Desenvolvimento de um sistema de alerta de enchente aplicado aos planos de defesa civil em áreas de risco no estado do Pará utilizando Sistema de Informações Geográficas (SIG), caso: cidade de Marabá

A presente dissertação desenvolveu um Sistema de Alerta de Enchentes para a Cidade de Marabá, localizada na confluência dos rios Itacaiúnas e Tocantins, a 440 km da cidade de Belém, capital do Estado do Pará. O Sistema de Alerta de Enchentes foi desenvolvido com base no modelo hidrológico MOD-4B incorporado a um Sistema de Informações Geográficas. Esse sistema permite prever as variações do nível do Rio Tocantins ao longo do ano, de modo a acompanhar a evolução da cheia com antecedência de 4 dias, o que torna possível uma ação eficiente da defesa civil. O modelo de previsão utilizou como referência as réguas linimétricas localizadas nos rios Tocantins e Araguaia nas cidades de Carolina e Conceição do Araguaia, distantes aproximadamente 225 e 270 km, respectivamente, da cidade de Marabá. O sistema utiliza o software de geoprocessamento ArcView 3.3, que teve implementada uma interface desenvolvida através da linguagem de programação orientada a objetos Avenue, com a finalidade de rodar o aplicativo do modelo hidrológico. O uso de menus e janelas customizados do sistema possibilitou o acesso a dados espaciais e tabelas de dados relacionais e/ou banco de dados cadastral, além de módulos de análise espacial e de visualização de dados geográficos em um Sistema de Informações Geográficas (SIG), possibilitando a previsão de enchentes na forma de mapas, tabelas e relatórios com a indicação das áreas inundadas para os períodos de 4, 3, 2 e 1 dia de antecedência do evento de enchente. O Sistema permitiu identificar os imóveis e as ruas atingidos, e possibilitará através de levantamentos futuros quantificar a população afetada e os prejuízos causados pelo desastre, facilitando que a defesa civil execute planos de ação para enfrentamento eficiente antes, durante e depois da ocorrência da enchente.

ORBITAL PERTURBATIONS OF THE GALILEAN SATELLITES DURING PLANETARY ENCOUNTERS

Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (FAPESP)

TUNGSTEN ISOTOPIC COMPOSITIONS IN STARDUST SiC GRAINS FROM THE MURCHISON METEORITE: CONSTRAINTS ON THE s-PROCESS IN THE Hf-Ta-W-Re-Os REGION

We report the first tungsten isotopic measurements in stardust silicon carbide (SiC) grains recovered from the Murchison carbonaceous chondrite. The isotopes (182,183,184,186)Wand (179,180)Hf were measured on both an aggregate (KJB fraction) and single stardust SiC grains (LS+ LU fraction) believed to have condensed in the outflows of low-mass carbon-rich asymptotic giant branch (AGB) stars with close-to-solar metallicity. The SiC aggregate shows small deviations from terrestrial (= solar) composition in the (182)W/(184)Wand (183)W/(184)Wratios, with deficits in (182)W and (183)W with respect to (184)W. The (186)W/(184)W ratio, however, shows no apparent deviation from the solar value. Tungsten isotopic measurements in single mainstream stardust SiC grains revealed lower than solar (182)W/(184)W, (183)W/(184)W, and (186)W/(184)W ratios. We have compared the SiC data with theoretical predictions of the evolution of W isotopic ratios in the envelopes of AGB stars. These ratios are affected by the slow neutron-capture process and match the SiC data regarding their (182)W/(184)W, (183)W/(184)W, and (179)Hf/(180)Hf isotopic compositions, although a small adjustment in the s-process production of (183)W is needed in order to have a better agreement between the SiC data and model predictions. The models cannot explain the (186)W/(184)W ratios observed in the SiC grains, even when the current (185)W neutron-capture cross section is increased by a factor of two. Further study is required to better assess how model uncertainties (e. g., the formation of the (13)C neutron source, the mass-loss law, the modeling of the third dredge-up, and the efficiency of the (22)Ne neutron source) may affect current s-process predictions.

