Does the Use of Mobile Devices (Tablets and Smartphones) Affect Stated Choice Behavior in Web Surveys? An Application to Environmental Valuation

Web surveys are becoming increasingly popular in survey research. Compared with face-to-face, telephone and mail surveys, web surveys may contain a different and new source of measurement error and bias: the type of device that respondents use to answer the survey questions. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first study that tests whether the use of mobile devices affects survey characteristics and stated preferences in a web-based choice experiment. The web survey was carried out in Germany with 3,400 respondents, of which 12 per cent used a mobile device (i.e. tablet or smartphone), and comprised a stated choice experiment on externalities of renewable energy production using wind, solar and biomass. Our main finding is that survey characteristics such as interview length and acquiescence tendency are affected by the device used. In contrast to what might be expected, we find that, compared with respondents using desktop computers and laptops, mobile device users spent more time to answer the survey and are less likely to be prone to acquiescence bias. In the choice experiment, mobile device users tended to be more consistent in their stated choices, and there are differences in willingness to pay between both subsamples.

The Economic Case for Fiscal Federalism in Scotland

In this paper we consider the case for assigning tax revenues to Scotland, by which we mean that taxes levied on Scottish tax bases should be returned to the Scottish budget. The budget, however, would continue to be supplemented by transfers from the Westminster budget. This arrangement differs from the current situation whereby public spending is largely financed by a bloc grant from Westminster. Our suggestion falls short of full fiscal federalism for Scotland . meaning that Scotland had control over choice of tax base and of tax rates, and fiscal transfers from Westminster would be minimal. We use propositions drawn from the theory of fiscal federalism to argue for a smaller vertical imbalance between taxes retained in Scotland and public spending in Scotland. A closer matching of spending with taxes would better signal to beneficiaries the true costs of public spending in terms of taxes raised. It would also create more complete incentives for politicians to provide public goods and services in quantities and at qualities that voters are actually willing to pay for. Under the current bloc grant system, the marginal tax cost of spending does not enter into political agents. calculations as spending is out of a fixed total budget. Moreover, the Scottish electorate is hindered in signaling its desire for local public goods and services since the size of the total budget is determined by a rigid formula set by Westminster. At the present time we reject proposals for full fiscal federalism because in sharply reducing vertical imbalance in the Scottish budget, it is likely to worsen horizontal balance between Scotland and the other UK regions. Horizontal balance occurs where similarly situated regions enjoy the same per capita level of public goods and services at the same per capita tax cost. The complete removal of the bloc grant under full fiscal federalism would remove the mechanism that currently promotes horizontal equity in the UK. Variability in own-source tax revenues creates other problems with full fiscal federalism. Taxes derived from North Sea oil would constitute a large proportion of Scottish taxes, but these are known to be volatile in the face of variable oil prices and the pound-dollar exchange rate. At the present time variability in oil tax revenue is absorbed by Westminster. Scotland is insulated through the bloc grant. This risk sharing mechanism would be lost with full fiscal federalism. It is true that Scotland could turn to financial markets to tide itself over oil tax revenue downturns, but as a much smaller and less diversified financial entity than the UK as a whole it would probably have to borrow on less favorable terms than can Westminster. Scotland would have to bear this extra cost itself. Also, with full fiscal federalism it is difficult to see how the Scottish budget could be used as a macroeconomic stabilizer. At present, tax revenue downturns in Scotland - together with the steady bloc grant - are absorbed through an increase in vertical imbalance. This acts as an automatic stabilizer for the Scottish economy. No such mechanism would exist under full fiscal federalism. The borrowing alternative would still exist but on the less favorable terms - as with borrowing to finance oil tax shortfalls.

A systematic review of literature to compare the fertility desires among HIV positive women and cancer survivors

Background. Decision-making on reproductive issues is influenced by an interplay of individual, familial, medical, religious and socio-cultural factors. Women with chronic medical illnesses such an HIV infection and cancers are often fraught with decisional conflicts about child-bearing. With increase in the incidence of these illnesses as well as improvement in survival rates, there is a need to pay due attention to the issue of reproductive decision-making. Examining the prevalence and determinants of fertility desires in the two groups in a comparative manner would help bring to light perception of the medical community and the society in general on the two illnesses and the issue of motherhood. ^ Methods. Systematic literature search was undertaken using databases such as MEDLINE (PubMED), MEDLINE (Ovid), PsycInfo and Web of Science. Articles published in English and English language abstracts for foreign articles were included. Studies that explore ‘fertility desires’ as the outcome variable were included. Quantitative studies which have assessed the prevalence of fertility desires as well as qualitative studies which have provided a descriptive understanding of factors governing reproductive desires were included in the review. ^ Results. A total of 34 articles (29 studies examining HIV and 5 studies examining cancer in relation to fertility desires). Variables such as age, stage of illness, support of spouse and family, perception of the medical community and one’s own view of motherhood were key determinants among both groups. ^ Conclusion. There is a need for uniform, systematic research in this field. It is important that health care workers acknowledge these decisional conflicts, include them as part of the medical care of these patients and provide guidance with the right balance of information, practicality and compassion.^

