969 resultados para Quantitative Trait, Heritable
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Whether contemporary human populations are still evolving as a result of natural selection has been hotly debated. For natural selection to cause evolutionary change in a trait, variation in the trait must be correlated with fitness and be genetically heritable and there must be no genetic constraints to evolution. These conditions have rarely been tested in human populations. In this study, data from a large twin cohort were used to assess whether selection Will cause a change among women in contemporary Western population for three life-history traits: age at menarche, age at first reproduction, and age at menopause. We control for temporal variation in fecundity (the baby boom phenomenon) and differences between women in educational background and religious affiliation. University-educated women have 35% lower fitness than those with less than seven years education, and Roman Catholic women have about 20% higher fitness than those of other religions. Although these differences were significant, education and religion only accounted for 2% and 1% of variance in fitness, respectively. Using structural equation modeling, we reveal significant genetic influences for all three life-history traits, with heritability estimates of 0.50, 0.23, and 0.45, respectively. However, strong genetic covariation with reproductive fitness could only be demonstrated for age at first reproduction, with much weaker covariation for age at menopause and no significant covariation for age at menarche. Selection may, therefore, lead to the evolution of earlier age at first reproduction in this population. We also estimate substantial heritable variation in fitness itself, with approximately 39% of the variance attributable to additive genetic effects, the remainder consisting of unique environmental effects and small effects from education and religion. We discuss mechanisms that could be maintaining such a high heritability for fitness. Most likely is that selection is now acting on different traits from which it did in pre-industrial human populations.
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Question: Is ultraviolet (UV) reflectance of melanin-based plumage ornaments heritable? Data studied: We considered the barn owl (Two alba), a species that varies continuously from white to reddish-brown, a pheomelanin-based trait. Methods: To perform a partial cross-fostering experiment. we exchanged one to three hatchlings between 16 pairs of nests with a similar hatching date. This experiment allocated hatchlings randomly among rearing environments. Forty-nine days later, we collected three feathers per individual to measure UV reflectance. Conclusions: The cross-fostering experiment showed that. independently of human-visible coloration, variation in UV reflectance is significantly sensitive to origin-related factors.
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1. Melanin pigments provide the most widespread source of coloration in vertebrates, but the adaptive function of such traits remains poorly known. 2. In a wild population of tawny owls (Strix aluco), we investigated the relationships between plumage coloration, which varies continuously from dark to pale reddish, and the strength and cost of an induced immune response. 3. The degree of reddishness in tawny owl feather colour was positively correlated with the concentration of phaeomelanin and eumelanin pigments, and plumage coloration was highly heritable (h(2) = 0.93). No carotenoids were detected in the feathers. 4. In mothers, the degree of melanin-based coloration was associated with antibody production against a vaccine, with dark reddish females maintaining a stronger level of antibody for a longer period of time compared to pale reddish females, but at a cost in terms of greater loss of body mass. 5. A cross-fostering experiment showed that, independent of maternal coloration, foster chicks reared by vaccinated mothers were lighter than those reared by nonvaccinated mothers. Hence, even though dark reddish mothers suffered a stronger immune cost than pale reddish mothers, this asymmetric cost was not translated to offspring growth. 6. Our study suggests that different heritable melanin-based colorations are associated with alternative strategies to resist parasite attacks, with dark reddish individuals investing more resources towards the humoral immune response than lightly reddish conspecifics.
