Analysis of total visual and CCD V-broadband observations of Comet C/1995 O1 (Hale-Bopp): 1995-2001

We developed a general method for determination of water production rates from groundbased visual observations and applied it to Comet Hale-Bopp. Our main objective is to extend the method to include total visual magnitude observations obtained with CCD detector and V filter in the analysis of total visual magnitudes. We compare the CCD V-broadband careful observations of Liller [Liller, W. Pre-perihelion CCD photometry of Comet 1995 01 (Hale-Bopp). Planet. Space Sci. 45, 1505-1513, 1997; Liller, W. CCD photometry of Comet C/1995 O1 (Hale-Bopp): 1995-2000. Int. Comet Quart. 23(3), 93-97, 2001] with the total visual magnitude observations from experienced international observers found in the International Comet Quarterly (ICQ) archive. A data set of similar to 400 CCD observations covering about the same 6 years time span of the similar to 12,000 ICQ selected total visual magnitude observations were used in the analysis. A least-square method applied to the water production rates, yields power laws as a function of the heliocentric distances for the pre- and post-perihelion phases. The average dimension of the nucleus as well as its effective active area is determined and compared with values published in the literature. (C) 2009 COSPAR. Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

DETECTABILITY AND ERROR ESTIMATION IN ORBITAL FITS OF RESONANT EXTRASOLAR PLANETS

We estimate the conditions for detectability of two planets in a 2/1 mean-motion resonance from radial velocity data, as a function of their masses, number of observations and the signal-to-noise ratio. Even for a data set of the order of 100 observations and standard deviations of the order of a few meters per second, we find that Jovian-size resonant planets are difficult to detect if the masses of the planets differ by a factor larger than similar to 4. This is consistent with the present population of real exosystems in the 2/1 commensurability, most of which have resonant pairs with similar minimum masses, and could indicate that many other resonant systems exist, but are currently beyond the detectability limit. Furthermore, we analyze the error distribution in masses and orbital elements of orbital fits from synthetic data sets for resonant planets in the 2/1 commensurability. For various mass ratios and number of data points we find that the eccentricity of the outer planet is systematically overestimated, although the inner planet`s eccentricity suffers a much smaller effect. If the initial conditions correspond to small-amplitude oscillations around stable apsidal corotation resonances, the amplitudes estimated from the orbital fits are biased toward larger amplitudes, in accordance to results found in real resonant extrasolar systems.

Short-term effects of gamma ray bursts on Earth

The aim of the present work is to study the potential short-term atmospheric and biospheric influence of Gamma Ray Bursts on the Earth. We focus in the ultraviolet flash at planet`s surface, which occurs as a result of the retransmission of the gamma radiation through the atmosphere. This would be the only important short-term effect on life. We mostly consider Archean and Proterozoic eons, and for completeness we also comment on the Phanerozoic. Therefore, in our study we consider atmospheres with oxygen levels ranging from 10(-5) to 1 of the present atmospheric level, representing different moments in the oxygen rise history. Ecological consequences and some strategies to estimate their importance are outlined.

A carbon isotope challenge to the snowball Earth

The snowball Earth hypothesis postulates that the planet was entirely covered by ice for millions of years in the Neoproterozoic era, in a self-enhanced glaciation caused by the high albedo of the ice-covered planet. In a hard-snowball picture, the subsequent rapid unfreezing resulted from an ultra-greenhouse event attributed to the buildup of volcanic carbon dioxide (CO(2)) during glaciation(1). High partial pressures of atmospheric CO(2) (p(CO2); from 20,000 to 90,000 p. p. m. v.) in the aftermath of the Marinoan glaciation (similar to 635 Myr ago) have been inferred from both boron and triple oxygen isotopes(2,3). These p(CO2) values are 50 to 225 times higher than present-day levels. Here, we re-evaluate these estimates using paired carbon isotopic data for carbonate layers that cap Neoproterozoic glacial deposits and are considered to record post-glacial sea level rise(1). The new data reported here for Brazilian cap carbonates, together with previous ones for time-equivalent units(4-8), provide p(CO2) estimates lower than 3,200 p. p. m. v.-and possibly as low as the current value of similar to 400 p. p. m. v. Our new constraint, and our reinterpretation of the boron and triple oxygen isotope data, provide a completely different picture of the late Neoproterozoic environment, with low atmospheric concentrations of carbon dioxide and oxygen that are inconsistent with a hard-snowball Earth.