La educación, base para el desarrollo y la seguridad a escala humana

Las teorías sobre el desarrollo son en realidad un dinámico debate acerca de la relación población/recursos, de las condiciones de inequidad a escala planetaria y al interior de las naciones, y de las formas de superarlas. Para avanzar hacia el desarrollo humano, es prioritario enfocar las acciones en la superación de las carencias que afectan la situación personal de los ciudadanos y eliminar los obstáculos que impiden su bienestar en relación con las condiciones medioambientales en las que transcurre su vida. La educación es comprendida como el eje fundamental para alcanzar niveles de desarrollo aceptables, asegurando superar situaciones de exclusión social. Sobre la base de encuestas en cuatro establecimientos educativos del Gran Mendoza, se analizan las relaciones existentes entre las representaciones, de los adolescentes y sus familias sobre la importancia de la educación como medio optimizador de las situaciones socioeconómicas y los proyectos de capacitación futura, tanto a nivel terciario como universitario.

Efectos sonoros en el canto IX de Ilíada

Al considerar los procedimientos poéticos que aparecen en los textos homéricos, es fundamental no perder de vista las posibilidades significativas que pueden presentar para la recepción auditiva propia de la performance épica. En la recreación de los acontecimientos míticos, los elementos del lenguaje específicamente poético cumplen una función instauradora esencial, pues al transformar los procedimientos poéticos en creencias perceptivas, realizan la presencia de los hechos narrados. Así es que procedimientos tales como la aliteración conllevan una carga temática que los convierte en un rasgo clave de la poética homérica. Los efectos sonoros en los textos homéricos fueron comentados desde la antigüedad, especialmente la capacidad de reproducir verbalmente sonidos de varios tipos de fenómenos naturales, seres y objetos. En los casos del canto IX de Ilíada, tales elementos cumplen una función relevante para la trama a través del leitmotiv tradicional que contribuyen a instaurar. Este tipo de análisis basado en las recurrencias de efectos sonoros permite recuperar para la lectura actual un rasgo importante de la poesía homérica: la 'creación verbal con motivación onomatopéyica'.

Efectos sonoros en el canto IX de Ilíada

Al considerar los procedimientos poéticos que aparecen en los textos homéricos, es fundamental no perder de vista las posibilidades significativas que pueden presentar para la recepción auditiva propia de la performance épica. En la recreación de los acontecimientos míticos, los elementos del lenguaje específicamente poético cumplen una función instauradora esencial, pues al transformar los procedimientos poéticos en creencias perceptivas, realizan la presencia de los hechos narrados. Así es que procedimientos tales como la aliteración conllevan una carga temática que los convierte en un rasgo clave de la poética homérica. Los efectos sonoros en los textos homéricos fueron comentados desde la antigüedad, especialmente la capacidad de reproducir verbalmente sonidos de varios tipos de fenómenos naturales, seres y objetos. En los casos del canto IX de Ilíada, tales elementos cumplen una función relevante para la trama a través del leitmotiv tradicional que contribuyen a instaurar. Este tipo de análisis basado en las recurrencias de efectos sonoros permite recuperar para la lectura actual un rasgo importante de la poesía homérica: la 'creación verbal con motivación onomatopéyica'.

Efectos sonoros en el canto IX de Ilíada

Al considerar los procedimientos poéticos que aparecen en los textos homéricos, es fundamental no perder de vista las posibilidades significativas que pueden presentar para la recepción auditiva propia de la performance épica. En la recreación de los acontecimientos míticos, los elementos del lenguaje específicamente poético cumplen una función instauradora esencial, pues al transformar los procedimientos poéticos en creencias perceptivas, realizan la presencia de los hechos narrados. Así es que procedimientos tales como la aliteración conllevan una carga temática que los convierte en un rasgo clave de la poética homérica. Los efectos sonoros en los textos homéricos fueron comentados desde la antigüedad, especialmente la capacidad de reproducir verbalmente sonidos de varios tipos de fenómenos naturales, seres y objetos. En los casos del canto IX de Ilíada, tales elementos cumplen una función relevante para la trama a través del leitmotiv tradicional que contribuyen a instaurar. Este tipo de análisis basado en las recurrencias de efectos sonoros permite recuperar para la lectura actual un rasgo importante de la poesía homérica: la 'creación verbal con motivación onomatopéyica'.

