Metalearner based on Dynamic Neural Network for Strategic Bidding in electricity Markets

The restructuring of electricity markets, conducted to increase the competition in this sector, and decrease the electricity prices, brought with it an enormous increase in the complexity of the considered mechanisms. The electricity market became a complex and unpredictable environment, involving a large number of different entities, playing in a dynamic scene to obtain the best advantages and profits. Software tools became, therefore, essential to provide simulation and decision support capabilities, in order to potentiate the involved players’ actions. This paper presents the development of a metalearner, applied to the decision support of electricity markets’ negotiation entities. The proposed metalearner executes a dynamic artificial neural network to create its own output, taking advantage on several learning algorithms implemented in ALBidS, an adaptive learning system that provides decision support to electricity markets’ players. The proposed metalearner considers different weights for each strategy, depending on its individual quality of performance. The results of the proposed method are studied and analyzed in scenarios based on real electricity markets’ data, using MASCEM - a multi-agent electricity market simulator that simulates market players’ operation in the market.

Demand Response Design and Use Based on Network Locational Marginal Prices

Power systems have been experiencing huge changes mainly due to the substantial increase of distributed generation (DG) and the operation in competitive environments. Virtual Power Players (VPP) can aggregate several players, namely a diversity of energy resources, including distributed generation (DG) based on several technologies, electric storage systems (ESS) and demand response (DR). Energy resources management gains an increasing relevance in this competitive context. This makes the DR use more interesting and flexible, giving place to a wide range of new opportunities. This paper proposes a methodology to support VPPs in the DR programs’ management, considering all the existing energy resources (generation and storage units) and the distribution network. The proposed method is based on locational marginal prices (LMP) values. The evaluation of the impact of using DR specific programs in the LMP values supports the manager decision concerning the DR use. The proposed method has been computationally implemented and its application is illustrated in this paper using a 33-bus network with intensive use of DG.

Definition of Distribution Network Tariffs Considering Distribution Generation and Demand Response

The use of distribution networks in the current scenario of high penetration of Distributed Generation (DG) is a problem of great importance. In the competitive environment of electricity markets and smart grids, Demand Response (DR) is also gaining notable impact with several benefits for the whole system. The work presented in this paper comprises a methodology able to define the cost allocation in distribution networks considering large integration of DG and DR resources. The proposed methodology is divided into three phases and it is based on an AC Optimal Power Flow (OPF) including the determination of topological distribution factors, and consequent application of the MW-mile method. The application of the proposed tariffs definition methodology is illustrated in a distribution network with 33 buses, 66 DG units, and 32 consumers with DR capacity.

Solar Intensity Forecasting using Artificial Neural Networks and Support Vector Machines

This paper presents several forecasting methodologies based on the application of Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) and Support Vector Machines (SVM), directed to the prediction of the solar radiance intensity. The methodologies differ from each other by using different information in the training of the methods, i.e, different environmental complementary fields such as the wind speed, temperature, and humidity. Additionally, different ways of considering the data series information have been considered. Sensitivity testing has been performed on all methodologies in order to achieve the best parameterizations for the proposed approaches. Results show that the SVM approach using the exponential Radial Basis Function (eRBF) is capable of achieving the best forecasting results, and in half execution time of the ANN based approaches.

Epidemiologia da malária em Cabo Verde - Factores genéticos humanos e estrutura populacional do mosquito vector

