897 resultados para Spatio-temporal dynamics


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Este trabalho avalia a variabilidade espaço-temporal da meiofauna do médiolitoral na praia de Ajuruteua, Estado do Pará. As coletas foram realizadas a cada dois meses, entre abril de 2003 a fevereiro de 2004 durante as marés de sizígia, em diferentes zonas da praia. As amostras foram retiradas com um amostrador cilíndrico de 3,14 cm2 e fixadas em formalina salina a 5%. Em laboratório, as amostras foram passadas em malha de 0,063 mm de abertura e os organismos retidos identificados em nível de grandes grupos taxonômicos, contados e fixados em álcool etílico a 70%. A meiofauna esteve representada por oito grupos: Turbellaria, Nematoda, Tardigrada, Polychaeta, Oligochaeta, Acari, adultos de Copepoda Harpacticoida e juvenis de Copepoda Harpacticoida. Nematoda foi o grupo dominante, representando 74% do total de indivíduos, seguido de Copepoda (19%). Pôde-se observar clara zonação horizontal da fauna, que se distribuiu em três faixas paralelas à linha de praia, com características significativamente distintas quanto à abundância, riqueza e densidade dos principais grupos taxonômicos. No médiolitoral médio foram observados valores significativamente mais elevados de riqueza e abundância, enquanto os valores mais baixos foram registrados no médiolitoral superior e inferior. A comunidade de meiofauna, ainda que não tenha variado significativamente entre períodos climáticos, foi mais rica e abundante nos meses secos. Os principais fatores responsáveis pelas variações espaço-temporais da meiofauna foram a ação das ondas e das marés e as variações na salinidade da água

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A ictiofauna de poças de maré tem sido bem estudada em regiões temperadas e tropicais do Pacifico. No Brasil, ainda é incipiente o conhecimento ecológico das poças de maré e das assembléias de peixes que as habitam. O presente estudo pretendeu investigar a composição e distribuição espaço-temporal das assembléias de peixes associadas às poças de maré em habitats de afloramento rochoso, floresta de mangue e marismas da Ilha do Areuá, estuário inferior do rio Curuçá, Norte do Brasil. Amostragens trimestrais foram realizadas entre fevereiro e novembro de 2009, durante a maré baixa de sizígia (lua nova), utilizando metodologia padronizada. As variáveis ambientais sofreram modificações ao longo do gradiente vertical e foram responsáveis pela distribuição espacial e temporal da ictiofauna no afloramento rochoso. A salinidade, profundidade média e heterogeneidade do substrato foram as variáveis que mais explicaram as variações na distribuição da ictiofauna. A comparação entre os habitats de afloramento rochoso, floresta de mangue e marismas evidenciou que as assembléias de peixes do afloramento rochoso são claramente distintas daquela presente nos habitats vegetados (floresta de mangue e marismas). Os resultados deste estudo sugerem que há preferências pela ictiofauna por determinados habitats em função das variáveis ambientais e heterogeneidade do substrato, porém mais estudos devem ser realizados levando em consideração relações inter e intra-especificas.

