Power Study on Testing Epidemic Alternatives

Detecting change points in epidemic models has been studied by many scholars. Yao (1993) summarized five existing test statistics in the literature. Out of those test statistics, it was observed that the likelihood ratio statistic showed its standout power. However, all of the existing test statistics are based on an assumption that population variance is known, which is an unrealistic assumption in practice. To avoid assuming known population variance, a new test statistic for detecting epidemic models is studied in this thesis. The new test statistic is a parameter-free test statistic which is more powerful compared to the existing test statistics. Different sample sizes and lengths of epidemic durations are used for the power comparison purpose. Monte Carlo simulation is used to find the critical values of the new test statistic and to perform the power comparison. Based on the Monte Carlo simulation result, it can be concluded that the sample size and the length of the duration have some effect on the power of the tests. It can also be observed that the new test statistic studied in this thesis has higher power than the existing test statistics do in all of cases.

Préférences musicales alternatives et ajustement psychosocial à la fin de l’adolescence : une approche développementale semi-paramétrique

Essai doctoral présenté à la Faculté des études supérieures en vue de l'obtention du grade de Docteur en psychologie (D. Psy,), option clinique

Préférences musicales alternatives et ajustement psychosocial à la fin de l’adolescence : une approche développementale semi-paramétrique

Essai doctoral présenté à la Faculté des études supérieures en vue de l'obtention du grade de Docteur en psychologie (D. Psy,), option clinique

Vaccins à base de plante comme alternatives aux antibiotiques : évaluation du potentiel d'un extrait de tabac contenant rFaeGntd/dsc d’Escherichia coli entérotoxigénique (ETEC) à induire une réponse immunitaire chez le procelet sevré.

La diarrhée post-sevrage causée par Escherichia coli entérotoxigénique présentant le fimbriae F4 (ETEC F4+) cause actuellement des pertes économiques importantes dans l’industrie porcine canadienne. Afin de mieux contrôler cette maladie, et afin d’offrir une alternative à l’utilisation excessive d’antibiotiques, le projet décrit dans ce mémoire évalue la capacité de la sous-unité majeure du fimbriae F4, FaeG, à protéger les porcelets contre ETEC F4+. Trois phases animales ont été réalisées afin de tester séparément et de façon combinée l’effet de FaeG sous forme d’émulsion orale et sous forme d’injection intramusculaire (IM). Les analyses de dosages d’anticorps spécifiques et de proliférations lymphocytaires effectuées sur les échantillons recueillis à chaque phase animale permirent d’évaluer la réponse immunitaire mucosale et systémique. Les résultats finaux obtenus ont démontré un effet des injections IM sur l’activation de la production d’anticorps sanguins ainsi que sur la prolifération de cellules mononucléées sanguines (CMS). L’évaluation de l’expression de différents gènes dans les ganglions mésentériques et dans la muqueuse iléale a permis d’observer une modulation de l’expression de certains gènes (TLR4, NFκBIA, IFNg, CCL20, CXCL2, IL4 et IL17), mais également l’absence de modulation sur plusieurs gènes attendus. Au final, certains effets secondaires observés lors des immunisations de la dernière phase animale, tels que la diarrhée, la difficulté à respirer et la faiblesse, ont nécessité des analyses supplémentaires. Il a ainsi été déterminé que plusieurs porcelets ont subi une réaction de type anaphylactique aux immunisations reçues à la dernière phase animale, bien que la composante exacte causant cette réaction soit inconnue. En conclusion, bien qu’une réponse immunitaire puisse être déclenchée par FaeG, d’autres études seront nécessaires afin de développer un vaccin oral contre ETEC F4+

A complexity-based diagnostic on the democratic unity roundtable mud: problems and alternatives (2008-2016)

Este trabajo exploratorio estudia al movimiento político Mesa de la Unidad Democrática (MUD), creada con el fin de oponerse la Gobierno socialista existente en venezuela. La crítica que este documento realiza, parte desde el punto de vista de la Ciencia de la Complejidad. Algunos conceptos clave de sistemas complejos han sido utilizados para explicar el funcionamiento y organización de la MUD, esto con el objetivo de generar un diagnóstico integral de los problemas que enfrenta, y evidenciar las nuevas percepciones sobre comportamientos perjudiciales que el partido tiene actualmente. Con el enfoque de la complejidad se pretende ayudar a comprender mejor el contexto que enmarca al partido y, para, finalmente aportar una serie de soluciones a los problemas de cohesión que presen

