Previsão do Diagrama de Carga de Subestações da REN utilizando Redes Neuronais

A presente dissertação apresenta o estudo de previsão do diagrama de carga de subestações da Rede Elétrica Nacional (REN) utilizando redes neuronais, com o intuito de verificar a viabilidade do método utilizado, em estudos futuros. Atualmente, a energia elétrica é um bem essencial e desempenha um papel fundamental, tanto a nível económico do país, como a nível de conforto e satisfação individual. Com o desenvolvimento do setor elétrico e o aumento dos produtores torna-se importante a realização da previsão de diagramas de carga, contribuindo para a eficiência das empresas. Esta dissertação tem como objetivo a utilização do modelo das redes neuronais artificiais (RNA) para criar uma rede capaz de realizar a previsão de diagramas de carga, com a finalidade de oferecer a possibilidade de redução de custos e gastos, e a melhoria de qualidade e fiabilidade. Ao longo do trabalho são utilizados dados da carga (em MW), obtidos da REN, da subestação da Prelada e dados como a temperatura, humidade, vento e luminosidade, entre outros. Os dados foram devidamente tratados com a ajuda do software Excel. Com o software MATLAB são realizados treinos com redes neuronais, através da ferramenta Neural Network Fitting Tool, com o objetivo de obter uma rede que forneça os melhores resultados e posteriormente utiliza-la na previsão de novos dados. No processo de previsão, utilizando dados reais das subestações da Prelada e Ermesinde referentes a Março de 2015, comprova-se que com a utilização de RNA é possível obter dados de previsão credíveis, apesar de não ser uma previsão exata. Deste modo, no que diz respeito à previsão de diagramas de carga, as RNA são um bom método a utilizar, uma vez que fornecem, à parte interessada, uma boa previsão do consumo e comportamento das cargas elétricas. Com a finalização deste estudo os resultados obtidos são no mínimo satisfatórios. Consegue-se alcançar através das RNA resultados próximos aos valores que eram esperados, embora não exatamente iguais devido à existência de uma margem de erro na aprendizagem da rede neuronal.

Cohesive law estimation of adhesive joints in mode II condition

The adhesive bonding technique enables both weight and complexity reduction in structures that require some joining technique to be used on account of fabrication/component shape issues. Because of this, adhesive bonding is also one of the main repair methods for metal and composite structures by the strap and scarf configurations. The availability of strength prediction techniques for adhesive joints is essential for their generalized application and it can rely on different approaches, such as mechanics of materials, conventional fracture mechanics or damage mechanics. These two last techniques depend on the measurement of the fracture toughness (GC) of materials. Within the framework of damage mechanics, a valid option is the use of Cohesive Zone Modelling (CZM) coupled with Finite Element (FE) analyses. In this work, CZM laws for adhesive joints considering three adhesives with varying ductility were estimated. The End-Notched Flexure (ENF) test geometry was selected based on overall test simplicity and results accuracy. The adhesives Araldite® AV138, Araldite® 2015 and Sikaforce® 7752 were studied between high-strength aluminium adherends. Estimation of the CZM laws was carried out by an inverse methodology based on a curve fitting procedure, which enabled a precise estimation of the adhesive joints’ behaviour. The work allowed to conclude that a unique set of shear fracture toughness (GIIC) and shear cohesive strength (ts0) exists for each specimen that accurately reproduces the adhesive layer’ behaviour. With this information, the accurate strength prediction of adhesive joints in shear is made possible by CZM.

On the analysis of data emerging in non-linear and complex systemscomparison of two X-Ray prony spectra

New arguments proving that successive (repeated) measurements have a memory and actually remember each other are presented. The recognition of this peculiarity can change essentially the existing paradigm associated with conventional observation in behavior of different complex systems and lead towards the application of an intermediate model (IM). This IM can provide a very accurate fit of the measured data in terms of the Prony's decomposition. This decomposition, in turn, contains a small set of the fitting parameters relatively to the number of initial data points and allows comparing the measured data in cases where the “best fit” model based on some specific physical principles is absent. As an example, we consider two X-ray diffractometers (defined in paper as A- (“cheap”) and B- (“expensive”) that are used after their proper calibration for the measuring of the same substance (corundum a-Al2O3). The amplitude-frequency response (AFR) obtained in the frame of the Prony's decomposition can be used for comparison of the spectra recorded from (A) and (B) - X-ray diffractometers (XRDs) for calibration and other practical purposes. We prove also that the Fourier decomposition can be adapted to “ideal” experiment without memory while the Prony's decomposition corresponds to real measurement and can be fitted in the frame of the IM in this case. New statistical parameters describing the properties of experimental equipment (irrespective to their internal “filling”) are found. The suggested approach is rather general and can be used for calibration and comparison of different complex dynamical systems in practical purposes.

