929 resultados para Bayesian approaches
Resumo:
AbstractCancer treatment has shifted from cytotoxic and nonspecific chemotherapy to chronic treatment with targeted molecular therapies. These new classes of drugs directed against cancer-specific molecules and signaling pathways, act at a particular level of the tumor cell development. However, in both types of therapeutic approaches (standard cytotoxic chemotherapy and targeted signal transduction inhibitions), toxicity and side effects can occur. The aim of this thesis was to investigate various approaches to improve the activity and tolerability of cancer treatment, in a clinical setting, a) by molecular targeting through the use of tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKIs), whose dosage can be adapted to each patient according to plasma levels, and, b) in a preclinical model, by tissue targeting with locoregional administration of cytotoxic chemotherapy to increase drug exposure in the target tissue while reducing systemic toxicity of the treatment.A comprehensive program for the Therapeutic Drug Monitoring (TDM) of the new class of targeted anticancer drugs of TKIs in patient's blood has been therefore initiated comprising the setting up, validation and clinical application of a multiplex assay by liquid chromatography coupled to tandem mass spectrometry of TKIs in plasma from cancer patients. Information on drugs exposure may be clinically useful for an optimal follow-up of patients' anticancer treatment, especially in case of less than optimal clinical response, occurrence of adverse drug reaction effects and the numerous risks of drug-drug interactions. In this context, better knowledge of the potential drug interactions between TKIs and widely prescribed co- medications is of critical importance for clinicians, to improve their daily care of cancer patients. For one of the first TKI imatinib, TDM interpretation is nowadays based on total plasma concentrations but, only the unbound (free) form is likely to enter cell to exert its pharmacological action. Pharmacokinetic analysis of the total and free plasma level of imatinib measured simultaneously in patients have allowed to refine and validate a population pharmacokinetic model integrating factors influencing in patients the exposure of pharmacological active species. The equation developed from this model may be used for extrapolating free imatinib plasma concentration based on the total plasma levels that are currently measured in TDM from patients. Finally, the specific influence of Pglycoprotein on the intracellular disposition of TKIs has been studies in cell systems using the siRNA silencing approach.Another approach to enhance the selectivity of anticancer treatment may be achieved by the loco-regional administration of a cytostatic agent to the target organ while sparing non- affected tissues. Isolated lung perfusion (ILP) was designed for the treatment of loco-regional malignancies of the lung but clinical results have been so far disappointing. It has been shown in a preclinical model in rats that ILP with the cytotoxic agent doxorubicin alone allows a high drug uptake in lung tissue, and a low systemic toxicity, but was characterized by a high spatial tissular heterogeneity in drug exposure and doxorubicin uptake in tumor was comparatively smaller than in normal lung tissue. Photodynamic therapy (PDT) is a new approach for the treatment of superficial tumors, and implies the application of a sensitizer activated by a laser light at a specific wavelength, that disrupts endothelial barrier of tumor vessels to increase locally the distribution of cytostatics into the tumor tissue. PDT pre-treatment before intravenous administration of liposomal doxorubicin was indeed shown to selectively increase drug uptake in tumors in a rat model of sarcoma tumors to the lung.RésuméLe traitement de certains cancers s'est progressivement transformé et est passé de la chimiothérapie, cytotoxique et non spécifique, au traitement chronique des patients avec des thérapies moléculaires ciblées. Ces médicaments ont une action ciblée en interférant à un niveau spécifique du développement de la cellule tumorale. Dans les deux types d'approches thérapeutiques (chimiothérapie cytotoxique et traitements ciblés), on est confronté à la présence de toxicité et aux effets