Assessing macro uncertainty in real-time when data are subject to revision

Model-based estimates of future uncertainty are generally based on the in-sample fit of the model, as when Box-Jenkins prediction intervals are calculated. However, this approach will generate biased uncertainty estimates in real time when there are data revisions. A simple remedy is suggested, and used to generate more accurate prediction intervals for 25 macroeconomic variables, in line with the theory. A simulation study based on an empirically-estimated model of data revisions for US output growth is used to investigate small-sample properties.

How Pragmatically Odd! Interface Delays and Pronominal Subject Distribution in the L2 Spanish of English Natives

Sorace (2000, 2005) has claimed that while L2 learners can easily acquire properties of L2 narrow syntax they have significant difficulty with regard to interpretation and the discourse distribution of related properties, resulting in so-called residual optionality. However, there is no consensus as to what this difficulty indicates. Is it related to an insurmountable grammatical representational deficit (in the sense of representation deficit approaches; e.g. Beck 1998, Franceschina 2001, Hawkins 2005), is it due to cross-linguistic interference, or is it just a delay due to a greater complexity involved in the acquisition of interface-conditioned properties? In this article, I explore the L2 distribution of null and overt subject pronouns of English speaking learners of L2 Spanish. While intermediate learners clearly have knowledge of the syntax of Spanish null subjects, they do not have target-like pragmatic knowledge of their distribution with overt subjects. The present data demonstrate, however, that this difficulty is overcome at highly advanced stages of L2 development, thus suggesting that properties at the syntax-pragmatics interface are not destined for inevitable fossilization.

On L2 Clustering and Resetting the Null Subject Parameter in L2 Spanish: Implications and Observations.

In this article, along with others, we take the position that the Null-Subject Parameter (NSP) (Chomsky 1981; Rizzi 1982) cluster of properties is narrower in scope than some originally contended. We test for the resetting of the NSP by English L2 learners of Spanish at the intermediate level, including poverty-of-the stimulus knowledge of the Overt Pronoun Constraint (Montalbetti 1984). Our participants are tested before and after five months' residency in Spain in an effort to see if increased amounts of native exposure are particularly beneficial for parameter resetting. Although we demonstrate NSP resetting for some of the L2 learners, our data essentially demonstrate that even with the advent of time/exposure to native input, there is no immediate gainful effect for NSP resetting.

What do effective teachers of literacy do? Subject knowledge and pedagogical choices for literacy

This article explores the fine detail of practice by three teachers, recognised as effective teachers of literacy. All three were observed during nine literacy lessons, working with Year 2 (6/7 year olds) classes of successful inner-city primary schools in the South of England. Data collection took place in 2003, just as their schools were moving away from the early prescription of the National Literacy Strategy (NLS), and follow up visits were made in 2005. My initial interest had been in what these three teachers did with the NLS in order to motivate pupils and ensure high pupil attainment. Following observations, interviews and coding of teacher-pupil interaction, it became clear that The NLS Framework for Teaching (DfES, 2001) was not the driver of their success but a valuable vehicle for subtle and intuitive teacher behaviours that grew from a detailed understanding of how children develop as readers and writers. Implications for training student teachers to marry theoretical understanding with the expectations of a prescribed curriculum for literacy are discussed.

Processing coordinate subject-verb agreement in L1 and L2 Greek

The present study examines the processing of subject-verb (SV) number agreement with coordinate subjects in pre-verbal and post-verbal positions in Greek. Greek is a language with morphological number marked on nominal and verbal elements. Coordinate SV agreement, however, is special in Greek as it is sensitive to the coordinate subject's position: when pre-verbal, the verb is marked for plural while when post-verbal the verb can be in the singular. We conducted two experiments, an acceptability judgment task with adult monolinguals as a pre-study (Experiment 1) and a self-paced reading task as the main study (Experiment 2) in order to obtain acceptance as well as processing data. Forty adult monolingual speakers of Greek participated in Experiment 1 and a hundred and forty one in Experiment 2. Seventy one children participated in Experiment 2: 30 Albanian-Greek sequential bilingual children and 41 Greek monolingual children aged 10–12 years. The adult data in Experiment 1 establish the difference in acceptability between singular VPs in SV and VS constructions reaffirming our hypothesis. Meanwhile, the adult data in Experiment 2 show that plural verbs accelerate processing regardless of subject position. The child online data show that sequential bilingual children have longer reading times (RTs) compared to the age-matched monolingual control group. However, both child groups follow a similar processing pattern in both pre-verbal and post-verbal constructions showing longer RTs immediately after a singular verb when the subject was pre-verbal indicating a grammaticality effect. In the post-verbal coordinate subject sentences, both child groups showed longer RTs on the first subject following the plural verb due to the temporary number mismatch between the verb and the first subject. This effect was resolved in monolingual children but was still present at the end of the sentence for bilingual children indicating difficulties to reanalyze and integrate information. Taken together, these findings demonstrate that (a) 10–12 year-old sequential bilingual children are sensitive to number agreement in SV coordinate constructions parsing sentences in the same way as monolingual children even though their vocabulary abilities are lower than that of age-matched monolingual peers and (b) bilinguals are slower in processing overall.