Comparing the performance of geostatistical models with additional information from covariates for sewage plume characterization

In this work, kriging with covariates is used to model and map the spatial distribution of salinity measurements gathered by an autonomous underwater vehicle in a sea outfall monitoring campaign aiming to distinguish the effluent plume from the receiving waters and characterize its spatial variability in the vicinity of the discharge. Four different geostatistical linear models for salinity were assumed, where the distance to diffuser, the west-east positioning, and the south-north positioning were used as covariates. Sample variograms were fitted by the Mat`ern models using weighted least squares and maximum likelihood estimation methods as a way to detect eventual discrepancies. Typically, the maximum likelihood method estimated very low ranges which have limited the kriging process. So, at least for these data sets, weighted least squares showed to be the most appropriate estimation method for variogram fitting. The kriged maps show clearly the spatial variation of salinity, and it is possible to identify the effluent plume in the area studied. The results obtained show some guidelines for sewage monitoring if a geostatistical analysis of the data is in mind. It is important to treat properly the existence of anomalous values and to adopt a sampling strategy that includes transects parallel and perpendicular to the effluent dispersion.

Determinação da tenacidade à fratura em corte (GIIc) de adesivos estruturais pelo ensaio End-Notched Flexure (ENF)

Os adesivos têm sido alvo de estudo ao longo dos últimos anos para ligação de componentes a nível industrial. Devido à crescente utilização das juntas adesivas, torna-se necessária a existência de modelos de previsão de resistência que sejam fiáveis e robustos. Neste âmbito, a determinação das propriedades dos adesivos é fundamental para o projeto de ligações coladas. Uma abordagem recente consiste no uso de modelos de dano coesivo (MDC), que permitem simular o comportamento à fratura das juntas de forma bastante fiável. Esta técnica requer a definição das leis coesivas em tração e corte. Estas leis coesivas dependem essencialmente de 2 parâmetros: a tensão limite e a tenacidade no modo de solicitação respetivo. O ensaio End-Notched Flexure (ENF) é o mais utilizado para determinar a tenacidade em corte, porque é conhecido por ser o mais expedito e fiável para caraterizar este parâmetro. Neste ensaio, os provetes são sujeitos a flexão em 3 pontos, sendo apoiados nas extremidades e solicitados no ponto médio para promover a flexão entre substratos, o que se reflete numa solicitação de corte no adesivo. A partir deste ensaio, e após de definida a tenacidade em corte (GIIc), existem alguns métodos para estimativa da lei coesiva respetiva. Nesta dissertação são definidas as leis coesivas em corte de três adesivos estruturais através do ensaio ENF e um método inverso de ajuste dos dados experimentais. Para o efeito, foram realizados ensaios experimentais considerado um adesivo frágil, o Araldite® AV138, um adesivo moderadamente dúctil, o Araldite® 2015 e outro dúctil, o SikaForce® 7752. O trabalho experimental consistiu na realização dos ensaios ENF e respetivo tratamento dos dados para obtenção das curvas de resistência (curvas-R) através dos seguintes métodos: Compliance Calibration Method (CCM), Direct Beam Theory (DBT), Corrected Beam Theory (CBT) e Compliance-Based Beam Method (CBBM). Os ensaios foram simulados numericamente pelo código comercial ABAQUS®, recorrendo ao Métodos de Elementos Finitos (MEF) e um MDC triangular, com o intuito de estimar a lei coesiva de cada um dos adesivos em solicitação de corte. Após este estudo, foi feita uma análise de sensibilidade ao valor de GIIc e resistência coesiva ao corte (tS 0), para uma melhor compreensão do efeito destes parâmetros na curva P- do ensaio ENF. Com o objetivo de testar adequação dos 4 métodos de obtenção de GIIc usados neste trabalho, estes foram aplicados a curvas P- numéricas de cada um dos 3 adesivos, e os valores de GIIc previstos por estes métodos comparados com os respetivos valores introduzidos nos modelos numéricos. Como resultado do trabalho realizado, conseguiu-se obter uma lei coesiva única em corte para cada um dos 3 adesivos testados, que é capaz de reproduzir com precisão os resultados experimentais.

