Recommendations of the GARIN group for managing non-critically ill patients with diabetes or stress hyperglycaemia and artificial nutrition.

BACKGROUND & AIMS By means of this update, the GARIN working group aims to define its position regarding the treatment of patients with diabetes or stress hyperglycaemia and artificial nutrition. In this area there are many aspects of uncertainty, especially in non-critically ill patients. METHODS Bibliographical review, and specific questions in advance were discussed and answered at a meeting in the form of conclusions. RESULTS We propose a definition of stress hyperglycaemia. The indications and access routes for artificial nutrition are no different in patients with diabetes/stress hyperglycaemia than in non-diabetics. The objective must be to keep pre-prandial blood glucose levels between 100 and 140 mg/dl and post-prandial levels between 140 and 180 mg/dl. Hyperglycemia can be prevented through systematic monitoring of capillary glycaemias and adequately calculate energy-protein needs. We recommend using enteral formulas designed for patients with diabetes (high monounsaturated fat) to facilitate metabolic control. The best drug treatment for treating hyperglycaemia/diabetes in hospitalised patients is insulin and we make recommendations for adapt the theoretical insulin action to the nutrition infusion regimen. We also addressed recommendations for future investigation. CONCLUSIONS This recommendations about artificial nutrition in patients with diabetes or stress hyperglycaemia can add value to clinical work.

Effectiveness of olive oil for the prevention of pressure ulcers caused in immobilized patients within the scope of primary health care: study protocol for a randomized controlled trial.

BACKGROUND Pressure ulcers are considered an important issue, mainly affecting immobilized older patients. These pressure ulcers increase the care burden for the professional health service staff as well as pharmaceutical expenditure. There are a number of studies on the effectiveness of different products used for the prevention of pressure ulcers; however, most of these studies were carried out at a hospital level, basically using hyperoxygenated fatty acids (HOFA). There are no studies focused specifically on the use of olive-oil-based products and therefore this research is intended to find the most cost-effective treatment and achieve an alternative treatment. METHODS/DESIGN The main objective is to assess the effectiveness of olive oil, comparing it with HOFA, to treat immobilized patients at home who are at risk of pressure ulcers. As a secondary objective, the cost-effectiveness balance of this new application with regard to the HOFA will be assessed. The study is designed as a noninferiority, triple-blinded, parallel, multi-center, randomized clinical trial. The scope of the study is the population attending primary health centers in Andalucía (Spain) in the regional areas of Malaga, Granada, Seville, and Cadiz. Immobilized patients at risk of pressure ulcers will be targeted. The target group will be treated by application of an olive-oil-based formula whereas the control group will be treated by application of HOFA to the control group. The follow-up period will be 16 weeks. The main variable will be the presence of pressure ulcers in the patient. Secondary variables include sociodemographic and clinical information, caregiver information, and whether technical support exists. Statistical analysis will include the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test, symmetry and kurtosis analysis, bivariate analysis using the Student's t and chi-squared tests as well as the Wilcoxon and the Man-Whitney U tests, ANOVA and multivariate logistic regression analysis. DISCUSSION The regular use of olive-oil-based formulas should be effective in preventing pressure ulcers in immobilized patients, thus leading to a more cost-effective product and an alternative treatment. TRIAL REGISTRATION Clinicaltrials.gov identifier: NCT01595347.

Perturbation expansions of multilocus fixation probabilities for frequency-dependent selection with applications to the Hill-Robertson effect and to the joint evolution of helping and punishment.

