623 resultados para Zann, Greg
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Non-government actors such as think-tanks are playing an important role in Australian policy work. As governments increasingly outsource policy work previously done by education departments and academics to these new policy actors, more think-tanks have emerged that represent a wide range of political views and ideological positions. This paper looks at the emergence of the Grattan Institute as one significant player in Australian education policy with a particular emphasis on Grattan’s report ‘Turning around low-performing schools’. Grattan exemplifies many of the facets of Barber’s ‘deliverology’, as they produce reports designed to be easily digested, simply actioned and provide reassurance that there is an answer, often through focusing on ‘what works’ recipes. ‘Turning around low-performing schools’ is a perfect example of this deliverology. However, a close analysis of the Report suggests that it contains four major problems which seriously impact its usefulness for schools and policymakers: it ignores data that may be more important in explaining the turn-around of schools, the Report is overly reliant on NAPLAN data, there are reasons to be suspicious about the evidence assembled, and finally the Report falls into a classic trap of logic—the post hoc fallacy.
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Exposure to ambient air pollution is a major risk factor for global disease. Assessment of the impacts of air pollution on population health and the evaluation of trends relative to other major risk factors requires regularly updated, accurate, spatially resolved exposure estimates. We combined satellite-based estimates, chemical transport model (CTM) simulations and ground measurements from 79 different countries to produce new global estimates of annual average fine particle (PM2.5) and ozone concentrations at 0.1° × 0.1° spatial resolution for five-year intervals from 1990-2010 and the year 2013. These estimates were then applied to assess population-weighted mean concentrations for 1990 – 2013 for each of 188 countries. In 2013, 87% of the world’s population lived in areas exceeding the World Health Organization (WHO) Air Quality Guideline of 10 μg/m3 PM2.5 (annual average). Between 1990 and 2013, decreases in population-weighted mean concentrations of PM2.5 were evident in most high income countries, in contrast to increases estimated in South Asia, throughout much of Southeast Asia, and in China. Population-weighted mean concentrations of ozone increased in most countries from 1990 - 2013, with modest decreases in North America, parts of Europe, and several countries in Southeast Asia.
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Historically, school leaders have occupied a somewhat ambiguous position within networks of power. On the one hand, they appear to be celebrated as what Ball (2003) has termed the ‘new hero of educational reform'; on the other, they are often ‘held to account’ through those same performative processes and technologies. These have become compelling in schools and principals are ‘doubly bound’ through this. Adopting a Foucauldian notion of discursive production, this paper addresses the ways that the discursive ‘field’ of ‘principal’ (within larger regimes of truth such as schools, leadership, quality and efficiency) is produced. It explores how individual principals understand their roles and ethics within those practices of audit emerging in school governance, and how their self-regulation is constituted through NAPLAN – the National Assessment Program, Literacy and Numeracy. A key effect of NAPLAN has been the rise of auditing practices that change how education is valued. Open-ended interviews with 13 primary and secondary school principals from Western Australia, South Australia and New South Wales asked how they perceived NAPLAN's impact on their work, their relationships within their school community and their ethical practice.
