Setting population targets for measuring successful obesity prevention

In 2008, The Council of Australian Governments set a target to increase by 5% the proportion of Australian adults at a healthy body weight by 2017, over a 2009 baseline. Target setting is a critical component of public health policy for obesity prevention; however, there is currently no context within which to choose such targets. We analyzed the changes in current weight gain that would be required to meet Australian targets. By using transition-based multistate life tables to project obesity prevalence, we found that meeting national healthy weight targets by 2017 will require a 75% reduction in current 5-year weight gain. A reliable model of future body weight prevalence is critical to set, evaluate, and monitor national obesity targets.

Projecting the burden of diabetes in Australia - what is the size of the matter?

OBJECTIVE: To analyse the implications of using different methods to predict diabetes prevalence for the future. APPROACH: Different methods used to predict diabetes were compared and recommendations are made. CONCLUSION: We recommend that all projections take a conservative approach to diabetes prevalence prediction and present a 'base case' using the most robust, contemporary data available. We also recommend that uncertainty analyses be included in all analyses. IMPLICATIONS: Despite variation in assumptions and methodology used, all the published predictions demonstrate that diabetes is an escalating problem for Australia. We can safely assume that unless trends in diabetes incidence are reversed there will be at least 2 million Australian adults with diabetes by 2025. If obesity and diabetes incidence trends, continue upwards, and mortality continues to decline, up to 3 million people will have diabetes by 2025, with the figure closer to 3.5 million by 2033. The impact of this for Australia has not been measured.

Lifetime risk and projected population prevalence of diabetes

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: With incidence rates for diabetes increasing rapidly worldwide, estimates of the magnitude of the impact on population health are required. We aimed to estimate the lifetime risk of diabetes, the number of years lived free of, and the number of years lived with diabetes for the Australian adult population from the year 2000, and to project prevalence of diabetes to the year 2025. METHODS: Multi-state life-tables were constructed to simulate the progress of a cohort of 25-year-old Australians. National mortality rates were combined with incidence rates of diabetes and the RR of mortality in people with diabetes derived from the Australian Diabetes, Obesity and Lifestyle study (a national, population-based study of 11,247 adults aged >or=25 years). RESULTS: If the rates of mortality and diabetes incidence observed over the period 2000-2005 continue, 38.0% (95% uncertainty interval 36.6-38.9) of 25-year-olds would be expected to develop diabetes at some time throughout their life. On average, a 25-year-old Australian will live a further 56 years, 48 of these free of diabetes. On average, a 45-year-old person with diabetes can expect to live 6 years less than a person free of diabetes. The prevalence of diabetes is projected to rise from 7.6% in 2000 to 11.4% by 2025. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: If we maintain current diabetes incidence rates, more than a third of individuals will develop diabetes within their lifetime and in Australia there will an additional 1 million cases of diabetes by the year 2025.

Measuring physical activity in a cardiac rehabilitation population using a smartphone-based questionnaire

BACKGROUND: Questionnaires are commonly used to assess physical activity in large population-based studies because of their low cost and convenience. Many self-report physical activity questionnaires have been shown to be valid and reliable measures, but they are subject to measurement errors and misreporting, often due to lengthy recall periods. Mobile phones offer a novel approach to measure self-reported physical activity on a daily basis and offer real-time data collection with the potential to enhance recall.

OBJECTIVE: The aims of this study were to determine the convergent validity of a mobile phone physical activity (MobilePAL) questionnaire against accelerometry in people with cardiovascular disease (CVD), and to compare how the MobilePAL questionnaire performed compared with the commonly used self-recall International Physical Activity Questionnaire (IPAQ).

METHODS: Thirty adults aged 49 to 85 years with CVD were recruited from a local exercise-based cardiac rehabilitation clinic in Auckland, New Zealand. All participants completed a demographics questionnaire and underwent a 6-minute walk test at the first visit. Subsequently, participants were temporarily provided a smartphone (with the MobilePAL questionnaire preloaded that asked 2 questions daily) and an accelerometer, which was to be worn for 7 days. After 1 week, a follow-up visit was completed during which the smartphone and accelerometer were returned, and participants completed the IPAQ.

