A never-ending debate: Demand versus supply water policies. A CGE analysis for Catalonia

Water scarcity is a long-standing problem in Catalonia, as there are significant differences in the spatial and temporal distribution of water through the territory. There has consequently been a debate for many years about whether the solution to water scarcity must be considered in terms of efficiency or equity, the role that the public sector must play and the role that market-based instruments should play in water management. The aim of this paper is to use a Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model to analyze the advantages and disadvantages associated with different policy instruments, from both a supply and a demand viewpoint, which can be applied to water management in Catalonia. We also introduce an ecological sector in our CGE model, allowing us to analyze the environmental impact of the alternative policies simulated. The calibration of the exogenous variables of the CGE model is performed by using a Social Accounting Matrix (SAM) for the Catalan economy with 2001 data. The results suggest that taking into account the principle of sustainability of the resource, the policy debate between supply and demand in water policies is obsolete, and a new combination of policies is required to respect the different values associated with water. Keywords: Water Policies; Computable General Equilibrium Model; Economic Effects; Environmental Effects.

Gérard Grisey : la cuantificación temporal deducida de los procesos perceptivos

En el presente trabajo, tratamos diferentes perspectivas sobre la poética, estrategias compositivas y repercusión perceptiva del tiempo en la música de Gérard Grisey. En el primer capítulo, abordamos la concepción del tiempo como unidad y proporcionalidad duracional y su relación con otros parámetros musicales. A continuación, presentamos tres enfoques sobre el tiempo que emergen de la poética de Grisey y del análisis de sus obras: la ruptura con la proporcionalidad duracional y la relación entre tiempo y sonido, el concepto de cambio de escala temporal y la analogía entre tiempo y cosmos. En el segundo capítulo, proponemos tres categorías temporales basadas principalmente en el concepto de previsibilidad: tiempo no lineal, tiempo lineal y tiempo procesual. En el tercer y último capítulo, exponemos los fundamentos de la Teoría de la Información, su relación con el discurso de Grisey y su método de aplicación.

Population genetic analysis of Colombian Trypanosoma cruzi isolates revealed by enzyme electrophoretic profiles

Although Colombia presents an enormous biological diversity, few studies have been conducted on the population genetics of Trypanosoma cruzi. This study was carried out with 23 Colombian stocks of this protozoa analyzed for 13 isoenzymatic loci. The Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium, the genetic diversity and heterogeneity, the genetic relationships and the possible spatial structure of these 23 Colombian stocks of T. cruzi were estimated. The majority of results obtained are in agreement with a clonal population structure. Nevertheless, two aspects expected in a clonal structure were not discovered in the Colombian T. cruzi stocks. There was an absence of given zymodemes over-represented from a geographical point of view and the presumed temporal stabilizing selective phenomena was not observed either in the Colombian stocks sampled several times through the years of the study. Some hypotheses are discussed in order to explain the results found.

Spatio-temporal dynamics and transition from asymptotic equilibrium to bounded oscillations in Chrysomya albiceps (Diptera, Calliphoridae)

The sensitivity of parameters that govern the stability of population size in Chrysomya albiceps and describe its spatial dynamics was evaluated in this study. The dynamics was modeled using a density-dependent model of population growth. Our simulations show that variation in fecundity and mainly in survival has marked effect on the dynamics and indicates the possibility of transitions from one-point equilibrium to bounded oscillations. C. albiceps exhibits a two-point limit cycle, but the introduction of diffusive dispersal induces an evident qualitative shift from two-point limit cycle to a one fixed-point dynamics. Population dynamics of C. albiceps is here compared to dynamics of Cochliomyia macellaria, C. megacephala and C. putoria.

Temporal variability of antibiotics fluxes in wastewater and contribution from hospitals.

