eLEARNING

eLearning through its flexibility and facility of access is seen as a major enabler of lifelong learning (LLL), as a catalyst of change and a chance for small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) to improve their business and to integrate into European market. But so far eLearning in the context of vocational educational training mainly has been adopted by large enterprises, while only little activity can be observed in SMEs. The question arises what the chances and challenges for SMEs are and what are the experience with its usage. In this paper after a presentation of key issues in eLearning chances and challenges of eLearning for SMEs are discussed and experiences are exemplified by three EU-funded eLearning projects. The focus lies on the ongoing project ARIEL - Analysing and Reporting the Implementation of Electronic Learning in Europe – coordinated by the Institut Arbeit und Technik (IAT).

eLEARNING - A CHANCE FOR SMALL AND MEDIUM SIZED ENTERPRISES

eLearning through its flexibility and facility of access is seen as a major enabler of lifelong learning (LLL), as a catalyst of change and a chance for small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) to improve their business and to integrate into European market. But so far the eLearning in the context of vocational educational training has been mainly adopted by large enterprises, while only little activity can be observed in SMEs. The question arises what the chances and challenges for SMEs are and what is the experience with its usage. In this paper after a presentation of key issues in eLearning chances and challenges of eLearning for SMEs are discussed and experiences are exemplified by three EU-funded eLearning projects. The focus lies on the ongoing project ARIEL - Analysing and Reporting the Implementation of Electronic Learning in Europe - coordinated by the Institut Arbeit und Technik (IAT).

Regulations on E-Commerce Consumer Protection Rules in China and Europe Compared – Same Same but Different?

This article provides a comprehensive overview of the regulations on e-commerce protection rules in China and the European Union. It starts by giving a general overview of different approaches towards consumer protection in e-commerce. This article then scrutinizes the current legal system in China by mainly focusing on SAIC’s “Interim Measures for the Administration of Online Commodity Trading and Relevant Service Activities”. The subsequent chapter covers the supervision of consumer protection in e-commerce in China, which covers both the regulatory objects of online commodity trading and the applied regulatory mechanisms. While the regulatory objects include operating agents, operating objects, operating behavior, electronic contracts, intellectual property and consumer protection, the regulatory mechanisms for e-commerce in China combines market mechanism and industry self-discipline under the government’s administrative regulation. Further, this article examines the current European legal system in online commodity trading. It outlines the aim and the scope of EU legislation in the respective field. Subsequently, the paper describes the European approach towards the supervision of consumer protection in e-commerce. As there is no central EU agency for consumer protection in e-commerce transactions, the EU stipulates a framework for Member States’ institutions, thereby creating a European supervisory network of Member States’ institutions and empowers private consumer organisations to supervise the market on their behalf. Moreover, the EU encourages the industry to self- or co-regulate e-commerce by providing incentives. Consequently, this article concludes that consumer protection may be achieved by different means and different systems. However, even though at first glance the Chinese and the European system appear to differ substantially, a closer look reveals tendencies of convergence between the two systems.

Plattform Musikalische Bildung

Bei der Plattform Musikalische Bildung handelt es sich um ein Projekt der Hochschule für Musik Detmold. Die Plattform vereinigt in sich Ideen zum vernetzten Musiklernen, neu entwickelten Online-Musiklern-Tools sowie den Austausch und die Modifizierung dieser erstellten Kurse durch andere Dozenten und Lehrenden. Die Plattform steht allen Dozenten und Lehrern, Studierenden und Schülern an Hochschulen, aber auch Musikschulen und allgemein bildenden Schulen kostenlos zur Verfügung. Auf die Einblendung von Werbebannern wird verzichtet. Die Inbetriebnahme einer Betaversion ist im Oktober 2014 erfolgt. Weitere Ausbaustufen sind in Planung aber noch nicht gegenfinanziert.

Durch das Leben lernen

Web 2.0 und soziale Netzwerke gaben erste Impulse für neue Formen der Online-Lehre, welche die umfassende Vernetzung von Objekten und Nutzern im Internet nachhaltig einsetzen. Die Vielfältigkeit der unterschiedlichen Systeme erschwert aber deren ganzheitliche Nutzung in einem umfassenden Lernszenario, das den Anforderungen der modernen Informationsgesellschaft genügt. In diesem Beitrag wird eine auf dem Konnektivismus basierende Plattform für die Online-Lehre namens “Wiki-Learnia” präsentiert, welche alle wesentlichen Abschnitte des lebenslangen Lernens abbildet. Unter Einsatz zeitgemäßer Technologien werden nicht nur Nutzer untereinander verbunden, sondern auch Nutzer mit dedizierten Inhalten sowie ggf. zugehörigen Autoren und/oder Tutoren verknüpft. Für ersteres werden verschiedene Kommunikations-Werkzeuge des Web 2.0 (soziale Netzwerke, Chats, Foren etc.) eingesetzt. Letzteres fußt auf dem sogenannten “Learning-Hub”-Ansatz, welcher mit Hilfe von Web-3.0-Mechanismen insbesondere durch eine semantische Metasuchmaschine instrumentiert wird. Zum Aufzeigen der praktischen Relevanz des Ansatzes wird das mediengestützte Juniorstudium der Universität Rostock vorgestellt, ein Projekt, das Schüler der Abiturstufe aufs Studium vorbereitet. Anhand der speziellen Anforderungen dieses Vorhabens werden der enorme Funktionsumfang und die große Flexibilität von Wiki-Learnia demonstriert.

