Estimating United States Phillips Curves With Expectations Consistent With The Statistical Process Of Inflation

‘Modern’ Phillips curve theories predict inflation is an integrated, or near integrated, process. However, inflation appears bounded above and below in developed economies and so cannot be ‘truly’ integrated and more likely stationary around a shifting mean. If agents believe inflation is integrated as in the ‘modern’ theories then they are making systematic errors concerning the statistical process of inflation. An alternative theory of the Phillips curve is developed that is consistent with the ‘true’ statistical process of inflation. It is demonstrated that United States inflation data is consistent with the alternative theory but not with the existing ‘modern’ theories.

Characterisation of heteromers and oligomers in the TNF family of ligands and receptors

TNF family ligands and receptors fulfill a number of functions, mainly in the immune system. For example, the ligands BAFF and APRIL control growth and survival of mature Β cells at various stages of differentiation. TNF family ligands usually form homotrimers, but heteromers have also been described for lymphotoxin α1β2 and for BAFF and APRIL. Interestingly, twenty BAFF homotrimers can assemble into virus-like particles coined BAFF 60-mer, which are superior to BAFF 3-mer regarding their ability to signal in primary Β cells. A screen was performed in 293T cells, by co-transfecting differently tagged ligands, to identify six novel heteromers. The specificity of these novel heteromers, however, did not correspond to that of orphan receptors in the TNFR family. Little is known about heteromers of BAFF and APRIL, in particular their receptor-binding specificity and their ability to signal. A method to produce and purify heteromers of defined stoechiometry was developed, and the resulting reagents were used to demonstrate that BAFF2APRIL, like BAFF, binds to all BAFF receptors - namely BAFFR, TACI and Β CM A -, while APRIL2BAFF and APRIL only binds to TACI and BCMA. Heteromers could signal via their cognate receptors, sometimes as potently and sometimes less potently than homomers, depending on the receptors. A promising system to measure the activity of single-chain homo- and heteromers in vivo was set up: it measures mature Β cell rescue upon administration of single-chain ligands into BAFF-ko mice. To tackle the question of the physiological importance of BAFF 60-mer, a point mutation that prevents assembly of mouse BAFF into 60-mer while retaining its ability to form trimers was identified. This mutation (E247K) was introduced by homologous recombination into mouse embryonic stem cells that are now being used to generate knock-in mice. Results obtained in this work will help to better understand the role of various BAFF and APRIL forms that are elevated in a several autoimmune diseases. - Les ligands et récepteurs de la famille du TNF joue un rôle prédominant dans le système immunitaire. Par exemple, les ligands BAFF et APRIL contrôlent la croissance et la survie des cellules Β matures à différents stades de différenciation. Ces ligands existent souvent sous forme d'homotrimères (3-mer), bien que des héteromères aient été décrits pour la lymphotoxine α1β2 et pour BAFF et APRIL. Dans le cas de BAFF, vingt trimères peuvent, telle une particule virale, s'assembler en 60-mer qui surpasse le 3-mer pour signaler dans des cellules Β primaires. Un crible effectué dans des cellules 293T, par co-transfection de ligands différemment marqués, a permis d'identifier six nouveaux heteromères dont la spécificité n'a, hélas, pas correspondu à celle d'un récepteur orphelin de la famille du TNFR. Les connaissances sur la spécificité de liaison aux récepteurs et la capacité à signaler des heteromères de BAFF et d'APRIL sont fragmentaires. Une méthode pour produire et purifier des heteromères "simple chaîne" de stoechiométrie déterminée a été mise au point, et les réactifs ainsi obtenus utilisés pour démontrer que BAFF2APRIL, comme BAFF, lie tous les récepteurs de BAFF - c'est-à-dire BAFFR, TACI et BCMA -, alors qu'APRIL2BAFF et APRIL ne lient que TACI et BCMA. Les héteromères peuvent transmettre des signaux, parfois aussi bien et parfois plus faiblement que les homomères, selon les récepteurs. Un système prometteur pour mesurer l'activité des ligands simple chaîne in vivo a été mis au point. Il mesure la réapparition de cellules Β matures dans des souris déficientes pour BAFF après administration des ligands. Pour s'attaquer à la question de l'importance physiologique du 60-mer de BAFF, ime mutation empêchant l'assemblage en 60-mer sans affecter la capacité à former des trimères a été identifiée. Cette mutation (E247K) a été introduite par recombinaison homologue dans des cellules souches embryonnaires de souris qui sont utilisées pour obtenir des souris déficientes en BAFF 60-mer. Les résultats de ces travaux contribueront à mieux cerner le rôle des différentes formes de BAFF et d'APRIL produites en excès dans plusieurs maladies auto-immunes.