Development of advanced tools and methods for the assessment and management of risk due to atypical major accident scenarios

Proper hazard identification has become progressively more difficult to achieve, as witnessed by several major accidents that took place in Europe, such as the Ammonium Nitrate explosion at Toulouse (2001) and the vapour cloud explosion at Buncefield (2005), whose accident scenarios were not considered by their site safety case. Furthermore, the rapid renewal in the industrial technology has brought about the need to upgrade hazard identification methodologies. Accident scenarios of emerging technologies, which are not still properly identified, may remain unidentified until they take place for the first time. The consideration of atypical scenarios deviating from normal expectations of unwanted events or worst case reference scenarios is thus extremely challenging. A specific method named Dynamic Procedure for Atypical Scenarios Identification (DyPASI) was developed as a complementary tool to bow-tie identification techniques. The main aim of the methodology is to provide an easier but comprehensive hazard identification of the industrial process analysed, by systematizing information from early signals of risk related to past events, near misses and inherent studies. DyPASI was validated on the two examples of new and emerging technologies: Liquefied Natural Gas regasification and Carbon Capture and Storage. The study broadened the knowledge on the related emerging risks and, at the same time, demonstrated that DyPASI is a valuable tool to obtain a complete and updated overview of potential hazards. Moreover, in order to tackle underlying accident causes of atypical events, three methods for the development of early warning indicators were assessed: the Resilience-based Early Warning Indicator (REWI) method, the Dual Assurance method and the Emerging Risk Key Performance Indicator method. REWI was found to be the most complementary and effective of the three, demonstrating that its synergy with DyPASI would be an adequate strategy to improve hazard identification methodologies towards the capture of atypical accident scenarios.

Analisi critica di modelli previsionali per le frane in Emilia Romagna

Questa tesi di dottorato è inserita nell’ambito della convenzione tra ARPA_SIMC (che è l’Ente finanziatore), l’Agenzia Regionale di Protezione Civile ed il Dipartimento di Scienze della Terra e Geologico - Ambientali dell’Ateneo di Bologna. L’obiettivo principale è la determinazione di possibili soglie pluviometriche di innesco per i fenomeni franosi in Emilia Romagna che possano essere utilizzate come strumento di supporto previsionale in sala operativa di Protezione Civile. In un contesto geologico così complesso, un approccio empirico tradizionale non è sufficiente per discriminare in modo univoco tra eventi meteo innescanti e non, ed in generale la distribuzione dei dati appare troppo dispersa per poter tracciare una soglia statisticamente significativa. È stato quindi deciso di applicare il rigoroso approccio statistico Bayesiano, innovativo poiché calcola la probabilità di frana dato un certo evento di pioggia (P(A|B)) , considerando non solo le precipitazioni innescanti frane (quindi la probabilità condizionata di avere un certo evento di precipitazione data l’occorrenza di frana, P(B|A)), ma anche le precipitazioni non innescanti (quindi la probabilità a priori di un evento di pioggia, P(A)). L’approccio Bayesiano è stato applicato all’intervallo temporale compreso tra il 1939 ed il 2009. Le isolinee di probabilità ottenute minimizzano i falsi allarmi e sono facilmente implementabili in un sistema di allertamento regionale, ma possono presentare limiti previsionali per fenomeni non rappresentati nel dataset storico o che avvengono in condizioni anomale. Ne sono esempio le frane superficiali con evoluzione in debris flows, estremamente rare negli ultimi 70 anni, ma con frequenza recentemente in aumento. Si è cercato di affrontare questo problema testando la variabilità previsionale di alcuni modelli fisicamente basati appositamente sviluppati a questo scopo, tra cui X – SLIP (Montrasio et al., 1998), SHALSTAB (SHALlow STABility model, Montgomery & Dietrich, 1994), Iverson (2000), TRIGRS 1.0 (Baum et al., 2002), TRIGRS 2.0 (Baum et al., 2008).

Flash floods and their effects on the development in El-Qaá plain area in South Sinai, Egypt