Natural populations are of finite size and organisms carry multilocus genotypes. There are, nevertheless, few results on multilocus models when both random genetic drift and natural selection affect the evolutionary dynamics. In this paper we describe a formalism to calculate systematic perturbation expansions of moments of allelic states around neutrality in populations of constant size. This allows us to evaluate multilocus fixation probabilities (long-term limits of the moments) under arbitrary strength of selection and gene action. We show that such fixation probabilities can be expressed in terms of selection coefficients weighted by mean first passages times of ancestral gene lineages within a single ancestor. These passage times extend the coalescence times that weight selection coefficients in one-locus perturbation formulas for fixation probabilities. We then apply these results to investigate the Hill-Robertson effect and the coevolution of helping and punishment. Finally, we discuss limitations and strengths of the perturbation approach. In particular, it provides accurate approximations for fixation probabilities for weak selection regimes only (Ns < or = 1), but it provides generally good prediction for the direction of selection under frequency-dependent selection.

Federalism and democracy. The case of minority nations: a federalist deficit

In this chapter, after pointing out the different logics that lie behind the familiar ideas of democracy and federalism, I have dealt with the case of plurinational federal democracies. Having put forward a double criterion of an empirical nature with which to differentiate between the existence of minority nations within plurinational democracies (section 2), I suggest three theoretical criteria for the political accommodation of these democracies. In the following section, I show the agonistic nature of the normative discussion of the political accommodation of this kind of democracies, which bring monist and pluralist versions of the demos of the polity into conflict (section 3.1), as well as a number of conclusions which are the result of a comparative study of 19 federal and regional democracies using four analytical axes: the uninational/plurinational axis; the unitarianism-federalism axis; the centralisation-decentralisation axis; and the symmetry-asymmetry axis (section 3.2). This analysis reveals shortcomings in the constitutional recognition of national pluralism in federal and regional cases with a large number of federated units/regions with political autonomy; a lower degree of constitutional federalism and a greater asymmetry in the federated entities or regions of plurinational democracies. It also reveals difficulties to establish clear formulas in these democracies in order to encourage a “federalism of trust” based on the participation and protection of national minorities in the shared government of plurinational federations/regional states. Actually, there is a federal deficit in this kind polities according to normative liberal-democratic patterns and to what comparative analysis show. Finally, this chapter advocates the need for a greater normative and institutional refinement in plurinational federal democracies. In order to achieve this, it is necessary to introduce a deeper form of “ethical” pluralism -which displays normative agonistic trends, as well as a more “confederal/asymmetrical” perspective, congruent with the national pluralism of these kind of polities.

Body surface area and body weight predict total liver volume in Western adults.

Computed tomography (CT) is used increasingly to measure liver volume in patients undergoing evaluation for transplantation or resection. This study is designed to determine a formula predicting total liver volume (TLV) based on body surface area (BSA) or body weight in Western adults. TLV was measured in 292 patients from four Western centers. Liver volumes were calculated from helical computed tomographic scans obtained for conditions unrelated to the hepatobiliary system. BSA was calculated based on height and weight. Each center used a different established method of three-dimensional volume reconstruction. Using regression analysis, measurements were compared, and formulas correlating BSA or body weight to TLV were established. A linear regression formula to estimate TLV based on BSA was obtained: TLV = -794.41 + 1,267.28 x BSA (square meters; r(2) = 0.46; P &lt;.0001). A formula based on patient weight also was derived: TLV = 191.80 + 18.51 x weight (kilograms; r(2) = 0.49; P &lt;.0001). The newly derived TLV formula based on BSA was compared with previously reported formulas. The application of a formula obtained from healthy Japanese individuals underestimated TLV. Two formulas derived from autopsy data for Western populations were similar to the newly derived BSA formula, with a slight overestimation of TLV. In conclusion, hepatic three-dimensional volume reconstruction based on helical CT predicts TLV based on BSA or body weight. The new formulas derived from this correlation should contribute to the estimation of TLV before liver transplantation or major hepatic resection.

On the closed-form approximation of short-time random strike options

In this paper we propose a general technique to develop first and second order closed-form approximation formulas for short-time options withrandom strikes. Our method is based on Malliavin calculus techniques andallows us to obtain simple closed-form approximation formulas dependingon the derivative operator. The numerical analysis shows that these formulas are extremely accurate and improve some previous approaches ontwo-assets and three-assets spread options as Kirk's formula or the decomposition mehod presented in Alòs, Eydeland and Laurence (2011).