Role of organic acids and phytonutrients as natural alternatives to antibiotics in supporting intestinal functionality

The gastrointestinal tract (GIT) represents the major portion of the body that interfaces with the external environment, with the double function of food processing and line of defense of the body. Numerous components support and regulate the barrier function of the GIT, such as tight junctions (TJs), cytokines, commensal and pathogenic microorganisms, and other systems of the organism, as the endocannabinoid system (ECS). The ECS can control several gastrointestinal functions, as well as the regulation of intestinal inflammation. Failure of the intestinal barrier function triggers an increase of the concentration of pro-inflammatory cytokines and leads to a reduction in intestinal functionality. This thesis aimed to explore the potential of natural compounds as a new alternative approach to antibiotics not only as antimicrobial, but also supporting intestinal maturation and integrity, and as immune-boosting agents. Different experiments were performed to evaluate the potential of nature-identical compounds (NICs), organic acids (OAs), and essential oils (EOs) to support and fight various stressful stimuli. In vitro, a well characterized blend of NICs and OAs were able to improve TJs and transepithelial electrical resistance (TEER) in an intestinal cell line, exerting an anti-inflammatory potential. EOs enhanced TEER and TJs mRNA levels, with a reduction of paracellular permeability, showing antioxidant and antimicrobial properties. In vivo, thymol modulates the gene expression of ECS and gut chemosensing in the GIT of piglets, where the precise localization of the cannabinoid receptors was immunohistochemically confirmed, suggesting an anti-inflammatory potential. In conclusion, natural alternative molecules represent an effective alternative to support or replace the classical pharmacological prophylaxis. These alternative molecules act not only as antimicrobial agents, but also exerted a crucial role in supporting the intestinal barrier function, preventing oxidative stress, and reducing inflammation. Moreover, thymol seems able to modulate the ECS, representing a novel frontier to support animal health and productivity.

Development And Shelf-life Determination Of Pasteurized, Microfiltered, Lactose Hydrolyzed Skim Milk.

The segment of the world population showing permanent or temporary lactose intolerance is quite significant. Because milk is a widely consumed food with an high nutritional value, technological alternatives have been sought to overcome this dilemma. Microfiltration combined with pasteurization can not only extend the shelf life of milk but can also maintain the sensory, functional, and nutritional properties of the product. This studied developed a pasteurized, microfiltered, lactose hydrolyzed (delactosed) skim milk (PMLHSM). Hydrolysis was performed using β-galactosidase at a concentration of 0.4mL/L and incubation for approximately 21h at 10±1°C. During these procedures, the degree of hydrolysis obtained (>90%) was accompanied by evaluation of freezing point depression, and the remaining quantity of lactose was confirmed by HPLC. Milk was processed using a microfiltration pilot unit equipped with uniform transmembrane pressure (UTP) ceramic membranes with a mean pore size of 1.4 μm and UTP of 60 kPa. The product was submitted to physicochemical, microbiological, and sensory evaluations, and its shelf life was estimated. Microfiltration reduced the aerobic mesophilic count by more than 4 log cycles. We were able to produce high-quality PMLHSM with a shelf life of 21 to 27d when stored at 5±1°C in terms of sensory analysis and proteolysis index and a shelf life of 50d in regard to total aerobic mesophile count and titratable acidity.

Implantation Of Transcatheter Aortic Valve Prosthesis Through The Ascending Aorta Concomitant With Coronary Artery Bypass Grafting Without Cardiopulmonary Bypass.

Introdution: The transcatheter aortic valve implantation in the treatment of high-risk symptomatic aortic stenosis has increased the number of implants every year. The learning curve for transcatheter aortic valve implantation has improved since the last 12 years, allowing access alternatives. The aim of this study is to approach the implantation of transcatheter aortic valve through transaortic via associated with off-pump cardiopulmonary bypass surgery in a 67-year-old man, with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, arterial hypertension and kidney transplant. Off-pump coronary artery bypass surgery was performed and the valve in the aortic position was released successfully. There were no complications in the intraoperative and postoperative period. Gradient reduction, effective orifice increasing of the prosthesis and absence of valvular regurgitation after implantation were observed by transesophageal echocardiography. Procedural success demonstrates that implantation of transcatheter aortic valve through the ascending aorta associated with coronary artery bypass surgery without CPB is a new option for these patients.