Learning Curves of Temporary Workers in Manual Order Picking Activities

Person-to-stock order picking is highly flexible and requires minimal investment costs in comparison to automated picking solutions. For these reasons, tradi-tional picking is widespread in distribution and production logistics. Due to its typically large proportion of manual activities, picking causes the highest operative personnel costs of all intralogistics process. The required personnel capacity in picking varies short- and mid-term due to capacity requirement fluctuations. These dynamics are often balanced by employing minimal permanent staff and using seasonal help when needed. The resulting high personnel fluctuation necessitates the frequent training of new pickers, which, in combination with in-creasingly complex work contents, highlights the im-portance of learning processes in picking. In industrial settings, learning is often quantified based on diminishing processing time and cost requirements with increasing experience. The best-known industrial learning curve models include those from Wright, de Jong, Baloff and Crossman, which are typically applied to the learning effects of an entire work crew rather than of individuals. These models have been validated in largely static work environments with homogeneous work contents. Little is known of learning effects in picking systems. Here, work contents are heterogeneous and individual work strategies vary among employees. A mix of temporary and steady employees with varying degrees of experience necessitates the observation of individual learning curves. In this paper, the individual picking performance development of temporary employees is analyzed and compared to that of steady employees in the same working environment.

Hybrid stochastic simulations of intracellular reaction-diffusion systems.

With the observation that stochasticity is important in biological systems, chemical kinetics have begun to receive wider interest. While the use of Monte Carlo discrete event simulations most accurately capture the variability of molecular species, they become computationally costly for complex reaction-diffusion systems with large populations of molecules. On the other hand, continuous time models are computationally efficient but they fail to capture any variability in the molecular species. In this study a hybrid stochastic approach is introduced for simulating reaction-diffusion systems. We developed an adaptive partitioning strategy in which processes with high frequency are simulated with deterministic rate-based equations, and those with low frequency using the exact stochastic algorithm of Gillespie. Therefore the stochastic behavior of cellular pathways is preserved while being able to apply it to large populations of molecules. We describe our method and demonstrate its accuracy and efficiency compared with the Gillespie algorithm for two different systems. First, a model of intracellular viral kinetics with two steady states and second, a compartmental model of the postsynaptic spine head for studying the dynamics of Ca+2 and NMDA receptors.

“Jo wunderbar so im apriu kann man nicht mehr erwarten, capisci?” Multilingualism in a German language class for retired Italian migrants in Berne

Our proposal presents some aspects and results of a project of the University of Bern dealing with the consequences of retirement on multilingual competences. Referring to De Bot (2007), who defined "language related major life events" as moments in life relevant for changes in multilingual competences, we assume that retirement can be a turning point in a language biography. Firstly, there are phenomena, such as the cessation of the use of a foreign language, which was formerly related to work. Secondly, retirement might elicit the improvement of foreign language skills as a way to spend excess time after retirement or as a “cognitive exercise”. Many language schools have identified the people of advanced age as a group of major interest and increasingly offer so-called 50+ (fifty plus) courses in their curriculum. Furthermore, the concept of lifelong learning is increasingly gaining importance, as the reference by the European commission (LLP) indicates. However, most of the programs are intended for educated middle-class people and there are considerably fewer offers for people who are less familiar with learning environments in general. The present paper aims at investigating the multilingual setting of an offer of the second kind: a German language course designed for retired, established Italian workforce migrants living in the city of Berne, Switzerland. The multilingual setting is given by the facts that migrants living in Berne are confronted with diglossia (Standard German and Swissgerman dialects), that the Canton of Berne is bilingual (German and French) and that the migrants' mother tongue, Italian, is one of the Swiss national languages. As previous studies have shown, most of the Italian migrants have difficulties with the acquisition of Standard German due to the diglossic situation (Werlen, 2007) or never even learnt any of the German varieties. Another outcome of the linguistic situation the migrants are confronted with in Berne, is the usage of a continuum of varieties between Swissgerman dialect and Standard German (Zanovello-Müller, 1998). Therefore, in the classroom we find several varieties of German, as well as the Italian language and its varieties. In the present paper we will investigate the use of multilingual competences within the classroom and the dynamics of second language acquisition in a setting of older adults (>60 years old), learning their host country’s language after 40 years or more of living in it. The methods applied are an ethnographic observation of the language class, combined with qualitative interviews to gain in-depth information of the subjects’ life stories and language biographies.

