Modelling seed germination in forest tree species through survival analysis. The Pinus pinea L. case study

The direct application of existing models for seed germination may often be inadequate in the context of ecology and forestry germination experiments. This is because basic model assumptions are violated and variables available to forest managers are rarely used. In this paper, we present a method which addresses the aforementioned shortcomings. The approach is illustrated through a case study of Pinus pinea L. Our findings will also shed light on the role of germination in the general failure of natural regeneration in managed forests of this species. The presented technique consists of a mixed regression model based on survival analysis. Climate and stand covariates were tested. Data for fitting the model were gathered from a 5-year germination experiment in a mature, managed P. pinea stand in the Northern Plateau of Spain in which two different stand densities can be found. The model predictions proved to be unbiased and highly accurate when compared with the training data. Germination in P. pinea was controlled through thermal variables at stand level. At microsite level, low densities negatively affected the probability of germination. A time-lag in the response was also detected. Overall, the proposed technique provides a reliable alternative to germination modelling in ecology/forestry studies by using accessible/ suitable variables. The P. pinea case study highlights the importance of producing unbiased predictions. In this species, the occurrence and timing of germination suggest a very different regeneration strategy from that understood by forest managers until now, which may explain the high failure rate of natural regeneration in managed stands. In addition, these findings provide valuable information for the management of P. pinea under climate-change conditions.

An integral model for natural regeneration of Pinus pinea L. in the Northern Plateau (Spain) = Modelo integral de regeneración natural para Pinus pinea L. en la Meseta Norte (España)

Natural regeneration is an ecological key-process that makes plant persistence possible and, consequently, it constitutes an essential element of sustainable forest management. In this respect, natural regeneration in even-aged stands of Pinus pinea L. located in the Spanish Northern Plateau has not always been successfully achieved despite over a century of pine nut-based management. As a result, natural regeneration has recently become a major concern for forest managers when we are living a moment of rationalization of investment in silviculture. The present dissertation is addressed to provide answers to forest managers on this topic through the development of an integral regeneration multistage model for P. pinea stands in the region. From this model, recommendations for natural regeneration-based silviculture can be derived under present and future climate scenarios. Also, the model structure makes it possible to detect the likely bottlenecks affecting the process. The integral model consists of five submodels corresponding to each of the subprocesses linking the stages involved in natural regeneration (seed production, seed dispersal, seed germination, seed predation and seedling survival). The outputs of the submodels represent the transitional probabilities between these stages as a function of climatic and stand variables, which in turn are representative of the ecological factors driving regeneration. At subprocess level, the findings of this dissertation should be interpreted as follows. The scheduling of the shelterwood system currently conducted over low density stands leads to situations of dispersal limitation since the initial stages of the regeneration period. Concerning predation, predator activity appears to be only limited by the occurrence of severe summer droughts and masting events, the summer resulting in a favourable period for seed survival. Out of this time interval, predators were found to almost totally deplete seed crops. Given that P. pinea dissemination occurs in summer (i.e. the safe period against predation), the likelihood of a seed to not be destroyed is conditional to germination occurrence prior to the intensification of predator activity. However, the optimal conditions for germination seldom take place, restraining emergence to few days during the fall. Thus, the window to reach the seedling stage is narrow. In addition, the seedling survival submodel predicts extremely high seedling mortality rates and therefore only some individuals from large cohorts will be able to persist. These facts, along with the strong climate-mediated masting habit exhibited by P. pinea, reveal that viii the overall probability of establishment is low. Given this background, current management –low final stand densities resulting from intense thinning and strict felling schedules– conditions the occurrence of enough favourable events to achieve natural regeneration during the current rotation time. Stochastic simulation and optimisation computed through the integral model confirm this circumstance, suggesting that more flexible and progressive regeneration fellings should be conducted. From an ecological standpoint, these results inform a reproductive strategy leading to uneven-aged stand structures, in full accordance with the medium shade-tolerant behaviour of the species. As a final remark, stochastic simulations performed under a climate-change scenario show that regeneration in the species will not be strongly hampered in the future. This resilient behaviour highlights the fundamental ecological role played by P. pinea in demanding areas where other tree species fail to persist.