Significant quantities of antibiotics are used in all parts of the globe to treat diseases with bacterial origins. After ingestion, antibiotics are excreted by the patient and transmitted in due course to the aquatic environment. This study examined temporal fluctuations (monthly time scale) in antibiotic sources (ambulatory sales and data from a hospital dispensary) for Lausanne, Switzerland. Source variability (i.e., antibiotic consumption, monthly data for 2006-2010) were examined in detail for nine antibiotics--azithromycin, ciprofloxacin, clarithromycin, clindamycin, metronidazole, norfloxacin, ofloxacin, sulfamethoxazole and trimethoprim, from which two main conclusions were reached. First, some substances--azithromycin, clarithromycin, ciprofloxacin--displayed high seasonality in their consumption, with the winter peak being up to three times higher than the summer minimum. This seasonality in consumption resulted in seasonality in Predicted Environmental Concentrations (PECs). In addition, the seasonality in PECs was also influenced by that in the base wastewater flow. Second, the contribution of hospitals to the total load of antibiotics reaching the Lausanne Wastewater Treatment Plant (WTP) fluctuated markedly on a monthly time scale, but with no seasonal pattern detected. That is, there was no connection between fluctuations in ambulatory and hospital consumption for the substances investigated.

Thermomechanical analysis of strain localization in a ductile detachment zone

At the latitude of the Thor-Odin dome (British Columbia) the Columbia River Detachment defines the eastern margin of the Shuswap metamorphic core complex and localizes in a 1 km thick muscovite-bearing quartzite mylonite. We present a combined Ar-40/Ar-39, (micro) structural, and oxygen isotope study of the deformation history in the detachment and evaluate the spatial and temporal relationships between microstructure formation and localization of strain. High-precision Ar-40/Ar-39 geochronology from different levels in the mylonite delineates a pattern of increasingly younger (49.0 to 47.9 Ma) deformation ages in deeper levels of the mylonitic footwall. The correlation of Ar-40/Ar-39 ages with decreasing deformation temperatures (similar to 550 degrees-400 degrees C) in the top 200 m of the mylonite indicates that deformation migrated downward from the contact with the hanging wall. Strain localization was diachronous in progressively deeper levels of the footwall and was likely controlled by fluid-assisted strain hardening due to advective heat removal and contemporaneous reaction weakening due to dissolution-reprecipitation of white mica. The observed constant high-stress microstructures across the entire detachment indicate that flow stress was buffered by the interplay of strain rate and temperature, where high strain rates at elevated temperature produced the same microstructure as lower strain rates under decreasing temperature conditions. The combined data suggest that the complex interplay among temporally nonuniform rates of footwall exhumation, heat advection, and embrittlement by meteoric fluids strongly determines the thermomechanical behavior of extensional detachments.

Spatio-temporal trends of mortality in small areas of Southern Spain

Background: Most mortality atlases show static maps from count data aggregated over time. This procedure has several methodological problems and serious limitations for decision making in Public Health. The evaluation of health outcomes, including mortality, should be approached from a dynamic time perspective that is specific for each gender and age group. At the moment, researches in Spain do not provide a dynamic image of the population’s mortality status from a spatio-temporal point of view. The aim of this paper is to describe the spatial distribution of mortality from all causes in small areas of Andalusia (Southern Spain) and evolution over time from 1981 to 2006. Methods: A small-area ecological study was devised using the municipality as the unit for analysis. Two spatiotemporal hierarchical Bayesian models were estimated for each age group and gender. One of these was used to estimate the specific mortality rate, together with its time trends, and the other to estimate the specific rate ratio for each municipality compared with Spain as a whole. Results: More than 97% of the municipalities showed a diminishing or flat mortality trend in all gender and age groups. In 2006, over 95% of municipalities showed male and female mortality specific rates similar or significantly lower than Spanish rates for all age groups below 65. Systematically, municipalities in Western Andalusia showed significant male and female mortality excess from 1981 to 2006 only in age groups over 65. Conclusions: The study shows a dynamic geographical distribution of mortality, with a different pattern for each year, gender and age group. This information will contribute towards a reflection on the past, present and future of mortality in Andalusia.

