New evidence of the real interest rate parity for OECD countries using panel unit root tests with breaks

This paper tests for real interest parity (RIRP) among the nineteen major OECD countries over the period 1978:Q2-1998:Q4. The econometric methods applied consist of combining the use of several unit root or stationarity tests designed for panels valid under cross-section dependence and presence of multiple structural breaks. Our results strongly support the fulfilment of the weak version of the RIRP for the studied period once dependence and structural breaks are accounted for.

Delirium in elderly patients hospitalized in an acute care unit.

Introduction: Delirium is frequent in hospitalized older people, with incidence rate up to 40% in acute care. Delirium is associated with several adverse consequences, including increased mortality and institutionalization. This study aims to investigate the prevalence, incidence, and consequences of delirium in patients hospitalized in an acute care unit for elderly (ACE unit). Methods: Over a 3 months period, every patient (N = 93, mean age 84.1 ± 7.8 years, 66/93(71%) women) admitted to a 28-bed ACE unit were systematically assessed for delirium. Trained nurses used the Confusion Assessment Method (CAM) instrument to determine the presence of delirium at admission and on each subsequent day over patients' stay. Delirium prevalence rate was defined as the proportion of patients with a positive CAM within 24 hours of admission to the ACE unit. Delirium incidence rate was defined as the proportion of patients with a negative CAM at admission whose CAM became positive at least once during their stay. This evaluation was part of a functional assessment, including Basic Activities of Daily Life (Katz BADL, from 0 to 6, higher score indicating better function). Delirium prevention interventions and specific treatment was provided if needed. Results: Overall,25/93(27%)patients had delirium during their stay. Prevalence of delirium at admission was 10/93 (11%), with an incidence of 15/83(18%). Compared with non-delirious patients, those with delirium were more frequently men (10/25(40%) vs 17/68(25%), p <.001) and had reduced functional status at admission(BADL 2.0 ± 1.9 vs 3.6 ± 2.1, p = .004). They tended to be older (86.0 ± 6.7 vs 83.3 ± 8.1 years, p = .110). At discharge, delirium was associated with reduced functional status (BADL 2.0 ± 2.1 vs 4.3 ± 1.9, p <.001), lower rate of home discharge (6/20(30%) vs 28/65 (43%), p = .009) and increased mortality (5/25 (20%) vs 3/68 (5%), p <.001). On average, patients with delirium stayed 5.7 days longer (17.0 ± 9.8 vs 11.31 ± 6.3, p = .011). Conclusion: Delirium occurred in almost a third of these older patients, even though its incidence was relatively low in this frail population. Despite specific management, delirium remained associated with higher risk for adverse outcomes at discharge. These results suggest that early preventive interventions, implemented as soon as possible after hospital admission, might be needed in similar population to achieve better outcomes. Effectiveness of such interventions will be evaluated in future studies.

New evidence of the real interest rate parity for OECD countries using panel unit root tests with breaks

This paper tests for real interest parity (RIRP) among the nineteen major OECD countries over the period 1978:Q2-1998:Q4. The econometric methods applied consist of combining the use of several unit root or stationarity tests designed for panels valid under cross-section dependence and presence of multiple structural breaks. Our results strongly support the fulfilment of the weak version of the RIRP for the studied period once dependence and structural breaks are accounted for.

Level shifts in a panel data based unit root test : an application to the rate of unemployment

Several unit root tests in panel data have recently been proposed. The test developed by Harris and Tzavalis (1999 JoE) performs particularly well when the time dimension is moderate in relation to the cross-section dimension. However, in common with the traditional tests designed for the unidimensional case, it was found to perform poorly when there is a structural break in the time series under the alternative. Here we derive the asymptotic distribution of the test allowing for a shift in the mean, and assess the small sample performance. We apply this new test to show how the hypothesis of (perfect) hysteresis in Spanish unemployment is rejected in favour of the alternative of the natural unemployment rate, when the possibility of a change in the latter is considered.