Improving residency training with the help of multisource feedback: Generation of a model of influencing factors

Background: Feedback is considered to be one of the most important drivers of learning. One form of structured feedback used in medical settings is multisource feedback (MSF). This feedback technique provides the opportunity to gain a differentiated view on a doctor’s performance from several perspectives using a questionnaire and a facilitating conversation, in which learning goals are formulated. While many studies have been conducted on the validity, reliability and feasibility of the instrument, little is known about the impact of factors that might influence the effects of MSF on clinical performance. Summary of Work: To study under which circumstances MSF is most effective, we performed a literature review on Google Scholar with focus on MSF and feedback in general. Main key-words were: MSF, multi-source-feedback, multi source feedback, and feedback each combined with influencing/ hindering/ facilitating factors, effective, effectiveness, doctors-intraining, and surgery. Summary of Results: Based on the literature, we developed a preliminary model of facilitating factors. This model includes five main factors influencing MSF: questionnaire, doctor-in-training, group of raters, facilitating supervisor, and facilitating conversation. Discussion and Conclusions: Especially the following points that might influence MSF have not yet been sufficiently studied: facilitating conversation with the supervisor, individual aspects of doctors-in-training, and the causal relations between influencing factors. Overall there are only very few studies focusing on the impact of MSF on actual and long-term performance. We developed a preliminary model of hindering and facilitating factors on MSF. Further studies are needed to better understand under which circumstances MSF is most effective. Take-home messages: The preliminary model might help to guide further studies on how to implement MSF to use it at its full potential.

Spectroscopic and functional investigations of the AMPA subtype of ionotropic glutamate receptors

Ion channels play a crucial role in the functioning of different systems of the body because of their ability to bridge the cell membrane and allow ions to pass in and out of the cell. Ionotropic glutamate receptors are one class of these important proteins and have been shown to be critical in propagating synaptic transmission in the central nervous system and in other diverse functions throughout the body. Because of their wide-ranging effects, this family of receptors is an important target for structure-function investigations to understand their mechanism of action. ^ α-Amino-3-hydroxy-5-methyl-4-isoxazolepropionic acid (AMPA) receptors are one subtype of glutamate receptors and have been shown to be the primary receptors involved in rapid excitatory signaling in the central nervous system. Agonist binding to the extracellular ligand binding domain of these receptors causes various conformational changes that culminate in formation of the ion channel. Previous structural investigations have provided important information about their mechanism of action, including uncovering a relationship between the degree of cleft closure in the binding domain and activation of the receptor. However, what question remains unanswered is how specific interactions between the agonist and the protein interplay with cleft closure to mediate receptor activation. ^ To investigate this question, I applied a multiscale approach to investigate the effects of agonist binding on various levels. Vibrational spectroscopy was utilized to investigate molecular-level interactions in the binding pocket, and fluorescence resonance energy transfer (FRET) was employed to measure cleft closure in the isolated ligand binding domain. The results of these studies in the isolated binding domain were then correlated to activation of the full receptor. These investigations showed a relationship between the strength of the interaction at the α-amine group of the agonist and extent of receptor activation, where a stronger interaction correlated to a larger activation, which was upheld even when the extent of cleft closure did not correlate to activation. These results show that this interaction at the α-amine group is critical in mediating the allosteric mechanism of activation and provide a bit more insight into how agonist binding is coupled to channel gating in AMPA receptors. ^

Improving the health and well-being of women at risk for neural tube defect recurrence