Continental Perspective 3, Spain

Well, I firmly believe that, as a professor, one has the duty, the obligation to show and explain his work. Not, of course, as a model to imitate, but rather as an opportunity to reflect upon that work. So, I will try to explain some of the considerations that were crucial in the development of each project. It is my hope that these reflections may be of interest to you, and due to my optimistic nature, that you may even enjoy it. Today I am going to present some projects, from a specific point of view: that of MATERIALITY. This is why I decided to title this presentation ARCHITEXTURE: that is, architecture from the point of view of texture, the quality of its material. Our architecture wants to pay attention to materials; we like to use very physical materials. We try to explore the expressive possibilities of different materials. That allows us, on the one hand, to try to master different techniques, and exploit their potential. On the other hand, it also avoids the dangers of style. Style is the death of an architect. When he starts repeating formulas, avoiding experimentation, copying himself, he dies of boredom, of intellectual boredom. Nevertheless, I don’t believe that the material itself determines anything. Architecture is an exercise of the freedom of an architect. Almost nothing is a given. Of course, there is the law of gravity and economic restraints, and even the overwhelming building code. But the most determinant factor is always the freedom of the architect, derived from his mastery of knowledge and culture, and his decision to innovate and to take risks

Metodología para medir beneficios de la ciudad Puerto de Valparaíso Chile, con relación a la actividad marítima portuaria

La presente tesis propone una metodología para medir variables de impacto socio económico en la ciudad Puerto de Valparaíso, como una alternativa que permite evaluar la asignación del uso y explotación del borde costero. La ciudad de Valparaíso se formó al alero de la actividad marítima portuaria, en sus comienzos esta actividad fue el motor de desarrollo económico de la ciudad, sus habitantes mantenían una alta dependencia de ésta actividad, formando una identidad y cultura portuaria. Con la decadencia de la actividad portuaria, producto principalmente a la construcción del canal de Panamá y a la modernización de los buques de transporte aumentando su distancia franqueable1, la ciudad fue dejando su dependencia de esta actividad. Hoy en día casi la totalidad del borde costero de la ciudad está asignado a las actividades portuarias con escasa participación laboral de los habitantes de la ciudad y una alta demanda urbana por el uso del borde costero. Por otra parte, la ciudad ha presentado en la última década altos niveles de cesantía, cuestionándose la verdadera utilidad de mantener un puerto en la ciudad. La investigación de la tesis permitió dimensionar la cantidad de firmas y actividades económicas que se desarrollaban en torno a la actividad marítima portuaria en la ciudad, cuantificando los empleos que éstas otorgaban a la ciudad, los niveles de remuneraciones, los tributos a la municipalidad de la ciudad, el aporte al comercio local, entre otros. Descubriéndose hallazgos que permiten reflexionar sobre la importancia del la actividad en el desarrollo económico actual y futuro de la ciudad. También los antecedentes obtenidos permiten contribuir a la evaluación de proyectos alternativos para el uso y explotación del borde costero. La metodología utilizada también puede ser adaptada para medir los beneficios de otras ciudades puertos en el mundo. Los resultados obtenidos fueron expuestos a las autoridades gubernamentales locales, presentados en seminarios y congresos nacionales e internacionales, como en la prensa local; los más destacados son: la actividad otorga 12.727 empleos directos e indirectos que corresponden al 12% de la fuerza laboral ocupada; la actividad representa el 19% del Producto Interno Bruto de la ciudad; la actividad aporta un 21% al presupuesto municipal por concepto de recaudación de tributos y representan un 11% del presupuesto total asignado al municipio por el Estado de Chile. El sector industrial marítimo-portuario de la ciudad sigue siendo la actividad industrial más relevante en la ciudad y demanda el desarrollo de una planificación estratégica que permita vincular la actividad turística de la ciudad vecina de Viña del Mar con la actividad portuaria de Valparaíso. Para lograr tal objetivo es necesario realizar cambios en los atributos de las operaciones portuarias que permitan ofrecer productos asociados al turismo. This thesis proposes a methodology to measure the socio economic variables in the port city of Valparaiso, as an alternative to evaluate the allocation of the usage and exploitation of the coastline. The city of Valparaiso was formed to advance the port maritime activity and in the beginning this activity was the engine of economic development of the city. Its inhabitants remained highly dependent on it and formed a port identity and culture. With the decline of port activity, mainly due to the construction of the Panama Canal and the modernization of the transport vessels increasing distances, the city lost its dependence on this activity. Today almost all of the coastline of the city is assigned to port activities with very little labor participation of the inhabitants of the city and a high demand for the use of urban waterfront. Moreover, the city has shown high levels of unemployment in the past decade, questioning the true value of maintaining a port in the city. The research of this thesis provides insights into the number of firms and economic activities that were developed around the port maritime activity in the city, quantifying the jobs they gave to the city, the levels of pay, taxes to the municipality of city and the contribution to local commerce, among others. The findings discovered allow reflexions on the importance of the activity in the current and future economic development of the city. The data obtained also allows a contribution of the evaluation of alternative projects for the use and exploitation of the coastline. The methodology can also be adapted to measure the benefits of other port cities in the world. The results were presented to local government authorities, at seminars and national and international conferences, and in the local press. The most important finding are: the activity maritime port activity provides 12,727 direct and indirect jobs that are 12% of the employed labor force; activity represents which is 19% of the GDP of the city, the activity contributes 21% to the municipal budget by way of the collection of taxes and represents 11% of the total budget allocated to the municipality by the Republic of Chile. The industrial maritime port sector of the city remains the most important industrial activity in the city and demands the development of strategic planning to link the tourism in the neighboring city of Viña del Mar and to the Valparaiso port activity. To achieve this goal it is necessary to make changes to the attributes of port operations that allow the offering of products associated with tourism.

