Diversity of Ephemeroptera (Insecta) of the Serra da Mantiqueira and Serra do Mar, southeastern Brazil

Diversity of Ephemeroptera (Insecta) of the Serra da Mantiqueira and Serra do Mar, southeastern Brazil. The aim of this study was to inventory the mayfly fauna, based on nymphal and alate stages, in Serra da Mantiqueira and in Serra do Mar, Sao Paulo State, as well as to present information about habitats used by the genera. Nymphs were collected in several streams and mesohabitats with a Surber sampler and the winged stages with light attraction methods, entomological nets, and Malaise traps. In all, eight families and 33 genera were recorded, representing a very significant portion of the Brazilian fauna (80% of families and 49% of genera). Furthermore, it was possible to identify 11 species, of which two are new records for the state: Tricorythodes santarita Traver and Caenis reissi Malzacher. Despite the high diversity recorded, the accumulation curves presented an ascending form, indicating an increase in the number of genera with additional sampling effort. The high richness found in these areas are in agreement with the high biodiversity of the Atlantic Forest biome and the sampling effort employed, which included the use of different methods, the collection of both nymphs and winged stages, and the sampling of a large area with diverse streams and habitats.

Multi-criteria analysis in the strategic environmental assessment of the sugar and alcohol sector

The Strategic Environmental Assessment (SEA) of the sugar and alcohol sector guides a territorial and sectoral planning that benefits most of the local society and supports this economic activity in all its stages. In this way, the present work aims to determine an index of aggregation of the indicators generated in the baseline of the SEA process, called Index of Sustainability of Expansion of the Sugar and Alcohol Sector (IScana). For this, it was used the normalization of the indicators of each city by the fuzzy logic and attribution of weights by the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP). Then, the IScana values had been spatialized in the region of 'Grande Dourados'-Mato Grosso do Sul State. The northern portion concentrated the highest values of IScana, 0.48 and 0.55, referring to the cities of Nova Alvorada do Sul and Rio Brilhante, while, in the central portion, the city of Dourados presented the lowest value, 0.10. The selection of the set of indicators forming the IScana, and their relative importance, was satisfactory for the application of fuzzy logic and AHP techniques. The IScana index supplies objective information regarding the diagnosis of the region for the application of SEA.

The occurrence of defensive alkaloids in non-integumentary tissues of the Brazilian red-belly toad Melanophryniscus simplex (Bufonidae)

The red-belly toads (Melanophryniscus) of southern South America secrete defensive alkaloids from dermal granular glands. To date, all information on Melanophryniscus alkaloids has been obtained by extraction from either skins or whole organisms; however, in other amphibians, tetrodotoxins, samandarines, and bufadienolides have been detected in both skin and other organs, which raise the possibility that lipophilic alkaloids may occur in non-integumentary tissues in Melanophryniscus as well. To test this hypothesis, we studied the distribution of alkaloids in the skin, skeletal muscle, liver, and mature oocytes of the red-belly toad M. simplex from three localities in southern Brazil. Gas chromatography and mass spectrometry of skin extracts from 11 individuals of M. simplex resulted in the detection of 47 alkaloids (including isomers), 9 unclassified and 38 from 12 known structural classes. Each alkaloid that was present in the skin of an individual was also present in the same relative proportion in that individual's skeletal muscle, liver, and oocytes. The most abundant and widely distributed alkaloids were the pumiliotoxins 251D, 267C, and 323A, 5,8-disubstituted indolizidines 207A and 223D, 5,6,8-trisubstituted indolizidine 231B, 3,5-disubstituted pyrrolizidines cis-223B and cis- and trans-251K, and izidine 211C. We report the first record of piperidines in Melanophryniscus, bringing the total number of alkaloid classes detected in this genus to 16. Alkaloid composition differed significantly among the three study sites. The functional significance of defensive chemicals in non-integumentary tissues is unknown.