There is growing interest in providing women with internatal care, a package of healthcare and ancillary services that can improve their health during the period after the termination of one pregnancy but before the conception of the next pregnancy. Women who have had a pregnancy affected by a neural tube defect can especially benefit from internatal care because they are at increased risk for recurrence and improvements to their health during the inter-pregnancy period can prevent future negative birth outcomes. The dissertation provides three papers that inform the content of internatal care for women at risk for recurrence by examining descriptive epidemiology to develop an accurate risk profile of the population, assessing whether women at risk for recurrence would benefit from a psychosocial intervention, and determining how to improve health promotion efforts targeting folic acid use.^ Paper one identifies information relevant for developing risk profiles and conducting risk assessments. A number of investigations have found that the risk for neural tube defects differs between non-Hispanic Whites and Hispanics. To understand the risk difference, the descriptive epidemiology of spina bifida and anencephaly was examined for Hispanics and non-Hispanic Whites based on data from the Texas Birth Defects Registry for the years 1999 through 2004. Crude and adjusted birth prevalence ratios and corresponding 95% confidence intervals were calculated between descriptive epidemiologic characteristics and anencephaly and spina bifida for non-Hispanic Whites and for Hispanics. In both race/ethnic groups, anencephaly expressed an inverse relationship with maternal age and a positive linear relationship with parity. Both relationships were stronger in non-Hispanic Whites. Female infants had a higher risk for anencephaly in non-Hispanic Whites. Lower maternal education was associated with increased risk for spina bifida in Hispanics.^ Paper two assesses the need for a psychosocial intervention. For mothers who have children with spina bifida, the transition to motherhood can be stressful. This qualitative study explored the process of becoming a mother to a child with spina bifida focusing particularly on stress and coping in the immediate postnatal environment. Semi-structured interviews were conducted with six mothers who have children with spina bifida. Mothers were asked about their initial emotional and problem-based coping efforts, the quality and kind of support provided by health providers, and the characteristics of their meaning-based coping efforts; questions matched Transactional Model of Stress and Coping (TMSC) constructs. Analysis of the responses revealed a number of modifiable stress and coping transactions, the most salient being: health providers are in a position to address beliefs about self-causality and prevent mothers from experiencing the repercussions that stem from maintaining these beliefs. ^ Paper three identifies considerations when creating health promotion materials targeting folic acid use. A brochure was designed using concepts from the Precaution Adoption Process Model (PAPM). Three focus groups comprising 26 mothers of children with spina bifida evaluated the brochure. One focus group was conducted in Spanish-only, the other two focus groups were conducted in English and Spanish combined. Qualitative analysis of coded transcripts revealed that a brochure is a helpful adjunct. Questions about folic acid support the inclusion of an insert with basic information. There may be a need to develop different educational material for Hispanics so the importance of folic acid is provided in a situational context. Some participants blamed themselves for their pregnancy outcome which may affect their receptivity to messages in the brochure. The women's desire for photographs that affect their perception of threat and their identification with the second role model indicate they belong to PAPM Stage 2 and 3. Participants preferred colorful envelopes, high quality paper, intimidating photographs, simple words, conversational style sentences, and positive messages.^ These papers develop the content of risk assessment, psychosocial intervention, and health promotion components of internatal care as they apply to women at risk for recurrence. The findings provided evidence for considering parity and maternal age when assessing nutritional risk. The two dissimilarities between the two race/ethnic groups, infant sex and maternal education lent support to creating separate risk profiles. Interviews with mothers of children with spina bifida revealed the existence of unmet needs-suggesting that a psychosocial intervention provided as part of internatal care can strengthen and support women's well-being. Segmenting the audience according to race/ethnicity and PAPM stage can improve the relevance of print materials promoting folic acid use.^

Obtención de clones de alcornoque (Quercus suber L.) mediante embriogénesis somática: aplicación de medios líquidos y biorreactores en la sincronización de los procesos de desarrollo y maduración de los embriones