The seaweed flora of Admiralty Bay, King George Island, Antarctic

Admiralty Bay is located on the western side of King George Island. Although several research teams of different nationalities have carried out surveys in the region for decades, there are only two publications dealing with the seaweed flora of the bay. Here, we report on a taxonomic survey of the seaweeds we collected during the 25th Brazilian Antarctic Expedition (December 2006/November 2007). We discovered 42 species (21 Rhodophyta, 14 Phaeophyceae, and 7 Chlorophyta), corresponding to an increase of about 31% in the seaweed biodiversity hitherto known for the region. Considering that the Antarctic Peninsula, adjacent to King George Island seems to be one of the most rapidly warming spots on the planet, this kind of survey may provide a valuable tool for detecting eventual changes in seaweed biodiversity.

Examining Visitor Attitudes and Motivations at a Space Science Centre

The H.R. MacMillan Space Centre is a multi-faceted organization whose mission is to educate, inspire and evoke a sense of wonder about the universe, our planet and space exploration. As a popular, Vancouver science centre, it faces the same range of challenges and issues as other major attractions: how does the Space Centre maintain a healthy public attendance in an increasingly competitive market where visitors continue to be presented with an increasingly rich range of choices for their leisure spending and entertainment dollars?This front-end study investigated visitor attitudes, thoughts and preconceptions on the topic of space and astronomy. It also examined visitors’ motivations for coming to a space science centre. Useful insights were obtained which will be applied to improve future programme content and exhibit development.

Öppna arenor och slutna rum : några kommunikationskonsulter i Dalarna ser på opinionsbildning