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A análise do comportamento da precipitação em uma bacia hidrográfica é fundamental para a engenharia e gerenciamento dos recursos hídricos. A Região Hidrográfica Tocantins-Araguaia (RHTA) pela sua ocupação recente e potencialidades econômicas, ganha destaque no cenário nacional. Este trabalho avalia quantitativamente a dinâmica espaço-temporal da precipitação anual nesta região durante um período de 30 anos de dados. A dinâmica da precipitação pode ser analisada pelo cálculo da precipitação média em uma dada área, compondo assim mapas de isoietas de precipitação anual. No entanto, a confecção destes mapas requer um método de interpolação que melhor represente as características pluviométricas em locais não amostrados para posterior análise quantitativa do comportamento da precipitação. Para tanto, foram realizados análises exploratórias descritivas amostral e espacial como requisito de estacionaridade do método de interpolação geoestatístico, ajuste e validação do modelo teórico que se adéque ao variograma de precipitação anual. Após a confecção do mapa de isoietas pelo método de Krigagem Ordinária (sem tendência) e Krigagem Universal (com tendência) foi realizado o cálculo do volume precipitado na região hidrográfica pelo método dos contornos. A dinâmica espacial da precipitação foi realizada com base na análise da estatística descritiva, mapa de isoietas, mapa hipsométrico, Índice de Irregularidade Meteorológica (IMM) e Coeficiente de Variação. A dinâmica temporal foi analisada pela distribuição dos totais anuais de precipitação volumétrica para cada sub-bacia da RHTA, pelo Índice de Anomalia Padronizada, na variação interanual de precipitação e teste de tendência e magnitude representados respectivamente pelo Teste de Mann Kendall e Sen’s. Os resultados correlacionados com as anomalias meteorológicas do Oceano Atlântico (Dipolo) e Pacífico (ENOS) indicam o comportamento da precipitação bastante heterogêneo e com grande variabilidade temporal principalmente na sub-bacia Tocantins-Alto (TOA) (14%). Diminuição da amplitude pluviométrica, em anos de anomalia meteorológica intensa ocasionando um incremento de precipitação ao sul das sub-bacias TOA e ARA e diminuição da precipitação na sub-bacia TOB, em eventos de El Niño. Não se pode comprovar pelo teste de Mann Kendall que há uma tendência estatisticamente significativa no volume precipitado na RHTA, mas o estimador Sen’s dá indícios de queda na precipitação na sub-bacia TOA (-1,24 Km³/ano) e Araguaia (ARA) (-1,13 Km³/ano) e aumento da precipitação na sub-bacia do Tocantins Baixo (TOB) (0,53 Km³/ano) e para a RHTA (-1,5 Km³/ano). Assim a variabilidade espacial e temporal nas sub-bacias está intimamente relacionada aos eventos de anomalia meteorológica, na qual, a sua ação ocorre de maneira irregular ao longo da área de estudo e pode influenciar as diversas atividades sócio-econômicas na RHTA de acordo com sua magnitude e área de ocorrência.

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Pós-graduação em Matematica Aplicada e Computacional - FCT

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Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (FAPESP)

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Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (FAPESP)

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Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (FAPESP)

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Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico (CNPq)

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Analytical methods accounting for imperfect detection are often used to facilitate reliable inference in population and community ecology. We contend that similar approaches are needed in disease ecology because these complicated systems are inherently difficult to observe without error. For example, wildlife disease studies often designate individuals, populations, or spatial units to states (e.g., susceptible, infected, post-infected), but the uncertainty associated with these state assignments remains largely ignored or unaccounted for. We demonstrate how recent developments incorporating observation error through repeated sampling extend quite naturally to hierarchical spatial models of disease effects, prevalence, and dynamics in natural systems. A highly pathogenic strain of avian influenza virus in migratory waterfowl and a pathogenic fungus recently implicated in the global loss of amphibian biodiversity are used as motivating examples. Both show that relatively simple modifications to study designs can greatly improve our understanding of complex spatio-temporal disease dynamics by rigorously accounting for uncertainty at each level of the hierarchy.

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Ecosystems may reflect environmental changes in many respects, from the debilitation of individuals to alterations in community composition. Equally, population parameters may provide reliable indications of environmental changes. Members of the sciaenid fish genus Stellifer are usually very abundant where they occur, often with two or more species living in sympatry. Here, the population dynamics of three Stellifer species from southeastern Brazil were assessed. Sampling was carried out in shallow marine areas of Caraguatatuba Bay, from August 2003 to October 2004. The species evaluated were Stellifer rastrifer (n=3183), S. brasiliensis (n=357) and S. stellifer (n=116). The area under greater continental influence tended to support more, but smaller individuals. Size variations over time were similar among species and negatively correlated with Krel, which showed smooth fluctuations. The general length-frequency distribution was concentrated between 6.0 and 9.0 cm, and the great majority of females did not present mature gonads during the sampling period. The findings support the existence of a stratification by size for these species, indicating that the area is essential for the development of younger fish. Failure to consider these characteristics for the management of similar areas may have serious implications for these environments.