El alcornoque tiene un gran valor ambiental, como integrante de los ecosistemas forestales mediterráneos, e interés comercial por el valor de la bellota (alimentación del cerdo ibérico), el carbón, la madera y sobre todo por las aplicaciones industriales del corcho. Las posibilidades de mejora genética del alcornoque, como las de otras especies forestales, están limitadas por sus largos ciclos reproductivos y porque su propagación vegetativa mediante estaquillado solo es posible en estados muy juveniles. Por ello este sistema de propagación tiene muy poca, o ninguna, utilidad práctica en la mejora genética. La embriogénesis somática es la vía más apropiada para la clonación de muchas especies forestales y ha hecho posible el desarrollo a gran escala de plantaciones multivarietales de coníferas. En alcornoque es posible la regeneración completa de árboles adultos mediante embriogénesis somática. Con los protocolos actuales (en medio semisólido), los embriones se generan formando acúmulos y en la fase de multiplicación conviven embriones en distintos estados de desarrollo. Es un sistema asincrónico, con baja eficacia para la propagación en masa, que no elimina completamente las dificultades para el desarrollo de programas de mejora genética del alcornoque. En otras especies la utilización de medios líquidos ha mejorado: la sincronización, productividad de los cultivos, el manejo y reducido los costes de producción. Por ello el desarrollo de suspensiones embriogénicas de alcornoque se plantea como una vía para aumentar la eficacia de la propagación clonal a gran escala. En la presente tesis se desarrollan cultivos embriogénicos de alcornoque en medio líquido. El capítulo 3 aborda el establecimiento y mantenimiento de suspensiones, el capítulo 4 el desarrollo de una fase de proliferación en medio líquido y el capítulo 5 la utilización de sistemas de cultivo en medio líquido, estacionarios y de inmersión temporal, como vía para favorecer la maduración de los embriones somáticos. Para iniciar los cultivos en medio líquido se emplearon agregados de embriones tomados de la fase de proliferación en medio semisólido. Cuando estos agregados se inocularon directamente en medio líquido no se logró el establecimiento de las suspensiones. El establecimiento se consiguió empleando como inóculo las células y Resumen pequeños agregados embriogénicos, de tamaño comprendido entre 41 y 800 μm, desprendidas por agitación breve de los agregados de embriones. El mantenimiento se logró inoculando en baja densidad masas embriogénicas compactas de tamaño comprendido entre 0,8 y 1,2 mm. Estas suspensiones, muy heterogéneas, mantuvieron su capacidad de proliferación y de regeneración de embriones al menos durante diez subcultivos consecutivos. El protocolo de iniciación y mantenimiento, desarrollado inicialmente con un solo genotipo, fue eficaz cuando se probó sobre otros 11 genotipos de alcornoque. En la fase de proliferación se ensayaron tres tipos de envase y tres velocidades de agitación. La combinación envase × velocidad determinó el intercambio gaseoso, la disponibilidad de oxígeno y el estrés hidrodinámico. Los agregados embriogénicos de alcornoque crecieron incluso en condiciones de hipoxia no siendo la disponibilidad de oxígeno un factor limitante del crecimiento para tasas de trasferencia de oxígeno comprendidas entre 0,11 h-1 y 1,47 h-1. Por otra parte la producción de biomasa creció con el estrés hidrodinámico para valores de índice de cizalladura inferiores a 5 x 10-3 cm min-1. La mayor producción de biomasa se obtuvo con matraces Erlenmeyer de 100 ml y alta velocidad de agitación (160 rpm) mientras que la diferenciación de embriones se vio favorecida por bajas velocidades de agitación (60 rpm) asociadas con bajas disponibilidades de oxígeno. La posibilidad de madurar embriones de alcornoque en medio líquido se estudió utilizando sistemas de inmersión permanente y sistemas de inmersión temporal. En inmersión permanente no se diferenciaron embriones cotiledonares (posiblemente por hiperhidricidad). Los sistemas de inmersión temporal permitieron obtener embriones maduros en estado cotiledonar y capaces de regenerar plantas in vitro. Concentraciones de sacarosa superiores a 60 g l-1 y frecuencias de inmersión iguales o inferiores a una diaria, tuvieron efectos negativos para el desarrollo de los embriones somáticos. En los sistemas de inmersión temporal los parámetros físico-químicos del medio de cultivo se mantuvieron estables y no se observó ninguna limitación de nutrientes. No obstante, estos