Civil war and foreign influence

We study a symmetric information bargaining model of civil war where a third (foreign) party can affect the probabilities of winning the conflict and the size of the post conflict spoils. We show that the possible alliance with a third party makes peaceful agreements difficult to reach and might lead to new commitment problems that trigger war. Also, we argue that the foreign party is likely to induce persistent informational asymmetries which might explain long lasting civil wars. We explore both political and economic incentives for a third party to intervene. The explicit consideration of political incentives leads to two predictions that allow for identifying the influence of foreign intervention on civil war incidence. Both predictions are confirmed for the case of the U.S. as a potential intervening nation: (i) civil wars around the world are more likely under Republican governments and (ii) the probability of civil wars decreases with U.S. presidential approval rates.

The biology of Aedes (Ochlerotatus) albifasciatus Macquart, 1838 (Diptera: Culicidae) in Central Argentina

Aedes albifasciatus is a flood water mosquito ocurring in the southern countries of South America. It is a competent vector of the Western Equine Encephalitis (WEE) and causes important losses on milk and beef production in central Argentina. Field work was carried out from December 1990 to March 1993, on a monthly basis during the dry season and biweekly during the rainy season. Larvae were collected using the 'dipping' technique and females with CDC traps baited with CO2. Field collected larvae were used to build laboratory cohorts, from which basic population parameters were estimated. Eggs survived up to six months on dry soil, although there was a linear decrease of viability with time. At 23ºC, larval development time was around nine days, and all adults emerged within one week. The estimation of larval development in the laboratory seems to be very near the development on the field, as larvae have been collected on average eight days after a rainfall. Egg to adult survival was 83%, with the highest mortality on fourth larval instar (6%). In the laboratory studies, sex proportion among the adults was 1:1, females lived longer than males (median 13 and five days, respectively), and adult survival pattern showed a constant number of individuals dying per unit time. Field collected females layed an average of 84 eggs per batch, and completing up to five gonotrophic cycles, suggesting an estimated survival of up to 35-50 days.

"Pa'que veas que te pido perdón en delante toda España" : pragmalingüística y análisis del discurso en los diálogos del talk show televisivo "Diario de Patricia" (2001-2011) : aproximaciones teóricas y análisis

Cette thèse s'inscrit dans le cadre de la Pragmalinguistique et d'Analyse du discours oral et offre une étude approfondie d'un talk show télévisuel espagnol, Diario de Patricia, format dans lequel la présentatrice du même nom reçoit des invités pour parler avec eux de leurs problèmes personnels. Ce travail propose une relecture de grandes théories pragmatiques (comme la Théorie des actes du langage, le Principe de coopération, la Théorie de la politesse ou encore la Théorie de la pertinence) et leur application à des discours réels. Les principes de la linguistique de l'interaction permettent également de décrire l'organisation des talk shows, les stratégies discursives de la présentatrice, la façon dont elle prépare chaque émission et planifie les interviews avec ses invités afin de provoquer chez ceux-ci des réactions émotionnelles qui l'intéressent en vue du taux d'audience. Ce travail de recherche présente également une analyse approfondie des mécanismes pragmalinguistiques utilisés par la présentatrice pour imposer son autorité et pour maîtriser la situation d'une façon que l'auteure qualifie de manipulation des invités, toujours sous une apparence d'empathie et de compréhension.

Intérêt des faibles doses de rt-PA dans les syndromes inflammatoires et hémorragiques du segment antérieur: étude clinique et revue de la littérature [Treatment of anterior segment fibrinous reactions and hemorrhage with intracameral low dose rt-PA: clinical study and review of the literature].

PURPOSE: to evaluate the efficacy and the safety of low dose intraocular tissue plasminogen activator (rt-PA) in the treatment of traumatic hyphema and postoperative fibrinous membrane. METHODS: Six microg to 10 microg of rt-PA was injected into the anterior chamber to treat severe fibrinous postoperative membranes and total traumatic hyphemae. RESULTS: Thirteen eyes of 13 patients were treated. Four cases of traumatic hyphema and 9 cases of fibrinous membranes were included. Complete fibrinolysis within 24 hours was observed in 4 cases (30.8%). A partial success was noted in 7 eyes (53.8%). No beneficial effect was observed in two cases of traumatic hyphema associated with intravitreal hemorrhage after penetrating trauma. No side effect attributable to rt-PA occurred. CONCLUSION: Low dose intraocular rt-PA appears to be safe and effective in the treatment of postoperative fibrinous membrane and endocular hemorrhage limited to the anterior chamber.

'A healthy city is an active city: A PA planning guide' (2008)

This planning guide provides a range of ideas, information and tools for developing a comprehensive plan for creating a healthy, active city by enhancing physical activity in the urban environment. By developing, improving and supporting opportunities in the built and social environments, city leaders and their partners can enable all citizens to be physically active in day-to-day life.

War and Natural Resource Exploitation

We build a theoretical framework that allows for endogenous conflict behaviour (i.e., fighting efforts) and for endogenous natural resource exploitation (i.e., speed, ownership, and investments). While depletion is spread in a balanced Hotelling fashion during peace, the presence of conflict creates incentives for rapacious extraction, as this lowers the stakes of future contest. This voracious extraction depresses total oil revenue, especially if world oil demand is relatively elastic and the government's weapon advantage is weak. Some of these political distortions can be overcome by bribing rebels or by government investment in weapons. The shadow of conflict can also make less efficient nationalized oil extraction more attractive than private extraction, as insecure property rights create a holdup problem for the private firm and lead to a lower license fee. Furthermore, the government fights less intensely than the rebels under private exploitation, which leads to more government turnover. Without credible commitment to future fighting efforts, private oil depletion is only lucrative if the government's non-oil office rents are large and weaponry powerful, which guarantees the government a stronger grip on office and makes the holdup problem less severe.

"Notice historique sur la ville et le comté d'Empurias" de Francesc Jaubert de Paçà (Presentació i facsímil de l'edició de 1823)

Article sobre l' erudit rossellonès M. Jaubert de Passà. El seu interès per la història antiga es plasma en la seva obra 'Notice historique sur la ville et le comte d'Empurias', publicada a Mémoires de la Société Royale des Antiquaires de France (París, 1823), llibret de 86 pàgines que pretén ser una història de la ciutat d'Empúries des d'abans de l'arribada dels foceus fins a principis del segle XVI i de la que els autors d'aquest article n'han editat un facsímil