Um modelo de avaliação integrada para análise de incertezas em programas governamentais: um estudo da educação a distância no Estado do Pará

A tarefa de projetar um sistema de EAD (SEAD) não é fácil, devido ao número de componentes (estudantes, corpo docente, administração, infra-estrutura, etc.), a complexidade do processo, as diferentes visões e abordagens quanto à sua eficácia, os valores em disputa, os interesses em jogo e as decisões urgentes. O Estado do Pará possui experiências de sucesso nesta modalidade em todos os níveis de ensino. Porém, ainda existem dificuldades, obstáculos, problemas e incertezas a serem enfrentados. Neste sentido, o objetivo da pesquisa foi criar um modelo analítico para identificar e interpretar as incertezas presentes na utilização da EAD pelo sistema educacional do Pará e detectar as atitudes dos atores envolvidos e interessados no processo, contribuindo com critérios e estratégias que podem ser utilizadas para decidir, sob condições de incerteza, sobre a implementação de SEADs e sua operacionalização. Para isso a pesquisa tomou como base a metodologia da Avaliação Integrada (AI), na perspectiva pluralista, sendo realizada em vários momentos, os quais incluiram: ampla pesquisa bibliográfica; sondagem do encaminhamento da EAD no Pará; o uso do método de inquerito delphi para instigar o consenso sobre as incertezas mais relevantes; utilização da Teoria Cultural para subsidiar a identificação da orientação cultural dos respondentes com vistas a revelar as diferentes posturas dos participantes com relação à EAD; o emprego da técnica estatística análise de cluster para agrupar as incertezas e os individuos por similaridades; e uma análise integrada dos resultados advindos das diversas etapas. O nível de consenso foi baixo, resultando em oito incertezas consideradas relevantes para o processo. Destas, 50% são de dimensão metodológica, expressando que durante um processo de inovação a metodologia se destaca por representar mudanças de paradigmas já estabelecidos. O agrupamento de incertezas, por sua vez, revelou oito grandes conjuntos de controvérsias que pressionam de maneiras diferentes o processo de tomada de decisão e operacionalização de sistemas de EAD. Pelas características de cada conjunto, percebe-se que os problemas que perpassam a EAD no Pará fazem parte do contexto atual e contemplam preocupações referentes a pontos que norteiam o processo, a incertezas de caráter geral, ao compromisso político, aos componentes que indicam a qualidade e o reconhecimento da EAD, aos aspectos metodológicos e técnicos, à estabilidade da modalidade, ao acesso e uso das novas tecnologias de informação e comunicação e às condições de infra-estrutura. Durante a concepção de SEADs a orientação cultural influencia o enfoque a ser adotado pelos dirigentes, podendo estar mais direcionado para o controle (hierárquicos), para o respeito ao aluno (igualitários), para a satisfação do aluno (individualistas) e para a visão de desconfiança (fatalistas). A integração de todos os resultados possibilitou indicar critérios de decisão e estratégias para enfrentar as incertezas ou mesmo aprender a conviver com estas. Concluiu-se que o uso da metodologia de AI se mostrou eficaz para o tratamento do problema da EAD no Pará, propiciando uma gestão das incertezas, o que se acredita levar à redução da probabilidade de ocorrência de eventos indesejáveis e/ou inesperados.

Intensificação de sistemas de produção através da mecanização na região da Transamazônica: limites e possibilidades

O presente estudo analisa o uso da mecanização nas condições reais dos agricultores familiares. Os resultados foram construídos na base de duas pesquisas complementares entre si: o acompanhamento do Projeto de Mecanização desenvolvido pela prefeitura do município de Altamira – PA e o levantamento de outras experiências desenvolvidas pelos agricultores no município de Uruará – PA. Verificou-se que o problema da manutenção da fertilidade do solo é um fator limitante à mecanização, ao lado da baixa remuneração do trabalho, da diminuição de interesse pela produção de culturas anuais, e da disponibilidade de área para continuar com a agricultura itinerante. As condições atuais dos sistemas agrários não permitem ainda a transição para a agricultura permanente ou a intensificação dos sistemas de produção a partir da mecanização. No entanto, os interesses da coletividade e a realização de estudos aprofundados com agricultores que vêm praticando tração animal poderão relativizar estes resultados.