The arid regions are dominated to a much larger degree than humid regions by major catastrophic events. Although most of Egypt lies within the great hot desert belt; it experiences especially in the north some torrential rainfall, which causes flash floods all over Sinai Peninsula. Flash floods in hot deserts are characterized by high velocity and low duration with a sharp discharge peak. Large sediment loads may be carried by floods threatening fields and settlements in the wadis and even people who are living there. The extreme spottiness of rare heavy rainfall, well known to desert people everywhere, precludes any efficient forecasting. Thus, although the limitation of data still reflects pre-satellite methods, chances of developing a warning system for floods in the desert seem remote. The relatively short flood-to-peak interval, a characteristic of desert floods, presents an additional impediment to the efficient use of warning systems. The present thesis contains introduction and five chapters, chapter one points out the physical settings of the study area. There are the geological settings such as outcrop lithology of the study area and the deposits. The alluvial deposits of Wadi Moreikh had been analyzed using OSL dating to know deposits and palaeoclimatic conditions. The chapter points out as well the stratigraphy and the structure geology containing main faults and folds. In addition, it manifests the pesent climate conditions such as temperature, humidity, wind and evaporation. Besides, it presents type of soils and natural vegetation cover of the study area using unsupervised classification for ETM+ images. Chapter two points out the morphometric analysis of the main basins and their drainage network in the study area. It is divided into three parts: The first part manifests the morphometric analysis of the drainage networks which had been extracted from two main sources, topographic maps and DEM images. Basins and drainage networks are considered as major influencing factors on the flash floods; Most of elements were studied which affect the network such as stream order, bifurcation ratio, stream lengths, stream frequency, drainage density, and drainage patterns. The second part of this chapter shows the morphometric analysis of basins such as area, dimensions, shape and surface. Whereas, the third part points the morphometric analysis of alluvial fans which form most of El-Qaá plain. Chapter three manifests the surface runoff through rainfall and losses analysis. The main subject in this chapter is rainfall which has been studied in detail; it is the main reason for runoff. Therefore, all rainfall characteristics are regarded here such as rainfall types, distribution, rainfall intensity, duration, frequency, and the relationship between rainfall and runoff. While the second part of this chapter concerns with water losses estimation by evaporation and infiltration which are together the main losses with direct effect on the high of runoff. Finally, chapter three points out the factors influencing desert runoff and runoff generation mechanism. Chapter four is concerned with assessment of flood hazard, it is important to estimate runoff and tocreate a map of affected areas. Therefore, the chapter consists of four main parts; first part manifests the runoff estimation, the different methods to estimate runoff and its variables such as runoff coefficient lag time, time of concentration, runoff volume, and frequency analysis of flash flood. While the second part points out the extreme event analysis. The third part shows the map of affected areas for every basin and the flash floods degrees. In this point, it has been depending on the DEM to extract the drainage networks and to determine the main streams which are normally more dangerous than others. Finally, part four presets the risk zone map of total study area which is of high inerest for planning activities. Chapter five as the last chapter concerns with flash flood Hazard mitigation. It consists of three main parts. First flood prediction and the method which can be used to predict and forecast the flood. The second part aims to determine the best methods which can be helpful to mitigate flood hazard in the arid zone and especially the study area. Whereas, the third part points out the development perspective for the study area indicating the suitable places in El-Qaá plain for using in economic activities.

Strukturelle, chemische und isotopische Analysen nanoskaliger präsolarer und früher solarer Kondensate