Computational methods to create and analyze a digital gene expression atlas of embryo development from microscopy images

Abstract The creation of atlases, or digital models where information from different subjects can be combined, is a field of increasing interest in biomedical imaging. When a single image does not contain enough information to appropriately describe the organism under study, it is then necessary to acquire images of several individuals, each of them containing complementary data with respect to the rest of the components in the cohort. This approach allows creating digital prototypes, ranging from anatomical atlases of human patients and organs, obtained for instance from Magnetic Resonance Imaging, to gene expression cartographies of embryo development, typically achieved from Light Microscopy. Within such context, in this PhD Thesis we propose, develop and validate new dedicated image processing methodologies that, based on image registration techniques, bring information from multiple individuals into alignment within a single digital atlas model. We also elaborate a dedicated software visualization platform to explore the resulting wealth of multi-dimensional data and novel analysis algo-rithms to automatically mine the generated resource in search of bio¬logical insights. In particular, this work focuses on gene expression data from developing zebrafish embryos imaged at the cellular resolution level with Two-Photon Laser Scanning Microscopy. Disposing of quantitative measurements relating multiple gene expressions to cell position and their evolution in time is a fundamental prerequisite to understand embryogenesis multi-scale processes. However, the number of gene expressions that can be simultaneously stained in one acquisition is limited due to optical and labeling constraints. These limitations motivate the implementation of atlasing strategies that can recreate a virtual gene expression multiplex. The developed computational tools have been tested in two different scenarios. The first one is the early zebrafish embryogenesis where the resulting atlas constitutes a link between the phenotype and the genotype at the cellular level. The second one is the late zebrafish brain where the resulting atlas allows studies relating gene expression to brain regionalization and neurogenesis. The proposed computational frameworks have been adapted to the requirements of both scenarios, such as the integration of partial views of the embryo into a whole embryo model with cellular resolution or the registration of anatom¬ical traits with deformable transformation models non-dependent on any specific labeling. The software implementation of the atlas generation tool (Match-IT) and the visualization platform (Atlas-IT) together with the gene expression atlas resources developed in this Thesis are to be made freely available to the scientific community. Lastly, a novel proof-of-concept experiment integrates for the first time 3D gene expression atlas resources with cell lineages extracted from live embryos, opening up the door to correlate genetic and cellular spatio-temporal dynamics. La creación de atlas, o modelos digitales, donde la información de distintos sujetos puede ser combinada, es un campo de creciente interés en imagen biomédica. Cuando una sola imagen no contiene suficientes datos como para describir apropiadamente el organismo objeto de estudio, se hace necesario adquirir imágenes de varios individuos, cada una de las cuales contiene información complementaria respecto al resto de componentes del grupo. De este modo, es posible crear prototipos digitales, que pueden ir desde atlas anatómicos de órganos y pacientes humanos, adquiridos por ejemplo mediante Resonancia Magnética, hasta cartografías de la expresión genética del desarrollo de embrionario, típicamente adquiridas mediante Microscopía Optica. Dentro de este contexto, en esta Tesis Doctoral se introducen, desarrollan y validan nuevos métodos de procesado de imagen que, basándose en técnicas de registro de imagen, son capaces de alinear imágenes y datos provenientes de múltiples individuos en un solo atlas digital. Además, se ha elaborado una plataforma de visualization específicamente diseñada para explorar la gran cantidad de datos, caracterizados por su multi-dimensionalidad, que resulta de estos métodos. Asimismo, se han propuesto novedosos algoritmos de análisis y minería de datos que permiten inspeccionar automáticamente los atlas generados en busca de conclusiones biológicas significativas. En particular, este trabajo se centra en datos de expresión genética del desarrollo embrionario del pez cebra, adquiridos mediante Microscopía dos fotones con resolución celular. Disponer de medidas cuantitativas que relacionen estas expresiones genéticas con las posiciones celulares y su evolución en el tiempo es un prerrequisito fundamental para comprender los procesos multi-escala característicos de la morfogénesis. Sin embargo, el número de expresiones genéticos que pueden ser simultáneamente etiquetados en una sola adquisición es reducido debido a limitaciones tanto ópticas como del etiquetado. Estas limitaciones requieren la implementación de estrategias de creación de atlas que puedan recrear un multiplexado virtual de expresiones genéticas. Las herramientas computacionales desarrolladas han sido validadas en dos escenarios distintos. El primer escenario es el desarrollo embrionario temprano del pez cebra, donde el atlas resultante permite constituir un vínculo, a nivel celular, entre el fenotipo y el genotipo de este organismo modelo. El segundo escenario corresponde a estadios tardíos del desarrollo del cerebro del pez cebra, donde el atlas resultante permite relacionar expresiones genéticas con la regionalización del cerebro y la formación de neuronas. La plataforma computacional desarrollada ha sido adaptada a los requisitos y retos planteados en ambos escenarios, como la integración, a resolución celular, de vistas parciales dentro de un modelo consistente en un embrión completo, o el alineamiento entre estructuras de referencia anatómica equivalentes, logrado mediante el uso de modelos de transformación deformables que no requieren ningún marcador específico. Está previsto poner a disposición de la comunidad científica tanto la herramienta de generación de atlas (Match-IT), como su plataforma de visualización (Atlas-IT), así como las bases de datos de expresión genética creadas a partir de estas herramientas. Por último, dentro de la presente Tesis Doctoral, se ha incluido una prueba conceptual innovadora que permite integrar los mencionados atlas de expresión genética tridimensionales dentro del linaje celular extraído de una adquisición in vivo de un embrión. Esta prueba conceptual abre la puerta a la posibilidad de correlar, por primera vez, las dinámicas espacio-temporales de genes y células.