sistemas se vieron afectados por la evaporación que generó el flujo de aire necesario para desplazar el líquido en cada periodo de inmersión. Abstract ABSTRACT Cork oak is one of the most important tree species of the Mediterranean ecosystem. Besides its high environmental value has a great economic interest due to the sustainable production of acorns (to feed the Iberian pig) charcoal, timber and cork, which is a renewable natural product with various technological applications. As happens with other forest species, cork oak genetic improvement programs are limited by their long life cycles and because vegetative propagation by cuttings it´s only possible in very juvenile plants. Hence this propagation system is useless or has little practical use for breeding cork oak. Plant regeneration by somatic embryogenesis is the most suitable way for cloning many forest species, and it is the enabling technology which has allowed the establishment of large-scale conifer multi-varietal plantations. Clonal plant regeneration of mature cork oak trees can be achieved through somatic embryogenesis. Somatic embryos at different stages of development and forming clusters are produced during the multiplication phase with current protocols (using semisolid medium). This is an asynchronous low-efficient process not suitable for mass propagation, and therefore it does not solve the difficulties presented by cork oak breeding programs. Culture in liquid medium has been used with other species to improve: synchronization, yield, handling, and to reduce production costs. Thus the development of cork oak embryogenic suspension cultures is envisaged as a way to increase the efficiency of large scale clonal propagation. The thesis herein develops cork oak embryogenic cultures in liquid medium. In chapter 3 establishment and maintenance of suspension cultures are developed, chapter 4 studies proliferation phase in liquid medium and chapter 5 considers the use of different systems of culture in liquid medium, both stationary and temporary immersion, as a way to promote somatic embryos maturation. Clusters of embryos taken from proliferating cultures on semisolid medium were used to initiate the cultures in liquid medium. When these clusters were inoculated directly in liquid medium establishment of suspension cultures was not executed. However using, as initial inoculum, cells and cell aggregates with a size between 41 and 800 μm detached from these clusters of embryos, subjected to a brief shaking, suspension cultures could be established. Suspension maintenance was achieved by inoculating compact embryogenic Abstract clumps with a size between 0.8 and 1.2 mm at low density. The suspension cultures, very heterogeneous, retained both their proliferation and embryo regeneration capacity for at least ten consecutive subcultures. The initiation and maintenance protocol, initially developed with a single genotype, was effective when tested on 11 additional genotypes of cork oak. In proliferation phase three types of vessels and three different levels of agitation were assayed. The combination vessel × orbiting speed determined gas exchange, oxygen availability and hydrodynamic stress. Cork oak embryogenic aggregates grew even under hypoxia conditions; oxygen availability at transfer rates between 0.11 and 1.47 h-1 was not a limiting factor for growth. Furthermore the biomass production was increased with hydrodynamic stress when shear rate values were of less than 5 x 10-3 cm min-1. The highest biomass production was obtained with 100 ml Erlenmeyer flask and high stirring speed (160 rpm) while the differentiation of embryos was favored by low agitation speeds (60 rpm) associated with low oxygen availability. The possibility to mature cork oak somatic embryos in liquid medium was studied using both permanent immersion systems and temporary immersion systems. Cotyledonary embryos did not differentiate in permanent immersion conditions (probably due to hyperhydricity). Temporary immersion systems allowed obtaining mature cotyledonary embryos, which were able to regenerate plants in vitro. Sucrose concentrations above 60 g l-1 and immersion frequencies equal to or lower than one each 24 h had negative effects on somatic embryo development. Physicochemical parameters of the culture medium in temporary immersion systems were stable and showed no limitation of nutrients. However, these systems were affected by the evaporation generated by the airflow necessary to relocate the medium at each immersion period.

