Pulmonary embolism severity index and troponin testing for the selection of low-risk patients with acute symptomatic pulmonary embolism.

Summary Background: The combination of the Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index (PESI) and troponin testing could help physicians identify appropriate patients with acute pulmonary embolism (PE) for early hospital discharge. Methods: This prospective cohort study included a total of 567 patients from a single center registry with objectively confirmed acute symptomatic PE. On the basis of the PESI, each patient was classified into 1 of 5 classes (I to V). At the time of hospital admission, patients had troponin I (cTnI) levels measured. The endpoint of the study was all-cause mortality within 30 days after diagnosis. We calculated the mortality rates in 4 patient groups: group 1: PESI class I-II plus cTnI <0.1 ng mL(-1); group 2: PESI classes III-V plus cTnI <0.1 ng mL(-1); group 3: PESI classes I-II plus cTnI >/= 0.1 ng mL(-1); and group 4: PESI classes III-V plus cTnI >/= 0.1 ng mL(-1). Results: The study cohort had a 30-day mortality of 10% (95% confidence interval [CI], 7.6 to 12.5%). Mortality rates in the 4 groups were 1.3%, 14.2%, 0% and 15.4%, respectively. Compared to non-elevated cTnl, the low-risk PESI had a higher negative predictive value (NPV) (98.9% vs 90.8%) and negative likelihood ratio (NLR) (0.1 vs 0.9) for predicting mortality. The addition of non-elevated cTnI to low-risk PESI did not improve the NPV or the NLR compared to either test alone. Conclusions: Compared to cTnl testing, PESI classification more accurately identified patients with PE who are at low risk of all-cause death within 30-days of presentation.

Stratification of the severity of critically ill patients with classification trees

Background: Development of three classification trees (CT) based on the CART (Classification and Regression Trees), CHAID (Chi-Square Automatic Interaction Detection) and C4.5 methodologies for the calculation of probability of hospital mortality; the comparison of the results with the APACHE II, SAPS II and MPM II-24 scores, and with a model based on multiple logistic regression (LR). Methods: Retrospective study of 2864 patients. Random partition (70:30) into a Development Set (DS) n = 1808 and Validation Set (VS) n = 808. Their properties of discrimination are compared with the ROC curve (AUC CI 95%), Percent of correct classification (PCC CI 95%); and the calibration with the Calibration Curve and the Standardized Mortality Ratio (SMR CI 95%). Results: CTs are produced with a different selection of variables and decision rules: CART (5 variables and 8 decision rules), CHAID (7 variables and 15 rules) and C4.5 (6 variables and 10 rules). The common variables were: inotropic therapy, Glasgow, age, (A-a)O2 gradient and antecedent of chronic illness. In VS: all the models achieved acceptable discrimination with AUC above 0.7. CT: CART (0.75(0.71-0.81)), CHAID (0.76(0.72-0.79)) and C4.5 (0.76(0.73-0.80)). PCC: CART (72(69- 75)), CHAID (72(69-75)) and C4.5 (76(73-79)). Calibration (SMR) better in the CT: CART (1.04(0.95-1.31)), CHAID (1.06(0.97-1.15) and C4.5 (1.08(0.98-1.16)). Conclusion: With different methodologies of CTs, trees are generated with different selection of variables and decision rules. The CTs are easy to interpret, and they stratify the risk of hospital mortality. The CTs should be taken into account for the classification of the prognosis of critically ill patients.

Role of rhinovirus load in the upper respiratory tract and severity of symptoms in lung transplant recipients.

