997 resultados para Biology, Biostatistics|Statistics|Health Sciences, Epidemiology
Resumo:
Published reports have consistently indicated high prevalence of serologic markers for hepatitis B (HBV) and hepatitis C (HCV) infection in U.S. incarcerated populations. Quantifying the current and projected burden of HBV and HCV infection and hepatitis-related sequelae in correctional healthcare systems with even modest precision remains elusive, however, because the prevalence and sequelae of HBV and HCV in U.S. incarcerated populations are not well-studied. This dissertation contributes to the assessment of the burden of HBV and HCV infections in U.S. incarcerated populations by addressing some of the deficiencies and gaps in previous research. ^ Objectives of the three dissertation studies were: (1) To investigate selected study-level factors as potential sources of heterogeneity in published HBV seroprevalence estimates in U.S. adult incarcerated populations (1975-2005), using meta-regression techniques; (2) To quantify the potential influence of suboptimal sensitivity of screening tests for antibodies to hepatitis C virus (anti-HCV) on previously reported anti-HCV prevalence estimates in U.S. incarcerated populations (1990-2005), by comparing these estimates to error-adjusted anti-HCV prevalence estimates in these populations; (3) To estimate death rates due to HBV, HCV, chronic liver disease (CLD/cirrhosis), and liver cancer from 1984 through 2003 in male prisoners in custody of the Texas Department of Criminal Justice (TDCJ) and to quantify the proportion of CLD/cirrhosis and liver cancer prisoner deaths attributable to HBV and/or HCV. ^ Results were as follows. Although meta-regression analyses were limited by the small body of literature, mean population age and serum collection year appeared to be sources of heterogeneity, respectively, in prevalence estimates of antibodies to HBV antigen (HBsAg+) and any positive HBV marker. Other population characteristics and study methods could not be ruled out as sources of heterogeneity. Anti-HCV prevalence is likely somewhat higher in male and female U.S. incarcerated populations than previously estimated in studies using anti-HCV screening tests alone without the benefit of repeat or additional testing. Death rates due to HBV, HCV, CLD/cirrhosis, and liver cancer from 1984 through 2003 in TDCJ male prisoners exceeded state and national rates. HCV rates appeared to be increasing and disproportionately affecting Hispanics. HCV was implicated in nearly one-third of liver cancer deaths. ^
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Project MYTRI (Mobilizing Youth for Tobacco-Related Initiatives in India) was a large 2-year randomized school-based trial with a goal to reduce and prevent tobacco use among students in 6th and 8th grades in Delhi and Chennai in India (n=32 schools). Baseline analyses in 2004 showed that 6th grade students reported more tobacco use than 8 th grade students, opposite of what is typically observed in developed countries like the US. The present study aims to study differences in tobacco use and psychosocial risk factors between the 6th grade cohort and 8th grade cohort, in a compliant sub-sample of control students that were present at all 3 surveys from 2004-06. Both in 2004 and 2005, 6th grade cohort reported significantly greater prevalence of ever use of all tobacco products (cigarettes, bidis, chewing tobacco, any tobacco). These significant differences in ever use of any tobacco between cohorts were maintained by gender, city and socioeconomic status. The 6th grade cohort also reported significantly greater prevalence of current use of tobacco products (cigarettes, chewing tobacco, any tobacco) in 2004. Similar findings were observed for psychosocial risk factors for tobacco use, where the 6th grade cohort scored higher risk than 8th grade cohort on scales for intentions to smoke or chew tobacco and susceptibility to smoke or chew tobacco in 2004 and 2005, and for knowledge of health effects of tobacco in all three years.^ The evidence of early initiation of tobacco use in our 6th grade cohort in India indicates the need to target prevention programs and other tobacco control measures from a younger age in this setting. With increasing proportions of total deaths and lost DALYs in India being attributable to chronic diseases, addressing tobacco use among younger cohorts is even more critical. Increase in tobacco use among youth is a cause for concern with respect to future burden of chronic disease and tobacco-related mortality in many developing countries. Similarly, epidemiological studies that aim to predict future death and disease burden due to tobacco should address the early age at initiation and increasing prevalence rates among younger populations. ^