Option pricing under stochastic volatility and stochastic interest rate in the Spanish case

Among the underlying assumptions of the Black-Scholes option pricingmodel, those of a fixed volatility of the underlying asset and of aconstantshort-term riskless interest rate, cause the largest empirical biases. Onlyrecently has attention been paid to the simultaneous effects of thestochasticnature of both variables on the pricing of options. This paper has tried toestimate the effects of a stochastic volatility and a stochastic interestrate inthe Spanish option market. A discrete approach was used. Symmetricand asymmetricGARCH models were tried. The presence of in-the-mean and seasonalityeffectswas allowed. The stochastic processes of the MIBOR90, a Spanishshort-terminterest rate, from March 19, 1990 to May 31, 1994 and of the volatilityofthe returns of the most important Spanish stock index (IBEX-35) fromOctober1, 1987 to January 20, 1994, were estimated. These estimators wereused onpricing Call options on the stock index, from November 30, 1993 to May30, 1994.Hull-White and Amin-Ng pricing formulas were used. These prices werecomparedwith actual prices and with those derived from the Black-Scholesformula,trying to detect the biases reported previously in the literature. Whereasthe conditional variance of the MIBOR90 interest rate seemed to be freeofARCH effects, an asymmetric GARCH with in-the-mean and seasonalityeffectsand some evidence of persistence in variance (IEGARCH(1,2)-M-S) wasfoundto be the model that best represent the behavior of the stochasticvolatilityof the IBEX-35 stock returns. All the biases reported previously in theliterature were found. All the formulas overpriced the options inNear-the-Moneycase and underpriced the options otherwise. Furthermore, in most optiontrading, Black-Scholes overpriced the options and, because of thetime-to-maturityeffect, implied volatility computed from the Black-Scholes formula,underestimatedthe actual volatility.

Social security and democracy

Many political economic theories use and emphasize the process of votingin their explanation of the growth of Social Security, governmentspending, and other public policies. But is there an empirical connectionbetween democracy and Social Security program size or design? Using somenew international data sets to produce both country-panel econometricestimates as well as case studies of South American and southern Europeancountries, we find that Social Security policy varies according toeconomic and demographic factors, but that very different politicalhistories can result in the same Social Security policy. We find littlepartial effect of democracy on the size of Social Security budgets, onhow those budgets are allocated, or how economic and demographic factorsaffect Social Security. If there is any observed difference, democraciesspend a little less of their GDP on Social Security, grow their budgetsa bit more slowly, and cap their payroll tax more often, than doeconomically and demographically similar nondemocracies. Democracies andnondemocracies are equally likely to have benefit formulas inducingretirement and, conditional on GDP per capita, equally likely to induceretirement with a retirement test vs. an earnings test.

A generalization of Hull and White formula and applications to option pricing approximation

By means of Malliavin Calculus we see that the classical Hull and White formulafor option pricing can be extended to the case where the noise driving thevolatility process is correlated with the noise driving the stock prices. Thisextension will allow us to construct option pricing approximation formulas.Numerical examples are presented.

Forecasting and turning point predictions in a Bayesian panel VAR model

We provide methods for forecasting variables and predicting turning points in panel Bayesian VARs. We specify a flexible model which accounts for both interdependencies in the cross section and time variations in the parameters. Posterior distributions for the parameters are obtained for a particular type of diffuse, for Minnesota-type and for hierarchical priors. Formulas for multistep, multiunit point and average forecasts are provided. An application to the problem of forecasting the growth rate of output and of predicting turning points in the G-7 illustrates the approach. A comparison with alternative forecasting methods is also provided.

Resting metabolic rate in six- to ten-year-old obese and nonobese children.

