FICE 1 enabled the identification of previously unrecognized P2 lesions, mainly angioectasias, in nine patients (21%) and P1 lesions, mainly erosions, in 26 patients (62%). Among patients who experienced rebleeding, 13/16 (81%) were diagnosed with P1 lesions with FICE 1 (P=0.043), whereas 3/16 (19%) had confirmed nondiagnostic SBCE and only 1/16 (6%) had newly diagnosed P2 (plus P1) lesions. An alternative source of bleeding outside the small bowel was found in only 3/16 (19%) patients with rebleeding during the follow-up. Conclusion: In a significant proportion of patients with OGIB, FICE 1 may detect potentially bleeding lesions previously missed under conventional white light SBCE. Review of nondiagnostic SBCE with FICE 1 may be a valuable strategy to obviate the need for further investigations in patients with OGIB, particularly for those who experience rebleeding.

Exercise stress testing in healthy subjects during cholinergic stimulation after a single dose of pyridostigmine

OBJETIVE: The evaluation, by exercise stress testing, of the cardiorespiratory effects of pyridostigmine (PYR), a reversible acetylcholinesterase inhibitor. METHODS: A double-blind, randomized, cross-over, placebo-controlled comparison of hemodynamic and ventilation variables of 10 healthy subjects who underwent three exercise stress tests (the first for adaptation and determination of tolerance to exercise, the other two after administration of placebo or 45mg of PYR). RESULTS: Heart rate at rest was: 68±3 vs 68±3bpm before and after placebo, respectively (P=0.38); 70±2 vs 59±2bpm, before and after pyridostigmine, respectively (P<0.01). During exercise, relative to placebo: a significantly lower heart rate after PYR at, respectively, 20% (P=0.02), 40% (P=0.03), 80% (P=0.05) and 100% (P=0.02) of peak effort was observed. No significant differences were observed in arterial blood pressure, oxygen consumption at submaximal and maximal effort, exercise duration, respiratory ratio, CO2 production, ventilation threshold, minute ventilation, and oxygen pulse. CONCLUSION: Pyridostigmine, at a dose of 45mg, decreases heart rate at rest and during exercise, with minimal side effects and without interfering with exercise tolerance and ventilation variables.

Comparison between tilt-table testing results performed during different periods of the day

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the influences of circadian variations on tilt-table testing (TTT) results by comparing the positivity rate of the test performed during the morning with that of the test performed in the afternoon and to evaluate the reproducibility of the results in different periods of the day. METHODS: One hundred twenty-three patients with recurrent unexplained syncope or near-syncope referred for TTT were randomized into 2 groups. In group I, 68 patients, TTT was performed first in the afternoon and then in the morning. In group II, 55 patients, the test was performed first in the morning and then in the afternoon. RESULTS: The TTT protocol was the prolonged passive test, without drug sensitization. Twenty-nine (23.5%) patients had a positive result in at least one of the periods. The positivity rate for each period was similar: 20 (16.2%) patients in the afternoon and 19 (15.4%) in the morning (p=1.000). Total reproducibility (positive/positive and negative/negative) was observed in 49 (89%) patients in group I and in 55 (81%) in group II. Reproducibility of the results was obtained in 94 (90.4%) patients with first negative tests but in 10 (34%) patients with first positive tests. CONCLUSION: TTT could be performed during any period of the day, and even in the 2 periods to enhance positivity. Considering the low reproducibility rate of the positive tests, serial TTT to evaluate therapeutic efficacy should be performed during the same period of the day.

Stress, cognitive appraisal, and psychological health: testing instruments for health professionals

The job of health professionals, including nurses, is considered inherently stressful (Lee & Wang, 2002; Rutledge et al., 2009), and thus it is important to improve and develop specific measures that are sensitive to the demands that health professionals face. This study analysed the psychometric properties of three instruments that focus on the professional experiences of nurses in aspects related to occupational stress, cognitive appraisal, and mental health issues. The evaluation protocol included the Stress Questionnaire for Health Professionals (SQHP; Gomes, 2014), the Cognitive Appraisal Scale (CAS; Gomes, Faria, & Gonçalves, 2013), and the General Health Questionnaire-12 (GHQ-12; Goldberg, 1972). Validity and reliability issues were considered with statistical analysis (i.e. confirmatory factor analysis, convergent validity, and composite reliability) that revealed adequate values for all of the instruments, namely, a six-factor structure for the SQHP, a five-factor structure for the CAS, and a two-factor structure for the GHQ-12. In conclusion, this study proposes three consistent instruments that may be useful for analysing nurses’ adaptation to work contexts.