Pertinence de la trace: étude théorique et perspectives expérimentales

Pour faire évoluer la science forensique, il faut pouvoir analyser des notions élémentaires appartenant au quotidien et non se focaliser exclusivement sur le développement de nouvelles techniques. Encore non étudiée sous cette perspective, la pertinence fait partie de ces notions fondamentales forensiques pour lesquelles une telle analyse mérite d'être menée. En tenant compte du constat formulé par Inman et Rudin (2000), à savoir que la tâche la plus compliquée est de pouvoir reconnaître des traces matérielles pertinentes, s'interroger sur la pertinence de la trace soulève bien plus qu'une question. Cela met en évidence une multitude de paramètres intervenant dans les processus de raisonnement et de décision opérés sur les lieux d'investigations. Du reste trois facteurs susceptibles d'avoir une influence notable sur la recherche de traces apparaissent : Savoir, Formation et Expérience ou S.F.E. Ils forment, en étant regroupés, un bagage spécifique au spécialiste, composant sa connaissance dans le domaine et à même de jouer un rôle d'importance dans son travail opéré sur les lieux. Afin de déterminer l'influence de ce bagage sur le concept de pertinence, la démarche expérimentale se conduit en deux temps. Dans une première phase, l'approche se veut exploratoire au travers d'un stage réalisé dans une unité d'interventions, permettant de poser des bases statistiques et de dresser une réalité du travail sur le terrain. Puis au cours de la phase expérimentale, la conduite d'entretiens semi-directifs, couplés à un sondage, vise à déterminer quelle perception du concept de pertinence ressort parmi les volontaires interrogés. Ces derniers sont issus de groupes composés de futurs criminalistes, qui suivent une formation forensique à l'Université de Lausanne, et de praticiens expérimentés de formation police et / ou scientifique. En tentant de clarifier le concept de pertinence, l'objectif est de fournir des outils pour renforcer ou orienter la formation de spécialistes sur le terrain, en ayant permis d'amorcer une démarche de réflexion logique face aux champs d'investigations. En se voulant utile pour mieux formaliser la détection et la collecte des traces pertinentes sur les lieux, cela constitue une aide à la gestion : un atout non négligeable à l'heure où les contrôles qualité et les standards ne sont plus seulement une tendance mais une réalité qui s'impose.

An analysis of inflation rates in the European Union using wavelets : strong evidence against unit roots

In this paper we assume inflation rates in European Union countries may in fact be fractionally integrated. Given this assumption, we obtain estimations of the order of integration by means a method based on wavelets coefficients. Finally, results obtained allow reject the unit root hypothesis on inflation rates. It means that a random shock on the rate of inflation in these countries has transitory effects that gradually diminish with the passage of time, that this, said shock hasn¿t a permanent effect on future values of inflation rates

Pharmaceutical care in an inpatient pediatric intensive care unit: an international multicentric study

Introduction Pediatric intensive care patient represent a population athigh risk for drug-related problems. Our objective is to describe drugrelated problems and intervention of four decentralized pharmacists inpediatric and cardiac intensive care unit.Materials & Methods Multicentric, descriptive and prospectivestudy over a six-month period (August 1st 2009-January 31st 2010).Drug-related problems and clinical interventions were compiled infour pediatric centers using a tool developed by the Socie´te´ Franc¸aisede Pharmacie Clinique. Data concerning patients, drugs, intervention,documentation, approval (if needed), and estimated impact werecompiled. The four pharmacists participating were from Belgium (B),France (F), Quebec (Q) and Switzerland (S).Results A total of 996 interventions were collected: 129 (13%) in B,238 (24%) in F, 278 (28%) in Q and 351 (35%) in S. These interventionstargeted 269 patients (median 22 month-old, 52% male): 69(26%) in B, 88 (33%) in F, 56 (21%) in Q and in S. These data werecollected during 28 non consecutive days in the clinical unit in B, 59days in F, 42 days in Q and 63 days in S. The main drug-relatedproblems were inappropriate administration technique (293, 29%),untreated indication (254, 25%) and supra therapeutic dosage (106,11%). The pharmacist's interventions concerned mainly administrationmode optimization (223, 22%), dose adjustment (200, 20%) andtherapeutic monitoring (164, 16%). The three major drug classesleading to interventions were anti-infectives for systemic use (233,23%) and alimentary tract and metabolism drugs (218, 22%). Interventionsconcerned mainly residents and all clinical staff (209, 21%).Among the 879 (88%) interventions requiring a physician's approval,731 (83%) were accepted. Interventions were considered as having amoderate (51%) or major (17%) clinical impact. Among the interventionsprovided, 10% were considered to have an economicalpositive impact. Differences and similarities between countries willbe presented at the poster session.Discussion & Conclusion Decentralized pharmacist at patient bedsideis a pre-requisite for pharmaceutical care. There are limitedstudies comparing the activity of clinical pharmacists betweencountries. This descriptive study illustrates the ability of clinicalpharmacist to identify and solve drug-related problems in pediatricintensive care unit in four different francophone countries.