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Turbulence is one of the key problems of classical physics, and it has been the object of intense research in the last decades in a large spectrum of problems involving fluids, plasmas, and waves. In order to review some advances in theoretical and experimental investigations on turbulence a mini-symposium on this subject was organized in the Dynamics Days South America 2010 Conference. The main goal of this mini-symposium was to present recent developments in both fundamental aspects and dynamical analysis of turbulence in nonlinear waves and fusion plasmas. In this paper we present a summary of the works presented at this mini-symposium. Among the questions to be addressed were the onset and control of turbulence and spatio-temporal chaos. (C) 2011 Elsevier B. V. All rights reserved.

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Background: In Cambodia, malaria transmission is low and most cases occur in forested areas. Seroepidemiological techniques can be used to identify both areas of ongoing transmission and high-risk groups to be targeted by control interventions. This study utilizes repeated cross-sectional data to assess the risk of being malaria sero-positive at two consecutive time points during the rainy season and investigates who is most likely to sero-convert over the transmission season. Methods: In 2005, two cross-sectional surveys, one in the middle and the other at the end of the malaria transmission season, were carried out in two ecologically distinct regions in Cambodia. Parasitological and serological data were collected in four districts. Antibodies to Plasmodium falciparum Glutamate Rich Protein (GLURP) and Plasmodium vivax Merozoite Surface Protein-119 (MSP-119) were detected using Enzyme Linked Immunosorbent Assay (ELISA). The force of infection was estimated using a simple catalytic model fitted using maximum likelihood methods. Risks for sero-converting during the rainy season were analysed using the Classification and Regression Tree (CART) method. Results: A total of 804 individuals participating in both surveys were analysed. The overall parasite prevalence was low (4.6% and 2.0% for P. falciparum and 7.9% and 6.0% for P. vivax in August and November respectively). P. falciparum force of infection was higher in the eastern region and increased between August and November, whilst P. vivax force of infection was higher in the western region and remained similar in both surveys. In the western region, malaria transmission changed very little across the season (for both species). CART analysis for P. falciparum in the east highlighted age, ethnicity, village of residence and forest work as important predictors for malaria exposure during the rainy season. Adults were more likely to increase their antibody responses to P. falciparum during the transmission season than children, whilst members of the Charay ethnic group demonstrated the largest increases. Discussion: In areas of low transmission intensity, such as in Cambodia, the analysis of longitudinal serological data enables a sensitive evaluation of transmission dynamics. Consecutive serological surveys allow an insight into spatio-temporal patterns of malaria transmission. The use of CART enabled multiple interactions to be accounted for simultaneously and permitted risk factors for exposure to be clearly identified.

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Ecosystems may reflect environmental changes in many respects, from the debilitation of individuals to alterations in community composition. Equally, population parameters may provide reliable indications of environmental changes. Members of the sciaenid fish genus Stellifer are usually very abundant where they occur, often with two or more species living in sympatry. Here, the population dynamics of three Stellifer species from southeastern Brazil were assessed. Sampling was carried out in shallow marine areas of Caraguatatuba Bay, from August 2003 to October 2004. The species evaluated were Stellifer rastrifer (n=3183), S. brasiliensis (n=357) and S. stellifer (n=116). The area under greater continental influence tended to support more, but smaller individuals. Size variations over time were similar among species and negatively correlated with Krel, which showed smooth fluctuations. The general length-frequency distribution was concentrated between 6.0 and 9.0 cm, and the great majority of females did not present mature gonads during the sampling period. The findings support the existence of a stratification by size for these species, indicating that the area is essential for the development of younger fish. Failure to consider these characteristics for the management of similar areas may have serious implications for these environments.