Analysis of the "European Charter on General Principles for Protection of the Environment and Sustainable Development" The Council of Europe Document CO-DBP (2003) 2

Analysis of the "European Charter on General Principles for Protection of the Environment and Sustainable Development" The Council of Europe Document CO-DBP (2003) 2

Control by ATR-FTIR of surface treatment of cork stoppers and its effect on their mechanical performance

Fourier transform infrared (FTIR) spectroscopy was applied to determine the type of surface treatment and dose used on cork stoppers and to predict the friction between stopper and bottleneck. Agglomerated cork stoppers were finished with two different doses and using two surface treatments: P (paraffin and silicone), 15 and 25 mg/stopper, and S (only silicone), 10 and 15 mg/stopper. FTIR spectra were recorded at five points for each stopper by attenuated total reflectance (ATR). Absorbances at 1,010, 2,916, and 2,963 cm -1 were obtained in each spectrum. Discriminant analysis techniques allowed the treatment, and dose applied to each stopper to be identified from the absorbance values. 91.2% success rates were obtained from individual values and 96.0% from the mean values of each stopper. Spectrometric data also allowed treatment homogeneity to be determined on the stopper surface, and a multiple regression model was used to predict the friction index (If = Fe/Fc) (R 2 = 0.93)

Discriminant Analysis of Geographical Origin of Cork Planks and Stoppers by Near Infrared Spectroscopy

The objective of this study was to assess the potential of visible and near infrared spectroscopy (VIS+NIRS) combined with multivariate analysis for identifying the geographical origin of cork. The study was carried out on cork planks and natural cork stoppers from the most representative cork-producing areas in the world. Two training sets of international and national cork planks were studied. The first set comprised a total of 479 samples from Morocco, Portugal, and Spain, while the second set comprised a total of 179 samples from the Spanish regions of Andalusia, Catalonia, and Extremadura. A training set of 90 cork stoppers from Andalusia and Catalonia was also studied. Original spectroscopic data were obtained for the transverse sections of the cork planks and for the body and top of the cork stoppers by means of a 6500 Foss-NIRSystems SY II spectrophotometer using a fiber optic probe. Remote reflectance was employed in the wavelength range of 400 to 2500 nm. After analyzing the spectroscopic data, discriminant models were obtained by means of partial least square (PLS) with 70% of the samples. The best models were then validated using 30% of the remaining samples. At least 98% of the international cork plank samples and 95% of the national samples were correctly classified in the calibration and validation stage. The best model for the cork stoppers was obtained for the top of the stoppers, with at least 90% of the samples being correctly classified. The results demonstrate the potential of VIS + NIRS technology as a rapid and accurate method for predicting the geographical origin of cork plank and stoppers

Estudio dendrocronológico de una masa de Pinus pinaster Ait. afectada por aprovechamiento de resinación en Moral de Hornuez (Segovia)

El trabajo de investigación que a continuación se expone está centrado en el estudio dendrocronológico de los efectos de la explotación resinera en el crecimiento de una masa natural de Pinus pinaster Ait. situada al noreste de la provincia de Segovia, concretamente en el término municipal de Moral de Hornuez. Trata de establecer la relación causa-efecto entre la explotación resinera a la que fue sometida la masa y el crecimiento anual en la zona analizada, tanto del árbol individual como la masa en su conjunto. Para realizar dicho estudio se ha tomado una muestra de diecinueve pies de la citada masa, que ha sido posible gracias a la cesión de los mismos por parte de la Junta de Castilla y León. Se da la particularidad de que el monte sufrió un incendio forestal en Agosto de 2008, lo que provocó la muerte de la mayoría de los pinos y su consiguiente apeo ulterior, por lo que se ha podido contar prácticamente con todos los tocones completos de los pies que componen la muestra. Un 30% de dicha muestra no había sido objeto de resinación y el 70% restante sí presentaban las heridas correspondientes a tal aprovechamiento. Contrastando el crecimiento de ambos grupos, resinados y no resinados, se pretende averiguar finalmente en qué medida afecta la práctica de extracción de miera en el crecimiento del árbol.