Application of compositional data analysis to geochemical data of marine sediments

In an earlier investigation (Burger et al., 2000) five sediment cores near the RodriguesTriple Junction in the Indian Ocean were studied applying classical statistical methods(fuzzy c-means clustering, linear mixing model, principal component analysis) for theextraction of endmembers and evaluating the spatial and temporal variation ofgeochemical signals. Three main factors of sedimentation were expected by the marinegeologists: a volcano-genetic, a hydro-hydrothermal and an ultra-basic factor. Thedisplay of fuzzy membership values and/or factor scores versus depth providedconsistent results for two factors only; the ultra-basic component could not beidentified. The reason for this may be that only traditional statistical methods wereapplied, i.e. the untransformed components were used and the cosine-theta coefficient assimilarity measure.During the last decade considerable progress in compositional data analysis was madeand many case studies were published using new tools for exploratory analysis of thesedata. Therefore it makes sense to check if the application of suitable data transformations,reduction of the D-part simplex to two or three factors and visualinterpretation of the factor scores would lead to a revision of earlier results and toanswers to open questions . In this paper we follow the lines of a paper of R. Tolosana-Delgado et al. (2005) starting with a problem-oriented interpretation of the biplotscattergram, extracting compositional factors, ilr-transformation of the components andvisualization of the factor scores in a spatial context: The compositional factors will beplotted versus depth (time) of the core samples in order to facilitate the identification ofthe expected sources of the sedimentary process.Kew words: compositional data analysis, biplot, deep sea sediments

An overview of the advantages and constraints of coded pattern projection techniques for autonomous navigation

The absolute necessity of obtaining 3D information of structured and unknown environments in autonomous navigation reduce considerably the set of sensors that can be used. The necessity to know, at each time, the position of the mobile robot with respect to the scene is indispensable. Furthermore, this information must be obtained in the least computing time. Stereo vision is an attractive and widely used method, but, it is rather limited to make fast 3D surface maps, due to the correspondence problem. The spatial and temporal correspondence among images can be alleviated using a method based on structured light. This relationship can be directly found codifying the projected light; then each imaged region of the projected pattern carries the needed information to solve the correspondence problem. We present the most significant techniques, used in recent years, concerning the coded structured light method

Genome-wide analysis of SREBP1 activity around the clock reveals its combined dependency on nutrient and circadian signals.

In mammals, the circadian clock allows them to anticipate and adapt physiology around the 24 hours. Conversely, metabolism and food consumption regulate the internal clock, pointing the existence of an intricate relationship between nutrient state and circadian homeostasis that is far from being understood. The Sterol Regulatory Element Binding Protein 1 (SREBP1) is a key regulator of lipid homeostasis. Hepatic SREBP1 function is influenced by the nutrient-response cycle, but also by the circadian machinery. To systematically understand how the interplay of circadian clock and nutrient-driven rhythm regulates SREBP1 activity, we evaluated the genome-wide binding of SREBP1 to its targets throughout the day in C57BL/6 mice. The recruitment of SREBP1 to the DNA showed a highly circadian behaviour, with a maximum during the fed status. However, the temporal expression of SREBP1 targets was not always synchronized with its binding pattern. In particular, different expression phases were observed for SREBP1 target genes depending on their function, suggesting the involvement of other transcription factors in their regulation. Binding sites for Hepatocyte Nuclear Factor 4 (HNF4) were specifically enriched in the close proximity of SREBP1 peaks of genes, whose expression was shifted by about 8 hours with respect to SREBP1 binding. Thus, the cross-talk between hepatic HNF4 and SREBP1 may underlie the expression timing of this subgroup of SREBP1 targets. Interestingly, the proper temporal expression profile of these genes was dramatically changed in Bmal1-/- mice upon time-restricted feeding, for which a rhythmic, but slightly delayed, binding of SREBP1 was maintained. Collectively, our results show that besides the nutrient-driven regulation of SREBP1 nuclear translocation, a second layer of modulation of SREBP1 transcriptional activity, strongly dependent from the circadian clock, exists. This system allows us to fine tune the expression timing of SREBP1 target genes, thus helping to temporally separate the different physiological processes in which these genes are involved.