Prevalence of the BRCA1 founder mutation c.5266dupin Brazilian individuals at-risk for the hereditary breast and ovarian cancer syndrome

About 5-10% of breast and ovarian carcinomas are hereditary and most of these result from germline mutations in the BRCA1 and BRCA2 genes. In women of Ashkenazi Jewish ascendance, up to 30% of breast and ovarian carcinomas may be attributable to mutations in these genes, where 3 founder mutations, c.68_69del (185delAG) and c.5266dup (5382insC) in BRCA1 and c.5946del (6174delT) in BRCA2, are commonly encountered. It has been suggested by some authors that screening for founder mutations should be undertaken in all Brazilian women with breast cancer. Thus, the goal of this study was to determine the prevalence of three founder mutations, commonly identified in Ashkenazi individuals in a sample of non-Ashkenazi cancer-affected Brazilian women with clearly defined risk factors for hereditary breast and ovarian cancer (HBOC) syndrome. Among 137 unrelated Brazilian women from HBOC families, the BRCA1c.5266dup mutation was identified in seven individuals (5%). This prevalence is similar to that encountered in non-Ashkenazi HBOC families in other populations. However, among patients with bilateral breast cancer, the frequency of c.5266dup was significantly higher when compared to patients with unilateral breast tumors (12.1% vs 1.2%, p = 0.023). The BRCA1 c.68_69del and BRCA2 c.5946del mutations did not occur in this sample. We conclude that screening non-Ashkenazi breast cancer-affected women from the ethnically heterogeneous Brazilian populations for the BRCA1 c.68_69del and BRCA2 c.5946del is not justified, and that screening for BRCA1c.5266dup should be considered in high risk patients, given its prevalence as a single mutation. In high-risk patients, a negative screening result should always be followed by comprehensive BRCA gene testing. The finding of a significantly higher frequency of BRCA1 c.5266dup in women with bilateral breast cancer, as well as existence of other as yet unidentified founder mutations in this population, should be further assessed in a larger well characterized high-risk cohort.

Invasion of the dinoflagellate Ceratium furcoides (Levander) Langhans 1925 at tropical reservoir and its relation to environmental variables

Dinoflagellates of the genus Ceratium are chiefly marine but there are rare occurrences in freshwater. In this study we analyze the invasion and progressive establishment of Ceratium furcoides, an exotic species, in the Furnas Reservoir. Samples were taken at 36 points in the reservoir, during the months of March, June, September and December, 2007. Measurements of some physical and chemical variables were simultaneously performed at each site. The occurrence of C. furcoides was registered at 20 sites, with densities varying between 0.57 and 28,564,913.0 ind.m-3. Blooms of this species were recorded in points which were classified as mesotrophic, coinciding with the places receiving high amounts of untreated domestic sewage. C. furcoides density was correlated with temperature, nutrients (nitrate and nitrite) and water electric conductivity. The highest density was recorded in June when temperature was low. The presence of Ceratium furcoides in the reservoir apparently has not yet affected the reservoir water quality or other plankton communities. However, if it becomes fully established it could perhaps become a problem in the reservoir or even to spread out to other reservoirs in Rio Grande basin.

Stratigraphy and Palaeontology of the Late Cretaceous Wapiti Formation, west-central Alberta, Canada

A complete stratigraphic assessment and revision of the middle Campanian to upper Maastrichtian Wapiti Formation in north-western Alberta and north-eastern British Columbia is the main aim of this research project. The study area encompasses an area of approximately 200X180 km in the Grande Prairie County (west-central Alberta) and easternmost British Columbia, Canada. Results presented here indicate that the 1300m thick succession currently reported in the literature as “undifferentiated lithostratigraphic unit”, consists of five lithostratigraphic units and four unconformity-bounded depositional sequences; their study and description have been documented integrating several geological disciplines, including sequence stratigraphic methods, well-log signatures, facies analysis, and fossil associations. On the whole, particular attention has been given to 1) age and nature of both basal and upper contacts of the Wapiti Formation, 2) effective mappability of lithostratigraphic units and depositional sequences in western Alberta, and 3) the identification of previously undetermined maximum flooding surface of the Bearpaw seaway and Drumheller Marine Tongue, which are reference marine unit in central and southern Alberta. A second, but not less important, guideline for the project has been the rich paleontological record of the Wapiti deposits. Detailed paleoenvironmental and taxonomical information on old and new finds have been the base for correlation with well known associations of Alaska, southern Alberta, and Montana. Newly discovered rich fossil localities documented an extraordinarily diverse fauna during the latest Cretaceous, including dinosaurs, squamates, and fresh-water fishes and reptiles. Lastly, in order to better characterize the Wapiti Formation, major marker beds were described: these include several bentonites (altered volcanic ash deposits) which have been documented over an area of almost 30.000 km2, as well as four major coal zones, characterized by tabular coal seams with an overall thickness of 2 meters. Such marker beds represent a formidable tool for high-resolution chronology and regional correlations within the Late Cretaceous Alberta foreland basin.