The resting metabolic rate (RMR) and body composition of 130 obese and nonobese prepubertal children, aged 6 to 10 years, were assessed by indirect calorimetry and skin-fold thickness, respectively. The mean (+/- SD) RMR was 4619 +/- 449 kJ.day-1 (164 +/- 31 kJ.kg body weight-1 x day-1) in the 62 boys and 4449 +/- 520 kJ.day-1 (147 +/- 32 kJ.kg body weight-1 x day-1) in the 68 girls. Fat-free mass was the best single predictor of RMR (R2 = 0.64; p < 0.001). Step-down multiple regression analysis, with independent variables such as age, gender, weight, and height, allowed several RMR predictive equations to be developed. An equation for boys is as follows: RMR (kJ.day-1) = 1287 + 28.6 x Weight(kg) + 23.6 x Height(cm) - 69.1 x Age(yr) (R2 = 0.58; p < 0.001). An equation for girls is as follows: RMR (kJ.day-1 = 1552 + 35.8 x Weight (kg) + 15.6 x Height (cm) - 36.3 x Age (yr) (R2 = 0.69; p < 0.001). Comparison between the measured RMR and that predicted by currently used formulas showed that most of these equations tended to overestimate the RMR of both genders, especially in overweight children.

Método preliminar de determinación del tamaño de la malla para cerco y su aplicación al Jurel Peruano

Usando formulas de Kawamura (1972) y Hamley (1975) se ha determinado el tamaño apropiado de la malla para redes de cerco para evitar el enmalle del jurel peruano Trachurus murphyu en cada estación del año. Como tamaño de malla apropiado se determinó 4.6 (promedio) y como tamaño peligroso 6.2 cm. en promedio.

Neurobiologia, coscienza e neuroetica. Ricerche filosofiche in margine al dialogo tra G.P. CHANGEUX e P. RICOEUR