Stochastic modeling of the thermal and catalytic degradation of polyethylene using simultaneous DSC/TG analysis

Dissertação para obtenção do Grau de Mestre em Engenharia Química e Bioquímica

Pseudo-Kaposi's Sarcoma Because of Suction-Socket Lower Limb Prosthesis

Pseudo-Kaposi sarcoma is a benign reactive vascular proliferation mainly involving the lower legs, which can be related to acquired chronic venous insufficiency or congenital arteriovenous malformations. In its most common presentation, acroangiodermatitis is seen in patients with chronic venous insufficiency of the lower limbs as an exaggeration of the stasis dermatitis. However, rare reports of acroangiodermatitis include descriptions in amputees (especially in those with poorly fitting suction-type devices), in patients undergoing hemodialysis (with lesions developing distally to arteriovenous shunts) and in patients with paralyzed legs. We report on a 28 year-old-male who presented pseudo-Kaposi's sarcoma in an amputation stump because of suction-socket lower limb prosthesis.

Nanobiophotonics for biomolecular diagnostics

Dissertação para obtenção do Grau de Doutor em Biotecnologia

Brain-computer interface (BCI): a methodological proposal to assess the impacts of medical applications in 2022

Based on the report for “Project IV” unit of the PhD programme on Technology Assessment (Doctoral Conference) at Universidade Nova de Lisboa (December 2011). This thesis research has the supervision of António Moniz (FCT-UNL and ITAS-KIT) and Armin Grunwald (Karlsruhe Institute of Technology-ITAS, Germany). Other members of the thesis committee are Mário Forjaz Secca (FCT-UNL) and Femke Nijboer (University of Twente, Netherlands).

Effect of surfactant on PDLC films with and without permanent memory effect

Dissertação para obtenção do Grau de Mestre em Engenharia Química e Bioquímica

Expanding the magic circle in pervasive casual play

Dissertação para obtenção do Grau de Doutor em Informática

Machine learning Gaussian short rate

Dissertação para obtenção do Grau de Doutor em Estatística e Gestão do Risco

Creation of a web application for smart park system and parking prediction study for system integration

In the last few years, we have observed an exponential increasing of the information systems, and parking information is one more example of them. The needs of obtaining reliable and updated information of parking slots availability are very important in the goal of traffic reduction. Also parking slot prediction is a new topic that has already started to be applied. San Francisco in America and Santander in Spain are examples of such projects carried out to obtain this kind of information. The aim of this thesis is the study and evaluation of methodologies for parking slot prediction and the integration in a web application, where all kind of users will be able to know the current parking status and also future status according to parking model predictions. The source of the data is ancillary in this work but it needs to be understood anyway to understand the parking behaviour. Actually, there are many modelling techniques used for this purpose such as time series analysis, decision trees, neural networks and clustering. In this work, the author explains the best techniques at this work, analyzes the result and points out the advantages and disadvantages of each one. The model will learn the periodic and seasonal patterns of the parking status behaviour, and with this knowledge it can predict future status values given a date. The data used comes from the Smart Park Ontinyent and it is about parking occupancy status together with timestamps and it is stored in a database. After data acquisition, data analysis and pre-processing was needed for model implementations. The first test done was with the boosting ensemble classifier, employed over a set of decision trees, created with C5.0 algorithm from a set of training samples, to assign a prediction value to each object. In addition to the predictions, this work has got measurements error that indicates the reliability of the outcome predictions being correct. The second test was done using the function fitting seasonal exponential smoothing tbats model. Finally as the last test, it has been tried a model that is actually a combination of the previous two models, just to see the result of this combination. The results were quite good for all of them, having error averages of 6.2, 6.6 and 5.4 in vacancies predictions for the three models respectively. This means from a parking of 47 places a 10% average error in parking slot predictions. This result could be even better with longer data available. In order to make this kind of information visible and reachable from everyone having a device with internet connection, a web application was made for this purpose. Beside the data displaying, this application also offers different functions to improve the task of searching for parking. The new functions, apart from parking prediction, were: - Park distances from user location. It provides all the distances to user current location to the different parks in the city. - Geocoding. The service for matching a literal description or an address to a concrete location. - Geolocation. The service for positioning the user. - Parking list panel. This is not a service neither a function, is just a better visualization and better handling of the information.