Audit report on the Iowa Department of Human Services – Case Management Unit for the year ended June 30, 2010

Audit report on the Iowa Department of Human Services – Case Management Unit for the year ended June 30, 2010

Detrital zircon and micropalaeontological ages as new constraints for the lowermost tectonic unit (Talea Ori unit) of Crete, Greece

The Talea Ori unit is the lowermost known tectonic unit of Crete and the most external part of the Hellenides. Its stratigraphy ranges from Late Carboniferous to Oligocene and outcrops of the lower part are only known in the Talea Ori mountains (central Crete). In this area, a black sandstone at the base of the Galinos Beds, thought to be the oldest formation, contains zircons which were dated using the single grain evaporation method. The majority of these grains yielded Late Carboniferous ages (Variscan), while a small group yielded Early Proterozoic ages. The age distribution of these zircons suggests that, at the Carboniferous-Permian boundary, not much of the older North Gondwanan basement was exposed and that a river system carried detrital material from the Variscan belt towards the forming Neotethyan rift. Additionally, higher up in the stratigraphy benthic foraminifers (miliolids) were found in clasts from a conglomerate which was so far thought to be of Early Triassic age [Epting, M., Kudrass, H.-R., Leppig, U., Schaffer, A., 1972. Geologie der Talea Ori/Kreta. N. Jb. Geol. Palaont. Abh. 141, 259-285.]. These miliolids belong to the species Hoyenella inconstans [Michalik, J., Jendrejakova, O., Borza, K., 1979. Some new foraminifera species of the Fatra-Formation (Uppermost Triassic) in the West Carpathians. Geol. Carpath. 30 (1), 61-91.], thus attributing a Late Triassic (Carnian-Norian?) maximal age to this conglomerate. The carbonate platform from which the miliolids-bearing clasts come is not known. The presence to the north of a continuous hemipelagic record from the Carboniferous to the Triassic (Phyllite-Quartzite and Tripali units), attributed to the Palaeotethys realm, allows the Talea Ori unit and its lateral equivalents (the Ionian zone) to be assigned to the westward continuation of the Cimmerian block and therefore to the northern margin of the East Mediterranean Neotethys ocean. (c) 2006 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

Impact of a program to prevent incivility towards and assault of healthcare staff in an ophtalmological emergency unit: study protocol for the PREVURGO On/Off trial.

BACKGROUND: The emergency department has been identified as an area within the health care sector with the highest reports of violence. The best way to control violence is to prevent it before it becomes an issue. Ideally, to prevent violent episodes we should eliminate all triggers of frustration and violence. Our study aims to assess the impact of a quality improvement multi-faceted program aiming at preventing incivility and violence against healthcare professionals working at the ophthalmological emergency department of a teaching hospital. METHODS/DESIGN: This study is a single-center prospective, controlled time-series study with an alternate-month design. The prevention program is based on the successive implementation of five complementary interventions: a) an organizational approach with a standardized triage algorithm and patient waiting number screen, b) an environmental approach with clear signage of the premises, c) an educational approach with informational videos for patients and accompanying persons in waiting rooms, d) a human approach with a mediator in waiting rooms and e) a security approach with surveillance cameras linked to the hospital security. The primary outcome is the rate of incivility or violence by patients, or those accompanying them against healthcare staff. All patients admitted to the ophthalmological emergency department, and those accompanying them, will be enrolled. In all, 45,260 patients will be included in over a 24-month period. The unit analysis will be the patient admitted to the emergency department. Data analysis will be blinded to allocation, but due to the nature of the intervention, physicians and patients will not be blinded. DISCUSSION: The strengths of this study include the active solicitation of event reporting, that this is a prospective study and that the study enables assessment of each of the interventions that make up the program. The challenge lies in identifying effective interventions, adapting them to the context of care in an emergency department, and thoroughly assessing their efficacy with a high level of proof.The study has been registered as a cRCT at clinicaltrials.gov (identifier: NCT02015884).

Investigation of Des Moines Police Department, use of force in the Arrest of Larry Milton, 1992

Investigative report produced by Iowa Citizens' Aide/Ombudsman