943 resultados para Approximate Bayesian computation, Posterior distribution, Quantile distribution, Response time data
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A automação na gestão e análise de dados tem sido um fator crucial para as empresas que necessitam de soluções eficientes em um mundo corporativo cada vez mais competitivo. A explosão do volume de informações, que vem se mantendo crescente nos últimos anos, tem exigido cada vez mais empenho em buscar estratégias para gerenciar e, principalmente, extrair informações estratégicas valiosas a partir do uso de algoritmos de Mineração de Dados, que comumente necessitam realizar buscas exaustivas na base de dados a fim de obter estatísticas que solucionem ou otimizem os parâmetros do modelo de extração do conhecimento utilizado; processo que requer computação intensiva para a execução de cálculos e acesso frequente à base de dados. Dada a eficiência no tratamento de incerteza, Redes Bayesianas têm sido amplamente utilizadas neste processo, entretanto, à medida que o volume de dados (registros e/ou atributos) aumenta, torna-se ainda mais custoso e demorado extrair informações relevantes em uma base de conhecimento. O foco deste trabalho é propor uma nova abordagem para otimização do aprendizado da estrutura da Rede Bayesiana no contexto de BigData, por meio do uso do processo de MapReduce, com vista na melhora do tempo de processamento. Para tanto, foi gerada uma nova metodologia que inclui a criação de uma Base de Dados Intermediária contendo todas as probabilidades necessárias para a realização dos cálculos da estrutura da rede. Por meio das análises apresentadas neste estudo, mostra-se que a combinação da metodologia proposta com o processo de MapReduce é uma boa alternativa para resolver o problema de escalabilidade nas etapas de busca em frequência do algoritmo K2 e, consequentemente, reduzir o tempo de resposta na geração da rede.
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Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (FAPESP)
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Introduction: the improvements on the health area increased the brazilians life expectative. Because of it, more people becomes elder, passing through various common processes of aging, as the balance decrease. Resulting form this the risk of fall increase, and this has a negative impact on the quality of life. As more people become elder the institutionalization tax increase. Objectives: compare the balance and quality of life between institutionalized and non-institutionalized elders; correlate the Berg Balance Scale (BBS) with the Timed Up and Go test (TUG) and with the questionnaire “The Medical Outcome Study 36 – Item Short-Form Health Survey” (SF-36). Methods: were evaluated 20 elders, ten institutionalized (GI) and ten non-institutionalized (GNI). To the balance assessment were used the BBS and the TUG, the quality of life was evaluated using the SF-36. The signifi cance level was set to 5% (p<0,05). The GraphPad Prism 5# was used to analyze the data. To identify the distribution of the data was applied the Shapiro-Wilk test. In the comparison between groups, the normal distributed data were analyzed with the Unpaired Student t test. The non-normal distributed data were analyzed with the Mann-Whitney non-parametric test. The correlations were analyzed with the Pearson (normal data) and Spearman’s (non-normal data) tests. Results: the age average for each group was 72,8±8,36 years (GI) e 67,4±3,53 years (GNI). The GNI had a better performance than the GI in the BBS (*p=0,0017) as in the TUG (*p<0,0002). There wasn’t difference between the quality of life. There was correlation between EEB and TUG (-0,8907 for the GI and -0,7180 for the GNI) and between EEB and the functional capacity domain from the SF-36 (0,7657). Conclusion: the non-institutionalized elders presented best balance. It was found good correlation between TUG and BBS. In the studied sample, to be institutionalized didn’t infl uenced the quality of life.
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Currently , as a result of the significant increase in the number of elderly, one can observe an increase in the number of chronic diseases , among them Alzheimer's disease (AD) , which affects both patients and their caregivers , that due care with the patient , just overwhelmed , anxious and depressed. Therefore, this study aims to draw a profile of caregivers of Alzheimer's patients, correlating the physical activity of patients with levels of overload, anxiety, depression caregivers. For both sample consisted of 40 patients with AD to characterize the physical activity levels and perform activities of daily living. In addition, we evaluated 40 caregivers. Patient assessment was made through a medical history, beyond the score Clinical Dementia Rating (CDR), Mini - Mental State Examination (MMSE), Modified Baecke Questionnaire for Older Adults (MBQ) , Functional Activities Questionnaire PFEFFER (QAFP) , and the Self Perception Performance in Activities of Daily Living (EAPAVD). For assessing the caregiver was also used an interview, then the Neuropsychiatric Inventory (NPI), anxiety and depression scale (HAD) Scale and the Zarit caregiver burden (Zarit). The data were processed using descriptive procedures for the analysis of characterization of samples, such as cognitive screening and physical activity level and profile of caregivers. There was a normal distribution of the data using the Shapiro Wilk, For data with normal distribution were used parametric descriptive procedures using One Way ANOVA to compare groups and applying a post hoc Bonferroni. As for the data that showed the destruction not normal was used to standardize the test by Z -score , and then treated by means of parametric statistical procedures , as presented earlier . The Pearson correlation was used to identify possible associations between variables. It was assumed significance level of 5 % (p ≤ 0.05) for all analyzes. Given these results, we conclude that...