A Multiple Break Panel Approach to Estimating United States Phillips Curves

Phillips curves are often estimated without due attention being paid to the underlying time series properties of the data. In particular, the consequences of inflation having discrete breaks in mean have not been studied adequately. We show by means of simulations and a detailed empirical example based on United States data that not taking account of breaks may lead to biased, and therefore spurious, estimates of Phillips curves. We suggest a method to account for the breaks in mean inflation and obtain meaningful and unbiased estimates of the short- and long-run Phillips curves in the United States.

'Modern' Phillips Curves and the Implications For The Statistical Process of Inflation

'Modern' theories of the Phillips curve imply that inflation is an integrated, or near integrated process. This paper explains this implication and why these 'modern' theories are logically inconsistent with what is commonly known about the statistical process of inflation.

How family caregivers' medical and moral assumptions influence decision making for patients in the vegetative state: a qualitative interview study.

Background Decisions on limiting life-sustaining treatment for patients in the vegetative state (VS) are emotionally and morally challenging. In Germany, doctors have to discuss, together with the legal surrogate (often a family member), whether the proposed treatment is in accordance with the patient's will. However, it is unknown whether family members of the patient in the VS actually base their decisions on the patient's wishes. Objective To examine the role of advance directives, orally expressed wishes, or the presumed will of patients in a VS for family caregivers' decisions on life-sustaining treatment. Methods and sample A qualitative interview study with 14 next of kin of patients in a VS in a long-term care setting was conducted; 13 participants were the patient's legal surrogates. Interviews were analysed according to qualitative content analysis. Results The majority of family caregivers said that they were aware of aforementioned wishes of the patient that could be applied to the VS condition, but did not base their decisions primarily on these wishes. They gave three reasons for this: (a) the expectation of clinical improvement, (b) the caregivers' definition of life-sustaining treatments and (c) the moral obligation not to harm the patient. If the patient's wishes were not known or not revealed, the caregivers interpreted a will to live into the patient's survival and non-verbal behaviour. Conclusions Whether or not prior treatment wishes of patients in a VS are respected depends on their applicability, and also on the medical assumptions and moral attitudes of the surrogates. We recommend repeated communication, support for the caregivers and advance care planning.

La médecine de famille en Suisse à l'horizon 2030: quelle place pour la délégation des tâches médicales. [Family practitioners in Switzerland by 2030: which roles for medical task delegation?]

Due to population aging, by 2030 Switzerland may face a demand of 24 million family practitioner visits, a growth of 13 percent from the 2005 level. This result is based on the assumption that the per capita demand for doctor visits remains what was observed in 2005 by age groups and sex. During the same period, the total number of practitioners may decrease by 14 percent whereas the female proportion of such practitioners may double. These changes may cause a 33 percent decrease in the supply of physician visits to reach only 14 millions. The comparison of the demand and supply of family doctor visits reveals that by 2030, 10 million visits may be unmet which represents 40 percent of the demand. On the supply side, a full scale implementation of task delegation may partially reduce that gap (minus 2 millions). On the demand side, improved health status may bring in a larger decrease in the needs for visits (minus 4 million).

Screening of the antimalarial activity of plants of the Cucurbitaceae family

Crude ethanolic extracts (CEEs) from two species of Cucurbitaceae, Cucurbita maxima and Momordica charantia (commonly called "abóbora moranga" and melão de São Caetano", respectively) were assayed for antimalarial activity by the 4-d suppressive test. The CEE of dry C. maxima seeds showed strong antimalarial activity following oral administration (259 and 500 mg/kg), reducing by 50% the levels of parasistemia in Plasmodium berghey-infected mice. Treatment of normal animals with 500 mg/Kg of the extract three days before intravenous injection of P. berghei caused a significant 30% reduction in parasitemic levels. No effect was observed when the animals were treated with the CEE only on the day of inoculation. Oral administration of the CEE of dry M. charantia leaves adminstered orally was ineffective up to 500 mg/Kg in lowering the parasitemic levels of malarious mice.

Family physician involvement in cancer care and lung cancer patient emotional distress and quality of life.

