Active surveillance of American tegumentary leishmaniasis in endemic areas in rural Bolivia

INTRODUCTION: American tegumentary leishmaniasis (ATL), including mucocutaneous leishmaniasis (MCL) and localized cutaneous leishmaniasis (LCL), is endemic in Bolivia. We describe the results of active surveillance of ATL from 2001 to 2006 and assess demographic data related to ATL epidemiology in the Yungas valleys. METHODS: Community-based active ATL surveillance was performed by the institutions SERVIR, CÁRITAS, and the Health Services Department of La Paz, whose files were reviewed retrospectively. A cross-sectional survey was carried out to assess demographic data in two communities. RESULTS: Two thousand nine hundred nine cases of ATL were detected from 2001 to 2006: 2,488 (85.5%) corresponded to LCL and 421 (14.5%) to MCL. A reduction in the proportion of mucosal cases was observed between 2001 and 2006. The proportion of MCL cases increased with age and was higher among males (15.5% versus 12.1%, p=0.018). The rate of positivity via direct observation of the parasite in dermal scrapings and in parasite cultivation was significantly higher for LCL than for MCL (p<0.001 and p=0.009, respectively). The rate of reactivity in the leishmanin skin test was higher in the group with mucosal lesions (p=0.012). The cross-sectional survey showed that 40% of the families had emigrated from the Altiplano. CONCLUSIONS: It is necessary to undertake continuous case detection of ATL in the area, where the disease presents a high rate of mucosal cases. Increasing incidence seems to be associated with immigration and continuous deforestation to expand the crop-growing areas.

The future of airline business models:

This research is titled “The Future of Airline Business Models: Which Will Win?” and it is part of the requirements for the award of a Masters in Management from NOVA BSE and another from Luiss Guido Carlo University. The purpose is to elaborate a complete market analysis of the European Air Transportation Industry in order to predict which Airlines, strategies and business models may be successful in the next years. First, an extensive literature review of the business model concept has been done. Then, a detailed overview of the main European Airlines and the strategies that they have been implementing so far has been developed. Finally, the research is illustrated with three case studies

Essays on bounded rationality: Individual decision and strategic interaction

Economics is a social science which, therefore, focuses on people and on the decisions they make, be it in an individual context, or in group situations. It studies human choices, in face of needs to be fulfilled, and a limited amount of resources to fulfill them. For a long time, there was a convergence between the normative and positive views of human behavior, in that the ideal and predicted decisions of agents in economic models were entangled in one single concept. That is, it was assumed that the best that could be done in each situation was exactly the choice that would prevail. Or, at least, that the facts that economics needed to explain could be understood in the light of models in which individual agents act as if they are able to make ideal decisions. However, in the last decades, the complexity of the environment in which economic decisions are made and the limits on the ability of agents to deal with it have been recognized, and incorporated into models of decision making in what came to be known as the bounded rationality paradigm. This was triggered by the incapacity of the unboundedly rationality paradigm to explain observed phenomena and behavior. This thesis contributes to the literature in three different ways. Chapter 1 is a survey on bounded rationality, which gathers and organizes the contributions to the field since Simon (1955) first recognized the necessity to account for the limits on human rationality. The focus of the survey is on theoretical work rather than the experimental literature which presents evidence of actual behavior that differs from what classic rationality predicts. The general framework is as follows. Given a set of exogenous variables, the economic agent needs to choose an element from the choice set that is avail- able to him, in order to optimize the expected value of an objective function (assuming his preferences are representable by such a function). If this problem is too complex for the agent to deal with, one or more of its elements is simplified. Each bounded rationality theory is categorized according to the most relevant element it simplifes. Chapter 2 proposes a novel theory of bounded rationality. Much in the same fashion as Conlisk (1980) and Gabaix (2014), we assume that thinking is costly in the sense that agents have to pay a cost for performing mental operations. In our model, if they choose not to think, such cost is avoided, but they are left with a single alternative, labeled the default choice. We exemplify the idea with a very simple model of consumer choice and identify the concept of isofin curves, i.e., sets of default choices which generate the same utility net of thinking cost. Then, we apply the idea to a linear symmetric Cournot duopoly, in which the default choice can be interpreted as the most natural quantity to be produced in the market. We find that, as the thinking cost increases, the number of firms thinking in equilibrium decreases. More interestingly, for intermediate levels of thinking cost, an equilibrium in which one of the firms chooses the default quantity and the other best responds to it exists, generating asymmetric choices in a symmetric model. Our model is able to explain well-known regularities identified in the Cournot experimental literature, such as the adoption of different strategies by players (Huck et al. , 1999), the inter temporal rigidity of choices (Bosch-Dom enech & Vriend, 2003) and the dispersion of quantities in the context of di cult decision making (Bosch-Dom enech & Vriend, 2003). Chapter 3 applies a model of bounded rationality in a game-theoretic set- ting to the well-known turnout paradox in large elections, pivotal probabilities vanish very quickly and no one should vote, in sharp contrast with the ob- served high levels of turnout. Inspired by the concept of rhizomatic thinking, introduced by Bravo-Furtado & Côrte-Real (2009a), we assume that each per- son is self-delusional in the sense that, when making a decision, she believes that a fraction of the people who support the same party decides alike, even if no communication is established between them. This kind of belief simplifies the decision of the agent, as it reduces the number of players he believes to be playing against { it is thus a bounded rationality approach. Studying a two-party first-past-the-post election with a continuum of self-delusional agents, we show that the turnout rate is positive in all the possible equilibria, and that it can be as high as 100%. The game displays multiple equilibria, at least one of which entails a victory of the bigger party. The smaller one may also win, provided its relative size is not too small; more self-delusional voters in the minority party decreases this threshold size. Our model is able to explain some empirical facts, such as the possibility that a close election leads to low turnout (Geys, 2006), a lower margin of victory when turnout is higher (Geys, 2006) and high turnout rates favoring the minority (Bernhagen & Marsh, 1997).