Syftet med denna uppsats är att ta reda på hur lokala kommunikationskonsulter i Falun/Borlänge-regionen ser på opinionsbildning via professionella konsulter. De centrala begrepp som avhandlas är PR, opinionsbildning och lobbying.Den teoretiska ram som omger undersökningen består av de teoribyggen som skapats av Jürgen Habermas, James E. Grunig och Larsåke Larsson. Habermas ställer sig tveksam till den demokratiska nyttan av professionell opinionsbildning, Grunig är mer positiv och Larsson ser både för- och nackdelar med PR-verksamheten. Larssons undersökning av opinionskonsulter från 2005 refereras också.Undersökningen bygger på intervjuer med ett antal kommunikationskonsulter verksamma i Falun och Borlänge. Den lokala marknaden för opinionsbildande uppdrag diskuteras, men också huruvida politiska uppdrag förser byråerna med politisk färg. Huruvida medarbetarnas engagemang är viktigt och hur hög statusen på opinionsbildande uppdrag är ventileras, samt vilka arbetsmetoder som används. Intervjuerna behandlar också förekomsten av lobbying på lokal nivå. Till slut redogör de intervjuade för sin syn på hur opinionsbildning, PR och lobbying via konsulter påverkar demokratin.Under slutsatser diskuteras resultatet i relation till den teoretiska ramen. Att PR- och reklambranscherna alltmer växer samman och att opinionsbildning är ett vanligt inslag i många projekt är ett faktum som också skymtat fram i den teoretiska ramen. Men reklam- och PR-metoder integreras också i politiken, på gott och ont. Följaktligen växer den gråzon som finns mellan de olika typerna av kommunikation och mellan opinionsbildande och icke-opinionsbildande uppdrag. Det försvårar gränsdragning och tydlighet, men skapar nya kreativa möjligheter.Att den ökade användningen av kommunikationskonsulter kanske kan bidra till en orättvis fördel för resursstarka organisationer diskuteras. Ny teknik, t.ex. Internet, kan dock eventuellt vara den motvikt som gör det möjligt även för resurssvaga grupper att höras i det offentliga samtalet. Kommunikation som maktfaktor tas även upp utifrån termer som lobbying och medias dagordningsfunktion.Några aspekter av den outnyttjade potential som PR har ventileras också. PR som metod är en outnyttjad resurs på det lokala planet, något som kan bero både på okunskap hos de lokala kunderna och ett traditionellt arbetssätt hos byråerna. Utifrån intervjusvaren framkommer att både byråerna, deras kunder och media på landsorten skulle gynnas av ett större samarbete.Resultaten av intervjuerna stöder mycket i den teoretiska ramen, medan somligt förkastas. Som sammanfattning kan sägas att opinionsbildning via konsulter kan användas för både gott och ont. Vilket som blir resultatet handlar som oftast om etik, ansvar, öppenhet och professionalitet.ABSTRACTThe primary target for this report is to find out how communication consultants in the region of Falun and Borlänge views the practice of establishing public opinions by using professional public relations consultants. The concepts in focus are PR, the moulding of public opinion and lobbying.The theoretical framework surrounding this report is the writings by Jürgen Habermas, James E. Grunig and Larsåke Larsson. Habermas has doubts as to the democratic use of professional consultants working with public opinions, Grunig has a somewhat more positive approach and Larsson sees both advantages and disadvantages in a democratic sense with the PR industry. Larssons research concerning consultants working with the moulding of public opinions from 2005 is also reviewed. The research is carried out by interviewing some communication consultants working in the Falun /Borlänge- area. The local market for commissions concerning public opinions is discussed, but also if and how political commissions are forcing a political stamp upon the firms engaging in such commissions. The importance of personal commitment in the consultants and the level of prominence commissions concerning public opinion has in the business is discussed, but also which methods is used and preferred. The interviews also deal with the practice of lobbying in the local arena. Finally the participants state their views on how the moulding of public opinion, PR and lobbying effects the democracy. Conclusively, the result is put in relation to the theories earlier mentioned. The public relations market is merging with the advertising business, that is a fact, and establishing public opinion is a common element in a lot of projects. But methods used for advertising and PR are also integrated in the political sphere, for good and bad. That has made the distinction between different kinds of communication harder, thereby enhancing the difficulties of establishing boundaries and achieving clarity. Yet at the same time it facilitates new creative opportunities.The growing use of communication consultants may contribute to unfair advantages for organisations with large economic resources. New technical development though, such as the Internet for example, may prove to simplify communication for groups with lesser economic power. Communication as an aspect of power is being discussed in terms of lobbying and the agenda setting power of media.Some aspects of the unused potential that lies within PR are also in focus in this report. PR as a method is an unused resource in the local market, which can be due to the local clients lack of knowledge but also to the traditional work carried out by the communication firms. The findings of the interviews show that both communication firms, their clients and the local media would benefit from greater cooperation.The theoretical base in this work is mostly supported by the interviews, though a few of the findings does not agree. The moulding of public opinions by professional consultants can be used for both good and bad. What the result will be is, not surprisingly, a question of ethics, responsibility, openness and professionalism.