Modelización de series temporales complejas: de las redes de telecomunicación a los mercados financieros

Este trabajo aborda el problema de modelizar sistemas din´amicos reales a partir del estudio de sus series temporales, usando una formulaci´on est´andar que pretende ser una abstracci´on universal de los sistemas din´amicos, independientemente de su naturaleza determinista, estoc´astica o h´ıbrida. Se parte de modelizaciones separadas de sistemas deterministas por un lado y estoc´asticos por otro, para converger finalmente en un modelo h´ıbrido que permite estudiar sistemas gen´ericos mixtos, esto es, que presentan una combinaci´on de comportamiento determinista y aleatorio. Este modelo consta de dos componentes, uno determinista consistente en una ecuaci´on en diferencias, obtenida a partir de un estudio de autocorrelaci´on, y otro estoc´astico que modeliza el error cometido por el primero. El componente estoc´astico es un generador universal de distribuciones de probabilidad, basado en un proceso compuesto de variables aleatorias, uniformemente distribuidas en un intervalo variable en el tiempo. Este generador universal es deducido en la tesis a partir de una nueva teor´ıa sobre la oferta y la demanda de un recurso gen´erico. El modelo resultante puede formularse conceptualmente como una entidad con tres elementos fundamentales: un motor generador de din´amica determinista, una fuente interna de ruido generadora de incertidumbre y una exposici´on al entorno que representa las interacciones del sistema real con el mundo exterior. En las aplicaciones estos tres elementos se ajustan en base al hist´orico de las series temporales del sistema din´amico. Una vez ajustados sus componentes, el modelo se comporta de una forma adaptativa tomando como inputs los nuevos valores de las series temporales del sistema y calculando predicciones sobre su comportamiento futuro. Cada predicci´on se presenta como un intervalo dentro del cual cualquier valor es equipro- bable, teniendo probabilidad nula cualquier valor externo al intervalo. De esta forma el modelo computa el comportamiento futuro y su nivel de incertidumbre en base al estado actual del sistema. Se ha aplicado el modelo en esta tesis a sistemas muy diferentes mostrando ser muy flexible para afrontar el estudio de campos de naturaleza dispar. El intercambio de tr´afico telef´onico entre operadores de telefon´ıa, la evoluci´on de mercados financieros y el flujo de informaci´on entre servidores de Internet son estudiados en profundidad en la tesis. Todos estos sistemas son modelizados de forma exitosa con un mismo lenguaje, a pesar de tratarse de sistemas f´ısicos totalmente distintos. El estudio de las redes de telefon´ıa muestra que los patrones de tr´afico telef´onico presentan una fuerte pseudo-periodicidad semanal contaminada con una gran cantidad de ruido, sobre todo en el caso de llamadas internacionales. El estudio de los mercados financieros muestra por su parte que la naturaleza fundamental de ´estos es aleatoria con un rango de comportamiento relativamente acotado. Una parte de la tesis se dedica a explicar algunas de las manifestaciones emp´ıricas m´as importantes en los mercados financieros como son los “fat tails”, “power laws” y “volatility clustering”. Por ´ultimo se demuestra que la comunicaci´on entre servidores de Internet tiene, al igual que los mercados financieros, una componente subyacente totalmente estoc´astica pero de comportamiento bastante “d´ocil”, siendo esta docilidad m´as acusada a medida que aumenta la distancia entre servidores. Dos aspectos son destacables en el modelo, su adaptabilidad y su universalidad. El primero es debido a que, una vez ajustados los par´ametros generales, el modelo se “alimenta” de los valores observables del sistema y es capaz de calcular con ellos comportamientos futuros. A pesar de tener unos par´ametros fijos, la variabilidad en los observables que sirven de input al modelo llevan a una gran riqueza de ouputs posibles. El segundo aspecto se debe a la formulaci´on gen´erica del modelo h´ıbrido y a que sus par´ametros se ajustan en base a manifestaciones externas del sistema en estudio, y no en base a sus caracter´ısticas f´ısicas. Estos factores hacen que el modelo pueda utilizarse en gran variedad de campos. Por ´ultimo, la tesis propone en su parte final otros campos donde se han obtenido ´exitos preliminares muy prometedores como son la modelizaci´on del riesgo financiero, los algoritmos de routing en redes de telecomunicaci´on y el cambio clim´atico. Abstract This work faces the problem of modeling dynamical systems based on the study of its time series, by using a standard language that aims to be an universal abstraction of dynamical systems, irrespective of their deterministic, stochastic or hybrid nature. Deterministic and stochastic models are developed separately to be merged subsequently into a hybrid model, which allows the study of generic systems, that is to say, those having both deterministic and random behavior. This model is a combination of two different components. One of them is deterministic and consisting in an equation in differences derived from an auto-correlation study and the other is stochastic and models the errors made by the deterministic one. The stochastic component is an universal generator of probability distributions based on a process consisting in random variables distributed uniformly within an interval varying in time. This universal generator is derived in the thesis from a new theory of offer and demand for a generic resource. The resulting model can be visualized as an entity with three fundamental elements: an engine generating deterministic dynamics, an internal source of noise generating uncertainty and an exposure to the environment which depicts the interactions between the real system and the external world. In the applications these three elements are adjusted to the history of the time series from the dynamical system. Once its components have been adjusted, the model behaves in an adaptive way by using the new time series values from the system as inputs and calculating predictions about its future behavior. Every prediction is provided as an interval, where any inner value is equally probable while all outer ones have null probability. So, the model computes the future behavior and its level of uncertainty based on the current state of the system. The model is applied to quite different systems in this thesis, showing to be very flexible when facing the study of fields with diverse nature. The exchange of traffic between telephony operators, the evolution of financial markets and the flow of information between servers on the Internet are deeply studied in this thesis. All these systems are successfully modeled by using the same “language”, in spite the fact that they are systems physically radically different. The study of telephony networks shows that the traffic patterns are strongly weekly pseudo-periodic but mixed with a great amount of noise, specially in the case of international calls. It is proved that the underlying nature of financial markets is random with a moderate range of variability. A part of this thesis is devoted to explain some of the most important empirical observations in financial markets, such as “fat tails”, “power laws” and “volatility clustering”. Finally it is proved that the communication between two servers on the Internet has, as in the case of financial markets, an underlaying random dynamics but with a narrow range of variability, being this lack of variability more marked as the distance between servers is increased. Two aspects of the model stand out as being the most important: its adaptability and its universality. The first one is due to the fact that once the general parameters have been adjusted , the model is “fed” on the observable manifestations of the system in order to calculate its future behavior. Despite the fact that the model has fixed parameters the variability in the observable manifestations of the system, which are used as inputs of the model, lead to a great variability in the possible outputs. The second aspect is due to the general “language” used in the formulation of the hybrid model and to the fact that its parameters are adjusted based on external manifestations of the system under study instead of its physical characteristics. These factors made the model suitable to be used in great variety of fields. Lastly, this thesis proposes other fields in which preliminary and promising results have been obtained, such as the modeling of financial risk, the development of routing algorithms for telecommunication networks and the assessment of climate change.