PURPOSE: This study aims to describe emotional distress and quality of life (QoL) of patients at different phases of their lung cancer and the association with their family physician (FP) involvement. METHODS: A prospective study on patients with lung cancer was conducted in three regions of Quebec, Canada. Patients completed, at baseline, several validated questionnaires regarding their psychosocial characteristics and their perceived level of FP involvement. Emotional distress [profile of mood states (POMS)] and QoL [European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer Quality of Life Core 30 (EORTC QLQ-C30)] were reassessed every 3-6 months, whether patients had metastasis or not, up to 18 months. Results were regrouped according to cancer phase. Mixed models with repeated measurements were performed to identify variation in distress and QoL. RESULTS: In this cohort of 395 patients, distress was low at diagnosis (0.79 ± 0.7 on a 0-4 scale), raising to 1.36 ± 0.8 at the advance phase (p < 0.0001). Patient's global QoL scores significantly decreased from the diagnosis to the advance phase (from 66 to 45 on a 0-100 scale; p < 0.0001). At all phases of cancer, FP involvement was significantly associated with patients' distress (p = 0.0004) and their global perception of QoL (p = 0.0080). These associations remained statistically significant even after controlling for age, gender, and presence of metastases. CONCLUSIONS: This study provides new knowledge on patients' emotional distress and QoL with cancer evolution and, particularly, their association with FP involvement. Other studies should be conducted to further explore FP role in cancer supportive care.

On some family related parasites (Nematoda, Cucullanidae) from the marine fish Paralonchurus brasiliensis (Steindachner, 1875) (Pisces, Ostraciidae)

Dichelyne (Cucullanellus) elongatus (Tornquist, 1931) Petter, 1974 and Cucullanus pulcherrimus Barreto, 1918, from Paralonchurus brasiliensis (Steind., 1875) are redescribed and two specimens of Dichelyne (Cucullanellus) sp. are also reported in this host, despite lack of previously, was again identified in Brazil since its original description and posterior illustration. The present findings represent also a new host record for the referred genera: Dichelyne Jagerskiold, 1902 and Cucullanus Mueller, 1777. D. (C.) elongatus is also referred in Brazil for the first time.

Delinquency in male adolescents: the role of alexithymia and family structure

The purpose of this study was to examine the linkages between alexithymia and delinquency in male adolescents (age ranging from 14 to 18 years), and to investigate whether alexithymia was a good discriminatory factor for juvenile delinquency. Thirty-six offender adolescents and 46 non-offender control adolescents participated in the study and completed the 20-item Toronto Alexithymia Scale (TAS-20) (alexithymia), the Revised Children's Manifest Anxiety Scale (R-CMAS) (anxiety), the Liste d'Adjectifs Bipolaires et en Echelles de Likert (LABEL) (personality-Big Five) and demographic data. Findings revealed that the adolescents of the offender group scored high on alexithymia and that proportion of disrupted family structure in the offender group is higher than in the control group. Logistic regressions confirmed that alexithymia and family structure are the strongest discriminatory factors for juvenile delinquency. Limitations and clinical implications are discussed, and recommendations for future research are provided

Parental education and family characteristics: educational opportunities across cohorts in Italy and Spain

Drawing on data contained in the 2005 EU-SILC, this paper investigates the disparities in educational opportunities in Italy and Spain. Its main objective is to analyse the predicted probabilities of successfully completing upper-secondary and tertiary education for individuals with different parental backgrounds, and the changes in these probabilities across birth cohorts extending from 1940 to 1980. The results suggest that the disparities in tertiary education opportunities in Italy tend to increase over time. By contrast, the gap in educational opportunity in Spain shows a marked decrease across the cohorts. Moreover, by using an intuitive decomposition strategy, the paper shows that a large part of the educational gap between individuals of different backgrounds is “composed” of the difference in the endowment of family characteristics. Specifically, it seems that more highly educated parents are more able to endow their children with a better composition of family characteristics, which accounts for a significant proportion of the disparities in educational opportunity.

Inflation dynamics and the New Keynesian Phillips curve in EU-4

The paper seeks to shed light on inflation dynamics of four new EU member states: the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland and Slovakia. To this end, the New Keynesian Phillips curve augmented for open economies is estimated and additional statistical tests applied. We find the following. (1) The claim of New Keynesians that the real marginal cost is the main inflation-forcing variable is fragile. (2) Inflation seems to be driven by external factors. (3) Although inflation holds a forward-looking component, the backward-looking component is substantial. An intuitive explanation for higher inflation persistence may be rather adaptive than rational price setting of local firms.