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Les pressions cologiques peuvent varier tant en nature qu'en intensit dans le temps et l'espace. C'est pourquoi, un phnotype unique ne peut pas forcment confrer la meilleure valeur slective. La plasticit phnotypique peut tre un moyen de s'accommoder de cette situation, en augmentant globalement la tolrance aux changements environnementaux. Comme pour tout trait de caractre, une variation gntique doit persister pour qu'voluent les traits plastiques dans une population donne. Cependant, les pressions extrieures peuvent affecter l'hritabilit, et la direction de ces changements peut dpendre du caractre en question, de l'espce mais aussi du type de stress. Dans la prsente thse, nous avons cherch lucider les effets des pressions pathogniques sur les phnotypes et la gntique quantitative de plusieurs traits plastiques chez les embryons de deux salmonids, la pale (Coregonus palaea), et la truite de rivire (Salmo trutta). Les salmonids se prtent de telles tudes du fait de leur extraordinaire variabilit morphologique, comportementale et des traits d'histoire de vie. Par ailleurs, avec le dclin des salmonids dans le monde, il est important de savoir combien la variabilit gntique persiste dans les normes de raction afin d'aider prdire leur capacit rpondre aux changements de leur milieu. Nous avons observ qu'une augmentation de la croissance des communauts microbiennes symbiotiques entranait une mortalit accrue et une closion prcoce chez la pale, et dvoilait la variance gntique additive pour ces deux caractres (Chapitres 1-2). Bien qu'aucune variation gntique n'ait t trouve pour les normes de raction, nous avons observ une variabilit de la plasticit d'closion. Nanmoins, on a trouv que les temps d'closion taient corrls entre les environnements, ce qui pourrait limiter l'volution de la norme de raction. Le temps d'closion des embryons est li la taille des gniteurs mles, ce qui indique des effets pliotropiques. Dans le Chapitre 3, nous avons montr qu'une interaction triple entre la souche bactrienne {Pseudomonas fluorescens}, l'tat de dvelopement de l'hte ainsi que ses gnes ont une influence sur la mortalit, le temps d'closion et la taille des alevins de la pale. Nous avons dmontr qu'une variation gntique subsistait gnralement dans les normes de raction des temps d'closion, mais rarement pour la taille des alevins, et jamais pour la mortalit. Dans le mme temps, nous avons exhib que des corrlations entre environnements dpendaient des caractres phnotypiques, mais contrairement au Chapitre 2, nous n'avons pas trouv de preuve de corrlations transgnrationnelles. Le Chapitre 4 complte le chapitre prcdent, en se plaant du point de vue molculaire, et dcrit comment le traitement d'embryons avec P. fluorescens s'est traduit par une rgulation ngative d'expression du CMH-I indpendemment de la souche bactrienne. Nous avons non seulement trouv une variation gntique des caractres phnotypiques moyens, mais aussi de la plasticit. Les deux derniers chapitres traitent de l'investigation, chez la truite de rivire, des diffrences spcifiques entre populations pour des normes de raction induites par les pathognes. Dans le Chapitre 5, nous avons illustr que le mtissage entre des populations gntiquement distinctes n'affectait en rien la hauteur ou la forme des normes de raction d'un trait prcoce d'histoire de vie suite au traitement pathognique. De surcrot, en dpit de l'closion tardive et de la rduction de la taille des alevins, le traitement n'a pas modifi la variation hritable des traits de caractre. D'autre part, dans le Chapitre 6, nous avons dmontr que le traitement d'embryons avec des stimuli contenus dans l'eau de conspcifiques infects a entran des rponses propre chaque population en terme de temps d'closion ; nanmoins, nous avons observ peu de variabilit gntique des normes de raction pour ce temps d'closion au sein des populations. - Ecological stressors can vary in type and intensity over space and time, and as such, a single phenotype may not confer the highest fitness. Phenotypic plasticity can act as a means to accommodate this situation, increasing overall tolerance to environmental change. As with any trait, for plastic traits to evolve in a population, genetic variation must persist. However, environmental stress can alter trait heritability, and the direction of this shift can be trait, species, and stressor-dependent. In this thesis, we sought to understand the effects of pathogen stressors on the phenotypes and genetic architecture of several plastic traits in the embryos of two salmonids, the whitefish (Coregonus palaea), and the brown trout (Salmo trutta). Salmonids lend themselves to such studies because their extraordinary variability in morphological, behavioral, and life-history traits. Also, with declines in salmonids worldwide, knowing how much genetic variability persists in reaction norms may help predict their ability to respond to environmental change. We found that increasing growth of symbiotic microbial communities increased mortality and induced hatching in whitefish, and released additive genetic variance for both traits (Chapters 1-2). While no genetic variation was found for survival reaction norms, we did find variability in hatching plasticity. Nevertheless, hatching time was correlated across environments, which could constrain evolution of the reaction norm. Hatching time in the induced environment was also correlated to sire size, indicating pleiotropic effects. In Chapter 3 we report that a three-way interaction between bacterial strain (Pseudomonas fluorescens), host developmental stage, and host genetics impacted mortality, hatching time, and hatchling size in whitefish. We also showed that genetic variation generally persisted in hatching age reaction norms, but rarely for hatchling length, and never for mortality. At the same time, we demonstrated that cross-environmental correlations were trait-dependent, and unlike Chapter 2, we found no evidence of cross-generational correlations. Chapter 4 expands on the previous chapter, moving to the molecular level, and describes how treatment of embryos with P. fluorescens resulted in strain-independent downregulation of MHC class I. Genetic variation was evident not only in trait means, but also in plasticity. In the last two chapters, we investigated population level differences in pathogen- induced reaction norms in brown trout. In Chapter 5, we found that interbreeding between genetically distinct populations did not affect the elevation or shapes of the reaction norms of early life-history traits after pathogen challenge. Moreover, despite delaying hatching and reducing larval length, treatment produced no discernable shifts in heritable variation in traits. On the other hand, in Chapter 6, we found that treatment of embryos with water-borne cues from infected conspecifics elicited population-specific responses in terms of hatching time; however, we found little evidence of genetic variability in hatching reaction norms within populations. We have made considerable progress in understanding how pathogen stressors affect various early life-history traits in salmonid embryos. We have demonstrated that the effect of a particular stressor on heritable variation in these traits can vary according to the trait and species under consideration, in addition to the developmental stage of the host. Moreover, we found evidence of genetic variability in some, but not all reaction norms in whitefish and brown trout.