Neben astronomischen Beobachtungen mittels boden- und satellitengestützer Instrumente existiert ein weiterer experimenteller Zugang zu astrophysikalischen Fragestellungen in Form einer Auswahl extraterrestrischen Materials, das für Laboruntersuchungen zur Verfügung steht. Hierzu zählen interplanetare Staubpartikel, Proben, die von Raumfahrzeugen zur Erde zurückgebracht wurden und primitive Meteorite. Von besonderem Interesse sind sog. primitive kohlige Chondrite, eine Klasse von Meteoriten, die seit ihrer Entstehung im frühen Sonnensystem kaum verändert wurden. Sie enthalten neben frühem solarem Material präsolare Minerale, die in Sternwinden von Supernovae und roten Riesensternen kondensiert sind und die Bildung unseres Sonnensystems weitgehend unverändert überstanden haben. Strukturelle, chemische und isotopische Analysen dieser Proben besitzen demnach eine große Relevanz für eine Vielzahl astrophysikalischer Forschungsgebiete. Im Rahmen der vorliegenden Arbeit wurden Laboranalysen mittels modernster physikalischer Methoden an Bestandteilen primitiver Meteorite durchgeführt. Aufgrund der Vielfalt der zu untersuchenden Eigenschaften und der geringen Größen der analysierten Partikel zwischen wenigen Nanometern und einigen Mikrometern mussten hierbei hohe Anforderungen an Nachweiseffizienz und Ortsauflösung gestellt werden. Durch die Kombination verschiedener Methoden wurde ein neuer methodologischer Ansatz zur Analyse präsolarer Minerale (beispielsweise SiC) entwickelt. Aufgrund geringer Mengen verfügbaren Materials basiert dieses Konzept auf der parallelen nichtdestruktiven Vorcharakterisierung einer Vielzahl präsolarer Partikel im Hinblick auf ihren Gehalt diagnostischer Spurenelemente. Eine anschließende massenspektrometrische Untersuchung identifizierter Partikel mit hohen Konzentrationen interessanter Elemente ist in der Lage, Informationen zu nukleosynthetischen Bedingungen in ihren stellaren Quellen zu liefern. Weiterhin wurden Analysen meteoritischer Nanodiamanten durchgeführt, deren geringe Größen von wenigen Nanometern zu stark modifizierten Festkörpereigenschaften führen. Im Rahmen dieser Arbeit wurde eine quantitative Beschreibung von Quanteneinschluss-Effekten entwickelt, wie sie in diesen größenverteilten Halbleiter-Nanopartikeln auftreten. Die abgeleiteten Ergebnisse besitzen Relevanz für nanotechnologische Forschungen. Den Kern der vorliegenden Arbeit bilden Untersuchungen an frühen solaren Partikeln, sog. refraktären Metall Nuggets (RMN). Mit Hilfe struktureller, chemischer und isotopischer Analysen, sowie dem Vergleich der Ergebnisse mit thermodynamischen Rechnungen, konnte zum ersten Mal ein direkter Nachweis von Kondensationsprozessen im frühen solaren Nebel erbracht werden. Die analysierten RMN gehören zu den ersten Festkörperkondensaten, die im frühen Sonnensystem gebildet wurden und scheinen seit ihrer Entstehung nicht durch sekundäre Prozesse verändert worden zu sein. Weiterhin konnte erstmals die Abkühlrate des Gases des lokalen solaren Nebels, in dem die ersten Kondensationsprozesse stattfanden, zu 0.5 K/Jahr bestimmt werden, wodurch ein detaillierter Blick in die thermodynamische Geschichte des frühen Sonnensystems möglich wird. Die extrahierten Parameter haben weitreichende Auswirkungen auf die Modelle der Entstehung erster solarer Festkörper, welche die Grundbausteine der Planetenbildung darstellen.

Criteri di valutazione del protocollo TCP

La diffusione di Internet negli ultimi anni e lo sviluppo sempre crescente nell'ambito delle reti di telecomunicazione, hanno portato oggi ad una vera e propria esplosione della diffusione di nuove tecnologie di trasmissione. Inizialmente il protocollo di trasporto dati, TCP, non era stato pensata per operare in scenari diversi da quello della rete fissa. Con l'introduzione di nuovi scenari, come quello wireless, wimax e satellitare, si è notato come le prestazioni peggiorino in questi ambienti. Proprio per questo, il protocollo TCP ha subito parecchie modifiche negli anni e sono state realizzate alternative atte a migliorare l'inefficienza del protocollo. Le modifiche, a cui il TCP è stato sottoposto, sono basate su alcuni criteri di valutazione e l'introduzione di meccanismi come il controllo del flusso o il controllo di congestione in modo da migliorare le performance in ambienti “ostili”. Molti ricercatori si sono concentrati nello studio e modifica di questi nuovi meccanismi cercando di adattare al meglio il TCP secondo diversi scenari di rete, trascurando così altri criteri un pò meno noti. Dopo aver introdotto lo scenario con la descrizione del protocollo TCP, andremo a descrivere e illustrare questi “nuovi criteri” presentando alcuni recenti studi effettuati, in seguito andremo a presentare un nuova versione del protocollo chiamata Early Warning TCP e nell'ultimo capitolo andremo a presentare delle conclusioni degli studi presentati.