BACKGROUND: Rhinovirus is the most common cause of respiratory viral infections and leads to frequent respiratory symptoms in lung transplant recipients. However, it remains unknown whether the rhinovirus load correlates with the severity of symptoms. OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to better characterize the pathogenesis of rhinoviral infection and the way in which viral load correlates with symptoms. STUDY DESIGN: We assessed rhinovirus load in positive upper respiratory specimens of patients enrolled prospectively in a cohort of 116 lung transplant recipients. Rhinovirus load was quantified according to a validated in-house, real-time, reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction in pooled nasopharyngeal and pharyngeal swabs. Symptoms were recorded in a standardised case report form completed at each screening/routine follow-up visit, or during any emergency visit occurring during the 3-year study. RESULTS: Rhinovirus infections were very frequent, including in asymptomatic patients not seeking a specific medical consultation. Rhinovirus load ranged between 4.1 and 8.3 log copies/ml according to the type of visit and clinical presentation. Patients with highest symptom scores tended to have higher viral loads, particularly those presenting systemic symptoms. When considering symptoms individually, rhinovirus load was significantly higher in the presence of symptoms such as sore throat, fever, sputum production, cough, and fatigue. There was no association between tacrolimus levels and rhinovirus load. CONCLUSIONS: Rhinovirus infections are very frequent in lung transplant recipients and rhinoviral load in the upper respiratory tract is relatively high even in asymptomatic patients. Patients with the highest symptom scores tend to have a higher rhinovirus load.

Simultaneous use of alcohol, tobacco and cannabis in relation to severity of substance dependence: a study among young Swiss men

Objective: This study investigated patterns of the simultaneous use of alcohol, tobacco and cannabis among young polydrug users, and whether use of one substance might be a cue for use of another and associations with the severity of substance dependence. Methods: The study focused on 3 subsamples from the ongoing Swiss Cohort Study on Substance Use Risk Factors (C-SURF, N=5,990). It used 12 months of data on alcohol/tobacco co-users, alcohol/cannabis co-users and tobacco/cannabis co-users (N=2,660, 1,755 and 1,460 respectively. Simultaneous use, numbers of symptoms of substance dependence, and hazardous use of alcohol, tobacco and cannabis were assessed. The effect of simultaneous polydrug use (SPU) on the numbers of symptoms of substance dependence was tested using analysis of variance. Results: Polydrug use was most common as SPU, and less common as non/occasional SPU. Moreover, when participants started to use one substance while using another, the severity of substance dependence was more strongly associated with the triggered substance than with cue. Conclusions: This study highlights the necessity to take SPU into account. First, SPU rather than separate drug use was the most common pattern for polydrug users. Second, frequent SPU was associated with increased numbers of symptoms of substance dependence compared to non/occasional SPU. Furthermore, SPU may reveal the severity of substance use dependence, when substance use is triggered by a cue substance. For these reasons, SPU should be a serious cause for concern for prevention and intervention purposes.

Obstructive Sleep Apnea Severity and Overnight Body Fluid Shift before and after Hemodialysis.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Obstructive sleep apnea is associated with significantly increased cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. Fluid overload may promote obstructive sleep apnea in patients with ESRD through an overnight fluid shift from the legs to the neck soft tissues. Body fluid shift and severity of obstructive sleep apnea before and after hemodialysis were compared in patients with ESRD. DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS, & MEASUREMENTS: Seventeen patients with hemodialysis and moderate to severe obstructive sleep apnea were included. Polysomnographies were performed the night before and after hemodialysis to assess obstructive sleep apnea, and bioimpedance was used to measure fluid overload and leg fluid volume. RESULTS: The mean overnight rostral fluid shift was 1.27±0.41 L prehemodialysis; it correlated positively with fluid overload volume (r=0.39; P=0.02) and was significantly lower posthemodialysis (0.78±0.38 L; P<0.001). There was no significant difference in the mean obstructive apnea-hypopnea index before and after hemodialysis (46.8±22.0 versus 42.1±18.6 per hour; P=0.21), but obstructive apnea-hypopnea index was significantly lower posthemodialysis (-10.1±10.8 per hour) in the group of 12 patients, with a concomitant reduction of fluid overload compared with participants without change in fluid overload (obstructive apnea-hypopnea index +8.2±16.1 per hour; P<0.01). A lower fluid overload after hemodialysis was significantly correlated (r=0.49; P=0.04) with a lower obstructive apnea-hypopnea index. Fluid overload-assessed by bioimpedance-was the best predictor of the change in obstructive apnea-hypopnea index observed after hemodialysis (standardized r=-0.68; P=0.01) in multivariate regression analysis. CONCLUSIONS: Fluid overload influences overnight rostral fluid shift and obstructive sleep apnea severity in patients with ESRD undergoing intermittent hemodialysis. Although no benefit of hemodialysis on obstructive sleep apnea severity was observed in the whole group, the change in obstructive apnea-hypopnea index was significantly correlated with the change in fluid overload after hemodialysis. Moreover, the subgroup with lower fluid overload posthemodialysis showed a significantly lower obstructive sleep apnea severity, which provides a strong incentive to further study whether optimizing fluid status in patients with obstructive sleep apnea and ESRD will improve the obstructive apnea-hypopnea index.