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Background The most common pathway to development of diabetes foot ulcers is repetitive daily activity stress on the plantar surface of the neuropathic foot. Studies suggest an association between different diabetic foot complications and physical activity. However, to the best of the authors knowledge the steps/day and sleep patterns of people with diabetic foot ulcers has yet to be investigated. This observational study aims to investigate the physical activity and sleep patterns of three groups of adults with type 2 diabetes and different foot complications Methods Participants with type 2 diabetes were recruited into three groups: 1. those with no reported foot complications (DNIL), 2. those with diagnosis of neuropathy (DPN) and 3. those with a neuropathic ulcer (DFU). Exclusion criteria included peripheral arterial disease and mobility aid use. Participants wore a SenseWear Pro 3 Armband continuously for 7 days and completed an Epworth Sleepiness Scale. The Armband is a validated automated measure of activity (walking steps, average Metabolic Equivalent Task (MET), physical activity (>3 METs) duration), energy expenditure(kJ) (total and physical activity (>3 METs)) and sleep (duration). Data on age, sex, BMI, diabetes duration and HbA1c were also collected. Results Sixty-Six (14 DNIL, 22 DPN and 30 DFU's participants were recruited; 71% males, mean age 61(±12) years, diabetes duration 13(±9) years, HbA1c 8.3(±2.8), BMI 32.6(±5.9), average METs 1.2(0.2). Significant differences were reported in mean(SD) steps/day (5,859(±2,381) in DNIL; 5,007(±3,349) in DPN and 3,271(±2,417) in DFU's and daily energy expenditure (10,868(±1,307)kJ in DNIL; 11,060(±1,916)kJ in DPN and 13,006(± 3,559) in DFU's(p <0.05). No significant differences were reported for average METs, physical activity duration or energy expenditure, sleep time or Epworth score (p>0.1). Conclusions Preliminary findings suggest people with diabetes are sedentary. Results indicate that patients with a diabetic foot ulcer work significantly less than those with neuropathy or nil complications and use significantly more energy to do so. Sleep Parameters showed no differences. Recruitment is still on going.
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This study examines the properties of Generalised Regression (GREG) estimators for domain class frequencies and proportions. The family of GREG estimators forms the class of design-based model-assisted estimators. All GREG estimators utilise auxiliary information via modelling. The classic GREG estimator with a linear fixed effects assisting model (GREG-lin) is one example. But when estimating class frequencies, the study variable is binary or polytomous. Therefore logistic-type assisting models (e.g. logistic or probit model) should be preferred over the linear one. However, other GREG estimators than GREG-lin are rarely used, and knowledge about their properties is limited. This study examines the properties of L-GREG estimators, which are GREG estimators with fixed-effects logistic-type models. Three research questions are addressed. First, I study whether and when L-GREG estimators are more accurate than GREG-lin. Theoretical results and Monte Carlo experiments which cover both equal and unequal probability sampling designs and a wide variety of model formulations show that in standard situations, the difference between L-GREG and GREG-lin is small. But in the case of a strong assisting model, two interesting situations arise: if the domain sample size is reasonably large, L-GREG is more accurate than GREG-lin, and if the domain sample size is very small, estimation of assisting model parameters may be inaccurate, resulting in bias for L-GREG. Second, I study variance estimation for the L-GREG estimators. The standard variance estimator (S) for all GREG estimators resembles the Sen-Yates-Grundy variance estimator, but it is a double sum of prediction errors, not of the observed values of the study variable. Monte Carlo experiments show that S underestimates the variance of L-GREG especially if the domain sample size is minor, or if the assisting model is strong. Third, since the standard variance estimator S often fails for the L-GREG estimators, I propose a new augmented variance estimator (A). The difference between S and the new estimator A is that the latter takes into account the difference between the sample fit model and the census fit model. In Monte Carlo experiments, the new estimator A outperformed the standard estimator S in terms of bias, root mean square error and coverage rate. Thus the new estimator provides a good alternative to the standard estimator.