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Understanding the genetic architecture of quantitative traits can greatly assist the design of strategies for their manipulation in plant-breeding programs. For a number of traits, genetic variation can be the result of segregation of a few major genes and many polygenes (minor genes). The joint segregation analysis (JSA) is a maximum-likelihood approach for fitting segregation models through the simultaneous use of phenotypic information from multiple generations. Our objective in this paper was to use computer simulation to quantify the power of the JSA method for testing the mixed-inheritance model for quantitative traits when it was applied to the six basic generations: both parents (P-1 and P-2), F-1, F-2, and both backcross generations (B-1 and B-2) derived from crossing the F-1 to each parent. A total of 1968 genetic model-experiment scenarios were considered in the simulation study to quantify the power of the method. Factors that interacted to influence the power of the JSA method to correctly detect genetic models were: (1) whether there were one or two major genes in combination with polygenes, (2) the heritability of the major genes and polygenes, (3) the level of dispersion of the major genes and polygenes between the two parents, and (4) the number of individuals examined in each generation (population size). The greatest levels of power were observed for the genetic models defined with simple inheritance; e.g., the power was greater than 90% for the one major gene model, regardless of the population size and major-gene heritability. Lower levels of power were observed for the genetic models with complex inheritance (major genes and polygenes), low heritability, small population sizes and a large dispersion of favourable genes among the two parents; e.g., the power was less than 5% for the two major-gene model with a heritability value of 0.3 and population sizes of 100 individuals. The JSA methodology was then applied to a previously studied sorghum data-set to investigate the genetic control of the putative drought resistance-trait osmotic adjustment in three crosses. The previous study concluded that there were two major genes segregating for osmotic adjustment in the three crosses. Application of the JSA method resulted in a change in the proposed genetic model. The presence of the two major genes was confirmed with the addition of an unspecified number of polygenes.
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The evolution of sexual dimorphism may occur when natural and sexual selection result in different optimum trait values for males and females. Perhaps the most prominent examples of sexual dimorphism occur in sexually selected traits, for which males usually display exaggerated trait levels, while females may show reduced expression of the trait. In some species, females also exhibit secondary sexual traits that may either be a consequence of a correlated response to sexual selection on males or direct sexual selection for female secondary sexual traits. In this experiment, we simultaneously measure the intersex genetic correlations and the relative strength of sexual selection on males and females for a set of cuticular hydrocarbons in Drosophila serrata. There was significant directional sexual selection on both male and female cuticular hydrocarbons: the strength of sexual selection did not differ among the sexes but males and females preferred different cuticular hydrocarbons. In contrast with many previous studies of sexual dimorphism, intersex genetic correlations were low. The evolution of sexual dimorphism in D. serrata appears to have been achieved by sex-limited expression of traits controlled by genes on the X chromosome and is likely to be in its final stages.
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Natural selection is typically exerted at some specific life stages. If natural selection takes place before a trait can be measured, using conventional models can cause wrong inference about population parameters. When the missing data process relates to the trait of interest, a valid inference requires explicit modeling of the missing process. We propose a joint modeling approach, a shared parameter model, to account for nonrandom missing data. It consists of an animal model for the phenotypic data and a logistic model for the missing process, linked by the additive genetic effects. A Bayesian approach is taken and inference is made using integrated nested Laplace approximations. From a simulation study we find that wrongly assuming that missing data are missing at random can result in severely biased estimates of additive genetic variance. Using real data from a wild population of Swiss barn owls Tyto alba, our model indicates that the missing individuals would display large black spots; and we conclude that genes affecting this trait are already under selection before it is expressed. Our model is a tool to correctly estimate the magnitude of both natural selection and additive genetic variance.