Early life host-microbe interactions : implications for the development of asthma

Plus de 300 millions de personnes dans le monde souffrent de l'asthme. L'asthme est une maladie inflammatoire chronique des voies respiratoires caractérisée par des symptômes variables et récurrents, une obstruction bronchique réversible et des bronchospasmes. Les symptômes communs incluent une respiration sifflante, de la toux, une oppression thoracique et de la dyspnée. Normalement, la maladie commence à se manifester pendant l'enfance. Pourtant, facteurs génétiques héréditaires et événements environnementaux survenant au cours de la petite enfance sont responsables de sa manifestation, indiquant que le développement de la maladie est lié à des événements qui se produisent bien avant son déclenchement. L'infection respiratoire virale aiguë constitue un de ces facteurs environnementaux jouant un rôle prépondérant. Un des virus les plus communs est le virus respiratoire syncytial (VRS), qui infecte presque tous les enfants avant l'âge de 2 ans. Ce virus, s'il infecte des tout-petits, peut en effet provoquer une bronchiolite aiguë, un phénomène qui a été épidémiologiquement lié à l'apparition d'asthme plus tard dans la vie. Dans le premier chapitre de cette thèse, nous avons étudié, chez la souris, comment une infection avec le VRS influe sur l'asthme allergique. Nous avons constaté que seule l'infection des souris à l'état de nouveau-né prédispose à un asthme allergique plus sévère chez l'adulte. En effet, si des souris adultes étaient infectées, elles étaient protégées contre l'apparition des symptômes asthmatiques. Cela nous a mené à investiguer les mécanismes immunitaires spécifiques durant cette courte période du début de la vie. Deux événements se produisent en parallèle au cours de la petite enfance: (1) Le système immunitaire, qui est encore immature immédiatement après la naissance, commence à se développer pour être en mesure de jouer son rôle protecteur contre les agents infectieux. (2) Le corps, y compris les poumons, est colonisé par des bactéries commensales, qui vivent en symbiose avec leur hôte humain. Chez l'adulte, ces bactéries sont connues pour influencer notre système immunitaire, l'éduquant à générer des réponses immunitaires adéquates et efficaces. Dans la deuxième partie de cette thèse, nous avons voulu déterminer si ces bactéries symbiotiques étaient impliquées dans l'éducation du système immunitaire du nouveau-né et quelles conséquences cela pourrait avoir sur les réponses immunitaires engendrées par ce dernier. Pour étudier l'effet de ces bactéries symbiotiques, nous avons utilisé des souris stériles, en d'autres termes des souris qui n'hébergent pas ces bactéries symbiotiques. En comparant ces souris stériles à des souris qui abritent une flore microbienne normale, nous avons constaté que les bactéries symbiotiques sont vitales pour la bonne éducation du système immunitaire du nouveau-né. Nous avons démontré que le contact direct des cellules immunitaires avec la flore microbienne dans les poumons modifie le phénotype de ces cellules immunitaires, ce qui change probablement leur réaction au cours de réponses immunitaires. Nous avons donc vérifié si l'éducation immunitaire induite par cette microflore est importante pour prévenir les maladies pulmonaires telles que l'asthme allergique, affections qui sont causées par une réaction excessive du système immunitaire envers des agents inoffensifs. En effet, nous avons observé que le processus de maturation du système immunitaire néonatal, lequel a été déclenché et façonné par la flore microbienne, est important pour éviter une réaction asthmatique exagérée chez la souris adulte. Ce phénomène est dû aux lymphocytes T régulateurs. Ces cellules, dont la présence est induite dans