Interactividad programada en el Game Engine de Blender

Con este proyecto se ha desarrollado una guía introductoria a uno de los aspectos más complejos y especializados de Blender, que es el control de su motor de videojuegos mediante programas escritos en Python. Está orientado a lectores que tienen un conocimiento amplio sobre el manejo de Blender, su interfaz y el funcionamiento de sus diferentes elementos, así como una mínima experiencia en cuanto a programación. Se ha organizado en una parte descriptiva, centrada en el lenguaje Python y en las bases de su uso para programar el motor de videojuegos (Game Engine) de Blender, y otra de práctica guiada, que constituye la mayoría del proyecto, donde se estudian de manera progresiva ejemplos concretos de uso del mismo. En la parte descriptiva se ha tratado tanto el funcionamiento más básico del lenguaje Python, especialmente las características que difieren de otros lenguajes de programación tradicionales, como su relación con Blender en particular, explicando las diferentes partes de la API de Blender para Python, y las posibles estrategias de uso. La parte práctica guiada, dado que esta interacción entre Blender y Python ofrece un rango de posibilidades muy amplio, se ha centrado en tres áreas concretas que han sido investigadas en profundidad: el control del objeto protagonista, de la cámara y la implementación de un mapa de orientación. Todas ellas se han centrado en torno a un ejemplo común, que consiste en un videojuego muy básico, y que, gracias a los ficheros de Blender que acompañan a esta memoria, sirve para apoyar las explicaciones y poder probar su efecto directamente. Por una parte, estos tres aspectos prácticos se han explicado exhaustivamente, y se han llevado hasta un nivel relativamente alto. Asimismo se han intentado minimizar las dependencias, tanto entre ellos como con la escena que se ha usado como ejemplo, de manera que sea sencillo usar los programas generados en otras aplicaciones. Por otra, la mayoría de los problemas que ha sido necesario resolver durante el desarrollo no son específicos de ninguna de las tres áreas, sino que son de carácter general, por lo que sus explicaciones podrán usarse al afrontar otras situaciones. ABSTRACT. This Thesis consists of an introductory guide to one of the most complex and specific parts of Blender, which is the control of its game engine by means of programs coded in Python. The dissertation is orientated towards readers who have a good knowledge of Blender, its interface and how its different systems work, as well as basic programming skills. The document is composed of two main sections, the first one containing a description of Python’s basics and its usage within Blender, and the second consisting of three practical examples of interaction between them, guided and explained step by step. On the first section, the fundamentals of Python have been covered in the first place, focusing on the characteristics that distinguish it from other programming languages. Then, Blender’s API for Python has also been introduced, explaining its different parts and the ways it can be used in. Since the interaction between Blender and Python offers a wide range of possibilities, the practical section has been centered on three particular areas. Each one of the following sections has been deeply covered: how to control the main character object, how to control the camera, and how to implement and control a mini-map. Furthermore, a demonstrative videogame has been generated for the reader to be able to directly test the effect of what is explained in each section. On the one hand, these three practical topics have been thoroughly explained, starting from the basis and gradually taking them to a relatively advanced level. The dependences among them, or between them and the demonstrative videogame, have been minimised so that the scripts or ideas can be easily used within other applications. On the other hand, most of the problems that have been addressed are not exclusively related to these areas, but will most likely appear in different situations, thus enlarging the field in which this Thesis can be used.

A Coreference Service for Enterprise Application Integration using Linked Data

The use of semantic and Linked Data technologies for Enterprise Application Integration (EAI) is increasing in recent years. Linked Data and Semantic Web technologies such as the Resource Description Framework (RDF) data model provide several key advantages over the current de-facto Web Service and XML based integration approaches. The flexibility provided by representing the data in a more versatile RDF model using ontologies enables avoiding complex schema transformations and makes data more accessible using Web standards, preventing the formation of data silos. These three benefits represent an edge for Linked Data-based EAI. However, work still has to be performed so that these technologies can cope with the particularities of the EAI scenarios in different terms, such as data control, ownership, consistency, or accuracy. The first part of the paper provides an introduction to Enterprise Application Integration using Linked Data and the requirements imposed by EAI to Linked Data technologies focusing on one of the problems that arise in this scenario, the coreference problem, and presents a coreference service that supports the use of Linked Data in EAI systems. The proposed solution introduces the use of a context that aggregates a set of related identities and mappings from the identities to different resources that reside in distinct applications and provide different views or aspects of the same entity. A detailed architecture of the Coreference Service is presented explaining how it can be used to manage the contexts, identities, resources, and applications which they relate to. The paper shows how the proposed service can be utilized in an EAI scenario using an example involving a dashboard that integrates data from different systems and the proposed workflow for registering and resolving identities. As most enterprise applications are driven by business processes and involve legacy data, the proposed approach can be easily incorporated into enterprise applications.