secondaires du traitement anticancéreux. Le but de cette thèse a donc été d'étudier diverses approches visant à améliorer l'efficacité et la tolérabilité du traitement anticancéreux, a) dans le cadre d'une recherche clinique, par le ciblage moléculaire grâce aux inhibiteurs de tyrosines kinases (TKIs) dont la posologie est adaptée à chaque patient, et b) dans un modèle préclinique, par le ciblage tissulaire grâce à l'administration locorégionale de chimiothérapie cytotoxique, afin d'augmenter l'exposition dans le tissu cible et de réduire la toxicité systémique du traitement.Un programme de recherche sur le suivi thérapeutique (Therapeutic Drug Monitoring, TDM) des inhibiteurs de tyrosine kinases a été ainsi mis en place et a impliqué le développement, la validation et l'application clinique d'une méthode multiplex par chromatographie liquide couplée à la spectrométrie de masse en tandem des TKIs chez les patients souffrant de cancer. L'information fournie par le TDM sur l'exposition des patients aux traitements ciblés est cliniquement utile et est susceptible d'optimiser la dose administrée, notamment dans les cas où la réponse clinique au traitement des patients est sous-optimale, en présence d'effets secondaires du traitement ciblé, ou lorsque des risques d'interactions médicamenteuses sont suspectés. Dans ce contexte, l'étude des interactions entre les TKIs et les co-médications couramment associées est utile pour les cliniciens en charge d'améliorer au jour le jour la prise en charge du traitement anticancéreux. Pour le premier TKI imatinib, l'interprétation TDM est actuellement basée sur la mesure des concentrations plasmatiques totales alors que seule la fraction libre (médicament non lié aux protéines plasmatiques circulantes) est susceptible de pénétrer dans la cellule pour exercer son action pharmacologique. L'analyse pharmacocinétique des taux plasmatiques totaux et libres d'imatinib mesurés simultanément chez les patients a permis d'affiner et de valider un modèle de pharmacocinétique de population qui intègre les facteurs influençant l'exposition à la fraction de médicament pharmacologiquement active. L'équation développée à partir de ce modèle permet d'extrapoler les concentrations libres d'imatinib à partir des concentrations plasmatiques totales qui sont actuellement mesurées lors du TDM des patients. Finalement, l'influence de la P-glycoprotéine sur la disposition cellulaire des TKIs a été étudiée dans un modèle cellulaire utilisant l'approche par la technologie du siRNA permettant de bloquer sélectivement l'expression du gène de cette protéine d'efflux des médicaments.Une autre approche pour augmenter la sélectivité du traitement anticancéreux consiste en une administration loco-régionale d'un agent cytostatique directement au sein de l'organe cible tout en préservant les tissus sains. La perfusion isolée du poumon (ILP) a été conçue pour le traitement loco-régional des cancers affectant les tissus pulmonaires mais les résultats cliniques ont été jusqu'à ce jour décevants. Dans des modèles précliniques chez le rat, il a pu être démontré que l'ILP avec la doxorubicine, un agent cytotoxique, administré seul, permet une exposition élevée au niveau du tissu pulmonaire, et une faible toxicité systémique. Toutefois, cette technique est caractérisée par une importante variabilité de la distribution dans les tissus pulmonaires et une pénétration du médicament au sein de la tumeur comparativement plus faible que dans les tissus sains.La thérapie photodynamique (PDT) est une nouvelle approche pour le traitement des tumeurs superficielles, qui consiste en l'application d'un agent sensibilisateur activé par une lumière laser de longueur d'onde spécifique, qui perturbe l'intégrité physiologique de la barrière endothéliale des vaisseaux alimentant la tumeur et permet d'augmenter localement la pénétration des agents cytostatiques.Nos études ont montré qu'un pré-traitement par PDT permet d'augmenter sélectivement l'absorption de doxorubicine dans les tumeurs lors d'administration i.v. de doxorubicine liposomale dans un modèle de sarcome de poumons de rongeurs.Résumé large publicDepuis une dizaine d'année, le traitement de certains cancers s'est progressivement transformé et les patients qui devaient jusqu'alors subir des chimiothérapies, toxiques et non spécifiques, peuvent