Performance evaluation of asphalt pavements using the Incremental-Recursive procedure of the Mechanistic-Empirical design software CalME

Il concetto di “sostenibilità” si riferisce allo sviluppo dei sistemi umani attraverso il più piccolo impatto possibile sul sistema ambientale. Le opere che si inseriscono bene nel contesto ambientale circostante e le pratiche che rispettano le risorse in maniera tale da permettere una crescita e uno sviluppo a lungo termine senza impattare sull’ambiente sono indispensabili in una società moderna. I progressi passati, presenti e futuri che hanno reso i conglomerati bituminosi materiali sostenibili dal punto di vista ambientale sono particolarmente importanti data la grande quantità di conglomerato usato annualmente in Europa e negli Stati Uniti. I produttori di bitume e di conglomerato bituminoso stanno sviluppando tecniche innovative per ridurre l’impatto ambientale senza compromettere le prestazioni meccaniche finali. Un conglomerato bituminoso ad “alta lavorabilità” (WMA), pur sviluppando le stesse caratteristiche meccaniche, richiede un temperatura di produzione minore rispetto a quella di un tradizionale conglomerato bituminoso a caldo (HMA). L’abbassamento della temperature di produzione riduce le emissioni nocive. Questo migliora le condizioni dei lavoratori ed è orientato verso uno sviluppo sostenibile. L’obbiettivo principale di questa tesi di laurea è quello di dimostrare il duplice valore sia dal punto di vista dell’eco-compatibilità sia dal punto di vista meccanico di questi conglomerati bituminosi ad “alta lavorabilità”. In particolare in questa tesi di laurea è stato studiato uno SMA ad “alta lavorabilità” (PGGWMA). L’uso di materiali a basso impatto ambientale è la prima fase verso un progetto ecocompatibile ma non può che essere il punto di partenza. L’approccio ecocompatibile deve essere esteso anche ai metodi di progetto e alla caratterizzazione di laboratorio dei materiali perché solo in questo modo è possibile ricavare le massime potenzialità dai materiali usati. Un’appropriata caratterizzazione del conglomerato bituminoso è fondamentale e necessaria per una realistica previsione delle performance di una pavimentazione stradale. La caratterizzazione volumetrica (Mix Design) e meccanica (Deformazioni Permanenti e Comportamento a fatica) di un conglomerato bituminoso è una fase importante. Inoltre, al fine di utilizzare correttamente i materiali, un metodo di progetto avanzato ed efficiente, come quello rappresentato da un approccio Empirico-Meccanicistico (ME), deve essere utilizzato. Una procedura di progetto Empirico-Meccanicistica consiste di un modello strutturale capace di prevedere gli stati di tensione e deformazione all’interno della pavimentazione sotto l’azione del traffico e in funzione delle condizioni atmosferiche e di modelli empirici, calibrati sul comportamento dei materiali, che collegano la risposta strutturale alle performance della pavimentazione. Nel 1996 in California, per poter effettivamente sfruttare i benefici dei continui progressi nel campo delle pavimentazioni stradali, fu iniziato un estensivo progetto di ricerca mirato allo sviluppo dei metodi di progetto Empirico - Meccanicistici per le pavimentazioni stradali. Il risultato finale fu la prima versione del software CalME che fornisce all’utente tre approcci diversi di l’analisi e progetto: un approccio Empirico, uno Empirico - Meccanicistico classico e un approccio Empirico - Meccanicistico Incrementale - Ricorsivo. Questo tesi di laurea si concentra sulla procedura Incrementale - Ricorsiva del software CalME, basata su modelli di danno per quanto riguarda la fatica e l’accumulo di deformazioni di taglio dai quali dipendono rispettivamente la fessurazione superficiale e le deformazioni permanenti nella pavimentazione. Tale procedura funziona per incrementi temporali successivi e, usando i risultati di ogni incremento temporale, ricorsivamente, come input dell’incremento temporale successivo, prevede le condizioni di una pavimentazione stradale per quanto riguarda il modulo complesso dei diversi strati, le fessurazioni superficiali dovute alla fatica, le deformazioni permanenti e la rugosità superficiale. Al fine di verificare le propreità meccaniche del PGGWMA e le reciproche relazioni in termini di danno a fatica e deformazioni permanenti tra strato superficiale e struttura della pavimentazione per fissate condizioni ambientali e di traffico, è stata usata la procedura Incrementale – Ricorsiva del software CalME. Il conglomerato bituminoso studiato (PGGWMA) è stato usato in una pavimentazione stradale come strato superficiale di 60 mm di spessore. Le performance della pavimentazione sono state confrontate a quelle della stessa pavimentazione in cui altri tipi di conglomerato bituminoso sono stati usati come strato superficiale. I tre tipi di conglomerato bituminoso usati come termini di paragone sono stati: un conglomerato bituminoso ad “alta lavorabilità” con granulometria “chiusa” non modificato (DGWMA), un conglomerato bituminoso modificato con polverino di gomma con granulometria “aperta” (GGRAC) e un conglomerato bituminoso non modificato con granulometria “chiusa” (DGAC). Nel Capitolo I è stato introdotto il problema del progetto ecocompatibile delle pavimentazioni stradali. I materiali a basso impatto ambientale come i conglomerati bituminosi ad “alta lavorabilità” e i conglomerati bituminosi modificati con polverino di gomma sono stati descritti in dettaglio. Inoltre è stata discussa l’importanza della caratterizzazione di laboratorio dei materiali e il valore di un metodo razionale di progetto delle pavimentazioni stradali. Nel Capitolo II sono stati descritti i diversi approcci progettuali utilizzabili con il CalME e in particolare è stata spiegata la procedura Incrementale – Ricorsiva. Nel Capitolo III sono state studiate le proprietà volumetriche e meccaniche del PGGWMA. Test di Fatica e di Deformazioni Permanenti, eseguiti rispettivamente con la macchina a fatica per flessione su quattro punti e il Simple Shear Test device (macchina di taglio semplice), sono stati effettuati su provini di conglomerato bituminoso e i risultati dei test sono stati riassunti. Attraverso questi dati di laboratorio, i parametri dei modelli della Master Curve, del danno a fatica e dell’accumulo di deformazioni di taglio usati nella procedura Incrementale – Ricorsiva del CalME sono stati valutati. Infine, nel Capitolo IV, sono stati presentati i risultati delle simulazioni di pavimentazioni stradali con diversi strati superficiali. Per ogni pavimentazione sono stati analizzati la fessurazione superficiale complessiva, le deformazioni permanenti complessive, il danno a fatica e la profondità delle deformazioni in ognuno degli stati legati.