RESULTS: Average daily physical activity level measured using the MobilePAL questionnaire showed moderate correlation (r=.45; P=.01) with daily activity counts per minute (Acc_CPM) and estimated metabolic equivalents (MET) (r=.45; P=.01) measured using the accelerometer. Both MobilePAL (beta=.42; P=.008) and age (beta=-.48, P=.002) were significantly associated with Acc_CPM (adjusted R(2)=.40). When IPAQ-derived energy expenditure, measured in MET-minutes per week (IPAQ_met), was considered in the predicted model, both IPAQ_met (beta=.51; P=.001) and age (beta=-.36; P=.016) made unique contributions (adjusted R(2)=.47, F2,27=13.58; P<.001).There was also a significant association between the MobilePAL and IPAQ measures (r=.49, beta=.51; P=.007).

CONCLUSIONS: A mobile phone-delivered questionnaire is a relatively reliable and valid measure of physical activity in a CVD cohort. Reliability and validity measures in the present study are comparable to existing self-report measures. Given their ubiquitous use, mobile phones may be an effective method for physical activity surveillance data collection.

The relation between non-occupational physical activity and years lived with and without disability

OBJECTIVES: The effects of non-occupational physical activity were assessed on the number of years lived with and without disability between age 50 and 80 years. METHODS: Using the GLOBE study and the Longitudinal Study of Aging, multi-state life tables were constructed yielding the number of years with and without disability between age 50 and 80 years. To obtain life tables by level of physical activity (low, moderate, high), hazard ratios were derived for different physical activity levels per transition (non-disabled to disabled, non-disabled to death, disabled to non-disabled, disabled to death) adjusted for age, sex and confounders. RESULTS: Moderate, compared to low non-occupational physical activity reduced incidence of disability (HR 0.66, 95% CI 0.51 to 0.86), increased recovery (HR 1.95, 95% CI 1.32 to 2.87), and represents a gain of disability-free years and a loss of years with disability (male 3.1 and 1.2; female 4.0 and 2.8 years). Performing high levels of non-occupational physical activity further reduced incidence, and showed a higher gain in disability-free years (male 4.1; female 4.7), but a similar reduction in years with disability. CONCLUSION: Among 50-80-year-olds promoting physical activity is a fundamental factor to achieve healthy ageing.

Discordant age and sex-specific trends in the incidence of a first coronary heart disease event in Western Australia from 1996 to 2007

OBJECTIVE: To determine age- and sex-specific population trends in fatal and non-fatal first coronary heart disease (CHD) events in Western Australia from 1996 to 2007. DESIGN: Longitudinal retrospective population study. SETTING: State-wide population. PATIENTS: All residents aged 35-84 years during 1996-2007 who died or were hospitalised with a principal diagnosis of acute CHD. DATA SOURCES: Person-linked file of mortality and morbidity records. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Age-standardised (35-84 years) and age-specific (35-54, 55-69, 70-84 years) rates by gender for a first CHD event were calculated with a 10-year lead-in period to define first events. RESULTS: From 1996 to 2007 there were 36 631 first CHD events, including 8518 (23%) fatal cases in those aged 35-84 years. Overall, age-adjusted rates for fatal first CHD declined 5.3%/year in men (95% CI -6.1% to -4.6%) and 6.5%/year in women (95% CI -7.5% to -5.5%). However, age-specific fatal first CHD rates were neutral in both men aged 35-54 years (0.1%/year; 95% CI -1.8% to 2.1%) and women of the same age, (-1.6%/year; 95% CI -5.6% to 2.5%). Age-specific trends in non-fatal CHD rates reflected the same trends in fatal CHD events in men and women, with rates reportedly increasing in women aged 35-54 years (2.5%/year (95% CI 1.1% to 3.9%). CONCLUSION: The age-specific decline in fatal and non-fatal first CHD rates in older men and women was not observed in those aged 35-54 years. These novel findings provide evidence for a levelling in the CHD incidence rates in younger adults and puts renewed importance on primary prevention in this group.