maintenant bénéficier de traitements chroniques avec des thérapies ciblées. Avec les deux types d'approches thérapeutiques, on reste cependant confronté à la toxicité et aux effets secondaires du traitement.Le but de cette thèse a été d'étudier chez les patients et dans des modèles précliniques les diverses approches visant à améliorer l'activité et la tolérance des traitements à travers un meilleur ciblage de la thérapie anticancéreuse. Cet effort de recherche nous a conduits à nous intéresser à l'optimisation du traitement par les inhibiteurs de tyrosines kinases (TKIs), une nouvelle génération d'agents anticancéreux ciblés agissant sélectivement sur les cellules tumorales, en particulier chez les patients souffrant de leucémie myéloïde chronique et de tumeurs stromales gastro-intestinales. L'activité clinique ainsi que la toxicité de ces TKIs paraissent dépendre non pas de la dose de médicament administrée, mais de la quantité de médicaments circulant dans le sang auxquelles les tumeurs cancéreuses sont exposées et qui varient beaucoup d'un patient à l'autre. A cet effet, nous avons développé une méthode par chromatographie couplée à la spectrométrie de masse pour mesurer chez les patients les taux de médicaments de la classe des TKIs dans la perspective de piloter le traitement par une approche de suivi thérapeutique (Therapeutic Drug Monitoring, TDM). Le TDM repose sur la mesure de la quantité de médicament dans le sang d'un patient dans le but d'adapter individuellement la posologie la plus appropriée: des quantités insuffisantes de médicament dans le sang peuvent conduire à un échec thérapeutique alors qu'un taux sanguin excessif peut entraîner des manifestations toxiques.Dans une seconde partie préclinique, nous nous sommes concentrés sur l'optimisation de la chimiothérapie loco-régionale dans un modèle de sarcome du poumon chez le rat, afin d'augmenter l'exposition dans la tumeur tout en réduisant la toxicité dans les tissus non affectés.La perfusion isolée du poumon (ILP) permet d'administrer un médicament anticancéreux cytotoxique comme la doxorubicine, sélectivement au niveau le tissu pulmonaire où sont généralement localisées les métastases de sarcome. L'administration par ILP de doxorubicine, toxique pour le coeur, a permis une forte accumulation des médicaments dans le poumon, tout en épargnant le coeur. Il a été malheureusement constaté que la doxorubicine ne pénètre que faiblement dans la tumeur sarcomateuse, témoignant des réponses cliniques décevantes observées avec cette approche en clinique. Nous avons ainsi étudié l'impact sur la pénétration tumorale de l'association d'une chimiothérapie cytotoxique avec la thérapie photodynamique (PDT) qui consiste en l'irradiation spécifique du tissu-cible cancéreux, après l'administration d'un agent photosensibilisateur. Dans ce modèle animal, nous avons observé qu'un traitement par PDT permet effectivement d'augmenter de façon sélective l'accumulation de doxorubicine dans les tumeurs lors d'administration intraveineuse de médicament.
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Leishmania infantum (syn. Leishmania chagasi) is the etiological agent of visceral leishmaniasis (VL) in Brazil. The epidemiology of VL is poorly understood. Therefore, a more detailed molecular characterization at an intraspecific level is certainly needed. Herein, three independent molecular methods, multilocus microsatellite typing (MLMT), random amplification of polymorphic DNA (RAPD) and simple sequence repeats-polymerase chain reaction (SSR-PCR), were used to evaluate the genetic diversity of 53 L. infantum isolates from five different endemic areas in Brazil. Population structures were inferred by distance-based and Bayesian-based approaches. Eighteen very similar genotypes were detected by MLMT, most of them differed in only one locus and no correlation was found between MLMT profiles, geographical origin or the estimated population structure. However, complex profiles composed of 182 bands obtained by both RAPD and SSR-PCR assays gave different results. Unweighted pair group method with arithmetic mean trees built from these data revealed a high degree of homogeneity within isolates of L. infantum. Interestingly, despite this genetic homogeneity, most of the isolates clustered according to their geographical origin.