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Premise: In the literary works of our anthropological and cultural imagination, the various languages and the different discursive practices are not necessarily quoted, expressly alluded to or declared through clear expressive mechanisms; instead, they rather constitute a substratum, a background, now consolidated, which with irony and intertextuality shines through the thematic and formal elements of each text. The various contaminations, hybridizations and promptings that we find in the expressive forms, the rhetorical procedures and the linguistic and thematic choices of post-modern literary texts are shaped as fluid and familiar categories. Exchanges and passages are no longer only allowed but also inevitable; the post-modern imagination is made up of an agglomeration of discourses that are no longer really separable, built up from texts that blend and quote one another, composing, each with its own specificities, the great family of the cultural products of our social scenario. A literary work, therefore, is not only a whole phenomenon, delimited hic et nunc by a beginning and an ending, but is a fragment of that complex, dense and boundless network that is given by the continual interrelations between human forms of communication and symbolization. The research hypothesis: A vision is delineated of comparative literature as a discipline attentive to the social contexts in which texts take shape and move and to the media-type consistency that literary phenomena inevitably take on. Hence literature is seen as an open systematicity that chooses to be contaminated by other languages and other discursive practices of an imagination that is more than ever polymorphic and irregular. Inside this interpretative framework the aim is to focus the analysis on the relationship that postmodern literature establishes with advertising discourse. On one side post-modern literature is inserted in the world of communication, loudly asserting the blending and reciprocal contamination of literary modes with media ones, absorbing their languages and signification practices, translating them now into thematic nuclei, motifs and sub-motifs and now into formal expedients and new narrative choices; on the other side advertising is chosen as a signification practice of the media universe, which since the 1960s has actively contributed to shaping the dynamics of our socio-cultural scenarios, in terms which are just as important as those of other discursive practices. Advertising has always been a form of communication and symbolization that draws on the collective imagination – myths, actors and values – turning them into specific narrative programs for its own texts. Hence the aim is to interpret and analyze this relationship both from a strictly thematic perspective – and therefore trying to understand what literature speaks about when it speaks about advertising, and seeking advertising quotations in post-modern fiction – and from a formal perspective, with a search for parallels and discordances between the rhetorical procedures, the languages and the verifiable stylistic choices in the texts of the two different signification practices. The analysis method chosen, for the purpose of constructive multiplication of the perspectives, aims to approach the analytical processes of semiotics, applying, when possible, the instruments of the latter, in order to highlight the thematic and formal relationships between literature and advertising. The corpus: The corpus of the literary texts is made up of various novels and, although attention is focused on the post-modern period, there will also be ineludible quotations from essential authors that with their works prompted various reflections: H. De Balzac, Zola, Fitzgerald, Joyce, Calvino, etc… However, the analysis focuses the corpus on three authors: Don DeLillo, Martin Amis and Aldo Nove, and in particular the followings novels: “Americana” (1971) and “Underworld” (1999) by Don DeLillo, “Money” (1984) by Martin Amis and “Woobinda and other stories without a happy ending” (1996) and “Superwoobinda” (1998) by Aldo Nove. The corpus selection is restricted to these novels for two fundamental reasons: 1. assuming parameters of spatio-temporal evaluation, the texts are representative of different socio-cultural contexts and collective imaginations (from the masterly glimpses of American life by DeLillo, to the examples of contemporary Italian life by Nove, down to the English imagination of Amis) and of different historical moments (the 1970s of DeLillo’s Americana, the 1980s of Amis, down to the 1990s of Nove, decades often used as criteria of division of postmodernism into phases); 2. adopting a perspective of strictly thematic analysis, as mentioned in the research hypothesis, the variations and the constants in the novels (thematic nuclei, topoi, images and narrative developments) frequently speak of advertising and inside the narrative plot they affirm various expressions and realizations of it: value ones, thematic ones, textual ones, urban ones, etc… In these novels the themes and the processes of signification of advertising discourse pervade time, space and the relationships that the narrator character builds around him. We are looking at “particle-characters” whose endless facets attest the influence and contamination of advertising in a large part of the narrative developments of the plot: on everyday life, on the processes of acquisition and encoding of the reality, on ideological and cultural baggage, on the relationships and interchanges with the other characters, etc… Often the characters are victims of the implacable consequentiality of the advertising mechanism, since the latter gets the upper hand over the usual processes of communication, which are overwhelmed by it, wittingly or unwittingly (for example: disturbing openings in which the protagonist kills his or her parents on the basis of a spot, former advertisers that live life codifying it through the commercial mechanisms of products, sons and daughters of advertisers that as children instead of playing outside for whole nights saw tapes of spots.) Hence the analysis arises from the text and aims to show how much the developments and the narrative plots of the novels encode, elaborate and recount the myths, the values and the narrative programs of advertising discourse, transforming them into novel components in their own right. And also starting from the text a socio-cultural reference context is delineated, a collective imagination that is different, now geographically, now historically, and from comparison between them the aim is to deduce the constants, the similarities and the variations in the relationship between literature and advertising.