Le neuroscienze occupano oggi un ruolo essenziale nel dibattito scientifico e filosofico, nonché in quello delle scienze umane. Esse costituiscono la sfida più seria al sapere fin qui elaborato intorno ai fondamenti dell'esperienza di coscienza, poiché si propongono come capaci di rispondere alla domanda di origine e funzionamento della coscienza. Le neuroscienze cognitive stanno, oggi, rivoluzionando la nostra concezione della mente e delle sue funzioni. Ci forniscono nuovi dati sulla natura delle sensazioni, della memoria, della percezione e dei processi di astrazione. L'epistemologia è rientrata così pienamente nell'ambito di una disciplina sperimentale, come diversi filosofi (da Hume a Quine) hanno auspicato. È, alla fine, evoluta nell'esperienza odierna della cosiddetta "epistemologia sperimentale", luogo che coniuga il rigore sperimentale della scienza con la profondità e la sofisticazione argomentativa della tradizione filosofica. Come arriviamo a conoscere? Quali vincoli poniamo a quello che deve essere conosciuto? Perché seguiamo certe vie invece di altre? Come arriviamo a formulare giudizi e a prendere decisioni? Che valore ha la conoscenza già acquisita nell'elaborazione di nuove esperienze? In particolare, che peso hanno le aspettative e i ricordi in questo processo? Qual è il rapporto fra esperienza, conoscenza e memoria? Come si fissano e come si richiamano i ricordi? Qual è il rapporto fra coscienza e memoria? Sono alcune delle domande che l'autore si pone in questa ottica e alle quali cerca di rispondere, a partire dall'analisi e valutazione del dialogo-dibattito fra J.-P. Changeux e P. Ricoeur, per apprenderne il linguaggio, capire i problemi sollevati, adattarsi alla complessità della materia. Nel contesto della filosofia della mente, la "lettura" della discussione ripercorre i relativi percorsi attraverso l'analisi delle loro opere, da un lato quelle dello scienziato (sulla struttura e dinamica del cervello, la teoria dell'epigenesi e stabilizzazione selettiva, le speculazioni sull'uomo neuronale e i rilievi antropologici, le teorie della conoscenza e della coscienza, oltre che sulla conoscenza matematica, gli argomenti di estetica ed etica); dall'altro lato quelle del filosofo (dal Cogito riflessivo alla scoperta dell'ermeneutica, dalle eterogenee riflessioni sul Conflitto delle interpretazioni alla grande teoria sulla creatività del linguaggio, le conclusioni teoriche sull'ermeneutica del sé e l'ontologia dell'agire). Il punto di arrivo è la determinazione delle relative posizioni: quella di Changeux tra i neuroscienziati che si occupano di questioni filosofiche, epistemologiche ed etiche, e quella di Ricoeur tra i filosofi che si occupano di neuroscienze. La conclusione della tesi si svolge in un approfondimento teoretico che dalla nozione di "traccia" porta all'esperienza della "memoria", al fine di intrecciare i fili della discussione ripercorsa ed offrire una sponda non forzata al dibattito più ampio. Il tema della memoria è privilegiato per ragioni intrinseche, poiché si tratta di uno dei temi precipui delle neuroscienze, della filosofia della mente e della fenomenologia. A un primo livello viene instaurato su questo punto un confronto epistemologico tra la proposta della neurofenomenologia (Varala, ad esempio) e la posizione tenuta in particolare da Ricoeur rispetto ad essa e al suo "progetto unificante", posizione defilata e, per certi aspetti, criticamente dubbiosa sul fatto che si possa davvero giungere a un "terzo discorso". Si riferisce poi del largo interesse e dei risultati più significativi della riflessione fenomenologica antica e moderna sulla memoria. A un secondo livello vengono illustrati i programmi di ricerca recenti della neurofenomenologia su questo argomento all'interno delle scienze cognitive e si dà conto dei risultati più significativi. Ad un terzo e conclusivo livello, si approfondisce il significato teologico della memoria. Les neurosciences ont aujourd'hui un rôle essentiel dans le débat scientifique et philosophique, ainsi que dans celui des sciences humaines. Elles constituent le défi le plus sérieux aux savoir qu'on a construit jusqu'ici sur les fondements de l'expérience de conscience, attendu qu'elles-mêmes se considèrent capables de répondre à la demande sur l'origine e le fonctionnement de la conscience. Les neurosciences cognitives sont aujourd'hui en train de révolutionner notre conception de l'esprit et des ses fonctions. Elles nous offrent des nouvelles données au sujet de la nature de nos sensations, mémoire, perception et procédés d'abstraction. Aussi l'épistémologie est rentrée pleinement dans le domaine d'une discipline expérimentale, comme plusieurs philosophes (de Hume à Quine) l'ont souhaité. Elle s'est enfin adressée, dans l'expérience actuelle, vers la soi-disant "épistémologie expérimentale", lieu qui met en accord la rigueur expérimentale de la science avec la profondeur et la sophistiquée finesse argumentative de la tradition philosophique. Comment en arrivons-nous à connaître? Quels liens mettons-nous à ce qu'on doit être connu? Pourquoi suivons-nous certaines vois au lieu d'autres? Comment en arrivons-nous à formuler des opinions et à prendre des décisions? Quelle valeur a la connaissance qu'on a déjà acquise par l'élaboration des nouvelles expériences? En particulier, quelle est l'importance des attentes et des souvenirs dans cette évolution? Quel est le rapport entre expérience, connaissance e mémoire? Comment fixons et rappelons-nous nos souvenirs? Quel est le rapport entre conscience et mémoire? Ces sont quelques-unes des questions que l'auteur se pose dans cette perspective et aux quelles essaie de répondre a partir de l'analyse et l'évaluation du dialogue-débat entre fra J.-P. Changeux et P. Ricoeur, pour en apprendre le langage, comprendre les problèmes soulevés, s'adapter à la complexité du sujet. Dans le contexte de la philosophie du cerveau, la "lecture" du dialogue reparcourt les parcours des deux interlocuteurs par l'analyse de leur ouvrages, d'une part celles du savant (sur la structure et la dynamique du cerveau, la théorie de l'épigenèse et stabilisation sélective; les spéculations sur l'homme neuronal et les commentaires anthropologiques; les théories de la connaissance et de la conscience, de même que sur la connaissance de la mathématique, les sujets d'esthétique et étique; d'autre part celles du philosophe (du Cogito réflexif à la découverte de l'herméneutique, de les hétérogènes réflexions sur le Conflit des interprétations à la grande théorie sur la créativité du langage, les conclusions théoriques sur l'herméneutique du soi et l'ontologie de l'agir). L'issue est la determination des relatives positions: celle de Changeux parmi les neuro-scientifiques qui s'occupent de questions philosophiques, épistémologiques et éthiques, et celle de Ricoeur parmi les philosophes qui s'occupent de neurosciences. La conclusion de la thèse se développe dans un approfondissement théorétique que de la notion de "trace" à l'expérience de la "mémoire", à l'effet de nouer les fils de la discussion passée en revue et d'assurer un appui pas forcé au débat plus vaste. Le thème de la mémoire a été choisi pour des raisons intrinsèques, puisqu'il est un des thèmes principaux des neurosciences, de la philosophie de l'esprit et de la phénoménologie. Sur un premier plan épistémologique il est établi une comparaison entre la proposition de la neurophénoménologie (Varala, par exemple) et la position soutenue en particulier par Ricoeur au sujet de ce courant phénoménologique et de son "projet unifiant", position défilée et, à certains égards, critiquement hésitante sur le fait qu'on puisse vraiment en venir à un "troisième discours". On rend compte du grand intérêt et des résultats les plus significatifs de la réflexion phénoménologique ancienne et moderne sur la mémoire. Sur un second plan neurophénoménologique on illustre des plans de recherche récents sur cet argument au-dedans des sciences cognitives et on rend compte des résultats les plus distinctives. Sur un troisième et conclusif plan on approfondit le sens théologique de la mémoire.