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Koettu terveys on subjektiivinen mittari, jota voidaan käyttää objektiivisten mittareiden ohella kunnan sosiaali- ja terveyspolitiikan onnistumisen arviointiin sekä ohjaamaan palveluiden järjestämistä. Tutkimuksessa selvitettiin mahdollisuuksia tuottaa pienalue-estimointimenetelmillä tietoa Espoon eri alueiden 20–64 -vuotiaan väestön kokemasta terveydestä. Erityisesti työ keskittyi selvittämään; kuinka pienille Espoon alueille voidaan tuottaa luotettavaa tietoa käytettävissä olevasta otosaineistosta ja miten käytetty mallitaso sekä otoskoon kasvattaminen muiden pääkaupunkiseudun asukkaiden vastauksilla vaikuttaa estimointitulokseen? Tutkimusaineistona käytettiin vuoden 2008 aikana Helsingin sosiaalialan osaamiskeskuksen keräämän Pääkaupunkiseudun hyvinvointitutkimus -aineiston lisäksi Aluesarjat-tilastotietokannasta sekä Tilastokeskuksen Väestötilastopalvelusta saatavaa tietoa. Pienalue-estimointimenetelminä käytettiin malliavusteista GREG-estimointia sekä malliperusteista EBLUP-estimointia. Sekä Espoon että koko pääkaupunkiseudun otosaineistosta muodostettujen yksikkö- ja aluetason mallien parametrien ja Espoon eri alueiden 20–64 -vuotiaaseen väestöön liittyvän tiedon avulla tuotettiin alue-estimaatteja Espoon pien-, tilasto- ja suuralueille. Koetun terveyden aluekeskiarvon estimointi onnistui kaikilla aluetasoilla kyseisen aluetason malliin perustuvalla EBLUP-estimaattorilla. GREG-estimaattori onnistui vain suuraluetason estimoinnissa, muilla aluetasoilla alueiden pienet otoskoot huononsivat GREG-estimaatin tarkkuutta. Yksikkötason sekamallin huono selitysvoima ja mallista puuttuva selittäjä huononsivat siihen perustuvan EBLUP-estimaattorin tarkkuutta. Estimoinnin kannalta mallitasoa tärkeämmäksi osoittautui mallin hyvyyden toteutuminen. Voiman lainaaminen kohdejoukon ulkopuoliselta otokselta heikensi satunnaisvaikutuksen merkitsevyyttä ja alue-estimaattien välistä vaihtelua sekä lisäsi estimaattien tarkkuutta. Pienaluetiedon tuottaminen onnistuu EBLUP-estimaattoreilla jopa 85 pienalueelle noin 800 havainnon otosaineistosta, mikäli käytössä on luotettavaa lisäinformaatiota ja hyvä malli. GREG-estimaattori sallii huonomman mallin käytön, mutta edellyttää suurempia pienalueittaisia otoskokoja kuin EBLUP-estimaattorit. EBLUP-estimaattoreiden etuna on alueittaisen otoskoon lisäksi mahdollisuus perustaa estimointi sekä yksikkötasoiseen että aluetasoiseen malliin. Pienalueestimointimenetelmät lisäävät otosaineistojen hyödyntämismahdollisuuksia. Onnistumisen takaa menetelmiin sisältyvien, aineistoon ja malliin kohdistuvien vaatimusten huomiointi tiedonkeruun suunnitteluvaiheessa mm. kysymysten asettelussa. Pienalue-estimointimenetelmien käyttö edellyttää tilastollista osaamista, kriittisyyttä saatuja tuloksia kohtaan ja vastuullisuutta tuloksia julkaistaessa. Laatuvaatimukset täyttävät pienalue-estimaatit soveltuvat hyvin päätöksenteon tueksi, kun halutaan vertailla alueita ja kohdentaa resursseja tarvelähtöisesti.
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La influencia del manejo selectivo de malezas y coberturas sobre el crecimiento y rendimiento del café (Coffea arabica L.) después del recepo, fue evaluado desde febrero del 2000 a diciembre del 2001. El ensayo fue establecido en el Centro Experimental del Café del Pacífico conocido como Jardín Botánico, Masatepe, Masaya. Debido a que las plantas de café presentaron un excesivo crecimiento muy por arriba de lo normal, además del agotamiento producto de las seis cosechas de café uva realizadas durante los años 1994-1999, fue la causa de la recepa de las plantas a una altura de 40 cm por arriba de la superficie del suelo. Se estableció un diseño de bloques completos al azar (BCA) y se utilizó la variedad de café pacas. Los tratamientos consistieron en la erradicación total de las malezas con uso de machete y herbicidas (A), Manejo selectivo de malezas y coberturas con machete y herbicidas (B), Manejo selectivo de malezas y coberturas con machete, herbicidas y Arachis pintoiKrap & Greg (C), Manejo selectivo de malezas y coberturas con machete (D), Manejo selectivo de malezas y coberturas con machete y Arachis pintoi Krap & Greg (E). Las variables evaluadas fueron: Biomasa de malezas (g /m2) y su contenido de N, P y K, altura de plantas (cm), diámetro del tallo (mm), número de ramas primarias, número de nudos totales por rama, número de nudos productivos por rama, número de frutos totales por rama y rendimiento (grano oro en kg/ha). La biomasa de malezas y contenido de nutrientes se analizaron cualitativamente a través de tablas y figuras, interpretando su tendencia, cambios y asociaciones en el tiempo. Las variables de crecimiento y rendimiento se analizaron cuantitativamente por medio de ANDEVA al y comparación de medias a través de contrastes