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Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (FAPESP)
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Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)
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The aim of this study was to determine the influence of climatic conditions on the hematological profile of Saanen and mixed-breed (1/2 Saanen x 1/2 Anglo-Nubian) goats, as well as to define reference values for these animals bred in Ceara, Brazil. Thirty goats were utilized and blood samples were collected monthly during the rainy (February to May) and dry (August to November) periods to obtain an erythrogram a leukogram. The averange were compared by the t-Student test and Mann Whitney test, with parametric and non-parametric distribution of the data, respectively, where p<0.05 was considered significant. A study was carried out of simple Pearson correlations of the hematological parameters with environmental and physiological variables. The number of red blood cells (RBCs) was higher in the Saanen goats and in the rainy period, while the hematocrit was higher in the dry period (p<0.05). The leukocytes and lymphocytes were higher in the 1/2S1/2 AN goats in the two periods (p<0.05). In the two genotypes, the leukocytes and lymphocytes were higher in the dry season and the segmented neutrophils higher in the rainy season (p<0.05). The other parameters did not differ (p>0.05). The RBCs and segmented neutrophils displayed a negative correlation with air temperature, but positive with relative humidity and rectal temperature (p<0.05). The hematocrit positively correlated with air temperature and respiratory rate (p<0.05). The leukocytes and lymphocytes showed a negative correlation with rectal temperature (p<0.05). It was therefore concluded that Saanen females are more affected by climatic variations and that the rainy season has a greater negative impact on hematological parameters. The values obtained could serve as a reference for these genotypes in Ceara.
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Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico (CNPq)
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Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (FAPESP)
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Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)
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Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)
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Pós-graduação em Ciências da Motricidade - IBRC
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Empirical approaches and, more recently, physical approaches, have grounded the establishment of logical connections between radiometric variables derived from remote data and biophysical variables derived from vegetation cover. This study was aimed at evaluating correlations of dendrometric and density data from canopies of Eucalyptus spp., as collected in Capao Bonito forest unit, with radiometric data from imagery acquired by the TM/Landsat-5 sensor on two orbital passages over the study site (dates close to field data collection). Results indicate that stronger correlations were identified between crown dimensions and canopy height with near-infrared spectral band data (rho(s)4), irrespective of the satellite passage date. Estimates of spatial distribution of dendrometric data and canopy density (D) using spectral characterization were consistent with the spatial distribution of tree ages during the study period. Statistical tests were applied to evaluate performance disparities of empirical models depending on which date data were acquired. Results indicated a significant difference between models based on distinct data acquisition dates.
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This thesis is based on five papers addressing variance reduction in different ways. The papers have in common that they all present new numerical methods. Paper I investigates quantitative structure-retention relationships from an image processing perspective, using an artificial neural network to preprocess three-dimensional structural descriptions of the studied steroid molecules. Paper II presents a new method for computing free energies. Free energy is the quantity that determines chemical equilibria and partition coefficients. The proposed method may be used for estimating, e.g., chromatographic retention without performing experiments. Two papers (III and IV) deal with correcting deviations from bilinearity by so-called peak alignment. Bilinearity is a theoretical assumption about the distribution of instrumental data that is often violated by measured data. Deviations from bilinearity lead to increased variance, both in the data and in inferences from the data, unless invariance to the deviations is built into the model, e.g., by the use of the method proposed in paper III and extended in paper IV. Paper V addresses a generic problem in classification; namely, how to measure the goodness of different data representations, so that the best classifier may be constructed. Variance reduction is one of the pillars on which analytical chemistry rests. This thesis considers two aspects on variance reduction: before and after experiments are performed. Before experimenting, theoretical predictions of experimental outcomes may be used to direct which experiments to perform, and how to perform them (papers I and II). After experiments are performed, the variance of inferences from the measured data are affected by the method of data analysis (papers III-V).
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Un sistema di distribuzione idropotabile (Water Distribution Network -WDN), data la sua complessità strutturale e funzionale, per l' ordinario esercizio richiede elevati quantitativi di energia. L'attuale trend tecnico/scientifico incoraggia la loro gestione e progettazione nell'ottica di un generale risparmio di energia che, oltre ad un indiscusso vantaggio economico, implica sopratutto una razionalizzazione dell'impiego di risorsa idrica. Questo è il contesto scientifico/culturale in cui il presente elaborato si colloca. Nello specifico, ci si propone la caratterizzazione energetica di la rete di distribuzione idrica Cabrera_network.(rivisitazione della rete presentata da E.Cabrera e M.Pardo nel loro studio del 2010) . Si sono quindi qualificati i legami tra i consumi energetici ed aspetti, quali: dimensionamento dei condotti, perdite idriche, tipologia di pompa centrifuga sfruttata e livello idrico massimo del serbatoio di compenso. Ciò è stato esplicato in due fasi di analisi. In una primo momento, si sono impiegati strumenti classi quali il simulatore idraulico Epanet2 e i fogli di calcolo Excel. In un secondo momento, il problema dell'ottimizzazione energetica della rete è stato risolto a mezzo l'algoritmo euristico GHEST. Al di là delle specifiche conclusioni, cui si rinvia, l'elaborato consente di cogliere un più generale profilo di ordine metodologico: l'importanza di una visione d'insieme del problema energetico in un sistema di distribuzione idropotabile, dalla quale, nel caso di specie, emerge che la scelta più ragionevole, al fine dell'ottimizzazione energetica, consiste nell'individuazione del più idoneo modello di pompa alimentante la rete. Per poi, data l'onere progettuale e applicativo che comporta, provvedere al reinvestimento dei capitali risparmiati in attività volte alla riduzione delle perdite idriche. Sono questi infatti, i due aspetti che più incidono sui consumi energetici nel caso di studio.