Resumo:
Bayesian adaptive randomization (BAR) is an attractive approach to allocate more patients to the putatively superior arm based on the interim data while maintains good statistical properties attributed to randomization. Under this approach, patients are adaptively assigned to a treatment group based on the probability that the treatment is better. The basic randomization scheme can be modified by introducing a tuning parameter, replacing the posterior estimated response probability, setting a boundary to randomization probabilities. Under randomization settings comprised of the above modifications, operating characteristics, including type I error, power, sample size, imbalance of sample size, interim success rate, and overall success rate, were evaluated through simulation. All randomization settings have low and comparable type I errors. Increasing tuning parameter decreases power, but increases imbalance of sample size and interim success rate. Compared with settings using the posterior probability, settings using the estimated response rates have higher power and overall success rate, but less imbalance of sample size and lower interim success rate. Bounded settings have higher power but less imbalance of sample size than unbounded settings. All settings have better performance in the Bayesian design than in the frequentist design. This simulation study provided practical guidance on the choice of how to implement the adaptive design. ^
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Background. Orofacial clefts are among the most common birth defects and considered to be of complex etiology with both genetic and environmental factors.^ Objectives. The purpose of this study was to describe maternal and infant characteristics, examine the catchment area, and determine if there are any geospatial patterns among infants with an orofacial cleft delivered at two major hospitals in Harris County, The Woman's Hospital of Texas and Memorial Hermann Hospital-Texas Medical Center, from January 1, 2003 through December 31, 2007.^ Methods. Data were obtained from two major hospitals in Harris County and included all babies delivered in the period from 2003 through 2007 with an orofacial cleft. Residential addresses were mapped using MapInfo GIS software and the cluster analysis performed with SaTScan software.^ Results. Ninety-nine cases were identified spanning nine counties. 26% of cases resided within a 5-mile radius of the Texas Medical Center. Birth rates ranged from 1.4 to 16.5 per 10,000 total births. A cluster was identified in southwest Harris County, however, it was not significant (p=0.066).^ Conclusion. This study encourages further focus on linking cleft cases to environmental factors in order to determine potential risks. ^
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Dialysis patients are at high risk for hepatitis B infection, which is a serious but preventable disease. Prevention strategies include the administration of the hepatitis B vaccine. Dialysis patients have been noted to have a poor immune response to the vaccine and lose immunity more rapidly. The long term immunogenicity of the hepatitis B vaccine has not been well defined in pediatric dialysis patients especially if administered during infancy as a routine childhood immunization.^ Purpose. The aim of this study was to determine the median duration of hepatitis B immunity and to study the effect of vaccination timing and other cofactors on the duration of hepatitis B immunity in pediatric dialysis patients.^ Methods. Duration of hepatitis B immunity was determined by Kaplan-Meier survival analysis. Comparison of stratified survival analysis was performed using log-rank analysis. Multivariate analysis by Cox regression was used to estimate hazard ratios for the effect of timing of vaccine administration and other covariates on the duration of hepatitis B immunity.^ Results. 193 patients (163 incident patients) had complete data available for analysis. Mean age was 11.2±5.8 years and mean ESRD duration was 59.3±97.8 months. Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that the total median overall duration of immunity (since the time of the primary vaccine series) was 112.7 months (95% CI: 96.6, 124.4), whereas the median overall duration of immunity for incident patients was 106.3 months (95% CI: 93.93, 124.44). Incident patients had a median dialysis duration of hepatitis B immunity equal to 37.1 months (95% CI: 24.16, 72.26). Multivariate adjusted analysis showed that there was a significant difference between patients based on the timing of hepatitis B vaccination administration (p<0.001). Patients immunized after the start of dialysis had a hazard ratio of 6.13 (2.87, 13.08) for loss of hepatitis B immunity compared to patients immunized as infants (p<0.001).^ Conclusion. This study confirms that patients immunized after dialysis onset have an overall shorter duration of hepatitis B immunity as measured by hepatitis B antibody titers and after the start of dialysis, protective antibody titer levels in pediatric dialysis patients wane rapidly compared to healthy children.^