Preliminary screening of the larvicidal effect of Brevibacillus laterosporus strains against the blowfly Chrysomya megacephala(Fabricius, 1794) (Diptera: Calliphoridae)

AbstractINTRODUCTION: This study evaluated whether different strains of Brevibacillus laterosporus could be used to control larvae of the blowfly Chrysomya megacephala , a pest that affects both human and animal health.METHODS:Mortality rates were recorded after 1-mL suspensions of sporulated cells of 14 different strains of B. laterosporus were added to 2.5g of premixed diet consisting of rotting ground beef fed to first instar larvae of C. megacephala . All bioassays were performed using 10 larvae per strain, with a minimum of three replicates for each bioassay. Larval mortality was recorded daily up to seven days.RESULTS:Strains Bon 707, IGM 16-92, and Shi 3 showed the highest toxicity toward the larvae producing 70.5%, 64.5%, and 51.6% of larval mortality, respectively, which was significantly higher than that in the control group (p < 0.05). In contrast, strains NRS 1642, NRS 661, NRS 590 BL 856, NRS 342, ATCC 6457, Bon 712, and NRS 1247 showed limited or no pathogenic activity against the target larvae.CONCLUSIONS:Our preliminary data indicated that B. laterosporus could be used to develop bioinsecticides against C. megacephala .

Low coronary perfusion pressure is associated with endocardial fibrosis in a rat model of volume overload cardiac hypertrophy

Left ventricular hypertrophy following volume overload is regarded as an example of cardiac remodeling without increased fibrosis accumulation. However, infarction is associated with increased fibrosis within the noninfarcted, hypertrophied myocardium, particularly in the subendocardial regions. It is conceivable to suppose that, as also occurs postinfarction, low coronary driving pressure may also interfere with accumulation of myocardial fibrosis following aortocaval fistula. PURPOSE: To investigate the role of acute hemodynamic changes in subsequent deposition of cardiac fibrosis in response to aortocaval fistula. METHOD: Aortocaval fistula were created in 4 groups of Wistar rats that were followed over 4 and 8 weeks: aortocaval fistula 4 and aortocaval fistula 8 (10 rats each) and their respective controls (sham-operated controls - Sh), Sh4 and Sh8 (8 rats each). Hemodynamic measurements were performed 1 week after surgery. Hypertrophy and fibrosis were quantified by myocyte diameter and collagen volume fraction at the end of follow up. RESULT: Compared with Sh4 and Sh8, pulse pressure, left ventricular end-diastolic pressure, and +dP/dt were higher in aortocaval fistula 4 and aortocaval fistula 8, but -dP/dt was similar. Coronary driving pressure (mm Hg), used as an estimate of perfusion pressure, was lower in aortocaval fistula 8 (52.6 ± 4.1) than in Sh8 (100.8 ± 1.3), but comparable between aortocaval fistula 4 (50.0 ± 8.9) and Sh4 (84.8 ± 2.3). Myocyte diameter was greater in aortocaval fistula 8, whereas interstitial and subendocardial fibrosis were greater in aortocaval fistula 4 and aortocaval fistula 8. Coronary driving pressure correlated inversely and independently with subendocardial fibrosis (r² = .86, P <.001), whereas left ventricular systolic pressure (r² = 0.73, P = .004) and end-diastolic pressure (r² = 0.55, P = 012) correlated positively and independently with interstitial fibrosis. CONCLUSION: Coronary driving pressure falls and ventricular pressures increase early after aortocaval fistula and are associated with subsequent myocardial fibrosis deposition.