Multivariate ARIMA Compositional Time Series Analysis

A compositional time series is obtained when a compositional data vector is observed atdifferent points in time. Inherently, then, a compositional time series is a multivariatetime series with important constraints on the variables observed at any instance in time.Although this type of data frequently occurs in situations of real practical interest, atrawl through the statistical literature reveals that research in the field is very much in itsinfancy and that many theoretical and empirical issues still remain to be addressed. Anyappropriate statistical methodology for the analysis of compositional time series musttake into account the constraints which are not allowed for by the usual statisticaltechniques available for analysing multivariate time series. One general approach toanalyzing compositional time series consists in the application of an initial transform tobreak the positive and unit sum constraints, followed by the analysis of the transformedtime series using multivariate ARIMA models. In this paper we discuss the use of theadditive log-ratio, centred log-ratio and isometric log-ratio transforms. We also presentresults from an empirical study designed to explore how the selection of the initialtransform affects subsequent multivariate ARIMA modelling as well as the quality ofthe forecasts

Cluster recognition in spatial-temporal sequences: The case of forest fires

Forest fire sequences can be modelled as a stochastic point process where events are characterized by their spatial locations and occurrence in time. Cluster analysis permits the detection of the space/time pattern distribution of forest fires. These analyses are useful to assist fire-managers in identifying risk areas, implementing preventive measures and conducting strategies for an efficient distribution of the firefighting resources. This paper aims to identify hot spots in forest fire sequences by means of the space-time scan statistics permutation model (STSSP) and a geographical information system (GIS) for data and results visualization. The scan statistical methodology uses a scanning window, which moves across space and time, detecting local excesses of events in specific areas over a certain period of time. Finally, the statistical significance of each cluster is evaluated through Monte Carlo hypothesis testing. The case study is the forest fires registered by the Forest Service in Canton Ticino (Switzerland) from 1969 to 2008. This dataset consists of geo-referenced single events including the location of the ignition points and additional information. The data were aggregated into three sub-periods (considering important preventive legal dispositions) and two main ignition-causes (lightning and anthropogenic causes). Results revealed that forest fire events in Ticino are mainly clustered in the southern region where most of the population is settled. Our analysis uncovered local hot spots arising from extemporaneous arson activities. Results regarding the naturally-caused fires (lightning fires) disclosed two clusters detected in the northern mountainous area.

Conceiving Comparative Policy Analysis : Implementing Air Quality Improvement Programs

The comparative analysis of air quality control policies provides an interesting field for studies of comparative policy analysis including program formulation and implementation processes. In European countries, the problem is comparable, whereas implementation structures, programs and policy impacts vary to a considerable extent. Analysis testing possibilities and constraints of air control policies under varying conditions are likely to contribute to a further development of a theory of policy analysis. This paper presents the analytical framework applied in a continuing empirical study explaining program formulation and implementation processes with respect to the different actors involved. Concrete emitter behavior can be explained by interaction processes at the very local level, by program elements of national legislation, and by structural constraints under which such programs are produced.

Analysis of Centrosome duplication in "Caenorhabditis elegans" : the role of "sas" genes