Automated quantitative analysis of MCC-IMS spectra

Ion Mobility Spectrometry coupled with Multi Capillary Columns (MCC -IMS) is a fast analytical technique working at atmospheric pressure with high sensitivity and selectivity making it suitable for the analysis of complex biological matrices. MCC-IMS analysis generates its information through a 3D spectrum with peaks, corresponding to each of the substances detected, providing quantitative and qualitative information. Sometimes peaks of different substances overlap, making the quantification of substances present in the biological matrices a difficult process. In the present work we use peaks of isoprene and acetone as a model for this problem. These two volatile organic compounds (VOCs) that when detected by MCC-IMS produce two overlapping peaks. In this work it’s proposed an algorithm to identify and quantify these two peaks. This algorithm uses image processing techniques to treat the spectra and to detect the position of the peaks, and then fits the data to a custom model in order to separate the peaks. Once the peaks are separated it calculates the contribution of each peak to the data.

Experimental and modeling studies on reverse electrodialysis for sustainable power generation

A potentially renewable and sustainable source of energy is the chemical energy associated with solvation of salts. Mixing of two aqueous streams with different saline concentrations is spontaneous and releases energy. The global theoretically obtainable power from salinity gradient energy due to World’s rivers discharge into the oceans has been estimated to be within the range of 1.4-2.6 TW. Reverse electrodialysis (RED) is one of the emerging, membrane-based, technologies for harvesting the salinity gradient energy. A common RED stack is composed by alternately-arranged cation- and anion-exchange membranes, stacked between two electrodes. The compartments between the membranes are alternately fed with concentrated (e.g., sea water) and dilute (e.g., river water) saline solutions. Migration of the respective counter-ions through the membranes leads to ionic current between the electrodes, where an appropriate redox pair converts the chemical salinity gradient energy into electrical energy. Given the importance of the need for new sources of energy for power generation, the present study aims at better understanding and solving current challenges, associated with the RED stack design, fluid dynamics, ionic mass transfer and long-term RED stack performance with natural saline solutions as feedwaters. Chronopotentiometry was used to determinate diffusion boundary layer (DBL) thickness from diffusion relaxation data and the flow entrance effects on mass transfer were found to avail a power generation increase in RED stacks. Increasing the linear flow velocity also leads to a decrease of DBL thickness but on the cost of a higher pressure drop. Pressure drop inside RED stacks was successfully simulated by the developed mathematical model, in which contribution of several pressure drops, that until now have not been considered, was included. The effect of each pressure drop on the RED stack performance was identified and rationalized and guidelines for planning and/or optimization of RED stacks were derived. The design of new profiled membranes, with a chevron corrugation structure, was proposed using computational fluid dynamics (CFD) modeling. The performance of the suggested corrugation geometry was compared with the already existing ones, as well as with the use of conductive and non-conductive spacers. According to the estimations, use of chevron structures grants the highest net power density values, at the best compromise between the mass transfer coefficient and the pressure drop values. Finally, long-term experiments with natural waters were performed, during which fouling was experienced. For the first time, 2D fluorescence spectroscopy was used to monitor RED stack performance, with a dedicated focus on following fouling on ion-exchange membrane surfaces. To extract relevant information from fluorescence spectra, parallel factor analysis (PARAFAC) was performed. Moreover, the information obtained was then used to predict net power density, stack electric resistance and pressure drop by multivariate statistical models based on projection to latent structures (PLS) modeling. The use in such models of 2D fluorescence data, containing hidden, but extractable by PARAFAC, information about fouling on membrane surfaces, considerably improved the models fitting to the experimental data.