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Malaria remains a major world health problem following the emergence and spread of Plasmodium falciparum that is resistant to the majority of antimalarial drugs. This problem has since been aggravated by a decreased sensitivity of Plasmodium vivax to chloroquine. This review discusses strategies for evaluating the antimalarial activity of new compounds in vitro and in animal models ranging from conventional tests to the latest high-throughput screening technologies. Antimalarial discovery approaches include the following: the discovery of antimalarials from natural sources, chemical modifications of existing antimalarials, the development of hybrid compounds, testing of commercially available drugs that have been approved for human use for other diseases and molecular modelling using virtual screening technology and docking. Using these approaches, thousands of new drugs with known molecular specificity and active against P. falciparum have been selected. The inhibition of haemozoin formation in vitro, an indirect test that does not require P. falciparum cultures, has been described and this test is believed to improve antimalarial drug discovery. Clinical trials conducted with new funds from international agencies and the participation of several industries committed to the eradication of malaria should accelerate the discovery of drugs that are as effective as artemisinin derivatives, thus providing new hope for the control of malaria.
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In the forensic examination of DNA mixtures, the question of how to set the total number of contributors (N) presents a topic of ongoing interest. Part of the discussion gravitates around issues of bias, in particular when assessments of the number of contributors are not made prior to considering the genotypic configuration of potential donors. Further complication may stem from the observation that, in some cases, there may be numbers of contributors that are incompatible with the set of alleles seen in the profile of a mixed crime stain, given the genotype of a potential contributor. In such situations, procedures that take a single and fixed number contributors as their output can lead to inferential impasses. Assessing the number of contributors within a probabilistic framework can help avoiding such complication. Using elements of decision theory, this paper analyses two strategies for inference on the number of contributors. One procedure is deterministic and focuses on the minimum number of contributors required to 'explain' an observed set of alleles. The other procedure is probabilistic using Bayes' theorem and provides a probability distribution for a set of numbers of contributors, based on the set of observed alleles as well as their respective rates of occurrence. The discussion concentrates on mixed stains of varying quality (i.e., different numbers of loci for which genotyping information is available). A so-called qualitative interpretation is pursued since quantitative information such as peak area and height data are not taken into account. The competing procedures are compared using a standard scoring rule that penalizes the degree of divergence between a given agreed value for N, that is the number of contributors, and the actual value taken by N. Using only modest assumptions and a discussion with reference to a casework example, this paper reports on analyses using simulation techniques and graphical models (i.e., Bayesian networks) to point out that setting the number of contributors to a mixed crime stain in probabilistic terms is, for the conditions assumed in this study, preferable to a decision policy that uses categoric assumptions about N.
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A ubiquitous assessment of swimming velocity (main metric of the performance) is essential for the coach to provide a tailored feedback to the trainee. We present a probabilistic framework for the data-driven estimation of the swimming velocity at every cycle using a low-cost wearable inertial measurement unit (IMU). The statistical validation of the method on 15 swimmers shows that an average relative error of 0.1 ± 9.6% and high correlation with the tethered reference system (rX,Y=0.91 ) is achievable. Besides, a simple tool to analyze the influence of sacrum kinematics on the performance is provided.
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ABSTRACTThe Online Mendelian Inheritance in Man database (OMIM) reports about 3000 Mendelian diseases of known causal gene and about 2000 that remain to be mapped. These cases are often difficult to solve because of the rareness of the disease, the structure of the family (too big or too small) or the heterogeneity of the phenotype. The goal of this thesis is to explore the current genetic tools, before the advent of ultra high throughput sequencing, and integrate them in the attempt to map the genes behind the four studied cases. In this framework we have studied a small family with a recessive disease, a modifier gene for the penetrance of a dominant mutation, a large extended family with a cardiac phenotype and clinical and/or allelic heterogeneity and we have molecularly analyzed a balanced chromosomal translocation.RESUMELa base de données des maladies à transmission mendélienne, Online Mendelian Inheritance in Man (OMIM), contient environ 3000 affections à caractère mendélien pour lesquelles le gène responsable est connu et environ 2000 qui restent à élucider.Les cas restant à résoudre sont souvent difficiles soit par le caractère intrinsèquement rare de ces maladies soit à cause de difficultés structurelles (famille trop petite ou trop étendue) ou hétérogénéité du phénotype ou génétique. Cette thèse s'inscrit avant l'arrivée des nouveaux outils de séquençage à haut débit. Son but est d'explorer les outils génétiques actuels, et de les intégrer pour trouver les gènes impliqués dans quatre cas représentant chacun une situation génétique différente : nous avons étudié une famille de quatre individus avec une transmission récessive, recherché un gène modificateur de la pénétrance de mutations dominantes, étudié une famille étendue présentant un phénotype cardiaque cliniquement et/ou allèliquement hétérogène et nous avons fait l'analyse moléculaire d'une translocation chromosomique balancée.