Skolk : en undersökning om hur personal på en skola tänker kring ämnet

Skolk innebär olovlig frånvaro från skolan och det finns undersökningar som visar på att skolk är ett uttryck för ungdomens en i hög grad riskfylld livssituation där misslyckandet med skolan ofta leder till missbruk och kriminalitet. Det har visat sig att bland skolkarna finns både kriminalitet, droger, tobak, ungdomskriminalitet och andra problem överrepresenterat jämfört med icke skolkande elever. Det finns olika svar på var skolk beror på enligt vad som framkommer vid undersökningar bland elever, men den vanligaste orsaken är att bland eleverna som skolkade är det vanligt med bristande tillsyn från föräldrarna och missbruk hos föräldrarna, så kallade familjerelaterade faktorer. När det gäller skolrelaterade faktorer till skolk är bristen på uppmuntran att närvara i skolan en faktor som påverkar och andra förklaringar är missnöje med skolpersonal, lektioner och attityder hos personal och andra elever. Syftet med detta examensarbete är att utifrån kvalitativa intervjuer med rektor, lärare och personal inom elevhälsan undersöka hur skolkproblematik hanteras och vilka tankar som finns kring skolk. För att få fram ett relevant underlag har jag som metod valt att göra en kvalitativ studie som står för forskning där datainsamlingen fokuserar på data i form av till exempel kvalitativa intervjuer. Jag har valt att intervjua personal på en skola i Mellansverige, år 6-9, och bland informanterna finns både lärare, rektor och personal ur elevhälsan. Jag har också använt mig av litteratur, rapporter och avhandlingar som berör skolk som jag applicerat på intervjusvaren i analysen. Jag kom fram till att skolpersonalen visar en god vilja att arbeta för att elever inte ska skolka då det finns mycket negativt med ett sådant beteende. Dels är skolk en indikator på att något inte är bra kring eleven, oftast något på det sociala planet, och dels kan det leda till asociala beteenden som kriminalitet. Oro finns också för att en elev som skolkar påverkar andra att göra likadant och dessutom kan elever som skolkar få problem att sköta sitt arbete som vuxen. Dessutom har jag under arbetes gång utvecklat flera idéer kring fortsatt forskning på området.

Tystnaden i ljudfilm : En studie i Jacques Tatis ”Mon Uncle”

Hellström, Staffan. Tystnaden i ljudfilm - En studie i Jacques Tatis ”Mon Uncle”. C-uppsats. Falun: Institutionen för kultur & medier, Högskolan Dalarna. HT-2008Denna uppsats undersöker Jacques Tatis användning av tystnaden i samspel med ljud och hur de komiska situationerna uppkommer genom detta. Dess syfte är att öka kunskapen för ljudläggare hur man kan använda tystnaden i samverkan med ljud för att uppnå önskat resultat. Den har även som syfte att visa hur specifikt Jacques Tati åstadkommer detta. Uppsatsen innehåller en kvalitativ närläsning, analys och personlig tolkning av fyra scener ur Tatis film ”Mon Uncle” från 1958. Undersökningen är genomförd med ett hermeneutiskt synsätt. Tystnaden definieras som något som endast kan förekomma när ljud existerar.Utredningen genomförs med teoretiskt stöd av Bela Balázs teorier om ljud i film samt Robert Bressons anteckningar om filmkonsten. Bressons filmer är väldigt liknande Tatis filmer på det tekniska planet och är därför relevanta för jämförelser.Sammanfattningsvis kan det sägas att Tati ljudmässigt skapar sina komiska situationer genom ett samspel mellan ljud, tystnad och ett repeterande av monotona ljud. I likhet med Bresson är han intresserad att lyfta fram det osedda och göra oss uppmärksamma på tystnaden.

Edgar Rice Burroughs' Martian Novels as an Early Paradigm of Racial Toleration

The Martian novels of Edgar Rice Burroughs (ERB) provide an early paradigm of racial toleration by displacing the heterogeneous race conflicts of the U. S. to an interplanetary location. There, the protagonist John Carter, representing Burroughs himself, introduces a level of racial acceptance and integration almost unheard of on the Earth of that era (the early twentieth century).

Estimativa da precipitação através de técnicas de sensoriamento remoto : estudo de caso para o estado do Rio Grande do Sul