les poumons, ont des capacités immunosuppressives et atténuent donc les réponses immunitaires pour prévenir une inflammation excessive. En conclusion, nous avons montré dans cette thèse que la colonisation par des bactéries symbiotiques tôt dans la vie est un événement décisif pour la maturation du système immunitaire et pour prévenir le développement de l'asthme. Dans l'avenir, il serait intéressant de découvrir quelles bactéries sont présentes dans les poumons du nouveau-né et lesquelles sont directement impliquées dans ce processus de maturation immunitaire. Une prochaine étape serait alors de favoriser la présence de ces bactéries au début de la vie au moyen d'un traitement avec des agents pré- ou probiotiques, ce qui pourrait éventuellement contribuer à une prévention précoce du développement de l'asthme. -- L'asthme est une maladie chronique inflammatoire des voies respiratoires affectant près de 300 millions d'individus dans le monde. Bien que les traits caractéristiques du phénotype asthmatique s'établissent généralement pendant l'enfance, la prédisposition au développement de la maladie est intimement liée à des événements survenant durant la petite enfance, comme le sont par exemple les infections virales respiratoires aiguës. Les mécanismes par lesquels ces événements provoquent un dysfonctionnement immunitaire et, par conséquent, conduisent au développement de l'asthme n'ont pas encore été entièrement décelés. La dysbiose du microbiote des voies respiratoires a été récemment associes au phénotype asthmatique, touisTcis, la cuûoboiatioî! d un lien cause à effet entre la dysbiose microbienne et l'apparition des symptômes asthmatiques reste à être démontrée. Dans cette thèse, nous avons étudié le rôle que joue la colonisation microbienne des voies respiratoires au cours de la petite enfance dans la maturation du système immunitaire ainsi que dans la protection contre l'inflammation pulmonaire de type allergique. Nous avons de surcroît développé un modèle expérimental pour comprendre comment les infections virales respiratoires interfèrent avec ce processus. Dans la première partie de cette thèse, nous avons évalué l'effet d'infections causées par le virus respiratoire syncytial (VRS) sur le développement de l'asthme. En accord avec des études épidémiologiques, nous avons constaté qu'une infection au VRS lors de la période néonatale exacerbait les réponses pulmonaires allergiques ultérieures. Par contraste, une infection à l'âge adulte avait un effet protecteur. Nous avons ainsi démontré que l'influence d'une infection à VRS sur l'issue et la sévérité de l'asthme respiratoire était strictement dépendante de l'âge. Ces résultats nous ont conduit à émettre l'hypothèse que des différences dans le phénotype homéostatique des cellules immunitaires pourraient être responsables de ces disparités liées à l'âge. Par conséquent, dans la deuxième partie de cette thèse, nous avons suivi et caractérisé le processus de maturation des cellules immunitaires dans les poumons du nouveau-né en condition d'homéostasie. Nous avons découvert que leur phénotype change de façon dynamique pendant le développement néonatal et que la colonisation par des microbes était déterminante pour la maturation des cellules immunitaires dans les poumons. Dans la dernière partie de cette thèse, nous avons démontré comment le microbiote pulmonaire éduque le développement immunitaire durant la période néonatale l'orientant de manière à induire une tolérance face aux aéroallergènes. Nous avons découvert que la colonisation microbienne des voies respiratoires provoque une expression transitoire de PD-L1 sur les cellules dendritiques (CD) pulmonaires du type CD11b+ dans les deux premières semaines de la vie. Cet événement engendre par la suite la génération de