Continuous geochemical monitoring by mass-spectometer in the Campi Flegrei geothermal area. An application at Pisciarelli-Solfatara (diffuse and fumarolic gases) and at the mud gases during drilling of the CFDDP pilot hole

During this work has been developed an innovative methodology for continuous and in situ gas monitoring (24/24 h) of fumarolic and soil diffusive emissions applied to the geothermal and volcanic area of Pisciarelli near Agnano inside the Campi Flegrei caldera (CFc). In literature there are only scattered and in discrete data of the geochemical gas composition of fumarole at Campi Flegrei; it is only since the early ’80 that exist a systematic record of fumaroles with discrete sampling at Solfatara (Bocca Grande and Bocca Nuova fumaroles) and since 1999, even at the degassing areas of Pisciarelli. This type of sampling has resulted in a time series of geochemical analysis with discontinuous periods of time set (in average 2-3 measurements per month) completely inadequate for the purposes of Civil Defence in such high volcanic risk and densely populated areas. For this purpose, and to remedy this lack of data, during this study was introduced a new methodology of continuous and in situ sampling able to continuously detect data related and from its soil diffusive degassing. Due to its high sampling density (about one measurement per minute therefore producing 1440 data daily) and numerous species detected (CO2, Ar, 36Ar, CH4, He, H2S, N2, O2) allowing a good statistic record and the reconstruction of the gas composition evolution of the investigated area. This methodology is based on continuous sampling of fumaroles gases and soil degassing using an extraction line, which after undergoing a series of condensation processes of the water vapour content - better described hereinafter - is analyzed through using a quadrupole mass spectrometer

Molecular and functional characterization of the chemotactic genes in the PCBs-degrader Pseudomonas pseudoalcaligenes KF707