Commentary

Commentary of The combination of low midarm muscle circumference and high waist circumference predicted higher mortality in older men: Wannamethee SG, Shaper AG, Lennon L,Whincup PH. Decreased muscle mass and increased central adiposity are independently related to mortality in older men. Am J Clin Nutr. 2007;86:1339-46.; BMI and cardiorespiratory fitness predicted mortality in older adults: Sui X, LaMonte MJ, Laditka JN, et al. Cardiorespiratory fitness and adiposity as mortality predictors in older adults. JAMA. 2007;298:2507-16.; Increasing BMI was associated withincreasing risk for overall cancer incidence and mortality in middle-aged women: Reeves GK, Pirie K, Beral V, et al. Cancer incidence and mortality in relation to body mass index in the Million Women Study: cohort study. BMJ. 2007;335:1134.

Estereotipos sobre el envejecimiento según el periodo del desarrollo y el género

Teniendo en cuenta el drástico aumento en Colombia y el mundo de la población adulta mayor la pirámide poblacional se ha invertido. Lo que ha generado que cada vez haya más adultos mayores y la esperanza de vida sea mayor. Motivo por el cual surge la importancia de conocer diversos aspectos del envejecimiento, entre ellos los estereotipos. Adicionalmente hay muy poca investigación relacionada con los estereotipos sobre el envejecimiento según el género y el periodo de desarrollo. Levy (2009) encontró que son los jóvenes quienes tienen más estereotipos negativos sobre el envejecimiento pues estos sienten que la vejez está muy lejos de su realidad actual y no es en una amenaza personal. Por otro lado Bodner, Bergman y Cohen (2012), encontraron que son los hombres quienes tienen más estereotipos negativos sobre el envejecimiento. La presente investigación tuvo como objetivo describir el efecto del periodo del desarrollo y el género en los estereotipos sobre el envejecimiento en 860 adultos colombianos. Se midió la variable de estereotipos sobre el envejecimiento a través del cuestionario de Ramírez y Palacios (2015) y el periodo del desarrollo y el género a través de un cuestionario de datos sociodemograficos. Contrario a lo esperado, los resultados mostraron que no existe relación entre los estereotipos negativos con el género, el periodo del desarrollo, ni en la interacción de estos. En cambio, se encontraron diferencias entre los estereotipos positivos el género y el periodo de desarrollo. Se considera importante continuar realizando investigaciones relacionadas con esta temática pues cada vez son más los adultos mayores y la manera en que nos relacionemos con ellos, va a determinar un mejor proceso de envejecimiento para ellos.

Efecto del programa Ruta para la gestión del autocuidado en el control de cifras tensionales en pacientes con hipertensión arterial en una EPS privada de Bogotá, en el año 2015