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Summary In his theory On the Origin of Species by Means of Natural Selection (1859), Darwin describes evolution as a gradual change in population over time and that natural selection is a process that caused evolution. Because quantitative variation in species is partly influenced by several genes and thus heritable, association between levels of genetic variation at neutral markers and at quantitative traits and their partitioning within and among populations are important to study mechanisms that drive evolution in populations. Most studies addressing quantitative variation in plants focused on morphological and life history traits but not in traits affecting reproductive success. The aim of this thesis is to better understand how patterns of variation for neutral molecular markers and phenotypic traits drive the evolution of reproduction and defensive mechanisms in six European populations of Silene latifolia, a dioecious plant species. We found evidence for extremely high within and between population variation at six microsatellite loci and at most quantitative traits studied in plants grown under standardized conditions (morphology, life history and reproductive traits). Interestingly, there was clinal variation between age at first flowering and latitude. This pattern is likely due to natural selection since differentiation of this trait was high, heritable and probably higher than differentiation at neutral markers. Our study focused on sex specific selective pressures: mechanisms of intersexual coadaptation and defence mechanism against the seed predator Hadena bicruris. To address divergence at reproductive traits, we studied male and female population of origin effects and in particular pollen competitive ability on male post-pollination success in the study populations with within and between populations crosses. We crossed the same female plant with pollen from a male within the same population of origin and pollen from two males from two distinct populations, using a fixed tester male as a competitor. Additionally, we conducted control crosses with pollen from each male as a single donor. We analysed paternity success of each competitor with two microsatellite loci, seed set and offspring fitness. Male population of origin showed significant among-population variation for siring success at pollen competition. In vitro pollen germination rate showed heritable variation among populations and was positively correlated to siring success. Local or foreign pollen did not have a consistent advantage. Furthermore, female population of origin affected the outcome of pollen competition in some populations. There was no difference of seed set or offspring fitness in within/ between population crosses. This suggests that reproductive divergence may occur via pollen competition in Silene latifolia. The specialist seed predator Hadena bicruris may also induce divergence between populations. We tested potential constitutive and induced defence mechanisms against the specialist predator Hadena bicruris. Because fruit wall thickness is smaller in the invasive range (Northern America) were the moth is absent, this suggests that a thicker fruit wall is a potentially defensive trait against larval attack, and that relaxed selection in the absence of the seed predator has resulted in an evolutionary loss of this defence in the invasive range. Fruit wall thickness was different among three populations. Experimental exposure to moth eggs increased fruit abortion. Fruits built after attack on exposed plants did not have thicker fruit walls compared to fruits on non-exposed plants. Furthermore, fruits with thicker fruit walls were not less profitable, nor did they require longer handling time when exposed to larvae, suggesting no defensive role of fruit wall thickness. Our results show that there is high molecular and phenotypic variation in Silene latifolia and that traits potentially involved in reproductive success both for intra-specific (between sexes) and inter-specific interactions are heritable. Different selective forces may thus interact and cause differential evolution of geographically separated Silene latifolia populations in Europe, leading to the observed differentiation. Rsum Dans sa thorie de l'volution, L'origine des espces, ch. 4 (1859), Darwin dcrit l'volution comme un processus continu au cours du temps l'intrieur de populations et que la slection naturelle en est le moteur. La variation quantitative est en partie dtermine par plusieurs gnes, donc transmissible la descendance. Associer le niveau de variation gntique des marqueurs neutres au niveau de la variation des traits quantitatifs, ainsi que la rpartition l'intrieur et entre les populations d'une espce donne de cette variation, sont importants dans la comprhension des forces volutives. La plupart des tudes scientifiques sur la variation quantitative chez les plantes se sont intresses la