Resumo:
Introduction. The National Behavioral HIV Surveillance (NHBS) is a self-reported cross-sectional survey that monitors the spread of human immunodeficiency virus/acquired immune deficiency syndrome (HIV/AIDS). The 2004 survey asked if the participant received a free condom, used it, and if receiving a free condom made him more likely to use a condom. The aim of this cross-sectional study is to examine the Houston MSA sub-dataset to determine if there was a self-expressed association between receiving a free condom and likelihood of using a condom at next intercourse, and to determine if the strength of that association varied by demographic subgroup.^ Methods. The Houston MSA 2004 NHBS had 502 participants who were men who have sex with men (MSM). The present analysis examined the answers to the questions: "In the past 12 months, have you received free condoms?" "Have you used any of the free condoms you received?" and "Did getting these free condoms make you more likely to use condoms during sex?".^ Results. Out of 502 participants, 500 answered the question about receiving free condoms, 406 (81.2%) answered all three questions, and 204 (50.2%) answered "yes" to all three questions. In the subgroup analyses, Hispanics were significantly less likely and men under 29 years of age were significantly more likely to report that their condom use behavior was influenced by receiving a free condom. ^ Conclusion. The effect of receipt of free condoms on likelihood of condom use varies by demographic subgroup, but these potentially important preliminary findings will require further investigation to validate them and further explicate the possible underlying dynamics.^
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Despite extensive research, the etiology of adult glioma remains largely unknown. We sought to further explore the role of immune and genetic factors in glioma etiology using data from the Harris County Brain Tumor Study and the first U.S. genome-wide association study of glioma. First, using a case-control study design, we examined the association between adult glioma risk and surrogates of the timing and frequency of common early childhood infections, birth order and sibship size, respectively. We found that each one-unit increase in birth order was associated with a 12% decreased risk of glioma development in adulthood (OR=0.88, 95% CI=0.81-0.96); however, sibship size was not associated with adult glioma risk (OR=0.96, 95% CI=0.91-1.02). Second, we used a multi-strategic approach to explore the relationships between glioma risk, history of asthma/allergies, and 23 functional SNPs in 11 inflammation genes. We found three inflammation gene SNPs to be significantly associated with glioma risk (COX2/PTGS2 rs20417 [OR=1.41]; IL10 rs1800896 [OR=1.57]; and IL13 rs20541 [OR=0.39]). Joint effects analysis of the risk-conferring alleles of these three SNPs revealed a trend of increasing risk with increasing number of adverse alleles among those without asthma/allergies (p<0.0001). Finally, we conducted a case-only study to explore pairwise SNP-SNP interactions in immune-related pathways among a population of 1304 non-Hispanic white glioma cases. After correction for multiple comparisons, we found 279 significant SNP-SNP interactions among polymorphisms of immune-related genes, many of which have not been previously examined. Our results, cumulatively, suggest an important role for immune and genetic factors in glioma etiology and provide several new hypotheses for future studies.^
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Triglyceride levels are a component of plasma lipids that are thought to be an important risk factor for coronary heart disease and are influenced by genetic and environmental factors, such as single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs), alcohol intake, and smoking. This study used longitudinal data from the Bogalusa Heart Study, a biracial community-based survey of cardiovascular disease risk factors. A sample of 1191 individuals, 4 to 38 years of age, was measured multiple times from 1973 to 2000. The study sample consisted of 730 white and 461 African American participants. Individual growth models were developed in order to assess gene-environment interactions affecting plasma triglycerides over time. After testing for inclusion of significant covariates and interactions, final models, each accounting for the effects of a different SNP, were