Global and regional sea level variations in the recent past and future: insight from observations and modeling

This work is focused on the analysis of sea–level change (last century), based mainly on instrumental observations. During this period, individual components of sea–level change are investigated, both at global and regional scales. Some of the geophysical processes responsible for current sea-level change such as glacial isostatic adjustments and current melting terrestrial ice sources, have been modeled and compared with observations. A new value of global mean sea level change based of tide gauges observations has been independently assessed in 1.5 mm/year, using corrections for glacial isostatic adjustment obtained with different models as a criterion for the tide gauge selection. The long wavelength spatial variability of the main components of sea–level change has been investigated by means of traditional and new spectral methods. Complex non–linear trends and abrupt sea–level variations shown by tide gauges records have been addressed applying different approaches to regional case studies. The Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition technique has been used to analyse tide gauges records from the Adriatic Sea to ascertain the existence of cyclic sea-level variations. An Early Warning approach have been adopted to detect tipping points in sea–level records of North East Pacific and their relationship with oceanic modes. Global sea–level projections to year 2100 have been obtained by a semi-empirical approach based on the artificial neural network method. In addition, a model-based approach has been applied to the case of the Mediterranean Sea, obtaining sea-level projection to year 2050.

Extraktion und nanoanalytische Charakterisierung refraktärer Nanometallpartikel frühester solarer Materie und Synthese metallischer Nanopartikel aus dotierten Ca-Mg-Al-Si-Schmelzen

Primitive kohlige Chondrite sind Meteorite, die seit ihrer Entstehung im frühen Sonnensystem kaum verändert wurden und dadurch einen Einblick in Prozesse geben, die zur Bildung und Veränderung der ersten festen Materie führten. Solche Prozesse können anhand von Bruchstücken dieser Meteorite detailliert im Labor studiert werden, sodass Rückschlüsse auf die Entwicklung unseres Sonnensystems im frühen Stadium getroffen werden können. Ca-, Al-reiche Einschlüsse (CAIs) aus chondritischen Meteoriten sind die ersten Festkörper des Sonnensystems und enthalten viele refraktäre Metallnuggets (RMNs), welche hauptsächlich aus den Elementen Os, Ir, Ru, Mo und Pt bestehen. Nach weit verbreiteter Ansicht sind diese Nuggets wahrscheinlich im Gleichgewicht mit dem solaren Nebel kondensiert, bereits früher oder gleichzeitig mit Oxiden und Silikaten. Die exakten Mechanismen, die zu ihren heute beobachteten Eigenschaften führten, sind allerdings unklar. Um frühere Arbeiten fortzuführen, wurde eine hohe Anzahl RMNs in vier unterschiedlichen Typen von Meteoriten detailliert studiert, darunter solche aus dem nahezu unveränderten Acfer 094, Allende (CV3ox), Leoville (CV3red) und Murchison (CM2). Die RMNs wurden in-situ, assoziiert mit ihren Wirtsmineralen und auch in Säurerückständen gefunden, deren Präparationsprozedur in dieser Arbeit speziell für RMNs durch eine zusätzliche Dichtetrennung verbessert wurde.rnDie Ergebnisse decken eine Reihe von Ungereimtheiten zwischen den beobachteten RMN-Eigenschaften und einer Kondensationsherkunft auf, sowohl für Kondensation in solarer Umgebung, als auch für Kondensation aus Material von Supernovae oder roten Riesen, für die die Kondensationssequenzen refraktärer Metalle speziell für diesen Vergleich berechnet wurden. Stattdessen wurden in dieser Arbeit neue Einblicke in die RMN-Entstehung und die Entwicklung der ersten Festkörper (CAIs) durch eine Kombination aus experimentellen, isotopischen, strukturellen und petrologischen Studien an RMNs gewonnen. Viele der beobachteten Eigenschaften sind mit Ausfällung der RMN aus einer CAI-Schmelze vereinbar. Ein solches Szenario wird durch entsprechende Untersuchungen an synthetisch hergestellten, mit refraktären Metallen im Gleichgewicht stehenden CAI-Schmelzen bestätigt. Es folgt aus den Ergebnissen, dass die Mehrzahl der RMNs isotopisch solar ist und alle untersuchten RMNs innerhalb von CAIs bei rascher Abkühlung (um bis zu 1000 °C/40 sek.) einer CAI-Schmelze gebildet wurden. rn

Automated cement segmentation in vertebroplasty

Vertebroplasty is a minimally invasive procedure with many benefits; however, the procedure is not without risks and potential complications, of which leakage of the cement out of the vertebral body and into the surrounding tissues is one of the most serious. Cement can leak into the spinal canal, venous system, soft tissues, lungs and intradiscal space, causing serious neurological complications, tissue necrosis or pulmonary embolism. We present a method for automatic segmentation and tracking of bone cement during vertebroplasty procedures, as a first step towards developing a warning system to avoid cement leakage outside the vertebral body. We show that by using active contours based on level sets the shape of the injected cement can be accurately detected. The model has been improved for segmentation as proposed in our previous work by including a term that restricts the level set function to the vertebral body. The method has been applied to a set of real intra-operative X-ray images and the results show that the algorithm can successfully detect different shapes with blurred and not well-defined boundaries, where the classical active contours segmentation is not applicable. The method has been positively evaluated by physicians.