Presença e alterações da fauna de Artrópodos durante a preparação de um composto orgânico

No decorrer da preparação de um composto orgânico (150 dias de duração), foram feitas cinco amostragens para estudarem-se a presença e as alterações da fauna de artrópodos, durante algumas das diferentes fases de sua preparação. Foram utilizados, em seis canteiros feitos acima da superfície do solo, três tratamentos diferentes, além da inoculação bacteriana de três dos canteiros, aos 75 dias, e da cobertura de todos os canteiros com plástico durante uma boa parte do tempo de preparação do composto. Em todos os tratamentos, o grupo numericamente mais importante foi Acari (88-99, 5%), seguido por Collembola (0,3- 0%), Coleoptera (0, 1-1, 4%), Diplopoda (0,04-0,3%), Diptera (0,04-0,65%) e Formicidae (0,01-0,03%). O número de grupos taxonômicos e de indivíduos da fauna aumentou gradativamente com o tempo de preparação do composto, em todas os tratamentos. A inoculação bacteriana, aos 75 dias, resultou num incremento da fauna no tratamento 2 (com esterco de galinha), provavelmente em face do anterior fornecimento de uma eficiente fonte de nitrogênio e de microorganismos, representada pela adição inicial de esterco de galinha fresca ao material vegetal. Também a cobertura dos canteiros com plástico parece ter influido bastante na fauna presente no material, provocando uma sensível diminuição de sua densidade. O tratamento com esterco de galinha foi o que apresentou uma mais rápida colonização pela fauna, com uma maior diversidade de grupos taxonômicos e também o que teve uma mais rápida e completa humificação do material.

Efeito da cobertura morta sobre a produção de pimentão (Capsicum annum)

Realizou-se um ensaio visando avaliar os efeitos de três tipos de cobertura morta: pó de serra, casca de arroz e capim seco, sobre a produtividade do pimentão (Capsicum annum L.). O experimento foi realizado em solo de baixa fertilidade, classificado como Podzólico Vermelho Amarelo e no período designado regionalmente como "de verão", ou seja, no período do ano caracterizado pela menor precipitação pluviométrica. Com a finalidade de avaliar os efeitos qualitativos dos tratamentos, além dos efeitos quantita tivos, classificou-se a produção em duas categorias de frutos: comerciável e de refugo. Quando comparou-se com a testemunha-tratamento sem cobertura morta-evidenciaram-se efei tos benéficos das coberturas mortas, constituídas por pó de serra e casca de arroz, quando as produções foram expressas em termos de peso total de frutos e peso de frutos comerciáveis. O uso da cobertura morta constituída por capim seco não apresentou vantagens relacionadas com o incremento da produção de frutos. Quanto ao aspecto qualitativo, não foi detectado efeito benéfico da cobertura morta sobre a qualidade dos frutos produzidos. Tomando-se como base a produção da testemunha, estimou-se os incrementos de vido ao uso de pó de serra em 47% e 40% e de 48% e 48% devido à utilização da casca de arroz, quando mediu-se a produção total em peso e número, respectivamente. Para produção de frutos comerciáveis, os incrementos foram, respectivamente, 55% e 48% para pó de serra e 41% e 30% para casca de arroz.

Relações entre o déficit hídrico e alguns processos fisiológicos e bioquímicos em quatro clones de seringueira.