ortogonales. Se realizaron transformaciones en las variables discontinuas para mejorar la normalidad de los datos. En el manejo selectivo de malezas y coberturas con machete y Arachis pintoiKrap & Greg (E) se encontró una mayor cantidad de biomasa de las malezas nobles (175.50 g/m2) retornando al sistema suelo 5.0 kg de N, 0.61 kg de P y 6.3 kg de K por ha al final de la época lluviosa. El tratamiento selectivo mecánico-químico y Arachis pintoi Krap & Greg (C) presentó el mayor número de ramas con 37.60, y el mayor rendimiento con 486.51 grano oro en kg/ha, superando al manejo convencional (A) con 33.83 ramas y 364.57 grano oro en kg/ha. No se encontró diferencia significativa entre los tratamientos con respecto a las variables altura de plantas, diámetro de tallo, número de nudos por bandola, nudos productivos y rendimiento.
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In 2003, twelve marine protected areas were established in state waters (0-3 nmi) surrounding the Channel Islands. NOAA is considering extending this network (3-6 nmi) into deeper waters of the Channel Islands National Marine Sanctuary (CINMS). In order for effective long-term management of the deep water reserves to occur, a well-structured monitoring program is required to assess effectiveness. The CINMS and the National Marine Sanctuary Program (NMSP) hosted a 2-day workshop in April 2005 to develop a monitoring plan for the proposed federal marine reserves in that sanctuary. Conducted at the University of California at Santa Barbara, participants included scientists from academic, state, federal, and private research institutions. Workshop participants developed project ideas that could answer priority questions posed by the NMSP. This workshop report will be used to develop a monitoring plan for the reserves. (PDF contains 47 pages.)
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Gold Coast Water is responsible for the management of the water and wastewater assets of the City of the Gold Coast on Australia’s east coast. Treated wastewater is released at the Gold Coast Seaway on an outgoing tide in order for the plume to be dispersed before the tide changes and renters the Broadwater estuary. Rapid population growth over the past decade has placed increasing demands on the receiving waters for the release of the City’s effluent. The Seaway SmartRelease Project is designed to optimise the release of the effluent from the City’s main wastewater treatment plant in order to minimise the impact of the estuarine water quality and maximise the cost efficiency of pumping. In order to do this an optimisation study that involves water quality monitoring, numerical modelling and a web based decision support system was conducted. An intensive monitoring campaign provided information on water levels, currents, winds, waves, nutrients and bacterial levels within the Broadwater. These data were then used to calibrate and verify numerical models using the MIKE by DHI suite of software. The decision support system then collects continually measured data such as water levels, interacts with the WWTP SCADA system, runs the models in forecast mode and provides the optimal time window to release the required amount of effluent from the WWTP. The City’s increasing population means that the length of time available for releasing the water with minimal impact may be exceeded within 5 years. Optimising the release of the treated water through monitoring, modelling and a decision support system has been an effective way of demonstrating the limited environmental impact of the expected short term increase in effluent disposal procedures. (PDF contains 5 pages)
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Coastal managers need accessible, trusted, tailored resources to help them interpret climate information, identify vulnerabilities, and apply climate information to decisions about adaptation on regional and local levels. For decades, climate scientists have studied the impacts that short term natural climate variability and long term climate change will have on coastal systems. For example, recent estimates based on Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) warming scenarios suggest that global sea levels may rise 0.5 to 1.4 meters above 1990 levels by 2100 (Rahmstorf 2007; Grinsted, Moore, and Jevrejeva 2009). Many low-lying coastal ecosystems and communities will experience more frequent salt water intrusion events, more frequent coastal flooding, and accelerated erosion rates before they experience significant inundation. These changes will affect the ways coastal managers make decisions, such as timing surface and groundwater withdrawals, replacing infrastructure, and planning for changing land use on local and regional levels. Despite the advantages, managers’ use of scientific