assessed for fit and normality. After adjustment for all other covariates and interactions, LIPC -514C/T was found to interact with age3, age2, and age and a non-significant interaction of CETP -971G/A genotype with smoking status was found (p = 0.0812). Ever-smokers had higher triglyceride levels than never smokers, but persons heterozygous at this locus, about half of both races, had higher triglyceride levels after smoking cessation compared to current smokers. Since tobacco products increase free fatty acids circulating in the bloodstream, smoking cessation programs have the potential to ultimately reduce triglyceride levels for many persons. However, due to the effect of smoking cessation on the triglyceride levels of CETP -971G/A heterozygotes, the need for smoking prevention programs is also demonstrated. Both smoking cessation and prevention programs would have a great public health impact on minimizing triglyceride levels and ultimately reducing heart disease. ^
Resumo:
Obesity and physical inactivity are modifiable risk factors that are associated with several health issues; they are major factors in up to 30% of major cancers. Elevated levels of circulating insulin-like growth factor-I (IGF-I) have been associated with high body composition measurements and high cancer risk; exogenous estrogen use is associated with low circulating IGF-I levels and high cancer risk. The relationship between physical activity and circulating IGF levels is complex and findings of previous studies of their relationship remain inconsistent; however, these studies included vague definitions of physical activity. In this study, we used cross-sectional data from the Women's Health Initiative to determine the relationship between specific measures of physical activity (e.g., intensity, duration, and frequency) and circulating IGF-I levels, accounting for exogenous estrogen use and body composition. These data were collected from women enrolled at Women's Health Initiative clinical centers at Baylor College of Medicine and Wake Forest University School of Medicine. Multivariate linear regression analysis showed that circulating IGF-I and IGF-binding protein (BP) 3 levels were positively associated with frequency, duration, and intensity of physical activity. Circulating IGF-I levels and the molar IGF-I:IGF-BP3 ratio were significantly associated with frequency of walking, whereas circulating IGF-BP3 levels were significantly associated with strenuous physical activity, suggesting that different aspects of physical activity and their effects on fitness affect members of the IGF family differently. The results from our study support the recommendation of a regular exercise routine, particularly that of strenuous intensity, for postmenopausal women as a means to prevention of cancer.^
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Vietnam is one of the countries with the highest prevalence and incidence of tuberculosis (TB) in the world (1). Although Vietnam has had many successes in TB control, it still faces the challenge of drug resistant and multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB). MDR-TB appears to be relatively stable, but data on MDR-TB continues to be scarce and routine testing of all isolates for drug susceptibility is not performed under Vietnam's National Tuberculosis Program (6). Pham Ngoc Thach Hospital (PNT), the leading tuberculosis and lung disease hospital in Ho Chi Minh City, serves as a reference hospital and laboratory for both Ho Chi Minh City and the Southern Vietnam region. This study is an unmatched, nested case-control study consisting of a secondary analysis of a previously created dataset composed of drug susceptibility and basic demographic data from a cohort of patients diagnosed with tuberculosis at PNT from 2003 through 2007 in order to calculate the prevalence of resistance among acid-fast bacilli smear-positive patients. The susceptibility records for the years 2003-2004 were not representative of the entire population, but over the years 2005-2007 the investigator found a decrease in resistance to all primary TB drugs on which records were available, as well as MDR-TB. Overall, females showed a higher proportion of resistance to TB drugs than males, and females had a greater likelihood of presenting with MDR-TB than males (OR=1.77). Persons 35-54 had greater likelihood of having MDR-TB than younger and older age groups. Among the population with HIV data, HIV-positivity was associated with greater likelihood of MDR-TB (OR=1.70, 95% CI=0.97-3.11). This study shows that rates of TB drug resistance are high, but declining, in one of Vietnam's largest TB hospitals, and that females and HIV-positive individuals are possible high-risk groups in this population.^