No presente trabalho estudou-se a variação da resistência difusiva estomática, teor de prolina livre e clorofila total durante um período de cinqüenta dias após a suspensão da rega em clones jovens de seringueira, IAC 222, IAN 717, IAN 873 e IAN 6484, visando-se avaliar suas resistências à seca. A tolerância ao déficit hídrico foi determinada através da resistência difusiva estomática e pelo acúmulo de prolina livre. Também avaliou-se o efeito de déficit hídrico sobre o teor de clorofila toal. O clone IAN 873 apresentou os mais altos valores da resistência estomática e de prolina livre, enquanto o teor de clorofila decresceu com o déficit hídrico. O clone IAN 717, comparado aos demais, mostrou baixa resistência estomática e o menor acúmulo de prolina livre, enquanto o teor de clorofila durante quase todo o período experimental. Os resultados sugerem que prolina livre é um parâmetro mais indicador do nível de hidratação do tecido do que de resistência à seca em seringueira. O clone IAN 873 foi o que sofreu maior desidratação. O clone 717 manteve os tecidos mais hidratados, sendo provavelmente o mais resistente.

CONTRIBUIÇÃO AO CONHECIMENTO DO SISTEMA RADICULAR DA PUPUNHEIRA (Bactris gasipaes KUNTH, PALMAE). II. SOLO LATOSSOLO AMARELO, TEXTURA ARGILOSA

A distribuição da biomassa e da área absorvente do sistema radicular da pupunheira (Bactris gasipaes)foram estudadas num latossolo amarelo, textura argilosa, perto de Manaus, Amazonas, Brasil. Aproximadamente 80% da biomassa se encontrava no horizonte Ap, da qual 90% se encontrava dentro da área de projeção da copa. A biomassa total estimada pesou 72 kg, excluindo-se a massa logo abaixo do estipe. A área superficial das raízes aumentou significativamente conforme se afastava do estipe, devido a proporção cada vez maior de raízes terciárias e quartenárias, embora sua abundância por m3 diminuiu de forma similar à biomassa. A área superficial total estimada chegou a 545 m2, da qual se supõe que 50% é ativa na absorção de nutrientes. Supõe-se ainda que existam raízes absorventes até 8-9 m do estipe das plantas. Recomenda-se que a adubação seja feita dentro e logo fora da projeção da copa.

Structured business solution for infrastructure projects

Companies seeking to continue growing and developing need to consider the possibility of international expansion and what that represents to their future. To tackle this challenge it becomes necessary to establish the company’s interests and priorities as well as defining and assessing the foreign market opportunities of a specific industry. This directed research internship proposes and conducts a simulation of the preliminary foreign market assessment and selection within the Juncker Plan: country filtering and ranking having as a frame of reference the second largest construction company in Brazil, Andrade Gutierrez.

On-board electric vehicle battery charger with enhanced V2H operation mode

This paper proposes an on-board Electric Vehicle (EV) battery charger with enhanced Vehicle-to-Home (V2H) operation mode. For such purpose was adapted an on-board bidirectional battery charger prototype to allow the Grid-to-Vehicle (G2V), Vehicle-to-Grid (V2G) and V2H operation modes. Along the paper are presented the hardware topology and the control algorithms of this battery charger. The idea underlying to this paper is the operation of the on-board bidirectional battery charger as an energy backup system when occurs a power outages. For detecting the power outage were compared two strategies, one based on the half-cycle rms calculation of the power grid voltage, and another in the determination of the rms value based in a Kalman filter. The experimental results were obtained considering the on-board EV battery charger under the G2V, V2G, and V2H operation modes. The results show that the power outage detection is faster using a Kalman filter, up to 90% than the other strategy. This also enables a faster transition between operation modes when a power outage occurs.

Avaliação de competências de literacia mediática : o caso português

O que são e como se avaliam as competências de literacia mediática dos indivíduos? O que tem sido feito em Portugal em matéria de avaliação deste tipo competências? Este artigo reflete sobre estas questões e revela o caso português: pouco explorado, limitado, mas em notável crescimento. Aqui se apresentam os estudos portugueses de avaliação de competências de literacia mediática mais significativos, as suas metodologias e principais conclusões. Uma nota curiosa: todos foram desenvolvidos na última década.