Solid Lipid Nanoparticles As Nucleic Acid Delivery System: Properties And Molecular Mechanisms.

Solid lipid nanoparticles (SLNs) have been proposed in the 1990s as appropriate drug delivery systems, and ever since they have been applied in a wide variety of cosmetic and pharmaceutical applications. In addition, SLNs are considered suitable alternatives as carriers in gene delivery. Although important advances have been made in this particular field, fundamental knowledge of the underlying mechanisms of SLN-mediated gene delivery is conspicuously lacking, an imperative requirement in efforts aimed at further improving their efficiency. Here, we address recent advances in the use of SLNs as platform for delivery of nucleic acids as therapeutic agents. In addition, we will discuss available technology for conveniently producing SLNs. In particular, we will focus on underlying molecular mechanisms by which SLNs and nucleic acids assemble into complexes and how the nucleic acid cargo may be released intracellularly. In discussing underlying mechanisms, we will, when appropriate, refer to analogous studies carried out with systems based on cationic lipids and polymers, that have proven useful in the assessment of structure-function relationships. Finally, we will give suggestions for improving SLN-based gene delivery systems, by pointing to alternative methods for SLNplex assembly, focusing on the realization of a sustained nucleic acid release.

Sistematização do dimensionamento técnico e econômico de sistemas fotovoltaicos isolados por meio de programa computacional

One of the main referring subjects to the solar energy is how to compare it economically with other sources of energy, as much alternatives as with conventionals (like the electric grid). The purpose of this work was to develop a software which congregates the technical and economic main data to identify, through methods of microeconomic analysis, the commercial viability in the sizing of photovoltaic systems, besides considering the benefits proceeding from the proper energy generation. Considering the period of useful life of the components of the generation system of photovoltaic electricity, the costs of the energy proceeding from the conventional grid had been identified. For the comparison of the conventional sources, electric grid and diesel generation, three scenes of costs of photovoltaic panels and two for the factor of availability of diesel generation had been used. The results have shown that if the cost of the panels is low and the place of installation is more distant of the electric grid, the photovoltaic system becomes the best option.

Análise bayesiana do modelo de herança monogênica no melhoramento vegetal: um exemplo com abobrinha

A common breeding strategy is to carry out basic studies to investigate the hypothesis of a single gene controlling the trait (major gene) with or without polygenes of minor effect. In this study we used Bayesian inference to fit genetic additive-dominance models of inheritance to plant breeding experiments with multiple generations. Normal densities with different means, according to the major gene genotype, were considered in a linear model in which the design matrix of the genetic effects had unknown coefficients (which were estimated in individual basis). An actual data set from an inheritance study of partenocarpy in zucchini (Cucurbita pepo L.) was used for illustration. Model fitting included posterior probabilities for all individual genotypes. Analysis agrees with results in the literature but this approach was far more efficient than previous alternatives assuming that design matrix was known for the generations. Partenocarpy in zucchini is controlled by a major gene with important additive effect and partial dominance.

O ambiente virtual de aprendizagem e sua incorporação na Unicamp

The text describes a study about the adoption of virtual learning environments and its consequences to the learning process of undergraduate students at the State University of Campinas - Unicamp. These environments can be incorporated in various ways into the academic daily life of students and teachers. One efficient way to promote the adoption of these environments, as observed by the Distance Learning support team, is to train teachers and students in their use. Two training alternatives are described in this text to instruct the academic community in the use of TelEduc, a freeware developed and coordinated by the NIED - Núcleo de Informática Aplicada à Educação (Center for Information Technology Applied to Education), and officially adopted by Unicamp. Training courses are offered in two ways - presence or distance learning - to suit each teacher's preferences. This article compares the two modes of training, showing their strong and weak points. The adoption of TelEduc and its direct consequences to the learning process are described in a study carried out with some engineering undergraduates at Unicamp. The authors' questions and the general views of teachers and students regarding the effectiveness of the use of TelEduc as a supporting tool to presence teaching are presented. This investigation revealed the importance of training teachers in the effective use of these environments.

Adaptação do handebol para a prática em cadeira de rodas

Universidade Estadual de Campinas . Faculdade de Educação Física

Programação esportiva na TV Brasil : a influência da ideologia e indústria cultural

Universidade Estadual de Campinas . Faculdade de Educação Física

Na "periferia" da quadra : educação fisica, cultura e sociabilidade na escola

Universidade Estadual de Campinas . Faculdade de Educação Física