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The survival of Mycobacterium tuberculosis (MTB) in macrophages largely plays upon its ability to manipulate the host immune response to its benefit. Trehalose 6,6'-dimycolate (TDM) is a glycolipid found abundantly on the surface of MTB. Preliminary studies have shown that MTB lacking TDM have a lower survival rate compared to wild-type MTB in infection experiments, and that lysosomal colocalization with the phagosome occurs more readily in delipidated MTB infections. The purpose of this dissertation is to identify the possible mechanistic roles of TDM and its importance to the survival of MTB in macrophages. Our hypothesis is that TDM promotes the survival of MTB by targeting specific immune functions in host macrophages. Our first specific aim is to evaluate the effects of TDM on MTB in surface marker expression and antigen presentation in macrophages. We characterized the surface marker response in murine macrophages infected with either TDM-intact or TDM-removed MTB. We found that the presence of TDM on MTB inhibited the expression of surface markers which are important for antigen presentation and costimulation to T cells. Then we measured and compared the ability of macrophages infected by MTB with or without TDM to present Antigen 85B to hybridoma T cells. Macrophages infected with TDM-intact MTB were found to be less efficient at antigen presentation than TDM-removed MTB. Our second aim is to identify molecular mechanisms which may be targeted by TDM to promote MTB survival in macrophages. We measured macrophage responsiveness to IFN-γ before or after MTB infection and correlated SOCS production to the presence of TDM on MTB. Macrophages infected with TDM-intact MTB were found to be less responsive to IFN-γ. This may be attributed to the TDM-driven production of SOCS, which was found to affect phosphorylation of the JAK-STAT signaling pathway. We also identified the importance of TLR2 and TLR4 in the initiation of SOCS by TDM-intact MTB in host macrophages. In conclusion, our studies reveal new insights into how TDM regulates macrophages and their immune functions to aid in the survival of MTB.^
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The number of children developing type-2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) is increasing globally, especially in Western countries. Previous studies have indicated that low socioeconomic status (SES) is a contributing factor to diabetes. This study of children examined the relationship of socioeconomic status and two physiological measures that are risk factors for diabetes: the level of fasting capillary glucose (FCG) and hyperglycemia, in which there is an elevated amount of glucose in the blood. This study utilized data from the study entitled Bienester: A School-Based Diabetes Mellitus Prevention Program. The sample was 1,426 fourth grade students from 27 San Antonio Independent School District elementary schools. The dependent variable was FCG and the independent variable was the median family income associated with the student's zip code based on Census information. Other variables included body mass index, gender, and ethnicity. The statistical results showed no relationship between FCG, continuously defined, and income. In addition, there was no relationship between hyperglycemia and income. Furthermore, there was no relationship of FCG with BMI, gender, or ethnicity. Income measured at the zip code level is likely too aggregate and distal an influence to demonstrate an impact on FCG. Research should continue to examine risk factors associated with the onset of T2DM.^
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Public health surveillance programs for vaccine preventable diseases (VPD) need functional quality assurance (QA) in order to operate with high quality activities to prevent preventable communicable diseases from spreading in the community. Having a functional QA plan can assure the performance and quality of a program without putting excessive stress on the resources. A functional QA plan acts as a check on the quality of day-to-day activities performed by the VPD surveillance program while also providing data that would be useful for evaluating the program. This study developed a QA plan that involves collection, collation, analysis and reporting of information based on standardized (predetermined) formats and indicators as an integral part of routine work for the vaccine preventable disease surveillance program at the City of Houston Department of Health and Human Services. The QA plan also provides sampling and analysis plans for assessing various QA indicators, as well as recommendations to the Houston Department of Health and Humans Services for implementation of the QA plan. The QA plan developed for VPD surveillance in the City of Houston is intended to be a low cost system that could serve as a template for QA plans as part of other public health programs not only in the city or the nation, but could be adapted for use anywhere across the globe. Having a QA plan for VPD surveillance in the City of Houston would serve well for the funding agencies like the CDC by assuring that the resources are being expended efficiently, while achieving the real goal of positively impacting the health and lives of the recipient/target population. ^