On the depth of blowup algebras of ideals with analytic deviation one

Let I be an ideal in a local Cohen-Macaulay ring (A, m). Assume I to be generically a complete intersection of positive height. We compute the depth of the Rees algebra and the form ring of I when the analytic deviation of I equals one and its reduction number is also at most one. The formu- las we obtain coincide with the already known formulas for almost complete intersection ideals.

Marqueurs de la filtration glomérulaire en pédiatrie [Glomerular filtration markers in pediatrics]

The assessment of glomerular filtration rate (GFR) is critical for the diagnosis and management of renal diseases in pediatric nephrology. Ideally, it requires the measurement of the renal clearance of a filtration marker. Inulin, an exogenous marker, is the only compound the excretion of which occurs exclusively by glomerular filtration, with no tubular handling. Therefore, inulin clearance provides the most accurate method to measure GFR and is considered as the "gold standard", at all ages including very premature neonates. However, inulin dearance is cumbersome and alternative methods are used in clinical practice. If urine is available, endogenous creatinine clearance is the most reliable method. When urine collection is difficult to obtain, GFR can be estimated by the plasma concentration of endogenous markers mainly eliminated by glomerular filtration, such as creatinine, or the more recently described cystatin C and beta 2-microglobulin. When the endogenous production of these markers is constant, their plasma concentration reflects glomerular filtration; it increases with decreasing renal function. However, in pediatric patients creatinine production depends on muscle mass, which significantly increases with linear growth, as well as age and gender. Mathematical formulas taking these parameters into account have thus been developed. Among these, the so-called "Schwartz formula" is often used and is a reliable estimate of GFR in children. Finally, radionuclide renal scans can be used to evaluate the separate glomerular function of each kidney.