Introducción. La hipertensión arterial es una de las patologías más representativas en términos de morbi-mortalidad y afectación de la calidad de vida de los usuarios de una EPS privada en Bogotá. Se cuenta en la literatura con múltiples prácticas para favorecer la adherencia al tratamiento de la hipertensión, pero se evidencia que en muchos pacientes no se logran las metas terapéuticas establecidas, generando a largo plazo complicaciones que impactan en la calidad de vida de los pacientes y en el costo en salud. Es por esto que en la EPS se establece desde el 2012 el programa: Ruta para la gestión del autocuidado, como una estrategia de intervención complementaria sobre los pacientes con enfermedades crónicas, con el fin de apoyar a los usuarios del programa de promoción y prevención Atención Específica integral (AEI) en el cumplimiento de las recomendaciones terapéuticas farmacológicas y no farmacológicas generadas por el equipo de salud. La ruta está dirigida especialmente al grupo de pacientes hipertensos con dificultades en la adherencia al programa de promoción y prevención, o en el logro de metas terapéuticas, y busca implementar estrategias de intervención educativa orientadas a fomentar la capacidad de las personas para adaptarse y auto gestionar los desafíos que representa convivir con el diagnóstico de una patología crónica. Por lo anterior la presente investigación busca evaluar el efecto del programa Ruta para la gestión del autocuidado en el control de cifras tensionales en pacientes hipertensos en en una EPS privada de Bogotá en el año 2015. Objetivo. Establecer si la participación en el programa Ruta para la gestión del autocuidado influye en los valores de cifras tensionales de pacientes hipertensos, graduados del programa en una EPS privada de Bogotá en el año 2015. Metodología. Estudio con enfoque cuantitativo, observacional longitudinal retrospectivo de una intervención antes y después, para evaluar el efecto del programa Ruta de gestión de autocuidado, en el control de cifras tensionales, índice de masa corporal y perímetro abdominal de pacientes con diagnóstico de hipertensión arterial afiliados a la EPS privada en Bogotá, graduados del programa entre el 1 de Enero de 2015 a Diciembre de 2015. Población del estudio 409 pacientes, con muestreo por conveniencia. La recolección de datos fue a partir de fuentes secundarias de historia clínica sistematizada de la EPS. Resultados. La población de estudio fueron 409 pacientes, de los cuales el 69,2% son mujeres (n=283). El promedio de la edad de los pacientes fue de 60,16+/-0.9 años, los mayores de 60 años son el grupo más representativo con un 54% (n=220), el estrato socioeconómico 1 es el 77% (n=315), , el tiempo de duración de la ruta de autocuidado de la población analizada más frecuente fue de 4 a 6 meses con un 60,4% (n=247) y el tratamiento más utilizado es el combinado con 53,1% (n=217). Antes del inicio de la Ruta de gestión de autocuidado, 138 pacientes tuvieron valores de tensión arterial sistólica en rangos de hipertensión, al finalizar la misma disminuyeron los valores a rangos de normalidad 96 pacientes (69,6%). De los pacientes que iniciaron con tensión arterial sistólica en rangos de normalidad (n=271), el 12,5% al finalizar la ruta tuvieron valores en rangos de hipertensión (n=34). El cambio en los rangos de tensión arterial sistólica evidenció que es estadísticamente significativo (p=0.000) con un OR de 2,8:1, lo cual indica que la variación de pacientes con valores de tensión arterial sistólica en rangos de hipertensión a valores en rango de normotensión, ocurre 2,8 veces más en quienes realizan la ruta de gestión de autocuidado que los que no. Antes del inicio de la Ruta de gestión de autocuidado, 70 pacientes tuvieron valores de tensión arterial diastólica en rangos de hipertensión, al finalizar la misma disminuyeron los valores a rangos de normalidad 56 pacientes (80%). De los pacientes que iniciaron con tensión arterial diastólica en rangos de normalidad (n=339), el 8,3% al finalizar la ruta tuvieron valores en rangos de hipertensión (n=28). El cambio en los rangos de tensión arterial diastólica, evidenció que es estadísticamente significativo (p=0.001) con un OR de 2,0:1, lo cual indica que la variación de pacientes con valores de tensión arterial diastólica en rangos de hipertensión a valores en rango de normotensión, ocurre 2 veces más en quienes realizan la ruta de gestión de autocuidado que los que no. Conclusión. La implementación de modelos educativos en la atención primaria en salud en las unidades de atención de servicios ambulatorios en la EPS, generan un impacto positivo en el control de las cifras tensionales. El tener pacientes controlados incide en la disminución de morbimortalidad, costos de hospitalización médica y mejora en la calidad de vida.