Cohabitation with a B16F10 melanoma-bearer cage mate influences behavior and dendritic cell phenotype in mice

This study evaluated the effects of cohabitation with a B16F10 melanoma-bearer cage mate on behavior and immune functions in mice. Five different experiments were conducted. In each of them, the female mice were divided into two groups: control and experimental. One mouse of each control pair was kept undisturbed and called ""companion of health partner"" (CHP). One mouse of each experimental pair was inoculated with B16FI0 cells and the other, the subject of this study, was called ""companion sick partner"" (CSP). On Day 20 of cohabitation, behavior and immune parameters from CHP and CSP mice were analyzed. In comparison to the CHP, the CSP mice: (1) presented an increased general locomotion in the open field and a decreased exploration time and number of entries in the plus-maze open arms; (2) had an enhanced expression of the CD80 costimulatory molecule on Iab(+)CD11c(+) spleen cells, but no differences were found on lymph nodes cells; (3) presented an altered differentiation of bone marrow cells in the presence of GM-CSF, IL-4, and LPS in vitro, resulting in a lower percentage of Iab(+)CD80(+) cells; (4) had a deficit in the establishment of a Delayed Type of Hypersensitivity to ovalbumin, which was associated to an in vitro proliferation of an IL-10-producing lymphocyte subpopulation after ovalbumin stimulation. Corticosterone levels detected on Day 20 of cohabitation were similar in CHP and CSP mice. It is shown here that DCs phenotype in mice is affected by conditions associated with behavioral alterations indicative of an anxiety-like state induced by the cohabitation with a tumor-bearer conspecific. This phenomenon occurred probably through a nondependent corticosterone mechanism. (C) 2009 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

A numerical method for solving the dynamic three-dimensional Ericksen-Leslie equations for nematic liquid crystals subject to a strong magnetic field

A finite difference technique, based on a projection method, is developed for solving the dynamic three-dimensional Ericksen-Leslie equations for nematic liquid crystals subject to a strong magnetic field. The governing equations in this situation are derived using primitive variables and are solved using the ideas behind the GENSMAC methodology (Tome and McKee [32]; Tome et al. [34]). The resulting numerical technique is then validated by comparing the numerical solution against an analytic solution for steady three-dimensional flow between two-parallel plates subject to a strong magnetic field. The validated code is then employed to solve channel flow for which there is no analytic solution. (C) 2009 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

Gli studi italiani sulla regina Cristina di Svezia negli ultimi cinquant'anni

Queen Christina of Sweden (1626-1689)) is probably the most important individual to directly link the cultures of Sweden and Italy, and thus fascinate scholars over the last four centuries. In the last fifty years, research on and interest in this monarch has been particularly intense. This has led to current international scientific debate concerning all the different cultural expressions in which Queen Cristina was particularly involved. However, until now there has been lacking a comprehensive work to illustrate the development of scientific research in Italian on Queen Christina. This article, therefore, without claiming to be exhaustive, aims to fill this gap by identifying the main direction of current research. The article, after briefly introducing previous works (both Italian and Swedish), demonstrates how the first major renaissance of international studies on Queen Cristina took place in Sweden in the early 1960s. Even more important was the subsequent turning point in 1989, when the tercentenary of the death of Queen Christina was celebrated and the Azzolino Collection at the Biblioteca Comunale in Jesi was opened. The article focuses on the studies in Italian during this latter period. To make the exposition more organic and, importantly, more accessible to those readers interested in only one particular aspect of the scientific studies about Queen Christina, the studies in Italian since 1689 are divided into different subject areas.