Does high speed rail compete fairly with other transportation modes? Madrid-Barcelona case study

Transportation modes produce many external costs such as congestion, accidents, and environmental impacts (pollution, noise and so on). From the microeconomic theory it is well known that in order to maximize social welfare, transportation modes should internalize the marginal costs they produce. Allocative efficiency is achieved when all transportation modes are priced at their social marginal cost. The objective of this research is to evaluate to what extent different passenger transport modes internalize their social marginal costs. This analysis is important since it affects the competitiveness of the different transport modes for a given OD pair. The case study analyzed is the corridor Madrid-Barcelona in Spain and the different transport modes have been considered (cars, buses, high-speed train and air). The research calculates the marginal social cost per user for each transportation mode, and it compares it with the average fare—allowing for the effect of discriminatory taxes—currently paid by the users. The external costs are calculated according to the guidelines established by the European Union. The gap between the marginal social cost and the price paid by users will provide the extra cost per passenger that each transport mode should have to pay for internalizing the external cost it produces. The research shows that external costs already produced by road and air transport modes are much higher than those produced by rail. However, the results show that road transport already internalizes every external costs it produces because users pay high fuel taxes. In other words, although rail transportation produces lower external costs, road transportation pays more than it should on the basis of the social marginal costs. The results of this work might be of help for Europ ean policy actions to be undertaken in the future.

An universal system to de-orbit satellites at end of life

A 3-year Project financed by the European Commission is aimed at developing a universal system to de-orbit satellites at their end of life, as a fundamental contribution to limit the increase of debris in the Space environment. The operational system involves a conductive tapetether left bare to establish anodic contact with the ambient plasma as a giant Langmuir probe. The Project will size the three disparate dimensions of a tape for a selected de-orbit mission and determine scaling laws to allow system design for a general mission. Starting at the second year, mission selection is carried out while developing numerical codes to implement control laws on tether dynamics in/off the orbital plane; performing numerical simulations and plasma chamber measurements on tether-plasma interaction; and completing design of subsystems: electronejecting plasma contactor, power module, interface elements, deployment mechanism, and tether-tape/end-mass. This will be followed by subsystems manufacturing and by currentcollection, free-fall, and hypervelocity impact tests.

Water option contracts for reducing water supply risks: an application to the Tagus-Segura Transfer