Brown trout redd superimposition in relation to spawning habitat availability

The relationship between redd superimposition and spawning habitat availability was investigated in the brown trout (Salmo trutta L.) population inhabiting the river Castril (Granada, Spain). Redd surveys were conducted in 24 river sections to estimate the rate of redd superimposition. Used and available microhabitat was evaluated to compute the suitable spawning habitat (SSH) for brown trout. After analysing the microhabitat characteristics positively selected by females, SSH was defined as an area that met all the following five requirements: water depth between 10 and 50 cm, mean water velocity between 30 and 60 cm s)1, bottom water velocity between 15 and 60 cm s)1, substrate size between 4 and 30 mm and no embeddedness. Simple regression analyses showed that redd superimposition was not correlated with redd numbers, SSH or redd density. A simulation-based analysis was performed to estimate the superimposition rate if redds were randomly placed inside the SSH. This analysis revealed that the observed superimposition rate was higher than expected in 23 of 24 instances, this difference being significant (P menor que 0.05) in eight instances and right at the limit of statistical significance (P = 0.05) in another eight instances. Redd superimposition was high in sections with high redd density. High superimposition however was not exclusive to sections with high redd density and was found in moderate- and low-redd-density sections. This suggests that factors other than habitat availability are also responsible for redd superimposition. We argue that female preference for spawning over previously excavated redds may be the most likely explanation for high superimposition at lower densities.

Metodología para una estrategia de desarrollo productivo agropecuario y forestal ecosostenible para el trópico seco de Centroamérica: aplicación al municipio de Santo Tomás del Nance

El llamado Trópico Seco de Centroamérica se caracteriza en general y en la Costa Pacífica, en particular, por albergar una elevada densidad de población eminentemente rural y agro dependiente, en este medio se han conjugado el incremento de los procesos de desertificación del territorio junto con la disminución de los rendimientos agropecuarios. Este fenómeno ha venido acelerándose en los últimos años a la par que ha sido agravado por otros factores económicos y políticos, generando creciente vulnerabilidad físico-ambiental y socioeconómica. La tesis pretende demostrar que la falta de un correcto manejo y usos del suelo es factor clave en la creciente pobreza campesina, también consideramos que esta situación es reversible empleando medios, técnicas y compromisos sociales que están a nuestro alcance y, por último, que es técnica y económicamente factible disponer de un modelo o estrategia eco productiva que posibilite el crecimiento económico de la población, manteniendo o incluso mejorando la sostenibilidad de los recursos naturales (causa primera de la pobreza), y en particular el suelo y el agua. A pesar de las inversiones significativas en el agro durante los últimos 25 años, continúan creciendo a un ritmo alarmante los procesos de desertificación y de la pobreza rural relacionada. Entre un sin número de causas se destacan una baja voluntad política y la polarización entre gobiernos y las organizaciones de la sociedad civil. Por último, se destaca el hecho de que para revertir las actuales tendencias, es preciso fomentar la estrecha colaboración como un todo entre gobiernos centrales, gobiernos locales y las organizaciones de la sociedad civil.

Systematics of Senecio sect. Crociseris (Compositae, Senecioneae)

Se revisa taxonómicamente Senecio sect. Crociseris (Compositae, Senecioneae),una de las cuatro principales secciones del género en el ámbito de Eurasia y el norte de África. Este grupo comprende hierbas rizomatosas, distribuidas principalmente del oeste de Europa y noroeste de África al oeste asiático, y presenta la mayor diversidad en el Mediterráneo septentrional. El nuevo tratamiento taxonómico que se propone reconoce 28 especies y 8 subespecies. Se ha hecho un especial esfuerzo en el análisis de la variabilidad del gr. S. doronicum, cuya sistemática ha sido objeto de controversia durante mucho tiempo. En este grupo se aceptan tres especies: S. doronicum, S.lagascanus, y S. provincialis, la primera con tres subespecies: subsp. doronicum, subsp.longifolius, y subsp. orientalis. Con el objetivo de indagar en las relaciones de las especies dentro de la sección y de ésta con otros grupos de Senecio, se han llevado a cabo análisis filogenéticos basados en secuencias ITS y de cloroplasto. Los resultados sugieren que la sect. Crociseris es un grupo parafilético, ya que incluye las especies secuenciadas de la sect. Doria. Además, complejos patrones de algunas secuencias ITS sugieren eventos de hibridación. Como resultado del estudio taxonómico se proponen las siguientes combinaciones: Senecio doronicum subsp. longifolius(Willk.) J. Calvo, Senecio doronicum subsp. orientalis (Ten.) J. Calvo, Senecio macedonicus subsp. barckhausiaefolius (Boiss. & Heldr.) J. Calvo, y Senecio racemosus subsp. kirghisicus(DC.) J. Calvo. Por otro lado, S. ruthenensis de Francia y S. lusitanicus de Portugal han sido sinonimizados a S. lagascanus, así como S. ovatifolius, S. pisidicus y S. tmoleus de Anatolia a S. kolenatianus, S. olympicus, y S. castagneanus respectivamente, S.bertramii de Líbano a S. cilicius, y S. delbesianus de Siria a S. racemosus subsp. racemosus. Se han lectotipificado setenta y cinco nombres, y neotipificado S. pyrenaicus y S. scopolii. Senecio gerardi Godr., S. doronicum (L.) L. y S. paucifolius S.G. Gmel. se propusieron a conservar. Se incluyen claves de identificación, descripciones detalladas, mapas de distribución e ilustraciones. Nueve táxones han sido ilustrados por primera vez.