lymphocytes T régulateurs (TREG) dans les poumons, lesquels sont responsables de la protection contre une réponse inflammatoire allergique exagérée chez la souris adulte. Par conséquent, nous proposons un rôle pivot de la maturation immunitaire induite par le microbiote pulmonaire dans l'établissement de la tolérance aux aéroallergènes. En conclusion, les résultats présentés dans cette thèse fournissent de nouveaux indices révélant comment des événements se produisant lors de la petite enfance peuvent façonner les réponses du système immunitaire dirigées contre les allergènes et soulignent le rôle central joué par le microbiote pulmonaire dans l'édification d'une réponse immunitaire équilibrée. En résumé, notre travail met en évidence le microbiote pulmonaire comme étant une cible potentielle pour la prévention de certaines maladies respiratoires. -- Asthma is a chronic inflammatory disorder of the respiratory tract and affects approximately 300 million individuals world-wide. Although the asthmatic phenotype commonly establishes during childhood, predisposition towards disease development has been linked to events in early infancy, such as severe respiratory viral infections. However, the mechanisms by which these events cause immune dysfunction and, therefore, lead to the development of asthma have yet to be fully deciphered. Dysbiosis of the airway microbiota has recently been associated with the asthmatic phenotype; however, conclusive evidence for a causal link between microbial dysbiosis in the ail ways and asthma development is still missing. In this thesis we investigated the role of early-life microbial airway colonization in immune maturation and the protection against allergic airway inflammation and established an experimental model to address how respiratory viral infections interfere in this process. In the first part of this thesis we evaluated the effect of Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) infections on the development of asthma. In concurrence with epidemiological studies, we found that neonatal infection exacerbated subsequent allergic airway inflammation. In contrast, adult infection was protective in the same context. Thus, we could demonstrate that the influence of RSV infection on subsequent allergic airway responses was strictly age-dependent. These findings led us to the hypothesis that differences in the homeostatic phenotype of immune cells could be responsible for the age-related disparities seen within the context of RSV. Therefore, in a second part of this thesis, we followed the process of homeostatic immune cell maturation in the neonatal lung. Immune cell phenotypes changed dynamically during neonatal development. We discovered that the colonization with microbes was central to the maturation of immune cells in the lung. In the last part of this thesis, we demonstrated how microbiota-driven immune development during the neonatal period induces tolerance against aeroallergens. We discovered that microbial colonization led to a transient programmed death-ligand (PD-L) 1 expression on CD11b+ pulmonary dendritic cells (DCs) during the first two weeks of life. This in turn induced regulatory T (TREG) cells in the lung, which were responsible for the protection against exaggerated allergic airway inflammation in adult mice. Thus, we propose a key role for microbiota-driven immune maturation in the establishment of tolerance towards aeroallergens. In conclusion, the results presented in this thesis provide new insights into how early-life events shape pulmonary immune responses towards allergens and suggest the airway microbiota as a key player in establishing a balanced immune response. Overall, our work highlights the airway microbiota as potential target for disease prevention.