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Individuals who do not respond to medical therapy for ulcerative colitis (UC) often undergo proctocolectomy followed by ileal-pouch anal anastomosis (IPAA) in hopes of resolving symptoms associated with UC. Inflammation of the ileal pouch, better known as pouchitis, is the most common complication of the IPAA procedure. The causes and development of pouchitis is not well understood. To better understand pathogenesis of pouchitis, pouch aspirates of patients having undergone IPAA were quantitatively analyzed for fecal IL-8, IL-17, and IL-23 levels. According to published literature IL-8 has been linked to pouchitis whereas IL-17 and IL-23 are associated with intestinal inflammation. The study had 80 participants, 33 patients diagnosed with Crohn's Disease (CD) of the pouch, 19 patients diagnosed with pouchitis, and 28 diagnosed with having normal pouches. Patient characteristics and histopathological findings for all patients were noted and statistically compared in addition to fecal cytokine levels. This study supported previous literature that IL-8 production was associated with pouch inflammation. However, IL-17 and IL-23 levels in both CD of the pouch and pouchitis were not significantly different to the levels noted in normal pouch.^
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According to the United Nations Program on HIV/AIDS (UNAIDS, 2008), in 2007 about 67 per cent of all HIV-infected patients in the world were in Sub-Saharan Africa, with 35% of new infections and 38% of the AIDS deaths occurring in Southern Africa. Globally, the number of children younger than 15 years of age infected with HIV increased from 1.6 million in 2001 to 2.0 million in 2007 and almost 90% of these were in Sub-Saharan Africa. (UNAIDS, 2008).^ Both clinical and laboratory monitoring of children on Highly Active Anti-Retroviral Therapy (HAART) are important and necessary to optimize outcomes. Laboratory monitoring of HIV viral load and genotype resistance testing, which are important in patient follow-up to optimize treatment success, are both generally expensive and beyond the healthcare budgets of most developing countries. This is especially true for the impoverished Sub-Saharan African nations. It is therefore important to identify those factors that are associated with virologic failure in HIV-infected Sub-Saharan African children. This will inform practitioners in these countries so that they can predict which patients are more likely to develop virologic failure and therefore target the limited laboratory monitoring budgets towards these at-risk patients. The objective of this study was to examine those factors that are associated with virologic failure in HIV-infected children taking Highly Active Anti-retroviral Therapy in Botswana, a developing Sub-Saharan African country. We examined these factors in a Case-Control study using medical records of HIV-infected children and adolescents on HAART at the Botswana-Baylor Children's Clinical Center of Excellence (BBCCCOE) in Gaborone, Botswana. Univariate and Multivariate Regression Analyses were performed to identify predictors of virologic failure in these children.^ The study population comprised of 197 cases (those with virologic failure) and 544 controls (those with virologic success) with ages ranging from 3 months to 16 years at baseline. Poor adherence (pill count <95% on at least 3 consecutive occasions) was the strongest independent predictor of virologic failure (adjusted OR = 269.97, 95% CI = 104.13 to 699.92; P < 0.001). Other independent predictors of virologic failure identified were: First Line NNRTI with Nevirapine (OR = 2.99, 95% CI = 1.19 to7.54; P = 0.020), Baseline HIV-1 Viral Load >750,000/ml (OR = 257, 95% CI = 1.47 to 8.63; P = 0.005), Positive History of PMTCT (OR = 11.65, 95% CI = 3.04-44.57; P < 0.001), Multiple Care-givers (>=3) (OR = 2.56, 95% CI = 1.06 to 6.19; P = 0.036) and Residence in a Village (OR = 2.85, 95% CI = 1.36 to 5.97; P = 0.005).^ The results of this study may help to improve virologic outcomes and reduce the costs of caring for HIV-infected children in resource-limited settings. ^ Keywords: Virologic Failure, Highly Active Anti-Retroviral Therapy, Sub-Saharan Africa, Children, Adherence.^