El agua es un recurso cada vez más escaso y valioso. Por ello, los recursos hídricos disponibles deben asignarse de una forma eficiente entre los diferentes usos. El cambio climático aumentará la frecuencia y severidad de los eventos extremos, y podría incrementar la demanda de agua de los cultivos. El empleo de mecanismos flexibles de asignación de agua puede ser imprescindible para hacer frente a este aumento en la variabilidad del balance hídrico y para asegurar que los riesgos de suministro, y no solo los recursos, son compartidos de manera eficiente entre los usuarios. Los mercados de agua permiten la reasignación de los recursos hídricos, favoreciendo su transferencia desde los usos de menor a los de mayor valor. Diferentes tipos de mercados de agua se han establecido en diferentes partes del mundo, ayudando a los participantes a afrontar los problemas de escasez de agua en esas zonas. En España, los intercambios de agua están permitidos desde 1999, aunque la participación de los usuarios en el mercado ha sido limitada. Hay varios aspectos de los mercados de agua en España que deben mejorarse. Esta tesis, además de proponer una serie de cambios en el marco regulatorio, propone la introducción de contratos de opción de agua como una posible mejora. La principal ventaja de este tipo de contratos es la estabilidad legal e institucional que éstos proporcionan tanto a compradores como vendedores. Para apoyar esta propuesta, se han llevado a cabo diferentes análisis que muestran el potencial de los contratos de opción como herramienta de reducción del riesgo asociado a una oferta de agua inestable. La Cuenca del Segura (Sureste de España), la Cuenca del Tajo y el Acueducto Tajo- Segura han sido seleccionados como casos de estudio. Tres análisis distintos aplicados a dicha región se presentan en esta tesis: a) una evaluación de los contratos de opción como mecanismo para reducir los riesgos de disponibilidad de agua sufridos por los regantes en la Cuenca del Segura; b) un marco teórico para analizar las preferencias de los regantes por diferentes mecanismos de gestión del riesgo de disponibilidad de agua, su disposición a pagar por ellos y los precios aproximados de estos instrumentos (seguro de sequía y contratos de opción de agua); y c) una evaluación del papel de los contratos de opción en las decisiones de aprovisionamiento de agua de una comunidad de regantes ante una oferta de agua incierta. Los resultados muestran el potencial de reducción del riesgo de los contratos de opción para regantes en España, pero pueden ser extrapolados a otros sectores o regiones. Las principales conclusiones de esta tesis son: a) la agricultura será uno de los sectores más afectados por el cambio climático. Si los precios del agua aumentan, la rentabilidad de los cultivos puede caer hasta niveles negativos, lo que podría dar lugar al abandono de cultivos de regadío en algunas zonas de España. Las políticas de cambio climático y de agua deben estar estrechamente coordinadas para asegurar un uso de agua eficiente y la rentabilidad de la agricultura; b) aunque los mercados de agua han ayudado a algunos usuarios a afrontar problemas de disponibilidad del recurso en momentos de escasez, hay varios aspectos que deben mejorarse; c) es necesario desarrollar mercados de agua más flexibles y estables para garantizar una asignación eficiente de los recursos entre los usuarios de agua; d) los resultados muestran los beneficios derivados del establecimiento de un contrato de opción entre usuarios de agua del Tajo y del Segura para reducir el riesgo de disponibilidad de agua en la cuenca receptora; e) la disposición a pagar de los regantes por un contrato de opción de agua o un seguro de sequía hidrológica, que representa el valor que tienen estos mecanismos para aquellos usuarios de agua que se enfrentan a riesgos relacionados con la disponibilidad del recurso, es consistente con los resultados obtenidos en estudios previos y superior al precio de mercado de estos instrumentos, lo que favorece la viabilidad de estos mecanismos de gestión del riesgo ; y f) los contratos de opción podrían ayudar a optimizar las decisiones de aprovisionamiento de agua bajo incertidumbre, proporcionando más estabilidad y flexibilidad que los mercados temporales de agua. ABSTRACT Water is becoming increasingly scarce and valuable. Thus, existing water resources need to be efficiently allocated among users. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and severity of extreme events, and it may also increase irrigated crops' water demand. The implementation of flexible allocation mechanisms could be essential to cope with this increased variability of the water balance and ensure that supply risks, and not only water resources, are also efficiently shared and managed. Water markets allow for the reallocation of water resources from low to high value uses. Different water trading mechanisms have been created in different parts of the world and have helped users to alleviate water scarcity problems in those areas. In Spain, water trading is allowed since 1999, although market activity has been limited. There are several issues in the Spanish water market that should be improved. This thesis, besides proposing several changes in the legislative framework, proposes the introduction of water option contracts as a potential improvement. The main advantage for both buyer and seller derived from an option contract is the institutional and legal stability it provides. To support this proposal, different analyses have been carried out that show the potential of option contracts as a risk reduction tool to manage water supply instability. The Segura Basin (Southeast Spain), the Tagus Basin and the Tagus-Segura inter-basin Transfer have been selected as the case study. Three different analyses applied to this region are presented in this thesis: a) an evaluation of option contracts as a mechanisms to reduce water supply availability risks in the Segura Basin; b) a theoretical framework for analyzing farmer’s preferences for different water supply risk management tools and farmers’ willingness to pay for them, together with the assessment of the prices of these mechanisms (drought insurance and water option contracts); and c) an evaluation of the role of option contracts in water procurement decisions under uncertainty. Results show the risk-reduction potential of option contracts for the agricultural sector in Spain, but these results can be extrapolated to other sectors or regions. The main conclusions of the thesis are: a) agriculture would be one of the most affected sectors by climate change. With higher water tariffs, crop’s profitability can drop to negative levels, which may result in the abandoning of the crop in many areas. Climate change and water policies must be closely coordinated to ensure efficient water use and crops’ profitability; b) although Spanish water markets have alleviated water availability problems for some users during water scarcity periods, there are several issues that should be improved; c) more flexible and stable water market mechanisms are needed to allocate water resources and water supply risks among competing users; d) results show the benefits derived from the establishment of an inter-basin option contract between water users in the Tagus and the Segura basins for reducing water supply availability risks in the recipient area; e) irrigators’ willingness to pay for option contracts or drought insurance, that represent the value that this kind of trading mechanisms has for water users facing water supply reliability problems, are consistent with results obtained in previous works and higher than the prices of this risk management tools, which shows the feasibility of these mechanisms; and f) option contracts would help to optimize water procurement decisions under uncertainty, providing more flexibility and stability than the spot market.