Social factors related to the clinical severity of influenza cases in Spain during the A(H1N1)2009 virus pandemic

Background During the 2009 influenza pandemic, a change in the type of patients most often affected by influenza was observed. The objective of this study was to assess the role of individual and social determinants in hospitalizations due to influenza A (H1N1) 2009 infection. Methods We studied hospitalized patients (cases) and outpatients (controls) with confirmed influenza A (H1N1) 2009 infection. A standardized questionnaire was used to collect data. Variables that might be related to the hospitalization of influenza cases were compared by estimation of the odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) and the variables entered into binomial logistic regression models. Results Hospitalization due to pandemic A (H1N1) 2009 influenza virus infections was associated with non-Caucasian ethnicity (OR: 2.18, 95% CI 1.17 − 4.08), overcrowding (OR: 2.84, 95% CI 1.20 − 6.72), comorbidity and the lack of previous preventive information (OR: 2.69, 95% CI: 1.50 − 4.83). Secondary or higher education was associated with a lower risk of hospitalization (OR 0.56, 95% CI: 0.36 − 0.87) Conclusions In addition to individual factors such as comorbidity, other factors such as educational level, ethnicity or overcrowding were associated with hospitalization due to A (H1N1) 2009 influenza virus infections.

New insight in the relationship between regional patterns of knee cartilage thickness, osteoarthritis disease severity, and gait mechanics.

To test if the relationship between knee kinetics during walking and regional patterns of cartilage thickness is influenced by disease severity we tested the following hypotheses in a cross-sectional study of medial compartment osteoarthritis (OA) subjects: (1) the peak knee flexion (KFM) and adduction moments (KAM) during walking are associated with regional cartilage thickness and medial-to-lateral cartilage thickness ratios, and (2) the associations between knee moments and cartilage thickness data are dependent on disease severity. Seventy individuals with medial compartment knee OA were studied. Gait analysis was used to determine the knee moments and cartilage thickness was measured from magnetic resonance imaging. Multiple linear regression analyses tested for associations between cartilage thickness and knee kinetics. Medial cartilage thickness and medial-to-lateral cartilage thickness ratios were lower in subjects with greater KAM for specific regions of the femoral condyle and tibial plateau with no associations for KFM in patients of all disease severities. When separated by severity, the association between KAM and cartilage thickness was found only in patients with more severe OA, and KFM was significantly associated with cartilage thickness only for the less severe OA subjects for specific tibial plateau regions. The results support the idea that the KAM is larger in patients with more severe disease and the KFM has greater influence early in the disease process, which may lessen as pain increases with disease severity. Each component influences different regions of cartilage. Thus the relative contributions of both KAM and KFM should be considered when evaluating gait mechanics and the influence of any intervention for knee OA.

Severity and burden of partial-onset seizures in a phase III trial of eslicarbazepine acetate.

OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to compare posttreatment seizure severity in a phase III clinical trial of eslicarbazepine acetate (ESL) as adjunctive treatment of refractory partial-onset seizures. METHODS: The Seizure Severity Questionnaire (SSQ) was administered at baseline and posttreatment. The SSQ total score (TS) and component scores (frequency and helpfulness of warning signs before seizures [BS]; severity and bothersomeness of ictal movement and altered consciousness during seizures [DS]; cognitive, emotional, and physical aspects of postictal recovery after seizures [AS]; and overall severity and bothersomeness [SB]) were calculated for the per-protocol population. Analysis of covariance, adjusted for baseline scores, estimated differences in posttreatment least square means between treatment arms. RESULTS: Out of 547 per-protocol patients, 441 had valid SSQ TS both at baseline and posttreatment. Mean posttreatment TS for ESL 1200mg/day was significantly lower than that for placebo (2.68 vs 3.20, p<0.001), exceeding the minimal clinically important difference (MCID: 0.48). Mean DS, AS, and SB were also significantly lower with ESL 1200mg/day; differences in AS and SB exceeded the MCIDs. The TS, DS, AS, and SB were lower for ESL 800mg/day than for placebo; only SB was significant (p=0.013). For both ESL arms combined versus placebo, mean scores differed significantly for TS (p=0.006), DS (p=0.031), and SB (p=0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Therapeutic ESL doses led to clinically meaningful, dose-dependent reductions in seizure severity, as measured by SSQ scores. CLASSIFICATION OF EVIDENCE: This study presents Class I evidence that adjunctive ESL (800 and 1200mg/day) led to clinically meaningful, dose-dependent seizure severity reductions, measured by the SSQ.

Generic utilities in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease patients stratified according to different staging systems.