morphologie et la phnologie mais pas aux caractres impliqus dans le succs reproducteur. L'objectif de cette thse est de mieux comprendre comment la rpartition de la variation des marqueurs neutres et des caractres quantitatifs influence l'volution de la reproduction et des mcanismes de dfense dans six populations Europennes de l'espce dioque Silene latifolia. Nous avons mis en vidence une grande diversit intra et inter-population six loci microsatellites ainsi qu' la plupart des caractres quantitatifs mesurs (morphologie, phnologie et traits reproducteurs) sur des plantes cultives dans des conditions standardises. Un rsultat intressant est la prsence d'un cline latitudinal pour l'ge la floraison. Ceci est probablement une consquence de la slection naturelle, puisque ce caractre est diffrenci entre les populations tudies, hritable et que la diffrenciation de ce trait est suprieure la diffrenciation des marqueurs neutres tudis. Notre tude a ensuite port plus prcisment sur les pressions de slection spcifiques aux sexes : la coadaptation entre les sexes et les mcanismes de dfense contre l'insecte granivore Hadena bicruris. Afin d'valuer la divergence sur les traits reproducteurs, nous avons tudi les effets des populations d'origine des mles et des femelles et en particulier le succs reproducteur des mles aprs pollinisation l'aide de croisements inter et intra-population. Nous avons pollinis la mme femelle avec du pollen provenant d'un mle de la mme population ainsi qu'avec le pollen de deux mles provenant de deux autres populations en situation de comptition avec un pollen provenant d'une population test. Des croisements contrle ont t raliss avec les mmes mles en pollinisation pure. Nous avons valu le succs reproducteur de chaque mle l'aide d'analyses de paternit ainsi que la production de graines et la fitness de la descendance. L'origine du mle avait un effet sur la paternit. Le taux de croissance in vitro du pollen est un caractre hritable et a eu un effet positif sur le succs reproducteur. De plus, l'origine de la femelle avait un effet sur le succs des mles en comptition dans certaines populations. Nos rsultats suggrent qu'une divergence reproductive chez Silene latifolia pourrait apparatre suite la comptition pollinique. Nous avons ensuite test des mcanismes potentiels de dfense constitutive et induite contre l'herbivore spcialiste Hadena bicruris, un papillon nocturne qui pourrait aussi jouer un rle dans la diffrenciation des populations. L'paisseur des fruits tant plus faible dans les rgions o la plante est invasive (Amrique du Nord) et o l'insecte est absent, ce trait pourrait jouer un rle dfensif. Une pression de slection plus faible cause par l'absence de l'herbivore aurait abouti une perte de cette dfense dans ces rgions. Nous avons montr que l'paisseur du fruit est variable selon les populations. L'infestation artificielle de fruit par l'insecte induit l'abscission slective des fruits. Les fruits produits aprs une infestation n'taient pas plus pais que les fruits issus de plantes non infestes. De plus, les fruits pais n'taient pas moins nutritifs et ne causaient pas de perte de temps pour la prdation pour les larves, ce qui suggre que l'paisseur des fruits ne joue pas un rle dfensif. Nos rsultats montrent que plusieurs pressions de slection interviennent et interagissent dans l'volution de populations distantes, provoquant la divergence des populations Europennes de l'espce Silene latifolia.
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Sex determination is often seen as a dichotomous process: individual sex is assumed to be determined either by genetic (genotypic sex determination, GSD) or by environmental factors (environmental sex determination, ESD), most often temperature (temperature sex determination, TSD). We endorse an alternative view, which sees GSD and TSD as the ends of a continuum. Both effects interact a priori, because temperature can affect gene expression at any step along the sex-determination cascade. We propose to define sex-determination systems at the population- (rather than individual) level, via the proportion of variance in phenotypic sex stemming from genetic versus environmental factors, and we formalize this concept in a quantitative-genetics framework. Sex is seen as a threshold trait underlain by a liability factor, and reaction norms allow modeling interactions between genotypic and temperature effects (seen as the necessary consequences of thermodynamic constraints on the underlying physiological processes). As this formalization shows, temperature changes (due to e.g., climatic changes or range expansions) are expected to provoke turnovers in sex-determination mechanisms, by inducing large-scale sex reversal and thereby sex-ratio selection for alternative sex-determining genes. The frequency of turnovers and prevalence of homomorphic sex chromosomes in cold-blooded vertebrates might thus directly relate to the temperature dependence in sex-determination mechanisms.