Abstract: The centrosome is the major microtubule organizing center (MTOC) of most animal cells. As such, it is essential for a number of processes, including polarized secretion or bipolar spindle assembly. Hence, centrosome number needs to be controlled precisely in coordination with DNA replication. Cells early in the cell cycle contain one centrosome that duplicates during S-phase to give rise to two centrosomes that organize a bipolar spindle during mitosis. A failure in this process is likely to engage the spindle assembly checkpoint and threaten genome stability. Despite its importance for normal and uncontrolled proliferation the mechanisms underlying centrosome duplication are still unclear. The Caenorhabditis elegans embryo is well suited to study the mechanisms of centrosome duplication. It allows for the analysis of cellular processes with high temporal and spatial resolution. Gene identification and inactivation techniques are very powerful and a wide set of mutant and transgenic strains facilitates analysis. My thesis project consisted of characterizing three sas-genes: sas-4, sas-5 and sas-¬6. Embryos lacking these genes fail to form a bipolar spindle, hence their name (spindle assembly). I established that sas-4(RNAi) and sas-6(RNAi) embryos do not form daughter centrioles and thus do not duplicate their centrosomes. Furthermore, I showed that both proteins localize to the cytoplasm and are strikingly enriched at centrioles throughout the cell cycle. By performing fluorescent recovery after photobleaching (FRAP) experiments and differentially labeling centrioles, I established that both proteins are recruited to centrioles once per cell cycle when daughter centrioles form. In contrast, SAS-5, PLK-1 and SPD-2 shuttle permanently between the cytoplasm and centrioles. By showing that SAS-5 and SAS-6 interact in vivo, I established a functional relationship between the proteins. Testing the putative human homologue of SAS-6 (HsSAS-6) and a distant relative of SAS-4 (CPAP), I was able to show that these proteins are required for centrosome duplication in human cells. In addition I found that overexpression of GFP¬HsSAS-6 leads to formation of extra centrosomes. In conclusion, we identified and gained important insights into proteins required for centrosome duplication in C. elegans and in human cells. Thus, our work contributes to further elucidate an important step of cell division in normal and malignant tissues. Eventually, this may allow for the development of novel diagnostic or therapeutic reagents to treat cancer patients. Résumé: Le centrosome est le principal centre organisateur des microtubules dans les cellules animales. De ce fait, il est essentiel pour un certain nombre de processus, comme l'adressage polarisé ou la mise en place d'un fuseau bipolaire. Le nombre de centrosome doit être contrôlé de façon précise et en coordination avec la réplication de l'ADN. Au début du cycle cellulaire, les cellules n'ont qu'un seul centrosome qui se duplique au cours de la phase S pour donner naissance à deux centrosomes qui forment le fuseau bipolaire pendant la mitose. Des défauts dans ce processus déclencheront probablement le "checkpoint" d'assemblage du fuseau et menaceront la stabilité du génome. Malgré leurs importances pour la prolifération normale ou incontrôlée des cellules, les mécanismes gouvernant la duplication des centrosomes restent obscures. L'embryon de Caenorhabditis elegans est bien adapté pour étudier les mécanismes de duplication des centrosomes. Il permet l'analyse des processus cellulaires avec une haute résolution spatiale et temporelle. L'identification des gènes et les techniques d'inactivation sont très puissantes et de larges collections de mutants et de lignées transgéniques facilitent les analyses. Mon projet de thèse a consisté à caractérisé trois gènes: sas-4, sas-5 et sas-6. Les embryons ne possédant pas ces gènes ne forment pas de fuseaux bipolaires, d'où leur nom (spindle assembly). J'ai établi que les embryons sas-4(RNAi) et sas-6(RNAi) ne forment pas de centrioles fils, et donc ne dupliquent pas leur centrosome. De plus, j'ai montré que les deux protéines sont localisées dans le cytoplasme et sont étonnamment enrichies aux centrioles tout le long du cycle cellulaire. En réalisant des expériences de FRAP (fluorscence recovery after photobleaching) et en marquant différentiellement les centrioles, j'ai établi que ces deux protéines sont recrutées une fois par cycle cellulaire aux centrioles, au moment de la duplication. Au contraire, SAS-5, PLK-1 et SPD-2 oscillent en permanence entre le cytoplasme et les centrioles. En montrant que SAS-5 et SAS-6 interagissent in vivo, j'ai établi une relation fonctionnelle entre les deux protéines. En testant les homologues humains putatifs de SAS-6 (HsSAS-6) et de SAS-4 (CPAP), j'ai été capable de montrer que ces protéines étaient aussi requises pour la duplication des centrosomes dans les cellules humaines. De plus, j'ai montré que la surexpression de GFP-HsSAS-6 entrainait la formation de centrosomes surnuméraires. En conclusion, nous avons identifié et progressé dans la compréhension de protéines requises pour la duplication des centrosomes chez C. elegans et dans les cellules humaines. Ainsi, notre travail contribue à mieux élucider une étape importante du la division cellulaire dans les cellules normales et malignes. A terme, ceci devrait aider au développement de nouveaux diagnostics ou de traitements thérapeuthiques pour soigner les malades du cancer.