information about climate variability and change remains limited in environmental decision-making (Dow and Carbone 2007). Traditional methods scientists use to disseminate climate information, like peer-reviewed journal articles and presentations at conferences, are inappropriate to fill decision-makers’ needs for applying accessible, relevant climate information to decision-making. General guides that help managers scope out vulnerabilities and risks are becoming more common; for example, Snover et al. (2007) outlines a basic process for local and state governments to assess climate change vulnerability and preparedness. However, there are few tools available to support more specific decision-making needs. A recent survey of coastal managers in California suggests that boundary institutions can help to fill the gaps between climate science and coastal decision-making community (Tribbia and Moser 2008). The National Sea Grant College Program, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's (NOAA) university-based program for supporting research and outreach on coastal resource use and conservation, is one such institution working to bridge these gaps through outreach. Over 80% of Sea Grant’s 32 programs are addressing climate issues, and over 60% of programs increased their climate outreach programming between 2006 and 2008 (National Sea Grant Office 2008). One way that Sea Grant is working to assist coastal decision-makers with using climate information is by developing effective methods for coastal climate extension. The purpose of this paper is to discuss climate extension methodologies on regional scales, using the Carolinas Coastal Climate Outreach Initiative (CCCOI) as an example of Sea Grant’s growing capacities for climate outreach and extension. (PDF contains 3 pages)
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We compared numbers of strikes, proportions of fish that hooked up after strikes, proportions of fish that stayed on hook (retained) after hook up, and numbers of fish caught between circle and J hooks rigged with dead natural fish bait (ballyhoo)and trolled for three oceanic predator species: dolphinfish (Coryphaena hippurus), yellowfin tuna (Thunnus albacares), and wahoo (Acanthocybium solandri). Interactions were compared between circle and J hooks fished on 75 trips by two user groups (charter and recreational fishermen). Hooks were affixed to three species-specific leader types most commonly fished in this region: monofilament (dolphinfish), fluorocarbon (tuna), and wire (wahoo). Numbers of fish caught per trip and three potential mechanisms that might inf luence numbers caught (i.e., number of strikes, proportion of fish hooked, and proportion retained) were modeled with generalized linear models that considered hook type, leader type, species, user (fishing) group, and wave height as main effects. Hook type was a main effect at the catch level; generally, more fish were caught on J hooks than on circle hooks. The effect of hook type on strike rates was equivocal. However, J hooks had a greater proportion of hook-ups than did circle hooks. Finally, the proportion of fish retained once hooked was generally equal between hook types. We found similar results when data from additional species were pooled as a “tuna” group and a “mackerel” group. We conclude that J hooks are more effective than circle hooks at the hook-up level and result in greater numbers of troll-caught dolphinfish, tunas
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The tidal freshwater of Virginia supports anadromous herring (Alosa spp.) spawning runs in the spring; however, their importance as nutrient delivery vectors to the freshwater fish food web remains unknown. The stable isotope signatures of fishes from 21 species and four different guilds (predators, carnivores, generalists, and planktivores) were examined in this study to test the hypothesis that marine derived nutrients (MDNs) brought by anadromous fish would be traced into the guilds that incorporated them. Spawning anadromous fish were 13C and 34S-enriched (δ13C and δ34S of approximately 18‰ and 17.7‰, respectively) relative to resident freshwater fish. Of the guilds examined, only predators showed 13C and 34S-enrichment similar to the anadromous fish; however, some generalist catfish also showed enriched signatures. Specific fatty acid δ13C signatures for gizzard shad (Dorosoma cepedianum), blue catfish (Ictalurus furcatus), and alewife (Alosa pseudoharengus), show a 10‰ range among fishes, clearly reflecting isotopically distinct dietary sources. The δ13C and δ34S distribution and range among the freshwater fishes suggest that both autochthonous and allochthonous (terrestrial C3 photosynthetic production and MDN) nutrient sources are important to the tidal freshwater fish community.