Although bacteria represent the simplest form of life on Earth, they have a great impact on all living beings. For example the degrader bacterium Pseudomonas pseudoalcaligenes KF707 is used in bioremediation procedures for the recovery of polluted sites. Indeed, KF707 strain is know for its ability to degrade biphenyl and polychlorinated biphenyls - to which is chemotactically attracted - and to tolerate the oxydative stress due to toxic metal oxyanions such as tellurite and selenite. Moreover, in bioremediation processes, target compounds can be easily accessible to KF707 through biofilm formation. All these considerations suggest that KF707 is such a unique microorganism and this Thesis work has been focused on determining the molecular nature of some of the peculiar physiological traits of this strain. The genome project provided a large set of informations: putative genes involved in the degradation of aromatic and toxic compounds and associated to stress response were identified. Notably, multiple chemotactic operons and cheA genes were also found. Deleted mutants in the cheA genes were constructed and their role in motility, chemotaxis and biofilm formation were assessed and compared to those previously attributed to a cheA1 gene in a KF707 mutant constructed by a mini-Tn5 transposon insertion and which was impaired in motility and biofilm development. The results of this present Thesis work, taken together, were interpreted to suggest that in Pseudomonas pseudoalcaligenes KF707 strain, multiple factors are involved in these networks and they might play different roles depending on the environmental conditions. The ability of KF707 strain to produce signal molecules possibly involved in cell-to-cell communication, was also investigated: lack of a lux-like QS system - which is conversely widely present in Gram negative bacteria – keeps open the question about the actual molecular nature of KF707 quorum sensing mechanism.

Experimental investigation of the reactions 25 Mg(alpha,n)28 Si, 26 Mg(alpha,n)29 Si, 18 O(alpha,n)21 Ne and their impact on stellar nucleosynthesis

In der vorliegenden Dissertation werden die Kernreaktionen 25Mg(alpha,n)28Si, 26Mg(alpha,n)29Si und 18O(alpha,n)21Ne im astrophysikalisch interessanten Energiebereich von E alpha = 1000 keV bis E alpha = 2450 keV untersucht.rnrnDie Experimente wurden am Nuclear Structure Laboratory der University of Notre Dame (USA) mit dem vor Ort befindlichen Van-de-Graaff Beschleuniger KN durchgeführt. Hierbei wurden Festkörpertargets mit evaporiertem Magnesium oder anodisiertem Sauerstoff mit alpha-Teilchen beschossen und die freigesetzten Neutronen untersucht. Zum Nachweis der freigesetzten Neutronen wurde mit Hilfe von Computersimulationen ein Neutrondetektor basierend auf rn3He-Zählrohren konstruiert. Weiterhin wurden aufgrund des verstärkten Auftretens von Hintergrundreaktionen verschiedene Methoden zur Datenanalyse angewendet.rnrnAbschliessend wird mit Hilfe von Netzwerkrechnungen der Einfluss der Reaktionen 25Mg(alpha,n)28Si, 26Mg(alpha,n)29Si und 18O(alpha,n)21Ne auf die stellare Nukleosynthese untersucht.rn

Use of shared memory in the context of embedded multi-core processors: exploration of the technology and its limits

Modern embedded systems embrace many-core shared-memory designs. Due to constrained power and area budgets, most of them feature software-managed scratchpad memories instead of data caches to increase the data locality. It is therefore programmers’ responsibility to explicitly manage the memory transfers, and this make programming these platform cumbersome. Moreover, complex modern applications must be adequately parallelized before they can the parallel potential of the platform into actual performance. To support this, programming languages were proposed, which work at a high level of abstraction, and rely on a runtime whose cost hinders performance, especially in embedded systems, where resources and power budget are constrained. This dissertation explores the applicability of the shared-memory paradigm on modern many-core systems, focusing on the ease-of-programming. It focuses on OpenMP, the de-facto standard for shared memory programming. In a first part, the cost of algorithms for synchronization and data partitioning are analyzed, and they are adapted to modern embedded many-cores. Then, the original design of an OpenMP runtime library is presented, which supports complex forms of parallelism such as multi-level and irregular parallelism. In the second part of the thesis, the focus is on heterogeneous systems, where hardware accelerators are coupled to (many-)cores to implement key functional kernels with orders-of-magnitude of speedup and energy efficiency compared to the “pure software” version. However, three main issues rise, namely i) platform design complexity, ii) architectural scalability and iii) programmability. To tackle them, a template for a generic hardware processing unit (HWPU) is proposed, which share the memory banks with cores, and the template for a scalable architecture is shown, which integrates them through the shared-memory system. Then, a full software stack and toolchain are developed to support platform design and to let programmers exploiting the accelerators of the platform. The OpenMP frontend is extended to interact with it.