Clave dicotómica de pecopteris de las cuencas mineras de Barruelo, Palencia (Cantabriense-Barrueliense, Carbonífero Superior) y de La Magdalena León (Saberiense, Carbonífero Superior)

El género de forma Pecopteris se ha utilizado ampliamente para fósiles de hojas estériles del Carbonífero Superior y el Pérmico. El número de especies asignadas a éste género se ha ido multiplicando a lo largo de la historia debido a que las características definidas para este género son muy comunes y por tanto, aplicables a gran número de taxones. En un intento de facilitar la asignación de muestras fósiles de Pecopteris a sus respectivas especies, se ha procedido a generar sendas claves dicotómicas para las especies descritas en las cuencas de Barruelo (Palencia) y La Magdalena (León).

Characteristic time in quasispecies evolution

Estudio del tiempo en que un fenotipo alcanza un estado estacionario

Fighting tax evasion: a cellular automata approach

Estudio de la dinámica de una población donde los individuos son contribuyentes (pagadores de impuestos) o no mediante un autómata celular 2D

Methods of Tree Appraisal: A Review of Their Features and Application Possibilities

Se revisan los métodas de valoración de arbolado

A new method for the identification of old-growth trees in National Forest Inventories: Application to Pinus halepensis Mill. stands in Spain

Old-growth trees play a very important role in the maintenance of biodiversity in forests. However, no clear definition is yet available to help identify them since tree age is usually not recorded in National Forest Inventories. To develop and test a new method to identify old-growth trees using a species-specific threshold for tree diameter in National Forest Inventories. Different nonlinear mixed models for diameter ? age were generated using data from the Spanish Forest Inventory in order to identify the most appropriate one for Aleppo pine in its South-western distribution area. The asymptote of the optimal model indicates the threshold diameter for defining an old-growth tree. Additionally, five site index curves were examined to analyze the influence of site quality on these models.

Mixing effect on volume growth of Fagus sylvatica and Pinus sylvestris is modulated by stand density

Despite the increasing relevance of mixed stands due to their potential benefits; little information is available with regard to the effect of mixtures on yield in forest systems. Hence, it is necessary to study inter-specific relationships, and the resulting yield in mixed stands, which may vary with stand development, site or stand density, etc. In Spain, the province of Navarra is considered one of the biodiversity reservoirs; however, mixed forests occupy only a small area, probably as a consequence of management plans, in which there is an excessive focus on the productivity aspect, favoring the presence of pure stands of the most marketable species. The aim of this paper is to study how growth efficiencies of beech (Fagus sylvatica) and pine (Pinus sylvestris) are modified by the admixture of the other species and to determine whether stand density modifies interspecific relationships and to what extent. Two models were fitted from Spanish National Forest Inventory data, for P. sylvestris and F. sylvatica respectively, which relate the growth efficiency of the species, i.e. the volume increment of the species divided by the species proportion by area, with dominant height, quadratic mean diameter, stocking degree, and the species proportions by area of each species. Growth efficiency of pine increased with the admixture of beech, decreasing this positive effect when stocking degree increased. However, the positive effect of pine admixture on beech growth was greater at higher stocking degrees. Growth efficiency of beech was also dependent on stand dominant height, resulting in a net negative mixing effect when stand dominant heights and stocking degrees were simultaneously low. There is a relatively large range of species proportions and stocking degrees which results in transgressive overyielding: higher volume increments in mixed stands than that of the most productive pure pine stands. We concluded that stocking degree is a key factor in between-species interactions, being the effects of mixing not always greater at higher stand densities, but it depends on species composition.