Urbanism and dictatorship: perspectives of the field of urban studies

In 1933 public letter to Wilhelm Furtwängler, Joseph Goebbels synthesized the official understanding of the link between politics, art and society in the early steps of the Third Reich. By assuming the ethos of art, politics acquired a plastic agency to mold its objects —population and the state— as a unified entity in the form of a ‘national-popular community’ (Volksgemeinschaft); in turn, by infusing art with a political valence, it became part of a wider governmental apparatus that reshaped aesthetic discourses and practices. Similar remarks could be made about the ordering of cities and territories in this period. Dictatorial imaginations mobilized urbanism —including urban theory, urban design and planning— as a fundamental tool for social organization. Under their aegis the production of space became a moment in a wider production of society. Many authors suggest that this political-spatial nexus is intrinsic to modernity itself, beyond dictatorial regimes. In this light, I propose to use dictatorial urbanisms as an analytical opportunity to delve into some concealed features of modern urban design and planning. This chapter explores some of these aspects from a theoretical standpoint, focusing on the development of dictatorial planning mentalities and spatial rationalities and drawing links to other historical episodes in order to inscribe the former in a broader genealogy of urbanism. Needless to say, I don’t suggest that we use dictatorships as mere templates to understand modern productions of space. Instead, these cases provide a crude version of some fundamental drives in the operationalization of urbanism as an instrument of social regulation, showing how far the modern imagination of sociospatial orderings can go. Dictatorial urbanisms constituted a set of experiences where many dreams and aspirations of modern planning went to die. But not, as the conventional account would have it, because the former were the antithesis of the latter, but rather because they worked as the excess of a particular orientation of modern spatial governmentalities — namely, their focus on calculation, social engineering and disciplinary spatialities, and their attempt to subsume a wide range of everyday practices under institutional structuration by means of spatial mediations. In my opinion the interest of dictatorial urbanisms lies in their role as key regulatory episodes in a longer history of our urban present. They stand as a threshold between the advent of planning in the late 19th and early 20th century, and its final consolidation as a crucial state instrument after World War II. We need, therefore, to pay attention to these experiences vis-à-vis the alleged ‘normal’ development of the field in contemporary democratic countries in order to develop a full comprehension thereof.

En el principio era Távora - : itinerario para la transmisión de una síntesis arquitectónica