A quantificação da precipitação é dificultada pela extrema aleatoriedade do fenômeno na natureza. Os métodos convencionais para mensuração da precipitação atuam no sentido de espacializar a precipitação mensurada pontualmente em postos pluviométricos para toda a área de interesse e, desta forma, uma rede com elevado número de postos bem distribuídos em toda a área de interesse é necessária para um resultado satisfatório. No entanto, é notória a escassez de postos pluviométricos e a má distribuição espacial dos poucos existentes, não somente no Brasil, mas em vastas áreas do globo. Neste contexto, as estimativas da precipitação com técnicas de sensoriamento remoto e geoprocessamento pretendem potencializar a utilização dos postos pluviométricos existentes através de uma espacialização baseada em critérios físicos. Além disto, o sensoriamento remoto é a ferramenta mais capaz para gerar estimativas de precipitação nos oceanos e nas vastas áreas continentais desprovidas de qualquer tipo de informação pluviométrica. Neste trabalho investigou-se o emprego de técnicas de sensoriamento remoto e geoprocessamento para estimativas de precipitação no sul do Brasil. Três algoritmos computadorizados foram testados, sendo utilizadas as imagens dos canais 1, 3 e 4 (visível, vapor d’água e infravermelho) do satélite GOES 8 (Geostacionary Operational Environmental Satellite – 8) fornecidas pelo Centro de Previsão de Tempo e Estudos Climáticos do Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais. A área de estudo compreendeu todo o estado do Rio Grande do Sul, onde se utilizaram os dados pluviométricos diários derivados de 142 postos no ano de 1998. Os algoritmos citados buscam identificar as nuvens precipitáveis para construir modelos estatísticos que correlacionem as precipitações diária e decendial observadas em solo com determinadas características físicas das nuvens acumuladas durante o mesmo período de tempo e na mesma posição geográfica de cada pluviômetro considerado. Os critérios de decisão que norteiam os algoritmos foram baseados na temperatura do topo das nuvens (através do infravermelho termal), reflectância no canal visível, características de vizinhança e no plano de temperatura x gradiente de temperatura Os resultados obtidos pelos modelos estatísticos são expressos na forma de mapas de precipitação por intervalo de tempo que podem ser comparados com mapas de precipitação obtidas por meios convencionais.

Economia dos recursos naturais, desenvolvimento sustentável e teoria do crescimento econômico : uma aplicação para o Brasil

Este trabalho tem como meta uma exposição sucinta sobre as relações entre economia e meio ambiente, que foram, durante muito tempo, ignoradas ou relegadas a um plano secundário pela grande maioria dos economistas. Essas relações passaram a ser melhor investigadas após os choques do petróleo na década de 70, que mudaram radicalmente o enfoque sobre o binômio economia-meio ambiente, contribuindo também para essa mudança os efeitos cada vez mais visíveis causados pela poluição desenfreada do planeta. Discute-se também sobre o conceito de desenvolvimento sustentável, bem como sobre sua evolução ao longo do tempo e as duas visões concorrentes sobre essa questão, além de abordar, resumidamente, a qualidade ambiental e os recursos naturais de propriedade comum como bens públicos. O trabalho também traça um paralelo entre os modelos de crescimento neoclássicos e os modelos de crescimento endógeno, no que se refere à incorporação de variáveis ambientais, como poluição, energia e recursos naturais. Como contribuição empírica para a conexão entre capital natural e crescimento econômico, procuramos estimar a relação entre estoque de terras, empregado como proxy para o capital natural, e o crescimento da renda per capita para as unidades federativas brasileiras, a partir de 1970, por meio de uma relação cúbica empregando dados de painel. Verificamos que, quando se consideram, para o cálculo do índice de expansão agrícola, os dados referentes à área agrícola utilizada, que é a soma da área agrícola permanente mais a área agrícola temporária, o modelo empregado é significativo e bem especificado. Neste caso, constatamos um padrão de “explosão e quebra” do processo de crescimento econômico associado à expansão da lavoura agrícola das unidades federativas brasileiras.