Uma metodologia para adaptação e melhoria de produtos a partir da engenharia reversa

O tema desta dissertação de mestrado é o estudo da Engenharia Reversa como ferramenta de suporte à melhoria e adaptação de produtos. A partir de conceitos teóricos sobre desenvolvimento de produtos e melhoria de processos, propõe-se uma metodologia para adaptação de produtos destinados à exportação. A metodologia proposta consiste de oito passos, contemplando etapas de identificação e priorização das demandas de adaptação de produtos e elencando ferramentas auxiliares no atingimento dos objetivos desejados. A etapa inicial deste trabalho consiste de uma revisão bibliográfica dividida em duas partes: (i) adaptação de produtos através da utilização da Engenharia Reversa e seus habilitadores, e (ii) ferramentas para melhoria de processos. Os tópicos contemplados em (ii) incluem ferramentas para o mapeamento de processos de manufatura e para a sua melhoria. Destaque especial é dado ao Desdobramento da Função Qualidade – QFD (Quality Function Deployment), a Análise de Modos e Efeitos de Falhas (FMEA – Failure Mode and Effect Analysis) e às Cartas de Processos. Na seqüência, apresentam-se os passos da metodologia proposta para a adaptação de produtos às demandas de mercado utilizando a Engenharia Reversa e seus habilitadores. Finalmente, os passos metodológicos são aplicados a um caso prático, cujo objetivo é a adaptação de um pincel, produzido por uma empresa gaúcha, às demandas de um distribuidor alemão de ferramentas manuais.

A relação subsidiária-matriz no mercado brasileiro de cosméticos

The objective of this work is to analyze the headquarters-subsidiary relation of a multinational company in the segment of cosmetics located in Brazil. In order to reach this objective, a revision of the literature on the international business area subject was carried, since this work aims to understand the different factors that influence the role of the subsidiaries in relation to the headquarters and to the markets they are installed. From this literature, some typologies were selected for the empirical analysis inside the selected company. The methodology used is a single case of study split in two sub-units of analysis, the subsidiary and the headquarters. For a better understanding of the research result, the characteristics of the multinational in the world, of the Brazilian cosmetic market and of the subsidiary are presented. This last one was divided in description of the operations, autonomy in relation to the headquarters and strategy. Finally, an analysis of the results combined with the literature explored in the typology is done, as well as an analysis in relation to the other authors not selected in the typology, but who were also considered in this work. The conclusion of this work makes possible to confirm that the subsidiary has no international responsibility and low autonomy in relation to its headquarters.

Da "invenção" da homossexualidade ao discurso das posses: uma análise interpretativa da identidade homossexual

O estudo de grupos socialmente marginalizados como gays, negros, usuários de drogas, entre outros, não é fácil, porém de extrema relevância para a área de comportamento do consumidor, pois a determinados grupos sociais é negado praticamente o status de membros de uma sociedade moderna e de consumo (BARBOSA, 2006). Dessa forma, esta tese de doutorado teve como objetivo investigar como o discurso associado a posses é utilizado por gays masculinos para enfrentarem o estigma da identidade homossexual nos níveis individual, familiar, grupal e social. A análise abrange tanto a identidade homossexual como o estigma relacionado a ela, considerando ambos como construções sociais impostas por um discurso médico produzido no século XIX, que, por sua vez, criou a categorização da homossexualidade. Como método de pesquisa adotou-se a observação de participantes no grupo gay da cidade do Rio de Janeiro e também foram realizadas 20 entrevistas semiestruturadas com gays masculinos entre os anos de 2005 e 2008. Os resultados sugerem que: (i) para os gays, o mundo culturalmente constituído parece estar dividido entre o “mundo gay” e o “mundo heterossexual”. A divisão entre estes dois mundos não se dá somente no imaginário dos gays, mas também pode ser representado por produtos e posses; (ii) alguns ambientes de consumo gay passam de um significado de profano para sagrado no decorrer da vida dos gays; (iii) o corpo é visto como uma construção cultural e representa valor no mundo gay, assim como também é usado como signo de distinção e hierarquia.