Exercise testing in hypertensive patients taking different angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors

OBJECTIVE: To compare blood pressure response to dynamic exercise in hypertensive patients taking trandolapril or captopril. METHODS: We carried out a prospective, randomized, blinded study with 40 patients with primary hypertension and no other associated disease. The patients were divided into 2 groups (n=20), paired by age, sex, race, and body mass index, and underwent 2 symptom-limited exercise tests on a treadmill before and after 30 days of treatment with captopril (75 to 150 mg/day) or trandolapril (2 to 4 mg/day). RESULTS: The groups were similar prior to treatment (p<0.05), and both drugs reduced blood pressure at rest (p<0.001). During treatment, trandolapril caused a greater increase in functional capacity (+31%) than captopril (+17%; p=0.01) did, and provided better blood pressure control during exercise, observed as a reduction in the variation of systolic blood pressure/MET (trandolapril: 10.7±1.9 mmHg/U vs 7.4±1.2 mmHg/U, p=0.02; captopril: 9.1±1.4 mmHg/U vs 11.4±2.5 mmHg/U, p=0.35), a reduction in peak diastolic blood pressure (trandolapril: 116.8±3.1 mmHg vs 108.1±2.5 mmHg, p=0.003; captopril: 118.2±3.1 mmHg vs 115.8±3.3 mmHg, p=0.35), and a reduction in the interruption of the tests due to excessive elevation in blood pressure (trandolapril: 50% vs 15%, p=0.009; captopril: 50% vs 45%, p=0.32). CONCLUSION: Monotherapy with trandolapril is more effective than that with captopril to control blood pressure during exercise in hypertensive patients.

Safety, feasibility, and results of exercise testing for stratifying patients with chest pain in the emergency room

OBJECTIVE: To assess safety, feasibility, and the results of early exercise testing in patients with chest pain admitted to the emergency room of the chest pain unit, in whom acute myocardial infarction and high-risk unstable angina had been ruled out. METHODS: A study including 1060 consecutive patients with chest pain admitted to the emergency room of the chest pain unit was carried out. Of them, 677 (64%) patients were eligible for exercise testing, but only 268 (40%) underwent the test. RESULTS: The mean age of the patients studied was 51.7±12.1 years, and 188 (70%) were males. Twenty-eight (10%) patients had a previous history of coronary artery disease, 244 (91%) had a normal or unspecific electrocardiogram, and 150 (56%) underwent exercise testing within a 12-hour interval. The results of the exercise test in the latter group were as follows: 34 (13%) were positive, 191 (71%) were negative, and 43 (16%) were inconclusive. In the group of patients with a positive exercise test, 21 (62%) underwent coronary angiography, 11 underwent angioplasty, and 2 underwent myocardial revascularization. In a univariate analysis, type A/B chest pain (definitely/probably anginal) (p<0.0001), previous coronary artery disease (p<0.0001), and route 2 (patients at higher risk) correlated with a positive or inconclusive test (p<0.0001). CONCLUSION: In patients with chest pain and in whom acute myocardial infarction and high-risk unstable angina had been ruled out, the exercise test proved to be feasible, safe, and well tolerated.

Los entornos virtuales como herramienta sustituta del laboratorio "real" y como complemento de la enseñanza de Química a alumnos de Ingeniería. Virtual environments as substitute tools for the "conventional" laboratories and as a complement for Chemistry teaching to Engineering students.