Governança global e redes globais de políticas públicas: atores brasileiros no cenário das mudanças climáticas

Tendo por base o desenvolvimento sustentável e a mitigação das mudanças climáticas, políticas públicas estão sendo elaboradas para reverter a crescente degradação dos ecossistemas naturais, permitindo novas formas de cooperação na interface global. As recentes tendências da governança indicam que o foco mudou das atividades entre governos para as iniciativas multisetoriais, da governança em nível nacional para a governança em vários níveis internacionais e de um procedimento formal e legalista para uma abordagem mais informal, participativa e integrada, surgindo, como um possível componente dessa nova estrutura, as redes globais de política pública. Os atores brasileiros estão cada vez mais aderindo a essas redes globais de políticas voltadas à redução das mudanças do clima com seus projetos e políticas de desenvolvimento limpo, indicando que modelos estruturais e relacionais como esse podem ser considerados instrumentos viáveis de governança global quando a questão é a minimização dos riscos ambientais que ameaçam o planeta. Diante disso, foi definido como objetivo do estudo verificar a institucionalização da rede global de políticas públicas voltada à mitigação das mudanças climáticas entre os atores brasileiros relacionados com as políticas de redução e/ou compensação das emissões de gases de efeito estufa. Para isso, foi realizada uma pesquisa bibliográfica sobre o tema de estudo e uma pesquisa empírica com os atores brasileiros do setor público, privado e organizações não-governamentais envolvidos na rede global de políticas públicas. Os resultados mostraram que dos elementos analisados no intuito de verificar a institucionalização da rede entre os atores brasileiros, somente parte deles apontaram para a formação dessa estrutura. Notou-se uma tentativa de institucionalizar a rede, entretanto, muito ainda há de ser desenvolvido para uma perfeita institucionalização.

O futuro do emprego sob a ótica de uma nova migração de riquezas entre nações à luz de um mundo globalizado: um debate entre Paul Kennedy e Domenico de Masi

The final objective of this work will be to develop a study collating the theses defended for the historian Paul Kennedy and sociologist Domenico De Masi, presenting the ma in factors that influence in the process of migration of the jobs for the developed countries or in its maintenance in the countries in development, verifying if it has signals of flexibility in such process as reply to the fast technological development andl or the expansion of the "creative leisure". The present work has for purpose to search not them last and projected taxes of growth of work, but yes the factors that appear less in the threshold of related centuries XX and XXI to the human work and a possible route of migration of the existing jobs in the developed countries for the nations richest of the planet what it would lead, for consequence, to a still bigger inequality it enters the poor nations richest and, leading to a social collapse caused by the aggravation of the inequality in this distribution of income between the peoples.

Teoria de carteiras e a alocação de parques eólicos offshore

The consumption of energy on the planet is currently based on fossil fuels. They are responsible for adverse effects on the environment. Renewables propose solutions for this scenario, but must face issues related to the capacity of the power supply. Wind energy offshore emerging as a promising alternative. The speed and stability are greater winds over oceans, but the variability of these may cause inconvenience to the generation of electric power fluctuations. To reduce this, a combination of wind farms geographically distributed was proposed. The greater the distance between them, the lower the correlation between the wind velocity, increasing the likelihood that together achieve more stable power system with less fluctuations in power generation. The efficient use of production capacity of the wind park however, depends on their distribution in marine environments. The objective of this research was to analyze the optimal allocation of wind farms offshore on the east coast of the U.S. by Modern Portfolio Theory. The Modern Portfolio Theory was used so that the process of building portfolios of wind energy offshore contemplate the particularity of intermittency of wind, through calculations of return and risk of the production of wind farms. The research was conducted with 25.934 observations of energy produced by wind farms 11 hypothetical offshore, from the installation of 01 simulated ocean turbine with a capacity of 5 MW. The data show hourly time resolution and covers the period between January 1, 1998 until December 31, 2002. Through the Matlab R software, six were calculated minimum variance portfolios, each for a period of time distinct. Given the inequality of the variability of wind over time, set up four strategies rebalancing to evaluate the performance of the related portfolios, which enabled us to identify the most beneficial to the stability of the wind energy production offshore. The results showed that the production of wind energy for 1998, 1999, 2000 and 2001 should be considered by the portfolio weights calculated for the same periods, respectively. Energy data for 2002 should use the weights derived from the portfolio calculated in the previous time period. Finally, the production of wind energy in the period 1998-2002 should also be weighted by 1/11. It follows therefore that the portfolios found failed to show reduced levels of variability when compared to the individual production of wind farms hypothetical offshore