Vulnerability to Heatwaves, Floods and Mass Movements in Mountainous Terrain: Test Cases in South Tyrol

South Tyrol is a region that has been often affected by various mountain hazards such as floods, flash floods, debris flows, rock falls, and snow avalanches. Furthermore, areas located in lower altitudes are often influenced by high temperatures and heat waves. Climate change is expected to influence the frequency, magnitude, and spatial extent of these natural phenomena. For this reason, local authorities and other stakeholders are in need of tools that can enable them to reduce the risk posed by these processes. In the present study, a variety of methods are applied at local level in different places in South Tyrol that aim at: (1) the assessment of future losses caused by the occurrence of debris flows by using a vulnerability curve, (2) the assessment of social vulnerability based on the risk awareness of the exposed people to floods, and (3) the assessment of spatial exposure and social vulnerability of the exposed population to heat waves. The results show that, in South Tyrol, the risk to a number of hazards can be reduced by: (1) improving documentation for past events in order to improve existing vulnerability curves and the assessment of future losses, (2) raising citizens' awareness and responsibility to improve coping capacity to floods, and (3) extending heat wave early warning systems to more low-lying areas of South Tyrol.

Evidence for extinct Cs-135 from Ba isotopes in Allende CAIs?

he abundance and distribution of isotopes throughout the Solar System can be used to constrain the number and type of nucleosynthetic events that contributed material to the early nebula. Barium is particularly well suited to quantifying the degree of isotope heterogeneity in the Solar System because it comprises seven stable isotopes that were synthesized by three different nucleosynthetic processes (s-, r-, and p-processes), all of which contributed material to the Solar System. There is also potential contribution to 135Ba from short-lived radioisotope 135Cs, conclusive evidence for which is yet to be reported. Four Allende (CV3) Ca,Al-rich inclusions (CAI 1, CAI 2, CAI 4, CAI 5) and one Allende dark inclusion (DI) were analyzed for Ba isotope variability. Two CAIs (CAI 2 and CAI 5) display 135Ba excesses that are not accompanied by 137Ba anomalies. Calcium–aluminum-rich inclusion 1 displays a 135Ba excess that is possibly coupled with a 137Ba excess, and the remaining refractory inclusions (CAI 2 and DI) have terrestrial Ba isotope compositions. These Ba isotope data are presented in conjunction with published whole rock Ba isotope data from individual Allende CAIs. The enrichment in 135Ba and absence of coupled 137Ba excesses in CAI 2 and CAI 5 is interpreted to indicate that the anomalies are not purely nucleosynthetic in origin but also contain contributions (16–48 ppm) from the decay of short-lived 135Cs. The majority of Allende CAIs studied to date may also have similar contributions from 135Cs on the basis of higher than expected 135Ba excesses if the Ba isotope anomalies were purely nucleosynthetic in origin. The 135Ba anomalies appear not to be coupled with superchondritic Cs/Ba, which may imply that the contribution to 135Ba did not occur via in situ decay of live 135Cs. However, it is feasible that the CAIs had a superchondritic Cs/Ba during decay of 135Cs, but Cs was subsequently removed from the system during aqueous alteration on the parent body. An alternative scenario is the potential existence of a transient high-temperature reservoir having superchondritic Cs/Ba in the early Solar System while 135Cs was extant, which enabled a radiogenic 135Ba signature to develop in some early condensates. The nucleosynthetic source of 135Cs can be determined by reconciling the predicted astrophysical 135Cs abundance with its measured abundance in meteorites. Further, the currently accepted initial 135Cs/133Cs of the Solar System, [135Cs/133Cs]0, may be underestimated because the spread of Cs/Ba among samples is small and the range of excess 135Ba is limited thus leading to inaccuracies when estimating [135Cs/133Cs]0. If the initial meteoritic abundance of 135Cs was indeed higher than is currently thought, the most probable stellar source of short-lived radioisotopes was a nearby core-collapse supernova and/or the Wolf–Rayet wind driven by its progenitor.