El presente proyecto se plantea el siguiente problema de investigación:¿Cuál es la eficacia de los entornos virtuales de enseñanza para optimizar los aprendizajes de Química? Se sostiene la hipótesis de que los entornos virtuales de enseñanza, empleados como mediación instrumental, son eficaces para optimizar los aprendizajes de química, particularmente facilitando la vinculación y reversibilidad entre "mundo micro y macroscópico"; capacidad que usualmente sólo se atribuye al trabajo experimental de laboratorio. Los objetivos propuestos son: Determinar la eficacia de entornos virtuales de enseñanza, como mediaciones instrumentales, para optimizar los aprendizajes de química en estudiantes de ingeniería. Implementar un entrono virtual de enseñanza de química, diseñado como mediación instrumental y destinado a estudiantes de dos carreras de ingeniería del IUA. Evaluar el desarrollo y los resultados de la innovación introducida. Comparar los resultados de la innovación con los resultados de la enseñanza usual. Derivar conclusiones acerca de la eficacia de la innovación propuesta. Socializar el conocimiento producido en ámbitos científico-tecnológicos reconocidos. Se generará un aula virtual en plataforma Educativa y utilidzando el laboratorio de computación de la institución se buscará desarrollar laboratorios virtuales donde se propondrán actividades de simulación de trabajo experimental. Los resultados esperados son: - Un Aula Virtual que cumpla funciones análogas a las de un laboratorio experimental. - Información válida y confiable acerca de la eficacia de la misma como medio para optimizar los aprendizajes de química. - Publicaciones en ámbitos científico-tecnológicos reconocidos que sometan a juicio público la innovación y la investigación efectuadas. La importancia del proyecto radica principalmente en poner a prueba la eficacia de los entornos virtuales para optimizar los aprendizajes de química, analogando tareas usualmente limitadas al trabajo experimental de laboratorio. Su pertinencia apunta a un replanteo del curriculo de los cursos de Química para estudiantes de Ingeniería.

Desarrollo y evaluación de softwares de telepsicología y tecnología de realidad virtual para el tratamiento de la Fobia Social y el Miedo a Hablar en Público en estudiantes universitarios

Estudios epidemiológicos, reportan que la fobia social es uno de los trastornos de ansiedad de alta prevalencia en la población mundial, que oscila entre el 7 y el 13%. La incidencia de este trastorno se ubica entre el 13 y 14% en personas de 15 a 54 años, manifestándose antes de los 25 años (Furmark,et al 2002). De esta manera, se destaca la importancia de el estudio y abordaje de este trastorno en adolecentes, considerando que es en esta etapa del desarrollo donde se empieza a manifestar, y donde la intervención temprana se torna fundamental. Este trastorno afecta la vida familiar, social y laboral de una persona, dado que la persona evita exponerse a lugares públicos o a situaciones donde anticipa la evaluación negativa. Las consecuencias del trastorno son variadas, ya que los individuos pueden perder su trabajo por miedo a la exposición, fracasar en los estudios o fracazar en la concertación de citas y la vida en pareja. El miedo a hablar en público, por otro lado, es una forma particular de ansiedad social que implica la preocupación de que el público va a pensar que el rendimiento de uno es inadecuado (o que evaluaranm negativamente la persona o el rendimiento de la misma). La relevancia social de esta problemática requiere de tratamientos más eficientes, dada la creciente prevalencia de estos trastornos en los últimos años a nivel internacional. En este sentido la terapia de exposición en diferentes modalidades, acompañada dereestructuración cognitiva se ha transformado en un abordjae de elección para estos trastornos ara el tratamiento de fobia social. Entre las modalidades más novedosas en la actualidad, se destaca la utilización de programas basados en escenarios virtuales y la utilización de la telepsicología para el tratamiento de la fobia social y el miedo a hablar en público. La exposición con realidad virtual o mediante simulaciones no sólo da la oportunidad de capitalizar las habilidades de imaginación del paciente sino también las suplementa con experiencias visuales y auditivas simuladas. Además expone al paciente a un ambiente virtual que contiene la situación temida en vez de llevar al paciente a una situación real o pedirle que imagine los estímulos asociados, aumentando de esta manera la eficiencia del tratamiento En particular en nuestro país, la investigación en este campo es inexistente y sus aplicaciones son incipientes, por lo que la adaptación, desarrollo y evaluación de programas de tratamiento clínico utilizando modalidades terapéuticas innovadoras, a la vez de otorgar atención a la comunidad que padece este tipo de trastornos, es fundamental Por esto, el propósito del presente proyecto es el desarrollo, la instrumentación y evaluación de software de telepsicología y tecnologías de realidad virtual orientados a la valoración y tratamiento de la Fobia Social y el miedo a Hablar en Público. Específicamente, el objetivo es adaptar, instrumentar y evaluar un sistema de tratamiento con base en ambientes virtuales para el tratamiento de la Fobia Social transferidos a nuestro equpio de investigación por el grupo de investigación del Laboratorio de Enseñanza Virtual y Ciberpsicología de la UNAM. También nos proponemos desarrollar dos softwares de telepsicología con videos digitales para la valoración y tratamiento del miedo a hablar en público. Finalmente, otro objetivo es el desarrollo de un instrumento de evaluación diagnóstica de la Fobia Social y el Miedo a Hablar en Público en estudiantes universitarios, el cual será incorporado a un software junto a los videos digitales.