A malária, doença parasitária complexa que resulta da interacção entre parasita, hospedeiros humano e vector, constitui um dos principais problemas de saúde a nível mundial. À semelhança de outras doenças parasitárias e infecciosas a malária tem um papel importante na evolução, tendo já sido demonstrado o papel da variação genética humana na resistência à infecção. Após quase meio século de controlo, a malária persiste na ilha de Santiago onde, apesar da baixa endemicidade, os indivíduos apresentam geralmente manifestações moderadas, são diagnosticadas infecções abaixo do nível detectável pela microscopia e o vector se encontra muito próximo da população supostamente susceptível, desconhecendo-se a frequência dos principais polimorfismos genéticos humanos mais relacionados com a doença e a estrutura populacional do mosquito vector. Os objectivos gerais de trabalho desta tese assentam 1) no estudo dos dois clássicos factores genéticos do hospedeiro humano relacionados com a malária, nomeadamente os afectos à anemia das células falciformes, à deficiência em G6PD e a análise dum provável envolvimento da PK e 2) na análise genética das populações do mosquito vector, tentando contribuir para a compreensão da epidemiologia da doença na Ilha, e para a escolha de medidas de controlo apropriadas. Os trabalhos incidiram na detecção do alelo responsável pela hemoglobina S, de polimorfismos no gene da G6PD e da PK em indivíduos não aparentados (Infectados e não Infectados) com análise da sua provável associação com a infecção e, ainda, na genotipagem de loci microssatélites de Anopheles arabiensis com recurso a técnicas baseadas na PCR. Relativamente à anemia falciforme, a frequência dos portadores do traço (indivíduos HbAS) e do alelo HbS foi 6% e 5%, respectivamente, e para as variantes da G6PD, 0,8% para G6PDA- e 0,0% para a G6PDMed, não tendo sido encontrado associação entre os genótipos desses dois factores e a presença de infecção. No que concerne ao gene PKLR não foi encontrada uma associação clara entre os polimorfismos analisados e o estado de infecção, mas foi detectado um acentuado desequilíbrio de linkage entre os loci, apenas nos Não Infectados, o que pode significar que essa região do gene, aparentemente conservada, tenha sido seleccionada por fornecer protecção contra a infecção e/ou doença. A diversidade genética das populações de A. arabiensis em onze loci microssatélites foi moderada com valores médio de He, variando de 0,481 a 0,522 e a Rs de 4 a 5. O valor da diferenciação genética baseado em 7 loci polimórficos foi baixo (FST=0,012; p<0,001) mas significativo, variando entre 0,001 e 0,023 entre os pares de populações. Não foram detectados os alelos de resistência associados ao gene Kdr. A baixa frequência dos alelos associados à G6PD (A- e Med) tem implicações importantes nas estratégias de controlo definidas pelo Programa Nacional de Luta contra o Paludismo (PNLP), uma vez que a primaquina pode continuar a ser administrada como complemento aos regimes terapêuticos, em caso de necessidade. A população de A. arabiensis em Santiago revelou-se relativamente homogénea e com uma estrutura reduzida o que pode, por um lado, representar uma desvantagem por permitir uma provável dispersão dos genes de resistência. Por outro lado, essa relativa homogeneidade poderá representar uma vantagem para a introdução de um programa de controlo baseado na libertação de mosquitos transgénicos.

Analisador de qualidade de energia eléctrica embebido na instalação eléctrica

A monitorização da qualidade da energia eléctrica tem revelado importância crescente na gestão e caracterização da rede eléctrica. Estudos revelam que os custos directos relacionados com perda de qualidade da energia eléctrica podem representar cerca de 1,5 % do PIB nacional. Para além destes, tem-se adicionalmente os custos indirectos o que se traduz num problema que necessita de minimização. No contexto da minimização dos danos causados pela degradação de energia, são utilizados equipamentos com capacidade de caracterizar a energia eléctrica através da sua monitorização. A utilização destes equipamentos têm subjacente normas de qualidade de energia, que impõem requisitos mínimos de modo a enquadrar e classificar eventos ocorridos na rede eléctrica. Deste modo obtêm-se dados coerentes provenientes de diferentes equipamentos. A monitorização dos parâmetros associados à energia eléctrica é frequentemente realizada através da instalação temporária dos esquipamentos na rede eléctrica, o que resulta numa observação de distúrbios a posteriori da sua ocasião. Esta metodologia não permite detectar o evento eléctrico original mas, quando muito, outros que se espera que sejam semelhantes ao ocorrido. Repare-se, no entanto, que existe um conjunto alargado de eventos que não são repetitivos, constituindo assim uma limitação aquela metodologia. Este trabalho descreve uma alternativa à metodologia de utilização tradicional dos equipamentos. A solução consiste em realizar um analisador de energia que faça parte integrante da instalação e permita a monitorização contínua da rede eléctrica. Este equipamento deve ter um custo suficientemente baixo para que seja justificável nesta utilização alternativa. O analisador de qualidade de energia a desenvolver tem por base o circuito integrado ADE7880, que permite obter um conjunto de parâmetros da qualidade de energia eléctrica de acordo com as normas de energia IEC 61000-4-30 e IEC 61000-4-7. Este analisador permite a recolha contínua de dados específicos da rede eléctrica, e que posteriormente serão armazenados e colocados à disposição do utilizador. Deste modo os dados recolhidos serão apresentados ao utilizador para consulta, de maneira a verificar, de modo continuo a eventual ocorrência das anomalias na rede. Os valores adquiridos podem ainda ser reutilizados vantajosamente para muitas outras finalidades tais como efectuar estudos sobre a optimização energética. O trabalho presentemente desenvolvido decorre de uma utilização alternativa do dispositivo WeSense Energy1 desenvolvido pela equipa da Evoleo Technologies. A presente vertente permite obter parâmetros determinados pelo ADE7880 tais como por exemplo harmónicos, eventos transitórios de tensão e corrente e o desfasamento entre fases, realizando assim uma nova versão do dispositivo, o WeSense Energy2. Adicionalmente este trabalho inclui a visualização remota dos através de uma página web.

