Predictions of large events on a spring-block model

We study the predictability of a theoretical model for earthquakes, using a pattern recognition algorithm similar to the CN and M8 algorithms known in seismology. The model, which is a stochastic spring-block model with both global correlation and local interaction, becomes more predictable as the strength of the global correlation or the local interaction is increased.

'How Soon is Too Soon?:Healing Through Remembering Bulletin (Issue 3), Spring 2007, p. 3

A comment on the process of Commemoration in Northern Ireland