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The genetic characterization of unbalanced mixed stains remains an important area where improvement is imperative. In fact, with current methods for DNA analysis (Polymerase Chain Reaction with the SGM Plus™ multiplex kit), it is generally not possible to obtain a conventional autosomal DNA profile of the minor contributor if the ratio between the two contributors in a mixture is smaller than 1:10. This is a consequence of the fact that the major contributor's profile 'masks' that of the minor contributor. Besides known remedies to this problem, such as Y-STR analysis, a new compound genetic marker that consists of a Deletion/Insertion Polymorphism (DIP), linked to a Short Tandem Repeat (STR) polymorphism, has recently been developed and proposed elsewhere in literature [1]. The present paper reports on the derivation of an approach for the probabilistic evaluation of DIP-STR profiling results obtained from unbalanced DNA mixtures. The procedure is based on object-oriented Bayesian networks (OOBNs) and uses the likelihood ratio as an expression of the probative value. OOBNs are retained in this paper because they allow one to provide a clear description of the genotypic configuration observed for the mixed stain as well as for the various potential contributors (e.g., victim and suspect). These models also allow one to depict the assumed relevance relationships and perform the necessary probabilistic computations.
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Orally transmitted Chagas disease has become a matter of concern due to outbreaks reported in four Latin American countries. Although several mechanisms for orally transmitted Chagas disease transmission have been proposed, food and beverages contaminated with whole infected triatomines or their faeces, which contain metacyclic trypomastigotes of Trypanosoma cruzi, seems to be the primary vehicle. In 2007, the first recognised outbreak of orally transmitted Chagas disease occurred in Venezuela and largest recorded outbreak at that time. Since then, 10 outbreaks (four in Caracas) with 249 cases (73.5% children) and 4% mortality have occurred. The absence of contact with the vector and of traditional cutaneous and Romana’s signs, together with a florid spectrum of clinical manifestations during the acute phase, confuse the diagnosis of orally transmitted Chagas disease with other infectious diseases. The simultaneous detection of IgG and IgM by ELISA and the search for parasites in all individuals at risk have been valuable diagnostic tools for detecting acute cases. Follow-up studies regarding the microepidemics primarily affecting children has resulted in 70% infection persistence six years after anti-parasitic treatment. Panstrongylus geniculatushas been the incriminating vector in most cases. As a food-borne disease, this entity requires epidemiological, clinical, diagnostic and therapeutic approaches that differ from those approaches used for traditional direct or cutaneous vector transmission.