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Even though laboratory evolution experiments have demonstrated genetic variation for learning ability, we know little about the underlying genetic architecture and genetic relationships with other ecologically relevant traits. With a full diallel cross among twelve inbred lines of Drosophila melanogaster originating from a natural population (0.75< F<0.93), we investigated the genetic architecture of olfactory learning ability and compared it to that for another behavioral trait (unconditional preference for odors), as well as three traits quantifying the ability to deal with environmental challenges: egg-to-adult survival and developmental rate on a low-quality food, and resistance to a bacterial pathogen. Substantial additive genetic variation was detected for each trait, highlighting their potential to evolve. Genetic effects contributed more than nongenetic parental effects to variation in traits measured at the adult stage: learning, odorant perception, and resistance to infection. In contrast, the two traits quantifying larval tolerance to low-quality food were more strongly affected by parental effects. We found no evidence for genetic correlations between traits, suggesting that these traits could evolve at least to some degree independently of one another. Finally, inbreeding adversely affected all traits.
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Cette dissertation porte sur lanalyse syntactico-smantique des verbes trait de complexit. Le trait de complexit (Blanche-Benveniste et al. 1984) runit une classe de verbes connue comme verbes symtriques, rciproques ou collectifs sans toutefois se limiter ces ensembles (cf. grouiller, collectionner, amonceler, scinder, etc.). Ce trait induit une lecture plurielle lentit forme du lexme verbal et de ses arguments et qui se traduit, sur le plan morphosyntaxique, par deux proprits: slection obligatoire dune position syntaxique (sujet ou objet) au pluriel; en absence de ce pluriel morphologique, le trait de complexit se ralise par la slection dun complment prpositionnel correli une position syntaxique (sujet ou objet) et linterprtation de pluriel des deux lments correlis. Lhypothse gnrale, et point de dpart de cette dissertation, consiste prciser linterprtation de pluralit inhrente des verbes trait de complexit comme tant de type collectif, dfini comme dsignant du plus dun en un (Jespersen, 1971). La notion de collectif est distinguer de la notion de pluriel (Gillon, 1992) et permet dexpliquer le lien entre les deux proprits morphosyntaxiques prsentes. Cette hypothse gnrale sappuie sur la slection dun ensemble doutils danalyse. Un premier outil vise rendre compte, du point de vue formel, des rseaux syntactico-smantiques, par une reprsentation abstraite de la syntaxe verbale, conue comme une syntaxe de position et o sont dlimites, autour du noyau verbal, deux zones syntaxiques (zone SUJET et zone OBJET) constitues de points dancrage du trait de complexit. En tenant compte de la spcificit du collectif par rapport la pluralit, le recours au concept doprateurs de complexit, entendus comme des oprateurs du trait [+discret] (Doetjes, 1999), permet de mieux dfinir la notion du collectif applique au domaine verbal. Les diffrents oprateurs affixes drivationnels, constructions prpositionnelles, constructions en SE - se situent diffrents niveaux de structuration. Lanalyse par oprateurs de complexit ([+discret]) prsuppose galement la prise en compte de la fonction quantitative. Dans cette perspective, ces oprateurs induisent diffrents degrs de lindividuation des constituants du collectif dnot par la smantique des verbes trait de complexit. Les chelles de gradation de [+discret] rendent compte de cette proprit. Les valeurs de plus dun et en un dnotes par les expressions verbales trait de complexit sont interprtes comme faisant partie dune structure conceptuelle de type tout-intgr daprs lapproche lexicale et multidimensionnelle de la smantique conceptuelle des relations parties/tout de Moltmann (1997).
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The continuous trait age at subsequent rebreeding (ASR) was evaluated using survival analysis in Nellore breed cows that conceived for the first time at approximately 14 months of age. This methodology was chosen because the restricted breeding season produces censored data. The dataset contained 2885 records of ASR (in days). Records of females that did not produce calves in the following year after being exposed to a sire were considered censored (48.3% of the total). The statistical model used was a Weibull mixed survival model, which included fixed effects of contemporary groups (CG) and period and a random effect of individual animal. The effect of contemporary groups on ASR was significant (P < 0.01). Heritabilities obtained for ASR were 0.03 and 0.04 in logarithmic and original scales, respectively. These results indicate that the genetic selection response for subsequent reproduction of 2-year-old Nellore breed females is not expected to be effective based on survival analysis. Furthermore, these results suggest that environmental improvement is fundamental to this important trait. It should be highlighted that an increase in the average date of birth can produce an adverse effect in the future, since this cannot be compensated by genetic improvement.