Sistema de classificação de pacientes cirúrgicos em hospitais especializado: construção e validação de um instrumento

Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (FAPESP)

Efeito antineoplásico do composto 4,2´,3´,4´-tetrametoxi chalcona em linhagem de neuroblastoma B103 de rato

Neuroblastoma é a neoplasia mais frequentemente diagnosticada na infância. O termo é comumente usado para se referir a uma ampla variedade de tumores neuroblásticos, incluindo os neuroblastomas, ganglioneuroblastomas e ganglioneuromas. Estimativas mostram que 8 milhões de crianças até 15 anos de idade por ano são atingidas por esta neoplasia, onde 80% dos casos são acometidos em até 4 anos de idade, o tumor é derivado de células malignas embrionárias advindas de células neuronais primordiais, desde gânglios simpáticos até medula adrenal e outros pontos. Neste estudo, foi avaliado o potencial citotóxico do composto 4,2´,3´,4´ tetrametoxi chalcona em modelo in vitro de neuroblastoma B103 de rato. Foram preparadas soluções estoques da droga a 50mM em dimetilsulfóxido (DMSO) e armazenadas a -20ºC para o preparo de novas concentrações (150μM, 100 μM, 75 μM e 50 μM). A viabilidade celular foi testada a partir de cultura de células da glia do córtex de rato e de neuroblastoma b103. Ensaios de migração celular e formação de colônias também foram realizados. Para a análise estatística foi realizado a análise de variância um critério (ANOVA) seguido pelo teste de Tukey, utilizando-se o programa BioEstat 5.0. Na avaliação do efeito citotóxico das chalconas, foi observado que o tratamento com o composto 4,2`3`4´- tetrametoxi chalcona não demonstrou nenhum efeito citotóxico contra células normais do córtex de rato para as concentrações testadas, enquanto que em culturas de células de neuroblastoma B103 foi demonstrado que esta droga promove a morte celular de forma significativa.

Efeito do flushing sobre o desempenho reprodutivo de ovelhas Morada Nova e Santa Inês submetidas à inseminação artificial em tempo fixo

The aim of this study was to analyze the effect of flushing on the reproductive performance of Morada Nova (MN) and Santa Inês (SI) ewes submitted to fixed time artificial insemination (TAI). Twenty seven SI and 24 MN supplemented with concentrate (1% of live weight, on average), for 75 days during the breeding season. After 30 days of supplementation, ewes were synchronized with the aid of a hormonal protocol (HP) based on progesterone, eCG and cloprostenol. The estrus observation was conducted at 12, 24, 36 and 48 h after the end of HP with the aid of two ruffians. TAI was done 55 h after the end of HP. From 20 to 45 days after the beginning of the HP ewes were exposed to rams (natural breeding). The pregnancy diagnosis was evaluated 70 days after TAI. We analyzed the weight, body condition score, estrus rate, pregnancy rate and prolificacy testing the effects of race, week of supplementation and body condition score class. The weight and body conditions of ewes varied according to the week of supplementation, with higher values in the first two weeks following TAI. The estrus rate was 88.2% and 43.2% of the ewes showed estrus up to 24 hours of the end of the HP. The pregnancy rate per TAI was 31.3% and the pregnancy rate after natural breeding was 50.0%. It was observed that body condition score classes interfered in pregnancy rates. There was a higher percentage of multiple births by pregnancy by TAI than by natural breeding. It was concluded that the flushing resulted in weight gain and better body conditions ensuring the standardization of the herd for breeding season, which therefore improved reproductive performance. The HP used advanced the onset of estrus and increased prolificacy, but was inefficient in the synchronization of woolless sheep.