La tesis afronta el análisis del itinerario vital de Fernando Távora, una vida entregada apasionadamente a una causa de refundación estética y conceptual de una arquitectura portuguesa condenada a la mediocridad y al ostracismo en el momento en que empieza a ejercer la profesión. La investigación se adentra en todos los aspectos que convergen en su dedicación al logro de aquella misión, pues la que él mismo probablemente llamaría orteguianamente su circunstancia, resulta inseparable de su pensamiento y de su obra. Se pretende establecer la riqueza y complejidad de la figura de Fernando Távora y su importancia como punto de inflexión en la evolución de la arquitectura portuguesa, que ha llegado a alcanzar el reconocimiento internacional en las últimas décadas, fundamentalmente a partir de la consagración de Álvaro Siza Vieira y la denominada Escuela de Oporto. Desde una posición de absoluta autonomía respecto de lo que acontece dentro y fuera de las fronteras portuguesas, su labor se distinguirá por su singularidad teórica y arquitectónica, no dejando por ello de influir decisivamente en su entorno cercano. Dos manifiestos escritos, el juvenil O problema da Casa Portuguesa y el posterior Da Organização do Espaço son elementos estructurantes de un pensamiento teórico que germina en una obra construida inseparable de aquel, de cuya coherencia dan testimonio los aquí considerados verdaderos manifiestos proyectuales del arquitecto. Efectivamente, se analizarán detalladamente como tales la Casa sobre o Mar –manifiesto inicial-, el Pabellón de Tenis –manifiesto de confirmación- y la Casa dos 24 -manifiesto final-, proyectos que vieron la luz en diferentes etapas de su trayectoria y constituyen la aplicación práctica de sus teorías en una sintaxis magistral. En estos tres proyectos es donde verdaderamente la tesis cobra cuerpo, pues suponen el reflejo de la verdadera aportación del arquitecto al pensamiento arquitectónico europeo, la foto fija de la proclamación de resultados de un proyecto arquitectónico integral en momentos muy significativos de su itinerario vital, cuya complejidad se entiende a través de las fases más descriptivas de este documento. Se mostrará cómo para acometer su proyecto integral de arquitectura, una causa de regeneración de la arquitectura portuguesa a partir de la síntesis entre modernidad y tradición, entre universalidad y localidad, tomaría de sus dos personajes más admirados, Le Corbusier y Pessoa, la fuerza moral y la energía que le permitieron acometer apasionadamente tamaña misión. En una infatigable búsqueda en lo global y lo local, Távora conseguirá prestar gran atención al contexto del lugar de intervención sin renunciar a sus convicciones modernas, introduciendo la historia y el dibujo como herramientas de conocimiento del mismo y posteriormente del proceso creativo. El método proyectivo resultante de este modelo, que transmitirá a través de su ejercicio docente a sucesivas generaciones de arquitectos, se convertirá en elemento estructurante de una tendencia surgida de las aulas portuenses, que la crítica internacional acabará denominando Escuela de Oporto en un sentido más amplio. Por su importancia dentro del itinerario profesional del[os] arquitecto[s] portuense[s], las fases más destacadas de su evolución a partir de los años 50 se analizarán en paralelo a una serie de obras representativas de diferentes momentos de la trayectoria de Fernando Távora. En este itinerario vital, a pesar de la originalidad de su pensamiento y su obra, se atisban ciertos paralelismos con grandes arquitectos del siglo XX, que esta tesis afronta. Se puede distinguir entre influencias pasajeras de algunos maestros modernos en los que Távora buscaba la confirmación a sus propias teorías, similitudes con arquitectos coetáneos cuya obra conoció y a los que se encontró cercano por la convergencia de algunos de sus criterios e incluso sorprendentes coincidencias con arquitectos desconocidos para él, entre las que cabe destacar la de los maestros de la Escuela de Madrid Alejandro de la Sota y Javier Sáenz de Oiza. Por último, en una alegoría con los heterónimos de Fernando Pessoa, se analiza desde una perspectiva personal fruto de la investigación y de las entrevistas mantenidas con todos ellos, la importante labor de Álvaro Siza Vieira, Alexandre Alves Costa y su hijo José Bernardo Távora como agentes coadyuvantes en la consecución del proyecto integral de arquitectura [y vida] de Fernando Távora. Sin lugar a dudas, Álvaro Siza constituye el personaje fundamental e imprescindible para que la arquitectura portuguesa alcanzase la privilegiada consideración que en la actualidad ostenta en la escena internacional. Un arquitecto consagrado que ocupa ya, y ocupará siempre, un lugar privilegiado en la breve lista de maestros míticos e irrepetibles de la arquitectura contemporánea. Con todo, cabe afirmar con la paráfrasis bíblica que da título a la tesis que ‘En el principio era Távora...’ ABSTRACT This thesis addresses the analysis of Fernando Távora’s life journey, a life that was passionately devoted to the cause of aesthetically and conceptually overhauling Portuguese architecture, which was doomed to mediocrity and ostracism at the time when he started practicing professionally. This research delves into all aspects converging in his dedication to achieving that mission, since what he himself would probably call his circumstance – in the manner of José Ortega y Gasset – is inseparable from his thinking and his work. This thesis seeks also to establish the richness and complexity of Fernando Távora’s figure and his importance as a turning point in the evolution of Portuguese architecture, which has gone on to achieve international recognition in recent decades, especially after the consecration of Álvaro Siza Vieira and the so-called School of Oporto. From an absolutely autonomous position with regard to what is happening within and outside Portuguese borders, his work will stand out due to its theoretical and architectural uniqueness – this not being a reason to prevent its decisive influence on his close surroundings. Two written manifestos, his early O problema da Casa Portuguesa and his subsequent Da Organização do Espaço, become structural elements of the theoretical thinking that develops into works which are built in parallel with the former. The coherence of this thinking is reflected on the hereby considered the architect’s true project manifestos. Indeed, we will analyse as such the Casa sobre o Mar (initial manifesto), the Tennis Pavilion (confirmation manifesto) and Casa dos 24 (final manifesto), projects which saw the light at different stages of his career and constitute the practical application of his theories in a masterful syntax. These are the three projects where the thesis takes shape, as they become the reflection of the architect’s true contribution to the European architectural school of thought; the still picture of the results proclamation of a whole architectural project at highly significant moments in his life journey, whose complexity can be understood through this document’s most descriptive phases. This study will show how, in order to carry out his architectural project – regenerate Portuguese architecture by synthesizing modernity and tradition, universality and locality –, Távora would take the moral strength and energy from his two most admired figures, Le Corbusier and Pessoa, allowing him to passionately undertake such a colossal mission. In a tireless search within the global and the local, Távora will manage to pay more attention to the context of the intervention place without compromising his modern convictions, by introducing history and drawing as knowledge tools of the place and eventually of the creative process. The resulting projective method of this model, which he will transmit to successive generations of architects through his teaching, will become a structural element of a trend emerged from the Oporto classrooms which international critique will end up denominating School of Porto in a broader sense. Due to its importance within Porto architect[s]’ professional career, the most prominent phases of its evolution as of the 50s will be analysed in parallel to a series of representative works from different moments in Fernando Távora’s career. Despite the originality of his thinking and his work, certain parallelisms with great architects from the 20th century can be found in Távora’s life journey, which this thesis will address. Amongst temporary influences of some modern masters in whom Távora sought confirmation of his own theories, similarities can be spotted with contemporary architects whose work he knew and to whom he felt close because of the convergence of some of his views. It is also possible to see surprising coincidences with architects he did not know, such as Alejandro de la Sota and Javier Sáenz de Oiza, masters from the School of Madrid. Finally, in an allegory with Fernando Pessoa’s heteronyms, this thesis studies – from a personal perspective based on research and the interviews held with all of them – the important work of Álvaro Siza Vieira, Alexandre Alves Costa and his son Jose Bernardo Távora as auxiliaries in the achievement of Fernando Távora’s complete architectural [and life] project. Without the slightest doubt, Álvaro Siza constitutes the essential figure thanks to whom Portuguese architecture would reach the advantaged position it holds nowadays in the international arena. An acclaimed architect, Siza already holds a privileged spot in the brief list of legendary and unrepeatable masters of contemporary architecture. Nevertheless, with the biblical paraphrase that entitles this thesis it can be claimed that ‘In the beginning was Távora…’