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Im Rahmen dieser Arbeit wurde die zeitaufgelöste Photoemissions Elektronenmikroskopie (TR-PEEM) für die in-situ Untersuchung ultraschneller dynamischer Prozesse in dünnen mikrostrukturierten magnetischen Schichten während eines rasch verändernden externen Magnetfelds entwickelt. Das Experiment basiert auf der Nutzung des XMCD-Kontrasts (X-ray magnetic circular dichroism) mit Hilfe des zirkularpolarisierten Lichts von Synchrotronstrahlungsquellen (Elektronenspeicherringen BESSY II (Berlin) und ESRF (Grenoble)) für die dynamische Darstellung der magnetischen Domänen während ultraschneller Magnetisierungsvorgänge. Die hier entwickelte Methode wurde als erfolgreiche Kombination aus einer hohen Orts- und Zeitauflösung (weniger als 55 nm bzw. 15 ps) realisiert. Mit der hier beschriebenen Methode konnte nachgewiesen werden, dass die Magnetisierungsdynamik in großen Permalloy-Mikrostrukturen (40 µm x 80 µm und 20 µm x 80 µm, 40 nm dick) durch inkohärente Drehung der Magnetisierung und mit der Bildung von zeitlich abhängigen Übergangsdomänen einher geht, die den Ummagnetisierungsvorgang blockieren. Es wurden neue markante Differenzen zwischen der magnetischen Response einer vorgegebenen Dünnfilm-Mikrostruktur auf ein gepulstes externes Magnetfeld im Vergleich zu dem quasi-statischen Fall gefunden. Dies betrifft die Erscheinung von transienten raumzeitlichen Domänenmustern und besonderen Detailstrukturen in diesen Mustern, welche im quasi-statischen Fall nicht auftreten. Es wurden Beispiele solcher Domänenmuster in Permalloy-Mikrostrukturen verschiedener Formen und Größen untersucht und diskutiert. Insbesondere wurde die schnelle Verbreiterung von Domänenwänden infolge des präzessionalen Magnetisierungsvorgangs, die Ausbildung von transienten Domänenwänden und transienten Vortizes sowie die Erscheinung einer gestreiften Domänenphase aufgrund der inkohärenten Drehung der Magnetisierung diskutiert. Ferner wurde die Methode für die Untersuchung von stehenden Spinwellen auf ultradünnen (16 µm x 32 µm groß und 10 nm dick) Permalloy-Mikrostrukturen herangezogen. In einer zum periodischen Anregungsfeld senkrecht orientierten rechteckigen Mikrostruktur wurde ein induziertes magnetisches Moment gefunden. Dieses Phänomen wurde als „selbstfangende“ Spinwellenmode interpretiert. Es wurde gezeigt, dass sich eine erzwungene Normalmode durch Verschiebung einer 180°-Néelwand stabilisiert. Wird das System knapp unterhalb seiner Resonanzfrequenz angeregt, passt sich die Magnetisierungsverteilung derart an, dass ein möglichst großer Teil der durch das Anregungsfeld eingebrachten Energie im System verbleibt. Über einem bestimmten Grenzwert verursacht die Spinwellenmode nahe der Resonanzfrequenz eine effektive Kraft senkrecht zur 180°-Néel-Wand. Diese entsteht im Zentrum der Mikrostruktur und wird durch die streufeldinduzierte Kraft kompensiert. Als zusätzliche Möglichkeit wurden die Streufelder von magnetischen Mikrostrukturen während der dynamischen Prozesse quantitativ bestimmt und das genaue zeitliche Profil des Streufelds untersucht. Es wurde gezeigt, dass das zeitaufgelöste Photoemissions Elektronenmikroskop als ultraschnelles oberflächensensitives Magnetometer eingesetzt werden kann.