An intelligent clustering scheme for distributed intrusion detection in vehicular cloud computing

In recent years, vehicular cloud computing (VCC) has emerged as a new technology which is being used in wide range of applications in the area of multimedia-based healthcare applications. In VCC, vehicles act as the intelligent machines which can be used to collect and transfer the healthcare data to the local, or global sites for storage, and computation purposes, as vehicles are having comparatively limited storage and computation power for handling the multimedia files. However, due to the dynamic changes in topology, and lack of centralized monitoring points, this information can be altered, or misused. These security breaches can result in disastrous consequences such as-loss of life or financial frauds. Therefore, to address these issues, a learning automata-assisted distributive intrusion detection system is designed based on clustering. Although there exist a number of applications where the proposed scheme can be applied but, we have taken multimedia-based healthcare application for illustration of the proposed scheme. In the proposed scheme, learning automata (LA) are assumed to be stationed on the vehicles which take clustering decisions intelligently and select one of the members of the group as a cluster-head. The cluster-heads then assist in efficient storage and dissemination of information through a cloud-based infrastructure. To secure the proposed scheme from malicious activities, standard cryptographic technique is used in which the auotmaton learns from the environment and takes adaptive decisions for identification of any malicious activity in the network. A reward and penalty is given by the stochastic environment where an automaton performs its actions so that it updates its action probability vector after getting the reinforcement signal from the environment. The proposed scheme was evaluated using extensive simulations on ns-2 with SUMO. The results obtained indicate that the proposed scheme yields an improvement of 10 % in detection rate of malicious nodes when compared with the existing schemes.

Distributed Sensing of Fluid Dynamic Phenomena with the XDense Sensor Grid Network

IEEE International Conference on Cyber Physical Systems, Networks and Applications (CPSNA'15), Hong Kong, China.

Partitioning the Network-on-Chip to Enable Virtualization on Many-Core Processors

6th International Real-Time Scheduling Open Problems Seminar (RTSOPS 2015), Lund, Sweden.

XDense: A Dense Grid Sensor Network for Distributed Feature Extraction

XXXIII Simpósio Brasileiro de Redes de Computadores e Sistemas Distribuídos (SBRC 2015). 15 to 19, May, 2015, III Workshop de Comunicação em Sistemas Embarcados Críticos. Vitória, Brasil.

Allocation of Parallel Real-Time Tasks in Distributed Multi-core Architectures supported by an FTT-SE Network

Distributed real-time systems such as automotive applications are becoming larger and more complex, thus, requiring the use of more powerful hardware and software architectures. Furthermore, those distributed applications commonly have stringent real-time constraints. This implies that such applications would gain in flexibility if they were parallelized and distributed over the system. In this paper, we consider the problem of allocating fixed-priority fork-join Parallel/Distributed real-time tasks onto distributed multi-core nodes connected through a Flexible Time Triggered Switched Ethernet network. We analyze the system requirements and present a set of formulations based on a constraint programming approach. Constraint programming allows us to express the relations between variables in the form of constraints. Our approach is guaranteed to find a feasible solution, if one exists, in contrast to other approaches based on heuristics. Furthermore, approaches based on constraint programming have shown to obtain solutions for these type of formulations in reasonable time.