Avaliação de uma técnica para geração de modelos digitais de superfície utilizando múltiplas imagens

The efficient generation of digital surface model (DSM) from optical images has been explored for many years and the results are dependent on the project characteristics (image resolution, size of overlap between images, among others), of the image matching techniques and the computer capabilities for the image processing. The points generated from image matching have a direct impact on the quality of the DSM and, consequently, influence the need for the costly step of edition. This work aims at assessing experimentally a technique for DSM generation by matching of multiple images (two or more) simultaneously using the vertical line locus method (VLL). The experiments were performed with six images of the urban area of Presidente Prudente/SP, with a ground sample distance (GSD) of approximately 7cm. DSMs of a small area with homogeneous texture, repetitive pattern, moving objects including shadows and trees were generated to assess the quality of the developed procedure. This obtained DSM was compared to cloud points acquired by LASER (Light Amplification by Simulated Emission of Radiation) scanning as wells as with a DSM generated by Leica Photogrammetric Suite (LPS) software. The accomplished results showed that the MDS generated by the implemented technique has a geometric quality compatible with the reference models.

Ponto fixo: uma introdução no ensino médio

Pós-graduação em Matemática em Rede Nacional - IBILCE

Relationships between growth of the preovulatory follicle and gestation success in lactating dairy cows

This report summarizes three studies conducted with lactating dairy cows aiming to increase pregnancy rates to fixed time artificial insemination (TAI) protocols. Experiment 1 was designed to determine if changing the timing of PGF2 alpha treatment during an E2/P4-based program would affect fertility to TAI or fixed-time embryo transfer (TET). In experiment 2, pregnancy rates to AI were compared following synchronized ovulation using two protocols that have been developed to reduce the period between follicular wave emergence and TAI. The Ovsynch-type protocol utilizes GnRH to synchronize the follicular wave by inducing ovulation of a dominant follicle at the beginning of the protocol, and to synchronize ovulation at the end of the protocol allowing TAI. In contrast, E2/P4-based protocols utilize E2 products in the presence of P4 to induce atresia of antral follicles and synchronize emergence of a new follicular wave. At the end of E2/P4-based protocol another E2 treatment in the absence of P4 is used to induce LH release and synchronize ovulation and allow TAI. Experiment 3 was designed to determine whether increasing the length time interval with reduced circulating P4 (proestrus) would increase fertility in a TAI program that utilized E2 and P4 to synchronize ovulation of cycling, lactating dairy cows. The overall conclusions are that circulating concentrations of progesterone and estradiol prior to and circulating concentrations of progesterone following ovulation can affect fertility in cattle. In addition, small increases in P4 concentrations near the time of AI, due to lack of complete CL regression, result in reductions in fertility. Earlier treatment with PGF2 alpha should allow greater time for CL regression, an increase in estradiol and subsequent reductions in circulating P4 that could be critical for fertility. Optimization of follicle size in TAI programs is clearly an intricate balance between oocyte quality, adequate circulating E2 near AI, and adequate circulating P4 after AI.

Mapeamento de áreas de risco para ocorrência da ferrugem do eucalipto no Espírito Santo e extremo sul da Bahia

Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (FAPESP)

Measurement of the ratio of inclusive jet cross sections using the anti-k(T) algorithm with radius parameters R=0.5 and 0.7 in pp collisions at root s=7 TeV

Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico (CNPq)

Futebol brasileiro: uma análise comparativa das fórmulas de disputa do campeonato brasileiro da série A nos últimos 15 anos (1995-2010)