Background To determine generic utilities for Spanish chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) patients stratified by different classifications: GOLD 2007, GOLD 2013, GesEPOC 2012 and BODEx index. Methods Multicentre, observational, cross-sectional study. Patients were aged ≥40 years, with spirometrically confirmed COPD. Utility values were derived from EQ-5D-3 L. Means, standard deviations (SD), medians and interquartile ranges (IQR) were computed based on the different classifications. Differences in median utilities between groups were assessed by non-parametric tests. Results 346 patients were included, of which 85.5% were male with a mean age of 67.9 (SD = 9.7) years and a mean duration of COPD of 7.6 (SD = 5.8) years; 80.3% were ex-smokers and the mean smoking history was 54.2 (SD = 33.2) pack-years. Median utilities (IQR) by GOLD 2007 were 0.87 (0.22) for moderate; 0.80 (0.26) for severe and 0.67 (0.42) for very-severe patients (p < 0.001 for all comparisons). Median utilities by GOLD 2013 were group A: 1.0 (0.09); group B: 0.87 (0.13); group C: 1.0 (0.16); group D: 0.74 (0.29); comparisons were statistically significant (p < 0.001) except A vs C. Median utilities by GesEPOC phenotypes were 0.84 (0.33) for non exacerbator; 0.80 (0.26) for COPD-asthma overlap; 0.71 (0.62) for exacerbator with emphysema; 0.72 (0.57) for exacerbator with chronic bronchitis (p < 0.001). Comparisons between patients with or without exacerbations and between patients with COPD-asthma overlap and exacerbator with chronic bronchitis were statistically-significant (p < 0.001). Median utilities by BODEx index were: group 02: 0.89 (0.20); group 34: 0.80 (0.27); group 56: 0.67 (0.29); group 79: 0.41 (0.31). All comparisons were significant (p < 0.001) except between groups 34 and 56. Conclusion Irrespective of the classification used utilities were associated to disease severity. Some clinical phenotypes were associated with worse utilities, probably related to a higher frequency of exacerbations. GOLD 2007 guidelines and BODEx index better discriminated patients with a worse health status than GOLD 2013 guidelines, while GOLD 2013 guidelines were better able to identify a smaller group of patients with the best health.

Discrete distributions when modeling the disability severity score of motor victims

Many European states apply score systems to evaluate the disability severity of non-fatal motor victims under the law of third-party liability. The score is a non-negative integer with an upper bound at 100 that increases with severity. It may be automatically converted into financial terms and thus also reflects the compensation cost for disability. In this paper, discrete regression models are applied to analyze the factors that influence the disability severity score of victims. Standard and zero-altered regression models are compared from two perspectives: an interpretation of the data generating process and the level of statistical fit. The results have implications for traffic safety policy decisions aimed at reducing accident severity. An application using data from Spain is provided.

Use of asthma medication during pregnancy and risk of specific congenital anomalies: A European case-malformed control study.

BACKGROUND: Pregnant women with asthma need to take medication during pregnancy. OBJECTIVE: We sought to identify whether there is an increased risk of specific congenital anomalies after exposure to antiasthma medication in the first trimester of pregnancy. METHODS: We performed a population-based case-malformed control study testing signals identified in a literature review. Odds ratios (ORs) of exposure to the main groups of asthma medication were calculated for each of the 10 signal anomalies compared with registrations with nonchromosomal, nonsignal anomalies as control registrations. In addition, exploratory analyses were done for each nonsignal anomaly. The data set included 76,249 registrations of congenital anomalies from 13 EUROmediCAT registries. RESULTS: Cleft palate (OR, 1.63; 95% CI, 1.05-2.52) and gastroschisis (OR, 1.89; 95% CI, 1.12-3.20) had significantly increased odds of exposure to first-trimester use of inhaled β2-agonists compared with nonchromosomal control registrations. Odds of exposure to salbutamol were similar. Nonsignificant ORs of exposure to inhaled β2-agonists were found for spina bifida, cleft lip, anal atresia, severe congenital heart defects in general, or tetralogy of Fallot. None of the 4 literature signals of exposure to inhaled steroids were confirmed (cleft palate, cleft lip, anal atresia, and hypospadias). Exploratory analyses found an association between renal dysplasia and exposure to the combination of long-acting β2-agonists and inhaled corticosteroids (OR, 3.95; 95% CI, 1.99-7.85). CONCLUSIONS: The study confirmed increased odds of first-trimester exposure to inhaled β2-agonists for cleft palate and gastroschisis and found a potential new signal for renal dysplasia associated with combined long-acting β2-agonists and inhaled corticosteroids. Use of inhaled corticosteroids during the first trimester of pregnancy seems to be safe in relation to the risk for a range of specific major congenital anomalies.