Conceptos y prácticas de la actividad física que se reproducen en las clases sociales: aproximación desde el enfoque determinantes/ determinación social de la salud

El concepto de actividad física es concebido de diferentes formas. Mostrando que existen varios factores que afectan de manera directa e indirecta la percepción que los sujetos construyen entorno a él, generando así una aproximación a diferentes definiciones de la actividad física desde varias perspectivas y dimensiones, donde predomina una noción netamente biológica. Este estudio pretende analizar, como desde las clases sociales se concibe la actividad física en sus conceptos y prácticas considerando los modelos de determinantes y determinación social para la salud. Con fin de comprender como los autores de la literatura científica conciben la actividad física y la relación con las clases sociales, desde una perspectiva teórica de los determinantes sociales de la salud y la teoría de la determinación social, se realizó una revisión documental y análisis de contenido de los conceptos y prácticas de la actividad física que se han considerado en los últimos 10 años. Para ello se seleccionaron las bases de datos PubMed y BVS (Biblioteca Virtual de Salud) por sus énfasis en publicaciones de salud mundialmente. Mostrando que la actividad física es concebida dominantemente desde una perspectiva biológica que ejerce una mirada reduccionista. Las relaciones entre actividad física y las clases sociales están claramente establecidas, sin embargo, estas relaciones pueden discrepar teniendo en cuenta el concepto de clase social, el contexto y la orientación de los autores y las poblaciones objetos de estudio. Obteniendo como resultado que los estudios documentados, revisados y analizados muestran una clara tendencia al modelo de determinantes; no obstante, algunos estudios en sus análisis se orientan hacia el modelo de determinación social. En cuanto al concepto de clases sociales los autores consideran una combinación de factores culturales y económicos sin atreverse a adoptar un concepto específico.

Modeling factors that influence exercise and dietary change among midlife Australian women: results from the Healthy Aging of Women Study

The objective of this study was to investigate the factors that influence midlife women to make positive exercise and dietary changes. In late 2005 questionnaires were mailed to 866 women aged 51–66 years from rural and urban locations in Queensland, Australia and participating in Stage 2 of the Healthy Aging of Women Study. The questionnaires sought data on socio-demographics, body mass index (BMI), chronic health conditions, self-efficacy, exercise and dietary behavior change since age 40, and health-related quality of life. Five hundred and sixty four (69%) were completed and returned by early 2006. Data analysis comprised descriptive and bivariate statistics and structural equation modeling. The results showed that midlife is a significant time for women to make positive health behavior changes. Approximately one-third of the sample (34.6%) indicated that they had increased their exercise and around 60% had made an effort to eat more healthily since age 40. Modeling showed self-efficacy to be important in making both exercise and dietary changes. Although education appeared to influence self-efficacy in relation to exercise change, this was not the case for dietary change. The study has application for programs promoting healthy aging among women, and implies that those with low education, high BMI and poor mental health may need considerable support to improve their lifestyles.

Elevated plasma fibronectin levels associated with venous thromboembolism

Elevated plasma fibronectin levels occur in various clinical states including arterial disease. Increasing evidence suggests that atherothrombosis and venous thromboembolism (VTE) share common risk factors. To assess the hypothesis that high plasma fibronectin levels are associated with VTE, we compared plasma fibronectin levels in the Scripps Venous Thrombosis Registry for 113 VTE cases vs. age and sex matched controls. VTE cases had significantly higher mean fibronectin concentration compared to controls (127% vs. 103%, p<0.0001); the difference was greater for idiopathic VTE cases compared to secondary VTE cases (133% vs. 120%, respectively). Using a cut-off of >90% of the control values, the odds ratio (OR) for association of VTE for fibronectin plasma levels above the 90th percentile were 9.37 (95% CI 2.73-32.2; p<0.001) and this OR remained significant after adjustment for sex, age, body mass index (BMI), factor V Leiden and prothrombin nt20210A (OR 7.60, 95% CI 2.14-27.0; p=0.002). In particular, the OR was statistically significant for idiopathic VTE before and after these statistical adjustments. For the total male cohort, the OR was significant before and after statistical adjustments and was not significant for the total female cohort. In summary, our results suggest that elevated plasma fibronectin levels are associated with VTE especially in males, and extend the potential association between biomarkers and risk factors for arterial atherothrombosis and VTE. © 2008 Schattauer GmbH.