In Brazil, the football is more than just a sport, it's a passion and part of country's DNA almost a century ago. By this prerogative the club national championship, nowadays known as Brazilian Championship and organized by Brazilian Football Confederation, it is a mark in this modality. During the soccer history, were made several changes of nomenclature, rules and dispute mode, that generated many controversies, contributing for discussing about credibility of the championship. There were many changes about dispute mode, alternating the mixed mode (eliminatory + classificatory and vice versa) and a dispute mode based on classification. This research aimed to described and to analyzed the changes that have occurred in dispute types of the Brazilian Championship, series A, in the last 15 years (1995 to 2010). It was analyzed each edition, with data like average of public, matches and participants number, period that the championship was conducted, beyond the dispute mode. In the last 15 years, have been used five different types and it was observed that the current mode to consecutive points is the most appropriate, because this mode showed the best public average, greater coherence to elect the competition champion and this mode also encouraged the clubs about planning, organization and professional management. This issues contributed to a significant improvement in quality of Championship

Intertextualidade entre Coraline e Alice's adventures in wonderland & Throught the looking-glass and what Alice found there

When writing Coraline, Neil Gaiman takes up some resources used by Lewis Carroll in his two major works, Alice's Adventures in Wonderland and Through the Looking-Glass and What Alice Found There, but still manages to write a unique novel, seemingly grim, filled with horror. In the 1960s, the theoretician Julia Kristeva conducted a study on the possible dialogue between the texts, concluding that every text contains parts of other texts, already written or that will be. Based on the theory of intertextuality she first proposed and which was subsequently discussed by several theoreticians, this paper aims to find points in the works in which this dialogue is present, as well as how Neil Gaiman appropriates these resources properly. It also tries to show elements where these points of intertextuality differ, proposing that this difference is because Gaiman resorted, directly, or indirectly, to insights drawn from the study of Freud’s psychoanalytic theory

Verificação da eficiência da metodologia Seis Sigma na redução da divergência de estoque em uma indústria de condutores de fluídos

This work was developed in order to reduce the discrepancy found between the stock data of an item in the system and the amount found physically in stock in the company presented on this study case. Therefore, this paper makes a study on system of information that can assist in the collection, control and manipulation of data regarding the company's stock. It is very important to do the inventory management, so we can control the level of this sub-product to meet sales orders and production. In the study discussed below, we used the Six Sigma methodology to identify points that had flaws in the process and thus improve their work where the results show grater process control and provide a reliable database to the point where no further problems of lack of components in stock

Aumento na precisão de indicadores de produção: um estudo de caso na indústria têxtil

TThis work deals with present how to increase the accuracy of productivity indicators, aiming to increase the information accuracy of performance indicators and propose improvements to the process in question, more specifically to improve the visualization of information from these indicators for all hierarchical levels of the company, and then make possible use them to assist in the processes of decision making and planning of the production process. We start with an analysis of the current process to be studied seeking sources of information losses during the production process. Afterwards, a specific analysis of the points considered critical, so alternatives are raised for improvements to these points. This project has some specific tools and methodologies that guide the development of work which are required of any project carried out in the company

Um Estudo da modelagem matemática na educação matemática e seu potencial para o desenvolvimento do pensamento crítico

The implementation of mathematical modeling curricula represents a great challenge, both for teachers and students, since it escapes the traditional teaching methodology, i.e. when the teacher speaks to his/her students. This work presents, at least, one possible way of implementing mathematical modeling inside the classroom, and how this way encourage critical thinking in students. I see mathematical modeling as an opportunity to minimize student's rejection and increase their interest for mathematics, promoting their competencies to give points of scene in every day situations. The history of mathematics shows that mathematical modeling had developed since almost the beginning of human live, when men needed to solve problems that arose in the course of his life. Mathematics has become more and more abstract, but it is important to recall what was originated it. In this way, it is possible to make this subject matter more meaningful to students. I will make an introduction of mathematical modeling, presenting some important definitions. Based on this framework, I will present a classroom instruction understand on a 7 th grade classroom by myself. With this in instruction I sustain the idea that mathematical modeling has, in fact, a great potential to improve the quality of mathematics teaching. I also sustain that, the development of critical thinking, as a competence, way be achieved with it