A community-based assessment of the spatiotemporal distribution of influenza in a U.S.-Mexico border county during the spring 2009 novel H1N1 swine-origin influenza A pandemic

This study retrospectively evaluated the spatial and temporal disease patterns associated with influenza-like illness (ILI), positive rapid influenza antigen detection tests (RIDT), and confirmed H1N1 S-OIV cases reported to the Cameron County Department of Health and Human Services between April 26 and May 13, 2009 using the space-time permutation scan statistic software SaTScan in conjunction with geographical information system (GIS) software ArcGIS 9.3. The rate and age-adjusted relative risk of each influenza measure was calculated and a cluster analysis was conducted to determine the geographic regions with statistically higher incidence of disease. A Poisson distribution model was developed to identify the effect that socioeconomic status, population density, and certain population attributes of a census block-group had on that area's frequency of S-OIV confirmed cases over the entire outbreak. Predominant among the spatiotemporal analyses of ILI, RIDT and S-OIV cases in Cameron County is the consistent pattern of a high concentration of cases along the southern border with Mexico. These findings in conjunction with the slight northward space-time shifts of ILI and RIDT cluster centers highlight the southern border as the primary site for public health interventions. Finally, the community-based multiple regression model revealed that three factors—percentage of the population under age 15, average household size, and the number of high school graduates over age 25—were significantly associated with laboratory-confirmed S-OIV in the Lower Rio Grande Valley. Together, these findings underscore the need for community-based surveillance, improve our understanding of the distribution of the burden of influenza within the community, and have implications for vaccination and community outreach initiatives.^

Statistical and methodological challenges for disaster preparedness and medical needs assessment in Rio Grande Valley of Texas

In recent years, disaster preparedness through assessment of medical and special needs persons (MSNP) has taken a center place in public eye in effect of frequent natural disasters such as hurricanes, storm surge or tsunami due to climate change and increased human activity on our planet. Statistical methods complex survey design and analysis have equally gained significance as a consequence. However, there exist many challenges still, to infer such assessments over the target population for policy level advocacy and implementation. ^ Objective. This study discusses the use of some of the statistical methods for disaster preparedness and medical needs assessment to facilitate local and state governments for its policy level decision making and logistic support to avoid any loss of life and property in future calamities. ^ Methods. In order to obtain precise and unbiased estimates for Medical Special Needs Persons (MSNP) and disaster preparedness for evacuation in Rio Grande Valley (RGV) of Texas, a stratified and cluster-randomized multi-stage sampling design was implemented. US School of Public Health, Brownsville surveyed 3088 households in three counties namely Cameron, Hidalgo, and Willacy. Multiple statistical methods were implemented and estimates were obtained taking into count probability of selection and clustering effects. Statistical methods for data analysis discussed were Multivariate Linear Regression (MLR), Survey Linear Regression (Svy-Reg), Generalized Estimation Equation (GEE) and Multilevel Mixed Models (MLM) all with and without sampling weights. ^ Results. Estimated population for RGV was 1,146,796. There were 51.5% female, 90% Hispanic, 73% married, 56% unemployed and 37% with their personal transport. 40% people attained education up to elementary school, another 42% reaching high school and only 18% went to college. Median household income is less than $15,000/year. MSNP estimated to be 44,196 (3.98%) [95% CI: 39,029; 51,123]. All statistical models are in concordance with MSNP estimates ranging from 44,000 to 48,000. MSNP estimates for statistical methods are: MLR (47,707; 95% CI: 42,462; 52,999), MLR with weights (45,882; 95% CI: 39,792; 51,972), Bootstrap Regression (47,730; 95% CI: 41,629; 53,785), GEE (47,649; 95% CI: 41,629; 53,670), GEE with weights (45,076; 95% CI: 39,029; 51,123), Svy-Reg (44,196; 95% CI: 40,004; 48,390) and MLM (46,513; 95% CI: 39,869; 53,157). ^ Conclusion. RGV is a flood zone, most susceptible to hurricanes and other natural disasters. People in the region are mostly Hispanic, under-educated with least income levels in the U.S. In case of any disaster people in large are incapacitated with only 37% have their personal transport to take care of MSNP. Local and state government’s intervention in terms of planning, preparation and support for evacuation is necessary in any such disaster to avoid loss of precious human life. ^ Key words: Complex Surveys, statistical methods, multilevel models, cluster randomized, sampling weights, raking, survey regression, generalized estimation equations (GEE), random effects, Intracluster correlation coefficient (ICC).^