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The log-ratio methodology makes available powerful tools for analyzing compositionaldata. Nevertheless, the use of this methodology is only possible for those data setswithout null values. Consequently, in those data sets where the zeros are present, aprevious treatment becomes necessary. Last advances in the treatment of compositionalzeros have been centered especially in the zeros of structural nature and in the roundedzeros. These tools do not contemplate the particular case of count compositional datasets with null values. In this work we deal with \count zeros" and we introduce atreatment based on a mixed Bayesian-multiplicative estimation. We use the Dirichletprobability distribution as a prior and we estimate the posterior probabilities. Then weapply a multiplicative modi¯cation for the non-zero values. We present a case studywhere this new methodology is applied.Key words: count data, multiplicative replacement, composition, log-ratio analysis
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BACKGROUND The objective of this research was to evaluate data from a randomized clinical trial that tested injectable diacetylmorphine (DAM) and oral methadone (MMT) for substitution treatment, using a multi-domain dichotomous index, with a Bayesian approach. METHODS Sixty two long-term, socially-excluded heroin injectors, not benefiting from available treatments were randomized to receive either DAM or MMT for 9 months in Granada, Spain. Completers were 44 and data at the end of the study period was obtained for 50. Participants were determined to be responders or non responders using a multi-domain outcome index accounting for their physical and mental health and psychosocial integration, used in a previous trial. Data was analyzed with Bayesian methods, using information from a similar study conducted in The Netherlands to select a priori distributions. On adding the data from the present study to update the a priori information, the distribution of the difference in response rates were obtained and used to build credibility intervals and relevant probability computations. RESULTS In the experimental group (n = 27), the rate of responders to treatment was 70.4% (95% CI 53.287.6), and in the control group (n = 23), it was 34.8% (95% CI 15.354.3). The probability of success in the experimental group using the a posteriori distributions was higher after a proper sensitivity analysis. Almost the whole distribution of the rates difference (the one for diacetylmorphine minus methadone) was located to the right of the zero, indicating the superiority of the experimental treatment. CONCLUSION The present analysis suggests a clinical superiority of injectable diacetylmorphine compared to oral methadone in the treatment of severely affected heroin injectors not benefiting sufficiently from the available treatments. TRIAL REGISTRATION Current Controlled Trials ISRCTN52023186.
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We put together the different conceptual issues involved in measuring inequality of opportunity, discuss how these concepts have been translated into computable measures, and point out the problems and choices researchers face when implementing these measures. Our analysis identifies and suggests several new possibilities to measure inequality of opportunity. The approaches are illustrated with a selective survey of the empirical literature on income inequality of opportunity.
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This paper presents and discusses the use of Bayesian procedures - introduced through the use of Bayesian networks in Part I of this series of papers - for 'learning' probabilities from data. The discussion will relate to a set of real data on characteristics of black toners commonly used in printing and copying devices. Particular attention is drawn to the incorporation of the proposed procedures as an integral part in probabilistic inference schemes (notably in the form of Bayesian networks) that are intended to address uncertainties related to particular propositions of interest (e.g., whether or not a sample originates from a particular source). The conceptual tenets of the proposed methodologies are presented along with aspects of their practical implementation using currently available Bayesian network software.
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High-resolution tomographic imaging of the shallow subsurface is becoming increasingly important for a wide range of environmental, hydrological and engineering applications. Because of their superior resolution power, their sensitivity to pertinent petrophysical parameters, and their far reaching complementarities, both seismic and georadar crosshole imaging are of particular importance. To date, corresponding approaches have largely relied on asymptotic, ray-based approaches, which only account for a very small part of the observed wavefields, inherently suffer from a limited resolution, and in complex environments may prove to be inadequate. These problems can potentially be alleviated through waveform inversion. We have developed an acoustic waveform inversion approach for crosshole seismic data whose kernel is based on a finite-difference time-domain (FDTD) solution of the 2-D acoustic wave equations. This algorithm is tested on and applied to synthetic data from seismic velocity models of increasing complexity and realism and the results are compared to those obtained using state-of-the-art ray-based traveltime tomography. Regardless of the heterogeneity of the underlying models, the waveform inversion approach has the potential of reliably resolving both the geometry and the acoustic properties of features of the size of less than half a dominant wavelength. Our results do, however, also indicate that, within their inherent resolution limits, ray-based approaches provide an effective and efficient means to obtain satisfactory tomographic reconstructions of the seismic velocity structure in the presence of mild to moderate heterogeneity and in absence of strong scattering. Conversely, the excess effort of waveform inversion provides the greatest benefits for the most heterogeneous, and arguably most realistic, environments where multiple scattering effects tend to be prevalent and ray-based methods lose most of their effectiveness.