Swordfish: an Autonomous Surface Vehicle for Network Centric Operations

The design and development of the swordfish autonomous surface vehicle (ASV) system is discussed. Swordfish is an ocean capable 4.5 m long catamaran designed for network centric operations (with ocean and air going vehicles and human operators). In the basic configuration, Swordfish is both a survey vehicle and a communications node with gateways for broadband, Wi-Fi and GSM transports and underwater acoustic modems. In another configuration, Swordfish mounts a docking station for the autonomous underwater vehicle Isurus from Porto University. Swordfish has an advanced control architecture for multi-vehicle operations with mixed initiative interactions (human operators are allowed to interact with the control loops).

Eco-epidemiological aspects of Trypanosoma cruzi, Trypanosoma rangeli and their vector (Rhodnius pallescens) in Panama

The eco-epidemiology of T. cruzi infection was investigated in the Eastern border of the Panama Canal in Central Panama. Between 1999 and 2000, 1110 triatomines were collected: 1050 triatomines (94.6%) from palm trees, 27 (2.4%) from periurban habitats and 33 (3.0%) inside houses. All specimens were identified as R. pallescens. There was no evidence of vector domiciliation. Salivary glands from 380 R. pallescens revealed a trypanosome natural infection rate of 7.6%, while rectal ampoule content from 373 triatomines was 45%. Isoenzyme profiles on isolated trypanosomes demonstrated that 85.4% (n = 88) were T. cruzi and 14.6% (n = 15) were T. rangeli. Blood meal analysis from 829 R. pallescens demonstrated a zoophilic vector behavior, with opossums as the preferential blood source. Seroprevalence in human samples from both study sites was less than 2%. Our results demonstrate that T. cruzi survives in the area in balanced association with R. pallescens, and with several different species of mammals in their natural niches. However, the area is an imminent risk of infection for its population, consequently it is important to implement a community educational program regarding disease knowledge and control measures.

Towards the Development of XDense, A Sensor Network for Dense Sensing

Poster in 12th European Conference on Wireless Sensor Networks (EWSN 2015). 9 to 11, Feb, 2015, pp 24-25. Porto, Portugal.

A Triatoma maculata (Hemiptera, Reduviidae, Triatominae) population from Roraima, Amazon region, Brazil, has some bionomic characteristics of a potential Chagas disease vector

Even though Chagas disease is rare in the Brazilian Amazon, the conditions for the establishment of domiciliated cycles prevail in many areas where triatomines are of frequent occurrence. In Roraima, a previous serological and entomological survey in three agricultural settlements showed the existence of all transmission cycle elements, i.e., individuals infected by Trypanosoma cruzi, triatomine species previously found harboring T. cruzi in the broader Amazon region of neighboring countries and, domicile/ peridomicile conditions favorable to triatomine colonization. Triatoma maculata was the most frequent species, found in chicken houses in the peridomicile and sporadically within residences. Aiming to investigate the possibility of T. maculata to possess the potentiality to transmit T. cruzi in the area, bionomic characteristics were studied under laboratory conditions. These were feeding frequency, time for defecation after a blood meal, time elapsed in voluntary fasting pre- and pos-ecdysis, moulting time periods, pre-oviposition and oviposition periods and index of oviposition, incubation period, egg viability, longevity and mortality rate. Results show that the Passarão population of T. maculata should be considered a potential vector of T. cruzi since it shows a capacity to infest artificial ecotopes in the peridomicile, to carry out large number of meals during the nymphal cycle, to have a relatively short developmental cycle capable of producing 2.9 generations/year, to blood source eclecticism, to defecate immediately after the blood meal while still on the host and to the fact that has been previously found naturally infected by T.cruzi.